The Reasons Why 90% Will Not Survive a Prolonged Collapse

catastrophic events that can damage our delicate infrastructure they can occur at any time with the events that played out in 2020 it is becoming increasingly clear that we will face more challenges soon but while many of us were able to endure the events of last year the scars we carry will remind us that nothing is guaranteed and our lives can be flipped upside down at a moment's notice whether another out-of-control pathogen an economic collapse or a cascading series of natural disasters that result in the collapse of the infrastructure breaking the systems we rely upon the scenarios that could lead to an actual shtf situation they're numerous while many people prep most people don't have a bunker or fallout shelter they can lock themselves in like a time capsule and pop out in 20 years when things are better even a beginner prepper should have enough to get them through about 90 days of the most common natural disasters but in an actual prolonged grid down situation even the most well prepared they're not going to survive maybe they will not perish at the same rate as everyone else still even a catastrophic extreme event such as an emp that may have very low initial mortality numbers will have exponentially high death tolls when things truly fall apart a recent study indicated that the actual numbers of casualties in the aftermath of such a nationwide event could range between two-thirds of the population to as high as 90 percent of the people within the first year in this video we'll take a sober look at why so many people die as a cautionary tale to inform our prepping will you be part of the ninety percent who will perish or part of the ten percent who will survive subscribe to our newsletter to be the first to receive updates and membership specific content visit www.cityprepping.com forward slash newsletter or click on the link in the description and comment section below to subscribe today location location location your place and proximity to the occurrence is a determinant of your initial rate of survival with nearly 80 of the individuals living in either an urban or suburban environment many are dependent on the grid for survival those who live in the country like to say that those in the city are certainly going to perish bugging out of the city may indeed be your best response however living in a city is not a death sentence urban dwelling simply carries with it more competition for resources and a greater possibility of crowd chaos if you live in the country you may consider yourself isolated with a good line of sight over an acre in every direction because of your isolation you're likely already in some ways a prepper because you aren't going to simply pop over to the market when you need a cup of sugar the country prepper has some clear advantages however large swaths of people could move to the country preppers area or land to find resources or go to where resources are rumored to be in a real shtf situation they may even try to take your resources and could overwhelm you with their numbers so when it comes to location there are no guarantees of safety your first true consideration concerning location is how close you are to the epicenter and impacted area a second is whether your location is tenable that is when the disaster hits is the place you're at where you're going to stay and is it defensible in stock it is nowhere near the 20 miles or more you would be or when you're away from home maybe you could traverse a distance but millions would not be able to make it back to their homes as those people get hungry require specific medications or just become desperate they will seek to take what they need from whoever or whatever is around them many will die in an shtf situation simply because they're too far from home when the disaster strikes you can put the odds in your favor by prepping your body for the rigors you could face you could set the odds in your favor by having an everyday carry bag with a few essentials to ensure you can get home you can put the odds in your favor by having a survival cache in place along your route you can set the odds of survival in your favor by knowing more than one route of escape in more than one route home lack of basics if the location doesn't immediately account for the death toll people who lack the basics they need to survive will succumb to their fate within the first week according to one recent study in the last 12 months roughly 20 percent of americans were about 52 million people said they spent money preparing or spent money on survival materials many people are now beginning to prep which is also great but the odds of survival don't go up by merely spending a few dollars on survival products or extra food most americans still believe that an emergency plan means setting aside money for an emergency that might work in some situations but if the dollar becomes worthless so is your plan in an extended redown situation the reality is that the majority of the population lacks the basics of food water shelter security and fire also most lack the necessary skills to obtain these things it's much harder to fish than it is to swipe a debit card at the grocery store i have a good fishing pole in tackle for instance but i've come up empty-handed the last several times i've gone fishing we can only store up so much food in modern houses and apartments that lack sellers and good pantries and the majority of americans do not have enough food in their cabinets to last more than two weeks in many ways we have moved away from self-sufficiency and efficiencies of our ancestors and moved towards dependence on systems that could fill us one day so what happens when the majority of people run out of food and water remember what alfred henry lewis wrote there are only nine mills between mankind and anarchy we see that statement ring true throughout history while government agencies ngos private businesses even neighborhood networks will open up a little to share and provide relief to many there's only so much in reserve that they have most will be desperately fighting over what little they can provide but it will not be enough to sustain the masses of people for long enough if the municipal water systems fell how much bottled water would it take to provide the same level of fresh drinkable water to a thirsty population if boil orders were in effect how many people would really know without the announcement absent natural gas and electricity how many people could boil their water fires attract attention so how much water could you boil without someone looking to take a share of it for their own water is just the simplest of examples the majority of people cannot obtain their food from their environment nor have enough food stored to sustain them how close to their nth skipped mill will they be before they cross their moral lines and loot this to our shelves how long before they pick all the fruit from your trees how long before they show up at your doorstep looking for a handout or a hand up with the just-in-time delivery system that brings food from farm to table and razor thin inventories a little push in the wrong direction could leave crops rotting in the fields and delivery trucks stalled and robbed on freeways nine mills are about 72 hours that's when desperation begins to set in for some like a sharp line on the graph desperation skyrockets from there as systems fall apart and people lose hope they will recover or that others will step in to save them just as the toilet paper panic of 2020 the global rice crisis of 2008 should have taught us it only takes a little fear before the herd tramples over everything and everyone in their path to clear out and hoard everything it can grab if that is the first 72 hours after a natural disaster imagine what it would look like after the first seven weeks those who lack food and water at the 72 hour mark will be frail and suffering from the effects of starvation everyone's a little different but most people can only go without food for between one to two months most people can only survive without water for about three days if that water isn't clean there's a host of things that can make them sick enough to die without proper medical attention after seven weeks with no return to civility and no restoration of supply lines in the future desperation will turn to lawlessness for many and will result in death for even more even communities with adequate supplies decent foraging resources and good water resources will have to defend themselves from being overrun by hordes of people trying to survive you think you'll be a lone wolf and survive on your own in your well-protected and well-stocked fortress it is likely that after seven weeks of increasing lawlessness and with no sight of the future being any brighter you will be challenged if not overrun the desperate will far outnumber you i will discuss that more later but now to make sure that you have what you need to put the odds in your favor or being part of that 10 who will survive do these things first make sure your food water fire shelter supplies are enough to sustain you at least 90 days and preferably much longer second make sure that at least some large percentage of those supplies are mobile learning how to purify water in the wild and it will all be wild after 90 days is essential to your survival knowing how to scavenge and forage is critical even if you have a fixed and secure home base of operation you have a mobile shelter if you're forced out of your home base of operation even a tent or tarp could get you through a rainy night finally this isn't one that you're going to hear from a lot of preppers about but you will hear it here set aside about 10 of your supplies for those you love and trust will come to you in desperation community is an often overlooked aspect of surviving it is gut wrenching and personally demoralizing to turn the starving or dying away it can weaken your resolve and make enemies of friends having an extra bug out bag or some extra supplies set aside for friends and family you can't take in but you can help out will pay dividends for you when you're deeper into a prolonged shtf situation what if it turns out that their place or their best friend's place is more secure than yours or has a well or solar panels then it comes down to just planning how to take what you have to the new location despite that purely self-serving purpose helping others even in desperate times is the right thing to do it's the same your spirit it replenishes you don't be mad that they're at your doorstep and they called you crazy before they will remember your kindness even as you send them on their way in a future video we'll discuss building a simple kit you can give to others in need that will also serve you in the event you had a bug out medical dependent like a herd has its weakest at the back most likely to succumb to predators people are similar the medically dependent those in need of elder care and neonatal individuals are at an extremely high risk of succumbing within the first few days weeks and months if you require insulin for example when the supply dries up and you're limited to just what you have on hand or can store up the shelf life of that supply ranges from 14 to about 56 days what then those in critical condition in hospitals or assisted living facilities will not get their needs met as supplies dwindle and staff are forced to look after their own first anyone on medications that require little weaning off or that have severe withdrawals or are required for life will all be the first to go pharmacies will be looted and manufacturers will stop producing new supplies some may make it through with an understanding of herbal medicines but some may require prescription level doses of medications that truckloads of herbs simply will not provide beyond medication though if you can't set your bone or stitch a wound or tree cuts that may become infected you're at a high risk of succumbing at some point to the aftermath of the disaster others can help you sure but at what cost to you this is where the community you're part of is a significant factor lack of community in the days weeks months after disaster even more will die from a lack of community many fantasize about being a warlord in a dystopic post-catastrophe world where might makes right these are entertaining thoughts perhaps they aren't very realistic lone wolf survivalists who live by the sword will die by its sword as they say it's a community that keeps you alive a network of family friends or a network of neighbors and friends is essential for sharing resources protection and companionship without the sharing of resources protection and companionship it's just a matter of time before the individual runs into a more potent force in opposition defending what they have or seeking to take yours any rebuilding or restructuring also comes about as a result of a community while you could go it alone your chances of survival are significantly reduced you'll find it harder to hold on to what you have you will compete for resources with other groups you'll be forced to hide out and the solitary life may drive you crazy communities create rules and laws agree upon norms share resources disagree and typically move with consensus though a herd has its weakest at the back more evolved animal communities like a wolf pack but they're vulnerable in the middle in this way community members are protecting the weak and fragile safely in the center your post-disaster community can be key to your survival to prevent this from happening build a community of at least a few people before any major disaster strikes there are many like-minded individuals out there you'll find many discussion groups online there may be even a group already established through a church or a club involving yourselves now even at a cursory level can provide you with essential allies when a major national or global disaster strikes we are stronger together the estimates of 90 of the population dying in the first year following a significant grid down disaster probably more accurate when considering location lack of basics medical dependence and a person's lack of community as you develop your preps keep these things in mind strengthen your weakest areas if you're out of shape you need to prep your body to be as reliable as your supplies if you're alone and you're prepping you need to start working towards finding like-minded people start building your mutual assistance group now there's a how-to guide on the cityprepping.com website that i'll link to in the description and comment section below in the comments section below let me know if you think the estimate of 90 mortality and after a catastrophic national disaster is too high or too low how long do you think your preps would last you i read many of the comments and respond to them when i can that's usually within the first hour of releasing the video i can notify you when other videos become available after you subscribe to this channel if you found this video informative and helpful please click on the like button below it helps raise the visibility of this video and build our community it will help a lot as always please stay safe out there

Channel: City Prepping

Views: 155,835

Rating: 4.9563084 out of 5

Keywords: shtf, disaster, survival, grid-down, prepper, preppers, emergency preparedness

Id: 1DV2YzIPYAU

Length: 13min 32sec (812 seconds)

Published: Sun Jan 31 2021