Steve Kornacki looks ahead to the 2024 presidential election

DAVE WEIGLE DOING A LOT OF WORK FOR US TODAY TAKING US THROUGH THE AMERICANA AWARDS. DAVE, THANKS SO MUCH. WE WILL SEE YOU AT THE AFTER PARTY. WE APPRECIATE IT, MAN. THANK YOU. >> THANK YOU. >>> ALL RIGHT. LET'S TURN NOW TO NBC'S STEPH KORNACKI. AS PROMISED, HE'S OVER AT THE BIG BOARD FOR A BREAKDOWN OF WHAT WE CAN EXPECT IN NEXT YEAR'S PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION. >> ALL RIGHT. WELL, WE ARE APPROACHING ONCE EVERY FOUR YEARS THE BIG ONE. THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, YEAR 2024 ALMOST UPON US. LET'S TAKE A LOOK HERE AT HOW POLITICS HAVE KIND OF -- AND HOW THE ELECTION OF 2024'S KIND OF TAKEN SHAPE IN '23 AND THE BIG QUESTIONS WE'RE LOOKING AT AS 2023 KICKS OFF. SO FIRST OF ALL, WHO'S GOING TO BE THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE PRESUMABLY AGAINST JOE BIDEN? AT THE START OF 2023, THIS SEEMED LIKE A VERY UP IN THE AIR QUESTION. YOU CAN SEE THE TREND LINE FOR THE CANDIDATES AND REMEMBER, AT THE START OF '23, REPUBLICANS WERE COMING OFF A PRETTY ROUGH MIDTERM. CANDIDATES WHO HAD BEEN CLOSELY ALIGNED WITH DONALD TRUMP HAD LOST KEY RACES IN 2022. AT THE START OF '23, RON DeSANTIS WAS RUNNING PRETTY CLOSE IN THE POLL AVERAGE TO DONALD TRUMP, AND THEN LOOK WHAT HAPPENED. IT JUST EXPLODED HERE FOR TRUMP AND WENT THE OTHER WAY FOR DeSANTIS. WHAT HAPPENED RIGHT AROUND HERE IN THE COUNTER? THIS WAS WHEN THE FIRST INDICTMENT OF TRUMP CAME DOWN. THE ONE FROM THE MANHATTAN DISTRICT ATTORNEY ALMOST SEEMS TO HAVE TRIGGERED A RALLY AROUND TRUMP EFFECT AMONG REPUBLICANS, AND THAT'S JUST HELD ALL YEAR, THROUGH ALL THE LEGAL DRAMA AND EVERYTHING ELSE THAT'S HAPPENED, AND HERE WE ARE AT THE END OF THE YEAR AND TRUMP JUST, YOU KNOW, LENGTHS AHEAD OF RON DeSANTIS, NIKKI HALEY AND RAMASWAMY, AND CHRISTIE FOR THAT MATTER. WE'LL SEE IN THE EARLY CONTEST IF ANY OF THOSE CANDIDATES WILL BEAT TRUMP, THEY WILL HAVE TO MAKE NOISE. WHETHER IT'S DeSANTIS IN IOWA, HE'LL HAVE TO PLANT HIS FLAG THERE. HALEY IN NEW HAMPSHIRE, SHE'S GOTTEN SOME ENCOURAGING POLLING NEWS THERE. CAN ONE OF THEM BEAT TRUMP IN ONE OF THESE EARLY STATES? OF COURSE, HALEY'S SOUTH CAROLINA WILL PLAY A KEY ROLE AMONG THE EARLY STATES AS WELL. CAN ONE OF THEM BEAT TRUMP IN THE EARLY STATES AND MAKE THIS A RACE? THAT'S WHAT THEY'LL FIND OUT IN THE FIRST SIX WEEKS OR SO OF 2024. HOW ABOUT THE DEMOCRATIC END OF THINGS? JOE BIDEN SEEMS POISED TO BE THE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE. WHAT KIND OF YEAR HAS HE HAD POLITICALLY? HE STARTED 2023 COMING OFF THESE GOOD MIDTERMS FOR DEMOCRATS AND HIS APPROVAL RATING, 46%/50%. HE HAD 47% APPROVAL, AND 50% APPROVAL. HOW DOES THIS COMPARE TO PAST PRESIDENTS ENTERING THE RE-ELECTION YEAR? YOU CAN SEE HERE. HERE'S THE 40% WE ARE AT RIGHT NOW. THESE ARE THE FINAL POLLS HEADING INTO THE RE-ELECTION YEAR. TRUMP GOT BEAT IN 2020. HE WAS AT 44% HEADING INTO HIS RE-ELECTION YEAR. BUSH SR. GOT BEAT IN '92. HE WAS HEADING SOUTH RAPIDLY THERE, BUT YOU CAN SEE HOW THAT NUMBER COMPARES. THAT'S THE LOWEST IN AN NBC POLL FOR AN INCUMBENT FACE A RE-ELECTION YEAR, BUT IT IS A TIGHT RACE WHEN YOU POLL BIDEN VERSUS TRUMP. AT THE START OF THE YEAR IN THE AVERAGE POLLS NATIONALLY, BIDEN HAD A TWO-POINT ADVANTAGE NOW. AT THE END OF THE YEAR, IT IS TRUMP WHO ON AVERAGE HAS A TWO-POINT ADVANTAGE HERE. A VERY, VERY CLOSE RACE OBVIOUSLY, AND WHAT ARE THE CONCERNS OF VOTERS IN THE DYNAMICS WE'LL BE TALKING ABOUT IF THIS RACE DOES MATERIALIZE, JOE BIDEN OF COURSE, IS THE OLDEST PRESIDENT EVER AT THIS POINT, AND HIS PHYSICAL -- HIS FITNESS, HIS AGE GOT THREE IN FOUR VOTERS AND OUR POLLS SAY IT'S A MAJOR OR MODERATE CONCERN. A BIG THING IN '24 WILL BE TRUMP'S LEGAL SITUATION. ARE THERE CONVICTIONS? WHAT GOES ON IN THE COURTROOM FOR HIM? 62% RIGHT NOW SAY THAT'S A MAJOR OR MODERATE CONCERN FOR THEM. WILL THAT NUMBER CHANGE IF THERE'S A CONVICTION? WOD THAT NUMBER CHANGE BASED ON HOW THOSE CASES START TO SORT OUT? BIG QUESTION OBVIOUSLY WE'LL BE FOLLOWING WELL INTO 2024, AND THIS IS INTERESTING TOO. JUST -- THERE IS CLEARLY WHAT THIS QUESTION IS SHOWING HERE, TRUMP WITH JUST A GENERIC DEMOCRAT, TRUMP LOSES. BIDEN LOSES BY DOUBLE DIGITS IF IT'S NOT TRUMP. THERE'S NOT A BIG APPETITE FOR TRUMP VERSUS BIDEN EVEN THOUGH IT SEEMS THAT EACH PARTY AT LEAST AS WE ENTER 2024 IS POISED TO GO IN THAT DIRECTION. THAT LEADS TO THIS POLL. A POLL FROM THE "WALL STREET JOURNAL" RECENTLY INCLUDED A BUNCH OF THIRD PARTY OPTIONS AND AGAINST BIDEN AND TRUMP, THEY ADDED UP TO

Channel: MSNBC

Views: 216,090

Keywords: Joe Scarborough, Willie Geist, Morning Joe, Mika Brzezinski, MSNBC, MSNBC news, MSNBC live, MSNBC TV, news, breaking news, current events, US news, politics, politics news, political news, elections, morning joe full, morning joe live, morning joe today, Steve Kornacki, Steve Kornacki msnbc, 2024 presidential election, 2024 election, election, election news, Republicans, Democrats, Donald Trump, Trump, Joe Biden, Biden

Id: PQyEXRNlNLc

Length: 4min 37sec (277 seconds)

Published: Thu Dec 28 2023