Why did the Falcon 9 Explode?

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so this SpaceX rocket was fueling<font color="#CCCCCC"> then</font> this happens<font color="#E5E5E5"> boom</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> 1,000 2,000 3,000</font> 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 bring the Thunder <font color="#E5E5E5">10,000 speed of sound about 300 meters</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">per second so</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> travels by a kilometer</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">every</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> 3 seconds 10 seconds about</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> 3</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">kilometers to miles away give or take</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">and that rocket cost about 60 million</font> dollars and the satellite which you can see here falling the ground<font color="#CCCCCC"> sometime</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">after the explosion cost about 200</font> million<font color="#E5E5E5"> dollars</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> so</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> that's about a</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">quarter of a billion dollars</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> that just</font> went up in flames there so why did it <font color="#E5E5E5">actually explode let's start with the</font> obvious <font color="#E5E5E5">most rockets explode from the business</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">end that's where the engines are because</font> once<font color="#CCCCCC"> they lit what you've got is the</font> fuel and the<font color="#E5E5E5"> oxidizer</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> communed contact</font> and<font color="#CCCCCC"> that releases a crazy amount</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> of</font> energy and if<font color="#E5E5E5"> that goes wrong</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> that can</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">easily destroy the rocket actually let</font> me step back<font color="#E5E5E5"> a</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> bit further</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> what</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> a rocket</font> does is essentially mix a fuel and an oxidizer which<font color="#E5E5E5"> is usually oxygen and it</font> burns<font color="#E5E5E5"> and gets hot and it expands and</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">it's that expanding gas which pushes the</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">rocket forwards</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> the combustion process</font> is actually<font color="#E5E5E5"> very similar to</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> what</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> happens</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">in your car</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> apartment there you</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> have a</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">fuel air mixture much more dilute</font> version and it's those<font color="#E5E5E5"> burning hot gases</font> expanding which powers<font color="#E5E5E5"> your engine now</font> in your car of course<font color="#E5E5E5"> you</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> just get the</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">oxygen to run the engine from the air</font> but<font color="#CCCCCC"> you can't do</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> that with a rocket</font> because<font color="#E5E5E5"> you just can't get enough</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> oxygen</font> into<font color="#CCCCCC"> your engines</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> so you have to carry</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">it your own concentrated oxygen supply</font> which<font color="#E5E5E5"> usually</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> comes in</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> the form</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> of</font> liquid<font color="#E5E5E5"> oxygen and ballpark numbers a</font> cubic meter<font color="#E5E5E5"> of air contains about the</font> same<font color="#E5E5E5"> oxygen</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> as 200 milliliters of liquid</font> oxygen<font color="#CCCCCC"> so</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> you can carry an awful lot of</font> oxygen<font color="#CCCCCC"> in liquid</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> form</font> now the problem there of course<font color="#E5E5E5"> is</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> that</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">liquid</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">shiny's</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> bloody cold not far off the</font> temperatures<font color="#E5E5E5"> but which nitrogen</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">liquefies the practical up shopping</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">these that you really kind of a greatly</font> pressurized<font color="#E5E5E5"> main tank for the oxygen of</font> the rocket<font color="#CCCCCC"> because it was just</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> way</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> too</font> much<font color="#E5E5E5"> and your rocket needs to be light</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">so you have liquid oxygen in essentially</font> an unpressurized<font color="#E5E5E5"> time there is a slight</font> overpressure in<font color="#CCCCCC"> there but it's not</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> far</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">off what you could blow with your lungs</font> now take pure oxygen gas on its own and it's<font color="#CCCCCC"> not too bad but mix it with</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">anything that will burn</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> say for</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> instance</font> like chicken flesh or cloth and<font color="#E5E5E5"> just</font> give it<font color="#E5E5E5"> an ignition source and it will</font> burn<font color="#E5E5E5"> like</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> crazy and so what I'm going</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> to</font> do first is anything like this<font color="#E5E5E5"> then I'm</font> going to put it<font color="#E5E5E5"> out and then a dunk it</font> into<font color="#E5E5E5"> the oxygen atmosphere</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> just to see</font> what<font color="#E5E5E5"> happens</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> so you'll see when</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> I set it</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">on fire here that it's</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> just a sort of</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">regular cloth so but it's okay yeah</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> I</font> blow it<font color="#E5E5E5"> out</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> and then when I put into</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> the</font> oxygen atmosphere<font color="#E5E5E5"> the whole thing burns</font> up<font color="#E5E5E5"> in seconds and</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> just for</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> that it's all</font> gone<font color="#CCCCCC"> so that's what your clothes would</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">burn like in a pure</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> oxygen</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> atmosphere</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">now what I'm going</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> to do is going to try</font> the same<font color="#CCCCCC"> thing</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> again</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> but something that</font> would sort<font color="#E5E5E5"> of equate to human skin and</font> what I'm going to<font color="#CCCCCC"> use her first proxy is</font> chicken skin<font color="#E5E5E5"> okay so it's more or</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> less</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">the same deal I've just got a a piece of</font> chicken<font color="#E5E5E5"> on the end of a piece of wire so</font> what I'm going<font color="#CCCCCC"> to do is I'm going to</font> emulate<font color="#E5E5E5"> what</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> my burning</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> clothes would</font> look like from just a I'm going<font color="#E5E5E5"> to put a</font> burning splint in there just under<font color="#CCCCCC"> the</font> under the chicken for just a one or two seconds<font color="#CCCCCC"> okay so we'll see what</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> happens</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">blow that out</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> and here we go</font> so as you<font color="#E5E5E5"> can</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> see people</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> would burn</font> really quite amazingly well<font color="#CCCCCC"> and it's the</font> oxygens<font color="#CCCCCC"> basically gone at that point so</font> as you<font color="#E5E5E5"> can</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> see it's a very good</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> thing</font> that<font color="#CCCCCC"> her atmosphere is</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> only</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> 20%</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> oxygen</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">because if it was</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> 100% oxygen</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> smoking</font> wouldn't just be bad for your health<font color="#CCCCCC"> it</font> would be<font color="#E5E5E5"> suicidal and liquid</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> oxygen</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> is a</font> brutally powerful oxidizing age<font color="#E5E5E5"> and this</font> is the cheese puffs let me get the oxygen<font color="#E5E5E5"> in there go ahead</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> and get up hold</font> it<font color="#E5E5E5"> there for a second</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> okay pull back oh</font> wow okay see<font color="#CCCCCC"> see that's why I brought the</font> fire extinguisher as well<font color="#E5E5E5"> sure similarly</font> with petrol<font color="#E5E5E5"> you know gas the stuff that</font> runs<font color="#E5E5E5"> your car on its own it's not too</font> bad<font color="#E5E5E5"> but in air a dilute oxygen</font> atmosphere<font color="#E5E5E5"> it's a horrific</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> fire hazard</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">it's no coincidence that mixing liquid</font> oxygen<font color="#E5E5E5"> and gas kerosene gives you rocket</font> fuel and it's an incredibly energy dense system kerosene and liquid<font color="#E5E5E5"> oxygen was</font> what powered the<font color="#CCCCCC"> first stage of the</font> Saturn<font color="#CCCCCC"> 5 and it's also what powers the</font> SpaceX<font color="#CCCCCC"> Falcon 9</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> rocket however in a</font> rocket it's just stored in two big tanks <font color="#CCCCCC">there is no</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> immediate fire hazard until</font> you mix those two<font color="#E5E5E5"> together which is</font> usually done in the rocket motor<font color="#E5E5E5"> that</font> being said once<font color="#E5E5E5"> fueling has happened the</font> rocket is essentially a giant potential bomb<font color="#E5E5E5"> sitting on the launch pad</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">which is why fueling is typically</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> the</font> last<font color="#E5E5E5"> thing you do before launch and of</font> course you evacuate the pad<font color="#E5E5E5"> while you're</font> doing it<font color="#CCCCCC"> because</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> it's so dangerous</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> if</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">your</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> Rockets are just a massive</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> hazard</font> indeed a fully fueled Saturn<font color="#E5E5E5"> 5</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> contained</font> an equivalent<font color="#CCCCCC"> amount of</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> energy to all</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">the bombs the Allies would typically use</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">to destroy a city in World War</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> 2</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> now</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">fueling a</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> big-ass rocket takes a lot of</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">time so for instance to fuel the space</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">shuttle you had to pump about</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> 700 tons</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">a</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> fuel into</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> that external</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> tank and</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> that</font> took hours<font color="#CCCCCC"> I mean that's the weight of</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">about</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> 35 bigger</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> tanker trucks that had</font> to be emptied<font color="#CCCCCC"> into this rocket</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> and if</font> you<font color="#CCCCCC"> watch fueling</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> of</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> a</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> rocky in</font> time-lapse<font color="#E5E5E5"> you can actually see where</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">the liquid</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> oxygen level is climbing</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> and</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">chilling the rocket causing water</font> condensation<font color="#CCCCCC"> on the</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> outside of the</font> rocket<font color="#E5E5E5"> okay so the rocket</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> on the pad</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> is</font> basically<font color="#E5E5E5"> a giant bomb and clearly while</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">fueling it goes boom but how could it</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">actually go boom you see all you've got</font> at the<font color="#E5E5E5"> moment is two giant tanks one of</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">carotene and one liquid oxygen well</font> clearly the<font color="#CCCCCC"> proponent must have mixed</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> to</font> give<font color="#E5E5E5"> this explosion and when kerosene</font> and oxygen are mix they give<font color="#E5E5E5"> this really</font> red sooty flame which<font color="#CCCCCC"> is quite different</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">from the clear flame that</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> you get</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> from</font> burning hydrogen<font color="#E5E5E5"> and oxygen that's</font> basically the<font color="#E5E5E5"> difference between the</font> exhaust of<font color="#CCCCCC"> the shuttle</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> and the</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> Saturn 5</font> now like I<font color="#E5E5E5"> was saying earlier all a</font> rocket is is<font color="#E5E5E5"> pushing an oxidant and a</font> fuel into a combustion<font color="#E5E5E5"> chamber</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> now there</font> are two key and non-trivial problems with that the first is how do you stop the combustion chamber<font color="#E5E5E5"> from melting</font> because<font color="#CCCCCC"> the flame temperature is</font> typically higher than<font color="#E5E5E5"> any metal you can</font> make it<font color="#E5E5E5"> from and the second</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> problem</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> is</font> you've got a<font color="#E5E5E5"> very high pressure in that</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">combustion chamber so how do you</font> actually<font color="#E5E5E5"> keep pumping liquid into it</font> now the<font color="#CCCCCC"> malting problem is typically</font> overcome by pumping<font color="#E5E5E5"> the cryogenic fuels</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">through tubes in the engine</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> bell</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> there</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">by using your fuel to actually call the</font> rocket motor<font color="#E5E5E5"> and the pumping problem is</font> basically<font color="#CCCCCC"> what makes</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> rocket science</font> rocket<font color="#E5E5E5"> science</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">eat</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> our</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> big-ass turbo pump that requires</font> vast amounts<font color="#CCCCCC"> of energy</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> to run I mean</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> it</font> has to<font color="#E5E5E5"> pump all</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> that fuel that</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> took a</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">couple</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> of hours to pump into the launch</font> vehicle into the<font color="#E5E5E5"> engine</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> belt a</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">high-pressure</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> something that is</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">typically running it liquid oxygen type</font> temperatures in a couple<font color="#E5E5E5"> of minutes</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">typically</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> two to three minutes is the</font> burn time<font color="#CCCCCC"> of most rockets basically it's</font> the engines job<font color="#E5E5E5"> to release all of this</font> energy<font color="#CCCCCC"> in a controlled</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> fashion in a</font> full of minutes<font color="#E5E5E5"> and that's what makes</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">rocket an engineering</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> nightmare</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> the</font> extreme conditions under which these engines one means<font color="#E5E5E5"> that if anything goes</font> wrong<font color="#E5E5E5"> with those pumps</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> this sort of</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">thing can quite easily happen and a</font> failure<font color="#E5E5E5"> occurred</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> involving one engine</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">and shortly thereafter</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> another engine</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">also lost power</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> it was therefore</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">necessary for the Range Safety Officer</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">to destroy the</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> missiles by remote</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">control and</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> the rest is just structural</font> failure of the rocket which<font color="#CCCCCC"> is basically</font> two giant fuel tanks<font color="#E5E5E5"> so back to our</font> SpaceX explosion well clearly<font color="#E5E5E5"> the</font> explosion<font color="#E5E5E5"> doesn't come from</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> the business</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">end well actually not entirely there is</font> a second stage on<font color="#E5E5E5"> this rocket and now it</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">looks like that's where the explosion</font> comes from so a<font color="#E5E5E5"> little chemistry</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> you</font> actually quite a lot of oxygen<font color="#E5E5E5"> to burn</font> kerosene which is why you<font color="#E5E5E5"> need a bigger</font> tank for the liquid<font color="#CCCCCC"> oxygen than for the</font> fuel so ballpark numbers there's a factor of<font color="#E5E5E5"> about a thousand expansion</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">from turning liquid oxygen into gas</font> which is basically true for most<font color="#E5E5E5"> gases</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">and when you burn that with the fuel you</font> get a further<font color="#E5E5E5"> factor of 10 expansion</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">because</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> of the heat so basically</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> a liter</font> of rocket fuel gives you a factor<font color="#CCCCCC"> of</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">about 10,000 expansion in gas</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> ballpark</font> numbers what we<font color="#E5E5E5"> know the size of the</font> rocket it's about<font color="#E5E5E5"> three and</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> a half</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">meters in diameter</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> so we</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> know that the</font> initial fireball size is about<font color="#E5E5E5"> 20 meters</font> about<font color="#E5E5E5"> 20 yards in diameter</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> well if you</font> know the<font color="#CCCCCC"> diameter then you can calculate</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">the volume</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> so about 3,000 cubic</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> meters</font> is<font color="#CCCCCC"> the volume and that fireball was</font> after a factor<font color="#E5E5E5"> of about 10,000 in</font> expansion<font color="#E5E5E5"> so that would have required</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">about a third of a cubic meter of liquid</font> fuels<font color="#E5E5E5"> to be mixed for this explosion</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">keeping me to</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> reserve these sorts of</font> liquids<font color="#E5E5E5"> weighs about a ton so it's about</font> a<font color="#E5E5E5"> third of a ton</font> explosion<font color="#CCCCCC"> it's 300 kilos about the</font> weight of three<font color="#CCCCCC"> people of rocket fuel</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">now that might</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> sound like</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> a</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> lot but it's</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">actually</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> not that</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> much when you consider</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">a rocket like</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> this weighs about</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> 500 tons</font> 400<font color="#E5E5E5"> tons of which is propellant then of</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">that generously maybe</font> one percent of the fuel mixing caused this initial<font color="#E5E5E5"> explosion</font> however those propellants<font color="#CCCCCC"> shouldn't</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> be</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">able</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> to mix until they get into</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> the</font> combustion chamber<font color="#CCCCCC"> so what</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> sort of</font> things<font color="#E5E5E5"> can</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> go wrong</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> that would allow a</font> problem<font color="#E5E5E5"> like</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> this to occur well</font> typically with these things you're <font color="#CCCCCC">looking</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> for a single failure</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> and the</font> most<font color="#CCCCCC"> obvious place</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> waiting at a single</font> failure<font color="#CCCCCC"> that'll mix</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> the two fuels is</font> where the two fuels are in close proximity<font color="#E5E5E5"> separated by a single wall now</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">two obvious thoughts spring to mind</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> the</font> first<font color="#E5E5E5"> is the rocket designs like this</font> the oxygen pipes<font color="#E5E5E5"> typically have to go</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">through the kerosene tank at some point</font> and<font color="#CCCCCC"> host pipes</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> typically have to be</font> straight<font color="#CCCCCC"> kill the high liquid oxygen</font> flow rate needed for big rockets and the Falcon<font color="#CCCCCC"> 9 is a big rocket</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> so basically</font> those<font color="#E5E5E5"> plagues typically</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> Oh straight</font> through the<font color="#E5E5E5"> middle of the kerosene tank</font> and that kerosene will quite happily freeze<font color="#E5E5E5"> at liquid oxygen type</font> temperatures and to aggravate this<font color="#E5E5E5"> the</font> Falcon<font color="#CCCCCC"> 9 chiller</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> kerosene is a trick</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> to</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">make it</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> more dense</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> which means they</font> didn't take up so much space<font color="#CCCCCC"> so your</font> tanks<font color="#E5E5E5"> don't need to be as big it's a</font> sort of weight saving thing for the rocket<font color="#E5E5E5"> now I</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> don't know how the Falcon 9</font> deals with the problems of the<font color="#E5E5E5"> kerosene</font> freezing<font color="#E5E5E5"> let alone on the second stage</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">but it's an obvious point of failure in</font> the valley here would allow<font color="#CCCCCC"> you</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> to get</font> the kerosene<font color="#E5E5E5"> and the oxygen in direct</font> contact so for<font color="#E5E5E5"> instance if you add the</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">kerosene freezing around</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> the Occident</font> lines<font color="#CCCCCC"> they could have stressed and</font> cracked<font color="#CCCCCC"> the fuel tank</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> alternatively a</font> failure in<font color="#CCCCCC"> the oxygen</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> tank or just</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> an</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">leak in the liquid oxygen</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> could cause</font> similar stressing and failure<font color="#E5E5E5"> of the</font> fuel tank<font color="#CCCCCC"> if that liquid oxygen ends up</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">on top of</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> the fuel</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> tank and this is one</font> of<font color="#E5E5E5"> the things that bugs me about people</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">gush over Elon Musk</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> all</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> problems I've</font> talked about here<font color="#E5E5E5"> have been explored in</font> debt and solved long<font color="#E5E5E5"> before he or I were</font> born<font color="#E5E5E5"> but people still get ecstatic</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> over</font> this [Applause] yeah this is<font color="#E5E5E5"> impressive</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> but let's keep</font> this contribution<font color="#E5E5E5"> in perspective</font> I mean recovering a rocket<font color="#CCCCCC"> actually has</font> a lot<font color="#E5E5E5"> of technical drawbacks</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> I mean the</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">first one being is with a rocket you</font> typically<font color="#E5E5E5"> hit your best bang for</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> the</font> buck out<font color="#E5E5E5"> of</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> the last bit of rocket fuel</font> that's<font color="#CCCCCC"> Rockets a typically ninety</font> percent by weight fuel<font color="#E5E5E5"> a rocket engine</font> produces<font color="#CCCCCC"> very effectively</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> constant</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">thrust so</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> typically when you light up</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">your rocket it's only just powerful</font> enough to<font color="#E5E5E5"> lift itself off the ground</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">it's got a very low acceleration when</font> you start<font color="#E5E5E5"> six five four three two</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> one</font> zero all engine running<font color="#E5E5E5"> liftoff we have a</font> liftoff<font color="#E5E5E5"> 32 minutes past</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> the hour liftoff</font> on Apollo 11 then as you burn off progressively more of the fuel the<font color="#E5E5E5"> rocky gets lighter and</font> so it's<font color="#CCCCCC"> your producing constant</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> thrust</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">you get more and more acceleration as</font> the rocket<font color="#E5E5E5"> gets lighter indeed with</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> the</font> Saturn<font color="#CCCCCC"> 5 missions have shut down</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> some of</font> the engines<font color="#E5E5E5"> early because otherwise the</font> acceleration would<font color="#E5E5E5"> have killed the crew</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">well actually</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> maybe not that bad but</font> they<font color="#E5E5E5"> were getting up to 3 G which means</font> 100 kilo person would weigh about<font color="#E5E5E5"> three</font> times<font color="#E5E5E5"> that</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> March and it puts lots more</font> stress on<font color="#E5E5E5"> the rocket and</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> so forth</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> the</font> bottom line is when you burn your last bit of fuel<font color="#CCCCCC"> did you get a lot more speed</font> out<font color="#CCCCCC"> of it than you</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> did for</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> your first</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">bit</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> of fuel now this is of course an</font> advantage<font color="#E5E5E5"> that</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> you lose with the Falcon</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">because you have to save</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> enough fuel in</font> your<font color="#E5E5E5"> rocket to actually decelerate it</font> and stop<font color="#E5E5E5"> it suffering heating but it</font> reinterred the atmosphere and enough fuel<font color="#E5E5E5"> to land it now</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> that's not entirely</font> your face burden in that when the rocket lands<font color="#E5E5E5"> it only weighs</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> 10% of what</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> it did</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">when</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> it took off</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> I mean where it lands</font> it's basically an empty rocket but it's still a disadvantage<font color="#CCCCCC"> and in many ways</font> I'm surprising<font color="#CCCCCC"> go.this</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> the way that</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> nasa</font> did with mars<font color="#E5E5E5"> that</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> you start off with a</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">couple of parachutes and then only light</font> the rockets for the last little<font color="#E5E5E5"> bit</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> of</font> the<font color="#E5E5E5"> journey now</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> it's a payoff for</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> this</font> you do recover your rocket engines which is where it again<font color="#E5E5E5"> gets tricky I mean</font> this is<font color="#E5E5E5"> not the end of the story even if</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">you can recover the engines which</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> isn't</font> a new thing<font color="#E5E5E5"> either</font> the shuttle<font color="#E5E5E5"> was doing this for over 30</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">years</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> now</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> you'll recall earlier that I</font> said that the real<font color="#CCCCCC"> problem with these</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">things</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> these rocket engines</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> was the fuel</font> pump<font color="#E5E5E5"> and I'm not so</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> sure about the</font> economics of<font color="#E5E5E5"> this sure it sounds like a</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">great idea but then again it sounded</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">like a great</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> idea</font> with this space<font color="#E5E5E5"> shuttle and it still so</font> ended<font color="#E5E5E5"> up being one of the</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> most expensive</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">launch vehicles on the market for those</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">who are like rah-rah-rah musk can do</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">anything a nap while they have recovered</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">some</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> of the launch vehicles as of</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> 3/4 of</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">the way</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> through 2016</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">they've never reused n</font> you plus I can't<font color="#E5E5E5"> remember the last time I</font> saw a rocket<font color="#E5E5E5"> blow up while fueling</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">because those problems were solved a</font> long time ago I mean<font color="#CCCCCC"> wiki actually informs me</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> the last</font> time that NASA<font color="#E5E5E5"> had a fuelling explosion</font> with some<font color="#E5E5E5"> 40 years</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> ago</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> the possibility</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">that trouble may develop</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> with the Atlas</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">or the</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> redstone during the countdown</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> or</font> during the take-off is looked squarely in the eye by the astronauts and the engineers behind<font color="#CCCCCC"> project</font> [Music] I mean for<font color="#E5E5E5"> many of the</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> free-enterprise</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">or make space cheap and accessible don't</font> seem to<font color="#E5E5E5"> have realized that sure there</font> may be some<font color="#E5E5E5"> savings to be had by the</font> free market<font color="#CCCCCC"> but</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> organizations like NASA</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">basically wrote the</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> rulebook on this</font> sort of<font color="#E5E5E5"> stuff</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> they would never</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> have</font> allowed<font color="#E5E5E5"> a design like this off the</font> drawing board<font color="#CCCCCC"> where merely</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> making a</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">single mistake</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> in flipping one switch</font> could lead to a<font color="#E5E5E5"> catastrophic failure and</font> loss<font color="#E5E5E5"> of the vehicle Scaled Composites</font> did not emphasize human factors in the design<font color="#E5E5E5"> operational procedures simulator</font> training<font color="#CCCCCC"> or hazard analysis for</font> spaceship<font color="#CCCCCC"> 2 although a spaceship to</font> program personnel said they were<font color="#E5E5E5"> aware</font> that unlocking the feather during transonic flight would<font color="#E5E5E5"> be catastrophic</font> <font color="#CCCCCC">there was no warning</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> caution</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> or</font> limitation in the<font color="#CCCCCC"> spaceship to pilot</font> operating handbook<font color="#E5E5E5"> or on the</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> P fo</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> for</font> test card that specified this<font color="#E5E5E5"> risk</font> in addition human factors was not fully considered in spaceship<font color="#CCCCCC"> 2 training as</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">the simulator did not replicate</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> the</font> vibration and loads nor did pilots train wearing the same flight gear that they were expected<font color="#CCCCCC"> to</font> wear during<font color="#E5E5E5"> actual flights in the</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">vehicle scaled missed opportunities to</font> identify<font color="#E5E5E5"> design</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> and/or operational</font> factors<font color="#E5E5E5"> that could have</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> mitigated the</font> catastrophic<font color="#CCCCCC"> consequences of this single</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">human error although scaled engineers</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">referenced some military standards and</font> FAA circulars because commercial <font color="#CCCCCC">spaceflight</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> is an emerging industry no</font> human factors guidance<font color="#E5E5E5"> currently exists</font> specifically for commercial space <font color="#E5E5E5">operators so yeah this is</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> impressive but</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">it should be kept in perspective as an</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">incremental development</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> in</font><font color="#E5E5E5"> rocket side</font> <font color="#E5E5E5">just like with other concepts of</font> reusable<font color="#E5E5E5"> spacecraft</font><font color="#CCCCCC"> it remains to be</font> seen<font color="#CCCCCC"> if this is going to be a profitable</font> [Music] you you
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Channel: Thunderf00t
Views: 534,195
Rating: 4.3293962 out of 5
Keywords: elon, musk, falcon, rocket, explosion, spacex, motor, internal, fire, satellite, million, boom, philip, mason, thunderf00t, lox, shuttle, nasa, orbit, launch, fuel, fuelling, 60, dollars, pad, facebook, youtube, free, sued, reusable, space, vehicles, cape, Canaveral, fireball, smoke, Boeing, astronaut, complex, Mars, hyperloop, testing, test, unmanned
Id: BPv0VZcvm4Q
Channel Id: undefined
Length: 19min 45sec (1185 seconds)
Published: Thu Sep 08 2016
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