Is U.S. President Biden’s current dream to visit Xi Jinping? We saw Biden himself saying that it might be possible to have a meeting with Xi Jinping in November. Let’s listen to what Biden said. We saw that Biden was stunned for a moment and said that this is possible. But the question arises, if it is necessary , will it be possible next month? Now the White House is planning to say that there will be a visit to Xi Jinping next month , but the mainland is not The main reason why they haven't relented yet is that the United States is the rotating chair of APEC this year . People from all walks of life are paying attention to whether they will use this leaders' meeting to hold the so-called visit to Xi. However, Beijing has not relented yet. The visit to Xi will meet again after a year. Can it be confirmed now after Wang Yi visits the United States ? And now another official mentioned that Biden is looking forward to meeting Xi Jinping , but nothing has been finalized yet. The whole plan will have to wait until Wang Yi visits Washington this month. Only then can we further confirm , but now it seems that China's representatives in the United States, including China's representatives in the United States , have begun to have some contact with these American scholar groups. Now Xie Feng has met with the Chinese and American scholar groups. He hopes that American Chinese experts can assist in U.S.-China relations. What did he say to improve ? He said that he hopes that the United States will have more experts on China issues to strengthen the study of Chinese history and culture , and to assist the improvement and development of Sino-US relations. Will this be one of the slogans that Xi will pay going forward? We now see that the US presidential election will be held next year , and Trump's current trends have also made everyone very concerned about whether Trump is disrupting the US Congress again, and whether Trump is eager to push economic problems to China . See, Trump was once willing to say that he was willing to take over as Speaker of the House of Representatives , but now he has changed. He has instead supported this congressman named Jim Jordan . So it can be seen that Trump has changed three times in October alone. On October 4th, When he said that he had no intention to lead the House of Representatives, on October 5th, he said that he was willing to serve as the speaker of the House of Representatives in the short term. As a result , in less than 3 days on October 6th, he said that he supported Congressman Jim Jordan to take over as speaker. Is it Trump? President Trump is also changing a concept to mess up the U.S. Congress. What is the problem with the U.S. economy ? Does it seem that the pressure from the U.S. is going to be pushed to China? Now it is said that rapid interest rate hikes will increase the number of company failures this year . Bloomberg It was said that the United States will face the problem of bankruptcy. Bloomberg said that the number of bankruptcies is rising at the fastest speed since the epidemic , and whether companies can take on more debt shows that the work of the Federal Reserve has not yet been completed. The decline in U.S. national debt The situation is tragic. How much inventory does China have and how much U.S. debt it can buy will become a focus. Now international finance has said whether the bloodbath of U.S. debt is a Chinese conspiracy. Now experts say this. What do experts say? He said this analyst said there is analysis. The teacher said that there is almost no evidence to show that the recent collapse of the U.S., the world's largest bond market, is related to Chinese entities. The implication is that the U.S. economy does not seem to have much to do with China , including former U.S. Treasury Department officials. He said that he did not agree with the view that geopolitics and tensions would weaken Beijing 's need to buy U.S. debt. On the other hand, including the Federal Reserve, which also analyzed and reported that overall, China has been a net buyer of U.S. dollar assets. In addition , Data also show that data from the U.S. Treasury Department also show that China’s holdings of U.S. government bonds reached a peak in November 2013 , but since then it has sold about $183 billion worth of U.S. government bonds and bought nearly $183 billion in U.S. government bonds. More than 540 billion U.S. dollars of U.S. agency bonds, etc. However, when we look at the U.S. -China relationship, it is not just about economics. Even international geopolitical relations seem to have become a focus. What are you looking at now? What are you looking at? Vietnam now includes people like Biden 9 I just visited Vietnam last month and now there are rumors that Xi Jinping may visit Vietnam in a few weeks at the end of October at the earliest. Now Reuters reports that the Chinese official has not officially announced it yet , but it may be canceled or postponed, but the two sides are already discussing transportation . Has the arrangement process now highlighted Vietnam's strategic position between the United States and China? The strategic position between the United States and China has also increased. Why is Vietnam so important? Let's take a look at it. The four-corner relationship between the United States, China and Russia is very delicate . What kind of confidence does bamboo diplomacy have in not choosing sides? Everyone has discussed that if we look at it from a geopolitical perspective, Vietnam’s strategic position is quite special. It is sandwiched between the United States, China and Russia, so it also makes geopolitics a focus because we We know that the strategy during the Trump era was to win over Vietnam, win over North Korea , and then contain China. However, we have seen that the Biden era has actually changed a bit. Frankly speaking, during the Biden era, it was to abandon North Korea and focus on consolidating South Korea , Japan, Taiwan, and the Philippines. Vietnam has become the last piece of Biden’s geopolitical puzzle in the entire South China Sea region. But do you think it’s really that easy for the United States to seize Vietnam ? Let’s take a look. Mainland China and Vietnam actually cooperate quite well , including the Sino-Vietnamese border with mainland China. A Fangdong high-speed railway has been laid. This was in the news a few days ago. It said that the transportation time from Fangcheng Port in Guangxi to the port in Dongxing City has been shortened from 1 hour to 20 minutes, greatly improving the transportation capacity of the China-Vietnam border goods trade. Now, Xi Jinping In June, he also said that China and Vietnam are like relatives and that it is a good tradition to travel frequently. Therefore, it can be seen that it is not so easy for the United States to get closer to Vietnam. Even when Biden visited Vietnam in September, even the New York Times disclosed that Vietnam in March this year Purchasing weapons from Russia behind the back of the U.S. plan and making secret payments To avoid U.S. sanctions , it seems that the past photos will show that the United States and Vietnam only have friendly relations on the surface. In private, it is now rumored that the Prime Minister of Vietnam even choked Biden. Let’s take a look . This clip is good. This video was leaked after last year’s ASEAN Summit . But now everyone is looking at it. Is it really so easy for the United States to win over Vietnam ? What does Mr. Yang think? Let me talk about Xi Jinping’s visit first. I personally hope that Xi Jinping will pay a visit to Vietnam. The visit was held because Xi Jinping paid a visit last year, which was during the February balloon incident in October and November last year. The American media still calls it a spy balloon . In the meantime, these high-level American officials went to Beijing to visit both sides. The current interaction is that if Xi cannot pay a visit at the APEC summit in November, then it is unlikely that Xi will pay a visit until next year's US presidential election, which is in the first half of November. As the US-China relationship is the most important in the world A set of bilateral relations will lead to confrontation and stalemate , or even problems. Therefore, Xi’s visit is very important, but I think there are three requirements for Xi’s visit . The first requirement is that the United States must do it. You must invite Hong Kong Chief Executive Li Jiachao to attend APEC. As of the day before yesterday, the news reported that he had not accepted the invitation letter for the summit. It is only 6 weeks before the meeting. Normally, it should have been received 2 months and 8 weeks ago . I think the United States must hurry up now. The second one is Wang Yi or maybe Will He Lifeng be able to smoothly visit Washington at the end of October or early November to arrange and plan for Xi's visit ? This is the second element. The third element is that the media is constantly talking about Raimondo's lies and the need to sanction Huawei . Is SMIC right? Because it was too ugly, she actually started selling Huawei's Mate 60 Pro mobile phone when she went to the mainland. Is there a new wave of sanctions in October ? If you have sanctions, you still have to go with the other party. Meeting, right? So these three things, I hope the United States will see the situation clearly. Why? Because Biden now hopes that during the presidential campaign, Sino-US relations can be stable, because it involves the U.S. economic debt, debt, let me tell you. You know a number. In 2008, when Obama came to power , the U.S. national debt , which was the debt issued by the U.S., exceeded 10 trillion U.S. dollars for the first time. At that time, I thought it was incredible. We owed foreigners, that is, the issuance of debt. Let's go buy it . Although about 60% to 70% are purchased by these funds or Americans in the United States , the debt of the US government is as high as 10 trillion. I'm sorry , it didn't reach 31.4 trillion in the middle of this year. It has increased so much from 2008 to 2023. Well , according to bank strategists in the United States, it will probably exceed 50 trillion by 2033. So why did S&P lower the sovereign rating of the United States from AAA to AA+ ? Now, the United States itself , its finance, its debt , The finance is facing a severe test. This number has nothing to do with whether mainland China is buying or not. Instead, it shows that its short-term operation is actually to maintain both in and out. As for Trump, it is a pity. I thought he would make the house great again , but it is a pity that he has to support it. His good friend, the chairman of the Judiciary Committee, Republican conservative Congressman Jordan, but Jordan, he is opposed to the case of aid to Ukraine, so if Jordan becomes speaker, the government will definitely shut down the Ukraine case. This case of Ukraine will be difficult. The two parties in the United States will continue to be divided and the opposition will continue. Captain Lu What do you think? In fact, since 1989 , that is, after the disintegration of the former Soviet Union, the world has become unipolar , that is, the United States is one pole. However, in recent years, China's economy has grown rapidly and Russia wants to restore its former glory, which means that the world is slowly From the BRICS summit, we can see why everyone wants to join the BRICS , because everyone knows that neither the United States nor Russia will work. It’s better to work hand in hand with China and work hard together. As for this bamboo diplomacy, what is Vietnam’s bamboo diplomacy ? In fact, to put it simply, it is to show goodwill to a certain power, but it may shake hands with another power. Let’s see where this appears. Last year, when Vietnam’s General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong visited China on November 12, he upgraded the relationship between the two countries to a comprehensive strategic partnership , which means that the relationship between China and Vietnam has been upgraded. As a result, in September this year When Biden visited Vietnam in March , he also upgraded the relationship between the United States and Vietnam to a comprehensive strategic partnership. What this means is that on the one hand, he is showing goodwill to the mainland and shaking hands with the United States. This means that he cannot offend both sides. Why do he do this because he cannot offend anyone? In fact, let’s talk about this part about arms sales. In fact, there have been rumors before that the United States will export F16 to Vietnam. But first of all , there is nothing to be afraid of. Why is it because F16 is actually about to be introduced in Taiwan now? In fact, the capabilities of the F16 Vyper are roughly equivalent to those of the J-10. The People's Liberation Army has already known about this during military exercises with its allies. But what is the arms sale itself ? In fact, it is a subordinate of a small country to a big country. That is to say, once arms sales change, it actually involves a wide range. So generally speaking, what we see now is Vietnam. It turned out to be buying from Russia. If it starts buying from the United States, it will actually be a big shift in its strategy. I want to ask Brother Bing what to think about Biden 's situation. I think it is of course possible for them to meet now , but you also need to create a situation where both parties can The meeting has such an atmosphere , but I think Biden really wants to meet Xi Jinping this year . From the beginning of the year to now, it is already October. You see, on average, you will hear every one or two weeks that I am about to meet with Xi Jinping , and I keep talking about you . If you really want to meet, you need to create good conditions so that the differences between the United States and China are reduced, and then you show goodwill to mainland China to cool down the tension between the two sides. Then we will meet. If you say that you have to continue to create tension. If Li Jiachao is not even allowed to go, then may I ask why Xi Jinping from mainland China wants to meet with you? I really can’t think of a reason why Xi Jinping wants to meet with you, because the last time I met with you in Bali, everyone made an agreement , and after going back, you completely If you don't follow the instructions , you will completely overturn your own promise, so this will make people not want to see you. I think the United States has enough internal affairs now and has made it a mess. Trump, this guy, comes out to mess around again. In fact, this is You know, one of the bugs in their House of Representatives is that it does not clearly state that you must be a member of the House of Representatives to be the speaker, so Trump actually wants to be here. I really think he is enough. Fortunately, he didn't make this big joke, otherwise it would be like ours. Wouldn't it be funnier for the Legislative Yuan to appoint someone who is not a legislator to serve as speaker? So I think it's really good that no such embarrassing thing has happened , but the United States currently has many internal problems . The two parties are fighting endlessly , and the government may shut down again at any time , because this time it is only extended for 45 days. I don’t know what will happen next. If Ukraine’s current war situation falls into this situation again, if the United States cuts off its aid to it, Ukraine will actually It's tragic , so these things need to be resolved quickly and boldly . With Biden's personality, I think it will be difficult to figure it out. As for Vietnam, to be honest, Vietnam must try its best to maximize its national interests. It’s just that simple. If China is good to me, of course I’ll pay for it. If the United States is willing to give me something, that’s fine with me . Russia is its long-term ally. As for what the United States is saying now that it has discovered that it wants to secretly buy weapons from Russia. Please tell me, Vietnam will not follow. When Russia buys weapons, who does it want to buy weapons from? Does it buy weapons from you, the United States? When it buys weapons from the United States, it wants to replace its entire weapon system. It simply does not have such maintenance and energy, and this maintenance energy. Everything needs to be rebuilt. What do you think? Does Vietnam have to spend so much money? Is it necessary to do this? So I think the United States is too naive to think that if it spends a little money or gives Vietnam a little sweetness, Vietnam will fall over there . It’s not like Vietnam has never eaten you Americans . How could it easily be fooled by you? It’s a good advertisement. After we come back, we continue to discuss. I am Luo Wangzhe. We continue to discuss what the economic struggle in the Americas is like. Now it includes the alleged support of the Russian military and now the United States is listed. The U.S. Department of Commerce has added 42 mainland Chinese companies to the government’s export control list because it is said that these mainland companies provide support to Moscow’s military and defense industrial base , including supplying the United States to Russia. However, the Chinese Embassy in Washington , including the Chinese Embassy in Washington , has not expressed any opinions yet. Now the United States is going to introduce new regulations to prevent the chip manufacturing equipment from being sold to the mainland . Reuters quoted the government announcement . People familiar with the matter reported that the latest control order on chip equipment exported by the United States to China has entered the final review stage, indicating that the Biden administration will soon tighten restrictions on China's chip field . In addition, the mainland's national security department said that the United States' technology war has Victory will fade away , but the risks to technology and national security will become more serious , because now Huawei may embarrass Biden. How can I put it? Because the final outcome of the chip sanctions has been exposed , how will the United States end up being abandoned ? So you see At present, experts point out that highlighting the loopholes in the chip sanctions may cause the United States to lose the trust of its allies and even weaken the allies ' willingness to continue jointly sanctioning the mainland. This is the biggest crisis of U.S. sanctions , and now includes this manager and expert from an international research institution. He also said that the victory of Huawei chips proves that the US sanctions on mainland China are quite foolish. If the ambition of US-China decoupling becomes greater , export control measures must be deeper , but few countries will completely shut out mainland China. Therefore, Could it be that Biden hasn't learned to learn from his lessons yet? Now Xi Jinping is just watching Biden with a cold eye while imposing various sanctions on the United States. Now, is it true that the sanctions are useless ? The Wall Street Journal also pointed out that this SMIC He said that although the U.S. Department of Commerce has put SMIC on the Entity List , Washington has not banned U.S. companies from doing business with SMIC . How could it be like this ? So is the United States a little embarrassed? In addition, the vice president of Qualcomm also said that he hopes to see SMIC build a foundry for manufacturing chips in the United States one day . Now in order to allow Huawei to break through. This RISC-V structure has become a new battlefield for the technological competition between the United States and China. So what is RISC-V? The main reason is that it is a The competitive systems of ARM architecture are mainly open source technologies, which can be used as a key element from smart phone chips to advanced processors for artificial intelligence. Reuters also reported that Huawei executives considered this RISC-funded chip development in mainland China to be independent. V will officially become a new front in the U.S.-China technology war. U.S. congressmen are now also putting pressure on Biden. What do officials say? He said he would limit U.S. companies’ investment. This chip technology, which has been widely used in China and can be obtained for free, now includes Some cross-party U.S. and German cross-party congressmen also said that if you stop using Huawei components, it would be short-sighted and fatal. However, Deutsche Bahn retorted that the government did not warn them not to use it. He said that the German government did not directly Even though they warned , they did not give the correct advice to avoid using Huawei, so the German high-speed railway company still continues to use it because they think that Germany is simply playing two sides. In addition, is Huawei going to pursue the victory and who is going to pursue Tesla ? Because now Huawei is also going to launch a so-called electric car. Now Huawei is going to launch this fully liquid-cooled supercharger. The maximum output power can reach 600 kilowatts. It is said that it can charge for 1 km in 1 second and can charge as fast as refueling. To put it simply, the experience is that with a cup of coffee, the car can be fully charged and set off. Charging is available wherever there is road. It sounds much more convenient than Tesla . Now it includes some Huawei -related equipment and research and development . What else should be developed, including electric vehicles like these in the industry ? It is said that daily new orders exceeded 2,000 units from October 1st to 5th, and even reached a record high of 3,500 units on October 5th. It is really true . It is still very popular and sells well. In addition, let’s look at the headset part. This Huawei’s new headset is now fully available. It has been connected to the core technology of Starlight connection and Bluetooth technology. The headset is paired with the Kirin A2 chip. The powerful core is hard-core and it can be said to bring full-core and It seems that the lossless sound quality may indeed cause some sensation once it is launched. Now, because of the Golden Week of the National Day in Mainland China, Huawei has also cited Apple as a mobile phone to detonate the market. It has launched popular models for shipment , but it is still far away. Because we know that it is so popular now that Huawei's problem is even more difficult to find than Apple's in mainland China. Now the staff at Huawei's stores pointed out that only Mate 60 is in stock. If you want to buy Mate 60 PRO or PRO plus It’s out of stock and we still have to make reservations. When will it arrive? Audiences, you still have to wait. What can I say ? Because Huawei’s mobile phone sales are now 100 billion, which will drive the GDP of mainland China to nearly 1 trillion. Is there really so much? Mr. Yang What do you think? In 2010, mainland China surpassed Japan and became the world's second largest economy. At that time, Japan's GDP was close to 5 trillion. Now it is still 5 trillion , but mainland China has exceeded 18 trillion. In 2015, mainland China proposed Made in China 2025. Remember, we need to go from a manufacturing power to a manufacturing power by 2025. But because Trump was fighting a trade war in 2018, the Beijing government didn’t talk much about it. But by 2020, when Huawei was sanctioned, they actually understood that this path must be inevitable. You may not need to make a big announcement if you want to go forward , but in 2018, we proposed a standard called China Standard 2035, which means that we hope that by 2035, the standards of the entire manufacturing industry will be dominated by China. So now you can see that when Huawei ’s Mate 60 Pro comes out in 2023 After being sanctioned for three years, it began to overtake in corners. So in fact, if you look at the sanctions imposed on other countries , especially on technology like mainland China, in fact, you only make it more determined to follow its own path , and it is very clear. Every country has proposed the Fourth Industrial Revolution, which is the next stage of industrial and economic development in the next 10 years, regarding their own situation. This is Japan, Germany, the United States, Taiwan, etc., right? Mainland China, Made in China 2025, etc. Why does the United States want to challenge the hegemony of the United States ? But now Huawei tells us that it is going to a place that we can’t imagine. It is not just a mobile phone, it is not just a car. It is moving towards comprehensive intelligence, including food, clothing , housing and transportation. It is comprehensive intelligence. What does it mean ? Artificial intelligence is All Intelligence. From the Internet of Things to the Internet to everything connected, in the future, all things with electronic signs can be connected , creating a new technological environment, new economic development, and new applications. Cities are new human living and usage habits , and the prerequisite for this is to have some equipment and some solutions to support these things. Huawei is at the forefront. I think it actually makes us think about what we will face in the future. The challenge is Captain Lu, what do you think about US Secretary of Commerce Raimondo’s visit to the mainland from August 27 to August 30 ? In fact, this may be her biggest nightmare during her tenure. Why is she used in many Huawei photos because she has become Huawei’s best spokesperson? The most important thing is that every time she attends a hearing, she actually has nothing to do about Huawei. For example, on September 20, she said in the hearing that there was no evidence to show that Huawei Can mass-produce 7-nanometer chips? Now there is another saying that 14-nanometer chips can achieve the performance of 5-nanometer. Is this a breakthrough that the United States can imagine? In addition, she recently appeared before the Senate Commerce Committee on October 4. in During the hearing, she talked about how Huawei was unbelievable and disturbing. She continued to help Huawei advertise the RISC-V format she just talked about, which meant that people were no longer willing to pay for a related provider . The source of the operating system is that everyone joins this open system . When an open system is most beneficial to who is most beneficial , it is the third party we talked about. The intervention of the third system is the mainland system . So if we follow the current theory, it is When this system has slowly been standardized, it actually appeared in 2010. In other words, if everyone gradually uses this system , within 1 to 2 years, there will be mobile phones that actually use this source code . It must be said that now everyone is standing firm , that is, the U.S. Department of Commerce requires 42 more entities to control 42 Chinese companies. The more controls there are, the more control there is. Why is it because Russia now uses commercial regulations and spot goods? It buys commercial products and then uses them for military purposes. You continue to control like this. As a result, which countries do you control ? Now you control Finland, Germany, India, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates, and the United Kingdom. All of them are controlled by these countries. This is what this is. You have established a strong wall and cleared the country . It has gradually become useless. Finally, let me ask for advice. Brother , I think the United States is sanctioning this mainland Chinese company. To be honest, in my opinion, these are all excuses. If you want to sanction it because of this , do you know that the drones used by Russia recently are also those made by Iran ? Once the machine is disassembled, all the parts inside are made in Europe and the United States. Do you want to sanction all these European and American companies ? Why don't you impose sanctions ? So I think this is just making excuses. But in the United States, when you have been doing this, can you really ask ? Want to meet Xi Jinping? Isn’t this weird? I’ve never understood what the United States is doing. It’s self-contradictory . You’re looking forward to meeting him , and then you’re wondering how on earth you’re going to meet him. I think this is I don’t understand what Americans are thinking. As for whether Huawei will really embarrass Biden this time , of course it’s a bit exaggerated. In fact, of course Huawei’s creation was beyond their expectations , but it’s not as serious as this. But the problem is that if you continue to blockade China , but China will not die after you block it, it will always be able to make progress in chips, and you may even force it to produce an industrial chain on its own. After that, will the allies of the United States do that? You will feel that it is meaningless for me to stand with you because you can't block it. You can't block it. In the end, who loses is my business. I have no way to do business with it . So why should I? If you follow the United States in doing this, it’s not really killing it. Indeed, the professor just mentioned that the visit to Xi Jinping seems to be in spring. I don’t know, but the current news is indeed getting more and more reasonable. I will meet with Xi Jinping in November. Will a meeting happen? Biden said it was possible. This was reported by a foreign media but was alleged by an anonymous U.S. official, saying that the two are quite certain that they will meet. Although the two sides have not officially announced it, the United States has begun preparations. Beijing has confirmed it so far. The position has not been relaxed yet. We don’t know when and how we will meet. However , there are still many competitions going on between China and the United States before the meeting, including the South China Sea , especially Vietnam and the Philippines. Biden just arrived in September, didn’t he? Now Xi Jinping is the fastest rumored I am also going to visit Vietnam in October , and it is such a high-level visit for a country . Because Reuters reported that China sent a team to Hanoi and arranged a delegation with 800 rooms. This number is similar to that of a country visit. The specifications are consistent , and Wang Yi is scheduled to visit Hanoi around mid-October to help finalize the joint statement. Is China trying to win over Vietnam and the United States? Didn’t Biden just pull his shoulders and tell everyone that during the visit in September, the two countries said they would work on semiconductors? After signing the agreement on key minerals, we told everyone that we have a comprehensive strategic partnership. The United States and Vietnam, but the Vietnamese Deputy Prime Minister Chen Liuguang who hosted him at the time said that when he met Wang Yi before Biden’s visit, he said that China is important to Vietnam. On June 25, the 10th anniversary of the US-Vietnam strategic partnership was incomparable . The USS Ronald Reagan docked in Da Nang. This was the first time in five years that a US aircraft carrier visited Vietnam . The US wanted to show its friendship with Vietnam , but with China Relations now seem to be competing with each other . Of course, the Philippines is now a place where conflicts and risks are relatively high. It is reported that a ship in the Philippines once again confronted a Chinese ship. When a Philippine supply ship was conducting a routine supply mission in the Nansha Islands , this is based on There was a report on the 6th that the closest distance between the two sides was less than 1 meter. The confrontation lasted for 8 hours before the Philippine ship finally successfully entered the route. The original route. A BBC reporter on the ship at the time said he witnessed the confrontation . The report said that the Chinese ship was larger than the Philippine ship. The boat was more than five times larger and had such specifications. At that time, a confrontation arose, and the United States and the Philippines considered this ship to be an absolute battleground for important military battles near the relevant Scarborough Shoal. The current deployment is like this, because this time The so-called concerted effort exercise is carried out by the United States and the Philippines. It is only about 340 kilometers away from the Scarborough Shoal in the south of Luzon Island. The Philippines' Scarborough Shoal is like this. Both sides are currently engaged in exercises and deployments or many confrontations between these ships. nearby The Philippine and Australian wave drills at the end of August were also in this place . So at the end of September, Marcos specifically ordered to remove all Chinese floating vessels near Scarborough Shoal. It is true that in the short term , the US-China Philippine South China Sea will focus on Scarborough Shoal. Any obstacles that may affect the exercise must be cleared first. This is the case in the Philippines and Vietnam. But what about the strategy? The US strategy has transformed the scale and organization of anti-terrorism operations in the Middle East into what it can do to deal with the Chinese threat. The Middle East is no longer scary. Is n't it counter-terrorism? The Pentagon plans to reduce the size of the Army's special operations forces and devote more resources to conflicts with equal-sized opponents. The conventional forces that are needed in conflicts seem to have been moved to counter-terrorism. So when the United States seems to be about to meet , but it again When the scale of the budget and confrontation escalates to China, this so-called South Pacific pivot will attract special attention , because the U.S. Congress was not just in a mess, but now it has to elect a new party or the head of the Congress. When the speaker was there, he didn’t know what would happen . The acting is still a mess , but the budget dispute is only temporarily alleviated. I don’t know what will happen to the budget in the future , but the interim budget passed does not include the Pacific Island countries ’ budget. The interim appropriation bill does not include funding approval. Countries such as Palau, Microsia , the Marshall Islands, etc., the United States promised to give them budgets , so these countries are now jumping on the bandwagon . According to the American political magazine, Beijing is trying to build hotels, casinos, etc. in these places to attract the Paluan people. Are you opposed to the U.S. plan to build an early warning radar ? So if the U.S. can’t provide money at this time, can China cooperate on a large scale ? The same is true for Australia’s relationship. It is said that trade between China and Australia has stabilized. Count Australian cotton in August. The statistics are amazing. Exports to the mainland have resumed immediately, hitting a nine-year high . This is different from the restricted situation of red wine and various lobsters in the past. Now, the export volume is 61,319 tons worth 130 million. Of course, the Australian government is happy, so the Australian government made a study on the role of China in decoupling some time ago. Three internal studies in 8 years have determined that decoupling from China is an impossible task. Australia cannot compete with China. Decoupling , so General Shuai, when we see this military deployment, the South China Sea and the Philippines, of course, there have been more conflicts recently, how do we look at the strategies of both sides? First, the United States is also very clear that China’s most important economic measure is the Belt and Road Initiative, and the land railway is almost there. Now it is necessary to open up the Maritime Silk Road . In addition to strengthening the military deployment of the Indo-Pacific Command , it is also fighting for the Philippines and Vietnam , because this can also be stuck at the door of the Belt and Road Initiative , but these two This country has not allowed the US military to station, so why would mainland China go to Vietnam to meet ? Because Vietnam has the longest coastline in the South China Sea and it does conflict with mainland China's nine-dash line. Basically, Vietnam has interests in small islands. Communist countries have very good relations with mainland China. China also has a huge market, so Xi Jinping went to visit Vietnam purely to prevent the United States from poaching employees. The Philippines is not worth doing this because if Vietnam is won over by China, it will occupy the South China Sea. It is easier to sign a code of action . The Philippines is a small country , so this is where the United States is conducting military exercises and it wants bases. In fact, in terms of China's military strength, these do not pose a threat . It is just a situation where everyone competes with each other in diplomacy. Therefore, it is meaningless for the Philippines to participate in the US military exercise. With more than 2,000 people in the military exercise, the Philippines has nothing to do with it. It has neither modern aircraft nor modern ships. You don’t know what to do with it. So this problem is in China’s eyes. Among them , the weight of Vietnam is greater than that of Vietnam. Another thing, Xi Bai, is that professor just made it very clear that maintaining relations between countries is the most important. Do you see why Australia is turning to Europe now? Why is Europe also turning to Europe? The most funny thing It is Germany. Its defense minister said that it would launch a powerful missile against China , the Taurus, which can hit Russia. He went to mainland China with his merchant ships and talked about it. The four major industries are investing in Xinjiang, so the economy is an important factor in building international relations. No one is there. You can't live with money. Look at those who talk about democracy, freedom, human rights, etc. It's all air. It's just scattered on the banknotes, right? Because the country must have an economy to feed its people. Protecting the security of the country and the economy are the fundamentals of everything. No, so why do you think Biden is going to meet with Xi Jinping? I tell you that the United States must keep everything under its own control. Economic warfare, technological warfare, and its effects are gradually derived. It can be discussed, attacked or defended, and nothing big will happen. The same goes for economic operations. Only military operations cannot be risky. So what Biden wants is to be able to control. That is to say, the guardrails of military operation guidelines with the mainland are the focus of discussion. The second goal is to increase his prestige in domestic elections. Today, again We have encountered a big problem. Trump said that I want to be the speaker. Has he changed his mind again? Maybe... Because this is the United States. The Constitution of the United States stipulates that all citizens can be him. If he becomes, Biden will be embarrassed, right ? Can we still provide military aid to Ukraine? Do you still have money for the South Pacific? We owe a lot of national debt and have not done any basic projects. Biden is really struggling right now . This political situation is still in chaos. Let me emphasize one concept to everyone : all international relations, no matter how big or small, they serve the interests of their own countries. It is a matter of course that there is nothing to say, let alone There is nothing moral. Once we make friends, they are forever. They are fixed allies. Friendship is eternal. This is all nonsense and has no real value. Big countries are the exception. Small countries are like this. For example, if I emphasize Xi Jinping first, APEC will be possible in November. The main reason for going to San Francisco is that the media has been constantly talking about it , and mainland officials Wang Yi or Xie Feng have not expressed any opposition to the United States. The main reason is that the United States really needs to have a good talk with the mainland. Let’s talk about it, because when 2024 comes next, it will be an election year. Everyone will know that Trump is eyeing it now. Trump’s words at present have passed the test of the judiciary , and then in the test of the parliament, various problems have arisen. Then, bye. So far, the results are very, very low and I can’t get any results. I’m not too old. And what everyone is most worried about is not that Biden won’t work. If Biden doesn’t work, he will be replaced by He Jinli. That’s really worrying. Now the number three person is It has been removed and gone. The United States is basically still electing. I don’t know who it is. There is only an 80-year-old man working there . In addition, about Vietnam, Vietnam is actually quite special among small countries because Vietnam itself is actually different from the United States. When it comes to Vietnam itself, when it comes to doing this, Vietnam was originally leaning towards Russia. This was during the former Soviet Union, but Vietnam has a coastline of more than 3,000 kilometers. So when it comes to this issue, the United States feels that Vietnam and India can play a very good role. The Philippines actually plays a role . If you don’t have any characters, you just shout out there. But I think everyone can see this very clearly in the South Pacific. For example, you mentioned Palau , Micronesia and the Marshall Islands here. They all see a very clear point, which is that if you bring money from the United States, everything will be easy to negotiate . Clinton once said that the problem of fools is that in the economy , you have to ask me to do this or that thing, right? No, you can’t just teach me a lesson, the Prime Minister of the Marshall Islands said, you can’t just teach me a lesson. After you finish teaching me, you have to take the money. What’s the benefit? Right... You have no benefit now. The money is gone. The United States now has a problem. The debt it owes is very big. To the United States I don’t even know how to clean up the debt that the United States has incurred, and no one wants it . If the United States delays the payment, it is natural . For the mainland, I don’t necessarily have to give you money directly , but I have infrastructure . If it is under construction, I think what the media said by naming it actually contains a sense of value, which is to give you a sense of value to judge whether a hotel is good or not , but when it comes to casinos, don’t Americans themselves know that Las Vegas casinos can make money? As far as these island countries themselves are concerned , in addition to beautiful scenery and really good mountains and rivers, they basically have casinos , fun, and tourism development. These countries are very worried that the island will disappear if the climate changes, right ? So they have their concerns, so in this kind of The situation in Australia is the simplest. The situation in Australia is the most practical. The truth is that we can no longer follow the Five Eyes Alliance and continue to play. Australia itself has a land as big as Australia with only more than 20 million people. What a joke, right? Australia's economic development so far is the most critical to it , because of course Pacific countries like these have not yet been able to get Ukraine, and they are still waiting to be fed by various wars. If everything goes on like this, of course it will be a huge burden on the US finances. Therefore, how the confrontation between China and the United States will develop next will have a very critical factor here. In fact, in the confrontation between China and the United States in the South China Sea, they are very smart. In fact, Southeast Asian countries have always adopted a method called hedging in English. They just do not choose sides. Lee Kuan Yew is very simple . It is called not choosing sides , but the concept of hedging has many definitions. But if we just look at Vietnam and the Philippines, we can see that they are very smart in moving between the two powers. Rather than saying that both powers are playing one, it is better to say that they are playing two. Why ? Let’s talk about the first one. Let’s look at what the United States wants to upgrade this time with Vietnam . From strategic partnership to comprehensive strategic partnership. China and Vietnam have been comprehensive strategic partners for 15 years. China and Vietnam have been comprehensive strategic partners for 15 years . So China and Vietnam have been comprehensive strategic partners for 15 years. Establishing a comprehensive strategic partnership. The United States also wants Vietnam to come together. Therefore, the United States and China both want to be comprehensive strategic partners. Just now, the two advanced leaders made it very clear that there was a naval battle between China and Vietnam. There was a naval battle at Chigua Reef and the Vietnamese army . Many people have died. If there is such deep hatred, will he still establish a comprehensive strategic partnership with mainland China? This is a question about the United States . During the Vietnam War, Vietnam and the United States were incompatible. So if there is some small hatred between the two powers, why? Vietnam is still calling for the establishment of this so-called comprehensive strategic partnership. It turns out that in Southeast Asian countries, they are very smart. They know how to maintain a very balanced role between two elephants and how to be a shrimp between two whales. Shrimp that won't be crushed to death is something that Vietnam and the Philippines are very good at. Let's look at the Philippines. Does it feel like the Philippines is being bullied by China again on Huangyan Island? In fact, that's not necessarily the case . Of course, there are some conflicts on Huangyan Island . Yes, now Little Marcos He said that some things that prevent them from fishing should be dismantled. In fact, there was love and hatred between China and the Philippines in the past . We know that during the Duterte period, he also said that the Philippines would not hesitate to fight for the Scarborough Shoal . But he also added but We can't beat the book , but those who understand current affairs are heroes . But what did he sign with mainland China? During the Duterte period, he talked about joint development and put aside disputes. So they made a declaration on joint development of South China Sea natural gas and oil and gas . It was only later. Because the interests are not aligned, why is it because the Philippine constitution stipulates that the Philippines must get 60% of any resources. But at that time, Beijing said that if we develop with you, I will get more than 49% , which is more than that. So this later development was eliminated during the Duterte period. It’s over . But what was the first thing Marcos did after he came to power ? He went to Beijing in January this year to talk about what we could continue to discuss about joint oil and gas development. He later said that he wanted to borrow troops from the United States. Isn't it a bit of a logical contradiction to do exercises to show muscles ? In fact, they are very smart. The Philippines is also using these two strategies. It also wants to use the United States to show in the South China Sea that they have to stick to their own position. Why is the president of the Philippines elected by the people ? If you are too weak, the people of the Philippines will be angry. But it also wants a market as big as mainland China. So we see that the only difference between the Philippines and Vietnam is the system of Vietnam that the general just talked about. It is a communist system , so it is very good with the Communist Party of China, so they are politically very hot , but there are still some emotional entanglements among their people. There are also a lot of Chinese people. Next, let’s take a look at the disputes between India and Canada . It may be interesting from the perspective of a bystander , but it may not be so interesting to the authorities. Of course , the diplomatic conflict between India and Canada came from Trudeau publicly accusing the other party of shooting a local citizen in his territory. Now India has strong demands . Canada is about to give it a deadline of October 10th to reduce the number of Canadian diplomats in India by 41 out of the 62 diplomats. What did Trudeau do? He did it obediently and silently put forward the relevant information . After the personnel were evacuated , some concessions were made directly to the diplomatic immunity. However, when the Prime Minister and the Canadian Prime Minister of Canada hurriedly called the British Prime Minister Sunak, he meant to help us, so what? But Sunak only told Trudeau reiterated his position that he hopes to see an easing of tensions between India and Canada . The British statement said that it did not mean to help him. The official version said that we must support the principles of the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations. Everyone has a country. Sovereignty and legal system , why did the United States keep a distance from Trudeau this time even though they did not support him ? Because the United States knows that India is at the center of the Indo-Pacific, unlike the ASEAN and Middle Eastern countries, it needs four eyes to tell the maverick fifth. After calming down , Modi has no intention of giving in in the dispute with Canada. He insists on staying the course. The embarrassing thing is Trudeau. Pentagon spokesman Ryder directly said that we very much appreciate the defense cooperation relationship between us and India. Maybe we can also To continue this kind of defense partnership , Trudeau had to quietly give in. However, the impact domestically and internationally is still intensifying . The Canadian media now reports a lot of unfriendly and even negative reports on him. Among them, the Prime Minister is very good at vacationing. He went to the United States for Easter vacation in April this year and spent 200,000 Canadian dollars. The amount reported in Canadian dollars was 28,000 and was kicked out . This is not the first time. The same amount was spent in 2016. It felt like he spent 270,000 Canadian dollars using our people’s tax money and he still went directly to their prime minister for vacation , which caused a lot of conflicts and even internal backlash. However, the Liberal Party MP Macdonald ’s public speech said that people told me that he Can't afford groceries, can't afford to heat our homes in this economic downturn and stress, everyone is raising the prices , but Trudeau is skiing with his friends at the gorgeous Big Sky Resort while people are shivering. So there is a video to tell you. This is a video we found from the foreign media. When Trudeau went to talk to the people, people choked him. Because the prime minister wanted to shake hands with the people, he was told, "I don't want to shake hands with you because you are just a piece of shit." It’s hard to say, it’s embarrassing, but Trudeau’s embarrassment goes beyond that. When the new Canadian Speaker of the House of Speakers was elected, Fergus was the first black person to hold this position, and he was very unique in terms of race. He specifically told everyone to please treat me like a new car, okay? Don't mess with me because I made a dent in him on the first day, so I hope everyone can respect that he is the speaker now , but let's watch a snippet. How did Trudeau respond to him in the picture ? After the speaker finished speaking, he wanted to be respected. Did he show respect by blinking his eyes or even sticking out his tongue ? This blinking and sticking out tongue represents respect for the Speaker. He said that it means that a good mood is not affected. But is this so-called respect funny ? It has become a joke in the local media. This is two sides of the same coin. So when Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau supports The degree has plummeted straight down. According to the survey, the proportion of the Conservative Party that hopes to see Pierre from the Conservative Party as prime minister is as high as 40%. If he votes today, Trudeau will only get 30% of the support. Trudeau will even get 30% of the support. Ranked by the Canadian media as the worst Canadian Prime Minister in 50 years, what does Professor Yuan think of the Indo-Canada conflict ? This really needs a little background to describe. I once used this case in class and told my students that what we are talking about is Can the values of democracy, human rights and freedoms that are promoted be sacrificed for geopolitical interests ? This is what I am talking about. Trudeau himself is very naive, almost to the point of ignorance , because Modi of India is convening the G20 summit. Before, he had basically forgotten that when Modi gave a speech in the U.S. Congress, the U.S. congressmen stood up and applauded 15 times for no reason. Modi thought it was so extraordinary that the invitation letter for the entire G20 summit did not call India Bala. This is called Bharat. India itself is called Bharat. Hinduism claims to be called India. Therefore, I feel that the biggest enemy of Hinduism is Sikhism. If Sikhism is the biggest enemy, India suppressed Sikhism in 1984. You can check this. The history is very intense . When Trudeau attended the G20 summit , he was very happy to tell Modi that it was very possible for you and we had solid evidence to send agents to kill one of our Canadian citizens in Canada. He killed him. This citizen is a Sikh religious leader who just gave a speech, right? His name is Nijjar. The Nijjar himself was killed by this Indian agent and the Five Eyes Alliance told us what is the value of democracy, human rights and freedom. Then among the countries in the Five Eyes Alliance, a Canadian citizen was killed in the street by Indian faction. He thought on the spot that it was the result of Modi's inability to explain. In fact, the result was that Trudeau had a very lonely week. The UK did not support the United States. Supporting Australia and New Zealand, they didn’t dare to take a stand and then actually told him to tolerate it. When India saw this, it was so outrageous that they yelled and cursed . They cut off diplomatic relations and stopped Canadians from coming to India. As a result, more than 40 diplomats were expelled and two-thirds of them were expelled. This is such an outrageous thing that everyone in Canada got out of here . Then I saw a lot of reports about how Canada felt at that time. Many people don’t understand it. They think that because the information Trudeau got was given to him by the United States , he thought the United States would support him. As a result, the United States not only failed to support him, but the United States finally told him that I will tell you clearly. You have to be patient . We need India. Why do we need India? Because the United States needs India to resist China. The United States will find India the most useful. India also has 1.4 billion people, and so does China. If 1.4 billion people can resist China, what does it matter to you, Canada? You, Canada, can speak for itself. Otherwise, Trudeau has caused a lot of scandals. Why does this speaker need to be replaced by this Fergus ? Why does he need to change this speaker to come on stage to make a The black people came out because the previous speaker was because at that time at the G20 summit, Zelensky was not the Ukrainian president. When he went to Canada, he welcomed the Ukrainian veterans. It turned out that the veteran was a murderer in the Nazi 14th Division and Zelensky was unblinking . Since I am a Jew, Trudeau himself also applauded and talked for a long time. Later, Jewish groups around the world protested that we have been treated like this by him. Only Trudeau himself publicly apologized and then the Speaker He stepped down and resigned , so this person was replaced, so Trudeau, I think blinking, I have lived in Europe, because he is French Canadian, he is French, because blinking to express the inner relationship, this problem is not big, but Trudeau There are too many jokes this time , especially since the values promoted by the Five Eyes Alliance are really completely different from their actual practices. So it seems that a lonely Trudeau has to face the so-called defense of democracy, human rights and freedom. It's really cold now . No one cares about him. Take a break and he'll be back soon. It's getting worse and worse . But Trudeau does not get support internationally. Is n't he emphasizing freedom, democracy and human rights? Isn't he able to defend the personal freedom of citizens who were shot ? In fact The problem between India and Canada comes from the fact that we know that Nijar is the spiritual leader of Sikhism. In fact, the largest Sikh community in the world is in Canada. Of course, apart from India, there is The province called Punjab is the main base of Sikhism besides Canada . So in fact, many Canadians or politicians , even some of them are Sikhs, are very supportive of Sikhism. If you are from India, especially Mozambique. Di, what do you think of the thorn in your side ? Of course you tried every possible means to get rid of him . But it just happened. Just kill this Nijar on the street, right, and assassinate him in Canada. In fact, if you are Trudeau In fact, he has many ways to deal with it. Because Trudeau, I think he handles this kind of domestic affairs. The first domestic issue is not even talking about foreign affairs and domestic affairs. He himself can't handle it well, including the issue of China's interference in Canada's election that everyone criticized him before. Or he didn't handle Meng Wanzhou's matter well this time. In fact, I think it was just another flaw in his process. He said that if you don't handle matters like this well in domestic affairs , it will affect diplomacy. As expected, the entire diplomatic conflict between India and Canada continues. The rise of the ground, of course, started with the expulsion of diplomats and now the Indian government is telling the Indian people not to go to Canada because it may be dangerous for you to go to Canada. You see someone has been assassinated. If you are an Indian, do you dare to go to Canada? Canadians and now the Canadian government is also saying that we You may not need a visa to go there. India does not issue visas to Canada. So what should Canadians do? They cannot go to India . So now the people of the two sides cannot move freely . And maybe the people of the two sides have begun to feel a little bit of mutual hatred. We still have to observe. Of course, some observers are saying whether India and Canada will go to war over this . Of course, I think this is very interesting. Why? Because you see how far apart India and Canada are, it will not be easy for them to fight, just like India and Canada. They all have the so-called ocean projection capability , and the ships of both countries cannot travel that far. Yes, because I have discussed before whether they can reach such a distance , but in fact, one is too cold and the other is too hot , it depends on Trudeau. A person's personality doesn't seem like he would go so far for this thing , and I don't think it is possible for India. So, although these two countries are talking about how it will end, they are now engaged in this diplomatic war. In fact, it is It will continue to rise, and then the two parties will expel diplomats from each other and then withdraw their troops. But who will be affected? Trudeau's approval rate. I think his third term will be very difficult for him. His approval rate will continue to go up. Now 60% of the Canadian people are dissatisfied and do not support him. If 60% do not support him, then how will he choose next? If he is scolded in the street, he will give in. Trudeau will give in. He really doesn’t know how it will end, so he can only give in silently. Is it over? Take a break and be back soon. This diplomatic conflict with Canada
is getting more and more intense , but is it possible for it to turn into a war conflict militarily? What is the military strength of the two parties ? First, Canada has been a country sheltered by the United States for so many years , which is equal to its defense. It's all done by Americans , so Canada itself doesn't have any troops to support the scene. It only has a few ships and a few planes. Strictly speaking, it doesn't have the ability to use troops externally. Although India has a large number of people and is said to be very large , it doesn't have the combat power of a country. Strong India is a very strange country. It has poor combat power, so it desperately buys weapons from all over the world. It buys weapons from systems in various countries , and then builds its own mess. It is called the Varyag. At first, it was similar to our Liaoning, China. The Liaoning was the same. We took it back for repairs and repairs, but the effort was not as good as China's. So we got one of that number, but it didn't even have an airplane.
