We want to take you to discuss where the international situation has evolved now , especially the Red Sea. Now everyone in the world is paying attention to it. So is the situation in the Red Sea getting worse now? Why do you say so? The New York Times said that the youth movement in Yemen is highly mobile after the US air strike. It still retains two-thirds of its attack capability. U.S. officials revealed that air strikes by the youth movement rebels in Yemen led by the U.S. military on the 11th and 12th destroyed about 90 set targets . However, the other party used missiles or drones to attack the Red Sea. The capacity of merchant ships still remains at 2/3 . So the Yemeni Houthi armed forces held a military exercise near the border with Saudi Arabia on Saturday . Yemen’s Houthi TV station reported that the Houthi armed forces held a military exercise near the border with Saudi Arabia on Saturday. The United States and its allies have conducted military exercises in Darfur province and have attacked Houthi targets in Yemen . However, reports say that Houthi commanders have stated that they are ready to participate in the fight against the United States and Zionist enemies , but they are now threatening to go further. The youth movement that attacked merchant ships in the Red Sea was hit again by the United States. The U.S. military and security information channels said that the Yemeni militia youth movement, which was backed by Iran, threatened to further attack merchant ships in the Red Sea in retaliation for the air strikes. The United States launched a new wave of attacks on the youth movement on the 13th. But who is blocking this global maritime chokepoint? Suez Canal tolls are one of Egypt's important sources of foreign exchange. Egypt's Suez Canal Authority said that its revenue in early January 2024 can be said to be a sharp drop in the economy . Scientists have predicted that the situation in the Red Sea may spread to the Strait of Hormuz and the wider Middle East . Then we can see that the Red Sea trade is blocked. You can see that the Strait of Hormuz here is actually Iran and the Middle East. These Middle East oil An important thoroughfare for transportation, guarding the important thoroughfares of Asia, Africa and Europe. One of the most important trade corridors and energy transportation corridors in the world . It handles about 12% of the world's cargo transportation and nearly 1/3 of the container trade. This is enough to see this. How important is place ? But many countries are now relying on China's power. Have Chinese crew members become talismans? The American media said that many merchant ships crossing the Red Sea are rushing to register their relationship with China. Bloomberg said that recently at least 5 ships were crossing the Red Sea . In the destination column of the real-time tracking information for international shipping, there is a note like "all Chinese crew members on board " to show that the ship is actually related to mainland China. Foreign Minister Wang Yi visited Egypt. China and Egypt jointly issued a statement focusing on the Red Sea and Gaza. The situation has been going on for 34 consecutive years. The mainland foreign minister visited Africa for the first time at the beginning of the year. China and Egypt issued a joint statement . They paid close attention to the development of the Red Sea and expressed serious concern about the expansion of conflicts in the region . However, is China's diplomacy about to enter a new situation? This is because Liu Jianchao recently visited the United States to meet with Biden government officials and to communicate with people from the business community . The CCP delegation he led visited the United States to communicate with US Secretary of State Blinken and members of the media from US financial and business think tanks to attend special symposiums . Among them, Liu Jianchao, the head of the Liaison Committee of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, was even asked when the panda would come back. How did he respond ? Let’s show you this video. He directly asked when the panda would come back . Of course, he said it depends on you, but in this case At a sensitive moment like the Taiwan election, Liu Jianchao went to visit the United States , so it was rumored that he might be coming to replace Wang Yi as foreign minister . After all, China's foreign minister Wang Yi is of course older, but according to analysis Liu Jianchao's actions this time show President Xi Jinping's trust in him. If nothing else, he, who was once regarded as the fire captain, will soon replace Wang Yi, who has returned as foreign minister. Is this really the case? Let's ask Liang first. Brother, what do you think of the current situation in the Red Sea ? It seems that the situation in the Red Sea has become more and more complicated. I think the Red Sea means that the United States is a little hesitant. On the one hand, it is under pressure and feels that it is not possible if it does not teach a lesson. But in this place, you can't do anything with just air strikes. You must force it. If you leave the coastline, you must dispatch ground troops. The United States is unwilling to dispatch ground troops. It believes that dispatching ground troops will expand the scope of the war. Therefore, the United States has consistently said to the outside world that it will not dispatch ground troops. If you do this, you are not making the Houthi armed forces more powerful. I'm sure you're awesome, just blow me up. Anyway, he's a guerrilla. He'll come out again when you leave, because he uses a thin, short, harassing rocket, drone , or a small boat to go out and attack you. You go through the Red Sea. There are many ships in the Suez Canal . They are natural gas ships and energy ships. Who dares to take such a risk ? You will have no way to solve the problem. So I think this is stuck. He has great legitimacy because he said that he was because of Israel’s attack on Gaza. Humane treatment , so I have to express my protest accordingly, so he gets a lot of moral support in the entire Muslim world , because this is linked to the Israeli war in Gaza and South Gaza that has not ended , and so many Palestinian refugees have been Crowded to the border of Egypt, I heard that there are already millions of people queuing for water and food every day, queuing for bathing, queuing for toilets, and queuing for toilets. Life is extremely difficult. The international community ignores it , so the Houthis have acted like this because they have moved to This matter means that he will not lack economic resources or military resources. He does not have to worry that there will be Muslim brothers who will give him money . So I am afraid that even Egypt will not be able to handle this matter very hard because Egypt itself is also a Muslim. He is the biggest victim because he controls the Suez Canal . But I think this problem becomes difficult to solve . The United States is not determined to carry out effective ground troops to clear up the Gaza War, and you cannot control Israel. So you, the country that is the boss, is incompetent. Israel cannot handle the Gaza war , and it is unwilling to use ground troops. It just wants to use diplomacy to deal with it all day long . There is no way to do so. That is, you must deal with Israel's Gaza issue , otherwise this problem will arise. I think it is difficult to find a solution. Otherwise, you will have full-scale military intervention. Currently, the United Kingdom is following the United States there. I think it is quite difficult . Month , so Liu Jianchao was more likely to restate the position of mainland China and then review it, saying that our chairman has said these words and hopes they can be implemented. This happened to coincide with the Taiwan election , so of course he also expressed his expectation that the United States should pay attention to the Taiwan election. So I think this is a test for the United States , so the delegation is visiting today to see what the outcome will be . I think he is coming to tell Lai Qingde what can and cannot be done , but I don’t know what method to use. To express , but I saw a report and he also said that Lai Qingde will listen to you? He is also playing this, right? So it’s hard to say. Ambassador, what do you think? Now many merchant ships in the Red Sea are using the name of China to have relations with China. What do you think? Because I think the more the United States takes military measures in these Arab regions , the more these countries will lean towards mainland China. Mainland China has probably never used force or military actions there , and the Belt and Road Initiative in these years has been Infrastructure construction has also benefited many countries. In addition, why do everyone just say that this is a Chinese merchant ship? Because the Houthis have made it clear that they will not attack Chinese ships if they are Chinese ships. This does not mean that the Houthis organization is not interested in attacking Chinese ships in the Red Sea. Ships passing through the Red Sea are attacked indiscriminately. Basically, they have a certification process , and they can grasp the movements and cargo of each ship. Now in international shipping, these information are public. If you basically say that it will attack These ships are related to Israel , which of course means some ships. The last time I saw it, the Danish ship was beaten because of the Houthi organization in the Red Sea at that time. He said that the cooperation with them was not high during the certification process, so they were not involved. It is not an indiscriminate attack or a disproportionate retaliation like the Western media said. They are very selective , so Spain and France have not joined. The reason for not joining is because they have their own calculations. Maybe they can’t do it well. I also know that the Houthis made an agreement with him that I will not attack the Spanish ship. As long as you don’t go to this Israeli port and you are not transporting supplies for Israel, he will not attack it. So the current situation has become that many countries are now hostile to the United States. I am a little worried about the military methods. Why is it because if you continue to fight like this, it will be more troublesome for the Red Sea channel to recover ? Because the Houthis will intensify their attacks on you. If the United States uses this method of attack, it will only make the Houthis fight more fiercely and the United States will dispatch large forces. What's the point of fighting Afghanistan for 10 years? How did it end up being defeated miserably and leaving? If you want to fight, you have to fight in a human country, and if you want to subdue an enemy, I tell you , only Israel's style of fighting will see any results. But Israel is this This way of fighting is that he treats the international community as deaf and blind, right ? So South Africa came out to sue him, so it became like, can the United States send ground troops into this Yemen? No, but you see this military operation ? Now two-thirds of the attack power is still there. He must strengthen his attacks , so many shipping companies may not like his approach. Just like Lin Jingyi, China has banned this Sakya. Don't go back and scold others , making our Sakya farmers' situation even worse . Mr. Lai, who is deliberately trying to be a disservice, what do you think about the possibility that Liu Jianchao will take over as the next Chinese Foreign Minister ? Of course, there are various possibilities, but I think the mainland is very interesting this time because the United States , especially the Democratic United States government, deliberately divided mainland China into China and the Communist Party of China. Mainland China has specially sent the Minister of the International Department of the Communist Party of China and the Minister of the International Department of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China to the United States to shuttle with you. They have contacted business think tanks and political figures , which means that the US government must go and receive you. You have been attacking this very important director of diplomacy of the Communist Party, a minister of foreign affairs. You can see that Blinken rushed back to talk to him and then he accepted it . He also went on TV to be interviewed and was very influential. Why? Because the New York Times has to say that China's soft power is already 1 to 1 with the United States in many places. In the past, the United States ' influence in Africa was relatively large . Now China's influence in Africa is 60 to 61 , and China is still ahead of the curve. 1 Then he talked about the New York Times and talked about another person who said, "Do you know where the greatest manifestation of China's soft power is? " He said about pandas. When he said that pandas were going to return to China, this matter was suppressed on the front pages of almost all major newspapers. At that time, all the mainstream political news in the United States represented what mainland China represented. In this section, the political figures in the United States had different ideas from theirs , so I think this time the host specifically asked him when the pandas will come back . He also feels the attitude of the American people. The attitude of the American people is that politicians are politicians and the people are the people. I think there is a difference . If Liu Jianchao takes over as the Minister of Foreign Affairs, he has served as a major anti-corruption official in the past. And he has local experience. He is a very special diplomat. He has not always been in the diplomatic community . He once served as the secretary of the Supervisory Committee and Discipline Inspection Commission in Zhejiang Province , so he himself is in There is no problem with Xi Jinping's trust , so in fact, if he wants to take over, there should be no big problem at all . I don't think there is a problem with his diplomatic qualifications and his experience. We just talked about it earlier. For example, in his earliest days, he I studied at Oxford University in the UK and then when young diplomats were serving as third secretaries or second secretaries, I was in the UK and later sent to Asia. He speaks English quite well
and he was stationed in Indonesia and the Philippines. Ambassador , he has served as ambassador twice , so he has experience in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and he himself has been the deputy director of the Foreign Affairs Office. So in this section we will take you to discuss this after the DPP is sure to win the presidency , but Lai Qingde’s test may only begin. Because he discovered this during this election campaign . Wasn't he known as the golden grandson of the independence faction in the past? But now the independence faction doesn't support it anymore. Why did he say that? Because he lost one seat as a legislator in Taipei City. Gao Jiayu was dismissed and cried and thanked him. Although Gao Jiayu said that the biggest war criminal is that he will continue to work hard in the future , many people believe that the pan-green split in the Hong Kong and Lake District is the main reason for losing this seat. This is because Wu Xindai of the Radical Party came out to run for the election . She still refused after losing the election. Happy than YA, they interpreted it . Is it because the pro-independence faction would rather lose one seat than let Gao Jiayu be re-elected ? Then the problem Lai Qingde will face is that the anti-Chinese card is no longer around . Are you interested in Lin Jingyi's defeat in the second district ? She said I want to think about how to get the hand I can’t hold again to confirm that these swing voters who don’t know what you usually do or get information from social media have been lost, which is a big warning sign for the DPP . You see, she didn’t plan to introduce Taichung Shakya to sell the Chinese part before . Then Lin Jingyi criticized China as a bad buyer. At that time, she played the anti-China card and said, China, you are enough. But now she is still not elected, so is she anti-China? The card has obviously expired, and we bring you again to see that the Blue Camp also suffered a heavy setback against the Sunflower Generation. We all knew in the past that they launched a democratic alliance. The Sunflower Generation included Huang Jie, Lai Pinyu, and Zeng Wenxue. Wu Zhengdu Lai Pinyu finally lost to Liao Xianxiang and Wu Zhen also lost to Zhang Zhilun. Especially in Taoyuan, you can see that many veterans have not been re-elected , including Zheng Yunpeng of the Democratic Progressive Party, who lost to a 34-year-old newcomer. Zheng Wencan lost all 6 seats in the Green Camp. It can be said to be a big setback in Beiliu. Netizens laughed and said that if China Peng lost , then there is this person from New Taipei who is unwilling to admit his mistakes when something goes wrong . Then it is Luo Zhizheng who is deeply indecent. The film also had the influence of stolen audio files , so he fought for re-election but lost to New Taipei City Councilor Ye Yuanzhi. Next, Hong Mengkai of the New Taipei District 1st District of the Kuomintang won the highest number of votes in the country and announced his election. His opponent He Bowen was his former wife. He was accused of participating in United Front activities , and even his paper was proven to be plagiarized, which ultimately cost him his position as a legislator. But the problem we are facing now has also begun. Today, the challenge has begun , that is, the severance of diplomatic relations with diplomatic allies. The President of Nauru just delivered a national address and announced the severance of diplomatic relations with Taiwan . The Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that China's inducements since last year forced Nauru's diplomacy to turn to Mitsu Tanaka. He said that Nauru's attitude has been wavering in 2023 and it has also demanded from Taiwan. Tian Guangzhong said that the timing was very sudden and it may not be possible to recover. They are no longer willing to see our ambassador and expressed their determination. China can be said to use all possible means to suppress some people . I asked the chairman of the Beautiful Island Electronic News whether his prediction was right because he said before that the next challenge that Taiwan will face is coming , and he also criticized Ke Wenzhe for personally harming the future of young people . Those who support Ke Wenzhe are the ones in the future . The most pitiful group of young people who have been in trouble for 8 years , and Ke Wenzhe has also harmed their future . Then US Secretary of State Blinken congratulated Lai Qingde on his election , but the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs jumped out and said to stop sending a signal to Taiwan independence . Of course, the first time Lai Qingde was elected in the United States The Secretary of State issued a celebratory statement , but China jumped out and said to stop sending any wrong signals to the Taiwan independence separatist forces . Then Lai Qingde won the presidential election and their Foreign Minister Wang Yi said that anyone who engages in Taiwan independence will be severely punished by history and law . Then you can watch Now that we have one less diplomatic ally, are challenges about to begin? A senior delegation from the American Republican Party came to Taiwan last night and met with Lai Qingde behind closed doors today. Lai Qingde has not responded so far. Are you busy discussing with the United States? Let’s first Let me ask Brother Liang, what do you think this time, the independence card and the anti-China card seem to have failed? In the constituency without Gao Jiayu, Wu Xindai rushed to 28,000 votes and Li Yanxiu only won 17,000 votes. So you say Wu Xindai participated Does the election have any impact ? Of course it has a major impact. Frankly speaking, Gao Jiayu's vote has already been good , because Wu Xindai's vote is unlikely to be given to Li Yanxiu, right? So what do you say about this round? You can't say that the DPP's vote was not given. Is she Lai Qingde or is she incapable of persuading Xu Guoyong and Chen Shizhong to ask Wu Xindai not to elect? There is no way. Frankly speaking, Wu Xindai was elected quite well with 28,000 votes. There is no way. I think there are some places where the Kuomintang did better this time. The most obvious place where the blue and white atmosphere is better is Taichung vs. Cai Qichang. Last time Cai Qichang was elected with 66 votes and won more than 40,000 votes. However, this time it was less than 50. I just met Cai Bi like Cai Qichang in the last week. If you are forced to stand on the street, you will know how much Cai Biru lost. Cai Biru only lost 7,200 votes. You will know how much pressure blue-white cooperation will put on the DPP. Cai Qichang is a very strong candidate. If Cai Biru was elected like this , he only lost 7,200 votes. There was another strong candidate on the ballot , named Zhang Liao Manjian. He was defeated by Liao Weixiang. Everyone knows that of course Liao Weixiang played high-end in the later stages of the election , right? Liao Weixiang, of course, he still has certain family strength , because I also know Senator Huang Xinhui. She is a very strong congressman , but frankly speaking, it is difficult to challenge Zhang Liao Wanjian. His mother has already voted against him, so what I mean is that the blue-white atmosphere came out and everything fell apart. In the end , only He Xinchun and Cai Qichang were left. Being elected in Taoyuan is also Taoyuan. For example, Niu Xuting, Niu Xuting, is his young opponent. So don’t think that the Kuomintang is not young. It’s not the Kuomintang. This time , if you count Hong Mengkai as 41 years old and Zhang Zhilun as 40 years old , I also found 7 people who are under 40 years old . If you calculate it, it will be 9 Personally, Xu Qiaoxin, Xu Qiaoxin is 33 and 34 years old, a lot of them . Ye Yuanzhi is 49 years old. He is well maintained. I have checked them all. I have done my homework. I have done my homework. I tell you that the Kuomintang is only 41 and 40 years old. There are 9 people . So it’s not that the Kuomintang doesn’t have young votes . There are some people who are older but get along well with young people. For example, Luo Zhiqiang, Wang Hongwei, right ? The problem with the Kuomintang is that it doesn’t have young votes . He has been the presidential candidate for three consecutive terms. There are too many young votes , so you mistakenly think that he does not have young votes. This is because Zhu Lilun and Han Guoyu unfortunately encountered the anti-extradition movement in 2016, and then Hou Youyi. So I think this group of young elected legislators from the Kuomintang will start to enter the Party Central Committee to promote Some policy mechanisms allow young people to take root in the Kuomintang. I think this must be done. This is to introduce the power structure of the Kuomintang that the Ambassador just said needs to be changed . This is the most fundamental. If the power structure remains unchanged, how can you get it right? In the future, you can introduce a president. Candidates are like young people, so there will be this kind of problem, right ? So frankly speaking, I think Nauru immediately announced the establishment of diplomatic relations with mainland China today . This is Lai Qingde. You are asking for a beating. Did you see his election speech ? Is that the international press conference? What are you going to do? Do you want to compare it with Chen Shui- bian 's election speech in 2000 ? Let’s talk about what Lai Qingde is talking about. I am the democratic camp ’s first victory this year. The first sentence is this sentence. Because there are 50 elections in the world this year, Taiwan is the first one. It proves that democracy contrasts with authoritarianism. We stand on the side of democracy. Are you following? Hou Youyi and Ke Wenzhe are in the election. Did Ke Wenzhe and Hou Youyi say that they will stand on the side of authoritarianism? I don’t know what they mean . He is doing a big foreign propaganda at all. In his election speech, he is doing a big foreign propaganda , except for mainland China. What are you talking about? Are you electing with Xi Jinping? What does the second sentence say? We defeated China’s election. The Free Times used it as the title. The third sentence is that we will not turn back and continue to walk on the right path. So you are going to continue to pursue Taiwan independence and act recklessly. Your meaning is so obvious. Of course, people will give it to you. Isn't that how you show off your power ? Okay, then we have to ask Ambassador Jie what he thinks. Especially today, Nauru announced that it would cut off diplomatic relations with us. Two days ago, we were congratulating Lai Qingde on his election. Why did he immediately cut off diplomatic relations ? Is the challenge about to begin? I think this is the middle That is to say, Lai Qingde's words and deeds are very important. Although the election results are like this , it is a foregone conclusion , but his words, deeds , and his entire expression during this period will also affect the intensity and weakness of mainland China's response and the way he coordinates it. So I think Don’t think that whether this matter has changed or whether it has changed at all. In fact, it depends on what Lai Qingde says and how he behaves. So I think it is truer than diplomatic relations. We are relatively weak. Why is Nauru not the country? It only relies on getting aid from one country. It has to get aid from international organizations because it belongs to the LDC. The LDC means that the country itself relies on foreign aid. The United Nations has various agencies that can provide it with children's foundations, women's foundations, development funds, etc. We can provide it with assistance. Sorry , mainland China has a huge influence in the United Nations . Even senior officials from Nauru want to get an official position in the United Nations , but mainland China has to agree. So for a small country with a population of more than 20,000, he is not just saying it. Money is in the overall national interest. Today we have to compare it with mainland China. We are not a member of the United Nations. Have we ever lost to mainland China before? We gave it to a small country in Europe, right? We gave it $1.2 billion to Lithuania, right? How much did Paraguay give? If Nauru only has a population of 20,000, will you spend 1.2 billion? Can't you get 1.2 billion? So I think basically this is just an example. I think we still have 12 diplomatic countries and there are many countries. I don't think Tsai Ing-wen They are so sure. Why is it starting again ? This diplomatic war has been stopped for a long time. Why is it starting again ? Of course, it has to do with the results of Taiwan's election. What I just said is that Lai Qingde must be very careful about how he talks and expresses himself. At this time , Lin Jingyi said that if Taiwan doesn't buy custard apples from the mainland, it will be the worst buyer in the world. Please , you will kill the farmers of custard apples in Taiwan , right? As long as you don't buy yours. The worst thing is how the mainland reacts now. If she loses the election , she loses the election. So you have to look at how you speak from the perspective of Taiwan. You all speak from your personal ideology . If you sit in this position today, it will be like If Lai Qingde sits in this position, a lot of things will happen in Taiwan and there will be a lot of things that we don't want to see happen between the two sides of the strait . Let's ask Mr. Lai what do you think , especially since this election includes almost all the Sunflower Generations? There are only two left, right? What do you think ? I think that in the past, relying on propaganda and this short-lived movement to gain political benefits has declined. The craze that disappeared has been washed away after so many years, so I I think this group of people is gone. You said they will return to continue to work in the political arena. I think they basically don’t have that kind of characteristics. They will gradually become marginalized people, whether they are in the green camp or other camps. They will always be marginalized people. They can continue to move around in the margins , but they can only use the word "moving" and not "active". I think they have passed this. This is a trend. Secondly, Taiwan's voters have told the Democratic Progressive Party to tell many people They say we don’t want cross-strait quarrels, we want peace and prosperity. I think if Lai Ching-te doesn’t listen, it seems he didn’t listen, because the first thing in his election speech should be about bullying or bullying. Hou Youyi and Ko Wenzhe seem to be talking about you two. Everyone supports mainland China. You are autocratic and dictatorial. Come against me . This is because you win and you still bully others like this. I think I can’t stand it. The second one is attacking mainland China. If Fujian Province comes to vote for you, you will win. Otherwise, you open up Fujian Province to vote with Taiwan to see if Lai Qingde can be elected, right ? Anyway, most of our immigrants in Taiwan are from Zhangzhou and Quanzhou. You can let these people in Fujian also vote . The two provinces will vote together and then we will see if Lai Qingde can be elected. I think the people of Fujian Province in the mainland have no chance to vote in Taiwan. Why are you going to eat other people's tofu ? I think after eating tofu, you can open your mouth and talk. It's over , and now our consequences are here. Nauru immediately announced the severance of diplomatic relations , and it's ugly. It was announced by Reuters first. It's very ugly . And now, how do you deal with Tsai Ing -wen , how do you deal with Lai Qingde ? Frankly speaking, who is more ugly is the United States and Australia because of Nobel. Lu is a place and a country where the United States and Australia have deep influence. It is equivalent to your American special envoy or two representatives coming to Taiwan. One is the former National Security Bureau. When they come to Taiwan , they will slap you in the face and announce it immediately. Think about what those two Americans should do in Taiwan now. It’s hard to see . So we’ll take a short break from commercials and come back to discuss the international situation with you . The experts we’ve invited for you today include Lai Yueqian, an expert on international politics. Good afternoon, Mr. Lai, host, hello, audience friends , and our former ambassador to New York, Jie Wenjijie, Ambassador , Good afternoon, good friends. Hello, everyone. Wait a moment . Brother Guo Zhengliang, PhD in political science from Yale , will also join us. So, Of course, now that the 2024 election is over, the DPP is sure to have won and will continue to be in power . But now everyone is more curious about how the Kuomintang will carry out reforms . But in the Kuomintang, there has now been a group that will first review the internal affairs. The voices included many people who were named as to whether there should be a review , including Jin Pucong, the trader, and of course the party chairman Zhu Lilun . But what we showed you was that some people thought that Zhu Lilun was in There are many places that are poorly prepared and weak , so they lack the ability to handle crises , so the personal image has become the biggest crisis in this election. It is Hou Youyi's part, but Zhu Lilun is also like this. Then there is Jin Pucong, who is known as the general of propaganda , but has no creativity and no surprise . What should we do? Someone else named Terry Gou, the founder of Hon Hai, who participated in the co-signing before. So your insistence on independent co-signing in vain for political integrity is also the reason why the blue camp cannot unite to win this time . In the end Of course, the one who was named was the Chairman of the People's Party, Ko Wenzhe. Everyone thought that he was capricious and tore up the six-point blue-white agreement , which also made Lai Qingde able to be elected based on his basic base . So now he is also criticized by netizens for talking about being scientific, rational and pragmatic. But it is actually a fanatical and psychedelic thing , so Wu Zijia, who had been quarreling with him before, told him directly that if you used fake polls to deceive people, wouldn't it be equivalent to helping Lai Qingde as a flanker ? Then Tongshen also jumped out and said, Ke Wenzhe, Huang Shanshan, you can't use it. Fake polls deceive people , so after you did it once, you will come out again 4 years later, so he expressed considerable dissatisfaction with him. Now Cai Zhengyuan has named the person who he thinks has the most problem is probably Ke Wenzhe’s campaign director. Secretary Huang Shanshan said that Huang Shanshan took the lead in fiercely opposing Blue and White cooperation and even opposed Han Guoyu. When the Legislative Yuan is elected, can you not only regard yourself as the vice president? Or can you replace the cadres of the Kuomintang and Lai Qingde to ask for the seat ? Now it is also questioned , but we want What I want to show you is that Mother Ke was really surprised at the first moment. Mother Ke said it at the first time: My son obviously has a lot of support. How could it be like this? Let’s listen and see what Mother Ke said. You can see Mother Ke. She was so confused that she said that in fact, on the pre-election night the day before , there were so many people online and there were so many people watching , so where did all those votes go? Aren’t there many people in the south who support Ke Wenzhe? But what we will continue to show you is that in fact, this time many netizens used the words of Mother Ke to make pictures and asked whether Mother Ke is the largest of the Kuomintang Party. The breach was her because she said why there were so few votes . Now 80% of Ke Wenzhe’s votes may come from the pan-green camp , so he may not be sad in the future because of course he is not elected now, but he There are still a lot of election subsidies , but he is not as broke as before. He now has 700 million yuan. Why? Because from the economic perspective, Ke Wenzhe is the biggest winner. The People's Party gained 3.04 million yuan. A ticket can receive a subsidy of 152,016,700 yuan every year . So what we will show you is that he can actually do a lot of things with this amount of subsidy . In addition, his own president The total amount of the two general elections is 718.77 million , so in the next four years, Ke Wenzhe can be very generous and nourishing, and can also bring a lot of financial resources to the People's Party. But now we want to take you to review Ke Wenzhe's vote structure . Once Lai Qingde won with 5.58 million votes, Ke Wenzhe won with 3.69 million votes. Compare them with 2020. You see, Lai Qingde had 2.59 million votes less than Tsai Ing-wen . Then Hou Youyi’s votes were 850,000 less than Han Guoyu. The sum of these two votes is about 3.44 million votes , so the ratio of 2.59 million to 850,000 is about 8 to 2. This is also equivalent to the blue-green ratio of Ke Wenzhe's vote sources . So if the Green Camp beats Ke Wenzhe violently, he can give 80% of the votes . Have you brought it back? Let's ask Brother Liang first. What do you think about the Blue Camp looking for war criminals ? Of course, there are still people naming many people who need to resign and take responsibility. I haven't seen anyone from the Kuomintang who is more representative or a big shot come out to speak out. Of course, some people are dissatisfied with most of this kind of talk , which is understandable. However, I also saw Xu Qiaoxin speaking for Zhu Lilun yesterday . Frankly speaking about this matter of the Kuomintang, we can’t comment on whether anyone has worked hard and has merit. I think Hou Youyi was not chosen well. The main reason is yourself because you have been really involved in the election campaign for more than 3 months, right? In January last year, when your polls were at their best, why didn't you just finalize your election? Why are you so distant from the local factions, right? Frankly speaking, the Party Central Committee is not familiar with you. Since you are going to be elected president, why don't you work hard to overcome this problem? Because when you interact with people, you will visit them often and you will gradually develop feelings. Do you often go to central and southern areas, right? Of course, the national affairs issues are another matter. Are you really familiar with it? So what I mean is that in fact, introspection is sometimes the introspection and review of the candidate himself. The most important thing is, of course, including your personal charm . Because frankly speaking, I have been thinking about a question yesterday. Our final vote. The rate was 71.86 last time it was 74.9, down by 3. The night of campaigning before the election was good. On that day, I also saw young people queuing up early in the morning. Every place was full. They also said that a total of 700,000 tickets were sold for the train from north to south returning home . There are 200,000 people who have returned from the mainland and how many have returned from the United States. Mother Ke, let me tell you about the people who participated in the rally . Our past experience is only 1/10 of the total voters. Most of the voters are upstairs. They did not participate in the rally because we The total voters are 19.54 million. There are really only about 2 million people who came out to watch the election activities in various places. So there are a lot of people like Mother Ke . Yes, Ke Wenzhe has the most active voters. I agree , but the other 9 Chengdu people are upstairs. There are many of them. I didn’t vote for you. To put it simply, this is what you know about the election. That’s why everyone should respect the science of polling. In fact, it’s because we closed the country. Otherwise, if you look at the last poll after the lockdown, for example, the United Daily News had exactly the same 40 to 40 ratio . 33 to 26. Exactly the same. The United Daily News did a poll in the last two days , so you have to believe in the poll. So this thing is that you should not watch the election based on your feelings . It means that some parts of the election are scientific , just like what I just told you. Candidate , how much preparation have you made ? Have you really run in the constituency frequently? Hou Youyi, of course , has been running very seriously in the last two months, but is this time enough? This is very simple. How long has Lai Qingde, the other person, been running? Lai Qingde has been running for about 1 Year, right ? So what I mean is that if there are some things that are true, you shouldn’t just look at them after the nomination. For example, Terry Gou handled it like this, right ? Terry Gou is not the main factor. The main factor is Hou Youyi himself. We speak plain language , so I was just talking to you about voting. The turnout rate is 71.86 . Why is it so low ? Because two things did not happen. First, there were no major international events to impact the Taiwan election. In 2020, you encountered the Hong Kong anti-extradition movement and fucked you for 6 consecutive months. Han Guoyu was originally in the lead but was overtaken to the point where everyone fell behind. What I know: Han Kuo-yu was leading in the polls in May 2019. In the end, you see how much he lost, right? Taiwan is a small country that is easily affected by international events , so that vote was swept out. Secondly , we are here. The candidates of the two major parties this time are all mediocre candidates. You are not that charming. Think about it. How many people came out to watch the election ? Han Kuo-yu’s last day before the election was better than yours. There are even more people in Kaidao . Because I was at the scene, I told you this . You are a matchup between mediocre candidates and there are no international events. That is why there is such a turnout. The lower the turnout. The more beneficial it is to Lai Qingde, then we would like to ask the ambassador what do you think? Especially now many people will say bring Mother Ke to KUSO and ask why we have so few votes. Wu Zijia also said that this poll was not done at the beginning. I should tell everyone what you think is right with a fake one , because Ke’s mother is actually very friendly , but she may not know that deeply about democratic political elections. Ke P has been elected twice in Taipei City , right? The choice was very bad, almost... only a slight number of votes won the right one, so that is to say, she now thinks that she has seen a lot , and I don’t know if she has seen these parts in the central and southern parts with her own eyes. Of course, it seems that she came to Ke P later. Later, his results were better than everyone imagined at the beginning . But whether he could have the momentum or strength to be elected would of course depend on the polls. In fact, P was already better than his performance in the polls. It's better. I think that's about it . But when she came out at this time, I think she suspected that there was unfairness in this election. Is there a voting part? Does she have this suspicion ? If she has this suspicion, do you have evidence? It's better to just say it. Otherwise, if you say this after losing the election, people will feel that you don't understand the situation very well. If she thinks this is a vote, she can provide evidence, because of course everyone We all have this right. On the other hand, when it comes to the current issue of war criminals, in fact every time I talk about the issue of the Chinese Kuomintang, I feel that the Chinese Kuomintang lacks an intra-party democratic system. Because the Kuomintang is basically here now. In the democratic era, you yourself must keep pace with the times. If the party's intra-party democracy is not implemented, young people will never be with the Kuomintang because young people have grown up in a democratic environment. Once they enter the party, Inside, he feels that you have either a wealthy patriarchy or an authoritarian system, right? Then the rules of the game change depending on people, events, and places , and then there are some special politics, family politics, and this kind of connection. How can others get in? Young people want to say that I I don’t have a good father, I don’t have money , how can I enter the Kuomintang system ? So if the Kuomintang doesn’t change, not only will it not win the election , but it will also not become recognized by these emerging young groups in society. So, there is only one sentence to put it bluntly : what is the democratic system like? I just want to say nothing else . I only have one sentence : a fair, open and just primary election system . I think this primary election system is very, very important . Of course, many people have some criticisms of Chairman Wu Dunyi. You must remember that when Wu Dunyi was the chairman, he It has always insisted that elections at all levels have a primary system and has not said anything about it...the selection committee or some group talked a lot and finally took back all the power of the party member . So the Kuomintang must learn a lesson . Well, you haven't won since the Kuomintang began to split. Every time, the Kuomintang fought against the Kuomintang. Of course, now it has lost to the point where the base has reached more than 30%, so there is nothing you can fight on your own , so it will be useless for you to unite. But this time Problem: There are still problems in the election process. So why did Terry Gou run away in the end? Isn’t that right? Then what is he challenging? His challenge is your primary election and your popular election process . So I feel that I am a member of the Kuomintang and I am not willing to do so. I am one of the people who publicly have anything to say about the party, but I think when it comes to the system, I have something to say . When it comes to the system, I think everyone in the Kuomintang has one thing , that is, if you don’t establish a long-lasting primary election system , it is In the primary election system for elections at all levels , you will always mean that the Kuomintang party is not the party of the party headquarters. If you add a handle and add a handle next to it, it will block people. If a party becomes a blocker, Not only are party members disloyal, but other non-party members will also not be willing to join your party. So I think if the Kuomintang wants to learn a lesson, I think it needs to make fundamental reforms in the system , which is to establish a set of colleagues from all walks of life who can participate in elections and politics. We have to ask Mr. Lai about a primary election system that is fair, open and impartial and will not change based on people, situations or places. Especially now everyone thinks that Ko Wenzhe seems to have won more votes from the pan-green . Next, of course, is the Democratic Progressive Party . The Democratic Progressive Party will not let him go. How about not letting him go? What the DPP is worried about now is whether its president can be elected. So I think there will be many major bills and major policies in the Legislative Yuan in the future. The opinions of other parties still have to be taken into account in personnel matters , so the DPP has no way to fully govern. Its power has been greatly reduced. But I think in Taiwan's previous elections, this is actually the second time that our constitutional government has been highlighted. There were very serious problems with the design of the electoral system. The first time was when Chen Shui-bian was a minority president who did not have a broad base of public opinion. So at that time, Taiwan was in a state of panic. Then the entire ethnic group in Taiwan was torn apart, and the political atmosphere in Taiwan was so bad . Why? Because this is the second time that the whole political deterioration has been fought to the end , and the person elected for the second time has many characteristics in common with the person elected for the first time , because he is persistent in advocating , stubborn, stubborn , and may be reckless to the end . It is very likely that Taiwan will have this kind of situation again. The entire social atmosphere was politically confrontational , followed by civil strife , and then again. Four years of chaos. Four years of chaos in the Legislative Yuan. Four years of chaos in the administration and legislation. Four years of chaos in Taiwan's entire political and social life. I think it has brought misfortune to the vast number of Taiwanese people. I think this election is our biggest challenge. The loser is the people of Taiwan. We have no way to elect a majority person who represents our public opinion. However, a person who does not represent the general public opinion and does not represent the majority public opinion can become president . This is simply legal and complies with the rules of the electoral game. However, he is elected. But it is not legitimate. I think we have only had two rounds of voting , so I personally advocate that I think Taiwan must have two rounds of voting. In the first round, one or two people will be selected. If no one has a majority, then one or two people will be selected. Only by entering the second round can you be sure to elect a president with an absolute majority and a public opinion base in every election. If Taiwan does not change this part, I think the reform of Congress or the reform of our legislation must be done. It needs to be completed in this term because we have to prepare for the next term. Otherwise, our politics in Taiwan will always be so chaotic. Will the People's Party play a role in the future, making the political pond muddy or will it stir up some vitality for us ? I don’t know , it might stir up more chaos , but it might also stir up a bit of vitality. Who knows how it will stir things up . Another problem now is that the Kuomintang’s blue camp is very frustrated. The blue camp is very frustrated, so there are a lot of people starting to have it again. There are many voices that want reform, and there are many voices that need to be held accountable. I think the party chairman has to face these two parts , and must face the reform without hesitation and be responsible. I think these two parts cannot be avoided. So take it. Next, what difficulties will Lai Qingde face after he is elected ? I will come back after the advertisement to discuss with you.
