[SUB]葉倫再吃見手青?美怕伊朗報血仇? 新聞大白話@tvbstalk 20240404 (字幕版)

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Try to make big things out of small things, but the problem is that he can't hold on to this one. This is the Israel-Kazakhstan war. So far, everyone has to ask whether Israel is really red-eyed. The reason is because this is the World Central Kitchen of the rescue and supply force . They Basically, there was a rescue convoy hoping to deliver supplies to the Gaza corridor. However, three vehicles were attacked and attacked one after another . So they were very angry and said that this was simply an Israeli plan to attack vehicles one by one. He said that It was said that the total length of the convoy was more than 1.5 to 1.8 kilometers . After the first car was attacked, they hurried to the second car. But then the second car was also attacked and they moved to the third car. Do you want to be attacked one by one ? Is it really an accidental attack? Or why did they attack the supply vehicle like this? What the White House is saying now is that the information they received is that there is no evidence that they did it intentionally. So what does that mean? So they have said they are responsible for this , but they are not. It was intentional , so why did you do it now? After the attack on the employees of World Central Kitchen , Biden said that he would also have a phone call with Netanyahu , the Prime Minister of Israel, to express his dissatisfaction. But other than that, can you do something to express your dissatisfaction? Is dissatisfaction really an expression of dissatisfaction? What you want to ask is whether it is done for everyone to see. I will help you express your dissatisfaction when it comes to humanitarian relief. Now basically everyone is asking Israel whether they have been taking action . He wanted to stop the action and even hit the Iranian embassy in Syria. Now the supreme leader of Iran has said that he will definitely retaliate. The United States quickly jumped out and said that this has nothing to do with me. Everything is done by Israel. What is the emphasis ? What's more, he said he didn't tell me and just went to fight himself, so I know it was him who did it , but I really don't know, so don't blame me. After all, the theory here in Iran is that no matter what, he thinks the United States you If you provide arms to him, you are directly responsible. The United States has made it very clear. Do not retaliate against the United States. Now, on the Iranian side, they have directly mentioned that in this emergency meeting, in addition to the United States, Britain and France, the three Western countries Basically all other countries have condemned this incident , but the United States, Britain and France have not condemned Israel , so they think that the United States, can you really stay out of the incident and be safe? Russia gives him another shot and says, you, the United States, Britain and France voted If you vote against this without condemnation, what would be your reaction if your own embassy encounters you? Is this your so-called international order based on rules? It may basically appear in Israel now. There are two different voices. One is to support the current government's continued tough style and continue to fight , but the other is to say whether we should set a stop-loss point and a bleeding-stop point. Therefore, the people on the anti-government side of Israel Thousands of demonstrators who had already begun to gather outside Natanyahu's official residence, hoping to tell you to step down immediately , walked into the vicinity of Natanyahu's official residence with torches . Of course, the whole event later became more emotional, so there were There have been some commotions or disturbances , but Netanyahu is slightly ill now , so he also knows that there is this kind of emotion outside in Israel to welcome him. But in this way, Israel will really change. Do you want to take a look? After all, their wartime cabinet minister has said that he hopes to change the cabinet system in advance. If the parliament is re-elected, will Natanyahu really step down? According to what Natanyahu said here, it should not be possible. Why? Because he directly said that you are engaged in politics. What kind of government are you facing now? Israel's national affairs. You are engaging in politics here. You are causing trouble here. Well, what is Netanyahu betting on now ? It is a political gamble. At this time, Of course, everyone knows that the air strike on Israel will basically affect the United States. The United States' archenemy is Iran. So when you attack Iran and the United States at this time, it is basically counterattack by both sides. He is playing a political game. On another level, he also knows Biden basically wants him to come down, so if he takes action at this time, can the confrontation between Biden and Israel and Iran bring Biden closer to him and pull him back a little bit for the election campaign at the end of the year? This game of the United States is very important, because what we do may affect their final electoral trend . Please ask Mr. Lai for advice , because now everyone can’t stand it. Biden said that he can’t stand it either. What he is attacking is the United Nations. Alongside the rescue convoy they sent out from the World Central Kitchen, I feel sorry for Natanyahu. I feel that Natanyahu is in a difficult situation because he clearly feels that Biden is going to betray him and abandon him. Biden’s previous facts Natanyahu was already quite dissatisfied when he invited Gantz to the United States. He believed that Biden was destroying the unity of Israel. Why, because Gantz was the political leader most likely to replace Netanyahu, when Biden followed During the meeting with Gantz, Natanyahu had already vaguely felt that Biden was likely to abandon him , so of course he raised a strong protest with Biden at the time. As a result, we saw this . Biden abstained from the vote at the Security Council. For Natanyahu, this is your betrayal of me. So what should I do? A resolution of the Security Council states that no action can be taken during Ramadan and a ceasefire is necessary . Israel indeed did not take action against the hospitals in Gaza. Yes , but the problem is that he took action against Lebanon , that is, Hezbollah. He took action against the Iranian embassy and the Syrian embassy in Iran. Before that, he also started bombing Syria , so that would provoke A dispute between the United States and neighboring countries is to drag the United States into the water. At present, it seems that Biden has restrained himself, but this is not enough. I think Natanyahu is almost crazy this time. Why? Because In this central kitchen, they have clearly stated that every operation they carry out is reported to Israel in advance , and the routes are stated in detail, including the number of vehicles in the convoy. This is to avoid being considered by Israel as a misunderstanding or accidental attack , so everything is in order. It is very transparent and everything is clear. Even under such circumstances, Israel still attacked. I think this is already intolerable. For Americans, if they continue to protect themselves, Americans will have no integrity at all in the international community . It has no status at all. I think the United States must also be strict with Netanyahu. But why is it doing this ? In fact, Natanyahu’s purpose is to weaken the power of humanitarian aid because everyone is still afraid. Only if it is weakened, it will be beneficial to Israel. But now why is the United States afraid that Iran will take this opportunity to retaliate against the United States? Because the United States has military bases in northern Syria and military bases in Iraq. But in the past, we have heard of militia groups attacking U.S. military bases for so many years , but never Casualties. This is very knowledgeable. How can there be no casualties ? It means to hit but not to let you suffer casualties. But when retaliation is needed , someone must see blood , that is, someone must die. In such a situation, as long as there are American soldiers are dead and beaten to death. The United States must react. Once it reacts, of course it will be a war with Iran. If so, it is exactly what Israel wants to see and what Netanyahu wants to see. That ’s why the United States keeps reminding Iran not to take this opportunity to retaliate against me. It has nothing to do with me. I didn’t do it. Of course, if it is an Iranian decision-maker , I think that at present, if he wants to avoid the United States being involved, it is best not to prioritize attacking the United States. He should give priority to it. The attack is on Israel , but we cannot hit the civilians of Israel because hitting the civilians of Israel will provoke American Jews to demand that their government send troops to protect Israel. Then the situation will be involved again. To put it simply, what are you going to do? Control this disaster and don’t make this problem more complicated. But it’s really difficult to ask Teacher Yuan for advice on this step, because he just directly attacks the embassy of others. This is basically what you do in the international community. You are directly provoking others. When I heard on April 1st that Israel bombed the Iranian Embassy in Damascus, the capital of Syria, I thought it was an April Fool's Day joke. Later, I found out that this matter was too serious. If this is a serious matter, I actually took a closer look at the reasons. Let me tell you the answer first : Israel wants this war to end after more than 160 days since it started on October 7 last year. In the past, we have heard that Israel’s wars are all 6-day wars, 7-day wars, and 10-day wars. Now it’s almost 150 or 160 days. Do you know that Israel itself is a big problem in terms of military resources. Israelis are very patriotic, yes , but you don’t love it to this extent, because the Jews in the United States have also begun to oppose it. What Netanyahu is doing now is to directly attack Rafah during Ramadan. I'm afraid that in a small place with more than 1.4 million people, the situation may not be good internationally . But so far, Natanyahu is facing the domestic situation in Israel. In China, it turns out that they are at war with the judiciary, right? If you know the judiciary, they actually treat the orthodox ones as the Jews who wear high hats and comb their hair in pigtails. They did not have to serve as soldiers in Israel , but now they have been cancelled. They canceled their treatment and asked them to serve as soldiers, and then they did tricks and then there were demonstrations . Unfortunately, Natanyahu also recently got a hernia, so he had to have surgery, so he became very haggard. But he is actually a tough guy , but inside of him Under such circumstances, if Israel does not have sufficient military resources, its war will become more and more troublesome. Who is Israel at war with? Now Israel is fighting Hamas, Hezbollah , and then with the Houthis. These are all supported by Iran. It is a proxy war of Iran. Now he is going straight to Iran without stopping. You have to understand that bombing the embassy means three levels of meaning. The first is a declaration of war . The second is also a declaration of war for Syria. The third is Iran itself. He will not let go of the United States when it comes to this account , so Netanyahu’s only purpose is to drag the United States into trouble. Let me tell you frankly that everyone needs to understand that when Israel suddenly faces a crisis of national subjugation, the entire public opinion will turn around. Because there are many people in Israel who would not allow the country to subjugate. If before the subjugation of the country, when I was doing scientific philosophy, I invited a person from Tel Aviv to give a lecture. I asked him why you have to win every time. He said that we have to win every time. We can’t lose. Once we lose, everything will be over. This hatred is too deep , so when he told me about this situation at that time, I was shocked when I heard it. So I have a very strong feeling about this matter. So far, Netanyahu has been holding Israel. The fate of the country is betting against the United States , and then the United States itself can be seen that the United States is really in trouble. Biden had to pick up the phone and call Xi Jinping to ask what to do about this problem. He came to ask Mr. Zheng for advice. Israel is openly bombing Syria . The Iranian Embassy is what Teacher Yuan just said He is blatantly invading two countries, which is against international law. He is a state terrorist, and he is basically a big invader. If the United States and Western countries cursed Russia during the Russia-Ukraine war , why didn't they come out this time? Britain and France Not to condemn Israel? This is a double standard. What’s more interesting is that the Americans immediately denounced it and said that we were not involved . Not only that, but Israel also didn’t tell me in advance. You know how to fix Russia’s presence in the United Nations when their representative in the United Nations defended like this. He said, haven't you always been very proud of your mastery of intelligence? You can master everything, including what kind of concert hall incident you can predict. How come you guys are going to bomb the Iranian embassy this time? You say you don't know anything, but we are not involved in it. It's too bad to ridicule him . It's too bad to exclude it. There is no way to have credibility. This is a blatant attack. Gaza is already inhumane. Under such circumstances, the International Rescue Organization , the international central kitchen, and Israel , the humanitarian relief agency, are doing the same. I’m sure it’s abominable for you to hit civilians. Those who rescue civilians are doing so because they don’t want you to interfere in this situation. How can Americans be so cruel to Israel? He said there is no evidence to prove that Israel did it intentionally. How can you suddenly be so powerful? Well , can I also say that there is no evidence to prove that the United States was not involved ? That means the other way around is that you were involved and there is no evidence to prove that the United States was not involved. You are trying to help Israel by talking about it. There is no evidence to prove that Israel did it intentionally. I am telling you, don’t talk about it. Are you singing a double act? Like what the two of you just said, Israel is a little out of control now , but do we have to sympathize with the United States? This is a tiger you raised to cause trouble. Now this tiger in Israel goes out and bites people without obeying the control. You raised it. You are a breeder. Lord, of course you have to be responsible. Israel is acting like a mad dog today. I think he did it on purpose. Why is it that sometimes you, a mad dog, are the scariest? When you are normal and rational, he still thinks that you can speculate on your behavior . Israel, now Natanyahu is showing me. Crazy madman is the scariest person. Who dares to mess with me? He has reached a critical moment of life and death and showed why he wants to bomb that civilian. Why he wants to bomb an international charity organization that rescues civilians. And he even has photos of Poland and Australia. I just explained it clearly before. Clearly and intentionally, he then said, "I didn't do it on purpose. He just wanted to send a message to the whole world . Who dares to mess with me? I don't recognize my relatives, so I let go of everything. This is what he really wants to convey. In this situation in the United States, How do you face this? Do n't you usually have a righteous and awe-inspiring look? But the Russian representative in the United Nations made him smell so bad that it was extremely unbearable. But I want to talk about such a big international matter in Taiwan. In the Green Camp, programs like ours will discuss it , but it is almost never discussed. It seems that this has not happened in the United States , and Israel has not done these things. Can you stay away from this to this point? Can Taiwan reach such a point? You should introduce it. To warn Israel, which you admire, and the United States, which you consider reliable, to do such inhumane and irresponsible things. Even if you want to pursue Taiwan's independence today, shouldn't you be frightened and take it as a warning ? Can you do it this way? So I am It is said that Taiwan has simply fallen to the extreme. This incident has caused an uproar around the world . What will happen next ? Yes, you must not fall into Israel's trap at this time and be dragged down by him. But to be honest, Israel and the United States are in trouble in the world this time. The legitimacy of the world is almost gone. Most countries in the world have stood up and publicly condemned, especially the central kitchen. Only the United States is still arguing and explaining that a country with human rights must be recognized internationally. Upholding human rights and justice is a joke to the extreme , so Biden told everyone that he was going to make a phone call. I would tell him that I was very dissatisfied. Well, let’s go ahead and talk on the phone this time. However, the Chinese side emphasized that we came with Biden at his invitation. After the phone call, the tone has been set. Ministerial diplomacy is about to start. The first person to come is Yellen. She left for Beijing yesterday for a visit . It is said that Blinken will follow in a few weeks. Everyone started asking, so what is the meaning behind the phone call to pay homage to Xi? How should we understand him ? Mainland scholars think that it is to tell everyone that the role of setting the tone does not mean that China can accept the suppression and containment of the United States in some areas. But we still need to communicate with each other , and we still hope to be able to communicate with each other . That is to say , the brake pads must be resolved. After this meeting, have the differences really been reduced? Although there is dialogue between the two major countries, you want to say that there is a thaw. Generally speaking, everyone thinks that it is still far behind. After all , although the fragile relationship is maintained now , your economic and trade war will be held in elections this year. There will be many so-called anti-China steps that have not yet appeared, so there is no need between them. I am working as a buffer , hoping that we can have a dialogue with each other and not let the situation deteriorate immediately. I hope I can explain it to you so that you can understand what my intention is. But basically, technology and economy will definitely take action this year. Because Yellen once again reiterated that the United States does not want to decouple from China this time, but she said it when she gave a speech at a think tank before leaving. I will definitely tell China that we cannot accept the so-called unfairness. trading environment And you have overcapacity. We will not sit idly by . She specifically mentioned that it is to protect emerging industries from the impact of China. What exactly are emerging industries? In fact, she also made it very clear that they are new energy vehicles . Even before she started, Immediately afterwards , the United States issued another report of more than 400 pages , which talked about China's 45 pages of non-market policies for agricultural products and some obstacles in data policies . Of course, for China, because he will also follow this time. Important financial and economic officials such as Liu He or He Lifeng will meet with the Chinese side and directly say that they are looking forward to your coming, but we still hope that everyone can meet each other halfway and properly handle differences. I also know that it is impossible for everyone to come and go. Don't talk too harshly, it's just so good. So far, everyone has started talking about it . People on the Internet said what she would probably do this time. In 5 days, netizens helped her rank the first place to sell U.S. bonds. The second is that it may fail . Saving Boeing may fail. Economists in China are looking for confidants because the last time she came, she basically met a lot of female Chinese economists to exchange ideas. She came here and hoped that she could What kind of message has been received ? Now Sachs said it directly. This is a professor from Columbia University. He specifically mentioned that the United States should actually stop smearing the Chinese economy first and then talk to others so that each other can obtain sincere information. If you say If you keep attacking China with economic issues or using smear methods to attack China, it is actually difficult to have a real dialogue, because so far China has really said that you come and I welcome you , but it is also making some strategic plans of its own, such as Wang Yi Wang Yi is now here to talk with the foreign minister of Laos. This new productivity is also a new word they proposed in the two sessions, saying that they hope to provide some new impetus for the modernization of neighboring countries. People in Southeast Asia basically Generally speaking, the public perception has begun to change. In the past, they did have the intention to be more friendly with the United States. But now a new Singapore think tank has said that 50.5% of people actually prefer to form an alliance with China. In other words, the economy is really still improving. The policy and diplomacy here have played a role in India. In fact, you have to think about it. Some of the United States that are outsourcing to friendly shores are considering being with us and manufacturing with us, so we must be with us . China is here to compete, but after he finished speaking, the American media CNBC reported that in fact, the biggest thing you have to do is defeat Vietnam first, then lower your taxes, improve the efficiency of your supply chain, etc. You still have a lot to do. Only then can you mention that you want to compete with China. Now it is true that in China, although there are 155 fewer billionaires , they are still the number one in the world. Although India is developing very fast , can it really catch up now? At present, the central banks of the country, led by China and India , have increased their gold holdings for nine consecutive months. What everyone is starting to look at is this year’s BRICS. Although these two countries may not necessarily have the same position as the United States , the problem is that they are all BRICS countries this year. Some policy orientations between the BRICS meeting and the US dollar may affect the development of this series of trends in the future . Of course, I also need to consult Teacher Lai, because Yellen should have arrived on the plane now . Well, now they have set the tone after the heads of state 's phone call, which is to start ministerial-level diplomacy again. I personally think that this time the phone call was for the sake of talking, and the phone call was for the sake of talking on the phone. That is, the United States discovered that mainland China has actually left the federal government aside. During this period, mainland China only had contacts with local governments . For example, it had a good relationship with the governor of California. It also had talks with large American companies , American business leaders, and chambers of commerce, and also with American middle school students . We have invited 50,000 middle school students to interact with each other . Currently, the first batch has visited mainland China and returned. This means that the mainland should have set its tone and said that since it is difficult for the federal government to communicate with you, it will leave you alone. That is basically The previous one was to interact with local governments. Biden cannot let this situation continue, so this time it was just for the sake of making a phone call, which meant saying Hello, I'm here. Are you willing to answer my call ? Then of course Xi Jinping said Okay, if you want to call, then just pick it up. So what do you think the result will be? I don’t think there will be any result. The only results Biden has promoted so far are two. The first one is, can my Yellen and Blinken go? Of course you are China. The Chinese answer is that you can come if you want. You are welcome. But Yellen will stay in mainland China for 6 days. I personally infer that there will be no results. If Blinken goes next, there will be no results. As a result , as long as it doesn’t make a big fuss, it will be fine. Huawei changed its publicity strategy when Yellen arrived in mainland China. Originally, the Mate 70 was to be released first and had a press conference. Now it is said that it was suddenly canceled and it will go on sale directly. With this approach , it is very similar to the Raimondo era. Such a pioneering project is very likely to directly start selling the Mate 70. This situation is very interesting. For Yellen, the more you press on China , the more likely it will be. I'm going to show you something like this , but I think Xi Jinping has done several things this time. The first is one loss, two warnings , and three plus conditions. What is one loss? Because when Xi Jinping spoke to Biden, because you wanted the two countries. During the President 's speech, the President mentioned that there are three principles for Sino-US relations. Peace is the most important thing and stability is the most important thing . But I think the key point is to be trustworthy. I tell you again that you need to have trustworthiness . Think about it, a leader is told all day long that you have no trustworthiness. This is really ugly because Biden There is already a stereotype all over the world that people cannot keep their word. What their team says and what they do are two completely different things and their words are unreliable. Don’t believe it. I think this stereotype is getting deeper and deeper. This is the first and second warning. The warning is that the issue of Taiwan will not be left unchecked , and the issue of the trade war will not be ignored. This is two warnings , and then three conditions are added . When I was winning, I accidentally added six more , so I think the list is getting longer and longer. It seems that mainland China has no intention to have a good talk with the Biden administration because this government is changing and changing. Frankly speaking, there is no point in talking about it. I want to ask Teacher Yuan for advice. I have a slightly different view. I think Yellen said a concept that was very new before she went there because she was sitting and talking about how to solve overcapacity through dumping . The problem is that she actually only said half of what she said. In addition, the other half of what she said is basically what she said . We usually know that any high-tech industry or good thing, including TBMs, as long as China makes it You will understand the meaning when you get it and cut it to a cabbage price immediately . So why are things made in China so cheap and of high quality and low price? This includes new energy vehicles, photovoltaic panels , and their lithium batteries. Here is the explanation of this old lady. Yellen's explanation is that labor in China is too cheap. I saw a report that many mainland people are very happy about. That is, compared to the United States, the wages of ordinary workers in mainland China are indeed very low . Speaking from the United States, not long ago , because the American workers themselves knew how to protest strikes and demonstrations , and used the election to get Biden and Trump to agree with them, so the American auto workers' strike achieved unprecedented success. In this case, then Ye Lun’s concept this time is different from before. What she said before was mainly about forcing you to buy U.S. bonds. But when it comes to U.S. bonds, I don’t want to ask the question of whether to force it because everyone needs to understand the interest rate of the 10-year U.S. bond. Generally speaking , it is an international currency. The price that is basically the same among all currencies is a very important anchoring force in the market . Therefore, U.S. debt is not as troublesome as everyone thinks because in this world, except the United States, it can stabilize the currency. There is really no other country that can take his place, so from this point of view, I think Yellen ’s performance this time has hit the mark. But when it comes to raising the wages of workers, I think Seeing how she does it, I am a little bit looking forward to it. This is a bit new, but I will explain it again. You just mentioned the information about Singapore doing Southeast Asia , because after I read that information , I will emphasize that if you Look carefully at the information. Laos is Laos. Besides Laos, there are three other countries. Their preference for China is very different from last year. Each country has increased by 20% and 30%. Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Laos , Laos. Speaking of Laos, if he likes China, because China has built a high-speed railway there, he suddenly has face. Because Laos is originally a very backward country , is n't it a Buddhist country? But what I just said about Brunei, Indonesia and Malaysia are indeed the same. As a standard Islamic country, the continent itself has supported the Palestinians from the beginning to the end of everything that is happening in the Middle East. From the beginning to the end, it has emphasized the four major principles of ceasefire, negotiation , international law and humanitarianism. This concept is absolutely correct , so the Islamic countries in Southeast Asia , especially It’s Anwar of Malaysia who has a very good impression of China now . This is the really important reason. Israel has to pay a price for its outrageous behavior. Please tell me about Mr. Zheng. It’s like Biden had a video call with Xi Jinping . According to the teaching, this is relatively progress or a good thing. What Teacher Lai just said, I basically agree that some people in mainland China are relatively high. You see, as mentioned above, I made the call at the invitation of Biden and the invitation of the United States. So next When Yellen was about to visit , she started to think about what Yellen was going to do. She wanted to ask for something from China , so she made this phone call. What was she asking for? I hope that China can buy more of the U.S. national debt , or at least don’t continue to sell it, because this is not just China. Most countries around the world are selling off U.S. bonds and everyone is grabbing gold. At least Yellen said you should not do this kind of thing again . She hopes that China will buy more U.S. bonds. I think whether it is true or false, I still remember March 2021. On March 20, in Anchorage, Alaska , Yang Jiechi, the head of foreign affairs, said that I think of you Americans too well. That sentence was absolutely shocking. The subtext below said that you Americans are nothing at all. Why is this so? He just doesn't keep his word, because we often talk about a big country like the United States , let alone a big country like China, including Russia. You must at least speak decently and at least conspire in private. If you can't do it, don't promise him. Make a public promise and then completely break your promise. Not only do you break your promise, but you also turn your back on the person and then you fulfill the benefits you gave him. He eats it and then comes to eat people. This simply makes people think that China talks about you as a big country and treats you like a human being. So I think that is what we should look at when China and the United States meet . Biden will always have him, including this leader. His intention is to spread it to you in words you can understand. Let me first introduce the guests for this hour. First of all, I want to introduce the labor activist Zheng Cunqi, teacher, and international politics expert Lai Yueqian. Host , good audience friends. Well, there is also Teacher Yuan Juzheng, Professor of the Department of Philosophy at National Taiwan University, Yanying. Hello , dear viewers and friends. We saw that yesterday in the Legislative Yuan , although there was a major earthquake , this distinguished guest still came. AIT Chairman Rosenberg Rosenberg Ge especially emphasized that as a friend of Taiwan, he would stand with the people of Taiwan. Let’s first listen to the scene at that time. What’s different about the scene this time is that he had sent an interview notice to me very early. Everyone’s first point is that Rosenberg has actually been relatively low-key in the past. Another point is that you saw that we were able to capture some of her conversations just now. Open media filming is good, but you didn’t capture what Xu Qiaoxin broke the news about. In fact, she directly mentioned that Lai Ching-te’s 520 speech was particularly focused on this matter. From some perspectives, she felt that this should be a high risk that would affect cross-strait relations in the future. Some people also viewed yesterday’s meeting this way. Is it possible that Han Kuo-yu has become a weight for the United States to balance the situation in the Taiwan Strait? The most important thing is that as we just mentioned, they publicly released such a message and came to visit Han Kuo-yu. So everyone thinks that this is actually a balance for the United States to promote democracy. It is a trick of the party regime , because in fact, in the future, Lai Qingde will be inaugurated in 520. Lai Qingde. Basically , I have seen Rosenberg this time because the current vice president is about to take office as president. But if you look at the sitting postures of the two sides, it is obvious that they are different. Rosenberg felt relatively relaxed with his legs crossed. Our very upright Vice President just kept sitting upright as if listening to what he was saying. Is body language a political signal ? This is what everyone wants to know now. Before May 20, I was very worried that there would be any changes. Ma Ying-jeou, who is now on the other side of the Taiwan Strait, started a series of visits and came to the Mausoleum of the Yellow Emperor today. This time he said he would participate in the Qingming Festival to pay homage to the Yellow Emperor. In the past , he went to Taiwan six times during his term as president. This time he came to the local area to see the pictures at that time. Of course, everyone knows that the so-called Emperor Xuanyuan is the ancestor of the so-called descendants of the Yan and Huang people . If we say where are our ancestors? Is there some connection between the two sides in terms of history or blood relationship? This time everyone is saying that there may be a meeting between Ma and Xi on August 11th, and this one is our former National Security Guard. The Secretary-General of the Congress directly said that peace and stability are a plus for both sides of the Taiwan Strait . Of course, what he has to tell the US side is actually to convey a belief in peace. At the same time, he emphasized that if Xi Jinping really meets with Ma Ying-jeou, it will be a plus. Emphasizing that nothing will happen in the Taiwan Strait is a favor to Biden, because in fact, Biden and Xi Jinping had a direct conversation a few days ago. What Biden emphasized was peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait and issues on the South China Sea. Xi Jinping also talked about it. When it comes to the Taiwan issue , what he said is that the Taiwan issue is the first insurmountable red line in Sino-US relations. The two sides once again expressed their own opinions. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Mainland also mentioned that on the South China Sea side, they also emphasized that the United States should not intervene in the South China Sea dispute between China and the Philippines. The main reason is that many people say that April may be called Philippines Month . The reason is because on April 11, when Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida visits the United States, Marcos from the Philippines will also go there together, and then around the end of the month. The United States and the Philippines have started a joint military exercise again , so the Philippines specifically said that if China wants to intervene in supplies in the South China Sea , the Philippines said it would not be limited to military , which means that they would be prepared for possible aggressive actions by the Chinese Coast Guard in many aspects. To counterattack , the signal sent by the United States is that the United States, Japan and the Philippines will indeed discuss the South China Sea at the summit between the United States, Japan and the Philippines we just mentioned next Wednesday, April 11. In the past , the United States often came here to discuss with the Philippines , but now Japan has joined. It seems that there will be some changes in the East China Sea and the first island chain . Looking back, we want to ask Zheng Teacher , how do you think about AIT’s Rosenberg ? She is now meeting with Han Hanyu very publicly. She also faces the media openly. But what is invisible is that she seems to have talked about the 520 speech. Hanguo Yu is now in the blue camp. Rosenberg, a politician with the most political position, just like you mentioned, wanted to balance, and then he made various arrangements in a high-profile and public way , just to disseminate information, both blue and green, to balance me. The first question is why we should let others use it to balance, whether it is balancing the two sides of the Taiwan Strait or balancing the blue and green , the DPP and the Kuomintang. Why are we being played around like puppets by the Americans to play the balancing game? Why are we the targets of manipulation by others who play the game of balance? This situation and our status are so humble that it is really bad. Then you say yes, and you have to bow your head under someone else’s roof. But is this the reality? I want to ask Do we need the United States more or does the United States need us more ? Let’s talk about it. The United States is so big. Do we really need the United States? If we have Taiwan’s independence today , if we improve relations with the surrounding countries and even handle cross-strait relations, what else will we need the United States for? Is the United States really well-intentioned? So he needs us to play a balancing game today and use us as cannon fodder. He needs us , so he needs us to have chips. I am not talking loudly here. Look at other countries in Southeast Asia. Everyone knows that between big countries Balance between China and the United States. They can play a balancing game . It is a small country balancing the relationship between big countries. You are just like the Philippines mentioned just now. The Philippines also had one president who suddenly became pro-American and one president who was pro-China. It was also changed back and forth. It is not like us. Being forever under the control of the United States is like, let me tell you, it makes me think that this wife is the emperor's special envoy sent to see the government of the turtle turtle grandson. Isn't it ugly? Look at that crossed foot, that posture, that language , who is she? But who have we become? Why is she so arrogant? Each of us, our politicians, sit on the bench for a third of the time. This posture is so humble that it is unbearable. This is really the tragedy of Taiwan independence people or Taiwanese people. I don’t want to be sad with them. I think I hope Rosenberg will come here for the last time. This year she has come very frequently. This is already the fifth time. I always think she is a bad star. All Americans come here are bad stars. Definitely not. Lucky Star , we must be cautious, we must know ourselves, of course you said that she happened to encounter an earthquake yesterday , and the visitor was a guest. She was polite and greeted us with concern, but I tell you, she hopes that Taiwan can be safe. Please, as long as you Americans let go, you Americans. Leave you and the Americans will no longer play with Taiwan's fate. Taiwan will achieve the greatest safety in the earthquake. Of course, we have casualties and we are frightened. We all hope to avoid it , but sometimes to be honest, compared to the United States, let's talk about it again. No matter how much damage the earthquake can cause us, we will all We can get through it . If the United States ends up sending us to both sides of the Taiwan Strait as cannon fodder, we will be doomed. So what I mean is that everyone should spread out and tell the truth in this place. Again, I’m being polite. I shouldn’t be like this , but I’m happy. If you don't get up, it's just a cat crying and a mouse pretending to be compassionate. What's the real purpose of speaking some official words ? Let's make it clear that it's not just a political purpose. Who needs whom and who is in our relationship with the United States ? Is it so unequal? ​​Don't talk about us paying so much for protection. Without protection , I will be betrayed and trampled by him. I think it is true. I sincerely hope that Rosenberg will never come to Taiwan from now on. Taiwan should be independent. Taiwan should be able to control its own destiny. It is good to say that the chairman of AIT has indeed done so in the past. She will not visit Taiwan so frequently because she has already come for the fifth time in her first year in office. After the election, she has come twice on May 20 and will come again. Of course, everyone will want to know how frequently high-ranking U.S. officials come to Taiwan. What kind of situation are they worried about? They also want to ask Teacher Lai for advice. The reason is because Ma Ying-jeou is on the other side of the river. Of course, he hopes to convey a message of peace, just like what Su Qi said about the Dinghai Shenzhen needle that emphasizes peace. Stability is a plus for both sides of the Taiwan Strait , but will it have any effect? ​​I think Ma Ying-jeou is making a lot of efforts because he hopes he can play a relatively large role in the relationship between the United States, China and Taiwan. Of course, this also depends on the attitude of the Kuomintang itself. In other words, Ma Ying-jeou is a former president and former party chairman of the Kuomintang. The question is how much influence he has on the current Kuomintang . How many Kuomintang people are willing to support Ma Ying-jeou to continue. If more Kuomintang people are willing to support Ma Ying-jeou to continue, If we can inspire more young people to follow Ma Ying-jeou, I think Ma Ying-jeou will have great power in finding a balance and peace between the United States, China and Taiwan. Because at present, if Ma Ying-jeou can meet Xi Jinping When it comes to cross-strait peace and stability, this situation is actually because Ma Ying-jeou has always adhered to the 1992 Consensus. So since Biden said that he does not support Taiwan independence , what he advocates is a one-China policy . Since Biden clearly said that he advocates a one-China policy, It is theoretically reasonable to infer that China's policy does not support Taiwan independence , so Biden should not oppose the 1992 Consensus. Not only should he not oppose it , but he should support it. If this is the case, then under such circumstances, the 1992 Consensus constitutes cross-strait and even the United States , China and Taiwan. Isn't the Dinghai Shenzhen a reasonable thing and also a matter of smooth flow? So I think if the United States emphasizes again today because of this phone call, the United States emphasizes that the principle of the one-China policy has not changed , and then he emphasizes that he does not support it. For Taiwan independence , you Biden should directly say that our proposition is the 1992 Consensus. Isn’t that just like Ma Ying-jeou’s ideas and Xi Jinping’s ideas ? Then such a situation can effectively curb the development of Taiwan independence. I think this is Reasonable things. What we are most worried about in the current situation is that Americans are playing a two-faced game by saying one thing and doing another. Don’t forget that Rosenberg also came last year. As you just mentioned, she came several times. In June last year, she also met with You Xikun. You Xikun was the president of the Legislative Yuan at the time , and they talked behind closed doors for more than 100 minutes . Now the same thing is that I have met Han Guoyu. Hanguo Yu is the current president of the Legislative Yuan , so she is doing everything right. There is no need to overinterpret it. I don’t think the China Review Society’s interpretation is right. I think it is an overinterpretation because of Rosen. Berg is doing well , and what does she care about, Lai Qingde 520, what will you talk about? I think at this point, she conveys the will of the United States to Lai Qingde , and she wants to get a positive response , and she wants to get a solid guarantee. In other words That is to say , judging from the current situation , what she requires is that you, Lai Qingde, must submit the 520 speech script to the United States for review and approval before he can speak it , and the performance must be based on the script and cannot go off script. I think it is very likely that this part is conveyed. This decree is of course like an imperial decree to the current Democratic Progressive Party, because the Democratic Progressive Party has staked all its wealth on the Americans . Of course, does it dare to disobey the Americans? We are now looking at Lai Qingde's personality. Do you dare to disobey the Americans or not ? I also want to see if you, Lai Qingde, dare to express your independent and strategic thoughts in that way . As for the Philippines, this time Biden is actually here to explore the bottom line because of his deliberate actions before. The meeting was held in April, that is, on April 10th and 11th. In March, the United States and Japan kept saying that Fumio Kishida was going to the United States, and then Marcos was going to the United States. The wind has been blowing for a month, how can there be such a great meeting? Then it was said that the United States, Japan, India and Australia will hold annual military exercises in Palawan Island , and this military exercise is an anti-submarine military exercise. Such a thing is also blowing. After the strong wind blew, Biden called Xi Jinping to actually explore China's bottom line because the United States is still afraid of a fight with China in the South China Sea. The United States hopes that mainland China will fight with the Philippines , but it must not fight with the United States. So Biden wants to know if you will fight me when the time comes. Just fight the Philippines because I just want you to fight the Philippines. If you fight the Philippines, just like Russia fights Ukraine, it will become a proxy war that consumes you, not you. Nothing happened to me and the United States. I also made a lot of money. If you can, just hit the Philippines. Don't hit me. So far, the ships in the United States are from Japan. Please tell me, Mr. Yuan, how do you come to see me? I want to emphasize Luo. Rosenberg comes to Taiwan once every two months on average. If you look at this picture with her legs crossed , you don’t have to look at just the crossed legs. If you look at Lai Qingde’s expression, it basically means that Cheng Huan is very filial. Rosenberg’s words are guidance. I have been reading this manuscript for guidance. I personally feel that if your international relations have reached this point, you are clinging to one thigh of the United States and you don’t know whether it is a real leg or an artificial leg. I don’t think the Taiwanese are using it. The sad description can be said to be true. It is a problem in Taiwan. The whole problem is no longer about unification and independence . It has become a question of whether you believe the Americans. Basically, the less you know about the Americans, the more you believe in the Americans. People like Village Chess in the United States People who have read the book will never believe this. This truth has been explained clearly . This truth actually makes it clear. In addition, I think Ma Ying-jeou is in mainland China. I am very sure that he can accept the invitation . The highlight of course will be in front of Ma Ying-jeou on April 8. Choking words are all expressing emotions. I hope he will stop crying on April 8th. I said this really seriously because his emotions are very high because we in Taiwan really need the words of such a person to resolve the war. The crisis is because everyone needs to understand that we are working hard and teaching in Taiwan . We have only one purpose: to wish Taiwan well. We are truly good people for Taiwan. I have been to the Yellow Emperor ’s Mausoleum. If I talk about Chinese culture like this, I will choke up. You should be happy when you are choking on something, right? Because if you have today, it would be good if this nation has not been destroyed, right? If you know a little bit about history , then you can go to Sun Yat-sen Mausoleum and go to the former residence of Sun Yat-sen . As I cry here, I hope that the 8th is why. Because the formal significance of April 8th is very important . They will get two kinds of information, one is public and the other is private, just like the phone call between Biden and Xi Jinping . In terms of the actual situation, we must first understand two things. The first thing is why Ma Ying-jeou, whose reputation in Taiwan is so low, can still receive such grand and grand treatment. His own words showed such an invitation . Excited. Ma Ying-jeou is really very excited and easily excited. I don’t know why , but I think he is very excited. And on the second point, I think Su Qi is very right. That is, Su Qi’s point of view is that the game will be played in 4 to 5 years. After the end, if Ma Ying-jeou goes, the extension may become 6 to 7 years before the game is over. His function is here. It is only Su Qi's own words. He did not make this very clear . Ma Ying-jeou himself, as a former member of the reunification faction, There is no big problem with the leader's words , but it is really the most important key. It’s just that he doesn’t do things when he should do them. It’s useless to cry if he wants to do things now. In addition, sometimes when we talk about the issue of the Philippines, it’s the South China Sea issue. I think it’s actually explained clearly, even Teacher Lai just said it. It is very clear that the United States has set up a war trap and hopes that China will jump out of it. This will not be a hot war , but a war of economic sanctions, a war of trade suppression, a war of tariffs, and various kinds of wars. In fact, let me say this If I have a conscience, these wars are already happening now. So if we talk about what the United States is doing so far, and the tactics it has used, if they are all conspiracy, then the mainland has done a very good job in dealing with it , because the United States itself, if you wait, you will When you see the international news, you will know that the United States is really overwhelmed right now. It has big problems both internally and externally. This year is very important for the United States because they will hold a presidential election at the end of the year. Of course, at this juncture, any move will have a negative impact on the current president. For Biden, that's crucial. Let's advance advertising and wait until we come back and continue.
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Length: 48min 25sec (2905 seconds)
Published: Thu Apr 04 2024
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