Let’s take a look at how big country diplomacy works. Let’s take a look at this: Vietnam, which just sent away Putin, is now saying that he is going to China for a visit soon. Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chih will visit China on June 24. In fact, you have to know that the United States does not even know about it. The United States must know these things because they are so good at intelligence. So as soon as Putin left, their Assistant Secretary Kangda started to follow suit and said that U.S.-Vietnam relations were at the highest level in history. Unexpectedly, Vietnam turned around and said, " Sorry, I want to do this." He is visiting China and he is going to attend the World Economic Forum meeting . Of course, the trade volume between the two sides has increased in recent years , and Reuters directly told you that Vietnam now relies heavily on manufacturing materials and equipment from neighboring countries. Now in China , because the BRICS conference will be held in Russia this year , everyone is beginning to see the rise of a new South that is different from the G7 or the previous American and Western economic groups. Power: Southeast Asia is now hoping to join. In addition to Vietnam, which has recently been considered , Malaysia, which we talked about before, and Thailand, which we talked about before, everyone is beginning to hope to participate in a South-South cooperation framework. This is something that has never been seen before . Like Anwar, he talked about it directly. He said that there is a precedent in history . The Chinese emperor and the Malacca Sultanate have been able to benefit each other in the past. With some recent changes in Malaysia, especially after the Gaza Corridor war, you can clearly feel his relationship with Western countries. The reason for some of the changes is that they are now cooperating with Huawei to promote the Chinese tourism market . Thailand has actually been doing this for a long time. Since the beginning of this year, they have implemented visa exemption for Chinese tourists. That is the hope. Attracting mainland tourists to visit Thailand . Because of this policy, the number of Chinese people visiting Thailand in the first half of this year increased by more than 40% in the same period. What they actually hope to do well is the economy. To be honest, if you can make money, who doesn’t want money ? Will we be enemies with him? No, Germany is the most obvious example. Now the EU wants to impose heavy taxes on Chinese cars . Germany actually produces cars. They have a lot of cooperation with China , so now their deputy prime minister hastened to visit China to start a It was a very difficult conversation with Habeck. He also spoke very directly. Habeck said that in fact, tax increases should not be regarded as punishment. If we look at it objectively, it is called eliminating the advantages of Chinese enterprises. In other words, it really has Is it better? Because China’s feeling is that we will take all measures to safeguard the legitimate rights and interests of our company. The reason why we need to understand this matter is because Germany has always wanted to ease this atmosphere. After all, for them, they have many car companies. They have cooperation with China and many have factories set up in China. So if tariffs are really imposed, it will affect their ability to do business in China . And they have 14% of their car production capacity in China , so they hope Try not to make the relationship between them too tit-for-tat , but Germany's Deputy Chancellor Harbeck of the Green Party talked about why we have this. It seems that the relationship will change drastically because China supports Russia and he also said that we should know this. It directly affects our security interests , but is this really the case? Because of the Russian-Ukrainian war, this war just held a peace summit in Switzerland . China did not go . Unexpectedly, the country involved , Ukraine, now turned to talk about our second peace. Can the summit be hosted by the southern countries? Because they believed that many southern countries did not come to the previous one in Switzerland. Then our second peace summit should be hosted by the southern countries. In other words, can we? The interpretation is that last time he felt that the effectiveness could be improved a little bit and he wanted to ask the southern countries to help. Please ask the ambassador, because in fact, the current world situation is indeed different from the world situation we discussed before. The reason is that in the past, everyone would I think it is fair to say that the United States is led by the West , but now even in Vietnam, after receiving the United States , it will turn around and go to China. In fact, it means that we are talking about our current international power structure from a historical perspective. Now, China is moving from being a dominant power in the United States to having a pluralistic power structure. China's actual national power is rapidly approaching that of the United States. Whenever this situation occurs in history , of course there will be the so-called Thucydides phenomenon, which means that he will look for hegemony. It is possible to replace the hegemonic countries. That is what the United States is doing now. But the problem becomes that now is an era of globalization. The rise of mainland China has changed the fastest in its relations with neighboring countries , especially with these ASEAN countries. Regarding the relationship between countries, mainland China actually provides the most preferential treatment to ASEAN. The signing of RCEP actually allows this ASEAN country to have more preferential treatment than other countries when entering the mainland China market. And mainland China is also very clear that ASEAN can actually gain market status in mainland China. Most of them are agricultural products , so it will actually crowd out the ability of mainland China's agricultural products to sell in this domestic market. However, mainland China is still open. If you look at the supermarkets in many places in mainland China , in fact, every supermarket has durians. There are a lot of durians , and there are a lot of bananas and tropical fruits. Of course, durians are not produced in mainland China, but there are also a lot of them in Hainan and Guangdong. Similar to tropical fruits, mainland China's opening up will be very, very, very, very, very, very helpful to these ASEAN countries. The economy is very great . Another is that mainland China is actually a big foreign investment country , so China's entire industry Capacity It is the world's largest. In order to cope with protectionism in various places, many of these labor-intensive industries in mainland China also need to go abroad. How to invest in Vietnam is one of the very important targets. Therefore, from the perspective of actual interests, Vietnam has benefited greatly from the interests of mainland China. Regarding the benefits that may be obtained from the United States , for Vietnam, if Americans want to give gifts to Vietnam, Vietnam will not say no , but the price for accepting the gifts is definitely not to keep a distance from mainland China , so Vietnam is All gifts come from the United States. He also wants benefits from mainland China. He also wants benefits from Russia. In fact , this is a very good strategy for a small country. Then it still has the value to be fought for, so Vietnam Let’s talk about it , so you see that he is now having both sides among the three big countries. This shows how they are and their leaders are wise. For Taiwan, we are losing money when it comes to our entire foreign trade by trading with the whole world. We lost about 80 billion , but we made a profit of 130 billion from a single trading location in mainland China. So we still have a so-called trade surplus of 50 billion every year. So we still do business with the outside world every year. We can make 50 billion U.S. dollars , mainly from mainland China , so I don’t know if those on our side, especially those in the Democratic Progressive Party, think it’s easy to make money, right? The money earned from 130 billion U.S. dollars seems like You can spend whatever you want and don’t care. In fact, some people often say this about the Democratic Progressive Party. Many people often say that it doesn’t care that its officials do corruption and corruption. The grassroots people have no jobs. From this point of view, I think the Democratic Progressive Party is different from the Communist Party of Vietnam. It’s not as good as the Communist Party of Vietnam. They still care about whether their people can live a good life. Not everyone in Taiwan can live a good life . Many of our young friends now work very long hours and their salaries have not increased in 30 years. What do you think of Lai Qingde? Do they care? They have never put it in their mouths and then they just say they don’t care. China has canceled 134 items of zero tariffs and he doesn’t care . What about canceling 134 more items? If 10,000 people lose their jobs, he doesn’t care. If 50,000 people lose their jobs, he doesn’t care either. So I I think it means that in countries like Vietnam, we should not underestimate them. Their leaders are still very wise. In fact, from the perspective of trade, as we just said, no one hates money, and no one is engaged in trade, that is, companies and businesses. To make money, be responsible to your shareholders , your investors, etc. But from a strategic perspective, I would like to ask General Li. The reason is because if you look at Vietnam , Putin has just gone there . Of course, Putin is different from them in history. Cooperation and other implications, the United States quickly went there first. What he never expected is that Vietnam has actually become very close to China recently . I think this time, when the news comes out that the Prime Minister of Vietnam is going to visit China. In the future, I think Biden and Marcos from the Philippines might hug each other and cry. Why? Because when Biden came to speak last year, he visited Vietnam. He hoped to strengthen relations with Vietnam and also provide him with some electronics . The main purpose of providing this product manufacturing process to Vietnam is to win over Vietnam and form a trend with the Philippines and other two countries in Zhongnanhai to break China's declaration of preparing a code of conduct for the South China Sea. However, currently, the Philippines is now As for Vietnam , it has already paid such a heavy price. As for Vietnam, it will make arrangements and plans for its own country . You see, Biden spent so much energy on this trip. What will happen next after Xi Jinping leaves this year and last year ? At the end of the year, I visited Vietnam and the two sides were very good. They talked about the mountains and rivers and drank from the same river. It was very interesting. Then, Putin came this time. After Putin came, he became the prime minister and now he is going to China. China's visit shows that the relationship between the two sides is closely integrated. This close integration is not only about geostrategic relations, but also has a great economic relationship. Especially when these countries see the Indochina Peninsula and see the completion of the China-Laos Railway, they You really see the results in front of you. As soon as the China-Laos railway was completed , of course Laos is the so-called Laos. They laughed very happily, right? What is Thailand? Thailand laughed helplessly. You have to know that this railway was originally Thailand built it first , but Thailand was influenced by the ideas of European countries such as the United States or France, saying that this is a debt trap and that the Belt and Road Initiative is a debt trap , so it has been delayed for a long time and has not been completed . Now we see that after the China-Laos Railway is completed, the China-Laos Railway is completed. Just like what we are talking about here, there are many things . For example, tourists can come to Thailand very quickly, right? These tourists can just take the railway and come here from Kunming. Then what Thailand is rich in now, whether it is rambutan or something like that, Fruits or durians can also be transported via this railway to Kunming, Yunnan via Laos , and then the whole market will be sold to mainland China, so no one has to struggle with the money. When Vietnam sees it, Vietnam smiles bitterly. Why is it because of what he said before ? There is cooperation with China , but because it is also a French colony , the standards of its railways have always been three tracks with completely different widths. So at that time, they also hoped to borrow China's power , but due to domestic forces or various aspects of the struggle In terms of the influence of the United States, the railway has always been just like this. I only heard the sound of the stairs and saw no people. There was no construction at all this time. As for the China-Thailand Railway and the China-Vietnam Railway, it is already clear that they are ready to start construction. Especially I believe that when the Vietnamese Prime Minister visits China this time , this matter should be finalized. Thailand will also speed up the China-Thailand Railway, which is Thailand. The road that connects Laos and Laos will connect to it immediately. You see, this railway will go to Malaysia immediately. So why is Anwar so anxious ? Malaysia will go to Singapore, the Strait of Malacca , and after reaching this strait, no matter where it will be in the future. Many countries in the Indochina Peninsula will form a railway network and they will not be so dependent on the Strait of Malacca. In other words, their economy and trade will not be blocked by the United States or Western countries. The Strait of Malacca will be more accessible to them. One way to have room for your own development is to ask Brother Bing what he thinks. I think that for Vietnam, China and the United States are countries that have had wars with it. So do you think he will completely trust China and the United States? I don’t think he will definitely do the same. To maintain a properly cautious attitude , Kangda went to visit and said that trust between the United States and Vietnam has reached an all-time high. This is normal because there was extreme distrust in the past , so it is no surprise that trust has reached the highest level now. But in Vietnam, he himself knows it very well. After all, he It is too close to mainland China. It relies on mainland China for many things in business and economy , especially in terms of infrastructure. So I think Vietnam will still be the same in the future , that is, it will walk between the United States and China and remain relatively one-to-one. In such a balanced state , I am afraid that it will still favor mainland China because after all, it is too close to mainland China. So I think that even if the United States tries every possible means , it will not be able to change a national policy like Vietnam. The same is true for countries in Southeast Asia. Anwar said it very well. Countries in Southeast Asia have had trade relations with mainland China since ancient times . In fact, in these countries, Malaysia, Vietnam, Indonesia, etc., Chinese have been immigrating continuously for hundreds of years , so his relationship with the Chinese is It is already very deep that everyone is good at doing business , and the people in these countries in Southeast Asia should also know very well that mainland China actually has no territorial ambitions for Southeast Asia . All they want is trade, so that everyone can do business, so we have this foundation with each other . I think it is normal to develop cooperation in various fields regarding trust. Of course, they will not completely lean towards mainland China and will maintain an appropriate balance between Beijing and Washington. So I think this is very normal. But for European countries, I have always felt that they are in an interesting position . In fact , is it the fault of mainland China that Europe is in such economic trouble ? No, it is actually the fault of the Americans. But you have been hurt so miserably by the United States , but you still want to help the United States. When I blame others , I feel that the situation of Europeans is really, really wonderful. The United States has already harmed you enough , and you are still acting like China is dangerous. The United States is dangerous to you, okay? Who bombed your Nord Stream 2? Did you know that your pipelines are now even inspected by the Germans? Isn’t it embarrassing that no one in Europe dares to inspect your pipelines? You are so cowardly that no one in Europe dares to inspect this matter. And as a result, you are now completely like the lapdogs of the Americans , and you are ruining yourselves. Isn't it a shame to cooperate with the United States ' economy ? But the problem is that even if Europe ruins its own economy by then , it may not be able to achieve your wishes. In fact, the entire international situation is different, so we must talk about Zelensky. Why does he still need countries from the Global South to help him hold such a completely meaningless peace summit ? Really , everyone should save your energy and stop doing this kind of trivial thing. But the world situation has shown us some things. The changes include that in the past, you may have thought that this was the norm , but now after the changes in the world situation, there are some different appearances. You can think about which one is really beneficial to you from different angles. Is our advanced advertising now true? The reason why the knot is so difficult to resolve is because direct flights between China and India have not been restored yet . As a result, how do the mainland official media tell its people? They say it doesn’t matter, you can go to other places to play and do business in other places , but these two are considered They are both big countries , but there have been no direct flights. Some people think that this is really abnormal. Well, this is a statement. In fact, in some aspects , it is related to the relationship between the two countries. Looking at the Indian Ocean , the Indian Ocean is now said to have an outbreak. What does the Cobalt War mean ? The main reason is that China includes Sri Lanka, the Maldives, etc. on the Indian Ocean. Their strength or their strategic power points are now getting bigger and bigger , so India is considered a good thing for them. Part of the big threat lies in the mining rights. Part of the reason is that India actually hopes to find the location of this cobalt mine. It hopes to come here to do exploration . But the problem is that it filed a latest application to seek approval. There are some forces beginning to compete here . According to experts, India’s approach is to find a foothold to prevent China from having any presence here. After all, this was his world before and now it seems that he no longer has the final say between China and India. The main reason why India now hopes to increase efforts to win over Bangladesh is because the Prime Minister of Bangladesh has visited India for the second time. After Modi took office , they also hope to increase efforts to make the relationship between the two sides more and more friendly. For example, in the fields of maritime, ocean economy and even space communications, we hope to have cooperation. Of course, the Indian Ocean side needs to establish its leadership role. However, for China, there are many regions that are still connected or involved. New Delhi now hopes to be able to convince them. If Beijing can be excluded from the Teesta River, it is hoped that Bangladesh will refuse China to provide them with loans . This has something to do with development , because China originally wanted to provide about 5 billion to Bangladesh for many development projects. US dollar loan and financial support. If China does not provide loans , who will help with this matter? China has extended an olive branch to Bangladesh. In some aspects, it is actually playing both hands. Their relations with Beijing and New Delhi are also They are constantly strengthening in order to obtain their own greatest interests. However, there is a vigorous social media movement against India on the website , which also includes boycotting Indian products, etc. Some people even directly use the phrase "Get out". A good label . These are actually very similar to the anti-India movement that took place in the Maldives last year . In the entire Indian Ocean region, people are starting to think about this matter. Can I find a new big brother in the world before and in the world now ? Or there is a new recognition that the close relationship between China and Bangladesh lies in the trade of raw materials and exports . For example, the export of the garment industry can bring them more than 80% of foreign exchange. Raw materials are strongly dependent on China , but If you make money , you can actually become friends. As for the strategy, basically in May this year, the People's Liberation Army just arrived in Bangladesh for the first army joint training , and now there will be a so-called crude oil integrated super-large oil storage and transportation project here. Well, we always emphasize that it is a link with different aspects. What about India? India must also be concerned about this. In fact, many times when China does business with these so-called third world or southern countries, they emphasize that they can help you build it. India can come and help you with infrastructure construction. We can also just look at these new examples . Here in India, it is said that a bridge suddenly broke in Siwan District, Bihar. Of course, the local people were very panicked. In fact, within a few days I have seen before that the bridge in India cost NT$6.3 billion and collapsed twice in 14 months , which is more than a year. When these pictures were posted on the Internet, did you think it would be wrong? It’s so scary. Why did the NT$6.3 billion bridge disappear on the river so quickly? What happened to these infrastructures ? Will these incidents raise another question mark about manufacturing in India? Please tell me what the ambassador is doing in the Indian Ocean. Everyone has begun to see different power shifts , and the knot between China and India seems to be really difficult to resolve, because the mainland and India fought a border self-defense counterattack in 1962 , and India still controls China’s southern Tibet. The region is not owned by itself. In addition, in the Ladakh region on the western front, the Chinese and Tibetan traditional areas are also occupied. Because of British imperialism, they want to seize it , which in fact causes territorial disputes with India. In fact, this country has been independent since its independence. He carried out Great Indianism and inherited many of the aggressions of British imperialism in the past and this hegemonic behavior in the region. He inherited all of it, including the land of China. If you go to the southern Tibetan area and look at it, there is no one there. All Indians are Tibetan. If you want to go to Ladakh, Ladakh , commonly known as Little Lhasa , is also Tibetan . When did India become India? He will say that the land invaded by the British is his , and he is in The entire South Asia region wants to inherit the British Empire as a regional hegemony. So after India became independent, in fact , it was not easy to fight with all its neighbors. It fought three wars with Sri Lanka and Pakistan. How does it intend to influence Nepal ? Nepal is not bad . He did not annex him, but among the three small states in the Himalayas, Sikkim was annexed by him and he wiped out the country. This has a historical tradition. In Chinese history, Sikkim was called Zhe Mengxiong. This country with a lot of history is now occupied by India. Bhutan also controls the diplomacy and military of Bhutan , as well as the northeastern region of India. Now, the countries seeking independence are being suppressed by India with violence there. And its relationship with Bangladesh is not good either. Because what is Bangladesh? Bangladesh is a Muslim country. It is the third largest Muslim country in the world in terms of Muslim population. You know that there are still 200 million Muslims in India. In fact, they are mainly Hindus, especially now with the Modi government. Oppression from all aspects. During the general election this time, many Hindus came out to protest. They said why we don’t have the right to vote. We didn’t even finish voting on the voting notice . Only later did we find out that we didn’t vote at all. And they used Indian Buddhism to describe Indian history. These Muslim holy places in the world have also destroyed it , so they are very bad to this Muslim. So think about whether his relationship with Bangladesh will be good. Bangladesh has no way to deal with its relationship with India. How will he be treated? The threat of this strong neighbor does not have a good relationship with Sri Lanka. There are 15 people in Sri Lanka who belong to the Tamil tribe in southern India. In the past, the independence movement of the Tamil Tigers was instigated by India, so Sri Lanka is also very wary of India . You said India is within the Indian subcontinent If none of the neighboring countries likes him, then he will still implement his great power policy. Do you think it is feasible ? I would like to ask General Li Zhengjie for advice. We can use a map to see more clearly why India has a geographical relationship with these countries. In fact, everyone has paid special attention to it. The Northeast that the Ambassador just talked about is this place. This is the Northeast. Then here is Bangladesh , and here is Nepal, Bhutan, India and the Northeast. What are these 7 states? Everyone is familiar with it . Assam or These states are all clamoring for independence. Currently, it is the strong suppression that Ambassador Jie just mentioned. He followed this corridor and sent troops to suppress it. This corridor is called Siliguri Corridor, which is the red point . The last border conflict between China and India was in this place. In Doklam in 2017, the People's Liberation Army has deployed J-20 and J-10 fighter jets at the base in Shigatse . They can cut off this corridor at any time. From the map, you can clearly see that this Northeast 7 If India cannot control a state , it will become independent. So for India, it is really like a hanging sword. In this place, the Siliguri Corridor is only about 20 kilometers wide . And here it has trouble with Bangladesh, so From the geographical point of view, we can see why India has been actively trying to form a friendly relationship with Bangladesh , and India is actively opposed to it because it is easy to be cut off from the Northeast region. The 7 states will probably be independent. In addition, I would like to remind everyone that we are looking at Myanmar. We know that there is a port in the south called Kyaukpyu Port. It is currently leased to China for 99 years, right? There is a port in Sri Lanka. It ’s called Hambantota Port , which is also leased to China for 99 years. On the Indian side, there is a country called Pakistan’s Gwadar Port , which is also a port friendly to China. Think about it. If India as a whole wants to develop the ocean, But whether it is Myanmar’s Kyaukpyu Port , Sri Lanka or Pakistan’s Gwadar Port, almost all three of them are already ports. Geographically, it can be said that they have formed a situation of encirclement for the Indian Navy , so these two countries must be in trouble. That's inevitable. When it comes to India's infrastructure, apart from the one you just saw, I have a few very interesting photos here for you to see. You can take a look at this. This is a road in India. The Indians discovered it themselves and said that this road is paved. After finishing the asphalt, he opened it and found that the foundation stone underneath was a blanket. Then he spread asphalt on top of the blanket. This is India's infrastructure. In addition, everyone said that after the bridge was broken , there is a bridge here after the bridge just now. You can Look at it. Why did the bridge break? There was a woman on it. She wanted to jump into the river and commit suicide. Then 50 people gathered on the bridge to watch. They went up to see the woman jumping into the sea and into the river. The bridge collapsed because there were 50 people standing there. It’s because India’s infrastructure has reached this level. I personally think that if countries want to invest in India, they should be particularly careful and pay attention. If the infrastructure is not good, it will be difficult to develop a good industrial country. I would like to ask for advice. What does Brother Bing think? I think India has always been a wonderful country , so you have to be very careful when doing business in India. Many of my friends and classmates are still working in India. In fact, they have a lot of incredible experiences, including them. Many of the hygiene habits are so good that you will find it unbelievable. This is a country in the 21st century , but Indians have become accustomed to it. This is what they do. So when you go to India to do business, they often have some inexplicable concepts that are inconsistent with the prevailing trends in the world. It’s different , so there are a lot of knots between China and India that cannot be resolved, and there is no way to fly directly. In fact, I think it may not be a bad thing for some mainlanders. To be honest , if you really go there to invest and do business , you will probably realize that things are different for you. It's completely different from what I imagined. Musk originally said he would go to India to invest and set up Tesla in India , but then he suddenly didn't go to India and went to Beijing . Some people in Taiwan also scolded him and said, "Look... you don't understand ." Go and curry favor with Modi. Now Modi has been re-elected. Have you lost your chance now? Are you sure that Musk has lost his chance? I think he should have escaped. Then we see that the United States is also plagued by troubles with its debt. What is going on in the United States now? The surge in short-term debt is detrimental to the Fed's fight against inflation. The timing and extent of interest rate cuts are also attracting attention because the U.S. budget deficit continues to expand and it is now forced to issue a large amount of short-term debt to obtain financing. Analysts also pointed out that Japan will now sell off U.S. debt to force the Fed to print money. Banknotes will usher in a new bull market for cryptocurrencies. What’s going on? This is Japan’s fifth-largest Norinchukin Bank. It will sell off $63 billion worth of foreign bonds , a large part of which are U.S. Treasury bonds. But here’s the problem. Under Yellen, she will not allow such bonds to be sold on the open market and cause U.S. Treasury yields to soar. She will require the Bank of Japan to purchase these bonds and will use the Fed's repurchase mechanism to pledge U.S. Treasury bonds and obtain them overnight. The situation of newly printed dollars is an issue of the U.S. national debt. In fact, everyone knows about it , but it seems that the American people are indifferent to this. This is an analysis by the Wall Street Journal. He said that the United States is sailing into unknown waters of federal debt. People seem to be indifferent to this astronomical debt. The government seems unable to reverse this situation. Including Trump and Biden, the U.S. national debt has increased by a total of 14 trillion, which is equivalent to NT$450 trillion. However, the American people seem to be indifferent. Next, we see the Boeing passenger plane, which is also controversial. Korean Air flies from South Korea. We were about to fly to Taichung and suddenly dropped 600 meters. The scene was very scary. Even the oxygen masks fell directly. Many passengers suffered from nosebleeds and life and death. The scene you are seeing now is a Korean Air Boeing passenger plane flying from South Korea. We flew from Incheon to Taichung , but due to an abnormality in the pressurization system during the process, we suddenly dropped 600 meters while high in the sky , causing the oxygen masks to fall instantly, causing many passengers to have nosebleeds , and there were many problems with Boeing. In the past, there were windshields. Most of the glass suddenly broke at an altitude of 40,000 feet and frightened many of the passengers and crew members. Boeing's recent flights are also a series, including the Southwest Airlines flight to Oklahoma on June 19. This Boeing 737 almost hit a house. On May 25, when Southwest Airlines' Boeing 737 MAX was flying to Auckland, it suddenly experienced a Dutch roll at an altitude of 10,000 meters. The tail swung left and right, and the wings swayed significantly . On April 11 At that time, Southwest Airlines' Boeing 737 MAX 8 encountered bad weather near Hawaii and almost crashed into the sea. Fortunately, these accidents did not cause any casualties. Let's see that Boeing's problems also include such as Interstellar Technology, an astronaut trapped in the international airport. The space station and the engineers on the earth are racing against time to help him solve the problem. The astronauts on this interstellar space station are delayed in returning to the earth because of problems with Boeing's spacecraft technology . But after everyone has seen the Boeing problem in the United States , you have to go back and look at China now. After the French astronomical satellite was launched in Xichang, the picture looks pretty good. Now it has entered the scheduled orbit. The launch mission was a complete success. It will go to the universe to explore the so-called gamma ray burst. The United States now looks like China's aerospace company. Technology has been advancing rapidly. Will the United States' current restrictions on the development of AI in mainland China cause its own seven-injury punch? There is now a report stating that four Chinese students who studied in the United States to participate in academic seminars were subject to unwarranted data interrogation by the United States. Two of the people involved have science and engineering backgrounds , and their research directions are related to AI. Another part of the story is that the United States has now announced new regulations to restrict American companies from investing in Chinese AI and other technology fields that may endanger the security of other countries . Relevant measures include a ban on investment , which must be notified to the relevant government departments . However, it seems that there is a tightening situation , and some people seem to hope to cooperate with mainland China on the AI part. This is an AI jointly developed by Apple's ChatGPT and other Western companies. The module cannot be used in China , so Apple needs to search for Chinese partners to help Apple provide related services . Come back and ask Brother Liang, what do you think of the current U.S. debt problem ? But the American people don’t feel it. They don’t feel it because they have always been I think Japan's 63 billion yuan , Yellen's, cannot successfully pressure the Bank of Japan to take it. This will test whether Japan is a sovereign country. Because the Japanese yen has become so weak, the Japanese yen has plummeted to 159 and it has fallen very deeply . As a result, you It’s very ridiculous to buy U.S. debt with yen. If the Bank of Japan still has no autonomy at all , then it’s really no wonder. We said that the Russian spokeswoman Zakharova said that Japan is basically For a country that has been emasculated, she just talks about it so plainly that you have no sovereignty at all. Frankly speaking, your Bank of Japan is forced to buy U.S. bonds instead of defending your yen. This is already unbelievable . Anyway, we will see the results. Why is the United States currently in this situation? Because it does not cut interest rates , the interest payments on U.S. debt alone may cost 1 trillion U.S. dollars next year . That 1 trillion U.S. dollars, the U.S. government’s annual expenditure budget is about 6 trillion U.S. dollars, and it is likely to start this year. A little larger, it will be about 7 trillion U.S. dollars , but your 1 trillion U.S. dollars is gone just to pay interest , so he must find a way to lower interest rates no matter what, but it seems that inflation cannot be suppressed at present , so he is in a dilemma. Many countries actually confess Another thing we are still observing is that if the BRICS meeting this year decides to use non-USD payments, will it cause the countries participating in the BRICS to reduce their foreign exchange reserves in US dollars ? If so, will these countries sell US dollars again? When the time comes to sell U.S. debt, I'll see how Yellen manages to hold it off . The U.S. can't accept all of it, so the seller must also consolidate its own currency, right? So I don't think this kind of thing can always be yours alone. Well, it’s almost 35 trillion US dollars in debt. 35 trillion US dollars is simply unbelievable. Frankly speaking, who caused this? I think both Trump and Biden are responsible. That’s it. As for China’s science and engineering students, I think China’s science and engineering students You should see the reality clearly. Their future employment in the United States may reach a certain ceiling and you will be stuck if you can't get up, right? There are many fields that won't let you go. Frankly speaking, you don't know what will happen in the future, because if Trump If President Trump is elected , he might be even more harsh on Trump Anti-Chineseism is more important to him because he believes that technology war is very important. AI is the last sacred territory of the United States , so how can you be allowed in? And currently Biden is actually operating. The United States cannot invest in AI companies in mainland China , so there are some If you already hold shares, you have to sell them , so I think this field should be decoupled. Chinese science and engineering students are still dreaming about going to the United States to work or get a degree. I think this is too unrealistic, so I have some things to think about. Understand that even if you are employed, you may not be able to get promoted to a higher place, right? Or maybe some of your contacts with the mainland may cause you trouble . For example, they may have some units to investigate the fact that you have been searched inexplicably. The Thousand Talents Plan later led to the entire science and engineering field going back to China to develop, not only AI, but there are about 1,400 people. Some of them have already developed very well in the United States, and some have received tenure. They decided to go back because frankly speaking Because there have been some Sino-US cooperation cases before , some of which took Chinese money, not necessarily government money , for example , or what we call Venture, venture capital funds, etc., you will be involved , so it is difficult to be a human being... So I think There are some things that mainland China may need to see clearly for themselves. Let’s ask Professor Zuo. Of course, the United States now wants to ban American investment in mainland China’s AI or other related industries such as semiconductors or quantum computing. This idea is like this It's been a while. Last year, when Gallagher was still serving as the chairman of the so-called China Policy Committee, he actually proposed a lot of things at that time . He even held hearings at that time and asked everyone to say that mainland China is very likely to be in the country. If President Lai Ching-te is elected, the possibility of China's military threat to Taiwan will increase significantly. I remember that there were reports like this at that time . Of course, under this background, it seems that this is becoming more and more likely to take shape. Of course, he is now Of course, there are some exceptions , such as if you are an investment fund or you are investing in some investment decisions that you have already committed to, these can probably be exempted . However, this also involves Manchuang . Why , because in addition to mainland China, it includes Hong Kong and Macau. In fact, they are all covered together, so in the future he will probably be more restrictive , and some of them said that although I do not restrict your investment , you must declare this. Of course, it will add some extra burdens to many American companies, and he will also The worry is that he may have to go through some necessary so-called administrative procedures, which will cause additional costs. By the way , in fact, our regulations on foreign investment in Taiwan are much stricter than those in the United States. All foreign investment must be regulated by the government. I agree with this. It is actually better than the United States. You can see from the United States that we just mentioned that it restricts investment in mainland China. In principle, it is open. In principle, it is free. In exceptions, it will restrict or ban you. But Taiwan All major investments , that is, all important investment cases, must go through the government's review, so relatively speaking, our control is stricter. But in this regard, can his current investment approach be able to effectively restrict it? This investment from mainland China . China's acceptance of this technology from the United States will of course have a certain impact , but it cannot be completely blocked. Of course, you can say that such an action is probably aimed at mainland China, because the three-party conference will be held next month. According to one of the current speculations, the Third Plenary Session of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China is also mainly focusing on how to expand international scientific and technological cooperation . So now it seems to be a bit like fighting against Taiwan. But of course, he cannot completely stop it. Why? Because there are still European countries. There is Japan . Recently, the Under Secretary of Commerce of the United States is going to visit Japan soon . Why? The most important thing is Japan's Tokyo Electric Power Company . There are also other countries like Esmore. He wants to visit these two countries, the Netherlands and Japan. The key point is that they can In addition to restricting their exports to the mainland's semiconductor industry, in the past the restrictions were mainly on machines . In the future, even services will be blocked. Of course, this will have an impact on the mainland. But what the mainland can most expect is Europe , because Europe is now seeing that of course It means that the continuous flow of goods from the first continent into the European market will have an impact on Europe , so now they have imposed tariffs , but their tariffs are lower than those in the United States because they have another plan, which is to encourage the mainland. Manufacturers investing in Europe , such as BYD in Hungary or Chery Automobile in Spain , is probably something that Europe expects in the future , so Europe and the United States will adopt different strategies . Sometimes, the anti-blocking technology of that technology will not be that effective. What’s more, the anti-blocking technology of the United States involves another issue. He mainly said that your final product cannot flow to the so-called national security and bring harm to the national security of the United States. Threat , but how to check this intermediate process? This is of course a very large and complex project. I would like to ask Brother Xiaowei, what do you think about this Boeing passenger plane that keeps having such accidents ? The situation of the aircraft is different every time . In fact, we have to treat it as an individual incident . But from the perspective of flight safety, it is indeed like this. Indeed, this aircraft happened to happen on the route of Incheon to Taichung. There were a lot of our compatriots who came back safely at noon, right... came back safely at noon. Everyone felt like they were on a roller coaster , and they felt quite surprised. In fact, why did the plane descend in such an emergency? I think it is more reasonable for them. It is said that there is a problem with the first cabin pressure system. Why is it said that there is a problem with the cabin pressure system ? The plane has to land so fast. In fact, you know if today we are flying at an altitude of more than 40,000 feet or more than 30,000 feet. At that time, the pressure and temperature were insufficient, so you see it. When the cabin pressure part of the aircraft has a problem, the oxygen mask quickly falls down. Why should everyone continue to have oxygen ? And the entire settling process must be within 15 minutes. Why is it 15 minutes? Because you probably saw the oxygen mask in front of you fell down. Sorry, it can only supply oxygen for 15 minutes. So why is it said that there is a time limit ? There is a time limit, and the cockpit can supply about 1. From many hours to about 2 hours , so during the Malaysia Airlines incident, everyone wanted to say that we calculated it at that time and said that in fact, the captain maintained the plane at an altitude of more than 40,000 feet , turned off the cabin pressure , and then the passenger He took out the oxygen mask and put it on everyone for 15 minutes , then everything was gone and everyone passed out. So in this case, what he did was actually an emergency response, which is right , but we also have to look at it. That is to say, you are investigating after today's incident. When this Boeing incident occurred, was it related to other aircraft? Maybe the oxygen supply system or the cabin pressure system failed alone , or there was a problem with the flight control system of your entire aircraft. This is very important. If you want to find out, If these two things are related , then at this time your 737 MAX passenger aircraft or the 737 series may have to undergo another inspection before it can fly again. If it is said that the aircraft today simply has a cabin pressure system failure. The problem is that if it makes an emergency return to land, it has nothing to do with the control of the aircraft itself . However, if you have a plane today, whether it is Boeing or Airbus, there are so many passenger planes on the earth . It is true that we have to pay attention to the big and small problems , but we should not scare ourselves. What we see again is the part of India . Is India now trying to check and balance China? He has stepped up efforts to win over Bangladesh. This is Modi and Bangladesh Prime Minister Hasina. She has agreed to strengthen the national defense of the two countries. The Associated Press pointed out that Modi’s move comes at a time when India is trying to build itself into a regional power to check China’s power. In fact, some of Modi’s recent actions are also It makes people wonder if it is really necessary to directly check and balance with China, including reports that he will not attend the SCO Kazakh Summit next month . The SCO will be held in Kazakhstan from July 3rd to 4th, which happens to be this week. It is also the session of the Indian Parliament , so India is likely to send other representatives to attend this summit , but Modi will not attend . The relationship between China and India seems to be very tense now. There has been no direct flight business opportunities in India for 4 years. To say that one less condition means that there is no need to negotiate any conditions. Let’s take a look . Sources told Reuters that China’s official aviation industry players have repeatedly asked India to restart direct flights in the past year. However, India’s lack of interest is due to China and India. Border relations are very tense . The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of India responded that peace on the border is a very important factor in the relationship between the two countries . But the problem is that the China-India route has not yet responded. Mainland China does not care at all. He said that the Chinese National People’s Congress can go there without doing business and tourism. It is not necessary to go to other places. What does India say? He said that the Global Times reported that the two most populous neighboring countries in the world have no direct flights. This is a very unusual situation. India is dominated by a debt-collecting mentality. It refuses to issue visas and refuses to resume direct flights. The Chinese People’s Congress can go. You can do business or travel in other places without having to go to India. Where does India’s confidence come from ? We saw the People’s Daily reported that China is helping Bangladesh realize its dream. This is the so-called Gandhi Sewage Treatment Plant that was completed in July last year. It has been officially completed. Now this project is provided by China with preferential loans, financing provided by banks in and out of China, and the project contracted by Power Construction Corporation of China to do the maintenance. Chinese Ambassador to Bangladesh Yao Wen said that since the sewage treatment plant has been operating on its own 260 million sewage has been treated, which has benefited the local people. So what does India have now? India seems to have accidents happening one after another. It can be seen that road bridges in India are collapsing one after another. This road bridge is a road bridge collapse incident that occurred in Harbin. Let’s look at it. The picture is really horrifying. A few days ago , a road bridge collapsed in the same place. This bridge was finally rebuilt due to heavy rainfall in 2020 , but it collapsed again. The cost of reconstruction was as high as 46.49 million yuan. Let’s look at the second paragraph. picture There was a train collision in India that resulted in 5 deaths and 20 injuries. And as you can see, the carriages were stacked up in the air. This was a freight train, and a passenger train caused two trains to be severely distorted. Some of the carriages were even stacked up in the air. It seems that the scene is very scary just now. But everyone wants to ask: What about the train collision , which also highlights the misalignment of the Modi government’s priorities. In the past five years, India’s railways have been in the news frequently because of Modi’s use of high-speed express trains. But now it happens like this It’s a serious matter . Modi is unusually absent and everyone is missing. Now, compared with India’s attitude, Southeast Asia has to deepen its relationship with China. This is Vietnam’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs. They issued a press release saying that Fan Mingzheng will attend due to the invitation of Li Qiang and the founder of the World Economic Forum. The World Economic Forum held in Dalian is not only about Vietnam and Indonesia . How will the mainland interact with the West during the handover of power in October ? Now we have Indonesian scholars analyzing it. He said that Prabowo will continue to maintain economic relations with China , but he will also Strengthening cooperation with the West will lead to a stronger defense of sovereignty in the disputed territories in the South China Sea and the country's economy. However, a report by Singapore's Yusof Issa Southeast Asia Institute shows that China's popularity among Southeast Asian people has increased significantly by 50.5. % of the respondents said that if you asked them to choose a side between the United States and China, China would be the choice they would be willing to stand on . This report also showed that as many as 73.2% of Indonesians would like to side with China. Why is this the case when we are on the same front ? Is there also a rush to join the BRICS in Southeast Asia ? Bloomberg News reports that joining the BRICS is a way for countries that want to mitigate risks amid fierce competition between the United States and China. Many countries in Southeast Asia It is economically dependent on China's trade and also supports Washington's functions in security and investment. Therefore, it can be seen that China has a very deep and very deep relationship with the operation of the entire Southeast Asian country. Come back, let me first ask Brother Liang what you think. Now India continues to fight against China and wants to pull in Bangladesh , but Bangladesh now relies on China for many things. Bangladesh is also mainly Muslim. It was originally the same country as Pakistan and was separated later. You said that India and Muslim countries can be any better. I really don’t believe you. To be honest, the relations between India and its neighboring countries are very poor. Pakistan, Nepal, Sri Lanka, and Bangladesh are all. I believe that Modi’s greatest skill is to ruin relations with neighboring countries. So I think this news is false. When I saw the news from the Free Times, I thought There must be something wrong with this title . It’s just to criticize China first. Isn’t it because he is a Muslim ? There are more than 200 million Muslims in India, and the relationship with Modi is not good. Then how can Pakistan and Bangladesh be any better with him ? In fact, throughout Asia, we say it was because of the Gaza War. In fact, the reason why Southeast Asia suddenly became better with China is mainly because the Muslim countries, namely Malaysia , Indonesia and Brunei, are very disgusted with the US attitude towards Palestine. So you just mentioned The well-known research center in Singapore often does polls and found that the favorability of these three Muslim countries towards China suddenly exceeded 70%. In fact, it was because of the Gaza War. Frankly speaking, Plabo Wo should have a good relationship with the United States. This is the new president, so I think he will more or less buy arms from the United States in the future . However, because these countries , such as Indonesia, Indonesia’s arms purchases mainly come from Russia , so some countries actually have this history. It is a bit historical because it is also a non-aligned country. During the Cold War, many countries had relatively good relations with Russia. India, Vietnam, and Indonesia also bought most of their weapons from Russia , so they also had good relations with the United States. It won’t be much better , but I think when you look at international relations now , sometimes you shouldn’t talk about whether it’s pro-China or pro-American. It’s not necessarily that way. They are all trying to figure out how to do it. Depending on the degree or aspect, it will be better for a certain country. For example, it is true that Indonesia and China have disputes over the South China Sea , but it is mainly an economic sea area. It is not a dispute over sovereignty , not the sovereignty of the island. It is an issue of demarcation of economic sea areas. This is easier to deal with because it only requires joint development and then limiting each other's rights. Naval operations can probably be handled, so I think that if a country like Bangladesh is so poor and Muslim, who can help it with infrastructure must be China, and India will not come to help it, so I say this is very Realistically , but I won’t just understand it like this. There is no need to infer that Bangladesh is pro-China. It means that for individual projects, it will choose what is in the best interest of its own country. Let’s take a break from commercials and come back to continue the discussion. I would like to ask Professor Zuo for advice. What do you think? Now there is a craze in Southeast Asia to join the BRICS. The news that everyone has seen recently in Southeast Asia is that there are two things related to the BRICS. One is that Thailand has officially submitted its application two weeks ago . The second is Malaysia because of this. Li Qiang, Premier of the State Council of Mainland China, visited Malaysia. Before his visit, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar received this interview from the Observer. In that interview, he said that Malaysia is interested in joining the BRICS. So these two are probably the latest ones that everyone has seen. But in fact , apart from them Indonesia has also publicly expressed its interest in joining in January this year , but has not yet taken formal action. He said that they are studying other countries, and Laos, Cambodia , and Myanmar have also expressed interest. It seems now that it is most likely to be the first one. It is probably Thailand to join because he has officially submitted the application to Vietnam, but there is no reason for them to be interested. The main reason is of course that they are attracted by it, that is, in this so-called global south that is now emerging, they will have more in common with these countries . This is about some agendas of global economic governance . Cooperation with them can make it easier to open their markets through this platform. So this is probably a very important reason why we see that Southeast Asian countries are interested, but we should not forget it. Southeast Asian countries themselves are also in the Global South. It’s just that they used to have deep ties with the United States and Europe , and now they are also looking at the so-called emerging Global South as an economic bloc. Of course, this also involves another issue . In the current fierce competition between the United States and China , they also hope to find a third way. But what is more interesting is that Vietnam has not proposed to join this BRICS country. However, Vietnam has very close relations with mainland China . Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Zheng will make an announcement on the 24th. When I went to Dalian , in fact, the relationship between Vietnam and the mainland is very close. Many people would think that the relationship between Vietnam and the mainland is very tense because of the sovereignty dispute in the South China Sea . In fact, the relationship between the Communist Party of Vietnam and the Communist Party of China is very close. In late June, At this time, in the past half month, there have been three important high-level visits. One is why the Vice Chairman of the Standing Committee of the Mainland People's Congress went to Vietnam. Why? This is to commemorate the Battle of Dien Bien Phu. They went to Vietnam. The second one is What is it ? The head of the Central Mission Department of the Communist Party of Vietnam went to the mainland to visit Wang Huning. The third one we talked about here is Pham Minh Zheng. So in fact, their interaction is very, very close and occurs in every field. So this is actually our What most people tend to overlook is that the anti-corruption push in Vietnam actually echoes the anti-corruption campaign in mainland China. Let’s take a break from the commercials and come back to continue the discussion. Finally, let me ask Brother Xiaowei where India’s confidence comes from. In fact, you said that India wants to fight with Beijing. If you want to take a confrontational approach, look at the countries surrounding India and even the countries in nearby Southeast Asia. Basically, all of them are receiving funding from mainland China to a certain extent. You see, regardless of the Pakistani brothers on the left, the Pakistani brothers, and the Pakistani brothers on the right. Bangladesh has pinched India from both sides of mainland China. In fact, it has already tried its best to assist these relatively so-called countries in the southern world when its own capabilities were not enough. You can say that now its entire national strength has increased. Through his own Belt and Road Initiative , for example, Bangladesh or Pakistan are all important points of his Maritime Silk Road. You said that all the way from these countries in Southeast Asia. You see, Teacher Zuo also mentioned just now that in Southeast Asia Why are these countries generally more friendly to mainland China? Because in fact, I feel it more strongly. I remember when I went to the Singapore Air Show to hold a press conference, the economic minister at the time seemed to be the current prime minister , and I wanted to thank them. Among the countries participating in the 2020 event , many countries fled due to the epidemic , but the U.S. Department of Defense persisted and fought to the end. However, the result was that at that time, I thanked Beijing first during my speech.
