Lok Sabha Election 2024: Can Congress Regain Lost Ground, Prevent BJP Dominance? #ConclavePopUp

you know there is one statistic Prine that I like to throw at Congress persons in particular of the 178 seats that the BJP and Congress were in direct contest in 2019 when I say direct contest between the two you won 80% of the votes you won just 12 of them please keep this in mind 178 seats you won just 12 average margin was more than 15% in 2014 of the 143 seats in direct contest the BJP won 130 you won just 13 you see you seem to be the kamor CI you're talking about alliances unless you are able to beat the BJP in direct matchups to use another IPL term how are you going to actually even reach a 100 or take on the BJP that's the weakness of your party at the moment we are in Mumbai the financial capital and the stock market Capital you know in stock markets investing there's a saying and in mutual funds there's a disclaimer past performance is not an indic Ator of future returns okay so we cannot keep going back on this is what happened in 2019 then I can go back 1984 this is what happened into the BJP 1999 this what a little unfair I'm going to the last two elections 2019 I get that I get that Raj I think we also had a 2004 where all everybody thought it was going in a certain manner that's why I'm saying let's let's have some humility here let's let's understand that when this swings when there is anger on the ground when people are saying why is the prime minister only talking about Hindu Muslim he was our prime minister for 10 years does he have nothing else to talk about and now to boot because again we're in Mumbai suddenly I don't know what the situation is with the top two business groups and and the Prime Minister he mentions them suddenly for the first time in 10 years what is going on what are these indications so when these when the ground sentiment shifts it can shift pretty drastically let acknowledge that I want to throw one more data point before I go to gvl because the BJP vote between 2009 to 20 2019 in a decade Grew From 7 crores in 2009 to around 22 crores in 2019 the Congress vote has remained static at 11 crores so you're not getting new voters how do I again I come back to it how do you take on this Mighty BJP machine unless you get new voters or you're able to close the gap in these Direct matchups see I think I think it is a no-brainer that the BJP has grown significantly in the last 10 years I think that's for everybody including me to acknowledge accept and admit and perhaps even congratulate but the point is now I don't want to get into how fair our elections are and those types of things because that's another issue that I I hope we will get into if you're really since you're using Sports analogies is this really a fair match I think that's the next thing that we need to talk about but I we I completely understand that the BJP has grown but what the swing is what I keep pointing to the swing and it could be the swing in terms of Youth it could be the swing in terms of identity groups it could be the swing in terms of States voters in States when they swing even if 5% of committed BJP voters not committed meaning over the last 10 years if they swing that's a swing of 10% okay you need a Mitchell star basically somewhere in the Congress ranks to really swing the ball in these early overs but gbll Nimar ra one very interesting statistic again and we are focusing on data at the moment 132 132 of your sit out of the 303 sitting MPS have been changed by the BJP almost 30% of your MPS are MPS who have come are candidates who come from other parties to you you seem to be welcoming one and all it almost seems you lack confidence in your own MPS imagine you've changed 40% of your sitting MPS isn't that a clear indication of local anti-incumbency that your MPS are not good enough that you have to change 40% of them if you've done such a remarkable job in 10 years why do do you need to change 40% of your sitting MPS or bring in people whom you called corrupt only the other day we are in the same state where you called certain leaders corrupt and said you would do Chucky pissing and send them to jail and those leaders are happily sharing a platform to youl a significant number of candidates have been MPS have been uh candidates have been changed but that's a part of the game now that you are talking about Cricket so in cricket do you go with the same team every match the captain is the is is the real strength of this team is Prime Minister Modi G he's the captain of the team people have trust in him and he has he has the uh uh he he is allowed to choose his own team members so if some members of the team have not performed or cannot win this cannot play well in this particular Innings because of certain factors I think as a smart Captain he will make the changes and but a good team is seem to be a stable team you seem to be effectively admitting sir one you seem to be effectively admitting that 40% of your team is not good enough all your focus on the captain the other 10 players don't matter you can change them because people will vote for your captain no Raj we they have a strategy where a large number of MPS have contested as mlas gone to States as Chief ministers as ministers as speakers I think that you cannot continue with the same team that possibly doesn't help I think you will have to do the necessary changes to infuse dynamism into the party and it's not that people who have been replaced they are being jened they're being involved in some other roles whether organizational or State Assembly or somewhere else I think that's a smart you have to appreciate the BJP strategy and I'm sure this will be your analysis on the fourth evening how smartly Modi has made these effective changes to uh to to win a massive victory for the third time over well I will concede that in 2019 90% of your new MPS or the MPS you changed did win the election so maybe there's a strategy there though 40% seems a rather excessive number but I want to come to you gbll as someone who's done a lot of syphy and look at something which seems to some observers to be strange interesting intriguing which is turnout in the first round in the first two rounds average voter turnout declined by about 3 to 4% uh even after the final figures are out and there was a sense that the BJP got worried particularly after the first round that maybe our voters are not coming to the polling boots which is why as Prine chakrawarti seems to suggest the Prime Minister change strategy enough of vixit bhat let's go back to Hindu Muslim is that true or not that somewhere that first round in a way spooked the BJP yes or no no because I think the focus on his speeches even now throughout his campaign has been on development has been on Guarantee for development on how we have delivered in 10 years how we have become the fifth largest economy in the world how in 10 years we will become the third largest economy take out today's newspapers the front page ads we talk about what India will be 5 years from now under Prime Minister Modi so our focus is entirely on development but in a in in five rallies that prime minister speaks in a day where he speaks for nearly 5 hours I think there will be he will be covering a wide array of topics you cannot allow uh opposition to run away with polarization and not to highlight this Factor

Channel: India Today

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Keywords: praveen chakravarty, g.v.l. narasimha rao, conclave pop up, india today conclave, india today conclave pop up election special, india today conclave election special, india today conclave 2024, india today election conclave, lok sabha election 2024, lok sabha elections 2024, lok sabha election, 2024 lok sabha elections, 2024 lok sabha election, lok sabha elections, lok sabha elections 2024 update, lok sabha election 2024 news, lok sabha polls 2024

Id: sBlWLrQcm84

Length: 8min 0sec (480 seconds)

Published: Thu May 23 2024