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start fighting your way to victory right now! A column of Ukrainian armored vehicles accompanied
by tanks approaches their ready positions, prepared for a fresh assault into the
Russian defenses outside of Kherson. The Ukrainian counteroffensive has been wildly
successful, beyond even the scope of the most optimistic military planners. Russia
can't hold the line against Ukrainian grit and firepower and its troops are on steady
retreat across the entire eastern front. On Friday, September 30th, 2022 Russian
President Vladimir Putin had annexed four regions of Ukraine, declaring them
Russian territory. This now allows him to use all available means at his disposal to
neutralize the Ukrainian counterattack. Now, with his back against the wall,
Vladimir Putin becomes the second person in history to order the
use of nuclear weapons in war. A brilliant fireball lights up the night
sky, incinerating the column of Ukrainian vehicles. Even inside their armored shells the
Ukrainian soldiers are killed instantly- those who are far enough away to survive
the heat and blast are killed by the radiation bombarding their bodies. Several
hundred Ukrainian soldiers and a few dozen vehicles are destroyed. The attack has been
largely insignificant in terms of military value- Ukrainian forces have mastered the
tactic of dispersing and reuniting again for sudden offensives. But it sends a clear
message to Ukraine and the rest of the world. Thousands of miles above the planet, a United
States satellite, part of the American space surveillance network, detects the distinct
double-flash of a nuclear explosion. The alarm is instantly relayed via communications
satellites using the secure Link 16 encrypted radio frequency system. Within thirty seconds
of detection, the alarm has already reached US Space Force monitoring stations in North America
and similar offices across the NATO alliance. Minutes later, the alert reaches the desk of US
President Joe Biden. Picking up a secure phone, he dials a direct connection
to General Mark A. Milley, the Chariman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
and most powerful military officer on the planet. President Biden speaks only three
words into the receiver, “Execute Plan 36.” The coded order is relayed via US
communications satellites to Stuttgart, Germany and the office of the
commander of US European Command, General Christopher G. Cavoli. Within minutes
the authenticated order is transmitted to US forces in RAF Bentwaters and RAF Lakenheath
inside of England. A separate communique is dispatched to the USS supercarrier George H.W.
Bush, currently stationed in the Mediterranean. The Bush is loitering in waters
off the southern coast of Turkey, and the ship immediately turns into the
wind as its flight deck erupts in a flurry of activity. Ever since Putin's threats of
using nuclear weapons, the American military has been prepared to respond. Beneath the deck
of the Bush, F18 Superhornets are having AIM 160 MALDs attached to wing hard points. Each
hornet can carry two of the large weapons, a capability kept secret from the world until now.
Two squadrons of the high performance aircraft are quickly made ready and begin the journey to
the flight deck above where they stand ready. In England, crews rush to man a fleet of eight
B-52 Stratofortress bombers. The big planes are the backbone of the US bomber fleet, and can
bring a frighteningly large amount of firepower to bear thousands of miles away. Joining them
are four B-2 bombers also kept on alert status, their crews ready to go at a moment's notice
with bellies full of weapons. Within fifteen minutes the first planes are taking to the sky
and turning southeast towards mainland Europe. Two hours later the bomber fleet links up
with two squadrons of US Air Force F-22 Raptors taking off from bases in Germany. The
Raptors are flying in stealth configuration, which means their wing pylons are clean of
weapons. The internal weapons bay however is loaded with six AIM-120 air to air missiles and
two AIM-9 short range missiles in the side bays. The formation continues towards the
Black Sea, the F-22s leading the way. An hour later the F-22s link up with a loitering
US Air Force tanker aircraft in order to top off their fuel stores. The B-52s loiter as the
F-22s refuel, with enough capacity to fly strike missions in Europe from their home bases
in America, the B-52s have no need to refuel. As the F-22s refuel, NATO AWACS aircraft flying
along the Ukrainian and Turkish coasts sweep the skies with their powerful radars, looking for
any potential hostile targets that could pose a problem for the mission. The aircraft's powerful
radar only has a range just above 250 miles, so they can only see across approximately
half of the Black Sea. Soon they will move for a closer look, but in order to
maintain the element of surprise, the AWACS stick to their normal flight patterns
instituted at start of the war in Ukraine. The F-22's refueling however is the signal for the
USS Bush to begin launching her Superhornets. One by one the high performance strike fighters
take to the sky, their compatriots wheeling in the skies above the carrier strike group and
waiting until both squadrons have taken to the air. Then the planes split into two groups, taking
similar but distinct routes north and into Turkish air space. One route will take the group west of
Ankara while another will take the other group over Sivas. An hour later, both squadrons pivot
northeast, heading straight for the Black Sea. The B-52s, B-2s and F-22s have
now reached the Black Sea. The United States operation to punish Russia
for its use of nuclear weapons is a go. The B-2s take the lead now. The entire
formation has turned south and then east again, which will allow it to skirt Crimea by
seventy or so miles- well out of the effective range of Russian air defenses
in the region. The target is Novorossiysk, and the Russian naval base located
there. After the sinking of the Moskva, the Russian Black Sea fleet has moved its
largest surface combat vessels here in order to keep them out of range of western
anti-ship weapons provided to Ukraine. The AWACS aircraft have shadowed the formation, sweeping the skies with their powerful long-range
radar. Their job is to look for enemy fighters, thus allowing the accompanying F-22s to
operate without their own search radars on, ensuring their stealth. However, the powerful
radar is being picked up by Russian sensors in Crimea- the Russians now know that an attack is
coming. NATO hasn't deviated in any significant way from its pre-announced patrol routes for
months, and the only reason an AWACS aircraft could be approaching Russian shores is
if it's backing up a major air attack. It's not long before the AWACs planes
pick up the signature of multiple Russian fighters taking to the skies. The data
is relayed via datalink to the Raptors, who stand ready to greet the Russian challengers. It's now time for the Superhornets to
do their part. Skirting along the very edge of Russian long-range radar, the Hornets
fire off their MALDs one by one. In minutes, forty of the big missiles are screaming straight
at mainland Russia. But the weapons aren't bombs- the Miniature Air Launched Decoy is an advanced
drone that can perfectly replicate the radar return of nearly any aircraft in NATO's arsenal.
Currently the decoys are spoofing Russian radar returns to convince them a flight of B-52 bombers
is incoming from the direction of Turkey, escorted by F-18s. This is a credible threat- the US
maintains multiple air bases in one of NATO's most geographically strategic allies. Payloads away,
the Hornets turn around and head for the Bush. Russian long-range air defense radar in
Crimea has spotted the real B-52s, but the appearance of a flight of B-52s escorted by F-18s
incoming from Turkey is a more pressing threat. Russian ground crews have been scrambling
to put three squadrons of intereceptors into the air. Now a squadron consisting of a
combination of Mig-29s and Mig-31s are wheeling south from air bases in Crimea and the Russian
mainland. The jets are in full afterburner mode, which consumes fuel at a frightening rate but
pushes them to supersonic speeds. They must get to within 70 nautical miles of the incoming B-52s
so they can intercept them with their long range air-to-air missiles Their R-77-1s, NATO codename
“Adder”, are inferior in range to their American AIM 120 counterparts, with only a range of
68 miles. This is roughly the range of the expected Harpoons carried by the American B-52s,
who have a range of around 75 nautical miles. Russia always doubted the US
would respond with its own nukes, and this only left one possible target for
American vengeance- the Russian Black Sea Fleet. An alert reaches the Russian vessels
in waters just off Noborossiysk. The fleet currently consists of the Guided
Missile Frigates Ladnyy, Admiral Essen, and Admiral Makarov, which has taken role
of fleet flagship after the loss of the Moskva. Landing ships Nikolay Filchenkov,
Orsk, Azov, Novocherkassk, Caesar Kunikov, and Yamal are all at dock. The smaller Guided
Missile Corvettes Vyshniy Volochyok, Samum, Ingushetiya, and Grayvoron take up stations around
the frigates. This is the bulk of the Russian Black Sea Fleet currently in operation, with
a few vessels on duty in the Meditarrenan. US Navy submarines and F-15 Strike Eagles from
Europe are already enroute to destroy them. The entire fleet turns with their noses
parallel to the incoming threat. This will allow each ship's CIWS systems
maximum opportunity to engage any missiles that penetrate long range air defenses. S-300 and S-400 batteries along Russia's
eastern Black Sea coast open fire on the incoming decoys. The decoys are easily within
the 242 mile range of both systems for targets with a radar return as large as a B-52.
The number of incomings is overwhelming, this is a major American air assault, and
the air defense batteries expend most of their missiles. The vessels of the Black
Sea Fleet opt to let the shore units do their work and focus on defending against
any aircraft or missiles which slip past. American B-2 stealth bombers open
up with AGM-158 C LRASM anti-ship missiles. The planned replacement for the
Harpoon, the US military still operates only a small number of the weapons, and
only recently adapted them for use with the B-2. Each of the four B-2s unleash a volley
of 16 of these low-observable anti-ship missiles, and Russian radar screens light up as
they detect the 64 incoming missiles. The attack is a complete surprise, and the
missiles are moving so fast that shore-based air defense batteries have no chance of catching
the missiles before they reach their targets. The fleet is on its own to defend
against this attack, but the LRASM low-observable feature are making the missiles
difficult to target. To make matters worse, the missiles now dive towards the ocean, flying
just above the water as they scream towards their targets. The missiles are within several
dozen nautical miles before Russian radars can not just detect them, but target them.
The Russian ships immediately fire off decoys- these immediately begin to fire off
electronic signals meant to be more powerful than those emitted by real vessels, thus luring
in anti-ship missiles to strike them instead. However, the American missiles are built
with optical target recognition systems, ensuring that the weapons can tell the
difference between decoys and the real thing. At just over three dozen miles, the Russian
radars can finally target the LRASMs, and the frigates are the first to open up
with long range surface-to-air missiles. It's like trying to hit a speeding bullet
with another bullet, and the LRASMs can be difficult to target. Of the 64 incoming
missiles, 18 are struck and destroyed. With just miles left to go, the corvettes open up with short range Komar missiles. These
missiles have a much smaller warhead, but several manage to strike true- another
eight LRASMs are knocked out of action. The American weapons now enter the terminal
attack phase and suddenly pitch up, climbing high into the sky. More Russian
anti-air missiles fly out to try to swat them out of the air. Another
six LRASMSs turn to fiery wrecks. Each missile identifies its own
target, prioritizing the larger frigates. The sky fills with tungsten
from the frigate's CIWS systems. Ten more LRASMs are destroyed before striking
true, but 22 LRASMs find their targets. The 1,000 pound warheads slam into the Russian
frigates. The Admiral Essen takes 10 of the missiles- she's already destroyed by the time
the last three slam into her but the missiles aren't smart enough to identify lethal battle
damage. The Ladnyy only takes two and remains afloat with moderate damage. Admiral Makarov
takes six LRASMs to the deck. The rest of the weapons either strike the smaller corvettes or
explode in the water, missing their targets. Only two of Russia's frigates remain alive,
along with three of the Corvettes. Two Russian ships are quickly sinking below the waves. The
attacking B-2s turn around and head for home, visible on Russian radar only for a moment
as each bomber opened its bay doors. To the south of the fleet, the Russian
interceptors are now in range to engage the MALDs and open up with R-77 missiles,
ripple firing at the incoming formation. Each missile will find its own target, and
with such a dense concentration of forces, should have no problem striking true. The Russian
fighters are rapidly turning and burning for home, fully aware that American AIM 160s have
longer range then them- the lead Hornets should have opened fire by now, yet strangely no
incoming missile threats are detected on radar. Reporting this to ground control, Russian
commanders are beginning to grow suspicious. A second wave of interceptors is redirected
west, towards the incoming flight of eight B-52s. This happens to put them directly on course to
intercept the B-2s, who are slow and vulnerable. In full afterburner, the Russian fighters
will soon be in range of not just detection, but targeting of the stealthy aircraft. Right
now their focus are the big American bombers, who are completely vulnerable and helpless.
Radar detects no accompanying fighters, which makes the Russian pilots very nervous-
there are only two possibilities here: the 8 B-52s are actually decoys and the main
attack is the 40 aircraft formation to the south, or the attack from the south is the decoy and
this is the real deal. If the latter is the case, there can only be one reason why radar isn't
detecting any accompanying fighters- the US has put its F-35s or F-22s into the fight.
The intercepting fighters get their answer shortly after entering the Black Sea. The F-22s
have skirted out into the Black Sea and away from shore, keeping out of range of shore-based radar
which can detect them within 100 or so miles. The Russian interceptors have even weaker radar, and
can only begin to pick up traces of the stealth fighters within 50 or so miles, but can only get
good targeting locks from a few dozen miles away. The F-22s turn on their own targeting
radar long enough to get a solid lock on the incoming Russian Migs. On their radars,
the Russians detect only a brief blip as each F-22 rapidly volley-fires their AIM-120
Ds. The AIM-120 Ds have a classified range easily in excess of 100 nautical miles,
and the Migs don't even get within range of the B-52s before they are forced to take
evasive actions from the incoming missiles. Each missile has flown high into the sky
immediately after firing, and now plummets down on the Russian fighters. Each pilot
tries to notch the incoming missiles, but most of them strike true. The surviving fighters
are forced to turn around at full afterburner, but the Raptors have already loosed another volley
of AIMs at them to encourage them to retreat. The only way to defeat American stealth fighters is
to overwhelm them with numbers and 'absorb' their long range missile attacks. Once at close range
the Raptors would have been at a disadvantage- but the Hornet launched decoys fooled the
Russians into splitting up their forces. With skies free of enemy fighters, the B-52s are safe to get within 75 nautical miles of
the surviving Russian vessels and loose their Harpoons. 96 anti-ship missiles are
soon screaming towards the Russian ships. The Frigates immediately respond with their
long-range air-defense missiles. The Harpoons are far older technology and don't have the same
low-observability features of the LRASM. Long range air defenses manage to take out twenty of
the incoming missiles. As the Harpoons get within a dozen miles of the ships, the corvettes open
up with their shorter range missiles. Each ship is rapidly volley-firing their entire missile
stock, knowing that their lives depend on it. Twenty more of the Harpoons are knocked
out before they get in range of the fleet's CIWS. Tungsten once more fills the sky
as a wall of lead rises up to greet the incoming missiles. Twenty two more Harpoons
are knocked out either by missiles or CIWS. Decoys manage to lure away a dozen of the
Harpoons, but 22 of the surviving missiles strike true. The 500 pound warheads
smash into the corvettes and frigates, most of which have already been damaged by
the LRASMs. Despite having half the warhead of the previous rocket volley,
the blitz of missiles is lethal. As the B-52s head for home, Russia sends up
more interceptors to take on the flight of MALDS to the south. The decoys are easily blown
out of the sky by air and ground based defenses- but all it does is expend precious resources
Russia can no longer easily replenish. Their job is done- they succeeded in diverting Russian
attention south and splitting up its interceptors. The Russian Black Sea Fleet has been destroyed-
all that remains is four submarines which Russia doesn't dare put to sea for fear of being targeted
and a compliment of landing and support craft. The surface combat vessels were the important targets,
and Russia has suffered an irreplaceable loss. In the span of an hour it went from the dominant
military power in the Black Sea, to the weakest. Blockades of Ukrainian ports are no longer
possible, and Russia has been punished for its use of nuclear weapons with the loss of hundreds
of sailors and billions of dollars in hardware. What remains to be seen is if the deterrent
has been effective, or if President Vlaydimr Putin will resort to even greater use of
nuclear weapons as retaliation. If so, the United States stands ready with its allies to
respond with either conventional or nuclear power. Thanks again to our sponsor Conflict of
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