What if Poland-Lithuania was restored in 1863?

the Polish nation was famously partitioned two times and in the third polish partition they disappeared from the map for 124 years where they were divided among Prussia which later became Germany Austria and Russia the Polish people resisted and in 1848 there was a rebellion in German occupied Poland known as the greater Poland Uprising which was unsuccessful in the same year Galia also tried to Rebel from Austria but it was also put down Russia didn't have any polish rebellions but this was not for long after the kemian war Russia had been greatly weakened the polls as part of Russia were dragged into this conflict and dissatisfied with its outcome this is why the Polish people would Rebel the January Uprising was a revolution in the regions of the former Po and Lithuania that was aimed at putting an end to the Russian occupation and for the poles to regain their independence a Confluence of factors rendered the revolution inevitable in early 1863 the Polish clergy nobility and urban bourjois circles longed for the semi-autonomous status they had enjoyed in the Congress of Poland before the previous Insurgency in 1830 and the you encouraged by the success of the Italian Independence Movement urgently desired for the same outcome Russia had been weakened by the cran war and had introduced a partial liberalism in its internal politics which encouraged the Polish national government to plan an organized strike against the Russian occupiers no earlier than the spring of 1863 as you may know I'm a coin collector but I don't have a Polish coin from that time I say polish coin despite Poland not existing for more than 100 years this is because Poland was semi-autonomous on paper which resulted in this currency you can see how in Poland during the Russian occupation the coin that was used described two currencies and two different values this is the only coin that I can think of that has ever done that now back to the video unfortunately for the PO with Alexander VI kolski who is the pro r civil administrator in Russian Poland in an attempt to derail the Polish national movement he brought forward to the January conscription of young polish activists into the Imperial Russian army for 20e service this decision is what triggered the January uprising of 1863 the Rebellion by Young polish conscripts was also soon joined by high ranking polish Lithuanian officers and members of the political parties the insurrections a organized were severely outnumbered and lack of sufficient foreign support forced them into as gorilla Warfare reprisals were quick and cruel public executions and deportations into Siberia eventually persuaded M polls and lithuanians to abandon this risky partisan War but did the rebels have any chance of success well both the rebels and the Russian army had over 200,000 men unfortunately while the Russians had rifles and cannons the insurgents mostly had sides and Pitch Forks at their disposal which was ultimately the main reason why they were forced to fight in the forest where artillery couldn't be much of use another Factor was a ofon bis Mark's permission for the Russian forces to pass through East Prussia and choose the railway there for movement which allowed the Russian army to attack Poland from the north if you're wondering why would he do that this is because there was a large poish minority in Prussia so if poent were to break free from Russia it would see backlash in Germany too however if the prussians decided to support the PO in their struggle for Independence and defeat the Russian troops they could gain a valuable Ally who could play a key role in the future development of Europe autovon bismar was not only a passionate supporter of a greater Germany but also a cunning and pragmatic Diplomat if from the early 1860s he had decided to invest in an eventual polish and Lithuanian Uprising without having to go to direct war with Russia he could have gained the already mentioned valuable Ally without causing a heat at debate in Western Europe and the British aisles in this alternate history Russia begins arming future Rebels with modern Bridge wading rifles and large caliber cannons in order to weaken the Russian Empire this time the war would last only half a year and the Russian forces would be defeated I know that this may not be the most realistic scenario but if Russia ends up Victorious then nothing will change and we will get the historical scenario this is why I say that Poland Lithuania gets to be victorious in the annex the territory of the former Congress of Poland Lithuania and Western bellus at the end of 1863 the Russian SAR Alexander II is forced to sign a peace treaty of waro in 1864 Po and lithuanians are free people again but now it's necessarily to find a suitable candidate for the Polish Lithuanian Throne thanks to whom the new state would gain an ally and a protector historically ovon bismar wanted to secure two out of his three flanks allying with France would be impossible so he allied with Russia and Austria forming the league of the three Emperors this Alliance didn't last long so Germany was doomed to fight a war on two fronts this time with addition of P Li into the faction the Eastern flank is more secure this is the main reason why autovon bismar would support an independent Polish state in the first place he is a very forward and long-term thinking man so he could have seen how this would benefit Germany since it was bismar who allowed these nations to become free again the Polish national government decides to invite King vilim the first of Prussia to be crowned king of Poland and Lithuania even though he was a Protestant candidate it is clear that without the strongest country in Central Europe the new state has no chance of staying alive in the world long term in the spring of the same year the coronation will take place thanks to which P Lithuania enters a personal Union with the Kingdom of Prussia as an equal partner and an independent Confederation of poles lithuanians and Bel Russians Carol majeski an iconic figure of the January Uprising becomes the first polish Lithuanian Chancellor the country is a the facto constitutional monarchy but with authoritarian elements as for Prussia together with Austria it is preparing to attack Denmark which has now occupied we and Hallin the new state does not participate in this conflict as it needs time to stabilize politically and economically during the following here the vast majority of the events do not change Denmark is defeated and the Victorious Prussia shares the conquered territories with Austria however ovon bismar would want to take control both ofik administered by him and Holstein administered by the Austrian Emperor Francis Joseph the first so what will the brothers war between Prussia and Austria look like exactly the same B Lithuania is still not participating because it might give the Russian SAR an opportunity under the pretext of helping Austria to recapture these territories he used to control up until 1863 considering that Russia helped Francis Joseph the first defeat the Hungarian Revolutions in 1848 I have no doubt that it would be willing to help again although of course for political concessions however after the defeat of Austria Francis Joseph the first is forced to hand over all of Galia and bukovina to Poland which strongly sh the entire monarchy now the entirety of bukovina may not make sense to go to Poland but remember in doing so Austria would no longer border Russia autovon bismar would like to prevent an alliance between Austria and Russia which is why he would want to give bukovina to Poland this way this Alliance may be prevented this is followed by the creation of Austria Hungary the Franco Prussian War which P Lithuania also does not participate in for the same reasons as last time and finally the German Empire is created together with the United Kingdom of Italy to which the people state states are handed after the defeat of the French Empire as for the new Commonwealth thanks to Prussian and later German investment there is a faster industrialization and modernization done under the rule of the Russian occupiers Railways Telegraph networks and factories for consumer goods are being built on large scales the living standard of the peasant class is just gradually improving but the workers are still living very poorly and it will take another decade for this to change however with a delayed but coming care of colonization the and lithuanians begin to acquire overseas colonies for example I can imagine that the Germans would be willing to hand over Togo to these two Nations who divided between themselves just like France and Britain did after the first world war it also must be remembered that there are large changes of mood in Russian and austr Hungarian Society Czech and Slovak National revivalists often drink with austr Slavic and pan Slavic ideas no longer gravitate towards Slavic Russia but culturally and linguistically are closer to P Lian likewise ukrainians and belorussians whose homes were part of the Polish Lithuanian Commonwealth a century ago remember with Nostalgia this golden times without violent crucification in Minsk Kev and Tessa there are more frequent demonstrations that are bloodily suppressed by the tarist Army in the Czech and Slovak Clans the situation is much calmer thanks to a so-called passive resistance which was favored by many checks who instead of demonstrations prefer to build theaters in which Patronis was spread nonviolent ly through performances in the form of folk tales and rumors as for the following events most of them will not change however due to the alliance between Germany PA Lithuania Austria Hungary and Italy the British French and Russians will begin to reconcile much earlier due to the fear of this faction the Kingdom of Italy which already in our history as a result of the trentino crisis concluded the secret non-aggression p with France will also in this alterate history become friends with the emerging contant this time the German EMP Emperor will not try to convince the Austrian one to handun over the regions claimed by the southern neighbor since the handing over of Galician bukovina to the newly created polish Lithuanian Commonwealth has already complicated the relations between the two central European Empires relations between the Central Powers and dant are gradually deteriorating and right after the shooting of the Austrian Air to the throne France ferin andest in bosan Saro the outbreak of the Great War is only a month away however now that Russia is weaker the beginning of the conflict will be completely different German Emperor Willam II decides to defeat Russia first and then France this would mean trench warfare or rather s Creek in alasin Luxembourg and Belgium will avoid occupation by the German Army this means that the United Kingdom will join the war only after the otoman naal attack on the Russian Black Sea ports meanwhile the Hungarian Army will be more successful in campaigning against Serbia Belgrade Falls during Autumn but the rest of the Kingdom still resists by the end of the year the German and polish Lithuanian armies managed to occupy the entire Baltic region Eastern bellus and the entire Western and Central Ukraine thus separating Romania through which the Russian sent military material to Serbia and Montenegro from the cist Empire Bulgaria joins the war already at the beginning of 1915 thanks to which Serbian Montenegro are already defeated in April parts of the Serbian and monegan armies manag to escape through Albania to Greece and then to Italy which at the same time will declare war on the Central Powers meanwhile the Germans and the PO one offensive in petrograd and Moscow with the goal forcing SAR Nas I second to capitulate in the summer The Finnish communist take power in hinki and subsequently declar an independent Finland which so far only existed on the Finnish Coast this opportunity is used by Sweden which sent its Naval divisions to the island of fall the facto annexing it strikes and demonstrations break out across the sist Empire resulting in significantly reduced factory production although the Russian troops succeed in liberating Turkish Armenia both major cities of Moscow and petrograd are besieged by the Central Powers in the Autumn of the same year the Russian SAR finally signs the capitulation Estonia laia Bas and Ukraine become protectorates of PA Lithuania and Turkish Armenia is handed back to the otoman Empire plus they get all of the caucuses the situation right now is as it follows while defeated and humiliated Nicholas II tries to suppress the Communist Revolution in Finland a large part of the German Army now moves to the French and Italian borders in early 1916 the Germans on unexpected massive offensive through the neutral Belgium and Luxembourg then Kirk Falls in late winter and by early spring the German forces stand 20 M or 30 kilm from Paris at the same time those Hungarian divisions succeed in gradually conquering Venice neither Romania nor Greece are planning to enter this already almost decided conflict meanwhile the otoman Empire no longer having to fight Russia successfully occupies Kuwait and lay Siege to the Su canal the overall situation is so serious that the Anan states are already considering a ceasefire the first country which officially ends the war with the Central Powers is Portugal which is threatened with a Civil War as a result of more than 5 years of antic clerical rule which was cruly affiliated with the strongly Catholic Nation with the arrival of autumn strikes and demonstrations also break out in France and at the end of 1916 the capital of the G rooster is finally conquered during Christmas representatives of the French government humbly signed the capitulation the United Kingdom which does not want to risk any further casualties will do so in January this would end the Great War Portuguese Angola French Gabon and Congo plus Belgian Congo are handed over to the German Empire with a goal with linking German control tanganika to Namibia Great Britain is forced to hand over Kuwait the Cai Peninsula and Cyprus to the otoman Empire while Italy's Venice once again becomes part of the Habsburg monarchy as for the defeated Serbian Montenegro I think that Austria Hungary would put a favorable hburg Monarch in charge of them but Macedonia would be handed over to Bulgaria Luxemburg and parts of Belgium are anx into Germany while Estonia lattia Belarus and Ukraine are integrated into PA Lithuania a semi-autonomous regions Germany would undoubtedly have a lot of control over these regions especially in Ukraine P Lithuania would be ruled by the house of hen Zan so they're effectively a German puppet state as for Russia it finally managed to defeat the Finnish Communists after BL skirmishes but as a result of another humilating defeat and the L standard of living nichas II is forced to abdicate while moderate Marxist the so-called manik led by Alexander Kinski would come to power Germany Poland Lithuania Austria Hungary Bulgaria and otoman Empire can celebrate their magnificent Victory but France and Italy are threatened with Civil War at that time with the financial support of the Germans irand was successfully gaining independence even at the cost of thousands of human lives of course now that Great War has been won by the Central Powers it is difficult to determine which way the world would go since the German Empire did not invest so much in the Russian bolik Revolution and since the war was already over it is clear except for a few street fights Russia cannot become a communist state on the contrary this fate threatens the already mentioned France and Italy which have been struggling with corruption and W standard of living for several decades I dare say in the early 1920s The Civil Wars in these two countries will eventually happen in 1920 the the second French commune and the Italian People's Republic are proclaimed in the southeast of France and in the north of Italy thanks to the military intervention of the British and the financial support of the Americans both of these revolutions are suppressed after which an ult nationalist monarchy led by Benito musini emerges from Italy and a military dictatorship emerges from France under the leadership of the then relatively young Philipe patan as for the United Kingdom after the death of King George V 5 in 1936 in this alternate history Edward the 8 would be more popular this time and he would become the new British king he would turn the once Advanced constitutional monarchy into ultranationalist absolute one seeking to reconquer irand if another War were to ever break out it would probably again be made up of the same two factions dant made up of ultra nationalist countries and Military hunas and the Central Powers made up of absolutist and constitutional monarchies this time Russia would probably remain neutral following their past experiences while the Germans would fight with the polls against ult National regimes the question remains however what role would the Austrian painter play in this hypothetical conflict who Bel Germany and Austria won the Great War but at the cost of the fact that PA Lithuania is now about two times the size of the German Empire excluding their colonies in Africa in any case I'm quite convinced that in an eventual second world war the Americans would go over to the site of the Central Powers after the Japanese brutal attack on Pearl Harbor this is because the Japanese would be part of the ultra nationalist tant let's not forget that Britain won't be a democratic country anymore I think that I have crafted the best ending both for PS and for lithuanians this country now has access both to the Black Sea and the Baltic Sea VI their puppets and the architect of the blitz Creek and commander of the German lwa is Gregor B kich Jokes Aside if you still doubt how Germany could allow Poland to control of these territories may I ask you what's the other alternative they can put a monarch of the German royal family on the throne of each country but they already had done that PO the polls had historic claims over these regions so this would serve well the Germans who would have an easier time governing this newly acquired lands if you're wondering how the situation will develop in Spain if King Alonso the 13th appoints Miguel Primo de Rivera as prime minister this time as well probably during the Great Depression which this time would be not as catastrophic due to the United States not to enter in the Great War would eventually cause the fall of the monarchy in Spain and the establishment of the leftwing Republic which would also result in a civil war this time however the Civil War would not be a struggle between two factions which would be nationalists and Republicans but this time it would be between four ones namely the falangist supported by Portugal France the Kingdom of Italy and Great Britain then the carlist supported by the Central Powers then the Republicans supported by main shic Russians and finally the anarchists who would enjoy support only in Catalonia this much bloodier polygon would last much longer and in the absence of the second world war even several decades until everyone is willing to conclude an armas this and divide crep out Spain into western fanges part a northern carless part and finally a republican part fored by the Central and Eastern parts of the panes Peninsula at the same time CIA would already be in the hands of either the Caris the Republicans or to be directly annexed by France anyway here is what would happen in an event of victory one of these listed factions if the fanges were to win which is most likely from a geopolitical point of view since the Spanish states are literally surrounded by nationalist or tionalist countries in the event of outbreak of the second world war dantan to have a strategic advantage over Germany Point liania Austria Hungary and the otoman Empire at least up until the United States would enter the site of the Central Powers while this video is not my most realistic scenario which went over about 50 years of History which I rarely do considering the German almost won the Great War removing poent Lithuania from Russia and switching their side I think it has to result in a German Victory Now history pent Lithuania didn't exist during the Great War but both States became independent after that if you were to rule over Germany during the Great War do you think that you could make the Germans win you can try this interactive video I made where you can try that thank you for watching and I hope to see you there

Channel: Rewriting History

Views: 39,348

Keywords: alternative history, possible history, rewriting history, history, what if, history what ifs, alternate history, alternative history of europe, alternative history of the world, Poland Lithuania, poland, lithuania, january uprising, january uprising poland, january uprising 1863, poland 1863, january uprising poland 1863, poland-lithuania, poland-lithuania restored, poland lithuania restored, poland-lithuania ww1, russia, crimean war, prussia, austria, Poland Lithuania was restored

Id: uhcDc5aecR8

Length: 19min 26sec (1166 seconds)

Published: Sat Apr 13 2024