Accurate forecast from the First Coast News weather team sponsored by ABC Designs. Thank you, Jess. We'll be following that closely as we followed the tropics closely. Relatively good news if
you weren't
with us. We became pretty definitive yesterday that Brett would intey but not become a hurricane. Hurricane hunters flew in here today and pretty much found what the satellite estimate seemed w, estimate that it was strengthen. It's almost a hurricane, but it's probably peaking
out about now. The barometers. 1000 Millibars probably needs tt down to about 992 to
become a hurricane. There might be some hurricane gusts as it goes across what we call the lesser Antilles, but it's going to head into the Caribbean and that's good news meteorologically speaking becaue the sheer is strongest there. Remember, tropical cyclones don't like shr and that's why this five day ouk doesn't even go 5 days because e think prior to the five
day period this system will be completely
sheared apart. Now behind it is a developing tropical cyclone. We'll talk about that in a mome. Wanted to show you where
the best computer models show and the consensus
goes West. Notice, I'm not saying all but
most of the best models indicate going to the We, and meteorology certainly seems to support it. But that's why we say keep a cle watch on the forecast when we sy consensus means there's
a slight chance it could do something unexpecte. We'll talk about that, and thens is not even a tropical
depression yet, but we think it will become one, might even eventually become Ci. But to put this in perspective, if Brett's over 2000
miles away
from us, then of course this system is even farther away, over 3000 miles away from us. But odds are it will at least become a tropical depression. Could become at least
a tropical storm. So where is it going to go? Well, first, let's talk about our weather in the next couple of days. We're going to continue with the pretty similar pattern that it's holding down the temperatures, but it also means it's way moren just our typical afternoon
thunderstorms. We continue and will continue fr the next couple of
days to get
2 to 3 rounds of showers and
thunderstorms
per day. But this is just a moisture
computer model. And notice gradually, especially as we head
toward the weekend, some drier air starts to filter. Meanwhile, we're going to give
it an 80% chance. That's just about a given that Brett's going to get torn apart. In the Caribbean, some humility to 1 system that does try to take it northwestwad and then the Cyclone, we think that will develop
behind Brett. We don't think it's going to go into the Caribbean or at least m going to give it a 60% chance. It doesn't go in the Caribbean, goes into the Atlantic, doesn't mean it's going
to go our way
at all. Right now it looks like it would recurve at the least in about 5o 7 days, let's say E southeast os by about maybe 800 to 1000 mile.
