Tropical Storm Beryl forms in Atlantic Ocean, likely to become Hurricane Beryl: NHC

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following some breaking news. Tropical Storm Beryl just formed in the Atlantic. We've got a name storm way too early, of course, but that's not the only thing you're looking at out there either. No, but I want to throw this stat at you guys, and I'm going to repeat this. If you missed it before, this will be the furthest east forming hurricane ever during June or July. So there's never been a hurricane that's formed, you know, this far out there this early. So that says a lot. Normally we would see this September. Now the good news is this one is likely going to stay south according to the models. Right. For Florida. Yes, I do not want to rule out an impact to Texas in particular. Yet Texas or Mexico will keep an eye on that. But here's the latest stats we just got in about three minutes ago from the folks at the hurricane Center. So this is officially the 11 p.m. advisory sustained winds up to 40. Now movement has slowed down to 18 miles an hour. Pressure is coming down at 1006 millibars, rapidly going to strengthen over the weekend. And to be honest, I'm kind of surprised they don't have it stronger. They've looked through everything. There's some of the best meteorologists we have for tropical weather in the world. I kind of thought they would have had this as a three by this point, but we'll see what happens nonetheless. It's going to be a hurricane that hits parts of Saint Lucia, Barbados and a very rare fashion on Monday. So if you have any family or friends in these islands, they need to prepare now for a hurricane on Monday, strengthening to at least as of this advisory, a category two Monday night into Tuesday with maximum sustained winds of 105. And then we will focus at the end of the comb. This is a Wednesday PM8PM next Wednesday. The center may be as far north as northern Cuba and as far south as about right here. To be honest, I think at worst the center would come for about western Cuba, then bend back into the Gulf. I have a really hard time thinking that this storm is going to hook a hard right turn and come up into Florida, the end of next week, and the reason why is we have two areas of high pressure, one over the Atlantic, and then another one that's going to give a lot of hot weather to the U.S. the end of next week. Now, I will give a caveat here, this is just how Mama Nature works with meteorology. And we know this in history with hurricanes, in setups like this, if this storm somehow way over performs, the forecast gets to category four strength this weekend. That would probably change the forecast a lot because hurricanes, when they get that strong, tend to track further north. And even try to go into the ridge and force the ridge apart. We've seen that before in Florida over the years. So if this thing somehow is really strong over the weekend, then maybe I could see a more further north track and maybe some South Florida impact. The end of next week. I still think that's pretty unlikely. A weaker storm is still a hurricane, but a weaker storm probably would trend to track more further west along this yellow line, in my opinion, towards the Yucatan Peninsula, the middle and end of next week. That's not the only hurricane, as crazy as that is for how early it is. Here's the GFS model. There's Hurricane Beryl on Monday. Look at the system behind it, either Chris or Debbie. There's a system in the Gulf. If that forms this weekend into Chris, then this would become Debbie. But that will be another hurricane in my opinion. On Wednesday, those islands could get hit twice by two hurricanes in three days next week. Now you see the GFS takes Beryl's remnants, south of Cuba and then we'll throw them into the Yucatan Peninsula. So that would give maybe some rain to the keys next week, but nothing really other than that. Here's the European model I want to show you. It also does pretty similar with the timing. It's a little bit weaker and takes bear a little bit further south through the Caribbean. Then also has Chris there behind it. Let me show you our Fox model really quickly and you can see it does a great job. This is exclusive to us here at Fox 35. Clearly a pretty strong hurricane at face value. Our Fox model says this is going to be a category three on Monday. You see it right there. Then another storm behind it, the one behind it. Also could get to hurricane status. But notice there at noon next Wednesday south of Hispaniola and still moving west safely away from Florida. So you want to keep it here this weekend? Ian cassettes in all weekend. He'll have updates on the latest cones, but until then, afternoon showers and storms and there will be a lot of them tomorrow. Very similar to
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Channel: FOX 35 Orlando
Views: 242,174
Rating: undefined out of 5
Keywords: weather, tropical forecast for Florida, Florida hurricane forecast, Tropical Storm Beryl, Westward Islands hurricance, Leeward Islands hurricane forecast, tropical depression two
Id: kkpU-ab3Lq4
Channel Id: undefined
Length: 4min 31sec (271 seconds)
Published: Sat Jun 29 2024
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