The Brexit Election: Part 1 (9pm-midnight)

good evening it's nine o'clock an hour to go until the polls closed an hour to go until we reveal the findings of the exit poll an hour to go in the brexit election [Music] [Applause] good evening it's six weeks now since Parliament voted to trigger the brexit election on now there's less than an hour to run tonight who govern Britain for the next five years should become clear and hear from the heart of sky we'll bring you every result to guide us our political editor Beth Rigby I'm the man who's come to define politics in modern Britain as a common speaker for the last decade John Bercow more from him in a moment well it could be a long night tonight and here in our sky election center we'll be using all the tools at our disposal to predict its course that begins in just 58 minutes time with the release of the broadcaster's exit poll so often questioned by politicians put very rarely wrong it's the moment you learn the likely path of this election first though very special guest [Applause] naturally a choir man your strong views on a lot of things so he likes debating quite frankly young man you can like it or lump it it's in it with absolute commitment ruthless efficiency and along the way there's been some collateral damage you really are a very very very generous bunch of people indeed [Music] well John Bercow welcome to Sky News how are you feeling excited and privileged privileged to be on the Sky News team for election night the best most focused without question quickest sharpest political news team to be found anywhere in the UK you are very kind the exit poll the first big events of the evening it very very important pointer as to how things might go yes of course it's important to understand what the exit poll is it's not just like any other poll other polls asked people how they are going to vote the exit poll of course asks people when they come out of the polling stations how they have voted and although politicians didn't always like to hear the exit poll the exit poll on four out of the last five occasions has been accurate in its basic thrust in predicting either a hung parliament or a majority government pretty good points here okay that comes up at ten also with me throughout the night our political editor beth rigby now she of course is tracking parties and their leaders throughout this grueling general election campaign better well that comes to a conclusion tonight in the studio I've done a few thousand miles I think what an extraordinary period of British politics this isn't and here we are in the December election the first in nearly a century but it is as everyone know our third general election in nearly under five years and the two contenders this week they were up and down the country a dizzying tour as they're trying to pick up votes Jeremy Corbyn 15 pit stops in three days from Glasgow right down to Bristol and Boris Johnson 11 stops concentrating his efforts in the Midlands and the north in places like great GLIP Grimsby fighting for every vote right up until the polls close in this awful weather but they'll still be trying to turn out the vote I'm counting down to that polls closing in the exit poll 56 minutes or so well elections can be difficult to follow of course but you'll be able to get all the key data right here there it is at the bottom of this screen this is our election vide printer it's going to tell you the result of that exit poll we've been talk about after it's released ten o'clock and the latest seats to declare them coming after that it then keeps a running tally of the number of MPs that each and every one of those parties have won well also here at Sky News we've always believed that the election nights story is told as much outside the studio as here on tonight my colleagues will be right across the country starting with the party leaders first to be conservative and labor camps and Donna botting and Sophie Ridge Anna any nerves there indeed so always nerves not least the counters Dermot 12 candidates standing here in the seat of Oxbridge and South France lip as you said the Prime Minister Boris Johnson is the incumbent taking the seat first in 2015 and then winning again here in 2017 we are at the extremities of West London if I can put it like that a constituency dominated in part by neighbouring Heathrow Airport Brunel University is here too which is where this count and that of two others will take place tonight including that of the Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell expecting all the candidates to arrive later the Prime Minister included so where is he now let's take you to Downing Street and our political correspondent Kate McCann who has been following the TOI leader for the past five weeks and Kate the Prime Minister's standing by tonight there in Downing Street that's right Anna Boris Johnson is here in Downing Street behind me where he will be nervously awaiting that exit poll at 10 o'clock as the rest of us are it's been a long campaign for all the candidates the Prime Minister has travelled over 10,000 miles in this general election campaign covered every region of the country and now it all comes down to what happens next he will be with advisers in Downing Street talking about some of the very many ways that this election could go next and what might happen next he's having something to eat and drink trying to get ready for the long night ahead before he will head to Oxbridge where the votes will be counted where you are Anna and where I will be later we saw the Prime Minister casting his ballot this morning in Westminster he took his dog Dillon along with him for that so a long night ahead the Prime Minister will head from here to ox bridge where he will see out that can't depending on what happens next he could be returning to Downing Street or it could well have another incumbent Kate McCann thank you very much indeed well the declaration for John McDonald's constituency is due at about 4:00 a.m. that of Oxbridge where the Prime Minister is standing due at about 4:30 in the morning well what about the Labour leader let's get the very latest now from Sophie which thank you Anna well welcome to the sobel leisure centre in Islington North constituency of a1 Jeremy Corbyn this particular area of North London is home to to our constituencies there'll be two counts going on tonight jeremy corbyn's count and isn't a north and there'll also be talking up the votes in Islington south and Finsbury which is the constituency of the shadow foreign secretary Emily Thornbury to give you a bit of a steer on how long we could have to wait to get those results there isn't in South and Finsbury seat normally declares first last year it was around 1:00 in the morning being easing to North constituency a little bit later was about 3:00 a.m. last time that we heard the results of her jeremy corbyn's seat and that's when you're going to be getting the acting returning officer taken to the stage that I hope we should go to see just behind me to have her moment in the spotlight announcing that results that's the chief executive of the council as well but it's a huge operation on the ground as these seats always are they've had 650 people out about in polling stations across her Islington as people cast their ballots one person who cast his vote a little bit earlier today was the Labour leader himself and the sky's home editor Jason Farrell has been following the Labour campaign and is now outside jeremy corbyn's at home tonight Jason you know as you think yes I think or they didn't look tuner too nervous oh I saw them just a moment ago I'll talk about that in a minute he he's obviously had this 500 mile trek yesterday from Glasgow to London but it didn't take his foot off the gas this morning he was out casting his vote as you say at 9:30 I was with his wife Laura then he was out campaigning he stopped off for a few cups of coffee then it was back here I didn't think I'd have much to tell you but actually I can tell you he has gone out for dinner tonight when I was here just about 20 minutes ago he came out of the house again with one of his advisers wife Laura I told he was going off for dinner and he said that they weren't sure whether he was going to come back here at all actually he did tell me that he thought the count in Islington when I was on the campaign with him would come back at about 2:00 a.m. but as you say previously it's come back up a little bit later than that around about 3 a.m. I think by then he'll have a pretty good idea of the way things are going when I was here last time back in 2017 they were having a sweepstake back here on what would happen obviously this time wherever they are there'll be very much glued to those exit polls and a lot more up for grabs than who wins the sweepstake yeah the Labour leaders team and the rest of us as well Jason thank you and of course it's when that exit poll comes in in around 50 minutes time that the white will really start for the 150 people here in the room they've already started arriving Lots them they were on their seats ready to go just as soon as those ballot boxes start arriving and will of course bring either results as soon as we'll get them doumitt in the meantime back to you in the studio okay Sophie thank you very much indeed thank you Anna very much as well when we're hearing much more of course from you both throughout the evening now tonight here in our sky election centre we're going to be analyzing the numbers and the trends which will define this election that's the last election Sky News was the first to call that it was going to be a hung parliament that no party would have an outright majority more than an hour ahead of our rivals that unexpected result that so took the wind out of tourism a sales well talking us through the results tonight disguise ed Conway Edie what is the aim of every party in an election well of course it's to get their leader in to number 10 Downing Street winning a majority of seats in parliament so here's our winning line from last time around you see the Conservatives once 300 and 18 seats they fell short of that line by eight seats and although labor gained seats they finished with 262 so we got a hung parliament the toys had to join forces with the DUP to form a government this time there'll be hoping to win back some of the seats they lost in 2017 so let's see how things looked after the last election these are the number of seats won by each party look at them there they are on our dashboard there and you can see behind them if we fly by there or hexagon map of the UK at the top you can see a lot of SNP yellow there in Scotland there's also some blue there the Conservatives gained a dozen new Scottish MPs in 2017 the rest of the country is mostly conservative blue and Labour red you can see labour did well in the West gaining seats in Wales and the southwest and you've got some Lib Dem yellow in London where they also gained seats but there'll be some big names missing from tonight's as well Philip Hammond and amber Rudd two former cabinet ministers who aren't standing at this election labour losing deputy leader Tom Watson and former Sports Minister Kate Hoey servants cable to the former Lib Dem leader and Lady Sylvia Herman who sat as an independent in Northern Ireland they are among more than 70 MPs who won't be standing this time around in all the Commons we'll lose more than a thousand years of parliamentary experience well tonight joining Ed Conway and crunching those numbers will be our team of safale gist's experts in the study of elections and voting trends skies election analysts for every election since Sky News was founded indeed professor Michael Thrasher well he's right now inside those exit poll deliberations which we'll be able to bring you the result of let me remind you 10 o'clock on the dot but do not fear because our deputy political editor Sam Coates is here and joins me now and Sam tell us more about this exit poll Thank You Dermot so on the stroke of 10:00 p.m. the first indication of the nation's decision with the Sky News BBC an ITV News exit poll throughout the day if sauce mori interviewed around 30,000 people coming out of polling stations in a hundred and forty-four different locations voters fill in replica ballot papers after they cast their vote which is what makes this exercise different to conventional polls will someone have won an outright majority will it be another hung parliament the exit poll has captured the shock and the drama before just two years ago the exit poll was a surprise to almost everybody so hold your breath those results in just under 50 minutes time okay Sam thank you very much indeed well on election night it's the Battle of course to be first in Parliament that really counts but at least for the next two hours we'll also be focused on another race that's to be the first constituency to declare in this general election now for five elections those keen followers amongst you will know that in till 2017 that ground was claimed by Sunderland but last time around their local right.you Castle no less pit them to the post turned out this is the scene right now in those two great cities as the teams they're prepared to collect and count those ballot papers as quickly as possible all being well we could hear the first result in less than two hours time and these are the people who tell us who's going to win that race Gillian Joseph and Sarah Jamie Gillian the team they're in Newcastle dwellers were saying they they hold the crown and they confident of hanging on to it absolutely so Dermot and you get the sense that there is a rivalry going on here a healthy one or B say we should say if it's a healthy rival but there is one going on you can see already that the post all votes are coming in behind me those ballot boxes on the table there so it's all underway in earnest now are we taking the account from three constituencies here this evening from Newcastle Central East and north and there's a lot at stake as you said because Newcastle took the crown in 2017 for being the fastest constituency to declare they declared at one minute past eleven and just nine minutes afterwards Sunderland came in second not a position that they were happy with because as you say since 1992 they've held a crown for being the fastest constituency to declare so there's a lot to play for this evening in Newcastle maybe changed their venue they used to be at that Civic Hall there in this sports center because it's larger two reasons its larger and also because these back doors mean that vehicles can drive straight up to the doors and running with the boxes and that all adds up to valuable minutes which will be crucial in the race with Sunderland so who will reclaim the crown will it be Newcastle or will it be Sunderland let's take you over to the rival camp now at Sunderland with Sarah Jamie jyllian hello wellcan Sundlun win back its crown and they are ready welcome to the Sunderland side of this election derby over the course of the night here we're going to be getting the results of three votes patent and Sunderland control and Washington and Sunderland West now back in June 2017 all three seats here were won by the Labour Party were the Conservatives in second place the early attention tonight will be on Houghton and Sons of himself as Dermot and Gillian both said it reigned supreme in terms of declaring first and it was picked to the post back in 2017 by Newcastle Central the team here hoping to recapture that old magic which also saw them achieve the fastest ever declaration that came back in 2015 at 10:48 p.m. less than an hour after the polls closed if that happens I'll be going home early and watching the rest their coverage from a hotel now you might be asking how on earth do they do all this well over 1,000 people are here to help out as part of the count team they're all limbering up behind me you can hear the noise is getting louder they also say took a step a few years ago to make their ballot papers thinner and that makes it easier to count and of course much quicker time a lady tell if all of these preparations help them regain their title around half an hour I'm going to speak to the returning officer for this Sunderland count to get more on the operation being run here and how they think it's going to go so we'll be talking to him a little bit later on but for now Dermot back to you I'm sure it's going to be tight Gillian Sarah Jane thank you both we'll be hearing much more from you over the next couple of hours well Matt the trends that decide this election could prove to be amongst the most difficult to define of modern times there are so many dividing lines now not just the traditional questions of left and right and so on and so forth tonight we have a new tool to explore the election battleground and their heads up here now to explain it tell us about it there Ned that's right so I mean it's election night it's all about numbers and boy if we've got some interesting ways of showing you what's going on beneath the surface you saw over there in the atrium the big banners that might tell you the scores let's have a look at some of the background stories every election of course is different but this election might be decided in an unexpected way so let's have a look at the map which shows the UK and how it voted last time around because that map is a key way of showing you just what happened in the last election there you can see that a hexagram map of the UK and you can see the seats from last time around out that geography tells you one story but there are many ways of dicing those numbers of looking at what's going on beneath the surface and so you can also take those numbers and put them across and look at the brexit vote across those seats so this is the way that people voted in the referendum last time in 2016 all the way from those who voted for remain on this side of the axis moving through to those who voted more for leave so this is taking all of those constituencies and plotting them against that axis we can also look actually when it comes all all sorts of different measures as well so we have deprivation as well this is the deprivation ranking a kind of traditional cloth based ranking about all the constituencies around the UK again for the most deprived through to the least deprived over here and will have all sorts of other ways of being able to drill into those seats and show some unexpected parallels so for instance consider a couple of constituencies you've got Hazel Grove and North East Somerset they're 180 miles apart both with many similarities so both voted 52% for Breck's you can see that on the top you can see there are other similarities as well virtually the same proportion of graduates so there's a measure of Education as well for each of these constituency the same proportion of people under the age of 45 so there's an aged measure as well and very similar numbers of people have an ethnic minority as well 3% in heylia Hazel Grove and then you've got about 2% just over 2 percent in Somerset northeast question we'll be able to answer tonight is could those similarities could all of this data give us a pointer as to how people will actually vote you are well-prepared and I think you're going to need to be you are watching the brexit election live on Sky News in a moment we'll have more on our special guest tonight's speaker John Burke oh do you know who this is probably the UK no well we'll be discovering how far the fame of the most high-profile parliamentarian of modern times has spread and of course speak to the man himself [Music] you're watching the brexit election on Sky News as around 40 minutes to go now until the polls close and the fate of the 3321 candidates in total running in this election across the UK is sealed not among them for the first time in 22 years is the man sitting next to me John Bercow was first elected as an MP back in 1997 and for the past 10 years has been of course the House of Commons speaker he's become much more than that though a symbol perhaps off Parliament and a phenomenon whose fame has spread well beyond Westminster indeed beyond the shores take a look do you know who this is Prime Minister UK No [Music] [Applause] we are like some sort of extravagant tie maybe just a dead rant spare us the theatrics stop naturally acquire man difference of opinion is of the essence of politics your strong views a lot of things so he'd liked debating quite frankly young man you can like it or lump it has always been a divisive figure whenever he's done anything he's never done it by halves he's in it with absolute commitment ruthless efficiency and along the way there's been some collateral damage I really insist through some beauty and middest myself Prime Minister's question his expression is a little bit funny and it is take by few musics combination of finger wagging and head shaking going on very rude the members order [Applause] [Music] have a lie-down if necessary you really are a very very very generous bunch of people indeed for the state of my throat which is purely temporary is not down to the consumption of a kangaroo's testicle [Music] if debates must be conducted in a scene [Applause] members order order and you needed in every country you need in every country order it's a good it's a good word and here he is watching all that the man himself John Bercow and John as I say welcome once again to Sky News election night so there was some pretty weak attempts there at bringing everything to order could could you bring this election night studio if I was to week I shall a spa Dermot to be strong maybe I shall have to speak more loudly or more regularly or more insistently but of course you are in the chair and you are calling me to order rather than the other way around indeed indeed I'm not sure I'll be able to match that but it could be useful with some of the politicians we're going to have on the program during the course of the evening I'll just set sat you on them tell me though I mean watching that you genuinely are an international phenomena and they would students they're from Belgium people from all over the world some of them thinking you might have been the Prime Minister were you aware of that while you were in that I became aware of it only very late in the day it wasn't planned it wasn't contrived it was no part of my mission to become known throughout Europe or indeed for that matter beyond for much of the time you're almost hermetically sealed from the outside world when you are chairing debates for many many many hours uninterrupted so if you want speed did I give a thought to that the answer's no I suppose what brought it home to me was my family and in particular my children if they take the mickey out familiar with all this saying to me oh it's very funny dad have you seen the mash up and i said i beg your pardon what is the mash up of x you speak i'd never heard of a mash up and then there was reference to memes that were audible and could be viewed what they get out they get out their phones and show you it is absolutely and of course there are streets ahead of me and all of these messes so I eventually became aware and I must confess that at one point much earlier this year I went to Amsterdam to do a late-night television program and I was completely taken aback by two things first I arrived at the airport and about 10 people came up who had arrived on other flights in pursuit of selfies and then as we went out of the airport there was a little crowd of waiting taxi drivers expecting business and one of them saw me and called our order order and you put him right there just very quickly John I mean much more to discuss you in the course of the evening and not too much politics though of course before 10 o'clock and the polls closing you know what are you gonna do now you're out of politics what what is a book one imagines and public speaking things like that well my first challenge Dover's and it's quite a serious and heavy one is to overcome my natural shyness reticence and self-effacement indeed if I can accomplish that task which I will go about with some commitment and vigor you're pretty much on the right track I written a book I'm doing a lot of public speaking and I suppose if I tried to encapsulate it in a nutshell I want to earn a living have some fun and do some good okay I can see we're in for quite a night the shy retiring John Burke oh they're much more from him of course coming up well let's get back now to the constituencies we visited the seats of the leaders of the conservative and labor parties as you know the Lib Dems are next and my colleague Neil Patterson is gonna be tracking Joe Swinson this evening what's the mood there Neil well evening determine perhaps the biggest surprise of the general election Sky News have sent the guy with the Scottish accent to Scotland to Bishop Briggs in fact and whilst I may be a long way from home welcome to the leisure drum yes that is what this building is called where the count for the constituency of Eastern Partnership is being held this evening it was one as you mentioned back in 2017 by one Jo Swenson no of course at leader of the Liberal Democrats she wasn't back then with the SNP in second place and they do tend to be pretty snappy with their counts yeah last time out in 2017 Joyce Winston's name was read out and around about 20 to 3 and I'm told they're going to be trying to do even better this time around of course people have been voting elsewhere across Scotland so we can take you briefly to adding Stern and South line at show whereas you soon see one the sturgeon I was fulfilling hard democratic duty and casting a horror for a little earlier on today she's of course not standing as an MP in the general election she's probably got quite a bit on her plate being First Minister but to bring you back here to the Laird room as I said we're expecting that came from the chief executive of it's like the of the Eastern Partnership Council and around about three o'clock this morning we will certainly be bringing you that live when it happens and we'll have plenty more to talk about after the polls close and watch just a little under half an hour's time indeed okay Neil thank you very much indeed and you're watching the brexit election on Sky News in a moment we'll cross two more of the seats where the election will be decided including one close to my special guests heart as we count down to ten o'clock welcome back you're watching the brexit election on Sky News with less than half an hour to go now until the polls close let me take you through the headlines and Boris Johnson has returned to Downing Street after voting in London this morning after voting in Islington in North London earlier the Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has left his home tonight he's due to hear the result from his constituency run about two o'clock in the morning and from the nationalist parties Nicola Sturgeon voted in South Lanarkshire and applied Camrys leader Adam Price voted in Comanche [Music] now then for the first time ever Sky News will have journalists at every count across the country to make sure we bring you the results as soon as they're declared we've heard about Newcastle and Sunderland but where else might we hear from earlier in the evening well skies Helen Anne Smith is in Swindon and Caterina vertice is in Wrexham let's start with you Helen are now and you're in the first seat which declared in 2017 outside Sunderland and Newcastle do they have similar hopes on timing this time quite possibly there are two seats being counted two declared here in Swindon South Swindon and North Swindon back in 2017 both of those constituencies were won by the conservative candidates and in both cases labour were the runners-up now it's worth saying discounts being held in the steam railway museum here in Swindon you might be able to see the beautiful atrium behind me lots of accounting offices just starting to arrive it's the site of the old railway works here now when this plant closed back in the late eighties that had a huge impact on Swindon fast forward 30 years it's now the Honda manufacturing car plant due to closed in 2021 with a loss of 3,500 jobs that as you say Dermot the reason these constituencies are worth watching is because historically they have been some of the first southern constituencies to declare I just had a quick word with the returning officer she says there might be a little slower this year they've got a new venue a few fewer counting officers but nevertheless what happens here may give us some indication of what the night has in store indeed okay Helen and thank you very much daddy let's go to Caterina vacati they're in Wrexham ER and Caterina Wrexham traditionally one of the first seats to declare in Wales yeah we're expecting a return for Wrexham at about two a and there are two counts happening here at the Glen dear University Sports Hall Wrexham and quids South were expecting Wrexham first foot south a little bit after that as I said welcome to the University Sports Hall where even just half an hour ago someone was fitting a last-minute treadmill session in the gym just to my right but the faint whiff of workout is slowly epping away instead replaced by heavy throm of excitement as the vote counters arrive to start their task in about 20 minutes time also a Wrexham anchored South those two counts happening here labour held seats in 2017 will that change at this time around expect that results at around 2 a.m. okay Katerina thank you very much indeed glad the whiff of workout is dissipating in Wrexham well as I said Sky News has people in every constituency tonight to bring you the results as and when they are declared that's just a sample of some of them it's fair to say that one of them is especially relevant to my special guest this evening John Burke Oh was the MP for buckingham for more than 20 years 22 in fact understood in no less than eight elections John de frst will just tell us about the the life of a constituency MP particularly at general election time though those nerves well it's great privilege to be a constituency MP and I'll never forget the feeling of elation and relief when I was first elected the result declared at 10:00 to 6:00 in the morning on the second of May 1997 but you reference that point Dermot about nerves and the truth is that I think the vast majority of candidates are afflicted by what is known in the trade as candidate itis that is to say they are nervous and sometimes neurotic even if there is no obviously discernible reason why they should be even if you're in a pretty safe seat or a very safe seat you still think oh did something go wrong did something happen in this particular constituency that could unseat me yes and I think that's true at various stages in the campaign for example you can have a bad day I remember in 1997 having a bad day and a bad day meant meeting people who had previously voted conservative and in some cases always voted conservative saying they weren't going to vote conservative I remember going to dinner one night with my age and in a local pub and he obviously anticipated what I was thinking I was looking pretty miserable and forlorn and I said to him Gordon you don't think no John he said to me and I said but Gordon you don't know what I'm going asked you and he said I think I know exactly yeah question is on the tip of your tongue he said you're about to ask me might you lose and I said yes I was going to ask that and he said no John it is gonna be a tough election but on a uniform swing the Conservative Party would have to be down to seven seats to lose Bucky and that's not gonna happen worry not he said and enjoy your dinner well a lot of worried candidates out there tonight and tonight Sky News is producing not one but two election programs we're on Sky News across the UK and worldwide on TV and Sky's mobile platforms but we're also delivering the brexit election social across social media networks set for more let's join Sky's political correspondent Lewis Goodall he's presenting the election social it begins in just a few minutes time only you Lewis yes indeed dammit we're in a parallel universe to you from over here very very close though just over the balcony and this is a we were first for Britain a digital-only election program aimed or all of those people who obsessively live their lives online and all of the election geeks and I daresay I might include myself in that as well but don't worry it's not just me I'm not like Macaulay Culkin I'm not home alone I've got a whole panel a vast panoply of the internet service and best and most knowledgeable at least that's what we've they've told us anyway who will be guiding us throughout the night seeing what people are saying online and as I say as well bringing you the very geekiest Assefa logical analysis available and the best thing about it is dumb it is that everyone can enjoy your program as well it's a main course a meaty coniferous main course to our luscious vegan millennial side dish so make sure you join us on Sky News digital platforms across the internet complimentary okay Louis good luck thank you very much now the unsung heroes of election night are the teams up these local councils collecting and counting all the millions of ballot papers all in an attempt to make sure we know the election result by round about breakfast tomorrow we're going to hear from two of them now first a Newcastle and my colleague Julie and Joseph Gillian Dermot thank you yes they are the unsung heroes and it's not just about declaring the results on the night I have with me Pat Ritchie who's been the returning officer for Newcastle for the last eight years and we were talking a little bit before it this is the culmination of many many months of workers not yes really this is the end of the process where staff involved in the election have been working right through from when the announcement of the election was made taking nominations organizing polling stations working on postal votes issue in postal votes dealing with hundreds and thousands of queries from the public about registration and about voting and really when we get to the count that's the end of the hall of the democratic process although one of the the most important parts of it explain to us what it's like for you when you're up on that stage and you know the result and you're about to share that with the rest of the world is it nerve-wracking for you well it's quite a responsibility really you know and it's it's quite and I'm quite proud of being involved in a you know a number of Democratic events really and it's sort of nerve-wracking but actually the organization of the election and some of the things that we rode on is in some ways more of nerve-wracking when you get to that stage it's about really delivering the result on behalf of the the people of Newcastle really actually thank you very much for talking to us there Pat we shoot a returning officer for Newcastle we shall be back to you a little later on in the program Dermot yeah and see if they've done it Gillian thank you very much indeed that's New Castle's hopes set let's see what they're doing in Sunderland Sarah Jane is there can they beat them Sarah Jane well there quietly confident I have to say derma I'm with the returning officer here in Sunderland Patrick Melia Patrick hello to you very exciting night tonight how are the nerves nerves are fine no notes at all it's you've got a well efficient well-run team here so looking forward to the evening it's interesting how is the rivalry with Newcastle because in the 2017 election I mean I hate to remind you but they didn't pick me to be the first to declare and when Pat popped up Pat Ritchie there you and I know Pat yes but a rivalry is when you impact together that's right it's all about the efficient accurate election nothing else coming first is not the main thing I think that the important thing is for the electorate and for the candidates it's a smooth efficient operation to give the accurate results okay I mean the buzz in this room I mean it's making me nervous I know you've got nerves of steel when can we expect the first boxes to arrive because looking at that countdown clock we've got just under 15 minutes to go so we're in the Horton and Sundance outcomes tissue seems over right in the center of that constituency nice applause should end up here three minutes past 10:00 they stores will burst over the doors will burst open and your feet a box come through the door now a lot of practice goes into this office there's so much build-up in a general election campaign two voting day but in terms of practicing what goes on here in this hall you have local schoolchildren helping you out there's a relay going on outside there in the cold and the rain yet know that local sixth-form seat isn't st. Anthony's every year the sixth floor must turn up and they help us whether it's a local election or a national election with the relay getting the ballot boxes from the vans into the building to the right place within the building and it's great just to see them being involved in the democratic process and it all comes in here twenty-eight teams and how many counts is each team so it's around 12 to countless lives to you but across the board we have around 300 counters the cost of three different constituencies and their fingers are at the ready for three minutes past 10:00 we'll be having our eyes on those doors at the back of this room as they burst open those boxes come in Patrick good luck to you Patrick melee returning officer I know you're watching that countdown clock you've got to go so let's go be knighted thank you right well that is it from the Sunderland for moment will keeping our eye on that countdown clock because as I said they're quietly confident that they're going to be first to declare tonight okay Sara J Gillian best of luck to you both I'm staying neutral on this one and you're watching the brexit election on Sky News just 13 minutes to go now until 10 o'clock and we can bring you the exit poll whose hopes could be dashed tonight okay you're watching the brexit election on Sky News and there are just nine minutes to go until polls close and we bring you the results of the broadcaster's exit poll well we've heard from the constituency counts of the leaders of the Conservatives labour and Lib Dems and the place is vying to be first Sky News is live at more than 200 counts tonight and these six are amongst them James Matthews is in Glasgow David Blevins is in Belfast Katie Spencer is in Brighton Knoll Phillips is in Kensington and Gerrard tub is in Hartlepool and into mam Rashida's in what from snow in Northeast London to you first James Glasgow is ever a key place of course we'll be watching for tonight that's right yeah well from there the cavernous SEC on the banks of the River Clyde Dermot the stage about half a mile behind me here on the media platform 59 seats being decided across Scotland this evening here in Glasgow there will be seven six held last time run by the SNP one by Labour a record number of people in Scotland just over four million registered to vote in this election before the November the 26th deadline the weather I'm happy to say has been kind to them voters have been spared the worst of a Scottish December that's not to say there hasn't been disruption mind you there was a controlled explosion in Northland ature of what's being described as a non-viable device outside a room that was going to be used by voters they had to be diverted a 48 year old man has been charged in connection with that incident okay James that's good about fast every Blevins is there and David tell us about the counts there well it's a different selection of parties for voters to choose from here in this corner of the United Kingdom but that doesn't mean they are less relevant there are 18 seats in Northern Ireland back in 2017 the DUP won ten of them shin fence seven and an independent candidate the 18th here in Belfast itself the DUP is tonight defending three of the four seats and shin fin won so whether it's from mana and South Tyrone the most westerly constituency in the UK or Antrim north just 20 miles from Scotland on this side of the Irish Sea we will bring you all the results from Northern Ireland as they come in and we expect them all declared by about 3 o'clock ok David thanks for that ter Katie Spencer is in bright tonight where we'll see the Green Party's Caroline Lucas later Katie yeah well other counts are racing to be among the first to return a result sadly I think that's not something you'll see us taking part in here at the Brighton Centre we've got form for being a bit late to really win through adults when they come in so you'll see that electoral juggernaut have hundreds of votes coming in between three and about five we're more likely to deliver a result some time we think between five and about seven in the morning but they're all gearing up they're all getting into place it's three constituencies that were counting for here Hove which in 2017 went to labour and I'll just step out the way so you can see some of the other areas that we're going to be getting the count for so ever to the right they're going to be counting for a Brighton Kemp town which also went to labour and in the middle is where they're going to be doing the count for Caroline what was Caroline Lucas is constituency in 2017 which gave the Green there only seat in the House of Commons Katie thanks very much NOLA Phillips is in Kensington in West London one of the London seats we're going to be watching very closely tonight aren't we no indeed at them welcome to Kensington and at Chelsea Town Hall and now and short announcement a moment ago there that's why the round of applause around 500 people employed here to ensure this election goes according to plan and the last that we're expecting results around 4:30 this morning but beyond these walls this is a constituency that is quite affluent it's Nate you know there are people here who live in deprived communities as well but one of the things one of the most defining things about this constituency is the fact that it is a mile or so away from Kensington Palace home to members of the royal family and of course we're expecting as I said the results around 4:30 this morning ok no thanks for that sure let's go to Hartlepool chair our table is so live there and it's where the chairman of the brexit party richard theis is standing isn't it Joe we're going to have some excitement here we're hoping later on certainly a lot of people wanting to see what the result is going to be here course Hartlepool North East Coast's between Middlesbrough and Newcastle 71 thousand voters here it's people who from this town known as the monkey hangers of 200 year old insult from the Napoleonic Wars when they found a shipwrecked monkey on the beach thought it was a French spy they've never seen a monkey or a Frenchman and so they hanged it but it shows something of a spirit of the people here that they're quite proud of that richard theis of course as you say wants to be the MP will this constituency that voted that heavily for leave let him have his way okay Jared thank you very much indeed now in Samarra she'd is in Walthamstow in North East London and in zoo mama boxes arriving very soon that's right welcome to Walthamstow townhall complex there's gonna be three counts here overnight mid we first got swole from Stowe then we've got Layton and once they're both labor seats in the last general election and then Chingford and Woodford green now that's probably the most noticeable one with Ian Duncan Smith the former leader of the Conservative Party standing in that constituency once again he's been the MP for that constituency since it was first created 22 years ago so no doubt we'll be seeing him in this hall tonight now the voters the counters are all there behind us waiting for those ballot papers to come in and get counting after 10 p.m. it may be cliche to say dammit but it looks like it's a kind of grab the popcorn kind of night here in Walthamstow okay it could be Inzamam thank you very much indeed well the moment is fast approaching when the voting stops and we can bring you the results of the broadcaster's exit poll let's look at that countdown precisely now three minutes in fact until we reveal the findings of this huge exercise carried out today by the pollsters Ipsos MORI on behalf of us here at Sky News the BBC and ITV News canvases have interviewed thousands of people in 144 different place is across the country well here with me is our political editor beth rigby so others say well under three minutes to go that under three minutes go and i'm so nervous about it about this exit poll because this is as you said the moment when you're not asking people how they intend to vote how they did vote and it's the first moment where we get a sense of how well or badly the parties have done there's a margin it comes up in seats one there's a margin of error of twenty on either side but certainly in the past three elections it's been pretty on the money it can change the narrative and it can surprise us well we will find out now looking at the clock again let's count down to the two-minute warning two minutes to go until we can reveal the results of the exit poll who will return to Westminster with the mandate to form a government or could voters deliver and now that hung parliament we'll be getting that indication very soon your feelings john burke oh it will be an exciting moment it isn't absolutely proof positive of what will happen but it's a pretty clear guiding light so somebody is going to be very elated and somebody is going to be very dejected you've been sitting at home presumably I'm watching it in previous elections in previous elections I've sometimes watched at home but more often I have been out of dinner preparing to go to the council indeed of course okay John thank you very much indeed for that we are focusing on that clock again as it marches relentlessly towards ten o'clock precisely there's just over one minute to go now until we release the broadcasters exit poll now you don't know what it will say we don't know what it will say it's shot politicians and the public on recent election nights and despite their doubts predicted the direction of the elections certainly last time around in 2017 when it predicted that Theresa May would fall short well will it do the same tonight there are only moments left to wait [Music] [Applause] [Music] it's ten o'clock the brexit election is over and it looks like this the exit poll is predicting is indicating it's a conservative win that the Conservatives will have 368 seats the Labour Party 191 the Liberal Democrats we're getting 13 the brexit party on 0 Scottish National Party 55 and the Greens on one that others will have 22 so there it is the exit poll predicting a big conservative win a majority for Boris Johnson the initial reactions better eating while Boris Johnson called this the brexit election and really if that is the result tonight he has won emphatically an incredible result if it's correct and it means that we will leave the EU next year Brooks it will happen okay well there we are the exit poll is indicating that the Conservatives will gain 368 seats the Labour Party 191 the Lib Dems 13 that would we just got one more since in since that they started the last Parliament with the SNP will be on 55 well let's get reaction from John Bercow a big majority as Beth was saying there I think those bigger spell an 86 majority so if that's accurate that is a phenomenal victory for the Conservative Party and Boris Johnson would obviously feel completely vindicated in the gamble that he took that is much more emphatic than some of the polls have suggested but it would be an absolutely dramatic victory and it certainly would mean as Beth says that he would be in a position to get phase one of brexit done by the end of January there's a much wider debate but that is undoubtedly well let's say let's a stay without headline it's an exit poll no seats have declared of course yet but that exit poll suggesting the Boris Johnson will have one and one big suggesting the Conservatives will have 368 seats Jeremy Corbyn and labour on one 91 one of those responsible for tonight's exit poll is Sky's election analyst professor Michael thrash and now he's tracked every election for us since Sky News was founded he's now on his way here to the sky election center from central London he was involved in compiling that exit poll and Michael tell us more about it well it's been a remarkable day Dermott we've been taking interviews from across the country since 7 o'clock this morning right the way through until just before the polling stations closed and the Conservatives have been heading for an overall majority all day long it's just that the number has fluctuated down as more labour voters perhaps turned out to vote later on but it really is a remarkable election victory for Boris Johnson and a majority of 86 seats for labour it really is an appalling an election result and possibly its worst performance in any general election since the Second World War so Jeremy Corbyn I'm afraid will go down as one of the worst leaders in Labour's history and Michael does it give us any indication yet of the areas to look out for where this will or may happen very much so it's it's quite clear that the more constituencies voted to leave the EU in 2016 the better the performance for the Conservatives so the Conservatives are going to gain seats across the Midlands and northern England these are areas where traditionally labour has held sway and and it's in these areas where the Labour vote has fallen most the conservative vote has written the most so it's in the former industrial towns of the Midlands and the north where lay where labour have really suffered and they will lose many constant many the constituencies that they had gained to lose over 70 they will be lost in these areas and Michael some discussion of course about the the seats of some of the leaders in particular Boris Johnson and Joe Swenson any thoughts about what might happen in those seats well in terms of Joe Swenson and Scotland Scotland is fascinating in general because although you've got the Conservatives easily winning the most seats in England and Wales in Scotland it is the SNP that prevail we're suggesting that they are very close to their peak when they won 56 seats we we're suggesting that they're going to win 55 some of those gains are from the Conservatives some are from Labour and some from the Liberal Democrats in other words all the all the parties that were in favour a reach of remaining in the scholar remaining in the Union they've all suffered defeats at the hands of the SNP okay Michael I know you're hotfooting it towards us here in the studio see you very soon well what do the Conservatives make off tonight's exit poll the Tory party chairman James cleverly is here with me now well whatever the exit poll says you always come in and say take it with a pinch of salt are you treating this one that way well I've always felt that polls should be taken with a degree of caution we've we've seen over a number of electoral events over the last year's than call it wrong I've been cautious of poll results when they've looked good on cautious of poll results when they look not so good so we'll see how the seats actually roll out before I start getting too excited about okay indeed but let's go without indication that will be a thumping majority welcomes any Willie if it comes anywhere close to that well maths is math and if big if if the numbers play out as per that exit poll then that is numerically a big majority but as I say we'll want to see yeah if it plays out and also we'll want to see which particular constituencies have voted in what way well what about your sense of the way it was going on the campaign trail I mean a lot of an awful lot of labour seats according to the exit poll will come your way presumably seats that have never been conservative before did you get that sense while you were out campaigning yeah and it was difficult really to assess it's still difficult to assess exactly how that feeling will play out but I spent much of this week over the weekend early part of this week zigzagging across the Midlands the north of England and in long-standing labour held constituencies there was fury I mean not anger fury at both the Labour Party and at Jeremy Corbyn a lot of people felt that they were lied to in 2017 when the Labour candidates look them in the eye and said I will deliver brexit and then spent the following two and a half years doing everything to prevent it but more than that there was a feeling that the Labour Party had stopped talking about and talking to those communities and was focusing very very much on basically its big urban constituencies and what about leadership do you think Boris Johnson just went down better than Jeremy Corbyn well Boris is very good at reaching out to people I I've been on the campaign trail with him a number of times in 2008 when he won the London merits against expectations in 2012 when he London won the London marilee against expectations in in the referendum which was won against expectations and we're seeing now hopefully if these numbers play out that he has got a the working majority that we've asked the British people to give us so he can get brexit done and then focus on the priority and there I hear on the door sand that Sunderland trying to be first let me bring in a man now who you know very well mr. Corelli yeah former Speaker John Burke oh and John Burke I mean this would be if it turns out this way it's only the exit poll this would be a majority of facture right proportions yes I mean it would be stratospherically higher than a lot of people including quite a lot of conservative optimists had predicted it's not quite in the domain of Margaret Thatcher's 101 in 87 oh no 144 in 1983 but it is nevertheless a very very very satisfactory result for the Conservative Party if that is what if it's against and Beth Rigby it's the fourth time of asking as well to actually put on seats if this we've got to keep saying it's the active delt but this is exactly let's just I mean a year ago Boris Johnson was on the back benches and he almost looked didn't he James like like a busted flush I mean this is an incredible political combat for Boris Johnson for a start I mean unbelievably impressive if you think if that is correct if that poll is correct he is the most successful conservative prime minister since Margaret Thatcher I mean you haven't seen majorities like that for decades and then the other thing I would say in terms of labor if they have gone back in that sort of level I mean that's worse than the Michael foot performance then Jeremy Corbyn is going to have to resign I mean that if that is correct he has to resign and he can't stay on as leader well will be obviously putting those kind of questions to the labor representative when they come in but we've got James clarity from the Conservatives here right now are they popping any champagne corks they all cliche out are you just gonna sit back and watch the results come in this is boring and it makes terrible television and I apologize in advance thank you you're going to wait for the numbers yeah the real numbers the real votes from real constituencies because until that happens I mean this may well be very well informed speculation but it is speculation my job the promise that I made to the prime minister is to give him a working majority that's what we're working towards and if that comes off and I'll be very pretty but back in 2015 when David Cameron eke - what 12 seat majority it felt like a massive achievement I mean what has happened it if that is correct are loads of labour voters lending the Conservatives their vote because they want to get brexit done ie do you think that the brexit identity of voters has completely trounced traditional party identities in this election I think that is part of it that is part of it but I think there's something deeper I think for years perhaps decades there have been people who voted labour and they've seen the Labour Party drift further and further away from them spend less and less time talking about the things that they value spend less and less time talking about the parts of the country that they live in and have knocked on the door and just expected those people to continue voting labour and I think brexit vote was a wake-up call because it was Labour's reaction to their vote that I think was toxic so rather than saying oh my gosh we've we've stopped listening to you we'll listen to you now we want to understand why you're upset why you're angry why you're fearful we had senior voices from the Labour Party ridiculing those values and it's Italy I mean is it going to change the Conservative Party if you have addressed different constituencies and attracted to them they attracted to your manifesto do you have to be a different party my contention is that that under Boris's leadership we are already becoming different we are evolving and I've always felt very proud of the Conservative Party because it's a party that evolves and through his leadership campaign Boris said that we need to spread opportunity around the whole of the UK that we need to make sure that parts of the country that are not well-connected in public transport terms get better connected to to raise the attainment of schools in in parts of the country outside London the South East he was saying this during his leadership campaign I think people have been listening to that which is why we've seen since the summer of this year a steady increase in the support for the Conservative Party yes in our traditional areas like my lovely part of North Essex but also where I was earlier on this week in in in Durham and in Newcastle in in Cumbria and in the West Midlands and in the northeast and the northwest and in North Wales but if they sexy apparel is to be believed there that's the kind of places as you say mr. Greville you are going to start winning seats but Sir those results still to come in thank you very much a deep for the time being will it get off to your count and oh we wanted reaction from the Labour Party we've got Labour's Barry Gardner joining us now the shadow secretary state for international trade your mood mr. Gardner or what do you make of this if it is to be a hundred and ninety one seats if that is the case then obviously it's a devastating result for us and not just for us it's not just about our party or the the people who've worked so hard to support the Labour Party this is about all the people who were really needing laborer victory to improve their lives in so many ways the people who needed decent housing the people who needed decent schools for their children that were properly funded people in need of the health service or social care and and I think we we offered a manifesto of hope and manifesto that had was full of integrity and if this is the result then many many people that are going to be very let down you're not questioning the numbers then you think okay mine I'll be 191 but even if it's 20 seats or so more it's still awful isn't it look I'm not I'm it's not clear of what what it will be but certainly this exit poll is a devastating blow and obviously as the night wears on we'll know exactly whether it's as bad as it suggests or not but it certainly doesn't look good and I think in one sense we always knew that this election was going to be focused on brexit and that is the strategy that the Conservatives played most general elections are of course about all those other issues and this one has tended to focus almost exclusively on the the issue of brexit okay and that seems to have cut across the traditional lines of politics but if this is the number it's it's catastrophic for labour is it not it's worse results since before the war since 1935 in actual fact have you spoken to Jeremy Corbyn yet no I haven't obviously I rushed here to to get to the studios and and I've been here since since 10 o'clock listening to to the results but obviously it's a it's a deeply depressing prediction and as I say it's one that really my heart goes out to all the people who had had given their hope to the Labour Party who really were relying on us to be able to improve their lives and sort out the problems that they were facing and and that's what pains me the most about a projection like this but that's the thing you let them down what you didn't offer them what they seem to want did you well I I do believe that for many people we were offering what what they they needed and wanted I think as I say brexit rather overlaid all of that and of course the the conservative manifesto simply focused on brexit and you know okay maybe a singular message was the one that has won through in the end but it was a singularly lacking envision offer from the Conservative Party I'm proud that our offer was as strong as it is was as hopeful as it is and as I say I I am deeply deeply depressed if these projections well on these net a lot on these numbers are you touching on their mr. Gardner you need to reinvent the party and doesn't that start at the top I mean you you need a new leader you can't lose twice and these the second time as badly as this look I mean obviously these are things that will be discussed by the leadership of the party in the next few days it's prematurity to be discussing them now at the moment we must see exactly what the night holds and you know I I hope that many many of my colleagues will will retain their seats that the predictions will not prove true because I know every one of them has fought a campaign full of integrity full of honesty and full of compassion and and that's what is most to to the fore of my mind at the moment that we will not be able to deliver that compassionate hopeful agenda for the people in our country and desperately needed it alright shadow secretary state thank you very much indeed Labor's Barry Gardner there well let's see what those exit poll numbers mean for Parliament's over to Ed Conway well I mean blimey blimey I mean let's get the provisos out of the way first you know this is an exit poll there are lots of question marks over you know it may not necessarily be fully reliable but over the past few decades it certainly has been let's have a look though at those numbers provisos out the way 368 seats for the Conservatives it's not just a good night a great night for the Tories Boris Johnson could win 368 we'll give them a majority in government quite clearly actually have a look how that actually works out so there we have the numbers but let's put them into our kind of virtual House of Commons so there you have it it's our government builder essentially taking all of those parties all of those results this is from the exit poll let's put the conservative numbers into the government benches as it were so those hexagons represent government benches and that line look at that line that's 326 seats it takes the Tories comfortably pass the total they require to get into Danny's seat you'll remember that winning line we showed you earlier on the line into Downing Street according to the exit poll Boris Johnson is safely in but it is of course according to the exit poll now the poll also suggesting maybe even more of a story labour to get a hundred and ninety-one seats leaving them short obviously of being able to form a coalition challenge the Conservative Party historically bad worse since the second world war as you were hearing you were talking to Debbie Barry garden or a moment ago and many people think we'll think that's pretty disastrous for the Labour Party let's just go back though that's the exit poll let's go back and remember the picture in 2017 okay so have a look at this will show you the results last time around so 2017 the Tories 318 short of that majority there you can see the board on the Left Labour 262 so up above 200 that time around and then you can see the map behind that's the map as of before today the map of the UK the political map is about to be redrawn let's clear that it's clear so we're starting afresh and throughout the evening that map's gonna be very important because we're going to be keeping a very close eye on constituencies around the country there you can see them dotted so those constituencies around the country will be looking at to see if that exit poll is on track or not that's what we all want to know an extraordinary number big reaction from markets as well which will bring you in a second but let's have a look what we can do is not just give you the overall number but some of them names that we might well focus on that might be part of the story tonight Bolsover Dennis Skinner in 2017 the Tories managed to actually double their votes in bowls over it's 70 percent leave area the toys have been very keen on guessing that seat well we can tell you that according to the exit poll Bolsover is likely to fall to the Tories so the Tories will win bowls over says the exit poll now that is just what the exit poll is suggesting we'll have to see whether the results actually bear that out and we'll have earlier results that can give you a sense of that but that is what the exit poll suggests at the moment then as Skinner's had that seat since 1950 extraordinary moment for the Labour do iron there there are other potential losses actually when you look at the north as well so you got stoke-on-trent labour since 1950 Wrexham Lee Lee as well labour since 1922 but have a look at this okay in London cities of London and Westminster could be better news here for labour of other day they've been targeting and this really shows your underlines the fact that we're not just talking about a uniform spring where it's all going to the Tories way there are some seats actually where labour may well actually do well now at the moment this is the thesis of mark field who stood down at the election there was a nine-point swing from the Tories to labour in 2017 but get this the exit polls suggesting it's not going to continue in this election it could go to the Labour Party so chuck omana from the Liberal Democrats was hoping to win the seat now according to the exit poll again provisos we've got them out the way that's going to go to labour isn't that extraordinary that was the seat that Chuck Romano was hoping to win but they're actually poor suggesting that's looking good for labour we're not going to give you the exact numbers because then that would be slightly spurious at this stage but what we're telling you is that's what the exit poll is suggesting extraordinary results here elsewhere have a look out in London for Putney wooden buildin like they could also actually go to labour as well and now obviously the race is on so we've cleared the board and the race is now on for the first MP to be confirmed in Parliament these are the contenders you can see every year it's a race between Newcastle horns you could do custom all the time central and Houghton and Sunderland South there they are last time around it was Cheon whare in newcastle upon tyne central who was announced first shortly before her colleague bridget philipson in Houghton and Sunderland South the big question of course is who will it be this time around Dermot and will those results bear out what we've seen in that extra exit poll okay thank you very much a deed extraordinary is the word if the exit poll is to be believed let's just talk you through those numbers again 368 the indication for the Conservative Party a huge majority for Boris Johnson labour pushed back under 200 on 191 well my colleague Sam coats our deputy political editor is looking at so many historical comparisons been made Sam talked us through some of them so we've been looking under the bonnet of this extraordinary exit poll and yes it looks like Boris Johnson is on course to break a number of records if this exit poll does translate let's look first of all at some numbers we haven't seen yet the approximate national share of the vote from our exit poll this suggests that the Conservatives will end up on 46% of the vote and labour could end up as low as 32% now this would be a greater share for the Conservatives than in any election the 1970 it would also be the first time an incumbent government had increased its national share of the vote in three successive elections towards 15 2017 and 2019 it looks as if there's been a spin a swing from Labour to conservative or 5.4 percent the previous post-war record was Margaret Thatcher in 1979 that was 5.3 percent so it looks as if Boris Johnson could be on course to beat that now let's look at labour this looks like if this exit poll is true that the Labour Party could set a new post-war record for the smallest number of seats won by labour in a general election look in 1983 the party won just 209 seats with a 28 percent vote share in 1987 they won 229 so clearly this exit poll puts the below that then you look at the fact that this is a brexit election the conservative share of the vote has gone up in constituencies particularly it's gone up in constituencies that had largely votes in 2016 but that's not the only effect in this election it does appear as if there might have been something like had called in effect because labour are down even in places they might have been expecting to do well even though labour might pick up seats in London Labour's vote has fallen everywhere including London it's just it's just in decline less in London and then there are just some extraordinary individual seats themselves Lee that it formerly held by Andy Burnham taking an enormous swing it's been labor since 1922 that looks under this exit poll as if it could if it could also be lost one or two other quick things the SNP now they look like they're on course to almost repeat their triumph in 2015 they looked like they're on course for 55 seats in 2015 they got 26 seats it could even come at the expense of Jay Swenson the Liberal Democrat leader it's an extraordinary exit poll pointing to an extraordinary night could be quite a night ahead ok Sam thanks for updating us on that's from the exit poll John Bercow 368 seats for Boris Johnson we've done the historical comparisons just give us your feelings what it might all mean well it would be a dramatic result and it would be a vastly better result than most conservatives dreamt of at any time during the campaign and probably for some months before I would imagine the Prime Minister would be elated thrilled to bits dancing around the mulberry bush in joyous appreciation of the voters verdict if this is anywhere near to accurate any point I would like Dermot to pick up on from earlier is that James cleverly quite understandably as the Tory Party Chairman sought to superimpose his own view at a very formative stage of our proceedings on how the voters might have been motivated in voting as they did and it was quite interesting that James said well it was much wider than brexit the Conservative Party had been focusing on transport and the extension of opportunity and enabling people to move forward and so on and so you think it whilst brexit that cutting message get that sense is a bit rich the truth of the matter and it isn't in any sense to cavil it's just to clarify it was a brexit focused brexit orientated brexit dominated campaign the idea that there was any great push through for any other subject from the Conservatives is frankly fanciful it was all up that missing but the fact it's all that narrow point then brexit does get done ie the withdrawal agreement gets passed if they have a majority agreement but that Dermot is the basis is one mater will be done and it will be possible I'm quite sure if this result is true for the UK to exit the European Union as the Prime Minister wants by the end of January 2020 but that's the withdrawal agreement that is about the divorce bill it's about the rights of European citizens about the Irish border I don't think if I may say so that means getting brexit done in the sense that it's gift-wrapped or oven ready for Christmas we will be debating brexit certainly for the next five years probably for the next turn and conceivably for the next but the thing it's better it be I mean people just seem to want to stop talking about it for the Parliament yeah and I would say what I would say though John about that majority of he's got a majority that big he is going to get brexit done because he can actually push the terms of trade of what he wants to do through the Commons with a majority like that he will not have the problems that Theresa May and Boris Johnson had in Parliament the other thing that I think we should have a think about in this this isn't just about Breck's that this could also be about the Union because think about the SNP S&P they've produced 50 vibed into that 55 seats nearly back to the sort of performance that they saw back in 2015 I think it was when they took nearly a clean sweep across Scotland so you're going to have a very pro brexit conservative prime minister pushing through what could be a very very hard trade deal to get it done by the end of 2020 and you have Nicola Sturgeon in Scotland calling for a second referendum and the country could be another 30 to be a rare a remain so that is going to be a fascinating dynamic of Boris Johnson plenty more to discuss and plenty of time to do it because we haven't had any results yet but wonder if we've heard from the Prime Minister himself on Boris Johnson well my colleague Anna botting is following Boris Johnson tonight as she's there in Uxbridge waiting for his cat to complete and have we heard anything at all from mr. Johnson Anna just in the last moment in fact he has tweeted his thanks to those who have worked hard in this campaign the words of the Prime Minister then thank you to everyone across a great country who voted who volunteered who stood as candidates we live in the greatest democracy in the world no tears in Downing Street this time remember Theresa May the strategy back in 2017 was to go over after those labor leave leaning seats in the end they took just six this time it looks like that strategy has worked and there is the Prime Minister out in South Ruislip earlier this evening we understand his own count here in Uxbridge perhaps not looking quite such a pretty picture for the prime minister certainly labour here claim that they have rattled the prime minister suggesting that he's been here more times in the last week than they have in the last four years but back to the overall picture then what looks like a resounding victory for this politician who becomes more Marmite and or less more right and more Heineken the politician they can reach parts of the country that others can't well let's go to Downing Street then our political correspondent Kate McCann and Kate certainly the Conservatives would have been happy with left yes that's right Anna so the mood in Downing Street where all of the Boris Johnson team his top advisers including Dominic Cummings are here they've been watching that poll together is still cautious actually they're still saying it's just an exit poll but no doubt very very pleased indeed because this represents a really big change we were talking earlier about what it would look like it could mean the Conservatives winning seats like Darlington that would be a full point at percentage point swing that really is massive and I have to say we've traveled across the country spent a lot of time in Midland seats and in the north of the country where lots of labour voters have been saying to us it's only anecdotally but that for the first time they are going to be voting conservative brexit is a huge part of that decision I've just spoken to a cabinet minister in the last couple of moments they are of course making the point that it's just in a bracket election poll so far but they are saying that if this result is what the actual final result looks then they believe they could be taking seats like cat Smiths in the north of the country she has a 6600 majority at the moment the Conservatives would need over six thousand votes to get that seat back that really would be a big moment indeed and there will be other seats like that where the Conservatives perhaps wouldn't even have dared to dream that they might be able to take it this cabinet minister also said it's important that if the Conservatives do take those seats that they hold on to them so they fulfill some of those promises that James cleverly was just talking about there okay thank you suggestion that anything above 360 would count as a massive electoral realignment talk about massive swings in places like Dudley North Don Valley working Tim Bishop Auckland and the big question now is should this election be taken as an unquestionable mandate to brexit is this the end of the road really the hopes of remainders and certainly we'll see that discussed and played out throughout the night Dermot thank you very much indeed Anna it's just after half past 10 you watching the brexit election on Sky News let me take you through their lines and counting has begun in the 2019 general election the exit poll carried out for Sky News the BBC and ITV News predicts a conservative win with 368 seats a majority of 86 the exit poll is also suggesting that Labour are set for a hugely disappointing night with the party forecast to secure their lowest number of seats for many decades and as you may just heard Boris Johnson is tweeted tonight saying thank you to everyone across our great country who voted we live in the greatest democracy in the world she was out speaking to voters in Uxbridge tonight just before the polls closed [Music] well a very disappointing night indeed for the Labour Party if that exit poll is correct my colleague Sophie ridges tracking the Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn tonight what reaction from that camp Sophie well the official reaction from labour is that it's the very beginning of the night things are still too early to call when it comes to the result but the reality of course is that they will have seen the exit polls just like the rest of us the 44 the Conservative Party that's been predicted and a very poor night for labour if that comes through down 71 seats and speaking to someone in team Corbin they kind of off the record for Marcus that they have shocked and sad the mood is of course pretty low after seeing that exit poll result and I think that despite the kind of official but this is just a poll they have to wait for those results to come through they will know just how bad this for them at this early stage we've also been talking to some former Labour MP is currently the candidates outside of London because I feel like this is really turning into a race of two halves if you like a story of two hands for Labour tonight but while the vote may be holding up well in places like Islington outside of London I'm told things like and break said cutting through we'll go now to a Jason Ferrell who's been a tracking Jeremy Corbyn throughout the campaign and has been following him tonight Jason what are you hearing well the official line from the Labour Party is that it's too early to say as you say they say their statement is it's only the very beginning of the night and it's too early to call the result we of course knew this was going to be a challenging election with brexit at the forefront of many people's minds and our country increasingly polarised it says but labour has challenged so changed the debate in British politics we've put the public ownership that green industrial revolution an end to austerity center stage and introduce new ideas such as plans for free broadband free personal care the Tories only offered more of the same perhaps that's part of the problem really that there were so many different things in that list they didn't have that defined central message that the Conservatives had I'm sure there's going to be a lot of soul-searching over there you know was it lack of a definitive message was it anti-semitism did that play a part and the difficulty that the leader having had to deal with that was it their failure to really offer a cohesive message on brexit all these things actually if you think about it just in the last week of the campaign were things that their shadow health sexually John Ashworth pointed out and that unguarded conversation they said they were having problems on the doorstep he said it was dire I mean he said he was joking when that was leaked but he wasn't joking it was clearly that was the problem that they were having a with the leader B with this issue around brexit and there'll be a lot of questions being asked tonight Jason Ferrell there live for us in North London s Sophia Ridge days well thank you both very much indeed much more from them coming up we're hoping to talk to the SNP in a moment or two and John burka because so we're focusing down on that result being looking of course result I say the prediction in the exit poll the prediction the suggestion the Scottish National Party could get 55 seats that would be a huge result if it turns out that way and as Beth was saying do you think that would bolster the case for another independence referendum it means that the argument won't go away they will press it with relentless force and insistence and who can blame them on the back of a result if this plays out that is far better than most people anticipated I mean it's a superb result if they get 55 seats only one fewer than in 2015 that's vastly superior to what everybody was expecting people were saying 45 46 there's an almighty rather than in prospect isn't it between Westminster and Holyrood if this is the result then it sounds very clear he's not going to let them have another referendum and Westminster has to legislate well it will be a case of the irresistible force meeting the immovable object Dermott that's not a first in United Kingdom politics but you're quite right Boris Johnson has been absolutely clear the Conservatives have no intention of allowing another referendum on independence and equally Nicola Sturgeon has been resolution insistent that is the right of the people of Scotland so that's here from five would be very well let's say let's see the interpretation of the SNP themselves in Holmes a use of joins me now from Glasgow first of all overall reaction to these numbers if it does turn out to be the case fifty five seats for the SNP that would be a very good result well look at points to have very good night for the SNP but let's state the obvious this is an exit all not a result whatever it's here also since Scotland we have so many marginal seats something seeks of course we 129 a 2017 with only two votes some held by our opposition by only a few tens of votes as well so there's lots of local factors that play here what I would see also is that it's extraordinarily disheartening to see a conservative majority clearly shows that F the exit poll is true that Labour's message and the rest of the UK clearly hasn't cut through at all well answer that point I was put into John Berko for me from your perspective how do you square that circle if Boris Johnson the Conservatives are returned with this huge majority we've heard all along what Boris Johnson is said about the prospect of another independence referendum in Scotland they will he's just basically said frankly said no it's not going to happen how do you get round that well very simply if your exit pulled is true but actually in fact if any of the polls that we've seen over the recent months are true they point to the SNP winning the election Scotland and our message could not have been clearer we stood on a very clear mandate to stop Briggs it to let Scotland have its own C interlock border so number 10 so independence was very much at the front and centre of our campaign Boris Johnson any UK government if they're Democrats cannot deny the voice of the Scottish people there's not for Boris Johnson to dictate when there's another independent referendum that is a choice for the Scottish people and the Scottish Parliament but every year that's the moral authority the political authority you you would claim if that is the result but what about the political reality the Westminster has to allow a referendum to take place well as I see as I keep saying I don't think it's in the gift of the Westminster Prime Minister of the Westminster Parliament to dictate to Scotland when they should have another referendum particularly if the SNP as it looks like not just from exit polling but from all the polls that we've seen thus far are likely to have a good night and likely to be the winners in Scotland so of course we'll have to discussion the First Minister has made it clear that she will rate to the Prime Minister to demand that section 30 order it would not be I think at all democratic for a Westminster government be it Boris Johnson anybody else to deny us that mandate well I say you know you've got you have the numbers Boris Johnson will have the numbers and we've got these positions you're entrenched but something has to give how does it give is it just you making those arguments or could it go beyond math person at the moment as we see in First Minister could not have been clearer at understand 2014 we had the gold standard referendum we had an agreement between two governments Scottish nuclear government though diametrically opposed their opinion on independence but came together to find a legal route towards that referendum we want that gold standard applied for the next referendum in 2020 and if a SNP when then of course nobody can deny that I gives us a further Mandy we already have a mandate but a father mandate for another referendum in 23 okay thank you very much indeed if that all happens a battle of wills is John Bercow has been saying beside me perhaps in prospect between Edinburgh and London well listen while we're digesting this exit poll no results of girls have been in yet at election night counts right across the country they are gathering in and counting those votes and at some of them counting them as quickly as they possibly can as ever we'll be watching to places especially closely in the early parts of this evening and these are the two cities we've been reporting on an earlier racing to be first Newcastle and Sunderland they vie to be the first to declare their fingers a blur fair and those are the people who'll tell us who's going to win the race Julian Joseph and Sarah Jane me let's go to Gillian first and how is it going there Gillian hi Dermot well a lot busier than when we last spoke a lot noisier the counting is going ahead at a pace this of course is a multi counter constituency were looking at the constituencies of Newcastle Central East and north and I can see one of the candidates for Newcastle Central qi4 we can just zoom in on her there in the red dress she retained the seat in 2017 had a majority of her 15,000 24,000 in 71 votes and she saw her share increased from 55% at the 2015 election to 65% in 2017 she is the first black MP for Newcastle her monster Newcastle and father from Nigeria her studied here as a dental student and that's how her parents met so took the seat in 2017 we also have Nick Brown so I'm a little earlier on not entirely sure where he is now he's been a member of parliament the newcastle upon tyne east since 1983 and he served as Minister of Agriculture Fisheries and food and also scre n't Lee the Chief Whip we also have the other Labour candidate took the seat in 2017 Catherine McKenna still on course at Newcastle say to get that result in sometime just after 11:00 so hopefully we'll be back to you then and they will have retained the crown for being the fastest to declare we shall see well I bet so thanks Julie and I bet some wonder thinking very different yeah let's go to Sarah Jane me there and how far away do they think they are they're in Sunderland Sarah Jane of course they are thinking very differently here is going well all 121 boxes from the three constituencies are in the building and being counted it's a real hive of activities and you probably saw on your screen little earlier those sixth formers boys and girls running up and down in this get in there trainers they've got white gloves on as well because it's wet outside so they didn't want to drop any of those boxes but all those boxes all 121 are now in the building and being counted we spoke to the returning officer Patrick Melia a little bit earlier on and he said that he predicted the first boxes would arrive in this building at 10:03 I did hang on the first box came in dead-on 1003 and they've got a bit of an advantage the Sports Hall we're standing in is at the heart of the Horton and Sons of the South constituency so that's a big advantage remember the record to declare here for Horton at Sunderland south is 1048 Patrick Melia though and his team are saying that they're expecting the first result a little after 11 p.m. perhaps playing down expectations but they're keen to stress that being accurate is more important than being 1st but Dermot I can tell you've got a bit of inside information we're hearing rumors on social media and elsewhere that it could be a third course in this North East Derby Blythe Valley that count going on there they are very confident that they may be the first to declare tonight so we're predicting it around 11 p.m. to have the first results here to stay with us for that but keep an eye out for live valley as well thanks for the tip sarah jane live are we coming up on the outside back with you both very soon Sarah Jane Gillian thank you very much indeed well listen our this exit poll predicting a huge majority for the Conservatives suggesting that might happen there financial markets have been tracking brexit all the ups and downs during the course of the last year and in particular what's going on on the money markets it's taught say ed Conway about that house the pound react in a sense though there are kind of two polls happening today on there we've got the the election but then you've got the market reaction to it you know we all remember what happened after the last election you know that big surprise on the exit poll the pound fell very sharply remember what happened on bricks a day so on the EU fo and the pound fell very sharply come and have a look at what's happened to the pounds in the wake of that exit poll so here we've got a chance of it this is the pound versus the dollar so that's stronger that's weaker the pounding strong of the pound win week and this is the start of election day and over the course of the start of the day it was kind of trending a little bit lower I think there were traders out there who were a bit nervous about the result and it could have went down from about 1:30 - that's around there to where it is there so just getting down to about 131 but just look at this look at what happens when the exit poll was announced the pound skyrocketed it absolutely took off and is up by about 3 cents to 135 it's actually gone up a little bit since I made that choice it is climbing very sharply indeed you know this is a big surprise as we all do no one was expecting quite as big a majority as that a lot of people thought there might well be even be a hung parliament be why people were starting to sell off the pound there but you know this is a barometer for how investors around the world are looking at the UK you know often when the pound goes up it's because people are putting money into the country when it goes down it's because they're taking it out well it looks like people might be putting money into the UK it looks like they've seen this exit poll result and once a mess in the again you know we can we can speculate about why that might be they might like the possibility of there being more stability when it comes to the rest of negotiations there might be other things as well but nonetheless I mean that's a pretty extraordinary Chah you know the pound reacting very sharply there'll be more reactions if indeed that result is borne out or indeed if it's if it's not right but just consider that you know and very different indeed to those results that we had after the referendum and after the last election where it fell it is skyrocketing right now - that is fascinating it thank you very much indeed let's talk more about so this exit poll and Beth Rigby well on the exit poll two winners big winners tonight the Conservatives in the Scottish National Party - big losses the Labour Party we've discussed then will obviously go back to that but the Liberal Democrats haven't the sexy pulsing 13 now they had 12 at the start of the last Parliament that would be a gain of one seat yes and this was a party you remember did so well in the European elections positioned itself as a remain a party thought it could eat in to the labour vote Joe Swinson going into this lecture she was the one that facilitated the election actually labour didn't really want it much but it was Joe Swinson teaming up with the SNP that got this December election over the in the first place and she went into it saying I could even be Prime Minister she's come out the other end potentially well there's a question mark about whether she'll stay being an embassy Stern botcher her seated or some pleasure exactly there's four seats in Scotland but on that exit poll are not one haven't been won by the SNP now twelve of those were conservative seats she has won her seat back in 2017 she lost it in 2015 could she have lost her seat don't know yet I have to say though if she has held on to her seat she was asked a number of times if you really failed to perform in this election as that looks like will you resign and she said no I'm not gonna stand down I mean what do you make of that if the campaign strategy you know if it's if this is the case it's a repudiation of do you think people just John Rico just kind of thought it was going too far to say well outright revoke article 50 without another referendum sure answer that message yes I think there have been two problems with the Liberal Democrat campaign first it was a strategic error to say we will revoke article 50 the Lib Dems could perfectly well have stuck to their existing line that they would go for a second referendum they chose to be a bit more ambitious and to proceed beyond that and I think that Gamble has backfired that's the first point and I think the second point really is that they have just been subject to the classic two-party squeeze the Conservatives and labor have dominated and are people of thought in the end that really is the choice do you go conservative would you go Labour and under our existing electoral system we thinly spread Lib Dem support it's very different was the thing I'm you get many sips of a squeeze bath I mean this was a feature was a developing campaign there was the squeeze but also if you look back to 2010 and Clegg mania and the way in which a Lib Dem leader managed to kind of capture some sort of national mood I think it's fair to say that Joe Swenson surprised on the downside in this election that unfortunately for her the more the public saw of her the less they like - I mean how do you think of her as a performer in the Commons I mean I think that's a really interesting point because in some you're right Beth Nick Clegg did catch the attention and the imagination and the support of very large numbers of voters in 2010 and J Swenson clearly hasn't done in the Commons in my experience from the rather good vantage point of the chair Joe Swenson is an outstandingly good performer she's clear she's strong she's articulate and as an individual both in a group and one-to-one she's very personable but it was quite striking in this election that according to the polling evidence the more people saw her or heard her the less they liked her now I'm not saying that's fair in fact I don't think it is fair I think she's an extremely good person but she's fared badly in this election okay not just in terms of our party but personally well we're talking about the Lib Dems Oh Lord Newby is here from the Liberal Democrats going to talk to you in just a moment or two Lord doobie just wants to alert everyone to the fact that we are waiting for results from this race between Sunderland and Newcastle to be the first to declare in this general election of 2019 although we're here whispers the perhaps Bligh Valley is coming up on the outside of that so we'll bring you those first results as and when they come in in a few minutes time we expect Lord Newby you over reached in this campaign if this exit poll is to be believed I don't think we overreached we haven't done as well as we thought Swensen could be Prime Minister when we started the election you recall that there were four parties more or less in the twenties in fact they were in the twenties what happened is that Boris very cleverly expropriated the brexit party by moving to an extreme brexit position so they collapsed to nothing we then found ourselves with two issues on the doorstep one was brexit and Boris got all of those votes the the Tory vote share is almost exactly because Bret she didn't come out as a clear blue sky and make it sound like you were blindside no you formulated that policy of revoked carefully you crafted it over many months but the second point was that the fear of Jeremy Corbyn was such that when you talk to many many many conservatives and said you are in favor of remain why will will you vote for the Liberal Democrats they said and I've been on thousands of doors they said we'd love to vote for you but actually our fear of carbon trumps our support for remain and that is what delt as a very very big blow clear rule analysis I mean if these numbers are to be believed 13 seats we started the last Parliament with with 12 that would be a major major disappointment your overall reaction well our vote share will have gone up the number of seats will have gone up our view at the moment is that the position in Scotland for us at least is rather better than the poll suggests like everybody we want a lot more votes and a lot more seats we're going to get some more votes and some more seeds at a time when when the other party that's been arguing on a remain platform has completely collapsed we have not completely collapsed we've moved forward not as much as we'd wanted once in a very long way one seat you ended I'm not accepting for a minute I of course you but tell me more about what you're hearing from Scotland them because you know that exit polls suggesting that the leader Joseph Winston may be in a bit of bomber well all I'm hearing from Scotland is that the reaction we found on the doorstep suggests that that exit poll is rather over optimistic for the SNP I don't have any absolutely detailed figures from anywhere in Scotland but that's what my Scottish colleagues are telling me okay and tell me more about this brexit strategy you talk there about how the conservative squeezed the brexit party vote you know people saying who wanted remain who certainly wanted another referendum why didn't you get your act together with the Labour Party they're gonna see so many seats this evening with Lib Dem at labour candidates getting thousands of votes and the Conservatives sailing down the middle well it was impossible for us in advance of the election to reach an agreement with the Labour Party because what was their brexit policy it was all over the place it was it was it was renegotiate and not no commitment partly that because the Lib Dems and because juice Winston's went so aggressively up against labour if it was framed as a Breck solution was it seems to have been that actually by going up against labour use lit the remain vote and you let the Conservatives through the middle and Boris Johnson's been rewarded with a very very big majority that's going to get a much harder brexit potentially than the Lib Dems would have wanted so wouldn't it have in hindsight might it be better to have had a remain alliance that was broader than just the smaller parties well there was no prospects of a remaining Alliance partly because the Labour Party policy on brexit was very unclear did you try did you approach late there were lots of discussions with labour in the run-up to the election about brexit and about other things and it was absolutely a thousand percent clear but there was no deal to be done and secondly we have made it clear in the election that we could not support Jeremy Corbyn as Prime Minister because of his anticipate support or his lots of problems according to the exit poll that's a problem that's in the past John Boyd I mean your new be describing there this this two-party squeeze that you've you've been describing and brexit seems to have been there the vise that Boris Johnson has used to squeeze them well I think the Lib Dems have suffered from that and I don't travel ups much of what dick has said and of course he's perfectly entitled to make the point that it's early days and we don't know whether the Lib Dems will do quite as badly as has been foreshadowed but it is a huge problem for them that they went that much further on brexit than they previously gone and I think the Reid's something with an acknowledgement among some Liberal Democrats that that was a strategic error they could perfectly well have stuck with the position to which they've long been committed second referendum second referendum second referendum people's both people's both people's both give the people the final say there was a sense stick I think that going into an election and saying we will revoke article 50 had a ring of the anti-democratic about it at which a lot of people took umbrage I think the people the majority people took umbrage were the people who were already having taken umbrage with us the interesting thing from the polling shows that amongst remain voters revoke was extremely popular there were six million people signed a petition for revoke and amongst labor remain is the revoked policy was more popular than Labour's own policy so revoked was raised a lot but in my experience it was largely raised by people who work gonna vote for us anyway and it was just an additional stick that they saw to beat us with and so what happens now if brexit is so-called getting done by the Conservatives then the battle moves on to what kind of brexit it is that's right it's this trade deal that has to be negotiated on the conservative timetable and Boris Johnson's timetable by the end of the year now a lot of observers saying including we're hearing from the European Union that would have to be a hard brexit how do you have you fight against that well Boris says a lot of things and he tends not to stick to what he said so he said that we've got to get the trade deal done by the end of the year it won't be done by the end of the year so he will have a choice a difficult choice either we crash out without a deal at the end of the year or you extend the period during which we remain in effect members of the EU in terms of following the rules now if I were a betting man which I'm not I would say that Boris may just change his view faced with the fact that there is zero chance of getting an acceptable trade deal by the end of the day it seems to me that there's a very reasonable point leaders with large majorities have the luxury of choice yes and is perfectly conceivable that Boris Johnson could jump in one or other of two directions he could stick to that position of saying end of the year come hell or high water we will leave and whatever the deal is we're out in which case it could well be on WTO extremely hard brexit terms all he could bless from his point of view with a munificent majority say well actually I'm gonna need a bit longer and in reality no there will be a hardcore appeal would have been really be saying well er gee I don't need you European research group you gave Teresa may so much trouble but you know you're tiny now compared to this majority yeah well it this is interesting isn't it because Boris Johnson predicated and built his his base within the Conservative Party and went on to win the leadership on the back of ERG support support of the brexit ears and that in turn developed this quite hard-line brexit position but you know he went into this election and all through the campo say come on you're not gonna be able to get your trade deal done by twenty the end of 2020 so I will absolutely be able to get it done and you know why why did he want to do that because he needs tears he might change thank you very much Beth you are watching the brexit election on Sky News it is 11 o'clock let me take you through the headlines so far and the exit poll for Sky News the BBC and ITV News predicts the Conservatives are on course for a decisive win with 368 seats a majority of 86 the exit poll also suggests that Labour will secure around 191 seats that is their lowest number would be their lowest number of seats for many decades the shadow international trade secretary Barry Gardner has told Sky News that if that exit poll is correct it will be devastating and Boris Johnson was out speaking to voters in Oxbridge tonight just before the polls closed the pound searched 2% after that exit poll and in Scotland Nicola Sturgeon has tweeted that it's a good night for the Scottish National Party the exit poll is predicting that the SNP will get around 55 seats well The Shadow Chancellor John MacDonald lays in Westminster tonight and joins me now what do you make of the exit poll John MacDonald well if the if the seats if the seat tally comes out that way it's going to be extremely disappointing of course it is I'm not sure that seat tally will shadow the completely the the exit poll itself but even if it's anywhere near that yes it is it's it's really just extremely disappointing okay and why is he disappointing I want to put to you something your colleague Barry Gardner said to me earlier he said that we felt sorry for the voters that they've been let down this is democracy the voters have a clear choice in on that exit poll they've decided they don't like the Labour Party very much and they want to go with Boris Johnson I think I think the poll itself it looks as though it was the brexit dominated a lot of this I think was brexit fatigue people just wanted it over and done with and it put labour in a very difficult position because the vast bulk of our members supporter and campaign four remain but large number of Labour MPs including myself had constituencies that voted leave so is what it was always going to be difficult for us to straddle those positions and that's what's hit us pretty hard but I think basically it looks as though all other debate on other issues it's been squeezed out why there's one issue prexy and as I say it wasn't just levers I think I think also even people in the referendum might have voted remain at some point mr. Madan I mean what I feel sorry for the voters you'd be I'm sure you will be very familiar with the term false consciousness you know people took a decision here not to vote for you and yes get brexit done and they voted for the Conservative Party why I felt sorry for them because although they might have voted to get brexit done it doesn't look as though it will get done I think it will go on for a number of years and there are still those No Deal brexit on the table as well so it sounded simple as a slogan but in practice and reality it's going to take quite a while before anything does get resolved that's the first thing I and I fear also during that period we'll have continuing uncertainty and I also fear that the sort of deal that might well be arrived at the end will not be beneficial for the economy or protect jobs and Livi's then so that's one issue but also it is about installing what is nothing is generally seen as possibly the most right-wing extreme cabinet but we've seen in our history and it means therefore they will have if they have a large majority like this they will have then therefore the opportunity to introduce some quite reactionary policies and so there are there are worries but I did that if the electorate have decided this way that's democracy and there you have to you have to respect it but I don't are you accepting I don't think I don't think it will bring the country together I think you'll be deeply divided still have you spoken to the leader do you think you should stay leader well obviously we will wait and see what happens in the morning with all the results coming out and we'll see what whether the results actually do match the exit poll itself exit polls have been wrong in the past but we'll see and then appropriate decisions will be made I'm sure but you know you've been on the campaign trail for many make weeks now you've been up and down the country you must be bracing yourself to say goodbye to quite a few colleagues tonight I if if the exit poll is right and we lose that many copies I feel for them I really do because I know how hard they've worked in Parliament in the interest of the country and I also know how hard they've worked in their own individual constituencies and if it is anything on this scale we will have lost some really good MPs and I I do feel for them of course I do and if mr. Corbyn you say you're going to wait for the results to come in but if he does go you need a new leader you've been talked off as an interim one well decisions will be made appropriately in the right timescale once we know the results I'm sure but let me make it clear I'm not standing for a leader of the Labour I've said that time and time again either as a temporary or as a permanent that's not what I want to do what about you personally even as Shadow Chancellor you said in a magazine in TV you said you would stand down if you lost and lost this badly no well as I say once we know the results themselves that's the time to make decisions and that that's what we'll do in the meantime let's watch these results and I'm hoping that the seats share will not be as okay dramatically bad as the poll itself and I don't think they will but as I say it's okay Charlotte Chancellor thank you very much indeed for talking just so maybe catch up with you when those results do come in this is the exit poll I want to talk you through again that I was discussing there with John McDonnell the Shadow Chancellor looking very very bad indeed an indication from this exit poll talked to thousands of people who had voted up and down the country during the course of the day saying that labor might get a hundred and ninety-one seats that would be its lowest number of seats since 1935 underperforming even Michael foot in 1983 the Conservatives you can see there let's say just bring it back up so we can absorb that I was talking about labor because we've just been talking to John McDonnell but I just want to show you what the exit poll is saying that the Conservatives might get we don't seem to be able to bring it to you can see it at the bottom of your screen 368 a majority of 86 and that's the introduction to the foreign secretary Dominick Rob who's joined me now you're looking calm but underneath it there a bit of a smile I mean you you must be Sparkle smiling in conservative HQ tonight I think look it's an exit poll we'll wait and see what the in pretty accurate in the past I'm not gonna push back to violently with you but look the reality is let's see both the scale but also the shape of award-earning majority would look like the most important thing for us is that we wanted to end the uncertainty of Parliament get the a functioning workable majority so the government can take the country forward on breaks it but also on the other areas that would unleash the potential of the country on in a moment yeah you know at least that there HS their priorities I think that positive message and the choice between that and the uncertain in the prowl thankfully the negative we don't want to rerun the campaign okay but that's what we do want to what we do want to talk what what happens next if this is the case but just on that exit poll you be aware you are the candidate of course in your own CD Sharon Walton that's been the concerted campaign to get you out so remain voting seats what are you hearing what are you feeling well look we'll wait and see well the exit poll says you might be okay it says we might be okay and that's our feeling too but let's wait and see I always think if you've been campaigning five weeks show the electorate a bit of respect and have some humility as a candidate but the right way throughout there's been a pretty positive feedback for us so we're feeling you've been very frank with us Tommy what you worried at times during the campaign you you read the papers you read your own polling I mean they must have got pretty close well we'll see but why are you worried you're they're insane so not really and I'll tell you why there's two debates and two theaters for most general elections there's the media theater and the punditry and social media and all that and then there's the steady feedback you get the quiet moments with swing voters on the doorsteps and I may be proved wrong but we felt confident about the positive feedback for our paws and I know you're up and down the country were you surprised then in other parts of the United Kingdom particularly in England well there never been Conservative MPs and not for many many decades were you surprised at some of the reactions you were getting some of the feedback you were getting particularly from labour voters so it's very striking I was up in Wolverhampton I was up in Warrington and we're clearly getting a hearing in homes across the country that we hadn't done for some time and part of that was about brexit part of it was I think the sense of positivity the the Prime Minister and the Conservatives have offered I think we've got some great candidates across the country and let's face it part of it is about wanting to break through the uncertainty and a lot of those working-class voters not liking the offer from court and that is the very point how do you serve them now as a Conservative government how do you serve them personally representing if it does turn out to be the case leave three Asia and Walton which is high up the economic scale how do you serve these different voters who have lent you perhaps for the time being their vote you know want to see want to be convinced that they should stay with you how do you do that those two things I think assuming the exit policies corroborated by the seat by seat vote share then look having an alliance between the aspirational working on middle classes is the glue that I think shapes Tory victories in election campaigns now you mentioned my seat compared to say Warrington Oliver Hampton actually although there are very affluent parts of my constituency I was out tonight in lower green one of the less affluent areas and I was interested in of course its did for different reasons but actually in in many seats you will have obviously two more or less degrees that mix of voters so we you know but what's really important for the Conservatives I think is to make sure we cement that Alliance and deliver because that's what they want to hear let's bring in a man you know very well indeed cross swords with him Adela if you heard the lash of his tongue while he was presiding over you pretty well behind was he was he where they were pretty well backed and Dominic was extremely well I'm failing ly courteous certainly to the chair and frankly to the house I think there was one up on one occasion a statement wasn't really long time that was rather embarrassing it wasn't his personal fault though he had to take responsibility but no Dominic was always unfair okay well there's his report card serious stuff because John you been making this point throughout the evening that this idea of getting brexit done in the Foreign Secretary referring to that there get it done and then move on you were saying when you don't really move on because it's only with the withdrawal agreement yes that's my point look I'm not knocking the central proposition here that if the Conservatives have got a big victory they will get the first part of brexit done in pretty short order that is not in dispute I'm not arguing that what I'm saying is that there are certain facts that don't change and those include the need to negotiate a trade arrangement with the European Union and the need to negotiate trade arrangements for the United States and the rest of world that's before you even consider the security partnership the fight against climate change the action of a collaborative kind that is needed to tackle the of human trafficking and a vast miscellany of other issues to those will take time and they don't depend only yeah depend on what other countries think as well and that will take you so any point I'm making it's a very very important point if you want to move on if you get mired then in these negotiations with the European Union Michel Barnier saying the other day eleven months not a chance you know we looked at the renegotiation for instance of the NAFTA deal United States Mexico and Canada I mean it's a much looser arrangement it's taken them three years to do that now can you really do it in 11 months so there's two or three things there first of all one of the reasons that it took so long to negotiate the original brexit deal was because we had out in Parliament if we've got them a kind of majority this is suggested this will very much strengthen and reinforce our position in Phase two but also we've now got the future relationship at least a map of it in the form of a wish list there's another political declaration it's the political declarations is equivalent for lawyers would the heads of terms agreed with the other side and Phil Hogan the Trade Commissioner has said that it's eminently doable and I think it's very interesting the mood coming out of Brussels this evening which is actually a clear direction of travel and that will make it easier for them because they'll feel like they've got a partner which is a bit more predictable and now that's certainly going to be true if these figures are born out but the truth is isn't it mr. OTT that if you want to and you get that bigger majority you have got the latitude to delay brexit extend the transition if you need to because if you do want to have a five-year term in which you do appeal to this much broader electorate you probably need to do a bit more in tax and spend as well because you might need to have a sort of broader welfare state offer and in that case you probably need a really good deal don't you with the EU for the economy we do want a good deal we want to get cracking on it and we want to lift the shadows and the clouds of uncertainty and I think we're in a much better position with a stronger majority and as to for the other stuff these aren't either ORS and truth is actually what the Prime Minister's offered we have had a heavy emphasis on investing in public services we've talked in the Sajid Javid has talked about for a decade of recovery after the recession the financial crash now having a decade of renewal so I agree with you but I think both of those things should be done at the same time last question foreign secretary well you mentioned Sajid Javid the prime minister Sarah he's going to stay in his job if there's a reshuffle do you get any similar reassurances I wouldn't dream of creating or prejudicing the decisions of the boss such a message modesty and would you like to remain as far as I you know first every reshuffle I say the same thing I think I think it's really important that the head of a team particularly the head of a government has the total free hand pick the team they need but there's no doubt there is going to be a reshuffle well they'd have to be because there'll be some people who have stepped down and they've been people you know it would be like the top Joe and Nicky Morgan so I think there'll be some changes but look that is the property Philip Anderson DOMA can I just ask Dominic because he's a very very clever bloke how long do you reckon the trade negotiation with the United States will take well they of course got an election coming up so I think it I think there is an opportunity before that and we want to give it a good go what are those pigs I see flying in front of my very eyes you know I tell you what I tell you this Mike Pompeo who's the US Secretary of State said to me we are ready pen in hand to do a deal once you've left the EU so one of the things that this will have a knock-on effect is I think are lining up of those countries that wanted to see which way the wind was going on brexit because that will affect the trade negotiations so not only if this is borne out as we say again not only it's as good news for delivering brakes it will be good news for the wider global Britain agenda which is sending the Foreign Office we're very keen on well mr. Robert thank you very much indeed though we'll let you go off to your count I mean there's a small amount of remaining as an MP before you find out if you stay on as foreign secretary or don't it Rob thank you very much indeed we are waiting we are hearing it's come out fairly soon the first official results in this general election campaign we are keeping a hawk-like eye on both these counts in Newcastle and Sunderland and were first to declare right up to the last general election Newcastle nicked that crown away from them and those two great cities are now vying between each other to be first to declare their MP for the new Parliament it's also going to be fascinating to see okay maybe only two results but these are strong strong labour areas in the past and if the exit poll is to be believed well then we are expecting the Conservatives to perform very well in areas like the Northeast so even if there is a a Labour MP returned in those declarations we're going to take a very close look at the numbers in there there the change in the share of the vote to see if the Conservatives are showing signs of making headway as set as deep into labour territory as Newcastle and Sunderland and on that very note let's talk more about - what the exit poll is suggesting for us my colleague Edie Conway is gonna talk us through the numbers and what it all means Edie yeah thanks Toby and obviously interrupt me if we do get a result from either new costless Sunderland will waiting for those numbers but it's let's have a look at the exit poll them what it's suggesting in short this looks like it's going to be an excellent night for the Conservative Party if the exit poll is right Boris Johnson could win 368 seats we'll give them a majority government 86 I believe it takes let's have a look though how that actually plays out in our government builder you can take those these are kind of virtual seats in the House of Commons so the left side you have the government benches let's add on the Conservatives put them there on the government benches and there we have it there over that line of 326 seats giving them that majority 86 majority and our exit polls suggest actually look on the right-hand side those are the opposition benches there you can see their labour if they get 191 seats of the exit polls suggest well look how far they are from that line an extraordinary potential result now we're going to be keeping our eyes on the results as they come through from across the country about number of seats that the parties are getting you can see that up there that's the the big dashboard there with those numbers and let's fly past that and you can see this hexagon map of the UK that is it here in sky HQ we will be coloring that in with every constituency as they come in tonight perhaps starting in the next few minutes and it looks like it might well keeper that Labour might well actually be able to keep Kensington we'll have a look actually because they've got a number of those seats and we do want to take a little closer let's get rid of those boards and we'll bring on a few of the interesting seats that we're going to be looking at at least start with Don Valley we potentially now Caroline Flint is in place there and that might well be one of those seats we've been looking through the numbers on the exit poll that might well be one of those seats which could eventually go to the Conservatives so Caroline Flint there in Don Valley again you know these are seats which a lot of people thought were part of that labor red wall that would be their defense that were in sure that they wouldn't necessarily lose well Don Valley might well be one of the seats that might go tonight let's have a look through as well around the country I mentioned Kensington a moment ago it's going to be a really interesting race there and you can see there that was a seat which labour gained from the Conservatives by just twenty votes in 2017 so incredibly narrow majority they're beating off competition from former Tory MP Sam kima who's standing for the Lib Dems and the exit poll actually suggesting that it might well be a good showing for labour in the capital so there you have labour doing actually quite well in the capital labour doing well in cities not so well in towns that's one of those stories we've seen as the the map of Britain has been changed we'll have much more about how that's changing over the course of the next few hours and east on bond embossing sure what about Scotland in general I mean but let's look at the Lib Dem leader Joe Swenson standing in eastern Barton sure the exit poll suggests her chances of losing her seat at the moment are about 50/50 it's about as narrow it's it could possibly get for Joe Switzer I mean what an extraordinary story that would be for the Lib Dems potentially to lose their leader tonight and the SNP who would be potentially winning that seat if they if they get on the other right side of that 50/50 potentially with 55 seats Accord the exit poll that's within the whisker of their highest ever and if you look across Scotland it would leave only four only for non SMP C's looks like it's to Tory at one live Devon one labour I mean extraordinary numbers let's see if those are borne out by the numbers that we get through from the results exactly at it is going to be a quite extraordinary night if those exit poll results matched by the results that are coming in just to alert you were expecting two or three very soon from the northeast from Newcastle and Sunderland maybe blyve Valley as well while we're awaiting those so want to look at the picture in some more detail what the exit poll has been telling us particularly about the Northeast and our deputy political editor Sam Coetzer is behind me crunching through some of those numbers Sam thank you Dermot yes we're about to get Sunderland and Newcastle in the next few minutes so here's why the Northeast is particularly useful to provide clues for how election nights are going to go this is a Labour Heartland in 2017 something like 26 of the 29 seats in the region actually went labour but it was also a place that saw the only place in the country the only region in the country to actually see a swing to the Conservatives it is also a region that voted dramatically for leave in 2016 so this has been a kind of crucible a test case for the Conservatives these are exactly the seats in the Northeast some of these seats are exactly the ones that they've been trying to take now the ones that you're gonna see first probably have labour majorities so big in Newcastle and Sunderland that the incumbents will keep them but here's what to watch for if the exit poll is right that you should see a reduction in the Labour vote share according to the exit poll it's likely across the Northeast that you might see a swing from Labour to the Conservatives of five maybe even six percent that could give the Conservatives five or six games in the northeast places like not only bishop or theater Auckland Darlington Sedgefield possibly even Blythe Valley so a number of places there where you could see the concert and you could see conservative gains Blythe Valley for instance you're just hearing we're just hearing there's a recount there so clearly that seat is too close to cool if I look at my sheet that requires something like a nine point three percent gay swing from the Labour Party to conserves an extraordinary swing to win there so we're going to be looking at these early results about just how much the labor vote Falls and the conservative vote Rises okay Sam thank you very much indeed for that hearing that recount in Blythe Valley they were thought of us perhaps potentially are going to be amongst the frontrunners to declare first in this general election presumably out of the race there if they're going through a recount but of course then it's down to the two favorites Sunderland and you cast away hearing four or five minutes away and one of them anyway Sunderland Sarah Jamie is there how close do they think they are I would tell my I've just been given a five minute warnings we're on standby for the first results to be delivered it's around what is it twenty four minutes past eleven they declared it around five past eleven the first result from Horton and Sunderland South in the last general election so it's a bit slower is that because turnout has been higher we don't yet know obviously we'll find out more when the results are announced but quite a few of those counting the votes have been sitting still for quite some time I've been understanding that and people be getting texts from those at the live valley counts are saying that they were ahead but as you've been saying they're having a recount there so something's still hopeful of getting the first results to be declared but obviously they are saying that being accurate is more important I'm just hearing that hearing sums of them there's been a 58 okay so genom come true coming up on the rails sorry so Jane over to Gillian in Newcastle what's happening yes Islands has fallen we believe that we're about to declare here we haven't had an official declaration of that but we were warned that it could be any time when we can see Pat Ritchie going up to make the declaration the returning officer it will be for Newcastle Central we're told and they were first in 2017 a lot later than they were at that time one minute past 11:00 and we're now 11:25 p.m. can I have your attention please I'm ready to declare the result for Newcastle upon Tyne Central I Pat Ritchie hereby give notice that the total number of votes for each candidate for the newcastle upon tyne central constituency is as follows Syed Ali Ave also known as Ali RA 2709 mark mark Frederic Glenn Griffin grexit party 2542 Chan yellow Susan inverter also known as Chi inverter 20 1560 Emily Victoria Payne the Conservative candidate 9290 team our Jim Pittman also known as T Pittman 1365 and that she and woulda has been Julie elected to serve as member for said constituency the result Xian were re-elected to the Newcastle Central constituency as with meterics that contain obviously to start by thanking the returning officer for her excellent work and also the police who have maintained our safety and security and the amazing teams of Newcastle employees here and also in all the polling stations across Newcastle who have done such fantastic work to get us here and I believe I am the own I am the first MP to be declared that right so for the moment the entire British Parliament is well trailing in second but not too far behind the result coming in from Sunderland sarah-jane returning officer hereby given orders for each candidate for the Horton and Sunland South constituency is as follows Richard Peter Bradley Green Party 1125 Paul Edgeworth Liberal Democrat 2319 Richard Elvin you Kip 897 Christopher John Charles Howarth the Conservative Party 13,000 195 Norma Bridget moved philipson Labour Party 16200 attack Kevin Lawrence you'll brexit party 6000 165 and that Bridget me if philipson has been duly elected to serve as member for the said constituency I'd like to invite the electric kinda decision it is privileged well there you have it the result in for Horton and sunder them South it is a labor win for Bridget Phillips and he's just making her acceptance speech behind me she got sixteen thousand two hundred and ten votes a much tighter race this time around and a much smaller majority a majority of 3115 so a much tighter majority than last time the majority in the last lecture was twelve thousand three hundred and thirty one so that was shrunk quite significantly but it is still a labor win for Horton and Sunderland south this evening we're still waiting for Sunderland Central and Washington and some of the West or bring you those results Dermot as soon as they come in Sarah Jane thank you very much indeed and thanks to Jillian in Newcastle we want to go through both these results there yes are the early declare is just for the record Newcastle just beat happen in Sunderland South but some pretty astonishing numbers coming out here let's stay with Hammond Sunderland south and look at that majority yes Bridget Phillips and his back and making her acceptance speech there as the continuing Labour MP for lis constituency on a share of 40% Conservatives on 32 the brexit party on 15 and look at this this is perhaps going to tell us the tale of the evening labor way down in that share that majority then shaved down is Sarah Jane the same from 12 to three thousand eighteen point seven nearly 19 percent down the Conservatives up slightly the brexit party they're putting on 15 and a half gaining 15 and a half percent of course they didn't stand in the last election the Lib Dems up a smidge as are the greens and this arguments by Boris Johnson that he was putting just on the eve of the election and of course says many conservative supporters was saying to the brexit party now you remember that the brexit party leader Nigel Farage said that they would not stand against conservatives but they did stand in the main some kind of its pulled out they did stand in the main against labour candidates the argument by Boris Johnson was that you will still split the brexit vote these could become could you imagine happening Sunderland South becoming a conservative seat well without the brexit party that might have happened and we had recounting Bligh Valley was staying in the northeast rock-solid labour seat for so many years let's have a look at it live Alan just just hearing running in there third they were close to declaring this is this is by the by now we're hearing a ten-point swing to the Conservative Party from the Labour Party the brexit party they're on 3390 one but it's those top two we need to look at seventy thousand four hundred forty Labour pushed down to sixteen thousand seven hundred and twenty eight Ian levy elected with a slim majority they don't mind about that those conservatives Blythe Valley John boko's we talk through this look at that the conservative vote chair going up to forty two point seven percent up five point four percent the Labour Party going down there fifteen percent the brexit party up 8.3% of the same Boris Johnson's warning was that you'll take seats away from conservative candidates well perhaps they're also taking seats away from labour candidates but just that that thought that here we are this confirming very early on I know but the direction of this exit poll if they take some seats like this yes it's empty does I mean there are two catastrophic results for the low body there first of course in Blyth Valley Ronnie Hamel has represented that seat as the Labour Member of Parliament for about three decades he's retired there's a new neighbor Canada but it is a staggering result that Labour's vote share so far down and that there is a Conservative MP for Blythe honey if you look at Houghton and Sunderland there's never been a consensus never be no conserve there'd be four live on Ian Houghton and Sunderland South were Bridget philipson has been reelected three-quarters of her majority has evaporated he's gone down from over 12,000 to only just over three thousand so those are hugely negative results for labour it's quite interesting to juxtapose them against the result in Newcastle for Cheon whooaaa and Cheon whereas majority was reduced but by nothing like as big a much related to through the prism of brexit I mean the prism that was a city that voted you now enter merrily to remain Sunderland heavily to leave and there's an obvious link between the brexit instinct on the one hand and help okay better agree we're already dealing with three results but look where they are and two of them as John Burke are saying catastrophic for labour they've held on there with Bridget Phillips yes and I spoke to I spoke to a Labour candidate in one of these red wall seats if you like these seats stretching from Wales across to Humberside where the Tories are targeting vote leave areas and this candidate said to me that they thought that these seats could go and it would be a matter of few hundred votes and a number of seats and look at that they've gone from a Labour majority of 8,000 in Blyth Valley and it's gone conservative by just seven hundred and twelve votes that is extraordinary isn't it did you tell me percent swing but Beth I mean while you were on the road during the campaign did you get that sense of just how deeply this get brexit down slogan was resonating with these with a lot of labour voters I did and there was that that was a theme running through many of the visits that I I went on up into the Midlands and up into parts of the north that get brexit done was very powerful but I have to say as well it wasn't just get 4x it down it was the leader it was the leader and actually we're talking a lot about Boris Johnson's great strategy he was also very lucky to have been up against an opponent that was actually a great asset for Boris Johnson because of the problems that Jeremy Corbyn was finding amongst many traditional labor voters they just didn't like him very much hmm but why didn't it work last time around for Theresa May was that I think there was a couple of things I think that I think that the whole Rexach gridlock wasn't as embedded two years ago I think things have changed people genuinely really fed up and also Teresa may had a bad campaign but thirdly Jeremy Corbyn was an unknown in 27 years there was a Corp in search because people didn't know him they'd read a lot of negative things about it they saw them they quite liked him he was he was priced in in this selection and there wasn't a kind of upside of who is Jeremy Corbyn they they knew what Jeremy Corbyn was like two years down the line from 2017 and just decide that they didn't want him to be primary ok well it's in plenty core to discuss on that obviously but so we want to talk through some numbers as I say only three results but in these labour heartlands former labour Heartland in the case of blind valley Sam Coates has been telling we were musing Sam about whether these results are going in the direction of the exit poll it seems so yes bluntly Dermot the answer to that question is yes it does appear as if there's nothing in the early results that would suggest that the exit poll is in any way out of line indeed the early results suggest that the Conservatives could win four seats in the Northeast region Bishop Auckland is also therefore under threat from the Tories Darlington Sedgefield and Stockton South now all really looking in danger you can see that after these swings that we've seen if you look at that result in Blyth Valley the first gain for the Conservatives of the evening you've got about a 10 percent swing from the Labour Party to the Conservatives that's a huge swing which is why quite so many votes and quite quite quite so many seats in this region do seem to be going across into the blue column you've also got a notable number of brexit party votes over 3,000 of them or 8% but the stunning feature in the blithe rally seats and frankly in all of the seats in the Northeast so far is the decline in the labor share of the vote one other thing that's been borne out from the early exit poll is that the labor vote seems to be going further down in in leave areas than remain areas the to leave voting seats that we've seen and blood valley is 60% leave have been much more dramatic than those in the remain seat of newcastle upon tyne okay Sam fascinating we haven't got much to deal with in terms of hard and fast results but they're certainly going as Sam was saying there in the direction of the exit poll well plenty more seats to declare a 647 to be precise but want to talk Lea as Sam was saying there one of the features of what's gone on there in Newcastle Sunderland and and Blythe Valley is the performance of the brexit party and you remember just got to remind you that the brexit party stood in seats where there were Labour MPs from the last Parliament not against the Conservatives got so Jake Pugh with me era brexit Party MEP first of all your reaction to those pretty good performances there in the northeast about your party it's fantastic isn't it and seeing where the vote is coming from and so I think in Newcastle labour were down seven we were up seven very strong performance by mark here that's the difference and taking the vote from Labour absolutely validates the strategy but don't can I just say a couple of things first okay isn't it isn't it the day when the people speak isn't it just absolutely fantastic and also I know it's just a poll but absolutely we should be congratulating the Conservative Party if this is what has happened and lastly if I just may say yeah you're an incredible night for the regatta brexit air community I've got to ask you I mean you do you seem pretty happy but obviously obviously a lot of votes but we're first-past-the-post system and and all that goes with that but um you got your chairman standing in Hartlepool also in the northeast they're looking at the count there you got high hopes you might actually get a seat in parliament of course of course we hope to win seats of course we do but I think we've been able to shift the agenda so extraordinary at the end of March where we were then to where we are now Theresa May left withdraw the bill failed twice clean brexit nobody had ever mentioned clean brexit that move to stage which we can discuss further down the line what kind of brexit the Boris Johnson might go for if he does get a majority like that well you seem a bit out of kilter with your leader Nigel Feroz says well you know that's why he was saying you know they need to be kept on the straight and narrow they the Conservatives under Boris Johnson will not deliver brexit this withdrawal agreement is not brexit in Nigel Ferraris terminology you just said there we we'll get brexit done we will be leaving I didn't I said we will be leaving I didn't say that done okay I said we will be lignite affright except that he says it's gonna be brexit in name a transition I didn't use that expression I said we will be leaving the European Union on the 31st day Jan into translation that is something that is very very exciting we said we were hard to be fired to answer your question are the deficiencies in the withdrawal agreement and the political declaration yes we are now it's going to be interesting to see because the Prime Minister if the poles deliver and he has a strong majority he then has two choices does he then tack back to the center that's one option or does he turn round to the EU and say right we have a negotiated withdrawal agreement we commit to that but let's now negotiate the free trade agreement and sign the two off together so go right back to the very first point where the UK made the mistake on the sequencing new Parliament who cannot bind the previous I'm not so that is absolutely a perfectly real so he might go one way you might tack back to the center a softer brexit or he might say new Parliament will stick with the withdrawal agreement but will sign the two documents okay it's clearly in a state of paranoid anxiety at this point for the very simple reason that we flagged up earlier that there is this choice a choice between pivoting to the right or pivoting to the center and that is the luxury that the Prime Minister if he has the strongest majority actually can indulge he confused he can go Center which will infuriate the brexit party or he can go far out to the right and I okay keep the seek hard brexit and of course vexillology would love that known as we serve the interest portion that's all I want to do because some we want more a result set give us more grist to our mill statistics and we be looking at the northeast Swindon north is due to declare shortly it's a leave leaning seat early voting seat in the referendum in 2016 Swindon North is pretty solidly conservative so we are waiting to see changing share of the votes is going to be fascinating see if it works down there in Swindon as well as it has in the Northeast but but J Pugh your point is you just don't know don't you I mean with if Boris Johnson does get a majority like that is John Bercow is saying well as we've been saying earlier it was the the ERG in his own party who were pushing let's let me turn it hard brexit pushing him closer and closer to that the WTO the clean brexit let's let's call it that he's now in a position if he wants for instance to extend the transition period even bring back what the backstop well yeah extending the transition period would be a strange place to go I think for anybody I mean the we've heard it so many times get brexit done interesting they've dropped the oven ready in the last few days because everybody got bored with that that clearly didn't work in the focus groups but absolutely they have almost but I would have thought extending is not really gonna fit with where they are even it is negotiating an FTA a complicated process of course okay Johnson has that sort of majority he absolutely can extend he can do what he wants and ironically it could end up couldn't it that we are negotiated for longer in order for him to try and get as good a trade deal as he can because he'll have one eye on the economy and probably a tax-and-spend program to try and keep all these seats it looks like he's gonna win it then absolutely all those are all those options are open of course there goes I suppose the question that jake has to ask himself and answer for himself is this but you put it - it does Boris Johnson feel as passionately about having a complete clean hard break from the EU as the brexit party does now many people would say that what Boris is absolutely passionate about is Boris becoming and remaining prime minister and holding power and wielding and doing what he thinks at the time at any particular time is right he doesn't have necessarily that ideological could I've got to put that back either you say many people John bears one of those who knows the other Boris Johnson so well I've always thought that Boris Johnson is a kind of ralien figure in the sense that he thinks first and foremost that politics is about the acquisition and retention of power he travels relatively light ideologically and we all know that historically he's had different positions on the european union i don't say that rudely i simply say that as a statement of fact he doesn't have that ideological rigor or dare I say fanaticism which characterizes the brexit party that is something I think that is going to cause mr. Pugh much loss of sleep in the weeks months and years ahead well it certainly won't cause Menelaus to sleep the answer that you posed the question about Boris Johnson's character clearly John you know him better than anybody else on the on this panel but III think he has multiple options open to him to say that it is fanatical to wish to leave all the institutions of the European Union to not have a treaty under which you're bound by the rule of the ECJ and there's an independent arbitration committee that always has to look to the ECJ for the decision if you think that is fanatical then of course that you're in touch okay but time I hope you don't see that as phonetic thank you thank you very much indeed a very interesting gentleman Jake Pugh thank you very much indeed JP from the brexit party want to talk about the Lib Dems and Scotland now rolled up in one we are going to talk to Christine Jardine in a moment or two just to allow you we've told you already we're expecting our fourth declaration so far this evening gonna be a very long evening could be a very long evening indeed for the Labour Party if the exit poll is to be believe the declaration expected there and Swindon North fairly shortly I mentioned they're going to Edinburgh to talk to Christine Jardine for the Liberal Democrats and a very good evening to you Christine Jardine and May first of all ask you on the back of our exit poll just personally it's suggesting you may be in quite a lot of trouble holding on to your seat I'm I don't know the exit pool is seeing that Google lose seats but you know it gives a good national picture but it doesn't drill down into the individual seats and I think we need to look at that more closely we have a lot of marginal seats particularly in Scotland there's not the same coverage for pools there is don't so so I think we'll see as the evening goes on if the pool is correct but I think it's too early at the moment to be absolutely sure everybody we're all a little surprised because it doesn't reflect what we've been getting on the doors so we'll have to see whether the picture that we've been getting on the doors is right or whether the poll is right and okay no it's too early to say can't deny that but what we can discuss is you mentioned being on the doors what kind of Christian Johnnie we will come back to you if we can that's okay if you if you can hang on we're getting a declaration I'm told in Swindon off no we see movement and we jump on it as I say we're watching all these early counts as closely as we possibly can did I sound a bit like you there John Burke oh I know yes well we understated reader anticipation that it's going to be fascinating even Christine Jardine we we can come back to you just it's what you were hearing on the doors did this revoke article 50 argument I mean didn't people say to you that's that's going a bit far I'm you know may say well I am a remainer but I think this should at least be another referendum actually and what the you go pool tells us is that it was popular amongst Gimenez it was six there was 67 percent approval rate for it so it's you know if people want to remain in the European Union he liked that line Anna I think it's over simplifying to say that that line particularly was unpopular and I think we'll have to wait and see and after the election and we have all the votes counted then we will have a proper picture and we'll see which seats have done better than others and which way the marginal seats which made legal because there are lots of seats which even the the exit poll is saying too close to call so we'll just have to wait and see okay well and talk to me about the campaign in Scotland of course it was termed the brexit election but there was a big dollop of endear f to throw them in there as well wasn't they did that make it doubly difficult for the Liberal Democrats no we had a lot of support for our anti independence stance because let's remember we don't know yet how the votes will break down this time but in 2017 the SMP had nine hundred and seventy seven thousand votes I think and there was one point six million people voted for the for once mo bettah Sam unionist parties so well you know we have to wait and see tonight what happens and we saw in the summer that's the SMP threw everything they had at the Scottish parliamentary by-election in Holyrood with the actually spent more than they had done and the entire remain referendum campaign and they did win the Scottish by-election so you know it's quite difficult to see where this this pool result tonight has come from and I think we will see clear later in the evening for at the moment it's too sensitive okay with almost caveats we've had precious few results so far but if it is you know round about 13 seats this exit poll prediction for the Liberal Democrats even two three four five more it's not really a vindication of the strategy and not really an endorsement of your leader is it do you think you might have to look at that know what we've seen in this campaign is the Labour Party a disastrous campaign from the liver party but the Labour Party in the Conservative Party almost sort of contrived to keep anybody else out of it to squeeze everybody else out the debate Boris Johnson not turning up for interviews and the lack of scrutiny which is important to any democracy and seeing the variety of voices heating all the opinions that to me is what's fundamental to having same democracy and I think they have to be careful that in the future we hear all those voice it's not discussed but the Green Party is well and and other parties yeah but you seem to be saying jokes Winston's suffered and of course she was excluded from those two head-to-head leadership debate she seemed to be suggesting she suffered from lack of exposure yet the polling did tell us and it may be harsh to say but it's what the polls told us that the more people saw of Joe Swinson bet less they liked her I don't I don't accept that what you're seeing is a campaign that went on with you know yes we were squeezed but I really don't think you can you can place that under she ran a very good a very strong campaign that interview she did with and with Andrew Neil it was excellent a lot of people like that so you know no politician is ever going to please all the people all the time and you know I think we need to look further at this once we have all the details we can examine the results in detail but I mean I don't have you spoken to about tonight Joe Swinson tonight or not in eastern Barton sure but again the exit poll saying she could be in trouble they're there for the leadership question would presumably be answered if she doesn't win that seat well the the poll in Scotland is very surprising and it's it's not what any of the parties have been seeing on the ground so either we've got it completely wrong or there is something wrong in in the exit poll and I think it's too soon general which what we can see is that there are a lot of marginals and the the exit pool doesn't pick that up Scotland's got I think a higher proportion of marginals in the rest of the country and the last time it didn't pick up that North East Fife was going to be as close as it was I mean two votes for all they were in it so I think I know I'm sounding like slightly broken Reagan to you but we do have to wait until we we certainly do the last quick question to her and I still have to you'll accept I have to just go more or less on the exit poll yes we're hearing from homes they use of from the SNP saying that if they do get 55 seats where he was almost saying well that's almost an irresistible argument to be made to Westminster about having a second independence referendum would you if it was on that scale they the victory for the Scottish National Party would you see it that way no I am afraid I I am a Scot and British and I I don't see our future anywhere else but in the United Kingdom and I will work to keep us there and I don't accept that's the the National enjoy Scotland's interest okay is in going through another constitutional bitter divisive constitutional debate I've had eight and a half years of it Scotland we've had enough okay Christine Jardine thank you very much a deed I'm adding you to my growing list now of people from the parties that perhaps they haven't done as well as they might have expected in these predictions from the exit poll my my list of people we need to speak to when the results are finally in hard and fast and Edie calm is here now and we've been looking at the results we do have and in particular the performance of the Labour Party in some of those seats that have been rock solid in the past a few of them stayed that way but Bligh Valley and I'll show you in a second - yeah let me let me do it straight away just show you what that actually means for Labour's defense actually because we have this chart basically showing you each of the seats that Labour is defending so remember that these seats the most pretty much all grey at the moment these are the seats labour of defending and at the start of the night's all of these were red okay so these are labour seats and it would take up to a four percent swing for the Conservatives or indeed other parties to when these seats so reading East Croydon central would take up to six percent stoke-on-trent central we're all west up to eight percent but look at this up to ten percent swing it would take to win Blythe Valley we are starting the first game for the Tories is right at the end of the spectrum of what a lot of people expected and this is Labour's redwood you heard that talk about the red wall that label was defending it wanted to withhold the Tories particularly in these seats here well right from the start they have lost one on a pretty enormous swagger ten percent swing and what's the story behind that we'll come back and have a look at this we're gonna actually kind of drill into a few of those seats so let's drill into blind valley and indeed some of the other seats come over here and see some of the stories kind of behind them so this is the change in the share of the voting you see the Tories up by five points four percent but look at Labor down by 15% and brexit party up by 8.3 and then if we have a look at some Houghton and Sutherland South kind of you know similar story actually labour down 19% there in terms of the share of the vote the Tories up by 3.2 he breaks it up by 15 point 5 percent obviously from from us kind of start of zero effectively and here you have newcastle upon tyne central as well it's a similar story labor just cratering votes across these constituencies and what Houghton and Sunderland South employed finally have in common it is the fact that they are strong brexit supporting areas you know it is the brexit vote which might well decide this election we talked about it being the brexit election and how right that might well turn out to be have a look at this the map of the UK with all the different constituencies let's take these and plot them against their brexit vote so that's the most remain over there moving through here to kind of middle-of-the-road to the most leave seats and there we have Bligh Valley so that's there you can see they voted just around kind of 60% to leave the EU and what we are potentially going to see if the exit poll is right is around this area which is Labour's red wall we're about to see a lot of these seats potentially turning blue if the exit poll is to be believed so we're going to be plotting all of these results against all of this now in the past it might have taken some days for people to work out this kind of analysis showing you about how the map is changing what kind of divisions we're seeing in this country we're gonna try and do a few tonight over the course of the next few hours so stay tuned as we get more of these numbers through ok I want to continue on that theme that has been describing to us John Bercow and just how many of those seats on the far right of his his map go blue I mean just looking at the exit poll and taking the maths and a good performance for the SNP in Scotland he presumably up on that count would have to take a lot of conservative seats they also predicted to lose a few in London in the southeast well if they're picking up that number they're coming from labour in the heartland aren't they yes I mean it certainly looks like several dozen labour held seats are going to be lost in the North including the northeastern the northwest and the Midlands and as you rightly say just computing the statistics shows that the Conservatives must have lost at least eight seats in Scotland now if overall they're nevertheless having a majority of 86 that translates into huge gains at Labour's expense in labour heartlands okay and Beth I mean you looked at the body language I'm sure you watch particularly Barry garden from Labour you know he did he did and look I mean fascinating details well I should say Ronnie Campbell was the outgoing Labour MP in Blyth Valley he was much loved who's of brexit a he told people to go out and vote Tory because he wanted to to quote the prime minister get brexit done but if you actually drill down into that exit poll and you extrapolate out my goodness we could see some big upsets it looks like Nora pitcock in Durham Durham Northwest leadership yeah she her she looks potentially under threat you've got such field Tony Blair's former seat could go Bishop Auckland Darlington stops and South it could be closing ones but that's Ian Lavery Lavery seat too close to calling we're a rest that's Margaret Greenwood seat I just want to put it into the context of this could be a big clear out of the Labor Party and a big restructuring of the electro map of our country

Channel: Sky News

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Id: ClSRXPwnnlk

Length: 169min 6sec (10146 seconds)

Published: Sun Dec 22 2019