[SUB]杜魯道要下台了?美波音專機壞了 新聞大白話@tvbstalk 20240118 (字幕版)

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Let’s take a look at the international news. In the international news, everyone thinks it’s incredible why the 737 Boeing has happened again. How could such an outrageous thing happen? I also felt so stupid when I saw the tweet. Blinken, such an important secretary of state , rides on the 737 Boeing. Of course, you have to support your own country's aircraft when traveling. However, when I was attending the World Economic Forum in Davos , suddenly when I was about to return to the United States, the Boeing 737 special plane I boarded suffered a serious oxygen leak failure. Everyone was a VIP and they were all forced to board the plane. After getting off the plane, I finally had to send another small plane to take Blinken back to Washington. Isn’t it funny and scary? Because I haven’t forgotten the news of the collision between a Boeing 777 and a Boeing 717 at Chicago Airport on January 16 and January 5. Do you remember Boeing’s high-altitude cabin door ? When we showed the footage to everyone, everyone was frightened. The door suddenly fell and disappeared at high altitude , and a large hole appeared in the fuselage. Boeing’s several public security accidents have not yet occurred. After fully recovering, how can these events be marketed internationally? Because it represents the U.S. military industry and its own aviation technology development capabilities, will it be questioned? Of course, Boeing will represent the United States next, and immediately after the Taiwan election, the United States will The 8-surface naval exercise between Japan and South Korea is about to begin again. Of course, everyone says that it is inevitable to point swords at China, so we must create an image of resistance to China . The election between Trump and Biden will also start this year. Trump specifically talked about my chances of winning, which caused the Chinese stock market. The impact of the crash was huge. I feel sad for them. The Chinese stock market plummeted yesterday because he won Iowa. Anti-China is Trump’s main tone. Are there two people comparing who is more anti-China ? Canada is also affected . If Trump If re-elected, media headlines suggested that Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau said that Canada-US relations would go backwards. Of course, Trump currently swept the Republican primary in Iowa with 51% of the vote. Two days later, Trudeau said that if Trump comes back, In fact, many American citizens in the United States are also very worried that Trump will come back. If Trump is re-elected as President of the United States, Canada's life will become very difficult. Canada -US relations will regress. Then even the Quebec Daily said that Trudeau will no longer be able to serve as President of the United States. Trump plays Captain Canada in front of him because in the past, the Liberal Party in 2019 and 2021 regarded the establishment of ties between Trump and his opponent Conservative Party as the same category to scare Canadians . Trudeau was able to reverse the situation in the last few days of the two elections. So before he was re-elected, he used Trump as a tool to help the election. So experts now analyze Trudeau’s trump card this time. The only remaining card is fear. Will Canadians pay the bill? Canada will also have an election by then. Let’s tell everyone in global polls. It is said that Trudeau, who has been re-elected for 7 years in Canada , is now facing challenges. The latest survey of this poll said that 37% of the people think Trudeau is very poor in this performance, and 49% think that Canada is moving in the wrong direction . For The number of voters who have a negative view of the government's performance has reached a 10-year high. Half of the Canadian people hope that someone can be replaced as prime minister as soon as possible. Trump's next election in Canada has made him wait even more. Trudeau and Trump were not at odds with each other in the past. Of course , this record is numerous. For example, in 2017, Trump directly rebuked NBC in front of the visiting Trudeau, saying that he wanted to cancel NBC’s business license for reporting fake news, etc. In June 2018, the United States steeled itself against Canada. Tariffs were imposed on aluminum products. Canada also retaliated with a 270% tariff on American dairy products, so they scolded each other. Trudeau said that Trudeau was very dishonest and weak . In September 2018, Canada even wanted to talk to the United States. Look at us. Do we need to coordinate the tariff issue ? Trump publicly refused to talk to him. And of course, in the case of Meng Wanzhou, Canada arrested her in 2018 to try to curry favor with the United States. As a result, at this time, Trump and Xi Jinping were having a dinner party in Buenos. He didn’t know any of this , so he was unhappy and unwilling to pay. Trump even asked Bolton why you wanted to arrest Meng Wanzhou . Don’t you know she is China’s Ivanka Trump? So there is another scene. Let me show you the scene of two people teasing each other in September 2019. It is also very impressive. Looking back at the situation, it is not once or twice. Brother Liang, if we just look at the US military industry Boeing In terms of representative significance, have the recent situations been too much? It is a lot , so this is not the most serious. The one where the hatch fell down is terrible. Yes, that is so outrageous. Surprisingly, I now know that Blinken also Flying on a Boeing 737. This is something I was surprised about . I think it is strange for Trudeau to quarrel with Trump now. Even if Trump is elected, he will not take office until February 1 next year. So Trudeau’s re-election this year has nothing to do with him. Because if you wait, you will find out in February or March that Trump and the Republican Party are already attacking Biden. Biden will also go to Congress for hearings , and there will also be a lot of questions about how Ukraine will deal with Gaza and how it will be ended. Anyway, mine It means that if it is not Trudeau’s turn, just line up. The struggle between the Democratic and Republican parties is terrible. And there is a movie to be released in the United States on April 26 called Civil War . It is about the current civil war. It assumes that the United States A civil war is about to happen. I’m telling you about the Capitol riots. On January 6, 2021, there were only about 68 militia groups in the United States . Now there are more than 300. Most of them are pro-Republican . So I’m telling you about the United States this year. Even Americans are worried about the election. A movie will be released on April 26 called Civil War, so there is an atmosphere of internal struggle. It will be very intense , so it really won’t be Trudeau’s turn , and Trudeau has been doing it for 7 years, which is unusual in democratic countries . For example, in the Netherlands , Rutte stepped down because he has been doing it for a long time, so I I feel that Dulute’s resignation has nothing to do with anyone. It’s just because you’ve been doing it for a long time and everyone is getting tired of it. That’s what I think. After the Taiwan election, in fact, if Trump says that because he won Iowa, The stock market in Taiwan plummeted yesterday. Foreign investors sold 78.2 billion for two days in a row. 120 billion was 120 billion. 120 billion . Sorry , 120 billion . And the Taiwan dollar dropped sharply for 2 days to 2.63 cents. This is scary. The stock market and foreign exchange both fell . Why didn’t Trump explain? People in Taiwan were scared because when Trump won, the Democratic Progressive Party was the most supportive of Trump. I know that, so I said it frankly . There are many reasons for this . Of course, some people will also interpret it as Lai Qingde was elected and said that foreign investors left early because this is very unusual. 78.2 billion foreign investors sell stocks a day, even the National Security Fund’s protection is useless. It is the third largest sales volume in Taiwan’s history. So I think some scenes will slowly emerge after the Taiwan election. In fact, there is another The situation in the local struggle is more serious than ours , that is, South and North Korea. Of course, they are choking on their words to the extent that they are choking . Moreover, Kim Jong-un and Kim Jong-un have drawn the map of the Korean Peninsula across the country, which was originally the same color, and now it is divided into two. The color hostility has reached this point, with one red and one white. Then the two Korean girls who built the memorial in North Korea before Kim Dae-jung symbolized peace. That arch, that arch, he wants to tear it down. So I will tell you about the chill in the Korean peninsula. The atmosphere is scary. I think one thing Taiwan should worry about is that we know that Yin Xiyue and Japan are getting better and better , and then the relationship between South Korea and North Korea is getting worse. Will this atmosphere actually promote the relationship between China and Japan? The South Korea FTA got a breakthrough because Wang Yi brought up this topic again in November last year and said that we should talk about the China-Japan-South Korea FTA. The summit was about to start . The obstacle at that time was that Moon Jae-in was unwilling to sign with Japan. Yes... But now this obstacle is gone. So let me tell you, if the China-Japan-Korea FTA is really on the horizon, Taiwan will be marginalized in the second quarter of this year. Taiwan will be the biggest hit because it is a high-level FTA. I think it is about 95% , which means that even mainland China does not need it. We have participated in the CPTPP because the major countries have signed it, namely China, Japan and South Korea. The biggest impact on the relationship between these three markets is Taiwan. There will no longer be a Taiwanese role to join . The impact on us will be huge and even greater than the existing one. That’s how it is , so the situation is indeed extremely difficult. Welcome back. I’m looking at the relationship between the United States and Canada. When Trump might be elected, I didn’t expect that Trudeau was the most worried or the key figure who was affected by media comments that affected his election. The professor said to me: Speaking of Ludo himself, he was very handsome when he first took office 7 years ago. He should be able to grow a beard for a while now... He knows how to manipulate the feeling of this electorate... Then I think This news is worthy of attention mainly for three reasons. The first is that the languages ​​​​of the United States and Canada are very similar. Of course, Trudeau himself said that you have listed a major sign here and it is also in French, which means that Canada is a French-speaking country. English is mixed, but Trudeau and the others are the second time we have encountered this. Trudeau is the Prime Minister. They are from the French-speaking area, so they say they promote cooperation in Canada. And the second thing is that I don’t know if you have paid attention. Although Canada is a large country , most of its cities are located along the United States. This is a very close relationship between the United States and Canada. Canada itself also plays a certain role in the North American Customs Union. He takes it for granted, so when I was with Trump, I was very impressed by what Trump said to Trudeau. What you wrote here only humiliated him. I remember it at least three times . And every time Trudeau said They all come back to humiliate Trump , and the way he humiliates him is by biting his ears , and he bites his ears to the extent of the President of France , which is because Trump hates this the most, so I think there is one very interesting thing in your news . When he asked Bolton why you wanted to arrest Meng Wanzhou, what he said was very meaningful. He said, don’t you know that she is Ivanka Trump ’s favorite daughter ? Trump’s words are that famous brands and models are famous, which is very important to China. What he means is that his metaphor is actually very good. He just said that Chairman Xi is relatively low-key in his approach , that is, he did not say it directly, but the attitude of Ren Zhengfei’s words itself He also acted very unseriously like Trump , so under this situation, Trudeau and Trump felt that it was probably hopeless , and he also thought that he would definitely be elected, so he would talk about this. After finishing it , he took this opportunity to threaten because he himself would not be able to be re-elected if possible. In fact, because I think the most embarrassing thing for Trudeau in 2023 is the matter about the assassination of the Sikhs by India. After he finished speaking, he has been confident I fully expected that people from these countries would support him, but no one supported him, so he was really lonely after a while. Another thing I want to talk about is the Boeing 737. As soon as I heard the news today, I immediately went to check it. It’s not 737. Bingo turns out to be 737. Let me tell you that problems with the 737 itself are very embarrassing for the United States because the plane Blinken was on actually leaked oxygen. This is simply a serious matter. I think if this kind of thing happened in China, the Americans would have something to do about it. When it comes to this phenomenon, we must pay attention to the fact that the grassroots maintenance personnel in the United States are still full of problems. Basically, its military industry , regardless of whether the military aircraft and various military equipment are from Boeing, or its general civil aircraft, all have such big problems. And again and again, I feel that the 737 MAX used all its strength in the entire sales process to force others to buy it , and we also bought it, right? Then the C919 did not issue a flight certificate and the 737 was forced to issue it. How could such outrageous things keep happening ? What happened ? And the plane door was half-opened and fell high in the sky. It disappeared, wasn't it? It is attracting attention from all countries around the world. Of course, it is because of the factors in the Taiwan Strait . Now that the election is over , other countries are still feeling the aftermath . They are also afraid of affecting their own countries. I think. Everyone mentioned Trudeau and Trump just now , but these two people disappeared soon. The United States and Canada will always be very stable allies because the border between the two countries is so long and there is no limit at all. But just now A Liang mentioned that this year Regardless of the FTA between China and Japan and South Korea in March, April, and May, they need each other. First of all, we saw South Korea’s Hyundai Motor because of the THAAD relationship . Now South Korea has a trade deficit with the mainland and Japan because it took Fukushima’s nuclear Wastewater is discharged into the sea. Now more than 700 trading companies have been banned by the mainland. Is there a need for it now? Is there a need for it in mainland China? Of course, the economic growth in mainland China is very slow . So the next question on freedom of speech is Taiwan’s Democratic Progressive Party. It is used to promote how good Taiwan is , and of course it is the most precious reason for Taiwan now. But since friendly Taiwan has been shut down by the NCC, various measures have been taken to suppress it . Now the Democratic Progressive Party has even called for banning TikTok. Didn’t we discuss this yesterday? The front page tells everyone that if Douyin continues, the country will be destroyed. Is it so serious? As a result, there are some opinions that the direction of following the trend is changing. Among them, Lai Qingde said in a recent report that they want to use various social platforms to review , but only young votes are missing . Why? To review and win back young votes, use a new one. Everyone works together on the platform Threads. After joining the account, he posted a video here to tell everyone a story. He said that he beat Tsai Ing-wen at the starting point because my vice president is better than you. There was that kind of enthusiastic message response reporting that compared to you, President Xiaoying, I have already won at the starting point because my vice president is better than you. Then everyone started discussing whether you should choose a cat or a dog, etc. No one said anything. There may be his supporters or stratospheric answers above and below this thread. Of course they are happy and enthusiastic. PTT is different. If this is the case, will Tsai Ing-wen suddenly be choked? Why if the deputy is better, why not let it go? It seems that when Xiao Meiqin became president , he thought there were too many votes, etc. This kind of sour approach is humorous and self-deprecating , but of course there will be different perspectives. The TikTok I just mentioned is of course also a party that has been calling out for the election in the past two days. The direction of the post-review review is why young people can’t get votes because Douyin has been brainwashed. Xu Shuhua’s opinion is different. What is the relationship between the loss of 10 legislators seats and Douyin ? Xu Shuhua believes that banning Douyin is not the answer and should communicate more with young people. Among them, Wang Dingyu and Shen Boyang were the first to attack Douyin. Do not ban Douyin. This matter is a relatively different voice. Xu Shuhua said that regardless of the national security system, there are certain mechanisms for control . Since young people are here If you use Douyin, you must accept Douyin to communicate with them. In fact, some of them just have very little influence, so they say it is his fault? The key point is how to accept Douyin and communicate with them. Now there is another different voice in the party . Instead, Would n't it be counterproductive if you really banned things that young people are using ? Of course, the Democratic Progressive Party's candidates for forming the government are also a hot topic of discussion now. Who will form the government ? Looking at the factions, the new trend group has 14 seats in the National Assembly and 8 seats. Is it possible to divide based on factions? Or should we prioritize ourselves? Now, including Lin Jialong, Zheng Wencan, Pan Meng'an, etc. Zheng Wencan is said to be likely to be eliminated. Who will the other people be eliminated ? Of course, the battle for the leadership of the Legislative Yuan has just been discussed. We have discussed a lot in Korea Yu. It was announced that Jiang Qichen's partner is highly complementary, especially since Jiang Qichen was almost his vice presidential partner in the past. At the same time, he left a proviso. If it is willing, the Kuomintang Party will be the candidate to replace Jiang Qichen's deputy . Another concept is that Speaking of what Huang Yangming said, he said that if Han Guoyu becomes the Legislative Yuan, one thing will definitely be different, and that is the National Day every year. In fact, I didn’t know that the National Day is held with the Legislative Yuan as the chairman of the preparatory committee. So what kind of intention and content does the chairman of the preparatory committee have ? He bluntly said that if there was a Taiwan national day like the National Day in the past, these English words are similar to the intention to make the Republic of China disappear. It would not be good for the blue camp supporters. Accept that as long as Han Kuo-yu is the legislative president, the Preparatory Committee will at least not let such an intention happen again . Of course, there are many bills that the Democratic Progressive Party has not passed in the Legislative Yuan. The Cross-Strait Supervision Regulations, the Agent Act, the Whistleblower Protection Act, etc. will be The top priority for future discussions between the two sides of the strait is actually that members of the committee have just talked about this concept, which is that there are five things on both sides of the strait. When many foreign media came to watch the election this time, they found that the atmosphere was different from the information they introduced before the foreign media came to Taiwan . For example, do young people think that young people want to support the Democratic Progressive Party and fight against China? They are wrong. Among the South Korean reporters they interviewed, the young people they interviewed were not interested in resisting the mainland at all. He even felt no need to blackmail them and deliberately spoke poorly of them. Instead, he lost his position on the current situation. The Kuomintang, which is relatively pro-China, or the anti-China Democratic Progressive Party, which inertia supports the more neutral People's Party that is committed to the center , is because the sense of reality does not require viewing the mainland as the source of all evil communist bandits. Is Taiwan strong enough for the Democratic Progressive Party to be in power? Is it better if their economy and future prospects are better ? This is more important . To make Taiwan stronger and richer , so the issue of confrontation with China is the DPP’s approach . Young people no longer pay the bill . As for Japan and South Korea, let’s take a look at neighboring countries. Are there going to be difficulties? Will the same scenario play out in Taiwan ? Hyundai Motor 's sales in Mainland China have languished due to restrictions in South Korea . Hyundai Motor's sales in China in 2016 were as high as 1.14 million units , but they were affected by various factors. The impact of the THAAD incident has caused a sharp decline in 2022. Now there are only 339,000 vehicles left. Of course, this is also the reason why mainland China ’s own automobile industry is booming. It has naturally been replaced. The latest news is that they also announced that they will sell off the Chongqing factory and the entire mainland market will be lost. Well , China's ban on Japanese fishery products will certainly have a greater impact , so the Prime Minister has been trying his best to reopen sales, but it can't be done. According to Japan's market survey, the number of affected Japanese companies is at least 700, and more than 700 Japanese companies have been affected. There is no way to restore it now. Is this what Taiwan will look like in the future? Will Brother Liang's post-election appearance be about banning Douyin? Or is it worse on both sides ? There are various possibilities . If Douyin dares to ban him, he will ban him. Let me tell you about these people. When discussing this, it means that they have very little understanding of this kind of electronic communication tool. Let me tell you, Threads was launched in June last year. It hit 50 million in the first month and dropped to 10 million in the second month . It was very It’s not easy to use. I joined it and then canceled it. It’s very difficult to use. Just go and use it. Taiwan has also promoted it. I remember it was an internal LINE-like thing called Juiker that was assisted by Hon Hai. No one wants to use it. Just use it. Go ahead and use it. Just go against the market trend and prove that you are a waste party in the technology industry. That’s how it is. I’m telling you, it’s embarrassing and shameful. Why do you think Douyin will become popular? It’s definitely not because of politics. Of course, it’s the overwhelming majority. They are all entertainment films, variety shows and commercial films , so why is it so popular? Because its videos are calculated using big data, and it will continuously promote and give you what you want, so you can easily find relevant things , and its speed will be as fast as the screen. The smoothness is very good, and Kuaishou can't catch up with Douyin. I think the DPP doesn't even know what Kuaishou is, so what I mean is that anyway, just use people like Shen Boyang who don't understand the market at all to mess around. This will allow the DPP to continue to lose more votes. Let me tell you, in fact, the most political ones are YT, Twitter and LINE . These three are the most political FB. They are also very political to FB . Why don’t you ban these YT companies ? CCTV has all the satellite TVs in China , but there is a column below that says this is China's official media, that's all. This is how they manage people, and they don't say they want to ban FB. Isn't there anything Chinese? You are the only one who is reactionary. Only political parties will discuss this kind of issue. What am I telling you about the so-called subjugation of the country ? Some people are talking about this Douyin. If you can't help it, there will be no Taiwan in 2028. Why is there no Taiwan? There is no Democratic Progressive Party. The party is dead. There is no Democratic Progressive Party. There is no Lai Qingde. You call it no Taiwan. Please also get rid of reactionaries like you in the scientific and technological field. Taiwan will develop better. I also agree that Taiwan will definitely be better. What do committee members think? Including various issues, the current situation in Taiwan is actually difficult. People say that elections only win the hearts of the people. I am now making a slight adjustment to win the world by winning young people. This trend is becoming more and more clear . However, the DPP did not win the young people this time . It won the world. The DPP may not exist in Taiwan and will continue to exist. It's like I often describe you. Don't think you are so great. The elephant is very big, right? But when it falls into the mud, the mud disappears or the elephant disappears. The elephant disappears, right? If the DPP is still there, Surrounding topics like this, A Liang just made it very clear that you can’t control these things on Douyin, YT, FB. Who is this? I want to use that thing to make those things on Douyin. I see some young people around me, they are all in It is very convenient to use this tool. It is just like AI. I want to tell you that the era of AI is coming . No matter how old you are this year, you say you want to see how long you can live . If for example you are 80 years old now, you can If you live to be 100 years old, the world will be dominated by AI in the next 20 years. Do you also want to say that this AI will take our jobs ? AI is used by young people, so we don’t want it. Can we use this kind of thinking to think about this matter ? A few days ago, I heard someone talk about the future application of AI and its APP. He said that all I need to do is buy a model’s face. That face. In the future, models will have no job at all. In this regard, they can be a person who does not exist at all , but it looks like a person. In the future , especially in the next three years, the development of AI may cause the person you use to change. You will be richer financially. If you don’t use it , you may not be rich in the future. I think this is the trend of the times. From this point of view, you banned Douyin and Xiaohongshu because it is from mainland China . I don’t want you to have an ideology if you invented it . Now, I probably won’t elect legislators in the future anyway . I want to take a broader view. We look at the world from the perspective of the future of young people. Whoever can get young people can do it. Whoever can win the hearts of young people in a good life can come to power. I think this may be something that everyone should think about seriously. Of course, you also often interact with young people. What do young people need? The three of us use Douyin, TikTok and Kuaishou the most. It should be me, it’s definitely me... because I regularly publish some news over there, and I’m telling you, it’s really this. Both of you are very right about this. It’s true that Taiwan also calls itself a science and technology island , because I and the whole If you want to be honest, Douyin is a little out of date because I was contacted this morning because what young people in Taiwan like most now is Xiaohongshu. Why do they like Xiaohongshu the most? Because everyone knows that the original origin of Xiaohongshu is Douyin. Music is not only an entertainment, it is also a Douyin merchant . He is a businessman. For many people, there is another most important factor. Douyin is different from TikTok because young people in Taiwan basically use English. I ’m not used to doing business. Do you know that Douyin itself is its own ? Why Xiaohongshu is popular is that language has a sense of intimacy. Young talents don’t care who does it. Let me give you another example. This Ningxia night market is going to do this called subject three. Then I talked about the dance system and dance system for a long time. This concept is basically extremely outdated. Let me tell you a few words of conscience . The DPP is now developing into a KMT-like state. You know that it is a very conservative and very old government because At this time , it will definitely be eliminated by the times, so the DPP itself must understand this matter. Whatever the mainland does, you must look carefully at the good things. If you want to actively encourage the bad things, we must point it out to the end. What's bad is that you can't just talk nonsense, right ? What you need to understand now is that the basic needs of all young people so far are what they feel. People in Generation Z are people who live completely in their own feelings. Right? You must understand this. Like us now, I just mentioned that our committee member Fei mentioned that class on artificial intelligence. I told you that we teach. I am most likely the last generation to teach because I met a mainlander a while ago. If you want to cooperate with me, I said this. How can I have time to cooperate with you like this ? Fixed once a week. He said no. You only need to come to Shenzhen once for 2 hours. After that, we will use AI to handle all the rest for you for a year . I am scared. I said that I'm not here. As long as your head is your head, it's 2 hours. He can control your facial expressions, movements, and knowledge content at will ... You move like this now and then record them all, right ? Then the AI ​​will help you choose what's inside. The content matches the shape of your mouth and then you smile like I am now. I feel more excited. Sometimes I feel a little more relaxed, right? I smiled at the result of the AI . Later I told him that this problem is very serious . Why did he say this ? It’s either a serious problem or not, but if you don’t do it like this, you’ll basically be doomed. So the current development of artificial intelligence in mainland China far exceeds our imagination. Let’s be honest . The American observation team here discovered our invoicing process. It's very primitive , and it feels like being in Africa... It's very similar because it's just a vote. Guo Zhengliang comes here with one vote. Let me tell you , he will think that this is not a technology island . Aren't you producing the most advanced chips in the world? What are you doing as a result of this ? I tell you, everyone knows very well that our politics itself is polluted. Even online voting has not yet come. Guests who speak in vernacular, let us first introduce Yale. Doctor of Political Science Guo Zhengliang Liang, everyone is safe, Professor Yuan Juzheng of the Department of Philosophy, National Taiwan University, Teacher Qianqiu, hello to all viewers and friends, Legislator Fei Hongtai, hello to everyone . Let’s take a look at some of the latest news , including what we just discussed. All parties are reviewing the results of this election. Among them, Ke Wenzhe's public speeches and his letter to the grassroots all said that the reason for the defeat came from the fact that young voters did not come out to vote, not because the polls were inaccurate . In particular, he predicted that a large-scale vote dumping event in the North, Central and South would be launched soon. The first event is at Taipei Rongxing Garden. Next week , there will be a Thanksgiving trip to Taichung and Kaohsiung. Huang Guochang is taking more actions. His upcoming events include Listening to the Voice of Grass, including Banqiao Xinzhuang Zhonghe Xindian Tamsui, etc. He wants everyone to Let’s welcome the registration information, etc. Let’s talk to Xiaocao together, listen to opinions , and consolidate the votes of these young friends. Next, of course, we have to fight again for the future. The People’s Party is a small party in terms of funding. In terms of the past, it has passed this time. After getting more than 3 million votes, of course there will be a huge investment in funds, right ? Judging from the current situation, the People's Party's political party ticket can receive a subsidy of 150 million yuan per year , which is 600 million yuan in four years. Ko Wenzhe's presidential ticket can receive a subsidy of 110 million yuan , as well as local public opinion representatives in addition to the 8-seat legislator who does not divide the legislators. Now there are two county and mayor seats, Hsinchu Mayor Gao Hong'an and Kinmen County Mayor Chen Fuhai, 14 county and city councillors, 14 township and municipal public opinion representatives, etc. So after taking stock of the resources and the influence of each place, is it possible that it will bloom on a larger scale in two years? It depends on how much benefit these resources can produce . This letter to Xiaocao was sent by Ke Wenzhe. He also did not believe that the poll was false. This matter caused a lot of discussion , and of course, this matter also left the aftermath. Because he said this very seriously at the beginning, he said that when the tide recedes, you will know who is not wearing pants. He accused all other polls of being fake. Only he was true. When the results were calculated, the results were like this. Then his reason was that there were many young people in the People’s Party. There is no way to come out to vote at work . The turnout rate is lower than expected. That is why the People's Party supporters , including young people with high education and middle-level voters, do not vote and have to go to work. Of course, there is a lot of discussion about whether people who are 40 to 60 years old do not have to go to work. We all do the same. If you have to go to work, you will naturally find time to vote, right? On voting day, everyone will go to work. Why is it that everyone talks about the most ridiculous loser in a century? Do you have to face your reasons well? If there are so many excuses, you will lose. Is it difficult to admit it? etc. There are various discussions that the reasons for this defeat are still lingering. Ke Wenzhe attributed the low turnout to Weihan 's analysis on our program. He also believes that even if the next first-time investor will be the next one four years from now, This time it is 1.02 million, next time it will be 800,000. If you vote for him, even if you count, he will not win, and he will not win. Why? Because even if 900,000 votes are added, based on the structure of the votes this time, he will lose. So when the People's Party is in The influence and effect of the election can be analyzed in each district to see what will happen in four years. Judging from this election, including the mayoral election, it will be the same as the 2022 election. At that time, Chen Shizhong, who had a high hatred value, let Jiang Wanan The number of votes is actually very stable, and when the blue is strong enough, naturally Huang Shanshan's vote share is 25.14%. In fact, the vote share in Taipei City is higher than that of Ke Wenzhe this time. So when he became the mayor of Hsinchu, Gao Hong'an was certainly very eye-catching in every election. Among the candidates , Shen Huihong has a high hatred value but low popularity, so Lin Gengren was immediately marginalized. The vote rate is relatively very low. If you compare this legislative election in Yilan, you will find that Blue and White may not be strong enough . The DPP will benefit. Naturally, the opposition parties will divide the votes and have no chance of winning. Therefore, the DPP will only benefit when blue, green, and white are not strong. Therefore, Ke Wenzhe’s approach of pulling blue and fighting green has a way to deceive blue and green. This is the analysis of today's United Daily News, specifically talking about how they deceived Blue and Green. Why did they fall out after they cooperated with the DPP in the past ? Is it possible to cooperate with Blue and the Kuomintang ? Later, they fell out after failing to reach the six-point agreement. Now, what's next ? What kind of situation will it be like after the election ? The most positive description of the action for the election of the President of the Legislative Yuan is of course that the People's Party will take the lead in the next party cooperation. But now, in this situation , both sides have to let others win over them. Hanguo-yu has already announced that his partner is Jiang Qichen, so he will match up with You Cai, who will fight against him. Of course, he left a proviso , which is that if the People's Party is willing to cooperate , he is also willing to give up the seat of vice president to cooperate with the People's Party . How would Ke Jianming describe it? Is there a more suitable candidate? He said that for Han Jiangpei, his answer is that this is a domestic matter of the Kuomintang. What about You Caipei recommended by the Green Camp ? Is there a more suitable candidate for Cai Qichang ? This is Ke Jianming's description and comment, so when We have seen various situations after the election . The possible development of the People's Party in two years or even four years from Ke Wenzhe will have something to do with this review . Brother Liang , I don't think the People's Party has fallen out with the DPP. Look at him. The non-district composition of Huang Shanshan, Huang Guochang and Chen Zhaozi has all cooperated with the Democratic Progressive Party , so you can infer from here that you see him going against Chen Shizhong and the others against Shen Huihong , so you think he goes to fight with the Democratic Progressive Party. There is no such thing as confrontation . There are some people in the Democratic Progressive Party who are very good. Let me tell you, you can watch the voting that day. You can see whether Chen Zhaozi, Huang Guochang, and South Korea Yu can vote , so I said it still depends on their future behavior . And In fact, the People's Party will be tested in the future. Which side do they stand on on cross-strait issues ? Will these eight people be inconsistent? In fact, the question that the People's Party has to consider is whether it can be in and out of the group in the future. It is these eight people. In fact, the fundamental question is what is the position of the People's Party ? For example, because of the People's Party, you now give people the impression that you have no position on Taiwan's major controversial issues. What you are talking about is the People's Party. What kind of transparency and publicity, fiscal discipline, and parliamentary reform are there any major controversies ? This is not a major contradiction of a country as discussed in our political science. These are all policy issues. What is the major contradiction of Taiwan's country, anti-nuclear and then reunification and independence? This kind of thing is the abolition of death. This kind of thing is the major sexual orientation. They probably support same -sex marriage and they have no problem with it. What I mean is that they support same-sex marriage. You must express your stance on major conflicts so that people will gradually know what your party's line is. Otherwise, if you think about the reason for the long-term struggle between the two parties for 50 years, there must be some fundamental issues in the struggle that they cannot agree on, and then they will fall apart later. Some people who want to enter politics have joined the Kuomintang and some have joined the Democratic Progressive Party, right? What are you doing by joining the People's Party? What are you pursuing? Because so far, it has no regional legislators . In fact, there is no such party, and there is no political party. It is impossible for you to go forward without zoning. So what Ke Wenzhe must think about is how to elect regional legislators in 2028. If you don’t have regional legislators, it is basically this kind of political party. Your party has no zoning and has not gone through the real process of the people. I'm going to review you because everyone just voted for your presidential candidate without distinction . As for these 8 people, in fact, I made it clear that except for Huang Shanshan and Huang Guochang, does anyone know anyone else ? Does anyone know him ? What does it do? I don’t know that there can’t be such a political party. Let me tell you, so if you look at the real political parties, for example, Commissioner Fei starts from being a city councilor , and then slowly goes up all the way, how many grassroots contacts do you have to accumulate? The people then elect legislators , and only after voting for the legislators do they know what their clear stance is. Only then will people know what your party’s line is. I think the People’s Party has not passed this test , so I say that many people Everyone is discussing that the People's Party is about to become a key minority. There is no such thing. I will tell you many situations. Maybe the DPP will then confront the Kuomintang and then trade them away. Each of them will defeat them. If not, they will trade them away. Why? I have to deal with you. Do you think that everyone must vote for the People's Party? It may be that the Kuomintang wants whatever the DPP wants and everyone trades it . If you vote for my A and I vote for your B, the coordination will be lost. Do you think the People's Party must Does it have a role? Don’t think of this issue so simply. Politics is not like this. Politics is that you have to go through many struggles and tempers and then truly form your line. It sounds like the big left is really like this, so it is really like this. For example, the Democratic Progressive Party Don’t think that they won’t have deals with the Kuomintang . In the past, when the Kuomintang, People First Party, and the Kuomintang, they traded and traded. That ’s how it is. So don’t think that your 8 seats are really the key minority forever. There is no such thing in politics. There is nothing like this in politics, not to mention whether all 8 of your seats will be unanimous. This is also a test, right? Commissioner Fei has been in the Legislative Yuan for so many years and is a senior member. If we look at the latest ecology of the Legislative Yuan after the election, I think the important thing is only on February 1 The election of the president and vice-president of No. 1 is more important. Brother A Liang has also served in the Legislative Yuan for three terms. He was very clear when the bill was drafted . At this time, I felt that future bills may target the Democratic Progressive Party , which has a firm stance on cross-strait affairs. Maybe I won’t mention it. The DPP may not mention it . Maybe the Kuomintang won’t ask for very sharp issues. At this time, it will lean toward the center. If it leans toward the center, then the importance of the DPP will drop significantly. I think the most important thing about this election of the People's Party is the election of the president and vice-president on February 1st. Today I saw on the Internet that the news has come out that Hanguo Yu is going to team up with Jiang Qichen. Of course Jiang Qichen said that he can do it if there are people from the People's Party. If you are willing to be the vice president, I think so just now I followed Professor Guo's remarks and said that the People's Party is important. I think it is not important only after February 1st. We talk about it because I don't choose. I can speak in vernacular and your program is Call the news vernacular and I’ll be blunt. In the future, because Lai Ching-te has 40% of the votes , it is inevitable that in the first 1 or 2 years, he will not be able to propose such a bill that is very... politically sensitive , even if it is not even very sensitive. I think the last three parties can compromise and make the text softer. It’s not impossible. The second point is that I think Huang Guochang will of course have to hold the next legislative election in 2028. There are still four years left, but there is still an election in the middle. It’s a nine-in-one election. I see Huang Guochang go to these five places. What do you think he is going to do? He wants to elect the mayor of New Taipei City. Three years later, when Hou Youyi’s second term comes, he may go to the North. If he elects the mayor of New Taipei City, If the beachhead is chosen in such a big place , of course they will send people to select regional legislators. I think from this topic, I also hope to appeal to Lai Qingde’s government not to step on the red lines on both sides of the Taiwan Strait. Don’t step on that. The second red line is don't be a pawn or a pawn of the United States . I think even if the two sides of the Taiwan Strait don't get along well , they won't end up fighting each other. My feeling is this. If this is the case , actually look at how young the People's Party is this time. They don’t like this party that is close to mainland China, and they don’t like someone who is in confrontation with mainland China. What they want is economic development, and they want a good future , so I don’t care whether it’s against the DPP or not. The Kuomintang should also think about how to develop the economy. Secondly, it must achieve income distribution. In other words, to be more straightforward, you should allow young people to have a future. In the future, they will have enough money to buy their first home. House is the first house. I want to improve the future of young people and improve their income. The distribution of income should be improved and the distribution should be better. Look at Tsai Ing-wen for nearly 8 years. For his top 5%, we usually talk about the top 20% and the bottom 20% , but this is too big . The gap between the top 5% and the bottom 5% is now more than 160 times . This is a deterioration in income distribution. I am calling on both major parties to do these things. If we want to think about this aspect and follow the logic of the committee members, the People's Party itself has a two-year clause. After two years, the current incumbent without zoning may have to go to other places to give up to others . Then if Huang Guochang elects New Taipei City, Huang Shanshan will elect Taipei City? I don’t know what the professor thinks of this new situation after the election. I am the first to stress that I am very honored to do some philosophical analysis between the two senior legislators. In fact, I think it is an honor, but I think Ke Wenzhe The one time he really chose was that he did not use rationality but sensibility. His sensibility was divided into three parts . The first one was to curse blue, green , blue, old, green, bad . This was his first point of view , and then the second. Part of what he said was that he had no money, he had no money, and then he said that he was speaking out of conscience . If the DPP has money, there is nothing to say about the ruling party. But if he said that the Kuomintang also has money, then he may be a fundraiser for the Kuomintang, but he is one of them. A lot of the talk is about resorting to this, which is to say that these two parties are very rich. If I don’t have money, it is indeed the case just by me. And the third point is that because of the impact of this power , I have I know that I have talked with my students about Ke Wenzhe many times, and I feel that the most incomprehensible thing to me is that Ke Wenzhe changes his words one by one and deceives the other. It's not called change, it's called flexibility. If it's correct and can be adjusted, then what he said when he changed was a last resort. It's hard to argue. So I was shocked when I heard it. Young people are very , very tolerant and tolerant towards Ke Wenzhe. He is very tolerant , so why do young people feel that he likes him? Let me tell you , because when I gave a TED talk, I talked after him. At that time, the pressure was very high. Why did everyone leave after Ke Wenzhe finished speaking? Let me tell you, this is not the case. Ke Wenzhe is just kidding . Let me tell you about his expression. In fact, I am not kidding. If I didn’t dye my hair, I would look exactly like him. I am not kidding. I am not kidding. Really, many people say this, how do they feel? Yes... I was in a bad mood at the beginning. Now I feel pretty good. At least with this face alone , I can get 10 or 3 million votes. Anyway, it's basically the same . I want to emphasize a very important point . Ke Wenzhe. Young people's trust in Ke Wenzhe comes from the blue-green relationship, which makes them feel hopeless. So I think Commissioner Fei made a very important point. Young people really don't have much hope now , because generally speaking, if you compare If you compare only 20%, you won’t be able to tell. But if you compare 5%, if you compare 1% and the last 1%, I’m afraid the difference is 1,000 times. I’m telling you , this is not a joke. Because you only need to calculate this. Just write down the account. Who has the money earned from ECFA in Taiwan, right? We are just talking to a few of our colleagues at noon today. We are pretty good professors at National Taiwan University, right? But we actually live a very hard life. Life is full of hardships . It’s not a joke. It ’s not a joke. Why? Because there are many reasons. The main reason is the children’s education expenses. The main reason is that buying a house is too expensive . And if he just came back from abroad, he wants to buy a house. If he is from the south, he is in Taipei. If you can’t afford to rent a house, you have to buy a house. If you buy a house, you will become a house slave for the rest of your life. So even the professor of National Taiwan University is doing any special research in this situation. Please don’t misunderstand this matter because the professor of National Taiwan University It is not stipulated that only Taipei people can do it , so people from the south come up, even the professors themselves, let alone ordinary young people , so the words of young people are a fire in the heart in winter , so they all fall on Ke Wenzhe, so he adopts this trend. Ke Wenzhe feels this trend. He himself doesn’t know why Ke Wenzhe himself can’t figure out his stance on issues. In this case, he has no choice but to rely on this method. Of course, he also knows how to use Huang Guochang and Huang Shanshan to develop his regional legislators. In this situation So the situation is very clear, so what Teacher Yuan said, it doesn’t matter how he reviews the reasons for his defeat, whether he agrees with the polls or not, it doesn’t really matter... Let me tell you , what if Ke Wenzhe compromised in the hotel that day ? Young people will lose a lot but not forgive, right...
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Length: 47min 33sec (2853 seconds)
Published: Thu Jan 18 2024
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