The key factor comes from the fact that President Xi Jinping of mainland China visited Europe , so the courtesy he received when he got off the plane at the first stop in France. If you look at the live footage, you can see that when they got off the plane, they took their wives and walked off the plane to prepare for the greeting. Of course, French Prime Minister Aittar is said to be the youngest prime minister at 34 years old and the first openly gay prime minister in France. Being so young also represents the possibility of taking over. Those two people use What should we talk about? Chinese. The prime minister specially welcomed him in Chinese , so Xi Jinping also praised him and said that your Chinese is very good like this. Although it is a little rainy, you are holding an umbrella, but there is a red carpet and an honor guard. You have studied for a year. You have studied for a year and you said this. Did the Prime Minister specially want to welcome Xi Jinping? He has not studied Chinese for a year. I was shocked. I knew he was coming a year ago. He is very serious about learning Chinese. At least in this language, he thinks that in terms of communication about international trends, he needs to be good at welcoming this distinguished guest. We also saw some local Chinese students with high standards , whether they were dancing dragons or lions or the national flag to welcome him. But when Xi Jinping arrived to pick up the plane, he praised him for speaking Chinese very well. The prime minister also represents that there will be several more Duan has a high-level feeling that he wants to create a bright future for Sino-French relations because he immediately published a lot of news information or interview information before leaving to tell everyone that he visited France twice in the spring of 2014 to celebrate with the French. The 50th and 55th anniversaries of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and France . This time is the 60th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations . It feels cordial to set foot on the beautiful French soil again. At the same time, Xi Jinping is expected to have many meetings in Paris on Monday, including meeting with the President of the European Commission Von der Leyen and the French President. Macron hosted a menu in his second hometown that he described as an old friend. What was on the menu was lamb shoulder, black pork, prosciutto, tarp , and a dessert specifically requested by Brigitte, the first lady of France, called blueberry tart. It became a lot of soft things. The topic of course is wine, which is something the French pay attention to. The local Montes red wine, Saint-Mont white wine, etc. were warmly welcomed . What more will be discussed next? Is there a war between Russia and Ukraine? Is trade cooperation? This is the most important thing. Reuters According to media reports, will Macron put pressure on China on trade and the war between Russia and Ukraine ? In order to deal with the trade imbalance , China needs to exert its influence on Moscow in the war between Russia and Ukraine , especially in business, and more trade cooperation is needed , including Is it possible to achieve the two major goals with the adjustment of tariffs and so on in two days ? I wonder if it is possible for China to play a peaceful role in the Russia-Ukraine war . Is it possible to develop in this direction? Xi Jinping said that we hope that Europe can restore peace and stability as soon as possible . We plan to cooperate with France and the entire international community to find a good way to solve the crisis. So when this trip, the media analysis believes that France needs to talk to China, but cannot treat China as a friend? The report of Le Monde believes that there should be no illusions about talking to China. All kinds of cooperation are friends. Not dialogue with China is not a solution. Treating Xi Jinping as a friend is not a solution. So French President Macron should not have illusions. So this means that Macron also has some anti-China voices in the country to deal with. The New York Times described Xi Jinping’s visit to three European countries as an attempt to weaken the connection between the United States and Europe and to decouple the United States from Europe. Of course, France also wants to play an independent role and become a mediator? Mainland scholars believe that Macron can only rely on the mainland now . In particular, the Russia-Ukraine war in Europe is now a stalemate within a stalemate. Military means have been exhausted. The only way out is for China and Europe to join forces to promote peace and negotiate. Is the Russia-Ukraine war Washington already beginning a head-on confrontation with Beijing ? Paris hopes to maintain the space for dialogue and hopes for peace because Biden’s considerations may also include his own election campaign . For example, we discussed for a long time on the spot . Biden hopes that the campaign will not stop and not end too early, which will be detrimental to his election. But European countries obviously do not think so. After Xi Jinping’s visit to France Macron’s adjective is called the theory of the mortality of Europe, which has produced two major messages for Central Europe . This is called the message disclosed by an unnamed French official before his visit to France . As Russia’s main partner, China’s goal is to let him use it to attack Moscow. I hope that the influence will change Russia's calculations and help resolve conflicts , which is the concept of an armistice . Especially the Olympics are about to start. Is it possible for the Olympic ceasefire to happen? What does Brother Liang think of the courtesy Xi Jinping received from the moment he got off the plane ? One of the results and purposes to be shown, I think this is to go in the same direction. Each has found its own great strategic needs and China's strategic needs. I just read the Figaro newspaper because Xi Jinping wrote an article in Figaro. Gallo's title means that Xi Jinping wants to neutralize France. Simply put, it means that he should not be too one-sided towards the United States. In fact, some people put it more bluntly , saying that he wants to divide the Western camp . There is nothing wrong with this because mainland China believes that Europe can be independent. We must be one-sided towards the United States and Europe. They are also powerful powers. In fact, China, the United States, Russia and Europe, the four major powers in the world, everyone knows that China is actually different from Russia because Russia has been sanctioned by the United States and Europe , so he wants to We want to embrace China and let China and Russia join forces to fight against Europe and the United States . But China does not have this position. China thinks that we are in confrontation with the United States , but I hope that Europe can be neutral , so it is also showing goodwill to Europe. This reason is of course because it is its second largest Trading partners , so there is some room for political, military and economic brewing. For Macron, mainland China is the first one for the economy. For example, Macron expressed a position in advance. He said that he hoped to have more economic and trade relations with China as it resets and restarts. There are infinite possibilities for infinite possibilities , and mainland China is also very smart. He immediately shouted out: The title "French Farm to Chinese Table" means that French processed agricultural products can be imported to China and delicious French food can be eaten in China. In addition, the trade between China and France is less than 80 billion US dollars, which is very low because the trade between China and Germany is 2,000 US dollars. China -Russia trade is 240 billion U.S. dollars , so China and France certainly have a lot of room, so I think they will definitely have some mutual investment projects. For example, in nuclear energy , China will cooperate with EDF , and in aviation, it will cooperate with Airbus. Is it right to cooperate? France probably also hopes that China will help it invest in renewable energy , so China has a unit called Minshi Group , which went to France to open a battery valley 100 kilometers long. So I think mutual investment has already begun. There will definitely be more in the future. Of course, France is asking about whether there are subsidies for electric cars under the guise of mutual economic strengthening , so it does not give consumers any preferential treatment for cars imported from China , so China’s market share has declined in France , so I think this issue It is mentioned on the surface , but in reality it is no longer serious. I think the most important issue that France really wants is whether the Russia-Ukraine war can be stopped during the Paris Olympics on July 26. Of course, the ideal situation is to hope for a ceasefire. He knows that he alone The power is not enough, so I hope to combine Germany and China to mediate the Russia-Ukraine war. Can there be a ceasefire so that the Paris Olympics can be held smoothly? I think this should be his main purpose. The Olympic spirit. Of course, France is the host country this year , and of course, I hope it will be more dignified. What does the ambassador think of the possible results and development of this trip ? In fact, Xi Jinping’s visit this time is not a short-term decision. It is a long-term strategic cooperation between the two countries, a long-term development project, and the two countries actually have a long-term development strategy. In fact, the most representative one , especially after the Russia-Ukraine war, was when Macron visited the mainland in April last year . After he concluded his trip to the mainland, the two sides signed a joint statement. This joint statement has 51 articles in total, which is very, very detailed. Not only has the relationship between the two countries been defined , but the cooperation projects have also been defined , and the future road map has also been written. So it really depends on the relationship between mainland China and France. In fact, it was also April when Macron went to the mainland last year. It has been scheduled for this month . This is the so-called meeting this year between the annual meetings between the two heads of state in the last agreement. So you see that the two heads of state will meet every year . This shows that the two sides attach great importance to the mutual visit relationship. Last year, there was one A very important project that everyone is surprised about is that the two sides want to cooperate in the military, maritime and military aspects . Although it is more general, it is to strengthen dialogue. But before Xi Jinping came to Paris this year , France specially invited the commander of the southern theater of mainland China. Members visited France , and the two sides signed an agreement on strengthening military dialogue and communication between the two sides in the South Pacific region. So it has entered into a written state. Written military cooperation, military cooperation , so it has become that this is Based on the established bilateral relations between the two sides, why is France so close to mainland China? I think the highest strategic common interest of both parties is to prevent the United States from having a negative impact on global affairs in the world and France on mainland China. It depends on mutual cooperation between the two countries, so mainland China is very sure that France will pursue strategic independence , and hopes that France, in addition to its own strategic independence, can be the main leader in the EU and lead the EU forward. So in fact, you When it comes to France, whether it is Le Monde or Le Figaro, their reports are correct. Mainland China has strategic expectations for France . However, the French report did not mention France's strategic expectations for mainland China, which may be higher. So it becomes that China is now the world's largest trading nation , and with the development of various technologies, France not only wants to strengthen cooperation with China in business , but also strategically hopes that mainland China will play a more active role in international affairs. The role now most hopes to play an active role in ending the Russo- Ukrainian war . So I think the meeting between the two heads of state of China and France has a high strategic level. Other issues seem to be technical, economic and trade issues . This meeting between the two of them is not the main so-called discussion item . Indeed, the level of enthusiasm for the exchange of visits between the two heads of state has increased from the standard of the welcome to the more cordial during the interaction. It is actually watching the two people in China. The feeling of strolling in the garden , visiting gardens and admiring the scenery together is now repeated in France. Various collaborations are also possible. I think there are places where the two of them met, which are very sincere and have hidden secrets. For example, Macron went to China. When Xi Jinping received him, the place where he received him was his father’s official residence. This time, Macron received Xi Jinping in his grandmother’s hometown. I think this kind of interaction between the two looks very good from this aspect. But I think the key is that Macron is in Before Xi Jinping came, he and Von der Leyen had been emphasizing one thing : Europe must have its own strategic interests and safeguard our own European strategic interests. What is the significance of what he said? I think Europe's strategic interests have three points. The first is It’s economics and trade, and the second one is military security. The third is energy security. You have to know that Europe now relies on Russia for energy because Russia has huge energy resources. Almost all of its energy sources include natural gas and oil . In Europe, everything is in the Arctic Circle. It is frozen and stored. There is no way to reclaim or plant it . God will give it a very good natural gas. Its reserves account for nearly 1/4 of the world. Its reserves are even more than those in the Middle East . Of course, in Europe, I just hope to have this natural gas. In the past, it passed through Ukraine. As a result, Ukraine started a war with him and often asked him for money. He had no choice but to build a Nord Stream 2 pipeline. Then this natural gas was supplied to Europe through Russia . Think about it if it comes from here. From a very simple point of view, whoever bombed Nord Stream 2 was the United States, because the United States has also developed shale oil and has this oil and gas , which it wants to sell to Europe. In terms of natural gas, the cost of transportation in Europe is The cost or the cost of shale oil extraction in the United States is very high , so in terms of energy, it is currently cut off by the United States. Secondly, in terms of military, NATO has never been able to be independent. It almost always depends on the United States . France used to have a special concept when it stationed troops in Germany or somewhere . It believed that France was one of the five powers in Europe . Of course, apart from the United Kingdom, it was one of the five powers in Europe itself . Before that, there was President de Gaulle. President de Gaulle of France , for a while, he withdrew from NATO. Isn't that right? He said that I want to build my own national defense system. I can't rely on the United States. Everyone will grow old. So he has to rely on the United States for the military . Who does he rely on for economy and trade? I think it is obvious that for economy and trade , now we must rely on China. So I think in this regard If we talk about it , maybe what the three of them will talk about in the future is Macron, von der Leyen and Xi Jinping. It must be something related to European economy and trade. Of course, electric vehicles are the most important project. They just talk about how much they will sell, how much tariffs will be reduced, and how much tariffs will be levied. If tariffs can be negotiated to find a balance point, I think this is the key to truly safeguarding Europe's own strategic interests. Let's take a break here and be back soon. Let's take a look at the currency war that the United States will have this week. The issuance of US$125 billion of government bonds has been difficult to implement a while ago , so Yellen went to China desperately. Now this week, another US$125 billion issuance is very large, including US$58 billion of three-year bonds. There is also a 10-year term of US$45 billion , which has been greatly tested. Even the 30-year term has a market of 22 billion. Whether to pay for it is a question mark for everyone. Some companies have said that since this year, US inflation has slowed down and has even It has stagnated. He would rather buy it in the short term and wait for five years. In fact, almost everyone is not optimistic about the long-term buying point . But now it seems that gold will always be the most safe haven. Everyone is buying it , including mainland China, so this is The risk control investment target that will appear in geopolitics has proven that the price of gold has stubbornly stood above 2,400 US dollars per ounce . Of course, it has lasted for a long time. The reason is also because China has also been buying a lot recently. The yen has depreciated and depreciated to the point that it was scolded domestically. The central bank did nothing. They began to protect the market. After the central bank intervened, the result is that the yen is rising sharply. Of course, it is related to the economic policy of the United States. The market believes that the Japanese government’s 5 trillion yuan to adjust the devaluation speed cannot continue to depreciate, which will affect competition in the entire region. But the United States After the announcement of maintaining the interest rate policy, the yen surged again and reached 153. The financial industry analyzed that the Japanese government may take action again. In fact, it is not easy to protect this because the United States has too much influence. Will it become a bottomless money pit? If it can be protected , then at least another 3 trillion yen will be used to save the entire exchange rate . What is the outlook for the yen? The impact of various high-inflation federal deficits cannot be ignored. How long it will take for the United States to control inflation also affects the rate of depreciation of the yen. So, bye. The second question is of course the Middle East . Is there any way to solve the current problems in the Middle East? The US media reported that the Biden administration made a move last Monday to suspend the delivery of ammunition to Israel. This move is very unusual. Israeli officials don’t even know the reason. According to the report, It is said that an insider did not disclose the reason to CNN. When asked why the White House refused to respond for certain reasons , is it really because of the domestic struggles of the American student movement that it supplies weapons to Israel to commit genocide and other war actions? Is there any impact? At the same time, some countries in Saudi Arabia have not normalized relations with Israel. The Saudi Arabian government has stated that if relations with Israel are to be normalized, they must make concessions to the two-state solution for Israel and allow Palestine to establish a state . Of course, this is definitely not what Israel wants to see, so US National Security Advisor Sullivan said that Biden will not help Saudi Arabia and will not sign a defense agreement before Saudi Arabia normalizes relations with Israel. So what is the relationship ? There is no possibility of normalization. Although Blinken visited , it is obviously difficult to achieve further results after the visit . Blinken only said that Saudi Arabia and the United States have been working together in accordance with our agreement. Is it possible to get close to completion? Is there even a ceasefire? Maybe you don’t know yet , but there is a third question called TikTok. Of course , after the bill completed by the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate is passed , it will be officially signed by Biden . Next, is TikTok real? Are they preparing to close down or transfer quickly? When TikTok insists on not having it, it has impacted the entire country. For example, like Musk, he chose to leave from China. He believes that China is more important in choosing a market , so various actions of running to China represent Because his ability to compete with BYD still requires the Chinese market, Biden’s bill, TikTok, ByteDance is not willing to sell, so Sullivan said that this U.S. business is owned by U.S. companies, and the whole world makes sense and insists on not letting ByteDance I can continue to own the operating rights , so I don’t know if the entire legal battle will be won by the US government or will it drag on for a long time until the election. But consumers are actually starting to get angry because there are so many US users and some netizens are using it directly. It’s not nice to criticize these political decisions. Listen to this scene . Oh my god, I’m really angry, right? This netizen is so angry that the pretty girl said she will be there every day from now on. Okay, you can’t let me be on TikTok. I’ll be on Instagram every day. It’s good to post Chinese videos . Biden also posts videos himself and continues to use TikTok to post his own promotional videos. Isn’t it embarrassing? He wants to win over young people and yet bans the platforms they use. This is called a dilemma. Brother Liang saw these. The topics are all about Biden’s current problems. China buys gold because if you think about mainland China, he wants to internationalize the renminbi. He also knows that the United States is hostile to him. China’s current US dollar assets are 3.3 trillion US dollars , which is equivalent to the issuance of its renminbi. The basis is the US dollar. Don’t you think this is ridiculous? The United States is hostile to you and you see that the United States is confiscating Russian assets. Are you afraid? So of course he hopes to buy more gold as the basis for issuing currency. We call this an anchor. The basis for anchoring is how much gold is there in the United States? It’s only 2,200 tons. Don’t you think the gap is too big? Even Italy has 3,000 tons. Germany has more than 4,000 tons. So whether it ’s 8,300 tons in the United States, Frankly speaking , this is reasonable. Why is it because your U.S. dollar index is already at 106 and your interest rate has risen to 5.5? Seeing that there is probably no room for interest rate increases in the future , everyone is waiting for you to cut interest rates, right? U.S. dollar index How can it be higher than your 106? So from this point of view, it is completely reasonable for people to buy other currencies or buy other valuable things. I tell you, it is not China that buys the most. In fact, the one that buys the most is Russia because of the U.S. dollar. Sanctioned , but if you check other countries, India is also buying. Turkey is also buying , so this is definitely not just China and Russia. Russia is buying because it produces its own gold , so you don’t see it buying a lot internationally. Of course it’s China , but everyone needs to know that China is not the only one buying India and Turkey. To put it simply, everyone thinks the US dollar will depreciate. This is the case with global hedging tools. So you should see for yourself why your U.S. bonds are long-term. If the bond cannot be sold, how do I know what will happen to you after 5 years ? In fact, you spent 3 years on it and now you only need 3 years of debt, right? Everyone thinks this is too long. I am not confident whether it can be changed to 2 years, so I will follow you. Talking about the United States, this is a test for Yellen. Yellen is really in trouble. You have 125 billion U.S. national debt. The shortest term is 3 years. 3 years accounts for 58 billion. Let me see how you sell it. Do you want to force Japan to swallow more yen ? I’m almost broke and I’m still eating it , so I’m telling you, if you can’t sell it, it will be so embarrassing. You come back and force your bank to eat it yourself , or the Fed will buy it yourself. It will become a buying of new and selling of old. This is very embarrassing. I’ll be honest, so This is just staring at you. Watch this in the past few months to see how it sells. As for this, let’s talk about that. I think the Israeli one is short-term to appease students. I think the United States still supports Israel’s fight against Farah. I have seen the current signs of Egypt. There is no progress in the mediation , but Hamas still demands that you withdraw your troops and you have to tell me the final ending plan. Israel is unwilling to commit. Israel said I will give you 40 days at most and you release 33 hostages. I don’t think it is easy to talk about the outcome , so I think Israel Is it still going to fight Rafa? Saudi Arabia has finally shown its status as the leader of the Sunni sect. Is it normal for you to normalize with Israel at this time, right? So of course at this time, he cannot give in to the defense agreement with the United States. We will talk about it later. Of course, each of the three major issues for Ambassador Biden in the United States is difficult to explain. The issue of Israel, which has the biggest impact from the economic aspect, seems to be holding the part that lives on campus for the time being . It is not that easy to calm down all the anger against The United States is now suffering from all kinds of diseases. This internal problem echoes the external problem. The external problem is getting worse and worse internally. For example, the Russia-Ukraine war , for example, the Israeli-Palestinian war, the internal conflicts in the United States have made these two wars more difficult. The two external wars are becoming more and more intense for the United States. If they are prolonged and protracted , they will also cause divisions and conflicts within the United States. Therefore, I feel that the best time for the United States to beggar its neighbors in the past has passed. Now in fact, it is outside. The military-industrial complex may make money by provoking wars or external wars , but the problem is that it will cause serious conflicts and confrontations in the entire society , and then the society will go in the direction of polarization. We can see this phenomenon very clearly now . The problem for the United States has become that the United States’ current foreign policy For a series of sanctions , let’s take the sanctions against mainland China. In the past, we had a saying that if you kill one thousand enemies, you will injure eight hundred. Now, should you kill eight hundred enemies and injure one thousand? Now this is increasingly true. For example , if you sanction technology, you sanction technology. You sanction Huawei for supplying it, and prohibiting it means cutting off its high-end chips, right? As a result, Huawei has now made 7 nanometers on its own. No matter what, it was made by itself. The United States has not figured out what to do until now . Is this right? If you don’t sanction Huawei, Huawei may return this 7 nanometer. Today, we basically rely on the US supply chain. The US still makes money. The problem becomes that you have no money from the US . Mainland China’s technology has also improved this technology. Sanctions are currently facing this problem , and some products, such as TikTok, will cause social confrontation within the United States. For example, TikTok has 170 million users in the United States , and millions of them rely on TikTok to make a living. Small and medium-sized enterprises , if you ban TikTok, how do these people make money? With 7 million people, TikTok says that they are small and medium-sized enterprises. Of course, there are self-employed people. The problem is that if you pin TikTok today, which one in the United States , Trump, is good, you will be cheaper. So what if FB is cheaper for you, but 7 million people in the United States are about to lose their jobs, so the United States is basically harming others and not benefiting itself, and it is even more detrimental to self than harming others. So if the United States does not If we do a comprehensive review and step back from the brink , I think the United States will become more and more chaotic. I think the United States has now become an Israeli colony. You know this time, the American people and students protested like this. But you see the United States from President Biden to The House of Representatives from both parties are completely 100% supportive of Israel, right? Biden was interviewed that day, and the students had caused such a disturbance . If the presidents of the universities said that they would not suppress it or ask the police to suppress it, the presidents would all be fired, and then Biden would He said something that day and said that although he was in favor of peaceful demonstrations , he was firmly opposed to the use of violence. He just couldn't make it clear that he supported Israel. As a reporter, I continued to ask him whether these student protests would affect you. Regarding the follow-up decision-making results of Israel, if he doesn't say a word , he will not represent Biden. Why would Biden be so determined to say this? Because he has seen the polls, because I believe what the United States says. Many people still support Israel. This time, you see that all the members of the Republican and Democratic parties still support Israel. So no one sympathizes with Palestine. Why is Israel and the United States so supportive of Israel now? I think there is only one reason. That is, the Jews in the United States control all finance and all the economy. If they control these finances, they can provide political donations to these congressmen , so these congressmen become a kind of mouthpiece for the Israeli Jews. Not only do they control the United States' finances , they even He has almost completely controlled the U.S. economy and even the U.S. military and campuses. With this kind of speech being controlled by Israel, I think Rafael is the reason why Netanyahu is like this this time. He has the confidence to insist on attacking the whole world. I want to say that there is nothing we can do against him. I would like to mention in particular that the United States recently passed a bill called Anti-Semitism. When you hear it , the House of Representatives passed a bill called Anti-Semitism. When you hear it, you think it is incredible. How can there be such a bill ? One is that you cannot criticize Israel, you cannot criticize Zionism, and even criticism is illegal. What is more serious is that even the Bible says that the Jews sent Jesus to the cross. Now it has changed in the United States. Is the bill so serious ? Now that the House of Representatives has passed the plan passed by the House of Representatives, will the Senate or the President sign the concept of the American version of the anti-infiltration law? Yes. So in addition, I think TikTok is also too exaggerated. First of all, let’s introduce this In this section, the first guest who joins us to discuss international and domestic issues is Guo Zhengliang, a PhD in political science from Yale. Brother, everyone is safe. Former Ambassador to New Zealand, Jie Wen, Ji Wen. Hello, dear friends. Hello, retired Major General Li Zhengjie, General Qianqiu. Dear viewers, let's take a look at the cross-strait relations. 520 is coming soon. This speech will attract everyone's attention. We will know what the conversation will be like. But now, the relationship between Jinxia and Xiamen is still tense for Taiwan . The Xiamen section of the Jinxia-Xiamen Bridge is still tense. Now 80% of the sea trestle has been completed , but this channel alone is the so-called sea trestle construction progress Liu Wudian main channel. Now the trestle construction and offshore construction platforms set up in this sea area have begun to be completed. In other words, in the future, on the mainland, this area The control of the sea area has long been deprived of any restricted sea areas. How can you travel in the relevant sea areas ? Now even this waterway may be a condition for the subsequent sea construction. Will the mainland continue to press forward? This is based on the public account Yuyuan Tan Tianta . Analysts believe that the mainland has stepped up its enforcement efforts from coast guard ships and then extended its range to a similar level. The only signal sent by the mainland's step-by-step advance on the sea is to break the ban set by Taiwan. The purpose is to be the next Liu. After the Wudian Channel is dredged and widened, it will be used by Xiamen Port. When Xiamen Port is used by Xiamen Port , what can we do about the impact on the waters near Kinmen, Taiwan ? Can we only cooperate with it? Or what can our government do? The Fujian Coast Guard law enforcement scene revealed that the Golden Gate Bridge is clearly visible. It is only 3.8 nautical miles away from the Big Kinmen and the Little Kinmen. So at the same time, what we can see is that mainland Fujian has officially entered the fishing moratorium. Even if it has passed. During the fishing moratorium , there will still be some occasional boats , but not anymore. Now there is not a single small boat crossing the border. Is there any information in the report of Matsu Daily ? In particular, is there any crisis between the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea? Expert analysis from the mainland. It is believed that this exercise between China and Russia in the Taiwan Strait is very important. It is worth observing that the United States has regarded China and Russia as strategic rivals and did not hesitate to fight on two fronts. Therefore, it was also found that the US fleet appeared near the Kuril Islands and at this location in Alaska. There are Russian military planes approaching this area. Bombers and fighter planes flew here on May 2. Therefore, both sides have their own capabilities to show off their strength, regardless of sea or air . The US military analysis believes that four Russian military aircraft entered the Alaska Air Defense Identification Zone. It is necessary for the fighter jet to remain in the international airspace. It has not entered the airspace , so we don’t need to worry about it for the time being. It can still operate in the limited waterway without intrusion and does not pose a threat to it. However, after the new US Indo-Pacific commander took office, he directly named mainland China’s military presence in the Indo-Pacific region. The so-called intrusive and expansionist actions are beyond the gray area . Is this still a gray area so far ? Or is it already intolerable to the US? Of course, it depends on further actions. Various exercises or various deployments have shown that the US military has no To endure or to push further. For example , the US-Australia military exercise on Fibadan Island, which is less than 200 kilometers away from Taiwan , is to prevent conflicts in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea . The US military and the US military media reported that the US, Philippines and Australia were on the 5th south of Taiwan. This island is conducting exercises just to carry out missions or even deploy medium-range missiles in the Philippines. This incident has a great impact , rekindling the balance of terror between the United States, the Philippines, the United States and the Soviet Union at the forefront of missile allies during the Cold War. This phenomenon has now come again , including South Korea and Japan. Can these long-range missiles in North Korea become a dangerous missile zone and an explosive depot that can explode at any time? Well, let’s take a look at Vietnam. Vietnam has been purchasing large amounts of arms from Russia for a long time. Recently, there have been some changes. Instead of buying from Russia, who should it buy from? Have you bought the K9 self-propelled cannon, which is said to be relatively durable and cheap? The South China Morning Post reported that Beijing is worried that this shows that Hanoi is willing to equip U.S. allies with combat capabilities that can counter China. In other words, there is more Vietnam in the anti-China team. Then ? Of course, this mutual flexing of muscles and mutual rejection of each other in the military has already smelled all kinds of unusual smells from the waters of Kinmen. Brother Liang, of course, we will also observe the evolution before 520. Don’t let any misfire occur. We, General Li, are The commander of Little Kinmen will ask him to say more about this later. However, the Liuwudian Waterway was historically the international waterway for Xiamen. In fact, it is now going around in a circle to Lantau because he is now frankly speaking. We have troops on both sides between Xiaojinmen and Daerbang , so it's a bit awkward. But let me tell you, this channel is full width. I have read a piece of information that it can allow two container ships to pass towards each other, so for Xiamen, it is If it is announced that the international waterway will be operated by the outside world , then international ships will come, so our military ships or coast guard ships will be very embarrassed. Because then you will see international merchant ships and international container ships passing directly through. So what should you do? So there is no way. What should I do? So I said that Lai Qingde should be mentally prepared. I think this will happen because in the past, it was a circle that went around. Frankly speaking, it was not a tacit understanding, but a matter of strength. Later, because Ma Ying-jeou came to power , he never dealt with it , but now he has caught the Kinmen collision. Since you have handled the incident like this, I will handle it all in a business -like manner. I think he will not give up on this. Now he has not received it in the Kinmen Sea area. It is now under the direct jurisdiction of the Fujian Coast Guard , so he recently came out. There are 4 coast guard ships cruising in formation and the broadcasts are in Mandarin and Hokkien. So this situation is very obvious and difficult to deal with. But frankly speaking, as far as fishing grounds are concerned, a friend reminded me yesterday that Matsu is still a big fishing ground . It is still a small fishing ground , but the fishing season in Kinmen is coming soon. The fishing season in Xiamen should be around June. There will be a lot of fishing boats coming out to fish in Xiamen . Frankly speaking, it is also the first month after Lai Qingde took office, so he really has a lot of challenges. So I say that Lai Qingde should control his speeches in the Legislative Yuan caucus so as not to cause unnecessary distrust. In addition , I think there will be more and more joint exercises between China and Russia in the future . However, what we saw last year were all aimed at Japan and from Japan. The sea then goes north to the line of Alaska. In the future, it may even cross the Bering Strait to the Arctic Passage. Because the mainland also wants to enter , we don’t know whether it will go south, because for Russia, of course it is There is no problem. And because the Black Sea Fleet and the Baltic Fleet are now blocked, he will definitely do his best to develop the Pacific Fleet. The Pacific Fleet cannot all go in the direction of the East China Sea and the Bering Sea. It has to go down from time to time, right. And frankly speaking, he has a very good relationship with Vietnam. So I will definitely think of stopping in Da Nang, Vietnam , because Da Nang used to be used by the former Soviet Union. Don’t forget it . So I think it will come down sooner or later. What does it mean to Taiwan? Frankly speaking, if Russia, Russia is clearly supporting China because it It is equivalent to this exchange of core interests between major powers. I support your core interests , and you also support mine. Therefore, he supports Beijing's unification of Taiwan, so after his intervention, I think it will make it very difficult for Japan to intervene in the Taiwan Strait. Because he is right behind Japan , it is like a mantis stalking a cicada or an oriole behind it , so it will make Japan feel that there is something behind it . It is cool, so it will be inconvenient to make movements . So , I think this situation is difficult to reverse. I think he He will definitely buy combat ships from China because his shipyard is in Ukraine , so he currently has no shipbuilding capabilities , so the fastest way to replenish his combat ships is to buy them from China. If China is willing to sell them, both parties must have some military technology. For example , Russia is very progressive in terms of strategic nuclear submarines , so I think something will happen in the future . As for the medium-range missiles, you have also seen that the United States is taking action. It directly builds medium-range missiles in the Philippines . These medium-range missiles are currently aimed at mainland China. But if it is deployed further north, it will still be Russia . So Russia will also stand with China on this issue . Indeed, especially in the Kinmen area, the current waterway is re- affecting what we can do and what we can do. How to do it ? In fact, this was originally a piece of the king's new clothes , but it was punctured by Guan Biling herself. Speaking from the past, the Liuwudian Channel was actually the best channel. I remember that there was a stone on Bold Island that said " turn back and you will find the shore ". Why? It’s safe to write back because many people in Xiamen who want to immigrate to Nanyang will pass through Dadang Island and take the Liuwudian channel. At that time, the stone reminds them that if you go to Nanyang, you may not be able to come back in this life . Do you want to look back? I remember that the stone tablet says "turn back is the shore" , which is for fishing boats and immigrants' boats. So from this we can witness that the Liuwudian Channel is the best waterway to enter Xiamen for a long time . Because there is a tacit understanding between the two sides of the strait, they go from Lantau next to Lantau, which is an island controlled by the Mainland People's Liberation Army. They can't go up from there, but they can't go up from Liuwudian Waterway. Now that you have done this, I It's blatantly an international waterway , so I started using it. In fact, have they ever been to the Liuwudian waterway before ? To be honest, I often say hello to them there, right? Why ? Because when their fishing boats come out, they are like Brother Liang just now. As soon as the fishing season comes out, you know where all the boats are. Wherever there are fish, they go to catch fish. As for fishermen, they don’t care whether you have navigation or not, or whether there are international conventions or not. Then what do they think about us? It's harmless to him. We think he's harmless and no threat to them. They're just some hard-working fishermen who come out to catch fish. He's on the entire ocean. You know when he comes out , there are thousands of fishing boats. How can you drive them away? I don’t have the ability to drive me, so I have to boldly go to those islands, so I often shuttle among their fishing boats and use our Sea Dragon speedboat to shuttle back and forth. So the two sides have this kind of tacit understanding in the past . We all get along very well . In fact, if the Jinxia Bridge is to be built, I remember that Shi Mingde mentioned the Jinxia Troops withdrawal theory before. Is it right? Ke Wenzhe also talked about building the Jinxia Bridge . In fact, I personally agree very much , although everyone may think You are a soldier and the commander of this little Kinmen. Why do you still agree to build the Jinxia Bridge ? It’s because I know Kinmen too well. Communication has long been normal in Kinmen. Now there are troops stationed in Kinmen. I tell you, it’s the ears of the hearing-impaired. You know it’s for decoration. Right, these 5,000 officers and soldiers are in that place . In terms of combat, Kinmen has no military strategic value. You might as well withdraw these 5,000 officers and soldiers to Taiwan . Then Taiwan will have 5,000 more officers and soldiers to defend Taiwan. If this island says that the CCP wants to invade Taiwan, it will go around Kinmen, and it will not attack you in Kinmen. So under this situation, I think that in terms of military deployment of 5,000 officers and soldiers, you are wasting 5,000 troops on Kinmen Island. You might as well take back these 5,000 troops and let the people of Kinmen and Xiamen live in a daily life. Every day, I watch them take the small three-way boat to go over there. This girl goes there to get her hair done and then comes back to go over there. Buy some daily necessities and then come back . They are already living together, so why don't they just go to see a doctor? They always say in good conscience that medical treatment in Xiamen is more convenient than Kinmen. If there is an emergency and Kinmen can't handle it, they will come. If you want to go to Taiwan for medical treatment in Xiamen, you have to take a helicopter , which is farther and more time-consuming. I think from the perspective of the people of Kinmen, you should just agree to build the Jinxia Bridge. In fact , the people of Kinmen will be more grateful to you, the Taiwanese government . It really takes care of people's livelihood . There is the Jinxia Bridge. In terms of Kinmen, water and electricity are now used. Since they all use electricity from Xiamen, why not let them build the Jinxia Bridge? I suggest that from a practical point of view, we should admit this reality , withdraw the Kinmen officers and soldiers to Taiwan, and then let Taiwan have the strength of 5,000 more officers and soldiers. Your 5,000 officers and soldiers are equal to the strength of a brigade, which is really helpful to Taiwan's defense operations , rather than just being there to look good. So if the Liuwudian Channel is really open, it will probably be the same as the current situation. Didn’t you see it? It’s natural and there’s no need to pretend that you didn’t see it . International waterways are open to everyone and it’s fine. There’s nothing you can do about it. It just happened naturally. It’s true that the ambassador ’s various acts of denial in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea are now felt to be between the United States and China. Confrontation is creating risks . Otherwise, if there is free trade and navigation as the general said , of course there will be no problem. In fact, before the Russia-Ukraine war started, it was actually because the United States continued to expand NATO eastward and all the way to the Russian border. In fact, under the leadership of Putin , after his economy got a foothold, he actually started to modernize his armaments in a step-by-step manner about 10 years ago . At the end of last year, in fact, Russia had a ship called the Boreas . It is a nuclear strategic submarine that launches intercontinental ballistic missiles under the sea. It has nuclear warheads and another intercontinental ballistic missile has been launched. In fact, this is Russia’s long-term restoration of nuclear strike force under Putin’s leadership . It is a very important part of Russia’s nuclear strike force. You know this north? How many tons does this nuclear strategic submarine have? It has 24,000 tons. It is a giant-class nuclear strategic submarine. So today we are talking about the Bering Sea. This is a problem on the water surface. In fact, the United States occupies the water surface. The advantage is that Russia's nuclear strike capability is very, very powerful under the water . A few years ago, it was developing a nuclear mine. This mine is underground and can travel quickly under the sea surface. It is equipped with a nuclear warhead called Poseidon. It means Poseidon. So in fact, the arms race between Russia and the United States was already going on in large quantities before the start of the Russo-Ukrainian war . And today we can see from the map that if Russia wants to attack the United States, whether it is traditional weapons or nuclear weapons, the shortest distance is from Flying over the North Pole , so in fact, the nuclear armament of the Arctic was already very intense during the Cold War of the last century. In fact, when Russia restored its military armament, its deployment in the Arctic sea had almost returned to the level it had during the Cold War. The strength it had before is so in fact, why is the United States now, no matter who it is, the Indo-Pacific Commander and the Secretary of Defense are sounding the alarm every day ? The world is becoming more and more dangerous. In fact, the biggest problem is that relatively speaking, the military superiority of the United States , especially after the Cold War, The military superiority of Russia and mainland China is declining rapidly. It is not that the United States has not made progress , but that the United States still maintains its previous level of combat power. However, in comparison, Russia and mainland China , whether in the Arctic or the North Pacific , There is the first island chain of the United States and the second island chain . From the perspective of the United States, these are all under great pressure. So what was the United States' strategy in the past? It can fight two world wars at any time. But now, there are two regional wars. One of the wars that the United States has not directly participated in is the Russia-Ukraine war, and the other is the Israeli-Palestinian war. The United States is already on the verge of a war in its own country. So I think the world is changing rapidly. The most important thing about the change is the relative nature of it. The United States' relative military superiority in the world is rapidly declining. When Captain America has no way to overwhelm victory in terms of military power , of course he will hold on and take a rest. He will come back soon.
