[SUB]美GPS末日到了?日本韓國遭難了? 新聞大白話@tvbstalk 20240217 (字幕版)

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After we read about the relationship between the United States, China and Taiwan, let’s look at how the relationship between mainland China and the United States will progress. Now we are talking about China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi. He met with the US Secretary of State Blinken. What did he talk about? He said that instead of de-risking, he should go to China to build this small courtyard with high walls and decouple from China. In the end, the United States will come back to him . He finally said a slang saying: Don’t do evil for small things, don’t do good for small things to warn the United States. Wang Yi also met with Foreign Secretary Cameron of the United Kingdom. He said that differences and conflicts must be properly handled to push Sino-British relations back to the right track. He said that both sides should work together to expand the intersection of interests and strengthen exchanges and cooperation. Cooperation and proper handling of differences and conflicts have pushed China-UK relations back to the right track of soundness and stability. Cameron actually responded positively, saying that the UK is willing to view UK-China relations from a strategic perspective and develop a more constructive bilateral relationship with China. Relations should be based on mutual respect to manage differences and solve problems between the two sides . When talking about Blinken's meeting, Wang Yi was also concerned about whether China supports Russia's defense industry. He also emphasized the stability of peace in the Taiwan Strait and Blinken's support for China. Russia expressed concern about the war in Ukraine , including its support for Russia's defense industrial base . The two sides also exchanged views on the situation in the Middle East and the Korean Peninsula and confirmed that high-level officials from the two countries would meet and follow up on these issues. Another section talked about the situation in Russia and Ukraine. Now Ukraine has announced that it has The main reason for the withdrawal of troops from Avdivka, the important city of Ukraine, is also because the Ukrainian military also announced that it will withdraw its troops from the main strategic town of Avdivka because it has been under siege by the so-called Russian army for several months. The statement of the National Security Council of the United States Kirby said that Russia was sending wave after wave of troops to attack, which also put Avdievka at risk of being controlled by Russia. In addition, Putin also announced that he would visit North Korea and the Russian ambassador announced that he would sign a What do you say about a series of very good agreements ? He said this is a very good agreement. A series of signings. This agreement will be signed when President Putin visits North Korea. Now it is not only the visit to North Korea, but also includes the opportunity to visit mainland China. China The ambassador to Russia also confirmed that the Sino-Russian camp will be strengthened to fight against the West. He said that Putin will visit China this year and have multiple meetings with Chinese President Xi Jinping to strengthen the Sino-Russian camp to fight against Western forces. In another part, he talked about It is this Putin’s number one political enemy, Navalny, who is now rumored to have died suddenly. The video of him in prison before his death also showed such a laughing scene. Now it has also been revealed that he is the leader of the Russian opposition, Navalny, who died suddenly. The news caused an uproar in the international community. But not long ago, he communicated with the outside world via video chat from prison and joked about himself . He seemed to be in high spirits . Now, the sudden news of his death has made the outside world wonder whether there are some conspiracy theories behind it . Because Navalny is in On the afternoon of February 16th, he was reported to be feeling unwell while walking and then lost consciousness. He was still pronounced dead despite the treatment of medical staff. Now the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson said that this matter has not yet been tested by law , but the West’s conclusions are ready to accuse. Russia 's intention to murder Navalny is self-evident. Now, the latest intelligence from the United States also points out that Russia has the ability to deploy anti-satellite nuclear weapons systems in space . The latest intelligence from the United States points out that Russia now has the ability to deploy anti-satellite weapons in space. The nuclear weapons system has been briefed to Congress and key U.S. allies. Many members of Congress present emphasized that although the intelligence is worrying , it does not pose an immediate threat to the United States or other interests . The problem is that the United States has not yet counterattacked or defended any Is the so-called space attack also a coincidence? Just after Russia announced such an anti-satellite weapon, the Pentagon's missile tracking system was also sent to low orbit. The U.S. Department of Defense is testing the tracking trajectory of new missiles to spread warriors into space. Does the architecture of sending a prototype into a low-orbit orbit also highlight the so-called United States' worries about Russia and China's capabilities in the space field? It is working hard to protect communications and monitor global positioning systems. Come back, let me ask Brother Liang what he thinks of this time. Did the meeting between Yi and Blinken and the meeting with Cameron bring some messages of goodwill from both sides ? I think China and the United States and China and the United Kingdom are just polite and have no substance. Progress is because Cameron is only the foreign minister. Now the entire British cabinet is full of anti-China ministers , including Sunak himself, so it is really not easy to make a big breakthrough. Although Cameron was very friendly with China when he was prime minister, he was still very friendly. It's said to be the golden age , but it's been a long time, it's been 8 years, so it's been a long time, so I don't think it's easy to make progress. As for the following problems, they are very substantial , and there is a lot of room for the development of future conflicts. In fact, the first one is that Avdivka may be about to fall. According to my understanding, the Russian army has assembled 40,000 troops to go in. They probably want to help Putin with the election because Putin is going to vote in March , so he wants to suppress the city . It has important strategic significance and is indicative. It has probably consolidated Donetsk, which is the entire Wudong region, and Wunan, which is its equivalent. It is currently roughly similar. For example, there are several places in Bamut, Mariupol, and several strategies. This city is probably the last one. It was defeated by Russia . What will be the consequences of defeating it? It means that after that, it will be flat. If Russia wants to attack further , it basically does not have a strong strategic defense. You don’t know it. Where are we going to hit? This will cause a big trouble for Ukraine. Do you want to negotiate? If you don't negotiate, they may attack at will. For example, attack Kharkov and then attack somewhere else , and then use the newly occupied land as a bargaining chip to ask whether you want to accept it. In fact, many countries have engaged in this strategy on the previous border , so I think I don’t know how NATO will face this new situation. Currently, I only see money being given all the time. For example, for a meeting between Ukraine and Germany and France, France wants to give Germany 3 billion euros. You need to give 7 billion euros , but what is the use of this ? Because what you need is armaments. What you need is manpower. How to do this situation and assemble it for a major counterattack ? In addition, the news you just mentioned at the end is actually a very serious matter . I don’t know now. His anti-satellite nuclear weapons system, which we are talking about, might be offensive and not just defensive, right? Now what the United States is worried about is whether it can destroy its GPS. If this is the case, it will be a serious matter. So I will tell you the facts. According to my understanding, it is because Avdivka is about to fall and Russia has announced its anti-satellite nuclear weapons system , so the United States is eager to meet with Russia. The United States is always like this. When the United States needs it or it feels that it is beyond its capabilities, it wants to meet you. The meeting was like that Sullivan who suddenly wanted to meet Wang Yi because he had no way to deal with the Red Sea. So let me tell you that the most serious things in the world now are actually this type . For example, the United States is eager to meet with representatives of China in order to deal with the Red Sea. So relatively speaking, Wang Yi kept talking to him about the Taiwan issue, so Lai Qingde is on pins and needles now because you don’t know where they are talking about. Russia, which is also Avdievka, will then continue to develop its anti-satellite nuclear weapons system. Going forward, the United States wants to know what is going on, so I think the current international situation is a bit unfavorable to the United States. At least it has no way to deal with these two things . General Shuai, what do you think? Because Avdievka is going down. Another attack will completely cut off Wunan and Wudong, and the supply of Crimea will be interrupted , so this is a strategic goal of its spring offensive. If you evacuate the strategic goal from the strategic goal , it means that your entire operation has failed , so Russia will take it back soon . We see that if your goal is not achieved , it means that the mission has failed. After failure , the following is Russia's progress. Therefore, we have to look at his purpose of fighting Avdivka, Zelensky's purpose and his. The second one failed, Wang Yi and Blinken spent eight hours together, and I admire them for what they could talk about. What was announced was the same old tune, right? Good is small, evil is small, that is, you talked to me and used tricks. What's there to talk about if you stick a knife in the back ? The second thing I'll tell you is that it's fruitless. Why can Blinken fully represent Biden? Can you represent Trump in 11 months? So you are not representative at this time, right ? Your uncertainty, what is the significance of this negotiation? It's just superficial. It's just repeating the same old tune. At most, we can talk about the issue of Red Sea control and shipping safety. These details are nothing. I don't think there will be any major breakthrough. In addition, if the leader of the opposition party dies in prison, no one can guarantee him. Because he is the target of Western attention, you have to live a long life. This is a very good subject when we talk about cognitive warfare , so we talk about this issue. But now China, Russia, China, the United States and the United States A new battlefield for Russia now is in space , because the war in Ukraine proved the value of Starlink in terms of intelligence. The second country now has the ability to modify the sent satellites into an orbital nuclear bomb , which is very troublesome . It flies over you every 4 hours and 3 hours and you can't tell whether it wants to hit you or not . Suddenly an order comes out and you don't have time to intercept. So this thing becomes a competition between the two sides . You see, China's strongest point is its leapfrog change. Supersonic missiles in orbit are playing this game near the atmosphere and low orbit in space. When the second time reaches middle space, there is no air resistance. Can this satellite orbit for many days? If it contains information and attacks In terms of weapons, this is a very scary battlefield in the future , because the Achilles hangs above your head, and when the satellite passes over your head, it can come down, which is very scary. So this problem is based on ground tradition. You see, tanks, airplanes, and cannons have all been used. It is almost obsolete. This is a new place of competition. So why are we doing it on chips ? This is the type of future warfare. So why are we doing it on missiles ? So here you are very soon. Now in mainland China, the navy now uses lasers. Why is this microwave the most powerful Tomahawk missile in the United States ? It flies close to the ground and flies close to the sea. I can intercept your high-altitude missiles because they are coming towards you. In the past, they relied on phalanx cannons to create a barrage. Now that is not enough. There are also drones , so weapons such as microwaves and lasers are coming out in the future. So we are watching World War I in our imagination. The 20-hole 16-inch cannon on the Missouri ship. That era has long passed . Professor Wu, what do you think? In fact, Wang Yijian Blinken, we can only roughly guess from his speech what they said or what they wanted to express. But basically, the diplomatic summit is probably about some major policies of the United States and China. We see that the major policies of the United States and China are on trade and technology, which they want to avoid. Although it is already bad enough , we hope it will ease a little in 2018. For us, from the ban on SMIC and Huawei in 2018 to the US Science and Chip Act in 2022 and 2023, the United States has been imposing Yangtze River storage restrictions on Shanghai. China has also retaliated against Micron and Intel, so the two of them interact with each other in technology. That's why last year Raimondo and Wang Wentao discussed and agreed that we should set up a vice-ministers' meeting twice a year to try to avoid mutual bans and boycotts on trade without reason. The problem is that after these talks, they still talk to each other. The old way of cooperation is because Americans say that technology is our top priority. We just don’t want China to overtake in technology. So we talk to talk, and ban to ban . Then they will talk to you when these two diplomatic leaders are discussing. Let's agree that we are in trouble in this regard. Do n't have high walls in small courtyards. Don't sanction us again. Wang Yi still wants to reiterate that if you want to cooperate , trouble is in the place of cooperation. We have started to talk about cooperation. Our relationship has not reached that situation yet. The question is why this announcement was made. Lincoln wants to meet and discuss again because global geopolitics is currently a big challenge for the Biden administration's renewal. The war in Ukraine will soon be another two years and has not seen the light of day , and it has become a Protracted conflict for us. When talking about a protracted war, it becomes a protracted war, which is not good for Ukraine, Zelensky, or Biden’s so-called Democratic Alliance. He has already lost another 60 billion US dollars in total. It is 170 billion US dollars to support Ukraine. It will become a phenomenon that the Biden administration will be stretched thin in the next election. There is a shadow of China behind Ukraine. He hopes that China will make clear your position on the conflict between Israel and Kazakhstan in the Middle East . Although Iran is the suzerain country behind and is conducting a proxy war. For us , there is Hezbollah in Lebanon, the so-called rebels in the Red Sea , and then Hamas. Together, they are an axis of resistance. But behind the axis of resistance, in addition to Iran, China also plays a very important role, right? China also helps Saudi Arabia resume diplomatic relations with Iran, so China also plays a very important role. If it is a geopolitical conflict, China can play an important geopolitical role. When Wang Yi met with Blinken, it was very important. Blinken has been very busy in the past few months. He goes to the Middle East every month. I can’t count. I heard that he went to the Middle East 9 times . He went so many times and even went to China in between. Let’s stabilize this and talk to China. So the representative said that he attaches great importance to China’s diplomatic role and role in geopolitical conflicts. The most important thing is that he hopes that you will not connect them all together. North Korea, Iran, Russia, and China, you should not be connected together. If you are connected together, When we are angry , it is the biggest challenge to the so-called democratic alliance led by the United States. This is a big trouble for Biden's future elections. So I think what we are looking at in diplomacy is the tip of the iceberg. We all see it. It's on top of the iceberg , but underneath it's a tangled mess with very deep waters . So when we study Biden's entire diplomatic strategy, there's a lot to see. But overall, his current diplomatic strategy , especially in geopolitical conflicts, loses too many points. As a result, his polls are very low. He only has an approval rating of 38.9% on FiveThirtyEight . This is good for Trump . He cannot win against Trump. After reading the situation between China and the United States, let’s look at the situation in Japan. The situation in Japan seems to be It’s not very good. How can we say that Japan has lost to Germany and has become the fourth largest economy? Now that foreign media have exposed four cruel tests , I am afraid that Japan’s economy will regress again. How can we say that Japan’s GDP shrank in the fourth quarter of last year ? By 0.48% lower than economists predicted, the throne of the world's third largest economy has now been ceded to Germany and the United Kingdom . Now the Guardian also analyzed that Japan's current problem is that it faces an aging population, a lack of labor, and even a weak yen . There are many challenges such as economic contraction , but the problem has returned. Now that Germany has surpassed Japan, Germany seems not very happy now. Why is Nikkei now analyzing that Japan has given up its second place after the United States to China in 2010 ? Now it has reached the third place. This was news in 2010 , but it is realistic that Japan is frustrated because the main reason for this conflict is that the inflation in Europe is much higher, which makes Germany's GDP also expand. Then Germany and Japan The two major exporting countries have benefited greatly from China's rise with their dense industrial structures. They are now suffering from China's economic slowdown , geopolitical tensions and energy costs that have also weakened competitiveness. Now we see Japan starting to decline. After that, did North Korea also start to take advantage of the opportunity? The Kim Jong-un brother and sister are now extending an olive branch and trying to seal the South with Japan . Of course, it is South Korea to disrupt the alliance between the United States, Japan and South Korea . Now Kim Yo-jong hinted that Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida visited Experts also analyze the possibility of Pyongyang. The timing is not a coincidence. Kim Yo Jong said that the two countries can create a new future . Japan also responded that it has paid attention to the possibility of North Korea raising the possibility of a visit by the Japanese Prime Minister. Kim Yo Jong said this. The two countries can take the direction of jointly creating a new future, but this depends on Japan's actions , including not making an issue of the issue of North Korea's abduction of Japanese citizens in the 1970s and 1980s . Then there is no reason for the two countries not to get closer to the Japanese Prime Minister's visit to Pyongyang. The day may also come when the U.S. State Department The official responsible for North Korea's affairs expressed his support for all diplomatic dialogues between North Korea and his strong support for the Japanese government 's efforts to solve the abduction issue. But now that the problem has returned, it is the South Korean part that is embarrassing. Is there something wrong with Yin Xiyue's diplomacy now ? The problem is that he declined to visit Europe for the first time during his term , which has now led to speculation because we know that the original president of South Korea did not say that Yoon Seok-yue was scheduled to visit Germany and Denmark on the 18th of this month , but the timetable for the visit has not yet been determined. So, the Democratic Party of Korea, the largest opposition party in South Korea , criticized Yun Xiyue, saying that this is not only a diplomatic failure but also undermines the prestige and dignity of the country. Now South Korea's National Daily said that usually the president's wife will be invited to the state visit , but this time Yin Xiyue’s wife, Kim Jianxi , disappeared in public after her visit to the Netherlands in December last year. The possibility of Yin Xiyue’s postponement of her visit may be closely related to whether Kim Jianxi will accompany her. Japanese media also reported that Japanese and Korean leaders will meet on March 20 to watch the Los Angeles Dodgers together. Why did the Japanese Prime Minister go to the opening game in South Korea? Frankly speaking , it was because of Shohei Ohtani's case , because Shohei Ohtani represents the Los Angeles Dodgers and will now go to South Korea to participate in the game. Japanese and Korean diplomats also revealed that Fumio Kishida is evaluating I will visit South Korea on March 20 to hold talks with Yoon Seok-yue. We may watch the opening game between the Dodgers and Padres in the Major League . North Korea is now sneaking into Japan to cause the current situation. And everyone has also seen that South Korea itself is actually full of problems and is currently working overtime. It has also become one of the major reasons for their people's livelihood problems . Now doctors from the seven major hospitals in Seoul, South Korea, have collectively resigned, mainly because of the uneven distribution of medical resources and the influx of patients from other counties and cities . Doctors have to work overtime . It became the largest strike in 19 years, with an estimated 45,000 people taking to the streets. Residents and interns at seven major hospitals in Seoul have handed in their resignations , fearing that the medical system will be paralyzed. On the other hand, Yoon Seok-yue was attacked while attending the graduation ceremony of this prestigious school. As a result of the protest , students were dragged away by secret service agents, covering their mouths . Frankly speaking, it seems to be very familiar in Taiwan. Yin Xiyue also delivered a congratulatory message when attending the degree awarding ceremony of the National Institute of Science and Technology of Korea. Unexpectedly, One of the graduates protested loudly and asked the government to restore the budget for scientific research and experimental development that had been abolished. When the police officers covered his mouth, he was directly carried out of the venue. When he came back, he first asked Brother Liang if the current economic situation in Japan is the same. It has started to slowly decline. In fact, it is mainly because of the depreciation of the Japanese currency and the inflation in Germany, so it rises and then falls, causing this result. So I think Germany is not happy to see such figures because the German economy is really very poor. Well, Germany's economic growth rate this year may be close to 0. No wonder it's not happy . There have been several articles recently about the fact that Germany and China's manufacturing industries have entered a state of competition. There are several industries , such as the automobile industry, that China has begun to catch up with. Then He continues to invest in large Chinese companies and has been outflowing. Last year’s figure of 12 billion US dollars invested in China was just announced . They were all large companies , which is exactly the opposite of small and medium-sized enterprises in Germany. So in Germany, the main reason now is because its Beixi was bombed, so energy costs have increased significantly . The entire manufacturing cost has become higher, so we have to find a way out. But I think Northeast Asia is really worth noting. Frankly speaking, I think the origin of the contradiction is Yin Xiyue , because after Yin Xiyue visited Washington , he made a Washington Declaration , and then he went further and further. He also said that inviting American strategic nuclear submarines is a taboo. In fact, you are not only offending North Korea, but also China and Russia. I don’t know what he is going to do. He just thinks that North Korea has nuclear weapons and I don’t. I am uneasy , but this is not such a solution. He originally asked the United States to come to our territory to install intermediate-range nuclear bombs in a whimsical way. This is simply impossible. This is more serious than the Cuban crisis. So, because of this situation, he had a problem with North Korea. The serious hostility is that he actually made the first move. He changed the name of North Korea to the enemy Kim Jong-un. After about a year and four months, he followed up. As you know, Kim Jong- un’s approach was more intense. So now it has become South and North Korea. I don’t know what to do. But what Yin Xiyue wants to see is that Putin is going to visit North Korea next month. Yes , and he has already said it. You mentioned in the previous paragraph that there will be a series of very satisfactory results and good news will come out. He has already said so, right ? What good things did the United States give you in South Korea? What did the United States bring Samsung to South Korea to invest in ? This is what you have thought clearly about. Now you are Russia, which is actively integrating with North Korea . Of course, North Korea may provide artillery shells to Russia. Russia and North Korea are very close. This military cooperation is very detrimental to South Korea , and now Kim Jong-un is looking for a breakthrough with Kishida again. Because of Kishida’s poll, I almost fainted when I saw that poll yesterday. His poll was only 16.9% , so he Now I am also looking for a breakthrough , which is to say that I at least ease the threat to Japan from the Korean Peninsula, so I want to go to South Korea to watch baseball. That is the part with South Korea. In fact, Japan and South Korea have no problem because Yin Xiyue is very pro-American , so he has It has solved many conflicts between him and Japan. So what does watching baseball mean? What real problem has been solved? What you are seeing is North Korea. Your opponent, North Korea, is in contact with Japan. Then Putin is going to visit North Korea next month. This is very substantive . What are you doing? Yin Xiyue can't sleep. I don't know what Yin Xiyue is doing, so I go to watch baseball. Is this really my conception of his entire diplomacy ? It's hard for me to understand this. In fact , it's a bit like Little Marcos in the Philippines . You did it for a whole year , from Ren'ai Reef to Scarborough Shoal. What did the Philippines get? But these two people are just hot at one end and hot at the other . He thinks this can solve the problem . In fact No problem has been solved. For example, if American nuclear submarines come to South Korea from time to time, so what, right? What problem have you solved? In the Philippines, you are just expressing your emotions. Then you see the economic and trade cooperation between Vietnam, Indonesia and China around you. There is progress , so this is incomprehensible. Let ’s take a break. Let’s continue the discussion. I would like to ask General Shuai what he thinks about the current situation between North and South Korea. Is there any solution? I think it is very unsolvable and very dangerous. Everyone calls Taiwan the most dangerous one all day long . In fact, I I think the problem between North and South Korea is huge , but the situation in Northeast Asia is more dangerous because everyone knows that Kim Xiaopang will take action and it is difficult to predict, but the problem is not here. The cause of the problem is Yin Xiyue because he saw that North Korea has nuclear bombs and missiles and they don’t stop. The ground was there to test-fire it, so it first asked the United States to deploy American nuclear weapons. The United States is very slippery in South Korea. If I place the missile at your place, it has different meanings than if I send a submarine to it, the submarine will just leave. The missile base is not that fast. If you are withdrawing, you will have to bear the combat mission of this ally. The United States is still unwilling to send troops. Although South Korea has an alliance with it, it is just an image. It is an agreement based on this image. There was a recent exercise and we can see a clue. In order to strengthen South Korea and Japan's resistance to China and Russia, he sent the B52 , but the B52 is an old strategic bomber from World War II . Only when the enemy has no air superiority and all the enemy's air superiority has been destroyed by you, can you launch a strategy. Bombing. Let's take a look at the air battle between the United States and Britain against Germany in World War II. Wasn't it the large B17? It had to be escorted by the fighter jets of the Wildcat squadron . Because if you don't escort, your large bomber will be shot down easily. That tradition. Weapons are easy to shoot down. Now you are facing China's J-20 and Russia's Su Kai. Your B52 is actually using Japan's J15 to escort. Are there no American fighter jets? I think this exercise has no real significance and can only be used in a war. Only after mastering air superiority is almost finished, the B52 can enter. Today, with so many missiles, anti-aircraft missiles and hypersonic fighter jets from China and Russia , this exercise is tantamount to a political show , so the United States did not perform well, but Putin told North Korea to develop nuclear torpedoes. It has also developed various new high-tech weapons. South Korea is now in great trouble. Yin Xiyue is really restless because the enemy's military combat capabilities are getting stronger and stronger. The support from the United States is a bit weak. How to deal with this thing? Therefore, the United States is also politically encouraging South Korea . Japan and the United States jointly exercise . In fact, this exercise is very empty when we see the soldiers. Let ’s take a break. Let’s continue the discussion. Let’s ask Professor Wu what he thinks of Yin Xiyue. When he was elected, he represented the conservative force of South Korea . His National Power Party was in the past. The three political parties came together to form the National Power Party and then let him push him out and use the so-called "At that time, we talked about issues of misogyny, anti-communism, etc. " Then even during the election, he said, " We want Americans." Because he represents conservatives, they believe that in the past, Moon Jae-in or Park Geun-hye’s hedging strategy for the two-sided relationship between the United States and China did not work. We are too tolerant of North Korea , so his strength in conservatives is that we must deal with North Korea. Be tough on China and stop relying so much on China, so we must get rid of the Chinese market. Especially we must remember that during the THAAD crisis, there were 1 million Korean immigrants in China. Originally, there were 1 million Korean immigrants in China, and they gradually moved to 200,000 people . Yin Xiyue seized this opportunity. He did not want to say between the United States and China that we should put our eggs in two baskets and that we should fully rely on the United States and oppose China. This was when Yin Xiyue was running for the election, and his entire situation came out, so after he came to power He is obviously our comprehensive alliance between the United States and South Korea. We need to be close. We have just grasped Biden, the democratic alliance. So they, the United States and South Korea, hit it off. After that , the Americans said that the United States and South Korea can do it. The United States and Japan can do that. The United States, Japan and South Korea need to carry out more trilateral cooperation. Therefore , the United States, Japan, the United States, South Korea, and Japan have conducted so-called shuttle diplomacy. The guest who joined this episode is the first Yale Ph.D. in political science, Guo Zhengliang. Everyone is safe . Retired Lieutenant General Shuai Huamin. Everyone is good. Professor Wu Chonghan of the Department of Foreign Affairs of Zhengzhou University. Hello, everyone. See you in the new In the Congress, we saw that Han Guoyu met with Sun Xiaoya in the past few days , but have you thought about it? In the past few days , including the legislators of the Democratic Progressive Party, some people, including Wang Yichuan and others, even made such pictures. I came to mock Han Kuo-yu for saying he walked on his knees. Unexpectedly, after meeting Sun Xiaoya, everyone talked very happily and sat together and talked and laughed. It completely slapped the DPP’s statement . Even Han Kuo-yu’s congressional debut actually performed very well . I met with Sun Xiaoya behind closed doors for about 50 minutes . During the meeting, Hanguo Yu also presented him with this Spring Festival couplet. It said Long Yao Jiqing and had a signature next to it. Let’s take a look at this scene. Sun Xiaoya was also the first person to meet Hanguo Yu after he was elected as the dean. As the envoy to Taiwan, everyone knows from the picture just now that Han Guoyu He translated Long Yao Jiqing's "Have a good luck" in a very humorous way. The number of likes has reached tens of thousands and the response has been very enthusiastic. This time Sun Xiaoya came to Hanguo Yu to talk secretly. In fact, it seems that there is some purpose behind it. Ambassador Jie Wenji said in shock that he He said that Sun Xiaoya now needs to have a powerful congressional leader to establish a good relationship. He also wants to test Han Guoyu ’s attitude towards legislative supervision and review related to US interests. Now in the past, we have seen some online programs . In fact, I also did some interviews with Sun Xiaoya . This was Mu Yao 4 Super Play . He asked if the United States and Taiwan are allies. She immediately replied, " No. " It’s not that she said that the United States and Taiwan are friends and partners. It seems that the United States is still a bit strict on this bottom line . On the other hand, US Congressman Gallagher reported that he will lead a delegation to visit Taiwan next week. Members of the accompanying delegation also said that the United States We will clearly release a message of support for Taiwan , and we will also meet with Lai Qingde and Han Kuo-yu. Now that we see the news in the Legislative Yuan, all the news belongs to Han Kuo-yu . Of course, the DPP legislators are not willing to be lonely. The DPP legislators , including Fan Yun and others, have initiated When netizens said they refused to let Congress turn into a show, they sarcastically said, " Aren't you the one taking the lead in putting on a show? " Seeing that Fan Yun , Teacher Wan, Huang Jie and others are now trying to form a Congress to fight for the next generation, they are not allowed to connect to the new Congress. It became a political variety show. As a result, netizens angrily said that Fan Yun, the source of all evil, was taking the lead in putting on a show. Another part mentioned Shen Boyang, who said that the defense level must be raised now, and the Investigation Bureau must establish this awareness. The results of the combat research center now say that the defense level must be raised and something like this must be established to counterattack and continue to engage in cognitive operations. But now everyone is talking about the diplomatic part, which now includes the President of Palau. The current letter also revealed that China's inducements are to book all the rooms in Palau in the hope of giving up diplomatic relations with Taiwan. A researcher at a US think tank also posted on the social platform Palau is in urgent need of assistance through the Free Alliance Agreement . This letter actually mentions that China advocates that it hopes Palau will break off diplomatic relations with the United States and also sets out conditions for Palau to abandon diplomatic relations with Taiwan. The letter also mentions that China has already It is proposed that financial aid be used to book all the rooms and support Palau tourism , and even build more private hotels to book more , and even use 20 million U.S. dollars every year to fund the local customer service center covering an area of ​​​​2 acres. Now our news vernacular is also to A travel agency in Taiwan came to verify it and now they say there are still vacancies. However, the legislator of the Democratic Progressive Party has now seen it and said that after the news came out, did they take the opportunity to hype it? He said that this inducement was just like the situation in Honduras at that time. Wu Siyao said that lessons are not far away. On the other hand, after Honduras established diplomatic relations with China, it not only lost 10,000 job opportunities , but also experienced a sharp drop of nearly 15 million U.S. dollars in monetary diplomacy with China . I believe that our allies will stick to democracy and stand together in Taiwan. Now that I’m back, let me first ask Brother Liang what he thinks of this meeting between President Han and Sun Xiaoya. Is this a slap in the face to the expectations of the Democratic Progressive Party ? Sun Xiaoya originally had great expectations for the new political leader . I will definitely visit, especially now that the ruling and opposition parties are co-governing. The Legislative Yuan is also a center of power , so Sun Xiaoya would have come to visit the new president as a routine matter. Moreover, based on the habit of doing intelligence in the United States, he would also observe closely and go directly when he returns. When writing a report , you should include your observations on Han Kuo-yu and include golden sentences. I estimate that there should be political team leaders accompanying you. They will write about Han-Ku Yu and their observations. Tsai Ing -wen of the Democratic Progressive Party will definitely write about them. They have spent all the most important bargaining chips in Taiwan . Will the Kuomintang continue to accept it ? Of course they want to know, for example, whether Laizhu will continue to receive a special budget . Will today’s defense budget of 600 billion change ? It is to maintain the interests of the United States and not be affected . Of course That's right. This is his responsibility . Did he buy a lot of Boeing 28 planes ? This is what he wants. In fact, she is responsible... She is protecting the interests of the United States , so it is her responsibility to understand intelligence and protect the interests of the United States . So I I think there is absolutely no problem with Hanguo- yu. Hanguo-yu is a born diplomat. There is no problem with this. In fact, in the future , what is more important for the Kuomintang will be the energy of the party group to ask questions about politics. So why is Wu Siyao talking about this? Wu Siyao, you Talking about this , will Honduras come back? Do you want to review it ? Tsai Ing- wen lost 10 diplomatic countries, why didn’t any of them come back ? Didn’t you say that they were all deceived? I went to open old accounts and said that the loan financing owed to Taiwan is about NT$14 billion, right? You haven't assisted the government in chasing the debt to Honduras. Now you are right to say that , because the white shrimp exported by Honduras is about NT$100 million. Before the multi-dollar price, Taiwan probably bought nearly half, maybe more than half . Because mainland China is so big, the volume of purchases was also large , so they asked Honduras to lower the price. To keep this down, it is a fact that we buy white shrimp from Honduras at a price higher than the global average , but there are too many substitute countries for this thing. The largest one in South America is Ecuador , so what I mean is this I'm afraid that Wu Siyao, as a legislator of the ruling party, should propose what we can do to deal with it. How do you know that Palau didn't release this document to ask you for money ? Otherwise, why did he release this? I inexplicably released one that said mainland China. What do you think you mean when you say you want to help me build a hotel ? I want money . Think about it. So I said to Palau, frankly, the United States will help you keep it because it has some defense agreements. The United States has this with Palau and the Marshall Islands. This is an agreement , so it is the United States that helps you guard this. It is not a question of money. It is not easy to establish diplomatic relations with China. To be honest, what Wu Siyao should do is to reflect on why Tsai Ing-wen has lost 10 diplomatic countries in 8 years. Isn't this shifting the focus? Will it be ? And why don't you take care of the really dangerous places in the future? Tuvalu, Guatemala, Haiti, do you want to take care of it? It 's a handsome general. What do you think? The first one, Sun Xiaoya, went to see Han Guoyu. Of course, except for exceptions In addition to doing her job, of course she also has to explore the direction of the wind , because the only thing that can affect the interests of the United States is Congress's budget . Today, Taiwanese people also think that the Kaizi arms sales we often buy cannot stand the second one that forces us to buy urban combat, which is very low-end. The weapon is Taiwan and it cannot fulfill the task of protecting Taiwan. If we engage in this kind of war instead, a large number of people , including the military, will be sacrificed. So of course the United States will be worried about this problem . You see, before Trump came to power , he announced to the world that protection fees would increase and this arms sales requirement would be increased. If you don't buy American arms, they will be sent to your home. If you say this, extortion first, then intimidation will come out. So in the future, the Kuomintang will face this in Congress. Will our defense budget be abused ? The interests of the United States are involved. Second, I have been to Palau twice. It is basically a state in the United States. People use U.S. dollars, right? Second , Palau relies on tourism. Mainland China only relies on booking a few houses. Isn’t it a fantasy to cut off diplomatic relations with the United States ? What you said is a lie. Palau, why did the United States take care of World War II for you? Palau is near strategic waters and the United States and Japan are fighting. I saw an American destroyer plane under the water in Palau. In the strategic vision of the United States, Palau is of course his. Mainland China bought it by booking a few rooms for tourism. During the epidemic, the United States also paid subsidies to the residents of Palau to spend money because Palau has no way to produce anything except tourism. There is no way to live by tourism , so this question and this kind of information are all false information. Third, you want to raise your awareness of war. Do you want to add a national security crime to all doubts about the United States? In the name of national security, is it boring ? From a cognitive battle to TikTok, is it right to be banned? So this is a question . Shen Boyang claims that you are still the founder of the Black Bear Army. Please have more knowledge about national defense. Please ask him to prevent Biden from logging into TikTok. Does he have the ability? This lot of news is called Bullshit is called bullshit , including Fan Yun 's statement. I am too lazy to do this. The pictures are too inferior. I tell you that Hanguo Yu's reaction mechanism is first-rate. Among all the politicians, look at him and Wang Shijian . You can tell how quickly this person reacts in the conversation. Will he be fooled by you? Because when ordinary legislators like us are blocked by reporters in the Legislative Yuan, I have to think about what your next question will be and what are you trying to do behind your back. Not to mention Han Kuo-yu, right? So on this issue, the DPP looks down on others’ excellence. It cannot find a few talents to do something decent. I’m not talking about political party differences. Look at the heads of his ministries and committees. I think they have professional capabilities and execution capabilities. It's not enough for crisis management. It's not enough for the fishing boat in the Philippines that was hit. Isn't it right? The Coast Guard has law enforcement. Just take out the video tape and that's it. So for this thing, I think the DPP's response to the crisis is not fast enough. It's the Coast Guard. I made a phone call to talk about why the investigation should not disclose such a critical matter for national security. What does the video tape have to do with the investigation? Immediately remove the hatred of the people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait . So this problem is really true. Although Lai Qingde was elected, I think his internal and external environment is not very smooth. What does Professor Wu think about Sun Xiaoya's arrival? In addition to the message of consolidating U.S. interests , does she bring other messages ? In fact, Sun Xiaoya is a professional diplomat . She is very experienced. She will send congratulatory messages to all politicians who are elected , no matter what. Which county mayor was elected? The congratulatory message was comprehensive . Then she also went to visit this time. In fact, she talked about a very important thing. She went to participate in the Mu Yao 4 Super Play. Tai Zhiyuan asked her if Taiwan and the United States are allies. In fact, according to the Taiwanese view, everyone thinks they should be allies. It would be best to upgrade the Taiwan Relations Act to an international treaty so that I can directly become an ally. The question is, is this the interest of the United States or the core interest of the United States? Has the United States said that it wants to change the status quo from strategic ambiguity to strategic clarity? She said NO She obviously immediately said NO. These so- called Taiwanese people think that the idea of ​​having a clear strategy is why our matter started in 2020. We are in the American think tank Council on Foreign Relations. Their president is named Richard Haas. Not Ryan Haas Ryan Haas is CSIS. Richard Haas wrote that article and told his apprentice David Sacks that the U.S. security commitment to Taiwan must no longer be vague. Starting from 2020, all public opinion began to talk about the reasons for the clarity of the U.S. strategy toward Taiwan. Why? Because if the CCP's gray zone strategy and gray tactics continue to be blurred, will these continue to spread to Taiwan ? So the United States has a clear strategy. Well, I would like to ask if the US strategy is clear, what is Sun Xiaoya talking about? And not only Sun Xiaoya said before Blinken. It is also true that we support one China. Is it right? All Debates from 2020 have been self-defeating. Why? Because if the United States wants to overturn this red line and change it from strategic ambiguity to strategic clarity, it must ensure that it is the first in the Asia-Pacific region. All allies , you are ready for Japan. South Korea is ready. Australia is ready. Everyone is ready . If everyone is not ready, I don’t think Biden dares to decisively turn strategic ambiguity into strategic clarity. He just uses a vaguer He has not changed the way to explain this thing or to explain the strategic ambiguity in a clearer way. If he did not change, Taiwan would not be an ally. However, he cannot lower his security commitment to Taiwan , so he will always say that our security commitment to Taiwan has not been lowered. The thing they keep repeating is Sun Xiaoya. I think she is a competent diplomat. When faced with this problem, she jumps out immediately and says no, you said it wrong because she can't say anything in her mouth to cause change . Any word referring to the current situation would be a taboo , especially since the United States and China are currently exploring each other , exploring strategies, competing and cooperating, and do not allow her to make any mistakes. This is the first point. Let’s look at this Palau just now . In fact, Brother Liang is right. In fact, Palau, Marshall Islands and Micronesia have signed security agreements with the United States. They are called democracies. That is because they are basically protectorates. They are called Protectorate United States, although it is not the United States. But basically it is protected by the United States because it has no military. Even the Marshallese police are trained by Americans. Palau is also the same , so when the general goes there, he can use US dollars , so basically it has a hierarchical system. It's called a hierarchical structure. We talk about it in international relations. Although it's an anarchy, the United States has a deep, so- called class system that controls these countries. These countries take orders from the United States. They vote in the United Nations and follow the United States. The ones who vote are the Marshalls and the Silk Road. Liu is our relatively stable diplomatic relationship at this stage . I support what Brother Liang said. It is better for everyone to go to Guatemala to see what the current situation is in Guatemala. It is very dangerous. I think it is relatively dangerous compared to Palau. Palau is very stable, so there is no need to worry. But I want to add one more thing. If these friends who change their hearts are like Honduras, I will use a baseball terminology. They are like home runs. If they change their hearts, they will never come back, right? We often watch baseball talk about it , like a girlfriend who changes her heart and cannot come back. If you can't come back, you can't come back . How are you going to consolidate the rest ? If you come back, you'll need another amount of money. If you want another amount of money, it's best not to come back. Is it like our South Pacific allies are asking for money from both sides? Is that right ? So this is something I think the Lai Ching-te government must be particularly careful about in the future.
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Channel: 新聞大白話
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Length: 47min 51sec (2871 seconds)
Published: Sat Feb 17 2024
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