Let's take a look at the latest developments in mainland China. We have been seeing some economic actions these days , such as meeting with American business circles. President Xi Jinping's actions after the two sessions seemed to be diplomatic actions , but they came out one after another . In addition to being rumored to be visiting Paris in May, he will also visit Serbia , meet with Vucic and Macron. These itineraries seem to be more intensive and more active than before. The Kazakh president even revealed that he was attending the National People's Congress. When the Standing Committee met, he said that he expected Xi Jinping to go to Kazakhstan for a state visit in early July. The two sides were very straightforward about what they wanted to do in the most effective way. They wanted to jointly develop mines for rare earth minerals such as uranium, lithium and titanium. So obviously the goal is very clear. They have common interests in this area. Is there still a certain diplomatic itinerary in the future? The Economic Development Bureau said that Chinese companies have become the locomotive of change in Central Asia. There are various plans including export figures for Eurasia. A region in Central Asia has grown by 46.6%, and imports have grown by 12.7%. This tells everyone that no matter how tense the geopolitics is, the economic dependence is so deep. Come to Xinjiang, what is the country's first express e-commerce class in Urumqi with free shipping? The train started moving immediately. This was the official launch of the first e-commerce train by China Railway. It said it could run all the way from Urumqi. The electronic lock with the Beidou positioning query function allows customers to use their Beidou positioning once they send it out. The satellite connection can always check where your APP departed from Urumqi or where you have been after. It can directly connect to other countries in Central Asia. For example, the Malaysian Minister of Transport said that he is now considering extending the railway connecting Malaysia’s east coastline to Malaysia. In addition to the border with Thailand, we need to connect Thailand with existing projects to promote economic ties between the two countries . The Belt and Road Initiative continues to extend downwards. Don’t forget that the Pan-Asian Railway had various such projects in the past. A statement and an idea to connect it to wherever it goes, from China, through Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia , and all the way to Singapore and Malaysia. Is this idea possible to be realized step by step now ? The Malaysian government has announced that it will restart the new high-speed rail plan. By then, the high-speed rail city will be established. Is it possible that the first route connecting Kuala Lumpur and Singapore will be realized? It was also very interesting that China and Australia were scolding each other at that time , so they punished each other with tariffs and banned red wine. After a series of friendly visits recently, it turned out that the three-year trade war has ended in Taiwan. Aren't you trying your best to spend your budget to buy democratic red wine? Now that they have reconciled and their quarrel has ended, China has canceled this so-called additional anti-dumping subsidy tax starting today. This is equivalent to fully lifting the ban on Australian red wine. Australian Prime Minister Alban Of course, Nice was very happy immediately. He announced that Australian bottled wine has re-entered the Chinese market , which will benefit both Australian production and Chinese consumers . We will also continue to urge the elimination of all remaining trade barriers affecting Australian exports in line with China's The interests of both Australia and Australia are cooperating for common interests. Does anyone remember this time? We saw a very scary scene a while ago. It appeared on this bridge pier in the United States. Actually, a freighter hit this bridge pier and caused the entire bridge to collapse. The scene of several sections being cut off and the car falling into the sea made everyone very frightened. Now there is a conspiracy theory. This report says that the former CEO of the shipping company is actually Zhao Anji . Who is Zhao Anji ? It was the CEO who had been in this pool before and was questioned by Chinese investors about whether to decouple and break the chain. The cause of his death was not very clear in the pool. The CEO was said to have an X account. According to reports on the Internet, the ship was once disconnected from the sensor and could not connect to call for help. Then it was finally restarted and then such an accident happened. Therefore, there are many conspiracy theories about whether China is the Chinese Communist Party's military industry , Zhao Anji, and others. Her husband was involved in related industries because he had deep inside information, which made many people suspicious and unwilling to cooperate , so he was assassinated, etc. So the mastermind behind this incident broke a bridge pier in the United States. Is it China? Everyone has rich imagination , but In short, there are no fewer conspiracy theories of hatred and conjecture than Professor Lai. Let’s take a look. From Xi Jinping’s actions, he has his own logic and approach to the various containment and confrontations by the United States. I think it is important to look at the world situation now . I think we can see the issue more clearly from a geopolitical and geostrategic perspective. In the past, the entire region of Central Asia was within Russia's sphere of influence. Mainland China planned to develop the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway 20 years ago and connect it to the Caspian Sea . We need to connect with Iran, but Russia was opposed to it, and Russia didn’t agree, so we couldn’t do anything at that time. Now, because Russia has completely broken with Western countries, it has opened a big door with mainland China , so if you like the Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway, start it immediately. Now Kazakhstan itself is in a hurry, because for Kazakhstan, it is a landlocked country . If it wants to improve its economy, it must be connected to the outside world , so of course it hopes to be directly connected to mainland China if it can be connected. Its products can be shipped to mainland China. From here, products can also be shipped in from mainland China, so it is the lifeline of the economy. Therefore, its status as a landlocked country will be changed, and there will be room for its economic development. For Kazakhstan, It is said that its natural resources are rare earths , but rare earths are not enough electricity for them. He also needs this kind of refining technology and cooperation with mainland China. As a country that leads the world in rare earths, cooperation is of course imperative. So for the president of Kazakhstan, he certainly hopes that Xi Jinping will visit there. We can all understand that Serbia, Serbia, actually involves a connection with Hungary, which we call the Hungary-Serbia Railway. Going south, it will reach Macedonia, and then it will be connected to the Piraeus Port in Greece . In this way, the status of Serbia and Hungary as a landlocked country can also be changed. Its goods can go out and come in . So originally, mainland China was in Eastern Europe, which used Ukraine as a gateway and a very important transportation hub . But Ukraine is now During the war with Russia, he now entered Hungary and then Serbia. I think this part is a very important transshipment station for China to transport goods from the Belt and Road Initiative from mainland China to Eastern Europe. I think currently you Rutte from the Netherlands just arrived in Beijing for his internship a few days ago . Xi Jinping also talked to Rutte about the Netherlands being a gateway for mainland China to enter Europe from the sea. We can see that the entire layout of the Belt and Road Initiative actually uses transportation. As the Internet develops, we can see it in Asia. When you talk about the Trans-Asian Railway or the Greater Asia Railway, you will see that Malaysia and Thailand have now entered a stage of fierce competition. Why? Because Malaysia’s current government has better and better relations with mainland China. Malaysia’s eastern railway is under construction and it is only 40 kilometers away from the border with Thailand . This railway of more than 600 kilometers may be further It will be completed in 2026 and will be opened in two years. This will be very helpful to Malaysia's economic development . But for the mainland, he originally hoped that these railways would be connected to Thailand and all the way to China, that is, China and China. The railway in Laos, that is, Laos, has been opened. Now for Thailand, he has seen the success of this railway. Many durians in Thailand are transported to China through this railway , and they are sold at very good prices. What Thailand is striving for now is to connect this railway with mainland China and Thailand . But the question is why I say that Thailand and Malaysia are now in fierce competition. It is because Thailand has been interested in it recently . It originally has an isthmus and a carat. Originally, everyone thought that a canal was going to be opened on the isthmus. But when the canal was opened, Thailand was worried about the conflicts between the Muslims in the south and the Buddhists in the north . Finally, after the isthmus was opened, they declared independence , so they were unwilling . Under the current situation, what are they planning to do? That is to say, two ports and two ports. In this case, the freighters will not have to pass through the Strait of Malacca. This is a big problem for Singapore and Malaysia. What should I do if he makes a lot less money ? So Malaysia is now coordinating with Thailand and saying that we are willing to provide a better cooperation plan. You don’t want to open it up , because once they connect the railway and then connect it north to mainland China, how many do you want? On the one hand, if the goods are shipped to Japan and South Korea, they are connected by railway from the west end to the east end, then boarded a ship and then shipped to South Korea and Japan . If the goods are destined for mainland China, some parts , such as the southwest parts , are connected by railway. Going straight up, I think the situation is changing. The geopolitics of the entire world are changing. The main thing is the change in the transportation lifeline of the Belt and Road Initiative, which is making a big change in the face of the entire world. Of course, the confrontation between China and the United States, each of them forms their own cliques. Go and break through, you break through here, I break through here. This attitude in Central Asia and around Malaysia seems to be very obvious. Yue Qian also said just now that Central Asia was originally the former Soviet Union, and many of them were his member republics, the former Soviet Union. It was disintegrated , but for a long time Putin and others still regarded Central Asia as their vassal state to control. They even had some situations in Belarus, including Belarus. Of course, Belarus was not a vassal state in Central Asia. I am talking about it. He has intervened in some political situations and coups. Now, Russia's entire power is frankly declining rapidly. So countries like Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan considers itself a big country in Central Asia. You see, its population is small , but its country is very large and it is very rich in minerals. Of course he wants to say that Russia is in decline now and you are at war. I will take this opportunity to rise. If you cannot rise on your own, you have to rely on others to help you . Of course, they also have contacts with the United States. The United States used to establish some biological entities in Kazakhstan now. This kind of biochemical research laboratory is very sensitive. It has also been built in Kazakhstan. You know, but countries like the United States will be more nervous in dealing with the United States because the United States will criticize their domestic politics. Like mainland China and Russia , they don’t care about their dealings with other countries. People are political , but the United States will criticize whether your country is democratic or otherwise . Of course, there is also some use of power, so for him, China has funds and China is relatively close . And it is not Russia. He has no interest in me. Territorial ambition , so if I interact with mainland China, I can gain a lot , so these countries are basically like this, so Central Asia is probably like this. Here we talk about Saudi Arabia, the relationship between Saudi Arabia and the CCP is very deep. We all still remember that in the 1980s Era He sold medium-range ballistic missiles to Saudi Arabia. The United States was so angry that it couldn't stop it even if it wanted to. Then you see, they are now cooperating with their nuclear equipment, such as nuclear power equipment . So mainland China and Saudi Arabia are actually on good terms. It's very close , so I think he was caught up in this, which is containment and counter-containment. The United States is besieging mainland China, and mainland China has to use all its strength to break through the containment. So he chooses places where it is easier to break through, such as Vietnam. Of course Vietnam and Mainland China fought a border war in 1979 , but Vietnam was also very worried about the impact of capitalism on its political system in the United States. After all, Mainland China and Russia also helped him fight the Vietnam War , so he and There are conflicts in mainland China , but we still have to interact with each other. So in the future, geopolitics will become very fierce . Just because the United States will use all its power to contain mainland China , there will be a lot of friction and a lot of this. Intrigues and intrigues will always appear , but the situation is ever-changing. Mr. Yan, we have seen Australia and China confronting each other and standing together with the United States , but now in order to sell goods on various economic issues, all the past slogans are now returning to peace. I think we need to throw away Australian red wine. How can you become an authoritarian red wine now ? It is not a democratic red wine. But to be honest, I think the trade relationship between Taiwan and the United States in the past was that the United States used its market to force you to do many things , including Taiwan. When the United States promotes our democratization to a certain extent , we are also forced by the mainland to use its market for its diplomacy . It is the same as the United States. However, as we just said in the mainland, you can help Australia buy these things . One force is to build this infrastructure. This infrastructure monster is like this all over the world. The United States or other European countries probably can’t do it. Because I do my own research on Africa, Africa’s infrastructure continent has reached this level because of France . Sorry, you are studying in France . When French engineers arrive in Africa, they have to live in five-star hotels. Mainland engineers live with your workers in dormitories. The price is cheap, so there is no way around it . I just talked about Australia. In the past, Australia actually tasted the sweetness of the mainland. Let’s go back and think about it. More than 10 years ago , about 10 years ago, the Australian dollar was once larger than the US dollar. At that time, the Australian dollar and the Canadian dollar rose a lot. Why did the mainland buy so many Australian iron ore mines ? Australia bought a lot of coal mines . So Australia is like the West . What also happened in Australia is that they said we were going to cut taxes . Why is this? China tax cuts are China’s tax cuts. Because they bought us too many supplies, we made a lot of money , so people can pay less tax. This has happened. So Australia is It is very clear that in the past , relying on the purchasing power of mainland China, in the past 20 years, it has actually been of great help to their economy. In addition, plus the tuition fees for former overseas students from mainland China to go there, Australia , we feel that it is better than the United States and the United Kingdom. They are a little cheaper in Europe , so many people go there, which also helps a lot of Australian education. So basically Australia hopes to have a good relationship with the mainland , but on the one hand, the United States is there, so it is more difficult , but like Central Asia Professor Lin mentioned just now that countries include Kyrgyzstan . I have been to Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. I have never been to Kazakhstan. But the United States tried to carry out a color revolution in Kyrgyzstan in the past and was driven out in the end. It is difficult to say that this is not your territory . Sorry. So now, when Russia slowly declines and the power of mainland China passes, especially when it helps you with this infrastructure construction, it will have a great influence. I have always believed that mainland China includes Southeast Asia, Africa , and even Latin America . Why is the United States so afraid of this infrastructure ? Not only has he won local support , but he also has a clear understanding of the local ports, geology, geomorphology , and hydrology. Everything is included in his blueprint. Where will the navy be located in the future? He is very clear about Hong Kong , so I believe this is what the United States is more worried about. After the terrorist attack in Moscow , everyone is worried about the next development of the Russia-Ukraine war . Is it possible to expand the war? The latest news is that Putin is preparing to Went to Vietnam to visit Vietnam. We just mentioned that he was working hard to achieve a balance in the relationship between mainland China and the United States. The General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam, Nguyen Phu Trong, had a phone call with Putin on March 26. Both sides said that they would work together at the appropriate time. When I arranged this trip, I did not forget that Putin is wanted by the United Nations. He is wanted for war crimes. He may be arrested on the road or what? Does anyone dare to arrest him? I don’t know what will happen , but in any case, he was once in October. I visited China , Central Asia and Kazakhstan in November, and I visited Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates in the Middle East in December, but of course nothing happened to my people or my friends. Now it is relatively far to go to Vietnam. Does anyone say that something will happen in the meantime? Does the United Nations dare to do so? Dare you move ? Now, is there any evidence? Who is responsible for the terrorist attack ? Although Moscow has emphasized that it was Ukraine, Ukraine has also objected and said it was not them at all . But now it is saying that there is the latest evidence. What is the Russian Investigative Committee? What the chairman said, he said he would identify and capture who was involved in sponsoring the terrorist attack on the concert hall . They had on their possession the technical equipment and financial transaction information seized from the suspects . In addition to the evidence of the previous successful attack, there was also Obtained evidence of their connection with Ukrainian nationalism. Did the financial transaction money and technical equipment come from these people? Of course, the US National Security Council spokesman Kirby continued to say that there is no such thing as nonsense propaganda. They have already used normal procedures and even written it. I told you that there would be a dangerous terrorist attack in Russia. Extremists were going to attack you. But you didn’t listen and already tried to stop the attack. It obviously had nothing to do with Ukraine. Now you insist on relying on him. The United States will continue to help Ukraine to clarify . Related , but what is Russia doing now? Attacks on Ukraine have become more and more frequent. We have talked about attacks on all power systems and dams in addition to military facilities. Now there is a new use of this new device called the magic bomb, a gliding bomb with an organic The wing and direction-changing modules attack targets more accurately and are very lethal. Now they are attacking the second largest city in Ukraine and even Kiev , which may be attacked at any time . Of course, there are still missiles under attack. Zelensky jumped out and called on Russia to possibly A new offensive will be launched in May or June. Moscow is preparing to launch a new major attack and has assembled 100,000 troops to head towards Kiev. So with such a cry, is it in May? In April, it may have already started. Then this What is the action ? U.S. and European aid are coming as soon as possible. Did Putin say that he would attack NATO? This is a report from some Western media. Preparations are already underway. Preparations are already underway to attack NATO. Putin specifically responded to such reports from the West. He responded by saying that although Russian officials have issued warnings to NATO many times and have considered the concept of nuclear war if necessary, Russia has no plans to invade other parts of Europe. Don't you need to be afraid? Other Polish officials said Neighboring countries deny that Russia may attack Eastern Europe next , but there is a conditional exception. F16 fighter jets are now called F16. Some European countries , including the United States, have said that they may assist Ukraine , including providing it with F16s and assisting in training various resources and ammunition. But Putin said that if When the F16 fighter jets deployed at the airports of NATO countries are used to fight Russia, then they will become their legal targets no matter where the territory is. In other words, we want to attack your European countries , but when you help Ukraine, these aircraft are here to attack Russia. When the time comes, I will naturally attack your territory. This concept is like this . But the wrestling between China, the United States and Russia at the United Nations is like this on the battlefield. The wrestling at the United Nations is also like this. North Korea also has a boss in the United Nations. Ukraine has a boss here. Who is Russia? Because the United Nations Security Council is in After Russia used its veto power, the expert group that sanctioned North Korea was suspended. Since then , sanctions against North Korea have been eliminated. Doesn't this supervision group have the issue of North Korea sanctions ? Of course, other countries have criticized Russia's behavior and believe that Russia's behavior is acknowledging crimes, etc. The U.S. State Department Spokesperson Miller also emphasized that he condemns everything that promotes trade deals with North Korea and undermines international peace and security. But in fact, what actually undermines all kinds of security is of course the conflicts and war attacks in the Gaza Strip . The United States has not stopped. Forget that he directly abstained from voting so that the ceasefire in the Gaza Strip can be passed. It is also different from what Israel and its allies originally agreed to . Now the Chinese mainland says that China has forced the United States to no longer obstruct the ceasefire, so it abstained on the 25th. This incident has made the relationship between Israel and the United States a bit embarrassing. Israel and the United States had to visit important officials from both sides, but visits from both sides have now been cancelled. Therefore, there have been interesting changes in the Security Council resolution process supported by Beijing. Is the Gaza corridor possible in the United States? Because differences of opinion really may lead to a ceasefire, Professor Lai, when we see Putin’s latest actions, he is going to visit Vietnam , then he will increase his attacks and various post-election actions after he is elected, observe his most likely What are the trends? I think Putin has been very active recently because in addition to visiting Vietnam, he is also likely to visit mainland China as his first stop after taking office . This is very likely to happen after the BRICS meeting is held in Russia in June. He wants to promote de-dollarization with two important strategies. One is to use the BRICS countries to strengthen their local currency transactions , that is, no longer use the U.S. dollar. The second is to digitize the transactions of this currency , which means that it allows you to bypass The SWIFT system will be opened and a new system will be established . If this resolution is passed, I think it will pose a challenge to the US dollar. This will still take some time , but the United States will be prepared because the impact will be great. Vietnam and the former Soviet Union were already very close. The relationship is very close. Do you still remember that Cam Ranh Bay was leased to the navy of the former Soviet Union ? Later, after the collapse of the former Soviet Union, Russia had financial problems and was unable to renew the lease of Cam Ranh Bay , so its Pacific Fleet evacuated. Now Putin When I came back, I felt that Vietnam was intentional because Vietnam knew that the United States and China were unhappy, and the United States and Russia were also making things even more unhappy. But if you think about it, for Vietnam, he knew that the United States was going to use him to contain the mainland . If Russia is brought in, its bargaining chip will increase the pressure on the United States , or the price the United States has to pay should be more. I think this is Vietnam's calculation . In other words, in the competition between big powers, how can these small countries gain from it? The biggest benefit for Vietnam now seems that its diplomacy is to obtain a benefit in this part, that is, it is an equidistant diplomacy. I think the United States and Russia are now in the Ukraine part. They are wrestling with each other because Russia must prove that the terrorist attacks were carried out by Ukraine, and the United States must work hard to prove that it was definitely not carried out by Ukraine. In the current situation, who can present evidence that can convince Western countries instead of the whole world? Why do Western countries say that if Russia's evidence can be sufficient to convince more Westerners, they will no longer be able to support Ukraine ? Because morally speaking, it is counter-terrorism, which is against all forms of terrorism , and the United Nations has also adopted it. When there is an international resolution and international consensus, they can no longer support this. The situation is very unfavorable for Ukraine . So you see Russia is trying its best to prove that Ukraine did it. I think the current situation in Ukraine has very little foreign aid , so Russia I think the possibility of launching a general offensive in spring and summer is high because this is a very good time. Ukraine is in a really difficult situation . Take a break and come back soon. The United States and Russia also have various games in the United Nations to see if one is supporting North Korea and the other is not. The Gaza ceasefire caused various very subtle changes because of his abstention. To be honest, this is what I often say. The United States is a very big tree , but there is a vine wrapped around it. That vine is the Jewish people . Jews , especially Wall Street, have a great influence. People joke that Italians control the underworld. Jews control Wall Street in the United States . So now that there is an election, Biden will be very nervous. He fully supports Israel. Of course, Jews will donate a lot of money to him. But he needs to pay attention to one thing. Elections are not won only by money, but mainly by votes. There may not be many Arabs , but they are concentrated in some specific states, such as Illinois, Michigan, etc. You know the United States? During the election, when calculating who gets the votes in this state, they don’t look at the popular vote but at the Electoral College vote. So if I am in this state, for example, I am in New York State , if Trump has one more vote than Biden , then all the dozens of votes in New York State will be counted . They all belong to Trump , so there are not many Arabs , but they live concentratedly in Michigan, for example. Michigan is a swing state. Last time Biden won by a narrow margin , then you see, before the polls, Trump narrowly defeated Hillary. Right... So recent polls show that Arabs are actually very dissatisfied with Biden's policies on the Gaza Strip. They think you are too biased in favor of the Israelis. So in terms of the current polls in Michigan, the leading person is Trump, isn't it? Michigan is also a big state , so this election is a fierce battle. So for Biden , it doesn't matter how much money you donate to me if I can't be elected. So now he also wants to win over Arabs and many Americans. Liberals are not Arabs. For example, many liberals in New York state elect some members of the House of Representatives . They think Biden's Middle East policy is a big mistake. These people are also voting. They will punish Biden. They will not vote for Trump. They will vote for Kennedy. Someone in the Kennedy family wants to vote for a third party , so voting for him will hurt who hurts Biden. So now that Biden is in the United Nations, he can veto him alone. Vetoed it. Why didn't he veto the election ? So long live the election. The most important thing about the election is abstention . So let friends and allies also abstain. Take a break and come back soon. Russia used its veto power to do something at the United Nations. North Korea's sanctions will be cut. Has it been dropped? The professor will not be cut without sanctions, but this is a supervision group, right ? Russia has stood up to it more than a dozen times in the past . International and domestic vernacular. Our first guest is Lin Yufang, an international strategy scholar and former committee member . Everyone is good at governing the country. Mr. Yan Zhensheng, part-time researcher at the Guanzhong Center, hello, moderator. Hello, everyone. International politics expert Lai Yueqian, moderator. Hello, audience friends. Look , just now, in the previous paragraph, we talked about the resignation of Defense Minister Qiu Guozheng today. The message of fierce war and danger makes the Chinese people actually feel uneasy at this moment. Take a look at the mainland's Taiwan Strait tour. This joint tour is jointly conducted on the west side of the Taiwan Strait. The Xiamen Maritime Safety Administration also dispatched the flagship of 0802. These ships formed a joint formation to tell everyone to show off their muscles. You become normal at any time and are conducting drills. What did our Coast Guard say? Guan Biling showed up again. She came out and said that anyway, our Taiwan Coast Guard is also normal. Enforcement will be expelled and detained. We are all in accordance with the law. But at present So far, the other side has publicly said that there are no so-called prohibited and restricted waters in Xiamen and Jinjiang . This is publicly stated by the Ministry of Defense of the Mainland . Taiwan is China's Taiwan . The tacit understanding that was gone long ago no longer exists. So how do you enforce law enforcement on a regular basis and confront each other on a regular basis all day long ? Then the People's Liberation Army shows off its muscles and says it has confidence. Where is Qiu Guozheng saying that he Because I was worried about the situation between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, I could n't sleep well. On the mainland side , Wu Qian, the spokesperson of the Ministry of National Defense, responded calmly . He quoted Mao Zedong's poem and said that no matter the wind and waves, it is better than taking a leisurely stroll in the garden . But you are very nervous and sleep. No , but we are just strolling around. The problem is that regardless of sea and air, let’s take a look at a few pictures. How is the combat effectiveness of China’s new guided missile destroyer ? Now it is equipped with 10,000-round cannons as standard equipment. Use a video to tell everyone that this high-speed attack capability can reach 10,000 rounds per minute . Tell everyone that we have such capabilities in the air and sea. The People's Liberation Army has also released a video of the J-10. This J-10 video tells everyone that we have the capabilities in the air. The Raptors continue to achieve breakthroughs. What are the new technological improvements? The enhanced situational awareness and electronic countermeasures capabilities. This video has been telling everyone about the influence they can have after taking off. They show off their muscles in various promotional videos. It is also publicized externally to the international community and to the people of Taiwan. Therefore, the current actions in mainland China are like this. The United States , Lafayette, and Japan are now saying that we must strengthen our efforts to resist China and that it will involve the Taiwan Strait at every turn. Because it is especially emphasized that it is in response to potential conflicts in the Taiwan Strait. Look at that video and the possibility of confrontation . Japan's Kyodo News Agency tells everyone that the Japanese government is planning to upgrade 5 airports and 11 ports. So that if an emergency military situation occurs in the Taiwan Strait , they can provide it to the Japan Self-Defense Force Coast Guard . The US Deputy Secretary of State said that Japan’s strength is to participate in technical cooperation in the AUKUS alliance between the United States, Britain and Australia . So Kishida will visit the United States next month . To discuss this issue, didn't we just have an analysis just a while ago that told everyone that the possibility that Japan can really assist Taiwan and participate with combat power is not high , but no matter what, it has done so much and Japan will do it next year. The deployment of Tomahawk missiles was announced to the media for the first time on March 28 at the Naval Yokosuka Base in Kanagawa Prefecture . This is a training exercise with Tomahawk cruise missiles made in the United States . Japan plans to start in 2025. Of course , the target of the deployment of Tomahawk missiles is China. The U.S. and Philippine ministers had a call with Defense Secretary Austin. They both said that they are firmly committed to the Philippines in accordance with the mutual defense regulations. China's use of water cannons to destroy Philippine supply ships is a dangerous behavior. We have seen Pictured a few days ago, we saw this water cannon. The water column could almost shoot through the ship. It was seriously damaged and the white flag was raised to surrender. The spokesperson of the mainland’s Ministry of National Defense directly refuted this matter with five points and asked who it was. Who made repeated provocations in the South China Sea , violated the consensus and commitments of both parties , or who directed and acted to attract external forces to intervene . To be honest, these various adjectives are almost identical to those used in the Taiwan Strait and can be replaced. It seems that American experts are also the same. Thinking about it this way, he said that before May 20, China will increase its coercion , and there may be various military exercises and actions that will become more intense . He suggested that Taiwan follow the Philippines' example , so we also need to have this kind of ship to confront and then be shot through. Then there will be media who will come to launch the aerial camera. Is this a countermeasure in a public opinion war? This is what the Center for Global Studies, a Washington think tank, calls China's gray zone. This is how China should conduct propaganda. Does Taiwan really have the capital to engage in this kind of propaganda and confrontation? Committee members, this big country will use every opportunity every opportunity. An event to expand its influence and such a blow to potential enemies. We just talked about the South China Sea . The South China Sea is the Philippines' little Marcos . The first place he went to when he was elected was the mainland . But soon the United States He was pulled aside , so the relationship between the Philippines and mainland China began to deteriorate violently . Now we are seeing water cannon attacks and so on. This is an opportunity for the United States. The relationship between the Philippines, mainland China, and other countries surrounding China is getting worse. The tension is better for the United States , so he is happy to see this situation. Therefore, the relationship and military cooperation between the United States and the Philippines will become closer and closer. Therefore, in the future, it will not only be the Taiwan Strait but the South China Sea. The chance of conflict in the future will also become greater . I am I think we should be more concerned about Kinmen and Matsu . Kinmen and Matsu are very delicate. The two islands have also experienced the first Taiwan Strait crisis and the second Taiwan Strait crisis , especially the second 823 artillery battle , which was after the Nationalist government retreated to Taiwan. It was the most intense confrontation between the two sides , and even the United States can say that it was involved to a considerable extent. You know that during the confrontation between the two sides in Kinmen and Matsu , the United States had two lieutenant colonels from the advisory group and two lieutenant colonels from the military advisory group. The consultant in Kinmen was killed by shelling, so Kinmen Matsu has its own special characteristics and sensitivity. For us, Kinmen Matsu is too far away from Taiwan and too close to mainland China . That’s the problem . The water area between Kinmen and Xiamen is not talked about by Ma Zu . Why has it been quiet for so long? To be honest, the first reason is because mainland China is too weak. Militarily, you can see that fighter planes used to fly close to the coast of mainland China . If they dare to come out in a big way, they will take advantage of it. For example, when Cornell Lee Teng-hui came to Cornell and then came over , it was the two-nation discussion in 1999. He took advantage of every opportunity to start moving toward the center line in a big way and even crossed the center line of the Taiwan Strait. So before that, Kinmen and Matsu actually Basically, Deng Xiaoping, who was quite calm, ordered no more attacks and bombardments on Kinmen and Matsu. In fact, there was peace for a long time. So, what about restricted waters, prohibited waters, restricted waters, that is a very complicated thing. I have also talked about it here, right ? The distance between the islands is about 1,800 meters. Our restricted water area is 1,500 meters for people. You just sent it to people's doorsteps. When you went to mainland China, you remained calm and didn't bother you. Now, because of the capsizing of the speedboat, you said you would still exist in this restricted water area in the future. You said you were not allowed to come in and I paddled it. I paddled to the corner island on the other side of you. I paddled 1,500 meters like this. You can’t come inside my 1,500 meters. If you come , I will forcefully drive away the island that is very close to the mainland . Kinmen is much further away. Do you really dare to implement this? Do you have the ability to do it ? And do you dare to do it? It’s a bit unreasonable because the so-called prohibited waters and restricted waters do not matter. It should be divided equally between the two sides and a center line should be cut. But Kinmen is opposite to the other side. Generally speaking, we can only rely on Liaoluo Bay, which is facing Taiwan and facing the sea. The rest can be said to be surrounded by mainland China, which is about a little more than two-thirds. Therefore , it will become very complicated in the future. In fact, I think What I am very worried about is the issue of Kinmen and Matsu, because there may be a conflict at any time , and the attitudes of both sides seem very tough. The mainland publicly denies the existence of the so-called restricted waters. I will say it again, the same is true for Matsu. Matsu is the closest to the other side . The distance to the Huangqi Peninsula is about 8,800 meters. Our restricted waters are not as large as others. He rowed 6,000 meters. Almost half of it was crossed by you. The mainland will not pay attention to you . How will this conflict be resolved in the future? In addition, when it comes to AUKUS, Japan actually wants to participate in AUKUS the most , but let me tell you that the core interests of Americans are the interests of the Anglo-Saxon nation. Japan is very important to him , but no matter how important it is, you will not be better than Canada. It’s not more important than the UK, it ’s not more important than Australia, it’s not more important than New Zealand, because they are Japanese with the same culture and race, you are a Yamato democrat, and we are Anglo-Saxon , so Japan actually wants to participate in AUKUS every day , but they won’t let it. The same is true for the Five Eyes Alliance. Canada and New Zealand are added to AUKUS. New Zealand is not included in AUKUS , but others cannot enter. Information exchange is very secret, so we need to understand the United States and understand the United States. Among the core interests, you non-white people are not Professor Lai at all, because this is a dynamic competition. What does the other party do? What do we do ? In fact, let’s see if she can do it. If she can’t do it, she should step down responsibly. The DPP handled the Kinmen incident very poorly and then aggravated the situation. That’s why we saw this in Kinmen. The status quo of prohibited and restricted sea areas has been changed . Now mainland fishing boats or coast guard ships enter these waters on an almost daily basis. Then you control Biling. If you issue this order, you want our Coast Guard to enforce the law. You do it. If you ca n't get it, we 'll have to wait and see. It's conceivable , but it's not possible yet , because you want to drive away the mainland coast guard ship. Sometimes its tonnage is larger than yours, and you are driven away. What we saw last time was that you were driven away. Expelled because the mainland Chinese coast guard ship that came last time was bigger , he directly asked the Taiwan coast guard ship what are you here for? You informed your unit and your position, what are you here for? He told you straight away, that's it. The current situation is that you don’t care whether Biling ordered the coast guard ship to hold the position for me. Didn’t Qiu Guozheng say that he would fight with one soldier and one soldier? Why not hold the position? So if you can’t do it and you still talk big words, then You have to responsibly step down. I think it makes sense for Qiu Guozheng to be unable to sleep . The reason is very simple. The People's Liberation Army used to oppose independence and promote unification , but now it has made it very clear. From the two sessions to now, we have seen that their direction has changed in intensity. It has changed. They now call it fighting for independence and promoting reunification. That is to say, once you declare Taiwan independence and declare independence, that is Lai Qingde. If you declare independence on May 20, it will be a war for them right away, so he is now showing his strength. Not only for the Democratic Progressive Party to show Taiwan independence , but also for the United States and Japan. It means that if he has this ability , you can try it. That means you, Lai Qingde , do you dare to pursue Taiwan independence? If you dare, then we will fight. I think this situation has already happened. This situation is becoming more and more obvious. I think Japan is being hyped by the media . Why is it that Japan cannot use force to intervene in international disputes before its constitution is changed? This is the constitution , so it cannot Taiwan until its constitution is changed. If something happens to Japan, he cannot intervene unless he is attacked. But if he is not attacked, he cannot enter. The question we want to ask is, why is he repairing the seaport, repairing the port, repairing the airport ? In fact, he knows his existing base. They are all within the attack range of missiles . In other words, if it intervenes in the war between the Taiwan Strait or other areas and conflicts with mainland China, these will be within the range of attack. Now it is setting up more airports and more ports. For evacuation, that is, the evacuation of troops , you have to consume more of your missiles and then strengthen your missiles. You have to increase more costs. In fact, it is just reducing its damage. In fact, everyone can clearly see the trouble in the Philippines . In the past two years, the traces of the United States have become so obvious that they are almost naked. In a naked situation , in fact, the Philippines' riots like this cannot change the status quo. China's control of Scarborough Shoal is getting stronger and stronger , and its ability to control Ren'ai Reef is getting stronger and stronger. Now, even several islands and reefs next to Thitu Island used to be uninhabited islands and reefs now. Within the control range, he is making trouble like this . In fact, the status quo has not changed at all . In fact, it has begun to be gradually changed by the mainland. The US Secretary of Defense’s hard support for the Philippines actually has little effect. Why? Do you dare to talk to the mainland? If you want to fight a war , it's you, the United States. Do you have the need, the will, and the determination to say that I am going to prepare for war with the mainland in the South China Sea ? If not , then your speech is useless. Teacher Yan just said that if Japan is not attacked, what will happen if Japan is not attacked ? If the Tomahawk missile cannot be deployed in combat , won't it become an easy target? I think the first one is, of course, that there was a peace movement in Japan after the war , and it opposed the U.S.-Japan security treaty for a long time, so Japan There is such a peaceful voice that has existed for a long time. This is why Article 9 of the Constitution prohibits active attack except for self-defense. This is very strange when you sign a security agreement with other countries. When the US-Japan Security Treaty was signed, logically speaking , Japan should help when the US is attacked. But there is no such situation now, so they are all observing and saying that if Trump is elected and asks you to change it, give money. Trump is not saying to give money. Trump said that if the United States is attacked, Japan will come to provide reverse assistance. So if you say this is between Japan and the United States , then think about Taiwan. If Taiwan has trouble, will Japan really come? He doesn't even think about the United States . You must go unless he is attacked, so this needs to be changed. Maybe Trump will ask Japan to change if he is elected . We don’t know, but I think the situation in the Philippines is what I should say. It is you. If you watch Austin’s speech, first of all, I want to congratulate you. He, he, probably his prostate problem has been cured , so now he is very active and can come out. Otherwise, for a while, everyone was worried about Shen Yin . Now that he is saying this, one of them is telling us . How should we talk about it? As Commissioner Lin mentioned to us just now. At the time of the 823 artillery battle, there was a debate in the United States that Taiwan was the Republic of China. With the United States, we talked about a mutual defense treaty that may not have outer islands , so Americans sometimes don’t want to support outer islands . I’m sorry. To distract you, the Sino-US Mutual Defense Treaty originally only stated that it can only include Taiwan and Penghu. This is what the later Taiwan Relations Act also clearly listed. The so-called term "Taiwan" only includes Taiwan and Penghu , so it is the same. In the Philippines today, most of the Philippines are also worried about what might happen to the islands in the South China Sea. Americans, just like the Golden Horse back then, feel that it is not within our scope. The one I signed with you is from the Philippines. The question is, the last time we saw this, Blinken Austin said that our relationship is very unbreakable. Then I also involved fishing boats. Are they from the Coast Guard? If today it really involves the Coast Guard , then according to the current mainland and If there is a conflict in the Philippines, the United States should be involved. If it is involved today , but we are now, I don’t think the Philippines is sure. If there are no conflicts today, it is a conflict between coast guard ships. If it is not military , how can it be counted? So this continent I am also on the verge of wandering. I am not the navy of the People's Liberation Army to take you down. It is my coast guard ship or my coast guard ship that is here to take you down. So this also needs to be dealt with. If we in Taiwan follow this path today , for example Guan Biling said that we should follow suit. I think this kind of competition is not good for our small country. If he spends a little military expenditure , you have to follow suit. How can we have so many resources in the Philippines? It is obvious that he choked , but he did not really mean it. Are we really going to follow suit in Taiwan? And we, if you see this increase in military spending , it will be a huge burden on our people .
