Now the United States seems to be causing trouble everywhere. For example, it is dragging India along the Red Sea. Even here in the Philippines, there are traces of the United States. First, let’s take a look at India’s Agni 6. It is said that this can threaten Beijing. They can carry this 10 The range of the nuclear warhead is 12,000 kilometers. India is currently developing a new generation of this ballistic missile called Agni 6. They are the first truly modern intercontinental ballistic missile. Their range is said to be able to cover the whole of China, threatening Beijing. They say it uses solid The fuel rocket engine can carry 10 separately guided nuclear warheads weighing up to 3 tons. It seems that the United States is also supporting India in starting to develop some new weapons. As for mainland China, they now have dual-use military and civilian weapons. Some scientific research ships have been discovered and are increasing research activities on the bottom of the Indian Ocean. American think tanks said that this move may be to help the military map out some wars in this area. They can learn about the relevant map , which is this. During submarine warfare, they can know what the conditions on the seabed are like, and they can also apply it if a war breaks out in the Taiwan Strait. India and Asia may be an important energy supply line for the People's Liberation Army , so mainland China has also responded. Let's take a look at the crisis in the Red Sea that spreads to the Houthis. It is said that our attack targets on the Red Sea will be expanded to include American ships. This is what Houthi officials in Yemen have already made such a statement. The Houthis in Yemen have admitted and said that there will be any attacks on Yemen in the future. In response , they also admitted that they have already bombed American cargo ships. Then, they have some signs that some of their merchant ships in the Red Sea are now trying to dodge missiles. They claim that they are Chinese. When they pass through the Red Sea, there will be rising lights on their ships. People who use the Five-Star Flag will strategically say that they are from mainland China, and Chinese will have such a title to avoid some attacks. Maybe now if they really declare that they are Chinese, they can avoid some possible gunshots on the Red Sea. In the case of a fire break or some attack, the Houthis are here in the Red Sea and some elite troops, including Iran, are supporting them behind the scenes. This is the view of the United States. The military spokesman of the Houthi organization said that we are in Yemen. The Houthi army now regards all American and British warships and ships as enemy targets involved in attacking our country and we can target them . Then they also generously admit that they have Iranian forces behind them because the United States keeps claiming this. CNN also said that Iran, as a major supporter of the Houthis and Hamas, is trying to take advantage of this opportunity and use the Gaza conflict to unite itself with its allies and proxies to fight against the United States ' vision in the Middle East . So it seems like this The Red Sea crisis is also spreading and has involved China and the United States. Let’s take a look. Has the South China Sea now become a place for competition between China and the United States? The Philippines has now announced that it will carry out some development on 9 islands and reefs in the South China Sea. It is hoped that it will be more It is suitable for the army to live in. In addition to Renai Shoal, the Philippines also occupies 8 other islands in the South China Sea , which will be used for military development and residential purposes. Now it seems that the opinions within the Philippines are also very different. Some people are talking about it. The relationship between the Duterte family and the Marcos family has been cooling down. It seems that there are more cracks in the alliance between the two political families. It no longer looks like it used to be . But There is more news that even within the little Marcos family, there are some differences of opinion . The first disagreement about little Marcos was his sister who fired the first shot , and now even him My sister Amy also objected to firing the second shot. She said she opposed the Marcos administration’s pro-American far-China policy and even opposed the Philippine government’s interference in the Taiwan issue . So when she saw the Philippine government turning to the United States’ approach, she immediately The Marcos family does not agree, and this incident also shows that the Philippines is now very divided and divided, and generally disobeys the Marcos authorities. Let’s take a look at the reports of the Hong Kong media. They said that in fact, the United States On the Taiwan issue, they are making some false moves because what they are really targeting is the South China Sea. He said that for mainland China, Taiwan is about national unification , but the South China Sea is about the survival of the country because mainland China has more than 70% of its trade . Energy imports all pass through the South China Sea , so this is the main artery of the country for mainland China, so the United States will lock in the battlefield of the South China Sea. We have seen that the Chinese and American militaries are now having talks for the first time in four years. Now there are insider revelations. In fact, The atmosphere is very tense. The United States is not allowed to change the status quo in the Taiwan Strait , but China is not giving in . So now it seems that this crisis is lurking everywhere, and there is a struggle between China and the United States. First of all, let's ask Mr. Lai. I think the United States now requires American ships to avoid the Red Sea. This sea area is used for transportation to other places. This means that the United States has admitted that it is incapable of escorting. This is a major setback because we had predicted it before. I remember the last time we were here, I had predicted that the United States and the United Kingdom would form a relationship. The 20-nation coalition has no way to maintain the security of this ocean channel. The first and second is that there are many countries that will not follow the United States , so in the end, only the United States can only pull the United Kingdom. As expected, in the end, there are only two countries left: the United Kingdom and the United Kingdom. A country is still in trouble because the British leaked secrets in advance about military operations such as surprise attacks. Human lives are at stake and American soldiers will be killed. If the Houthis have a relatively powerful force like Iran or something like Russia If the United States has this kind of armed force, I don’t know how many people died in these battles in the United States, so it is a taboo for military strategists. Raid operations can be exposed by The Times 2 or 3 hours in advance to tell the other side that I am coming to fight you. This is actually It is human beings , so the United States does not want the United Kingdom for its second military operation. The United Kingdom found a line for itself and said that there was something wrong with its supply ship . This is really embarrassing. But with such an approach of the Houthis, they put their The purpose of linking the blockade of the Red Sea with the war between Israel and Kazakhstan is to achieve permanent peace talks , which means an armistice and an end to the war. In this part, there will be voices in the international community, and there will be many countries that do not oppose it. If there is no objection, it will not be too isolated in its approach. In fact, it affects the economy of the whole world , but it has gained legitimacy when it is linked to the issue of Israel and Kazakhstan . So you see, even Huang Yingxian, Australia , Australia is a country that follows the United States to a great extent. Huang Yingxian has now set off to Jordan. Israel came to Palestine and proposed a two-state solution and advocated a permanent peace negotiation, which means an end to the war. More and more countries are advocating an end to the war. Now the United States and Israel have become completely isolated . I feel that in such a military situation In the operation, the Houthis were originally a group of people . According to theory, their actions should be condemned. But you see , basically the United States cannot attract friends to the whole of Europe. France, Italy, and Spain cannot send any troops. As a result, it can only send British troops . You leaked the information and said that the United States can only fight on its own now . Now you have announced that there will be no war. I think what does this represent? The United States in this part is really Austin. You have been hospitalized for too long, so let me ask the introduction teacher. In fact, the current domestic situation in the Philippines is quite complicated. Last year , around August or September, suddenly the Philippine House of Representatives wanted to remove its current vice president, Sarah Duterte. Sarah Duterte was none other than the daughter of former President Duterte. There was someone there. The rumor is that Marcos is messing with him because the president of the Philippines can only serve one term , and the president and vice president are elected separately. Now it is said that Sarah Duterte originally wanted to elect the president , but Marcos later had someone else. I think it’s because after Duterte and the Marcos family negotiated and compromised privately , they agreed that this term, Marcos Jr. would be the next to be Sarah Duterte. The problem is that there was a gentleman’s agreement first. So this little Marcos successfully became the president of the Philippines . But why did it come out that Sarah was suddenly going to be removed from office by the Philippine House of Representatives. It was said that she illegally used a secret fund of 125 million batches . This incident angered Duterte. Teddy said don't force me to come back . If my daughter is removed from office, I will come back. I may run for vice president again, and at the same time, I may run for senator. So after this incident, a lot of strange things happened in the Philippines. Then many military forces feel ready to make a move , but many people may speculate that it is mainly a competition between the two major families for future power in the Philippines. So in fact, the political situation in the Philippines has often been unstable in the past . It is stable. It is a combination of family politics and the tradition of military intervention in politics. The structure is not stable . But now they have become foreign policy for something else. In fact, the political arena in the Philippines is also very divided . My sister just talked about Marcos. What is relevant about disapproving of Marcos is that the foreign policy adopted by the Philippines between the United States and mainland China is pro-American and anti- China. The Philippines has also expressed its position on the Taiwan issue. This is not just Marcos . The reason why my sister opposes this is that the Philippines cannot play this game and it does not benefit the Philippines at all. The Philippines will only bring disaster to itself and will not bring any benefits to itself. This position of Marcos’s sister is different from that of Duterte. Exactly the same, so in fact, Marcos's foreign policy is also very controversial in the country, so internally, Marcos has only been in office for one year, but it has already caused many major internal policies , and this kind of competition for political power has caused serious internal conflicts. If the division continues, the Philippines is likely to fall into a political chaos like the 1980s and 1990s. Please let me continue to talk about the Philippines. Of course, we cannot comment on their internal affairs, but it is far away. After all, Taiwan is very close, and it will affect our Taiwan. In addition to Duterte’s family, Marcos’s sister is also a Philippine senator, Amy. She is opposed to her brother’s foreign policy towards China and the United States and excessive treatment of Taiwan. This cannot be said to be an interventionist statement. I think we can look at the previous President Duterte. He was also very good to the United States and also very good to mainland China. His profits were greater than the benefits he received from mainland China and the United States. Is there any difference between the benefits we get now from China and the United States ? Of course there is a difference . When Duterte was the last president, he got benefits from both aspects. The reason why Marcos did this is that we have talked about it several times in this program. Is it because the thoughts in his head are a little different ? Or is it his father or himself who has some braids in the hands of the United States ? Otherwise, the changes will be so big , and many politicians in the country have expressed their opposition to him . We also know that he still does this. The South China Sea is very important to the United States . Since its return to Asia, one of the main goals of the United States is the South China Sea . Of course, the East China Sea, the Taiwan Strait, and the South China Sea are very important. For China and the Philippines, the South China Sea is a dispute over territory and resources. Of course, it is very important. Will the old Communist Party give way to many islands and reefs in the South China Sea ? I think it is difficult to talk about territory. Secondly, the South China Sea is very important to the United States and the Philippines. As far as mainland China is concerned, mainland China is its lifeblood. It transports many things, such as crude oil, through the South China Sea and then transported to its country. At the same time, the United States also wants to maintain its hegemony here. This hegemony will affect the survival rights of South Korea and Japan. We broke off diplomatic relations again. This time, Nauru broke off diplomatic relations in a sudden manner two days after our election. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that the other party had made up its mind. Tanaka Mitsu , the deputy director of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, announced the severance of diplomatic relations with Nauru , describing Nauru as a surprise attack on us. The foreign minister Joseph Wu of Guatemala said that he was very angry after learning about the incident. He said that he had spent a lot of time on Nauru and it turned out to be like this. PTT netizens ridiculed him and said this. You have been raided 10 times for several times of anger. He is also the minister who broke off diplomatic relations. During Tsai Ing-wen's tenure, he has actually broken off diplomatic relations with 10 countries. Wu Zhaoxie also contributed a lot . I can only say this , but we always use this way of breaking off diplomatic relations to say people. Is the raid really like this? In fact, Wu Zhaoxie, I remember he said that after May 20, he would no longer continue to hold the position of foreign minister . However, during his tenure, he added another severance of diplomatic relations. Let's take a look at the past in Shi When Panyu was banned, Chen Jizhong was also talking about another raid , and he also took advantage of the time when he was diagnosed to have a raid. Our officials all have the feeling of being raided. If I don’t do well, I am being raided. This is very much a solution. This is a rhetoric used by people involved in foreign affairs. In January, there was a report at that time that the political dispute broke out in Nauru. People involved in foreign affairs said that the pro-China faction lost, and the relationship between Taino and Taiwan became more stable. As a result, it did not take long to stabilize, and soon we were already there. What will it look like if it turns into this and severing diplomatic relations with us? We saw some pictures over there and talked about it. At the end of October 2023, Wu Zhaoxie talked about the defeat of the pro-China faction and our relationship with Nauru. The relationship is very good. Why are they announcing the severance of diplomatic relations with us now? Is Wu Zhaoxie going to come out and make it clear that we can't maintain diplomatic relations anyway? Are they going to turn around now and start humiliating Nauru? We have seen many green media starting to talk about Nouru. Lu, with a population of only 11,000 , made a fortune by selling excrement, and said that people are generally obese. Brother Chen Baiwei 3Q also wanted to talk about how they made a fortune by digging things, and they started to disparage Nauru. In fact, it seems a bit like this. I'm afraid that if my lover can't get him, I'll destroy him. There's really no need to be like this. Instead, I'll think that why is Taiwan handling international diplomacy like this? If you break off diplomatic relations with me, I'll scold you as a stinker. Let’s take a look and there are some other things. For example, friendly channels say that there is no need for any assistance. The beggar countries have started to use words like this . The green camp is looking for clowns to wash away the wind. Is Lai Qingde quiet and silent? It seems that this matter still has nothing to do with him. It's not Tsai Ing-wen's business until 520. When I answer the question after 520, it seems like I'm staying out of the way. Now he's on the road and I haven't gotten the key yet. I'm not driving yet , so he disappeared and he won't answer the question. Let's see Qiao Xin and talk about it. She said that the DPP government has not done anything practical except condemning mainland China . One is that the president who thinks that the Republic of China is a disaster and the Constitution of the Republic of China is a disaster will care about how many diplomatic countries are left with the Republic of China. So I have seen a lot of them. Here is a picture to talk about the top 16 countries that have diplomatic relations with the Republic of China . More and more Out countries are being eliminated in the knockout round. In fact, this in turn means that our diplomatic countries are getting fewer and fewer. Now there are only 12 countries left. In other words, this Can Lai Qingde hold on to these 12 countries, or will anyone else follow up before 520 ? It remains to be seen to break off diplomatic relations with us along with Nauru. Let’s see. The United States is also anxious. The United States immediately sent this veteran after the election. In fact, when we saw the news before the election, we originally thought it might take a week or two for the delegation to visit Taiwan. Why did it come in such a hurry? They hurriedly wanted to have a closed-door meeting with Lai Qingde . They said that when they met, they would be new. The government will maintain peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait and hopes that the United States will continue to support it. In the eyes of others, this seems to be a pretty scene. But the real situation is that the U.S. delegation is eager to frame this interpretation of Brother Liang because Lai Qingde is in The conversation on the day he won the election also made it clear that he wanted to create an atmosphere of confrontation with the mainland. So no wonder the United States is eager to send a delegation to frame him. Don’t give me anything beyond this line. Don’t be a troublemaker. That’s what the United States is really worried about. Let 's take a look at the report of the German Business Daily. He said that the fate of Taiwan will be determined only by the US election . In fact, what determines Taiwan's fate is not January 13 , not last Saturday. The 23 million Taiwanese people voted in the November US presidential election. It is possible that Trump and Biden will face off again . If Trump comes to power, there may be a different situation. We see that this little Marcos is of course following the United States now and seems to be fighting China together. He has also sent a very rare congratulatory message. In fact, when Lai Ching-te was elected President of Taiwan, many green media kept saying that this was recognition of Taiwan and recognition of the role of President of Taiwan . Therefore, the Philippines has actually followed this since it severed diplomatic relations with Taiwan in 1975. one-China principle When the President of the Philippines congratulates the elected President of the Republic of China , this action is quite rare, especially when he also uses the term "President of Taiwan", which is unprecedented . First, let's ask the Commissioner of Fees and Charges what they think of us having severed diplomatic relations now . Should we continue? As long as the United States does not support it, more and more people will break off diplomatic relations . When President Tsai took office, there were 22, 23, 23, and 23. Now there are only 12 countries left in Nauru . I think maybe our ambassadors will be relatively familiar with each other. It seems to be in the north of New Zealand. I just searched it. It is very small. 21 square kilometers . 21 square kilometers is 1/12 of Taipei City , which means it is about the same size as our administrative district. It has a population of 12,500 people and a per capita income of more than 10,000 yuan. But I remember when we were studying in Nauru, there should be a lot of seabirds there . Its guano and its phosphate rock used to be a great help to the country . I don’t think Nauru is a very rich country . Of course, if some economic resources are needed for exchanges with these countries , it is necessary to provide some economic assistance or provide them with guidance on how to engage in industry and commerce. They probably have no jobs. The population is too small and the land area is too small. This country should be mainly affected by the two countries. One is the United States and the other is Australia. Of course, it may also be mainland China, mainland China, the United States, and Australia. Everyone has been rushing to compete with some island countries in the South Pacific because Australia, in particular, is very concerned about it. So I think this is the case, but we cannot hold on to this. The country notified you suddenly and then immediately cut off diplomatic relations. Our diplomacy really needs to work harder. How could it end up like this? Because in this country of more than 10,000 people, I remember I once told him that they had just finished reelection . The anti-communist, anti-CCP faction lost. As a result, we are now starting to criticize mainland China for intervening in our diplomacy. It is not good to speak with conscience . It just happened that when a cabinet member in the Executive Yuan was to be changed, Mr. Wu Zhaoxie spoke with conscience for a day. I will only get angry when the diplomatic relations are severed. I really don’t see how it will actually help our diplomacy. I also suggest using this opportunity to replace the country with someone to play the role of maintaining our diplomatic relations . Let me ask for advice. In fact, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs' press conference on Nauru's severance of diplomatic relations , Tanaka Hikaru, made it very clear. He said that the political situation in Nauru began to change in October last year, so he himself went to Nauru once. Of course, it was to consolidate diplomatic relations , and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs finally It was decided to send Ambassador Zhou Jinfa Zhou, who had served as ambassador to Nauru for 5 years, to go back and take over as ambassador. Because he had a very good relationship with Nauru in the past, he had some understanding of it . However, the reporter asked him again what Mitsu Tanaka said. Do you think this severance of diplomatic relations is surprising? Tanaka Hikaru said that it was a sudden situation, but the problem is that he also said that the changes in Nauru had already begun in October last year. At that time, Huang Jiezheng was the Kuomintang stationed in the United States. The representative once specifically raised the issue of Nauru because he invited the former president of Nauru to come to Taiwan on October 10. However, when the president returned to Nauru on October 30, he was overthrown and a new president was replaced. So of course Huang Jiezheng said that if you only pay attention to these big countries that have diplomatic relations with the United States and Japan, you should also pay attention to it. You know what Wu Zhaoxie said at the time. He said that Huang Jiezheng's criticism was ridiculous and in vain for his status as a scholar. Who is more ridiculous now? Now that Nauru has severed diplomatic relations, what did Huang Jiezheng do? It is said that when there was a problem, he gave a reminder. Wu Zhaoxie responded with this attitude. It can be seen that Wu Zhaoxie, who was full of emotions and not rational enough , did not listen to what others said. That is why many people now say why Nauru has this problem today. Because its financial gap is about NT$2.3 billion. If calculated in total, it is less than 100 million U.S. dollars, right ? Because it used to help the Australian detention center. The illegal immigrants deported from Australia were all placed in Nauru. There are some concentration camps that he has to guard now . Because there are fewer people, Australia has to close the concentration camp, so Nauru loses its main source because of financial problems. If you talk about this reason, why does Nauru think it can ask for NT$2.3 billion? Because you gave it to that person at that time. Wu Zhaoxie, you gave 1.2 billion US dollars to Lithuania, which has no diplomatic relations . The market was bad. The market was bad . We were constantly talking about it here. If you do this, all the countries that have diplomatic relations will increase their demands on you . And you don’t agree to give it to other countries that have diplomatic relations with you. Just say that I will give you diplomatic recognition. You have no diplomatic recognition with these countries. Why did you give it 1.2 billion U.S. dollars? Why didn’t you give me this mere NT$2.3 billion, which is less than 100 million U.S. dollars ? Ambassador, we are curious because this Nauru will It won't be just the beginning. We just saw a new news. The Global Times said that Nauru's severance of diplomatic relations is just the beginning. Will the pressure on Taiwan be stronger after the election ? Of course, it will definitely start . It will not only start with this country. I think this is just the first domino. If mainland China wants to compete with us for diplomatic relations, it will not only have economic aid as a tool. China is one of the most influential member states in the United Nations. It can allow the United Nations to give a lot. The aid program for third world countries can help you get it passed in the United Nations . Then many of these third world countries like Nauru and even the prime minister want to go wherever they want to go to the United Nations agency to do things because one month With a salary of 20,000 U.S. dollars, the United Nations wants to ask anyone to help. Mainland China should help. So in addition to its strong economic strength, it also has great political influence. So we really need to have diplomatic relations with China . If the mainland confronts us head-on, I think we will have to pay a huge price. Then the problem will become this. Wu Zhaoxie made many strategic mistakes. I think the 1.2 billion US dollars in Lithuania is one of the important reasons why our diplomatic relations are shaken today. I would like to ask Lai for advice. Teacher, this place, Nauru, is the traditional sphere of influence of the United States and Australia , especially Australia , because the United States has required Australia to manage and operate this place for so many years , and we have had diplomatic relations with Taiwan for so many years . The place is so small, 1/12 of Taipei , and the population is so small . The per capita income of more than 20,000 people is not less than 10,000 US dollars. It is higher than this in Ukraine. It is higher than Vietnam and the Philippines. But in such a small place, the news can be wrapped up in an airtight place. In such a small place in Taiwan, it is only 10,000 US dollars. A place with many people. Our ambassador and embassy in Nauru knew nothing about any political intelligence. There was no political intelligence from the United States and Australia . All of them failed. Then the special delegation of the President of the United States came to Taiwan in the evening. The news coverage of the sudden severance of diplomatic relations the next morning overwhelmed all the news. What is this? The United States is disgraced. So you see AIT is getting angry and saying that everyone is here to develop relations with Taiwan . This is called getting angry. Then don’t you advocate the one-China principle and do not support Taiwan independence ? It changed again. What is this called a direct slap in the face? Why is it said to be a direct slap in the face? This is not only a problem between the two sides , but also a problem between China and the United States . Because in 2022, Solomon signed a security agreement with mainland China. At that time, the United States has already felt that the power of the mainland has entered. The power of the mainland has entered the South Pacific island countries . This is a certain reason because it wants to develop a grand strategy , so it must go here to develop a grand strategy. It has gone here because there was the 1992 Consensus and the 1992 Consensus. The consensus-based diplomatic truce has restrained the mainland from developing in this place. Why? Because it values the 1992 Consensus more, our diplomatic relations here are relatively stable and safe, and the United States is also relatively safe . So the United States hired a deputy chief of police. Australia is very cruel to this place. It found a Taiwanese Kaizi brother and kept giving money. So it is hard and soft to match the mainland. It is difficult and unwilling to develop in this place. But it needs to develop in this place because it wants to develop. When it was a maritime power, the South Pacific island country was an important strategic location. But now that Tsai Ing-wen doesn’t want the 1992 Consensus, it has developed as a whole. It has been more than 2 years since the United States started fighting in 2002. Blinken has also gone, and Xueman has also gone. Biden twice invited the leaders of 18 countries from these places to the White House to take family photos and have dinner twice . He also cut off diplomatic relations with Taiwan and directly slapped the United States in the face. What does this mean? What is the diplomatic battlefield between China and the United States ? Okay, let’s take a break from commercials and be back soon . Come welcome this stage and join us for discussion. Guest Legislator Fei Hongtai. Hello everyone . Former Ambassador Jie Wen. Ji Zhaiyi. Hello friends. Hello, international affairs expert Lai Yueqian. Moderator. Hello friends. Audience friends. Everyone is very much looking forward to it. I am afraid that the next Congress will be. One of the highlight events was because of the excitement. Many rivals or people who had conflicts and conflicts came to the hall of Congress . Of course, the first one I want to talk about is the reunion between Han Guoyu and Wang Shijian , the old enemy. Everyone still remembers it? Is it a famous scene? The northern and southern rookies are connected in series. It is because of the showdown between Wang Shijian and Han Guoyu that caused that wave of cold weather. Let’s take a look at it again. We saw Ke Wenzhe laughing next to him. In fact, this scene was also on the Internet at that time. It triggered a wave of viral messages and clicks, and it is constantly being broadcast on TV stations, so everyone is also looking forward to it. If these two old enemies meet in the Legislative Yuan , it will be very interesting. Let's take a look at this in the next 4 years. Yu Beichen mentioned him. If Han Kuo-yu becomes the president of the Legislative Yuan , then the Democratic Progressive Party will not actually have to block Han Kuo-yu, because when he becomes the president, TV stations across the country will watch whether he goes to work on time, and the attendance rate of the Legislative Yuan will definitely increase. In other words, in fact , Han Kuo-yu will It is a focus. Of course, the green media also paid special attention to him. For example, in 2018, the vegetable vendor Han Guoyu overthrew Chen Qimai, the Hong Kong Governor, and the green space turned into a blue sky. At that time, he said that if you win, the vegetable stall will lose the country. There was also such a statement at the time , and whether it was possible to question Han Kuo-yu. Lin Guoqing said that the legislators were envious of Kaohsiung legislators. So at that time, wherever there was Han Kuo- yu, there was such a voice and attention , so Kaohsiung also became Let ’s take a look at the focus of the news. Let’s take a look at who will be at the helm of the House of Representatives next. Now there are rumors that party officials in the blue camp say that Han Changpei like Huang Guochang will be targeted to compete for the leadership of the Legislative Yuan. They say that currently It is like this, and we hope that a Blue and White coalition can be staged in the Legislative Yuan. But who is this party official? Because he is anonymous, who is speaking out? Or should Zhu Lilun just come out and explain clearly what is the current approach of the Kuomintang or is it a way to go to the Congress? Isn’t it possible that there might be a blue-white alliance in the Legislative Yuan ? I’m afraid we still need the party chairman to come out and make it clear. So now everyone is analyzing Who will be the Legislative Yuan in the end ? Huang Weihan’s analysis is like this. He said that if the White People’s Party does not support Yu Xikun, then it should be Han Kuo-yu in the end. If we look at different scenarios, if the People’s Party supports the Democratic Progressive Party, it will be Yu Xikun. If this buffalo guy is at the helm of this legislative chamber and does not support the Green Party, as long as he does not support the Green Party, in fact, with the KMT’s own votes and the fact that he has no party membership, even if he does not support the Blue Party , Han Kuo-yu will definitely be elected because the KMT has 52 seats. If you add in the 2 seats without party membership, it will be larger than the 51 seats of the DPP. After this congressional battle, there are several issues that everyone needs to pay attention to. First, the term of NCC Chen Yaoxiang is about to expire, and now the first battle between the blue and green legislators will take place in July. So this brother Liang analyzed that the Kuomintang should express its stance on the matter of the closure of friendly channels. Now that the DPP has controlled the media for 8 years, it finally has the opportunity to start to have checks and balances. Another question is whether the high-end should let the whole people see this contract. Wang Bisheng said that the high-end board of directors will hold a meeting in the near future and will decide whether to disclose the contract this week . However, it has been 17 days and Lai Qingde has also been elected. What are you still delaying ? Come back and see if there is another focus next. The issue of whether Chen Shui-bian will be pardoned was raised in 2019 when Lai Ching-te forced Tsai Ing-wen to go to the palace , but later he seemed to have never mentioned it . Then we see that Chen Shui-bian also appeared in court to help his daughter win. He was unable to appear in court for two corruption cases and was released on medical parole. Now the controversy has arisen again and is being discussed again. He could help Chen Xingyu fight the lawsuit , but he was unable to appear in court for his own corruption case . Moreover, he also defended Chen Xingyu's lawsuit in court . The defense lasted for 20 minutes , so what happened? Many netizens were talking about how it would be okay to defend my daughter in Tainan , because Tainan is a democratic treasure land , and of course it must be very A-bian. So we see that Shi Mingde just left yesterday and left everyone , so many people In remembering him and missing him, Lin Huanqiang also said that Shi Mingde made two prophecies during his lifetime , both of which came true . The first prophecy was that the DPP would be fully in power. It was really scary. The second prophecy was that whenever the DPP was caught for corruption, it would be said. It was a political persecution and then the whole party supported him. Now it seems that the DPP is like this. Then we look at Lin Junxian here in Tainan. It seems that he first announced that he was elected , but there was resentment behind his election and was analyzed by others as bilingual and unable to party. This Xiao Zhenhong actually did not have any campaign activities. He was in the same constituency as Lin Junxian in Tainan and he got more than 30,000 votes and 38,000 votes without even voting for himself. Wang Jiazhen could not run because of the suspended sentence of his case . There were another 27,000 spoiled votes in the invisible contest , so the total of more than 60,000 votes is equivalent to the most silent protest against the Democratic Progressive Party, which does not seem to matter here in Tainan. Are you so supportive of the Democratic Progressive Party anymore? First, let’s ask Commissioner Fei who will be the leader of the party in the next Congress. The 11th legislator we are about to take office on February 1 is indeed different from the previous one . It's the same. I remember that under Chen Shui-bian, the majority of the blue camp was about 3/4 and the highest was 3/4. Then it would be one-sided . In the 8 years since Tsai Ing-wen was president, the Democratic Progressive Party alone had a majority , so after a few battles in the Legislative Yuan, there was no fight. In the end, everything was passed by vote. This time it is different. Although the People's Party has a small number, it is decisive. If we want to get a majority, it is 113 seats divided by 2, which means 57 seats. The Kuomintang plus friendly forces 54 seats, the DPP 51 seats, and the other 8 seats must be fought for. When you come to the Kuomintang side, you must strive for 3 or 4 votes. Of course, it is more stable. So this ecology will change from now on. It will change. We first want to elect the dean and deputy dean. There are three ways to choose . A blue and white combination is very clear. One is the white-green alliance, which is also very clear. The other is that the three parties each put forward their own candidates, which is also very clear. That’s it. So the first way to select the dean has become quite complicated . I want to arrive on February 1st. The decision should be finalized on January 29th or even the 30th. In this Congress, for example, our justices , our supervisory committees , and the upcoming NCC members all require the Legislative Yuan to pass this by majority vote. At that time, if the Democratic Progressive Party said that you would not cooperate with other political parties, it would be difficult for you to pass the test like Chen Yaoxiang of the NCC. He only does things all day long that I think are outrageous. If you say that you are concerned about friendly channels, you will be concerned about friendly channels. If you are talking about friendly channels, what else is wrong? He has given him this. I think it is really very , very not an independent organization. It does not play the role of the Dongchang. This time the ecological change of the Legislative Yuan will happen. If people like Chen Yaoxiang want to continue to act recklessly, they will go through me. I want to change this, so the ecology of the Legislative Yuan has changed significantly this time. Of course, many things will affect it. As for the host who started talking about whether Han Guoyu and Wang Shijian will still be tit-for- tat , I don’t think so. Why? Legislators can’t question legislation. The most the committee member can say is what bad thing have you done ? I will hold a press conference to expose your scars. What bad thing has he done? I will also expose your scars . I don’t agree or I agree and he doesn’t agree. What should I do ? This is probably the only situation like in the past in the Taipei City Council because one is an official and the other is a member. In the Legislative Yuan, the two of them have this matter. It’s unlikely to happen , but alliances like Su Qin’s alliances will often happen in the next four years. In fact, I think the Kuomintang supports Blue and lets Blue become the dean. It supports Green and lets Green become the dean. But in the Many issues are based on my feelings about Huang Guochang. Huang Guochang and I have worked together with him. He is a very serious person, very conscientious, and has good ethics. If there are some major issues of right and wrong, he may not support which party. Of course, he will stick to his ideas . If they stick to their ideals, then that bill will be passed. Otherwise, that bill will be very difficult. Please ask an introduction teacher. You know that in democratic politics, there are only two types of political parties, one is called the ruling party and the other is the opposition party. If you vote to join another ruling party, you will be in power. Party, you are not an opposition party , so I don’t know if the People’s Party in Taiwan knows this truth. If your people enter the government of the ruling party or you combine with people of the ruling party in your parliament , then you If you are not doing checks and balances, you are not an opposition party. So this is the most basic distinction. For example, in a cabinet system country, for example, the current Japanese Civic Party and the current Liberal Democratic Party are in joint governance, so they are not counted. The opposition party is considered the ruling party, right ? Therefore, the current Kuomintang cannot become the ruling party. I think the Kuomintang should also refuse at this time. If the Lai Qingde government tells the Kuomintang that I hope that Kuomintang talents will also join my government , it should refuse. Because this is a violation of the so-called checks and balances concept of democratic politics . But if there are still political parties and some people join the current ruling party, they cannot be regarded as the opposition party. On the other hand, let alone the attack and defense of the Congress , there is only one in power and one in opposition. You can't say that I still support the ruling party. This part is really because I think our current political system is chaotic enough. Now our 60-year-old majority has to obey the 40-year-old minority. In the past, this was rare at all times and at home and abroad. This is not called democracy. The basic principle of democracy is called the minority obeying the majority. It is called the majority obeying the minority. So this is already confusing enough. If the Legislative Yuan continues to make the ruling party and the opposition parties confused , then I think Taiwan will not be able to figure it out in the next four years. Is it chaos or chaos ? Everyone says that if I follow my own opinions , why should the system do it? Isn’t it right? There is a problem with the system. So I think in the Legislative Yuan, we can see who is speculating and who is disrespecting. According to the principles of democratic politics, who is really going to be a loyal opposition party, loyal to the people, and good at overseeing a government that abuses power, corrupts, and perverts the law ? I think Taiwan is currently facing many challenges both internally and externally. Whoever can play the role of the opposition party will get the support and appreciation of the 60% of Taiwanese people who are the majority of the real people. So if there is a chance at this time, I will also want to cooperate with a corrupt regime that has a record of 8 years . If there is room for cooperation, then I think 60% of Taiwan's voters and 60% of the people will gradually become disappointed with this political party and eventually cast aside this. I think here I understand that it is to remind the People's Party that you should be clear about it and you can't do it well. The ruling party is not like the ruling party. The opposition party is not like the opposition party. What are your ideas? You are a new citizens' movement. If you want to change Taiwan's political culture, changing Taiwan's political culture means destroying Taiwan's political culture. Everyone is standing on the fence. Isn't there any determination? Do you have a clear political stance? Do you have a clear idea of where you stand? If you say here today that you are in the Legislative Yuan and you want to cooperate with the Democratic Progressive Party , then may I ask who you are? What role do you play in our society? Many people who voted for you will think that you are asked to come out with checks and balances to pull down the green government. As a result, once you enter the Legislative Yuan, you cooperate with the green. What kind of political integrity does this count? Well, please ask Mr. Lai. I boldly predict that I am Based on the information released by the People's Party in the past few days about the president and their future activities in the Legislative Yuan, I judge that they have emphasized one point , that is, they don't care who becomes the president or deputy president . They don't care about the second thing they emphasized. They want the group to come in and the group to go out. So if we extrapolate from these two principles, I personally think that the People's Party itself will nominate its own candidates for president and vice president on February 1st, so it will be done in full accordance with this legal, regulatory and procedure. That means that the three parties will all launch their own candidates. Of course, no one will pass in the first round. Of course, they will enter the second round of voting. My personal judgment is that they will not open the voting to anyone. It is estimated that in the end , they decided to open the voting for the People's Party and let themselves vote . This would violate their basic principle of group in and group out. If they still insist on the basic principle of group in and group out, then will they vote or not? My guess is that they won't vote for it because they said they don't care who becomes the dean or vice-dean. If that's the case, theoretically speaking, they shouldn't vote for it. Then the people from the blue camp and the green camp will fight against the blue camp. If we can win the support of friendly parties and the attendance rate is all full, then it must be a move, so everyone will attend, so if Judging from this inference, the chance of Lanying getting the position of president and deputy dean is the highest. This is how I infer. As for someone in the Kuomintang to spread the word, I think this is a very stupid thing to say that they are targeting Huang Guochang. Frankly speaking, the Kuomintang is now Trying to reach into the People's Party or provoke dissent within the People's Party. Such a strategy is basically extremely stupid because it is not conducive to future alliances between political parties. So I personally think that the Kuomintang's This culture of talking out loud should really stop. It is not good for them to keep talking out loud. Then after the meeting, there was an issue about the NCC. I think that if it is to be beneficial to the People's Party and the Kuomintang, there must be a strong and powerful party. Media checks and balances Now that the entire congressional ecosystem has ended, the NCC is dominated by the Democratic Progressive Party . Although we all know that the NCC should be beyond party affiliation , it is obvious and regrettable that our NCC is now dominated by the Democratic Progressive Party. It has operated to the point where it no longer transcends political parties , so our public opinion and social consensus believe that the NCC is no longer an independent institution that transcends political parties and belongs to our people. In this situation , the current ecology of the Legislative Yuan has turned such an institution into a new one. The foundation of the NCC has been broken again. We can take the NCC back into our hands. So I think the NCC, whether it is the People's Party or the Kuomintang, must give the media more balanced power in this part and not let the green media dominate the green media. In the previous part, Meiyu had to intervene severely when facing the NCC . Let’s take a break for commercials and come back soon.
