Let's take a look at Yin Xiyue. Just as the professor just said, was n't it true that Yin Xiyue visited the United States at this time last year and received very high-level courtesy? As a result, his domestic polls dropped sharply yesterday. The congressional re-election results were released this morning in Taiwan time. Of course, the final results were announced based on accurate calculations. In short , the turnout has reached a 32-year high of 67%, which is similar to Taiwan. Of the 300 seats, the opposition Democratic Party and other parties jointly won 175 seats. Obviously, the ruling party only had 108 seats . This is already a completely lame and resounding defeat. Of course, before the election, why did everyone assess that there were several important factors affecting the election? So let the first lady disappear for 117 days and not appear again. If you appear again, it will affect Yin Xiyue's election. As a result, she disappeared for 117 days and it was still because of this green onion that the green onion incident caused a green onion revolution. Obviously, issues such as price inflation and more people's livelihood issues , rather than your interaction with the United States, won the hearts of voters . So this time in the Korean election The opposition party won a huge victory and the people voted to punish it. Yoon Seok- yue said that accepting the public opinion shown after this election with an open mind will revolutionize the national government and continue to do its best to stabilize the economy and people's livelihood. Korean analysts believe that the focus of this election is who do you want to punish , Yoon Seok-yue or Lee Jae-myung? Is the opposition party's excessive pro- U.S. and Japan one of the reasons why Yin Xiyue lost? Everyone, let's observe that Yin Xiyue's diplomatic policy is often criticized by the opposition party because he is excessively pro-American and pro-Japan. Yin Xiyue's approach of getting closer to the United States and Japan made his diplomatic line win. This result is a disastrous defeat . In the next three lame years , it is difficult to say whether Kishida 's pro-American dream will be shattered like that of Yoon Seok-yue if he wants to boost more poll numbers at home. It is even possible to be impeached. I don’t know , but they look very happy. This photo was said to be very cute. The two people were smiling and taking a selfie on the presidential limousine. Biden sent a message to tell everyone that our partnership is unbreakable. Then came Fumio Kishida. He also posted on the social media that Japan has officially become a comprehensive global partner of the United States, accelerating cooperation including the development of military and defense equipment. He was so happy to visit the United States and was said to be Biden- like because he made a slip of the tongue and said that China is our ally. No...hurry up and correct it and say I'm sorry. Based on the strong trust relationship between our allies and the United States , we will urge China to fulfill its responsibilities as a major country . However, he is still practicing his English hard in order to visit the United States. As a result, it has been reported by many people in the local Japanese media , but it has been reported by the Japanese media. Public reports revealed that they were dissatisfied and believed that Fumio Kishida had put the cart before the horse and was too subservient to the United States. If you have time to practice English, why not pay more attention to Japan’s national life? Of course, economic inflation is still the issue that people are most concerned about in terms of economic prices. Japanese polls Polls showing that Kishida Fumio's approval rate has dropped again at this moment when he is visiting the United States. This was released by NHK on April 8. The Kishida cabinet's approval rate fell to 23% , which was another 2% drop from last month. 2%, because this is of course Everyone knows that he is about to go on a trip. After the trip, we can survey everyone's feedback, but the disapproval rate has risen to 1% before departure on the 8th , reaching 58%. Even with such a high ratio of 50% and 80%, we are not satisfied with the approval rate, which is only 20%. 3 is another new low. Compared with the approach of resisting China, it is much closer to Europe. Cooperation matters are handled by the economy. Wang Wentao of mainland China especially cooperates more with France to improve the prospects for Sino-French economic and trade cooperation. What is the prospect? There must be a total of 78.9 billion US dollars in various cooperative trades to achieve more results. The Ministry of Commerce has held a roundtable for French companies investing in China. Of course, many first-class companies, including BNP Paribas, Michelin and Zurich , are attending the meeting. It is to strive for various investment opportunities in mainland China . Of course, Germany ’s so-called dream team, led by Xiaozi, has the most important French companies from the 14th to the 16th. Whether it is BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Siemens, etc., they are all economically dependent on this market. The inability to decouple is an important indicator. Brother Liang, when you see the results in South Korea , look at the current visit of Fumio Kishida in Japan. Is there any way to save your own polls ? Just observe the indicators. The strategies of both of them to save their own polls are very similar, which is to be pro-American. Then create a summit and see if it can boost the pro-American and anti-communist polls in the country. This is not necessarily anti-China because it is also anti-Russian and anti-communist. In fact, Yin Xiyue is more difficult. Why? Because the public opinion in South Korea is probably pro-American and anti-American. Half and half has always been the case. So you see, Moon Jae-in will also be elected , right? Kim Dae-jung was also elected before. Japan is different. The overall pro-American polls in Japan should be above 65%, so Yin Xiyue’s foundation is relatively stable . And I saw a The current poll of Japan's Liberal Democratic Party is only about 28% , but other parties are less than 10%. There is no obvious challenger in Japan. As many as 41% consider themselves to have no party membership and no affiliation. Therefore, the party system that Kishida belongs to is Japan. It is fragmented , but that is not the case in South Korea. In fact , the opposition in South Korea is very organized and fiercely confronting Lee Jae-myung. We know that he was also confused a while ago, right? In fact, I think this election has shocked everyone because of the previous polls. It’s not that big of a difference, but the election result was the biggest defeat in history. I think there are probably two types of people who may not be easily surveyed by public opinion polls. One is the middle and lower class people , and the other is young people. Once the turnout rate is high, it comes out. Yes...just 67%. They are actually dissatisfied with the economy. So once the turnout is high, you are doomed. But will this lead to the impeachment of Yin Xiyue ? I don’t think it’s because the only impeached president in Korean history was Park Geun-hye. The number of votes for Park Geun-hye’s impeachment was 234. It had something to do with her bestie ... So basically , you can’t have any more scandals, otherwise your party will It will be divided because Park Geun-hye’s party is divided . Otherwise, how could you reach 234 votes ? So now you see that the opposition party’s 175 votes are still far away from 2/3. In fact, there is still a long way to go because South Korea stipulates that with 300 votes, you need 2/3 , so at least If you want 200 votes , it’s Yoon Seok-yue. Don’t let any bad scandals break out in the future . Otherwise, you will really do it. Don’t become the second Park Geun-hye. So he will probably have to strictly restrict his wife’s movements in the future. This way, because his wife is often chased , she hides. 117 days is still useless because people are so impressed with you . You spend so much money to do something that is not there. So Yin Xiyue will not be able to do it in the future because frankly speaking, he now knows what role the United States can really play on the Korean Peninsula . Because At that time, he was eager to bring nuclear weapons into South Korea . Then look at the intensity of Kim Jong-un's backlash. Yesterday I saw a report that Kim Jong-un is currently inspecting 6 types of weapons. So you see , what do you have when faced with this situation ? The conditions are against China , so frankly speaking , I think South Korea will make appropriate concessions at the China-Japan-ROK Summit. It is different from Japan because Japan and China not only have the factors of the eight-year war of resistance , but also the US-Japan security is the most powerful in Asia. In the future, if you look at mainland China with an alliance system , in fact, when Ma Ying-jeou went to Beijing, there was another important figure in Beijing, Lavrov, the Russian Foreign Minister , who was helping Putin make arrangements for his possible visit to China in the future, so what do you think about the China-Russia summit? When I think about it, I think military cooperation will be unprecedented. What is China and Russia going to do together? Their opponents are the United States and Japan. So I think Japan's sense of crisis will be more obvious, directed at China , but South Korea is not South Korea. The crisis comes from North Korea . What’s the point of being anti-China? In fact, China is one of the countries that can control North Korea. So I think Yin Xiyue may be forced to adjust some of his diplomatic strategies . Frankly speaking , he may show some signs of cooperation with China. Kishida needs to continue to observe, because theoretically the president of the Liberal Democratic Party will be re-elected in September , so if you are overthrown, you will not be able to sit still. I don’t know if you can sit still. So theoretically, it is possible for Kishida to take office in September. Yes, the Liberal Democratic Party is here. The Japanese media are expected to be uneasy about the re-election , because there are challengers... but basically it is still the Liberal Democratic Party . So Kishida frankly said that this visit to the United States is also to gain points for himself in the party. This is probably the case . But General, we have seen that there are It is impossible for everyone to have the same analysis as Brother Liang. Many foreign media analyzes are also looking at whether South Korea will adjust its strategy towards China after this setback. Next, Japan is said to have military cooperation with various countries based on poll numbers. All kinds of cooperation will affect the different contexts of politics in the entire region. Regarding South Korea, I think Yoon Seok-yue made a diplomatic strategic mistake. He should focus on North Korea because we know that in January this year, North Korea shelled Baengnyeong Island and Especially on Yeonpyeong Island , due to the September 19 Agreement in 2019, no drills or shelling can occur there . As a result, the Korean Peninsula has become very tense, so Yin Xiyue has always had a close relationship with the United States. However, there is no way to ease the internal affairs of North Korea, causing the people of South Korea to live in a state of fear. In this way, the Korean peninsula will be unstable and tense. As a result, Yin Xiyue's overall polls are still This election will have a very far-reaching impact , so we see that Yin Xiyue 's party's vote rate is very poor, and this situation has led to him always grabbing the thigh of the United States. In fact, he can fix the Korean peninsula, fix North Korea, and Kim Jong-un. After getting his vote, it turned out that he was holding the thigh of the United States. As a result, Kim Jong-un was so anxious that he jumped over the wall. Or he was constantly shooting missiles, shooting, cruising, and missiles every day . And he wanted to develop this hypersonic missile. You caused the Korean Peninsula to become extremely unstable. How can the people of South Korea live their lives if they are not peaceful ? Similarly, we are now looking at Japan. Japan is also clinging to the thigh of the United States. As a result, it is relatively neglectful of internal affairs. So if you look at Fumio Kishida's entire poll of 23%, it is all stuck to the floor. It has already fallen to the floor and is lying on the ground. In this situation, he may want to focus not on international diplomacy or making trouble outside. He should focus on Japan's internal affairs. This is the right direction for him. Sometimes I think they put Emphasis on diplomacy may be used as a material for internal propaganda and can be used for propaganda and hype , but the problem is that we still need to return to the fundamentals. Everyone still needs to see their own pockets, their jobs , and their own prices and inflation. This is the situation that the people are more concerned about, but this is because the votes are in the hands of the people and not in the hands of the United States. So I think their focus is to adjust. In addition, we see that the trade volume between China and France has been rising last year in 2023. Their trade with each other is US$78.9 billion. Mainland China is France 's largest trading partner in Asia. Now it has become that situation. I think this will continue to heat up. Why is it because now mainland China wants to buy passenger planes from the United States? Boeing. We know that the Boeing 737 MAX often has problems. The tire fell off , the engine stalled , and the escape door flew off again. So , the market in mainland China is huge. China's C919 has not yet been able to mass-produce it to meet its domestic demand , so it still has to go to France. Buy an Airbus . Buy an Airbus. We know that buying an airplane is not like buying some of these daily necessities. The price is very high. At a high price, you buy an order for 100 or 200 planes. If you buy like this , their trade will heat up immediately. So next time In May, Xi Jinping is going to visit France. I think trade is the key point . What list should be purchased ? Mainland China’s high-speed rail should help France to do France’s nuclear energy. Because France is relatively heavy on nuclear energy, power generation also needs to help mainland China develop. So their trade will continue to heat up. I believe that when Xi Jinping goes to France in May, the cooperation between the two countries will be further advanced in terms of economy and trade , or in the mutual assistance and cooperation we talked about, especially in aerospace. Professor, of course, the United States Is it a geopolitical consideration to bring Japan and South Korea together ? And these two countries know that there is nothing wrong with the heads of state receiving high courtesy when they go there , but what really determines whether they will adjust their strategies next is domestic public opinion. Obviously Fumio Kishida is waiting. This strategy must not end up like Yin Xiyue's. I agree very much . Any politician's policy , which you think is a brilliant policy, must find a way to convert it into domestic support or election results , otherwise it will be a waste of time. In fact, this is a situation that every country will face. This South Korean election is also a very surprising result. It is a little bit unexpected for the Green Onion Revolution because before the election, the opposition was strong, but after the election, the opposition was even bigger. There were 300 congresses. The number of seats in the House of Representatives is 254 seats divided by regions and 46 seats divided by regions. Currently, it seems that the Democratic Party of Korea and its alliance should have more than 170 seats. With the ruling National Power, his number of seats will be further reduced. Is there any difference ? The number of seats in this Congress can depend on the dominance of the bill, the processing of the budget, and the approval of personnel. This is very, very beneficial to the opposition party. So we are all talking about how brilliant the foreign policy is even if it performs abroad. How high is the exposure rate of establishing good relations with the international community , but it is still most critical to reflect it domestically ? Why did the ruling party lose so much in the Congress this time ? Of course, there are different interpretations. Some people say it is foreign policy , such as the opposition parties’ fierce attack on cross-strait relations. I’m asking about your views on the Russia-Ukraine war. Are you too wishful thinking in supporting Ukraine? Are you too liberal with Japan? You seem to have forgotten the past plots between Japan and South Korea. These are all attacks , but there is another more basic one. After all, it is a congressional election . In this election, the common people have experienced a slowdown in medical care, an economic slowdown, an increase in unemployment , and a sense of powerlessness in the misery index of life. These cannot be solved in a day or two. In addition , some of the things I just mentioned about the first lady have a good social perception , so this is reflected in the overall I will briefly talk about the votes above. At the same time, we can see that German Chancellor Schautz visited China from April 14th to 16th. The last time he was elected was in November 2022, the first year he was elected . At that time, he was very cautious. Because in the past, The German Chancellor's visit to China was almost a traditional one during the Merkel period. He led a large number of economic entrepreneurs. In fact, this time, even though there were still some minor disputes in Sino-German relations , in business terms Even though there is some resistance in the current traffic light cabinet , as some political parties are relatively anti-China, Shang Xiaozi still leads large companies to mainland China as usual , obviously to cooperate , because after all, China is mainland China's largest trading partner in Europe . Germany has not changed the issue of the upcoming war. Is it imminent in the Middle East? We have discussed it for many days. After Iran was attacked, many analysts believe that a storm is coming. I wonder if it is possible that the Gaza conflict will cause even greater damage in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The latest report from Bloomberg really scares everyone about the spread of the war. They say that intelligence analysts have said that Iran or its proxies are about to launch large-scale missile or drone attacks against Israeli military and government targets . The war will escalate significantly, and large-scale attacks are about to begin. This really makes many people familiar with the analysis of all the uncertainties in the Middle East peninsula. The Iranian attack is not whether it will happen , but will happen within a few days. In fact , this kind of insecurity , of course, the price of gold has stopped hitting new highs for eight consecutive days , but the price of oil has also surged by 1% while it has been hitting new highs. This reflects possible concerns about the tense situation in the Middle East , and Iran is reported to be about to attack Israeli targets. Therefore, Lufthansa has suspended flights to Tehran due to global tensions. They said they must maintain and ensure the safety of staff and tourists . Therefore, even aviation and all international indicators are worried about this area in Iran. What kind of situation would it be like to join the war ? Can the United States control it? Is it possible for the war between Israel and Kazakhstan to escalate significantly? How serious will the casualties become? But what about Moscow? The Russia- Ukraine war is still going on. This terrorist attack in Moscow is the entire war. At a turning point , the spokesperson of the Investigative Committee on the Russian Terrorist Attack suddenly sent out a message telling everyone that investigators have determined where the funds behind the Moscow terrorist attack came from, including an energy company operating in Ukraine. This energy company is Who is a very familiar name is Biden's son Hunter's important investment in Ukraine , so this company has been accused by Congress of being involved in illegal transactions. Now Russia is blatantly saying that the source of funds is this company. Does this mean that you , Biden, have had any involvement? Did the family have any involvement? So Ukraine Is it really true that defeat is imminent ? General commentaries believe that this is the case. Did Putin use this method to warn Biden not to continue supporting Ukraine? Of course, Europe and the United States are not too scary . The Russian border is only 140 kilometers away. This is a place where NATO will set up a Nordic Army. The Secretary-General of the Command said that Ukraine may be forced to surrender. The Norwegian Minister of Defense said that the NATO Nordic Army Command is deployed in the Finnish city here to tell everyone that the NATO Joint Force Command will come to take charge of us all. We have not forgotten that the reason why the Russia-Ukraine war started has a lot to do with whether NATO has joined or not. The Secretary-General of NATO is now saying that Ukraine should make its own decisions. You are now giving them a chance to make decisions, which shows whether NATO has given up. With the stance that Ukraine is not allowed to negotiate with Russia, what he meant by giving him a chance is that you have to use whatever means, whether it is ceding land or other means, to make compromises to make the decision for war and peace talks . Is this the direction now? The Times reported What I mean is that NATO should stop flattering each other. Because of the current internal differences of opinions and confusion, not only are your methods unable to help Ukraine, NATO is also unable to stop Russia and is unable to withstand it. Therefore, the defense budgets of more than a dozen countries have not increased. To 2% of GDP, there is a shortage of money, food and military equipment , so we must face reality quickly. How to face the EU? It is no longer a fantasy to say that a full-scale war will break out in Europe . This is the EU's diplomatic representative Borrell. He said that Russia will break out into a full-scale war in Europe outside Ukraine. The conflict is possible. It is not just a thought, it may become a reality. Therefore, Europe must be prepared for war. The EU should not place all its hopes on the United States. U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Campbell said that it is our responsibility to maintain peace and stability in Europe. The most important historical task . Therefore, Russia ’s war in Ukraine has progressed. Who should the United States hold responsible ? China’s responsibility means whether China supports Russia. Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China Mainland China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson Mao Ning counterattacked. China and Russia have the right to normal economic and trade cooperation. China should not be interfered with or restricted by the outside world, nor should it accept accusations or pressure. Obviously, the atmosphere at the beginning of the war has changed a lot now. Brother Liang, everyone is worried about the situation in Iran. How do I look at it? I think Iran may be thinking about where to attack because there are 28 embassies in Israel abroad. Or which city in Israel is it? Everyone thinks it is Tel Aviv because it should not attack religious holy places , such as Jerusalem , because Jerusalem It is also a holy place for Muslims. Currently, this is the first one. If he wants to launch an attack, the other one is whether the Shiite militia should be mobilized. This involves Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Quds Brigade in Syria and Iraq. In fact, because of the people who were killed, It's the commander of the Quds Force. If this is also linked, it will be a big deal, because this may be what Natanyahu wants, because this may save him, because the United States is now brewing in the hope that Israel will reorganize the regime . So some people think that Netanyahu's attack on the Iranian embassy in Syria was a deliberate provocation. It is best if Lebanese Hezbollah comes to attack us, and the United States is forced to come in and attack Natanyahu, so it cannot be stable for the time being. Living in this position, there are many political factors involved , so I think there may be some forces telling Iran that you are going to fall into the trap. Should you use drones and missiles to hit them? Don’t touch the ground troops . So I think why? It will be delayed for so long because the first time he said that I would launch an attack within 48 hours , but it has been how many days now, right? So I think someone must have discussed with Iran and said, don’t fall into the trap , maybe Natanya Hu just wants you to attack this. We don’t know. To be honest, it depends on the future. He will definitely attack. He just said how big the scale of the attack will be. Where will the attack be? Are there any ground troops? This is the first part. As for the Ukrainian part, I’m clear. The thing is that the United States does not allow him to talk about it. Go and see what Campbell is talking about . Yellen also talked about this when she came to Beijing. Yellen has already threatened the mainland when she came to Beijing, saying that you cannot sell things to Russia and end up using them for military industry. This is what we are talking about. Secondary sanctions mean that I am not doing business with the military. I am doing business with a private company in Russia . However, the final use is Russian military industry. I am also responsible. This is called secondary sanctions. So does the United States want to target China ? The accidental leakage of Chinese supplies. It would be a big deal to impose secondary sanctions on the parts used by the Russian military industry, because you are completely unpredictable. To put it bluntly, there are also companies in Taiwan . There are also some companies in Taiwan. Motors and other strange things have been found in Russian military products. So if the United States really wants to launch this part of secondary sanctions, this will be the beginning of a new wave of Russia-Ukraine war. The scope of the impact is very far-reaching , and there will not be only one country. Take a break and come back soon. Israel may be attacked now. Iran is preparing to carry out a large-scale attack. The attack on Iran will definitely be a matter of timing, because Iran is the largest country in the Middle East. When its embassy in Syria was bombed, how will he explain that he will definitely take action ? But Brother Liang also said just now that it is a matter of scale. I think he will use drones and rocket launchers to do saturation attacks first , and at the same time use cruise missiles and missiles for bombing. Because of the saturation attack , the saturation attack will cause Israel's Iron Dome system and its surface-to-air missiles to become ground forces. Don't take action yet Right... don't dispatch ground troops first, because if ground troops are dispatched, the battle damage will be very high. Then you must first destroy Israel's infrastructure or its military facilities. Israel also shouted , saying that if you dare to attack it, it will be bigger and bigger. If you fight back , you won't fight this. Of course, you have to withstand considerable risks and damage. This must be like this. Iran just said when will it start to move ? Now that it wants to move, what scale will it move? Now that it starts deploying drones, how will it deploy rocket launchers ? How to deploy cruise missiles, how to deploy surface-to-surface missiles, how to use them, how to push forward, whether it is from Syria or Lebanon , whether it is the sea or the Red Sea, whether there must be some containment or feint, it must be planned in this way. We are now seeing Ukraine. In the current situation of Ukraine, I see that the West, especially the North Atlantic Treaty Organization , is becoming more and more strategically fatigued towards Ukraine. This fatigue may gradually turn into a distant relationship. Ukraine doesn't support it, so what should Ukraine do? The United States has not asked Ukraine to negotiate , but the United States' support for Ukraine has also become tired, and the fatigue has come out. So what if we all have difficult experiences in each country, and each country has its own baggage. It is impossible to fully, fully and 100% support Ukraine. Now Ukraine has to face how to deal with this mess. I think it is impossible for Ukraine to negotiate with limited resources now. It has to face it alone , and Ukraine has no firepower. The firepower is not enough. The firepower is not enough, and manpower cannot come up. They are increasing troops upwards and downwards. They are increasing troops, but they are still not enough. So Ukraine has to face it, so Ukraine’s strategy failed at the beginning. If the strategy fails, he has to think about how to go forward. Did he make a good and accurate calculation of the battle loss stop? Therefore, Ukraine is a big loser. How to deal with the future endgame? This is very important for Ukraine. The troublesome issue is especially if the conflict between Israel, Palestine, and Kazakhstan continues to expand. I believe the whole world will lose. Take a break and come back soon because the CIA has issued another early warning , saying that Iran’s counterattack should be within a few days. Let me give you an example. Everyone may Maybe we can’t underestimate the intelligence capabilities of the United States, right ? Looking back two months before the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war , who had been warning that there would be a war... In fact, it was the United States that we didn’t believe at the time . The terrorist attack on the Opera House was also what the United States said it would fight. Of course, there may be some different speculations later , but it is indeed this time because Iran has vowed that Khamini has said it at least twice. Is it a wolf coming or a big thunder and a small rain? Or is it really as powerful as everyone said in Iran? Tooth for tooth, eye for eye, it really depends on the scale, strength and target selection. Just like what the general said just now , it may be possible to use rocket missiles or some people said before that it may be possible. The target of the suicide bomb may be the Israeli embassies in the country or the world, or some flights. Some flights are already very unsafe, so the airlines are afraid to fly. He would rather give the enemy mercy , because if a bomb is really dropped , If you have early warning, if you don’t know, then it’s over . Now I think all parties have their own plans for Israel , the United States, Israel, and Iran. Of course, Iran has internal pressure. If Iran does not fight back, it will not be able to survive in its internal affairs. But he knows that if he fights back , If you go too far and turn the whole thing into a disaster, it will also bring down the United States and Iran. The United States and Israel side with Iran. In fact, this is not in Iran’s best strategic interests. For the United States , its reaction from the beginning was the most realistic. After the Israeli attack, the United States It is none of our business to speak the Dharma. I made it clear that he meant it was not my doing, it was not my doing. The first guest to discuss international and domestic issues with us in plain English is Dr. Guo Zhengliang, a PhD in political science from Yale. Everyone is safe, the former deputy commander of the Air Force. General Zhang Yanting , host, hello everyone, Dan Dan , professor of the Institute of Grand Strategy, Professor Li Dazhong, everyone is safe. Yesterday’s Ma Xi second meeting caused a lot of fallout. Everyone is still discussing what everyone saw. There are various interpretations. The first one is of course watching. In addition to this pleasant meeting between old friends from both sides, Xi Jinping specifically mentioned the reunion of family and country . Some time ago, we talked about whether Ma Ying-jeou misspoke about the Republic of China and the Chinese nation. He said it for the second time at the airport. But what about Xi Jinping ? It is a gesture that looks very relaxed. What is particularly emphasized is that the distance across the Taiwan Strait cannot block the flesh-and-blood ties between compatriots on both sides of the Taiwan Strait . It is a warm speech. Different systems cannot change the objective fact that both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to the same country and nation. The reunion of all families and countries is not an external force. Can we intervene in the reunion of our country? Of course, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ comments will not be too positive. Listen to Xi Jinping’s speech at that time . So when the Ministry of Foreign Affairs came to comment on the second meeting between Ma and Xi, how did it respond? He said that Taiwanese people do not care about the opinions of non-mainstream public opinion. So for Taiwan What do the people really care about? Is it China 's continued escalation of military intimidation, diplomatic suppression, or economic coercion against Taiwan in recent years? The Ministry of Foreign Affairs believes that it is not any discussion and advocacy that cannot represent the mainstream public opinion in Taiwan . What discussion and advocacy for peace do the people of Taiwan really need? Is it true that cross-strait exchanges, for example, the spokesperson of the US State Department said that the United States actually supports a positive view? Encourage ways to reduce tensions and promote cross-Strait relations. Such methods support continued bilateral dialogue based on dignity and respect. Because what are the benefits of reducing cross-Strait tensions ? Of course, the United States does not need to be nervous, right? So the attitude of the Tsai administration is different from that of the United States . When talking about the competition between the United States and China, the Deputy Secretary of State also believed that the stability of the Taiwan Strait and China-Russia relations are of course crucial. They believed that especially when the Taiwan Relations Act was once again discussed at the time when the Taiwan Relations Act was signed , he believed that maintaining peace and stability is crucial. More and more international organizations and individuals from various countries have reiterated their position and expressed their desire to maintain peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait. Even White House National Security Advisor Sullivan said that the United States will ensure that nothing happens to Taiwan. Didn't they say before that something happened to Taiwan and Japan? It is said that it is best for Taiwan to never have anything happen , so this kind of unexpected situation should not happen. Of course, there is peace and goodwill between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait . But obviously the Ministry of Foreign Affairs is not paying for it? Then the US-Japan summit upgraded the military alliance. This is a visit to the shore. Look at their photos. It looked like a very pleasant meeting. Biden gave him such high praise. For Fumio Kishida, he said that the United States and Japan work side by side to defend freedom of navigation in the South China Sea and maintain peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait. The Taiwan Strait is of course a key word, and Fumio Kishida said that the United States and Japan They all encourage the peaceful resolution of cross-strait differences. Therefore, when the U.S. military continues to flex its muscles in the fight against China , the U.S. Navy official website posted photos and posts ranging from conducting shooting exercises to participating in maritime exercises. The U.S. Navy is always ready for analysis by military experts. I also saw that the front sight of this aiming lens was installed upside down and the cover was not opened, so the photo was later deleted and an apology was issued. Also, when the US Air Force was testing F16 fighter jets, AI self-driving drones would be the future trend , so According to a report by the Daily Mail, the U.S. Air Force has ordered a fleet of 1,000 AI drones . Each of the 1,000 drones will cost NT$320 million to NT$640 million. And this The fleet will carry out higher-risk maneuver missions and even specifically commented that this fleet is designed for possible conflicts with China in the future. Chinese drones are their strengths. Ukrainian officials have said that the drones made in the United States are Drones are expensive . Is there any way to overcome Ukraine's jamming technology? The military is using ready-made land-based drones. DJI is more useful and cheaper , so it also criticized American drones. Ma Ying-jeou met Xi Jinping for the second time. Brother Liang, what we see when scholars from all walks of life interpret it is more of a kind of goodwill or an olive branch released by Xi Jinping to see whether quasi- President Lai Qingde may take over . What do you think? The Ministry of Foreign Affairs does not seem to be paying for it, because Ma Ying-jeou After all, he is from the blue camp, so Ma Ying-jeou can only follow the discussion of the blue camp , which is to basically confirm the connotation of the 1992 Consensus. Then he basically returns to the identity of the Chinese nation , and then also talks with Xi Jinping. I think that although Ma Ying-jeou did not talk about reunification , it is common for both sides of the Taiwan Strait. The language of "creating this future and revitalizing China" has emerged. " I am happy to see China's modernization succeed. This language has emerged. This is basically moving in the same direction. It is very obvious , and his terms include Chinese people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait, who belong to the same Chinese nation. These terms are actually also Mainland China, which is very clear , probably affirmed his further statement , because this language did not appear during his tenure , so his tone this time is more obvious, which is to confirm that both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to the Chinese nation , and then how to actively interact with each other under the identity of the Chinese nation is probably Of course, it is impossible for the DPP to reach this point of view , but the DPP can create its own positive opportunities in some cross-strait interaction situations , such as opening up tourism, etc. This tourism is not necessarily open because the mainland has not opened up. The DPP also requires two-way. I am He said that there were many opportunities. For example, how did you handle the Kinmen ship collision ? Why didn't you let the Red Cross Society on both sides of the Taiwan Strait handle it quickly? The aftermath has to be brought up to where it is today. It has been more than 2 months and there has been no result . I will raise the issue again. Another example is that after the earthquake on April 3, Zhu Fenglian immediately said that she could assist Taiwan in disaster relief . The Mainland Affairs Council responded by saying that we don’t need help. As a result, the next day, we immediately donated 1 million US dollars to Fumio Kishida. I am extremely grateful for the donations from all walks of life in Japan. This is very obvious. Do you think the other party is blind? Do you think others can’t see it? When Ma Ying-jeou was president, I also saw that in 2009, mainland China also came to provide disaster relief . What the hell is China, Taiwan? The Democratic Progressive Party has been saying that they will dwarf us. What happened ? In 2009, mainland China donated a total of 900 million yuan. What happened? That’s why the Wenchuan earthquake happened later. It was not Ma Ying-jeou himself. Are you going to make a phone call? Do you remember that we donated NT$4 billion to Taiwan ? That time, China donated NT$4 billion to us . During the Wenchuan earthquake , we donated more than NT$10 billion. I mean, why did the Democratic Progressive Party continue to donate NT $4 billion to us? This kind of opportunity to create positive energy for cross-strait exchanges has not been grasped. So this is your own problem. I am talking about it completely unpoliticized. Why did Ma Ying-jeou go to the mainland and your national security unit spread rumors that he would meet at the Taiwan Chamber ? Let me ask you. Tell me what information you are basing it on? Why was it later in the East Hall? The East Hall is a diplomatic head of state. I told you that Deng Xiaoping met Thatcher in the East Hall and then met Gorbachev in the East Hall. Do you want to explain the so-called meeting of the National Security Council in the Taiwan Hall? How did you make a judgment about the meeting ? If you have a National Security Council member like you, Lai Ching-tak will improve cross-strait relations . This is the problem. How can you judge that there will be a meeting on April 8? This is simply impossible because Ma Ying-jeou was a genius on that day. When you arrive in Beijing , you have to go through a nucleic acid test , and then everyone has to go through some tests. How can you arrange a meeting on April 8? Why did you tell Reuters about this news? Reuters is exclusive. We have already seen this. I have performed this kind of drama many times. I also know who the Reuters reporter is . He has a special relationship with you. During the election campaign, the Mayday company was banned from acting and asked to make promises. That news was also written by Reuters and was told by a senior official of the National Security Council. The results are all false. It’s Lai Ching-te and Tsai Ing-wen. Now that you have this kind of national security staff, cross-strait relations will be better. I tell you, you just have bad intentions. Now that Ma Ying-jeou is back, the Mainland Affairs Council will immediately make a statement to refute the need for the Mainland Affairs Council. Did you get rid of all these things ? Then the Ma-Xi meeting was completely unfair. Is this beneficial to you, Lai Ching-de? Then you, Lai Ching-de, are forming the cabinet now. Go and see who is handling cross-strait relations. The Mainland Affairs Council heard that Qiu Chuizheng was going to replace Qiu Chuizheng. Wu Zhaoxie, the deputy chairman of the Mainland Affairs Council who often quarrels with the mainland, is the quarrel king and takes over as the secretary-general of the National Security Council. So you said that now I can honestly say that I have the same opinion as Mr. Zhao Chunshan. There is no need to look forward to the 520 inaugural address because it is of no use to you. Just from the current actions and your personnel layout, you know what the result will be . Indeed, the Mainland Affairs Council press release directly criticized Ma and Xi for promoting the 1992 Consensus. This is not the mainstream public opinion in Taiwan, just like diplomacy. This talk from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs is the same, so everyone expects Lai Qingde. Many scholars have said whether it is possible to accept the olive branch of goodwill . However, from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the current attitude of the Mainland Affairs Council, we ca n’t see any intention of receiving the offer. I am not convinced about 520. I don’t have any optimistic hopes that there will be any improvement in cross-Strait relations under the new Lai Ching-te administration, because there are indeed many such windows of opportunity lost bit by bit, including the earthquake just mentioned. Mainland China hopes to express some We resolutely reject the goodwill . Of course, after former President Ma Xi’s second meeting, we have responded to the Mainland Affairs Council and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. But I think this has nothing to do with our Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Isn’t it the business of the Mainland Affairs Council ? What is very strange is that Taiwan does not care about the opinions of non-mainstream public opinion. I think there is no need to say these excessive words, because what is the mainstream opinion of Taiwanese public opinion ? I think at least it seems to me that the mainstream opinion of Taiwanese public opinion should still hope that the two sides of the Taiwan Strait can Peace and stability can break this malicious spiral. Don't let this war factor continue to rise. Even former President Ma and the current Democratic Progressive Party government certainly have many different ideas and perceptions , but there are some places where I think there is no need to use such criticism. I use completely critical words to criticize, because in fact, what former President Ma may have done is actually pioneering the future of 520. He actually laid some of the most basic foundations. If he can catch this ball, there are actually unlimited possibilities. But I very much agree . I also I don’t have any optimistic expectations for Lai Qingde’s inaugural speech on May 20. I think it is probably like this. We must also guard against possible uncertain accidents. The second point is that at the same time, of course, we have also seen that there are many major political issues in Washington. This agenda is currently taking place. Fumio Kishida is going to Washington this time. In fact, we see that his itinerary includes a statement after the US-Japan summit. The summit statement is 18 pages long and contains more than 70 items of cooperation. It basically exceeds many in the past in China. It kind of reminds me that last year, around this time, South Korean President Yoon Seok-yue also had a glorious trip to Washington. Then there was a state visit to the White House in Washington, which had the same specifications as a dinner. At the joint meeting of the House of Representatives and the Senate, there was a very beautiful speech, including a speech by Fumio Kishida, which was completely comparable to that of Fumio Kishida . Of course, Fumio Kishida also had some other agendas and the highlight. There is also a tripartite summit between the United States, Japan and the Philippines. I think that now the United States What we need to do is a very intensive offensive. We call this minilateral in diplomacy. Minilateral means that in addition to the traditional bilateral alliances such as the United States, Japan, the United States, and South Korea, what the United States is doing includes the United States, Japan, and South Korea. Now there is the United States, Japan, and the Philippines , as well as the so-called The United States, Britain and Australia may want to bring Japan in. The second pillar is QUAD , so it is very dense and elastic, and the network is very thick. Therefore, the United States is playing a big game of Go. In fact, mainland China also uses Moments in the same way. But in contrast, South Korea's Yin Xiyue is in a very difficult situation now. Direct elections to the Congress are lame. General, when we see the response of the Mainland Affairs Council , it is said that former President Ma's trip violated the expectations of Taiwanese society. We deeply regret it. It seems Parallel time and space , because many scholars on both sides of the Taiwan Strait believe that what they see is actually an olive branch of goodwill shown by both sides. If there is regret even in this way , is it really necessary to fight? The United States hopes that the two sides can have some We can use the mechanism of continuous dialogue to reduce cross-strait tensions, right? Yes, I think cross-strait relations need to be eased and there needs to be more interaction. The United States is very supportive in this regard, hoping for more cross-strait contact and interaction , more dialogue, and then lowering tension. This is the position of the United States and the principle of the United States now. I think former President Ma’s visit to mainland China is also in line with the requirements of the United States in this regard. I think it is very good. I think there should be more interaction and not create tension. Don’t pile up the antagonism and hatred between each other. I don’t think it should be resolved. We should try our best to solve the problem because there are still so many Taiwanese businessmen and Taiwanese family members doing business and trade in the mainland. There are also children of Taiwanese businessmen studying in the mainland. They are all Taiwanese. I think it all needs to be done from a big picture rather than from a single perspective. We need to look at the problem from this perspective when looking at the small structure . In addition, let’s look at the U.S. Air Force. They used AI autopilot on the F16. Now in the U.S., they want to install AI on all the aircraft that will be retired in the future. Because we know that the U.S. has The aircraft cemetery in Southern California is almost full now . More than 4,400 retired aircraft are placed there . Even though it is a desert , sometimes we have to go there for maintenance and partial maintenance. Now this F16 We know that they will be phased out gradually because there are more F35 stealth fighters in the United States. More and more of them have replaced the F16. Why is the F16? The F16 is a very good aircraft. Western countries around the world , especially the North Atlantic Treaty Organization , still have The F16 is being used and now the United States actually wants to eliminate it and add AI to perform tasks based on the characteristics of threats on the battlefield. In other words, it is a weapon that gets twice the result with half the effort. With this in the future, I judge that if the Ukraine war breaks out If it lasts long enough, maybe it can be put on the Ukrainian battlefield for verification. It is impossible that it will become like this and there will be no human losses because it has become AI self-driving. It was originally self-driving , but AI self-driving is different . It has various Air combat actions or battlefield denial or close support operations can be set according to mission characteristics. It also has electronic countermeasures that use AI. If there is a threat to it by launching air-to-air missiles or surface-to-air missiles at it, You can use AI to automatically control it to do electronic jamming or electronic countermeasures . So in this aspect, the United States is constantly making breakthroughs in the military. In addition, let’s look at DJI’s drones . DJI’s drones Its market share is now at its highest, reaching 85%. Now it has slightly declined. Its market share in the world accounts for 75% of the drone market. Now it is sold to the Middle East, Africa and Central and South Africa. The current problem in the Americas is that it is generally for commercial use , but if it is converted from commercial use to military use, it can be more widely used in mainland China. In this regard, it has a remunerative scale, a large market, low price , and is close to practical , so in this regard, its market share in the future will be more
