OVER TO MEXICAN DEALER ON STAND. YES, JUST ONE HOUR AGO, THIS HURRICANE E AND MADE ITS FIRST LANDFALL IN WESTERN CUBA. >> NEAR LA COLOMA, WHICH AS WITH WINDS OF 125 MILES PER HOURS. LET'S ZOOM ON IN HERE. YOU CAN ALREADY SEE SOME OF THAT IMPACTING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF FLORIDA. BUT THERE IT IS A CATEGORY 3 ON LAND. SO BECAUSE IT'S NOT GOING TO GO OVER MUCH OF LANDS. PRETTY FLAT AREA OF CUBA. SIMON REALLY EXPECTED TO WEAKEN IT IF ANYTHING IS GOING TO CONTINUE STRENGTHENING. SO THAT LATER TODAY, WE'RE AT A CATEGORY 4 STATUS AND IN LESS THAN 24 HOURS, IT'S REALLY JUST OFF THE WESTERN PORTION OF FLORIDA, NORTH OF THE FLORIDA KEYS TO GET THAT'S LESS THAN 24 HOURS FROM NOW. NOW, LET'S GO FORWARD TOMORROW AFTERNOON. IT'S A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE JUST OFF THE FORT MYERS COASTLINE, MAYBE RIGHT ON THE FORT MYERS COASTLINE. REMEMBER, GET A LOOK AT THIS ENTIRE LINE HERE. THURSDAY MORNING BECAUSE OF A SLOW MOVER TO THE NORTH, IT COULD STILL BE A CATEGORY 3 STORM SOMEWHERE ALONG THE MANATEE, SARASOTA OR PINELLAS COAST LINES. THIS IS MORE OF THE BIN TAKING THIS INLAND IN OUR COMMUNITY AND STILL COULD BE A CATEGORY ONE STORM BY THURSDAY AT 2 O'CLOCK IN THE AFTERNOON. EVEN FOR INLAND AREAS IS NOT UNTIL FRIDAY WITH A SLOW-MOVING STORM THAT WE FINALLY GET TO FAREWELL TO IT WHILE IT'S HERE THAT WE DO HAVE THE RISK OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITH THIS IN ELLIS HILLSBOROUGH MANATEE, SARASOTA, YOUR HURRICANE WARNING MEANS YOU COULD FEEL HURRICANE FORCE CONDITIONS WITHIN 36 HOURS. NOW WE HAVE A HURRICANE WATCH FOR PLACES LIKE POLK COUNTY. THAT IS A NEW UPDATE THAT JUST CAME IN. THEY'RE SAYING NOW YOU COULD FEEL HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EVEN IN INLAND AREAS. SAME THING FARTHER TO THE NORTH. YES, CITRUS, HERNANDO PASCO. YOU MAY FEEL HURRICANE FORCE WINDS, BUT YOU WON'T FEEL UNTIL ABOUT 48 HOURS FROM NOW. AGAIN, THE STORM HAS TO LIFT NORTH. WE COULD STILL DEAL WITH STORM SURGE DEPENDING ON WHERE THAT SYSTEM COMES ON SHORE. THERE ARE SOME STORM SURGE WARNINGS ANYWHERE SOUTH OF WHERE IT MAKES LANDFALL WOULD DEAL WITH AN ONSHORE WIND AND THE POTENTIAL OF 5 TO 8 FOOT STORM SURGE. COMPUTER MODELS REMAIN SOMEWHAT DISAGREEMENT AS FAR SOUTH AS FORT MYERS STILL AS FAR NORTH AS ABOUT THE BIG BEND OF FLORIDA. AND OF COURSE, THAT'S GOING TO IMPACT THE EFFECTS WE SEE LOCALLY. YEAH, AND YOU KNOW, WE KEEP TALKING ABOUT HOPEFULLY WILL GET, YOU KNOW, A LITTLE BIT MORE AGREEMENT HERE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. >> I DON'T KNOW HOW MUCH MORE AGREEMENT THAT WE ARE REALLY GOING TO GET. SO WE REALLY START HAVE TO START TALKING ABOUT THE DIFFERENT SCENARIOS. >> WHETHER THE WHETHER THE CENTER OF THE STORM COMES ASHORE SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY, WHETHER IT COMES ASHORE NORTH OF TAMPA BAY, BECAUSE WE'RE GOING TO USE THAT CENTER OF THE STORM TO REALLY PINPOINT THOSE IMPACTS FOR DIFFERENT AREAS BECAUSE THEY'RE GOING TO BE DRASTICALLY DIFFERENT. SO RIGHT NOW WE'RE GOING TO ZOOM IN. THIS IS THE FORECAST CONE FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AND THIS RED CALLING IT AN EASTERLY TRACK. WE COULD CALL IT A SOUTHERLY TRACK THE THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE CONE, RIGHT? IF IF THE CENTER OF THE STORM COMES ASHORE ANYWHERE BETWEEN NAPLES AND SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY WERE STOPPED. WE'RE TALKING ABOUT VERY BIG STORM SURGE IN SARASOTA AND MANATEE COUNTY. AN AREA SOUTH OF STRONGEST WINDS ARE CERTAINLY GOING TO BE NEAR THE COAST. AND I DO THINK THAT THE TAMPA AREA, INCLUDING HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY, PINELLAS COUNTY, EVEN IF OUR INLAND, WE COULD SEE THOSE REALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. BUT THE HEAVY RAIN IS GOING TO BE MY BIGGEST THREAT. MY BIGGEST CONCERN FOR OUR INLAND AREAS WITH FLOODING BEING A POTENTIAL OF WHEN WE SEE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN, LESS OF A TORNADO THREAT BECAUSE MOST OF THAT WOULD ACTUALLY OCCUR DOWN ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH FLORIDA. NOW AT THE CENTER OF THE STORM COMES ASHORE NEAR TAMPA BAY OR JUST UP ALONG THE NATURE COAST HERE. REMEMBER, WE'RE GOING TO BE DEALING WITH THE STORM SITTING OFFSHORE FOR QUITE SOME TIME. SO WE'RE GOING TO BE DEALING WITH A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE WILL BE TALKING ABOUT THOSE STRONGEST WINDS NEAR LANDFALL AND ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST. CERTAINLY STILL SOME FLOODING. EITHER WAY. WE'RE GOING TO SEE FLOODING WITH THIS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF THOSE TORNADOES THE CENTER COMING ASHORE A LITTLE BIT FARTHER TO OUR DOOR. SO STILL LOTS OF POSSIBILITIES. LEE, AND WE'RE GOING TO CONTINUE TO TALK ABOUT THESE POSSIBILITIES HERE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH THE SLOW MOVING AND WE KNOW IF THERE WILL BE IMPACTS. NOW WE'RE SORT OF TRYING TO GET TO COME TO TERMS WITH. >> WHO IS GOING TO SEE THE WORST IN WHAT THOSE WORST ARE. BUT WE WILL HAVE ALMOST 48 HOURS WORTH OF HURRICANE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE TAMPA BAY AREA. IF THINGS ARE KIND OF GOING DOWN HILL TODAY. BUT IF YOU NEED TO DO PREP WORK, I STILL THINK YOU CAN DO IT TODAY. IT'S 86 IS GOING TO BE CLOUDY AND BREEZY RAIN IS GOING TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AS THESE RAIN BANDS START LIFTING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. SO THAT'S WHY THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL TOTALS WILL ALREADY BEGIN TO STACK UP SOUTH OF I-FOUR FOR TODAY. AND WE'LL GET SOME THOSE HEAVIER SHOWERS FARTHER NORTH AS WE HEAD TO THE NIGHT TIME AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING. AND REALLY, YOU
