How Trump's guilty verdict impacts the presidential election

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going to see you later on this evening as well, bringing us the very latest. See you back at 530. All right. We'll see you then. Okay. Let's go ahead and bring in our political analyst, Larry Gerston. Now, Larry, we saw at the top of our show former President Trump saying that the real verdict will come election Day, November 5th. So what do you make of that? Well, he's right, I mean, there's a lot of things that can happen between now and November 5th, and certainly today is a historic event in many ways rivaled perhaps only by the resignation of Richard Nixon in 1974 from Watergate. But there's a lot of water under the dam, as they say, and much of it's going to come out over the next few months. As former president Trump makes his case, that that he was, found guilty, unfairly. The appeals process, which could go well into next year, and, and the nation as a whole is sitting back and judging how this fits in with everything else that they know about Donald Trump. Sure, a lot will develop, surely, in the next months, Larry and of course, everyone's entitled to their own opinion. Right? Do you think today's outcome changes anyone's opinion heading to the election? Well, we saw public opinion poll that came out just a couple of weeks ago. That very question was asked, you know, will this change your vote if in fact you find that president, former President Trump is found guilty? And you know what, for three for three fourths of the public will make no difference. But 24% said they would likely vote against former President Trump if he found if he was found guilty. Now that's divided about half Republicans and half independents. But look, that may be a small percentage, 10 or 11% of each kind. But you go from state to state, where 20,000, 30,000, even 50,000 votes made the difference. And guess what? Suddenly that chunk becomes major. So we have to see people right now are reacting, to the moment, if you will. This will sink in. Some will say it's more serious than they think right now. Others will say it's not as serious, but clearly this put an extra element into an already very contentious presidential election. You got that right, Larry, I have to ask you, how long will this go on, and will it have any political ramifications down the line? Well, it's going to have political ramifications as we just don't know what they'll be. But but the fact is, we know that former President Trump will appeal and it's perfectly reasonable under these circumstances. And he's entitled to do that. So it will go up the appellate court system, if you will. But in New York, in New York. Okay. And I say that because the only way that the US Supreme Court can touch this is if at the end of appealing this up, the New York, chain, if you will, judicial chain, the US Supreme Court thinks there's a federal constitutional issue at stake. That's a long shot is possible. But the appellate system, largely for former President Trump, will not be related to the US courts. And as Professor Levine said earlier, if the conviction sticks because it's a state, event, a state, found guilty situation, he cannot overturn that as president, okay, so it's a
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Channel: NBC Bay Area
Views: 1,257
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Length: 3min 5sec (185 seconds)
Published: Fri May 31 2024
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