General Hayden & Greg Miller: An Election Eve Discussion of “The Apprentice”

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MARK ROZELL: Good evening, everybody. Thank you for coming. I'm Mark Rozell. I serve as the Dean of the Schar School of Policy and Government here at George Mason University. And I'm delighted to welcome you to this special program of the Schar School's Hayden Center for Intelligence, Policy and International Security. As many of you know, the Schar School is one of 10 schools or colleges at George Mason University. We operate both on the Fairfax Campus here, and in Arlington. And we have done a number of special programs through the Hayden Center and other centers in the school on both of our campuses. We're delighted to be here in Fairfax. I know the weather was a little bit challenging, so I thank you for making the extra effort to come here for this program, especially on the eve of a special day. So get out and vote tomorrow. I don't care which party you are, or who you favor. It's just important to be involved in the process, and we here at the Schar School care about your participation in the political process. So thank you for coming tonight for this conversation. I guess this continues, in a way, a relationship we've built with the Washington Post. We have a national security reporter for the Washington Post tonight, to talk about his latest book. And you can check and see whether the Washington Post Schar School poll is actually accurate again, as it has been for the past couple of years that we've done a number of co-branded polls together on election campaigns, both in Virginia and nationally. In this election cycle, we were doing the battleground poll of the 69 districts that we and others deemed as the most competitive races for the House of Representatives across the country, and made some projections about what's likely to happen tomorrow. And we also had a little bit to say, as well, about some of the races here in Virginia. So again, thank you for coming. And I would like to welcome the executive director of the Hayden Center, Larry Pfeiffer, who will open this evening's program. Larry? [APPLAUSE] LARRY PFEIFFER: Good evening, everyone. Thank you very much for coming. As Mark said, a little bit of a challenging evening getting out here with the weather and the traffic. So double thanks for doing that. As Mark indicated, it's an important evening. It's the evening before a midterm election that's been described by many media outlets and many politicians as perhaps the most consequential midterm election that we've seen in a generation or so. Vital to making any kind of election decision is an understanding of national security, and we here at the Schar School and at the Hayden Center are dedicated to educating and informing our students and the general public about national security and the role intelligence plays in national security. The Hayden Center is just a little over a year old. We started last Fall. General Hayden is the founder, and as Mark mentioned, I'm the director. Our goal is to help inform the public, in as pragmatic and common sense a fashion as we can, about the role intelligence plays in policymaking and decision making, or in some cases how it fails. We have two wonderful experts to discuss tonight those aspects. First and foremost, of course, is General Hayden, the founder of our Center. He requires little introduction to the audience here, but for those who aren't aware, he served prominently as the director of the National Security Agency, and then as the director of CIA before joining the faculty here at Schar School as distinguished visiting professor. We also have Greg Miller joining us. Greg is a national security journalist of long standing and some renown. He began his work at the Los Angeles Times, which is where General Hayden and I first met Greg, working, largely, the intelligence community beat, and transitioned about eight years ago to the Washington Post, where he's continued to do excellent work. He has been a member of two Pulitzer Prize-winning teams, one for public service and one for-- I forget, I apologize. Greg can perhaps enlighten you. But two of them. The first one, back in 2014, was as part of the reporting that the Washington Post did on the Snowden disclosures about surveillance activities. We didn't like Greg as much back then. And then subsequently, and just this last year, he was part of the team that did the excellent reporting by the Washington Post on the interference by the Russians in our last election, and the election of President Trump and then the fallout from those disclosures, and the FBI and justice investigations into that activity. Before I continue, there is a reception afterwards. We would ask all of you to please join us for the reception, because I think we're going to have plenty of food and drink. So fill your pockets, take it home. Whatever you'd like. So please do join us. We have books for sale. We have Greg's book, which is, in my view, probably the most comprehensive examination of that subversion of our election. It's entitled "The Apprentice: Trump, Russia, and the Subversion of Democracy". We have copies for sale in the reception, and Greg will be there to sign copies as well. The bookstore-- kind of like Amazon-- if you like this book, you may like this one, too. We also have copies of General Hayden's book out there for anybody who maybe hasn't gotten his book. And you can purchase that and General Hayden will be milling around and I'm sure would be happy to sign copies of his book for anybody who'd be interested. So without further ado, please welcome General Michael Hayden and Greg Miller to the stage. [APPLAUSE] MICHAEL HAYDEN: Well, good evening. Thanks for coming. Greg, thank you, absolutely, for coming. Looking forward to the conversation. First of all, you need to know that it's more than a decade, I've been waiting for the opportunity to ask him questions, rather than the other way around. [LAUGHTER] So let me begin. What don't you tell us who all your sources are? [LAUGHTER] GREG MILLER: You don't really want me to do that. MICHAEL HAYDEN: No, but it is related to reality. Larry's comments, Greg, were really quite spot on about being comprehensive. And I know, when you're writing the daily, the folks who practice your craft want to talk about the first draft of history. This is a little bit more. This has got a lot more content than you can get by just stitching together. It's actually, in my view-- and I'm out of government, so I'm from the outside looking in, like other folks-- this is a remarkably richly-detailed story you've been able to put together while events are still unfolding. How does that happen? What do you think has enabled you to be able to do that? GREG MILLER: That's a great question. Can I just take a second and make a few thanks here? I'd like to thank Dean Rozell and Director Pfeiffer for putting this event together, having us out here tonight. I really want to thank you, General Hayden, not only for tonight, but for your patience and your help and insights over many, many years now. I've known you for probably a decade or more, covering you at your various stops through the intelligence community. I also wanted to just note that one thing I know about General Hayden is that he cares about his country. He cares about the intelligence community. And he cares a lot about his hometown of Pittsburgh. And all three of those things are going through difficult times right now. And I know that they benefit from having you as a spokesperson, and somebody who's standing up for them. MICHAEL HAYDEN: Thank you. That's very kind. Thank you. GREG MILLER: To answer your question, one of the hardest things about doing this book was trying to keep my phone, and all of the crazy stuff that was popping up constantly from just derailing every single day when I was trying to make headway on these chapters. Because, you know-- and I see a few colleagues from the press out here in the audience tonight-- I can tell you, we've never lived through anything like this. This story has been all consuming and really disorienting at times. And one of the reasons why I thought it was important to try to tackle this project was that, even for those of us in the middle of it trying to make sense about why we were covering it, it was an impossible task. There's just too much happening. You're learning about things out of sequence, and so one of the first things I did was create an enormous chronology, or timeline. And man, when you do that, and these connections start jumping out at you, you had no idea were connected when you were living through them. MICHAEL HAYDEN: I noticed in the book, you sequence events. I mean, it's chronologically organized. But you're right. You sequence events and you now see connections that actually didn't get reported in the daily coverage. GREG MILLER: They may not even be connected, necessarily. But when you juxtapose them, they have different meaning. And I'll give you one example. So we all know about the Trump Tower meeting. We all know what happened at the Trump Tower meeting, where Trump's inner circle is receiving some Russian visitors who are offering supposed damaging information on Hillary Clinton. That happens almost to the day-- almost to the day-- as a CIA officer is trying to make his way back into the Embassy in Moscow, and is tackled by an FSB agent right at the doorstep. They're wrestling. The guy is fighting for his life, and manages to drag himself across the threshold back inside the compound. Ends up with a broken shoulder, sent home. I mean, so the idea that here's the Trump campaign having welcoming this help, as disappointing as maybe it was to them in the end, while on the other side of the Atlantic, you have a completely different scene playing out that tells you a lot more about Russia and its interest in working with the United States. MICHAEL HAYDEN: So the title. I mean, obviously, there is a play on the President's own history, but what the hidden meaning? GREG MILLER: I don't know if it's so hidden. MICHAEL HAYDEN: So, well, OK. If he is the apprentice, who's the master? GREG MILLER: So, you know the title works on three levels, right? I mean, so, the Apprentice is obviously the show that propels Trump to such great fame. He still talks about it constantly. He's still talking about how the ratings nosedived when he left. He was an apprentice when he wins the election and arrives in the White House. He has no background. He never held public office. Probably never clutched a classified document, far as we know. Had very little meaningful interaction with government agencies or officials, except adversarial ones, mostly. And so he's an apprentice in the job. He's got a lot of learning. He needs a lot of people around him to sort of explain how things work. And then there's this inevitable other aspect to the word, which is this sort of subservience or servility, which I think is the real-- at least until now, has been one of the biggest mysteries about him. I mean, his relationship with Putin. Why does he behave this way toward the Russian president? What could possibly explain it? He seems, at times, as I say in the book, to sort of wish to emulate Putin. And that feeds into the play on words here, that he seems at times to be Putin's apprentice. MICHAEL HAYDEN: OK. You spend a fair amount of time in the first third of the book talking about his almost preternatural self-confidence, and how that gets him into trouble. And you spent a lot of time with regard to the Comey firing. You want to-- GREG MILLER: Yeah. I mean, I think when you look at a lot of-- and David Ignatius picked up on this and wrote an excellent column, largely sort of riffing on the book about this-- how frequently it is that Trump creates problems for himself when he relies on his own instincts. And firing Comey was definitely one of those situations. I think I say in the book that he botched that. For a guy who built his fame off of the words, you're fired, this was a firing that he botched horribly. Because he doesn't see around the corner at what's coming. He does not see the way the manipulation of Rod Rosenstein, the Deputy Attorney General, might come back to bite him. He doesn't see how removing Comey doesn't really remove the problem here, and in fact, leads only to the recruitment of this prosecutorial beast, Robert Mueller. It's just time after time after time, his inability to do things that are even in his own self-interest is fascinating to me. MICHAEL HAYDEN: I'm intrigued, because the book spends-- I wouldn't call it character studies, but you spend a lot of time in the fine print with regard to actions and the sequence of actions, and it comes out looking like a character study. So you talk about Rosenstein and how he was played from one side, and then played back on the other side, with regard to the Comey firing. And one of the things I try to focus on here in my class is, despite all the headlines, despite all the structures, despite all the money, despite all the power, it's a human enterprise. So can you talk about the Deputy Attorney General and how this played for him? GREG MILLER: That's a really great point. Trump is supposed to be somebody who understands the leverage of situations, of personal relationships and so forth. And Rosenstein, you can see him veering from his frustration and utter disagreement with Jim Comey, and being eager, as many were in the Justice Department, who were really frustrated with Jim Comey and his inability to own up to his own mistakes-- MICHAEL HAYDEN: This is genuine outrage over the Clinton-- GREG MILLER: It was the handling of the Clinton email investigation. They just sincerely believe he's really overstepping his bounds when he announces that there's no basis for an investigation here. They really resent that, and Rosenstein is right at the front of that pack. His feelings there, I think, feed into his willingness to go along with writing this memo on why Comey should be fired. And here's a moment where Rosenstein fails to see around the corner, fails to see that submitting this memo to this White House may not be in his best interest, long-term. And so then, when the White House holds up that memo and says, well, this is why we've got to fire this guy. The President wasn't really even thinking about it until Mr. Rosenstein told us this. We had no choice. Rosenstein is feeling completely burned at a very personal level. And I think you've got to hand it to him. I mean, the way he handles this is, he goes into planning mode secretly, keeping his boss, Jeff Sessions, out of the loop, keeping the White House out of the loop. Springs it on the White House at the very last moment. In fact, Rosenstein is supposed to be in a meeting with Trump at the Oval Office and Jeff Sessions when he begs out at the last minute. I got things I gotta take care of here. Calls over to the White House while they're meeting in his absence and says, guys, I've just appointed Bob Mueller. Mr. Sessions, you need to go in back in now and tell the boss. [LAUGHTER] I mean, he must have considered that. I imagine he took some satisfaction from that moment. MICHAEL HAYDEN: I guess. Do Mueller and Rosenstein have a history? GREG MILLER: Well, they do. And they've known each other-- of course, Mueller knows almost everybody in that building, and has a history with almost everybody in that building. And in fact, Rosenstein had been talking with Mueller about the FBI job. And Mueller had already spoken with Trump about it when all of this comes about. MICHAEL HAYDEN: So in keeping with the character study here, Jim Comey-- obviously, he's a central character here. And you develop some aspects of his personality that you and I discussed briefly. You want to-- GREG MILLER: Yeah. I mean, Jim Comey obviously has a very distinguished career, and a lot of admirers. And he might be at the front of that line sometimes. You're right. These are leaders. These are respected individuals. But at the same time, they're all individuals, and they all have their own psychologies and their own motivations for how they behave and how they respond to events. And Comey, arguably, one of his blind spots is his sort of sense of an over-developed sense of righteousness. And his handling of the Clinton email investigation, his belief, ultimately, that he is the one who has to make these decisions, because everybody else around him, including the Attorney General is too compromised to do it. Only he has the wherewithal to do the right thing and to make the right call. And even after he left government, and wrote his own book, it was hard for him to-- he sort of comes close to owning up to some of this in his book, and some of his appearances promoting his book, but it's still hard for him to see himself that way. MICHAEL HAYDEN: One more personality. You kind of made your bones on this story back in August of '16, I think, writing about someone we both know, Mike Flynn, who comes out of this-- and I think in your writing, Greg, some sympathy for what truly is a tragic turn of events for Flynn. GREG MILLER: Yeah. I've been asked a lot about Flynn in conversations about the book and elsewhere. And I have to say, it really has gave me no pleasure to be part of the team at the Post that was writing the stories that forced him out of office, that forced him to resign, and exposed that he had been dishonest. Because I had known him for a long time, had known him for more than a decade, had I think first met him when he was a Colonel in the Army. And whatever you say about him, he clearly was a devoted servant to the US government. Many, many, multiple tours in war zones and in both Iraq and Afghanistan, had sacrificed a lot. And his family sacrificed a lot. And I covered him when he was appointed Director of DIA, and met with him from time to time, and I always thought that he was really engaging. He was a friendly guy, an affable person. He had the instinct, which, perhaps he shares with you at least in one way, which is that you want to have a public face. You want to interact. You want people to see a little bit about how these agencies work, and what they're about. And I think that's a good thing. He proved unable to manage this sort of capstone assignment in his career, being given the job as Director of DIA. It's just so different than being in charge of a unit in a command center in Afghanistan or Iraq. And it's a really difficult thing. And not everybody's cut out for that. And it didn't look like he was. There was a lot of turmoil at DIA in his time there, and I think the Obama team just got a little fed up with that, and pushed him out. I think that they cut him a fair amount of slack in doing so, allowed him to stay in the job to collect that one extra star. But boy, he seemed bitter when he left. And everybody I've talked to about him over the years thinks that there was sort of a switch that flipped in that moment, and he became almost unrecognizable after that. And especially when he shows up at the Republican Convention, leading the "lock her up" chants about Hillary Clinton. I mean, here's a guy who devoted his career, in many ways, to trying to help plant the seeds of democracy in difficult places overseas, and just sort of turning against those institutions and what they stand for, in a moment like that when you're calling for the Democratic nominee for President to be thrown in jail with no due process. It's a remarkable turn. MICHAEL HAYDEN: Hard to write, then, for you, because you know him personally. GREG MILLER: Yeah. MICHAEL HAYDEN: I try to follow this pretty closely. I think I know something about the storyline here. GREG MILLER: Something, yeah. MICHAEL HAYDEN: The part of the book that really was fresh for me was the depth of detail you were able to provide with regard to the meeting with the Hill leadership. I guess it's October, maybe. GREG MILLER: September, October. MICHAEL HAYDEN: September, October of '16. Mitch McConnell and the other-- you want to talk a little bit-- I mean, that, to me, was a real break point. I suspect the administration would have been more robust in its response with any kind of suggestion of Republican support. But it was really quite the opposite. But you put more detail in this than I've read elsewhere. GREG MILLER: Yeah. I agree with you. I think it's a really important point on the timeline here. And you know these players. So, what General Hayden is talking about is that in the book, I trace the sequence of events, beginning in late July, when CIA director John Brennan begins really focusing on Russian intelligence right after the Wikileaks dump, trying to figure out what the hell is going on here. He spends two days closing the door at his office at CIA headquarters, not taking calls, not taking visitors, pouring over all the intel, and coming out of that so alarmed that he calls Denis McDonough at the White House and says, I need to see the President and I need to see him now. The plan that they come up with when he goes to the White House is, oh my god, we need to get the congressional leadership apprised of this right away, thinking basically that their response is going to be what the Obama team's response is. Oh my god, what are we up against here? We need to come together and figure this out in a hurry. And what happens is sort of the opposite. And in particular, I write about Brennan meeting with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, laying out for him-- I mean, this is an unusual thing for a CIA director to do one on one briefings with Hill leaders. Usually it's in a group. He's going to the trouble of setting up individual appointments. He's in a private meeting with Mitch McConnell. He's laying out this classified intel on what's happening in Moscow, how they know what they know about Russia's plans for the US election, thinking that this is going to lead to a reaction from McConnell, oh my god, we need to do something about this, and kind of leading toward a request to have a bipartisan statement of condemnation at a minimum. To have Republicans and Democrats on the Hill to come together and say, Russia's messing around in our election. We're not going to stand for that. We're going to call it out. We're going to say what we think about this and warn them that they need to cease and desist. And instead, the opposite happens. McConnell tells Brennan that I'm not willing to do that. In fact, I'm not even sure I believe this intelligence you're bringing to me. And not only will I not condemn Vladimir Putin for election interference, I will accuse you and President Obama of interfering in this election if you go forward with this. If you try to take any advantage of this information you're showing me today. I just have a feeling-- I don't know. I don't think it was always this way. Where in a moment like that, a leader of many decades standing on the Hill, reacts in a way that it looks like it puts his party's interests ahead of his country's. And I think that when historians look back on this period, that that will be one of those moments that tells you something has broken. Something has fundamentally changed. There are other examples in our history of going through difficult times-- Watergate, Vietnam, et cetera, where opposition leadership didn't react that way. MICHAEL HAYDEN: My reading of that was a real pivot point in the whole narrative. There were roads we could have taken, and we didn't. I mean this as a compliment. Stand by. I enjoyed the book. One of the reasons I enjoyed the book is, you sound a lot like us. Seriously, you sound like me and Jim and John. I mean, you're fact-based. You try to write a compelling narrative. But the tone of the book is pretty much the tone that you've been hearing from former intelligence chiefs. GREG MILLER: With a couple exceptions. MICHAEL HAYDEN: Yeah. But you work the intel beat. And way back in the day- - I'm looking at my notes here to make sure I get it right-- you said that folks like us had a sense of dread about a Trump presidency. What led you to that? What was that like? I mean, not who told you, but in general, how were you learning that? GREG MILLER: I think that when I wrote that story, I was out at the Aspen Security Forum, and I was just sort of interacting with people at the forum, asking them what they thought about how this would go. The Aspen Forum at that time was not that long after the Wikileaks dump, if I remember this correctly. And I think Trump was still seen as a long shot. In fact, he was seen as a long shot up until the very end. One of the common denominators in almost all of the bad decisions made in the stories that are encapsulated here is an assumption, a terrible, failed assumption that Hillary Clinton would inevitably win. Actually, when I look back on it now, I'm sort of interested that even before it became clear that Trump would lead the way he has-- I mean, this was at a time when there was still an argument to be made that, look, once he settles into office, and once he's surrounded by experts and has gotten some training on the job, he'll grow into it. You could still make that argument at that point. There was still a sense of dread, and you could pick up on it from speaking with people about whether they would even be willing to stick around in a Trump administration. What he was saying about the ICE, what he was saying about his opponent, how he was treating the campaign, the issues, the divisive issues that he was taking advantage of made people really uncomfortable. And I think his aversion, his difficulty, with facts, truth, would inevitably come into conflict with a community like the one that you come out of-- MICHAEL HAYDEN: And yours. GREG MILLER: That thrives on those things. MICHAEL HAYDEN: So when I describe it, I talk about the high friction points of the administration being with intelligence, law enforcement, the courts, science scholarship, and journalism. And I generally then point out to the audience. What do they have in common? They're all fact-based. And so what I experience is, intelligence and your profession of journalism, and scholarship, and science, global warming and so on, pushing back against a non-fact-based policy engine in the administration. But one of the problems that folks like me have-- it was actually the topic of our last Hayden Center event-- how do we push back-- the intel guys-- against a norm-busting President without violating our own norms? And I use as an example the fact that everybody on stage last time was under contract to CNN is, at a minimum, nontraditional. So how do you do what you do, reporting facts, without being, appearing to be the opposition, or the resistance? GREG MILLER: That's a really good question. And I think that's actually a very similar dynamic in journalism right now, and in news organizations, where it's harder than at any time I can recall in my career, to hold your balance, to feel like you can hold your balance. It's a very disorienting time, because we are quite literally under attack, day after day after day, accused of being fake, accused of being the enemy of the people. And so like we were talking a few minutes ago, as professional as we all are, we're all people and we have these personal reactions to these allegations and accusations. You want to respond. But in responding, sometimes-- and this has actually happened. We've seen cases where reporters sort of respond a bit too vigorously. We sort of get our leashes yanked by our editors. You know, you're really not supposed to be that. You do not want to position yourself and feed into this narrative that you're the enemy of the people, by being so antagonistic toward the President and this administration that you make the case for them. It's super frustrating right now to care about facts, to care about truth, to be accustomed to a certain sequence of events when you expose a truth, when you uncover facts, and when you lay them out for readers. You're accustomed to seeing responses to those that we don't necessarily see in this administration. I mean, the fact checker at the Washington Post, which was created in the Obama administration, actually, has tracked 6,000 plus demonstrable falsehoods by the presidency, just in his months in office so far. Ordinarily, you would think that once you start tracking all of those and calling them out publicly, that the political forces usually bring people to heel, right? It's actually accelerating. We've seen a pace of falsehoods in the past seven weeks that vastly outstrips the pace during his first nine, 10, 11, 12 months in office. MICHAEL HAYDEN: But if you and Glenn stay on it, you open yourself up to the accusation of being the opposition, the resistance, or at a minimum, obsessed with the President when you've got all these other things going on. How do you balance that? GREG MILLER: Not only that. I think that we are struggling with a deeper issue now, which is, doing what we do, which is to cover news, which is this to sort of survey the landscape and to see things that are happening and to mobilize resources to cover those things-- I mean, we're really having uncomfortable conversations about, to what extent do we become complicit in the messaging of an administration like this one. And I'm thinking, of course, about the coverage of the caravan. You know, this was not an issue that we were finding on any front pages six weeks ago. And now you've got multiple news organizations with reporters embedded in the caravan. You've got front page stories. You and I were talking in the green room ahead of our conversation here about the story we had in the Post this weekend about retired three and four stars who just don't see any reason-- MICHAEL HAYDEN: And going public, which again is norm-busting. GREG MILLER: And going public with their questions about this mission to send 15,000 American troops down to the border. And yet we feel like, as news organizations, we are calling out the inaccuracies in terms of the assertions about this train of migrants. No evidence of any MS13 gang element. No Middle Easterners that anybody can find. But what you are doing is putting out images of migrants moving toward the border, day after day after day, raising an issue, giving volume to an issue that this President clearly believes works to his advantage. MICHAEL HAYDEN: I want to get back to some of the themes that part of the narrative of the book. But I just want to dwell for a moment on our professions. I went up here with intelligence, law enforcement, science scholarship, journalism, and I made a nice tight hand puppet. You know, most of our relationship has not been like this. I mean, yours and mine. It's been like that, where journalism, and frankly, scholarship-- GREG MILLER: I thought you were going to take it down to one finger and then-- MICHAEL HAYDEN: Afterwards. [LAUGHTER] Have been critical of intelligence. I mean, one of your Pulitzers has been-- GREG MILLER: I knew you were going to bring that up. MICHAEL HAYDEN: Has been writing about how we acquire data. Right? And all the Snowden revelations. That has been an absolutely muted point for a couple of years with folks from my tribe and your tribe having a relationship I've never experienced before. And it's all because we're data people. We'll get back to the argument about how we get data after we get beyond this. But right now, we seem more kindred than we ever have. Do you see that from your side? GREG MILLER: Um, I-- MICHAEL HAYDEN: I'm giving you a moment here to be nice. GREG MILLER: Well, I definitely see that the shared values, the common set of values there-- I mean, you're right. For most of the time that you and I have known each other, there has been a necessary and a healthy tension-- MICHAEL HAYDEN: Yes. Both necessary and healthy. GREG MILLER: Yeah. And even adversarial at times. And I hope that you would agree that we've tried to behave responsibly and respectful most those times. It makes me uncomfortable when you say what you just said, to even try to think of us, as journalists, somehow on the same team as national security professionals that we're supposed to cover, even those who are no longer in office. I mean, I definitely rely on your expertise and many others. I've called you many times for help navigating stories that I'm trying to figure out, and things like that. But it is an unusual time. MICHAEL HAYDEN: It is. But the unifying principle is that we're both fact-based institutions in the face of a post-truth administration. And so we share some of the same. And that's why I pointed out, it's very unusual, because usually it's been like this over the questions of power of government, use of that power, and so on. GREG MILLER: I think that the moment jumps out at me from an event that you participated in, I think it was last year, where you were sort of holding truth to power from your chair in retirement. You were on a panel with a number of former CIA directors. It was almost all of you. And if you'll let me tell the story for just a second, it was just a fascinating moment to me. Sue Gordon-- I can't remember what her position is right at the moment, but she was moderating this panel of former CIA directors. You were there. MICHAEL HAYDEN: John. GREG MILLER: Brennan was there. Porter Goss was there. MICHAEL HAYDEN: Porter Goss. GREG MILLER: And Sue Gordon is still in government. And she was doing her best to try to defend the intelligence community's relationship with this President, saying, oh, he gives us so much access, we get no shortage of face time with the President, we get what we really always want from a President with him. And you stopped her in her tracks on the stage and said, yeah, well, did you wiretap Trump Tower? MICHAEL HAYDEN: Many consider it a low point in the afternoon, for the discussion. GREG MILLER: And you know, that's a question that I think a reporter in that position would have asked as well, trying to get at the facts and the truth of this situation that's being mischaracterized. MICHAEL HAYDEN: So, you begin the book-- and actually the excerpt from the book that played in the Post, with a tour through Russia House. You want to talk a little bit, for the audience, about what Russia House is, and then, more importantly, what did Russia House discover that Putin was doing? What was he up to? Why was he doing these things? Why did he think it would work? GREG MILLER: So I do open the book. The book opens with the sort of scene in Russia House in the mid summer of 2016, in the middle of the campaign. Russia House is, of course, the entity at CIA that is responsible for collection on all things Russia. And I sort of spoke with a lot of people who spent time there, and described as much as I could what it looks like inside, the sort of typical sea of cubicles. They have a big conference room where they have these Stalin-era posters around the walls and so forth. These things that people have picked up over the years. And then I try to zero right in on the work that's happening there. And the reason I picked that was because I wanted to juxtapose that work that's happening on one of the upper floors at the headquarters building in the seventh floor, with what happens on the ground floor, on Trump's second day in office when he comes to the CIA and he delivers his speech one day after his inauguration, in what many had hoped would be a kind of making amends moment with the intelligence community, and in fact it just goes off the rails. So what happens is, in late July time frame, CIA gets some pretty impressive intelligence that this operation-- which there are already glimpses of it, publicly. We've had the Wikileaks dump. And there's a lot of speculation pretty quickly that this is Russia up to something here. But what the agency brings to this moment is intelligence that shows that Vladimir Putin himself has authorized this operation, is overseeing this operation, and therefore it is the highest possible priority for the Russian government. And I think part of the reason for Brennan's alarm, and the reason he calls Obama in such haste, is that that raises a whole bunch of very disturbing and troubling questions about, what are we up against, and we need to figure this out. We've got only several months left before Election Day. Who knows what could happen then. And I think the farther we get from the election, the more people lose sight of how Russia's objectives really evolved. The first order objective, just reading from the intelligence community assessment, was to sow disorder, confusion, to damage American democracy, to make it look dysfunctional, to make America look like a mess, to make it look weak, to look vulnerable. A second and equally important objective, I think, was to damage Hillary Clinton. I mean, obviously, Vladimir Putin sees the world as a former KGB officer would. He sees it probably a little more conspiratorial than most, but truly believes that anything that goes wrong in his country probably has America's hand in it, and personalizes that-- sees Hillary Clinton as somebody who is directly connected to things like protests against his government in the 2012 timeframe in Russia. Then, when Trump emerges as the Republican nominee, it's like, oh my god. We have the dream candidate here. Somebody who is singing Putin's praises from the very beginning of his campaign is now the Republican nominee. And the Russian campaign really pivots, to not only seeking to inflict ongoing damage on Hillary Clinton, but to push Trump as hard as they can. MICHAEL HAYDEN: And so your belief is-- and I think we all agree, that was a pivot, from hurting the inevitable President Clinton, to saying this guy could actually win-- but your belief, it was the choice to make him win for policy purposes, rather than just a continuation of, this is the best guy possible to continue to mess with our heads. GREG MILLER: I don't know. I think it's actually an extension of the objective to sow confusion. MICHAEL HAYDEN: Objective one, chaos. Right. GREG MILLER: I don't know, actually. Putin-- you would know it a lot more about this than me-- but Putin strikes me as somebody who is control-obsessed, right? Even in Helsinki-- I traveled to Helsinki to see, to watch the sort of body language between Trump and Putin-- there were moments in that press conference where Putin sort of seemed to recoil a bit. Really uncomfortable with Trump sort of launching off into his diatribe that he delivered in that setting. You could almost see Putin's mind sort of turning and thinking, where in the hell is this going? How is this going to end? And in fact, if he were able truly to coach President Trump, if President Trump truly were an asset, I think Putin would coach him very differently. He would be saying, go ahead and take your shots at me in public, so that you have the political maneuverability to do what we want to do, policy-wise behind the scenes. MICHAEL HAYDEN: So you end the book in Helsinki. And you and I were chatting right before we came on stage. You had a way of describing what went on there that I hadn't thought of, but I thought was quite good. The cover story. You want to-- GREG MILLER: Oh, yeah. So you know, there's this question that we've all been wrestling with-- what accounts, what explains Trump's behavior toward Putin? And frankly, I think that maybe Robert Mueller will tell us something new in the next several weeks or months that will illuminate this. But there are theories. And I would just sort of assign them varying levels of credibility at this point. The idea that there is a tape of kompromat that Russia has on Trump, something incriminating, perhaps, in consorting with prostitutes in the Ritz Carlton Hotel in Moscow-- still possible. Wouldn't be completely out of character for President Trump. But would it really give Vladimir Putin definitive leverage on the guy? Hard to know anymore, right? Then there's the other theory of financial entanglements. That one seems a lot more compelling to me. But again, it's sort of still in this kind of unproven category. We just don't know enough yet. But the one thing-- and I put it this way in the book-- the lie that Trump clings to most ferocious in his Presidency is that there was no Russian interference. That this is all a hoax. This is all a plot to undermine him, to discredit him, that he won this election because of his own charisma and strategic brilliance as a candidate. No other factor played into this. And Putin sitting next to him in Helsinki is really in position to give that the lie, right? I mean, he absolutely knows. MICHAEL HAYDEN: He could actually say. GREG MILLER: And at this point, the only leg that Trump has to stand on in this argument-- I mean, the intelligence community has concluded this, the congressional investigations have all concluded that Russian interference was real and it was there to help Donald Trump-- I mean, Vladimir Putin is the only one who's still making the case that Trump is trying to make. Really? All right. MICHAEL HAYDEN: So we have the President of Russia living the cover story for the President of the United States. One final question, maybe hearkening back to more normal times. And obviously, as you described, the healthy and necessary adversarial relationship between a free press and an espionage service that thrives on secrecy. It's hard for you, for me, to make decisions as to what's in, what's out, what can go public, what can't. One of the elements of the early Trump administration story was again, back to Mike Flynn, and the leak that I think you suggest was first mentioned by your colleague, David Ignatius, that Mike's name was mentioned in dispatches, that he was included in the surveillance of Ambassador Kislyak. Clearly, that's an important story. Clearly, it's important to your story. Clearly, it's important to the broader public's understanding of this story. But then again, that's an American's name mentioned in a report on lawful intercepts. How do you make those calculations as to what gets put in and what doesn't? This one seems fairly clear. It's not a story without that. But there are others that are closer calls, right? GREG MILLER: There are many that are close calls, right? And you and I have been involved in negotiations surrounding some of those over the years. In the Flynn case, once again, the administration itself really altered the dynamic. And I try to write about it in this way in the book. When Ignatius writes his column saying, look, we know that Mike Flynn has this conversation at the end of December with the Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak, we deserve an explanation for what was said. Ignatius writes that column saying, we're entitled to know a little bit more than we do about this at this point. Well, that turns the tables a bit. That turns the sort of leverage. The White House, then, is suddenly offering explanations. Sean Spicer comes out and says, these were just holiday greetings. We've talked with General Flynn about it. They're just holiday greetings. This was a meaningless conversation. The Vice President comes out on the Sunday shows and says something very similar. I know for a fact that sanctions were not discussed. And again, just to remind the audience, the Flynn conversation with Kislyak comes right at the moment when the Obama administration is announcing sanctions against Russia for its interference in the election. So the idea that hours later, the Russian ambassador is talking with the designated national security adviser raises some interesting questions about what is that national security adviser communicating there in that moment. What else could they possibly be talking about? What could be more important at that moment for Sergey Kislyak to report back to his bosses? So when Pence comes out and says the same thing-- nope. Had nothing to do with sanctions. There are a lot of people in your former line of work, General, who knew that that wasn't true. And truth matters to these people. And I think you some of these people. I can tell you that-- who we relied on to sort of piece together the truth there. Their willingness to tell us that truth was extraordinary, because they are talking about a piece of intelligence that in almost any other circumstance, they would never talk to us about. But here you have this sense of alarm that you have a White House that is lying to the American public, or at least relaying the lie of one of its senior officials to the American public. And the sense of outrage starts to build. And then you layer in the concern, the real concern, that many of these same officials have about Flynn's vulnerability to blackmail-- the longer that they cling to this lie, the more vulnerable he becomes. You layer that in and their motivation goes up another notch to want to tell the truth about this. I'm not saying that this was easy, and that there was a line of intelligence officials out the door of the Washington Post, lining up to tell us what was in that intercept. But it tells you a lot about the environment and the true depth of concern about what was happening and what was transpiring. MICHAEL HAYDEN: Well, fascinating. One more quick question and we'll open it up to folks. So what's all this mean for tomorrow? GREG MILLER: Oh, my gosh. You know, I think that it could be an upside down world very soon, for a President who has benefited and been protected by the fact that his party has had control of both houses of Congress. To lose control of one of those would turn things upside down in a serious way. I mean, the President was asked today, what if the Democrats win and they come after your tax returns? You know, he tried to be flip about it and say, well, they can do whatever they want to do. They can come after me, and I can do what I need to do to them. I think we'll see. It'll be a very different world for the Trump administration, for the Russia investigation, for Mueller to know that there are committees out there waiting to dig in to everything that he's turned up over the past year and a half. MICHAEL HAYDEN: Great. Thank you. Questions from the audience. OK. We have one right up here up front. And the microphone is on its way. AUDIENCE: Hi. Thank you both for coming out. I have a question for both of you about the general Russia investigation. This investigation, since the special counsel was appointed, has taken 18 months. And while we've seen some smoke, we've seen some meetings, like the meeting at Trump Tower, some financial transactions with Russian oligarchs, there's yet to be solid proof of what the media calls collusion or conspiracy with the Russians. Do you think that the fact that the Mueller investigation has taken 18 months, and even though it hasn't produced anything yet, the fact that it's taken so long suggests that there's something big to drop? MICHAEL HAYDEN: That there is something-- AUDIENCE: Big to drop, because it's taken a while. GREG MILLER: I would start by saying, every time Mueller has dropped something it's been big, so far. He doesn't mess around. Every one of these indictments that we've seen so far from Mueller and his team has been breathtaking in the detail that it's given us. I think even former CIA people I know were really staggered by the level of detail in the indictment of the Russian intelligence officers involved in the hacking of the DNC, for example. They couldn't believe he got the clearance to get that much detail in a public document like that. We can't predict for sure. To get to the heart of your question, I think, what I would say is, even at this stage, I am skeptical, and have been for a while, that we're ever going to see what many in the public might think is required, in terms of smoking gun evidence of collusion-- some sort of memo that has Vladimir Putin's signature in one corner and Donald Trump's on the other. I just don't know that we're going to get that. But, oh my god. I mean, when you lay out this sequence of events, when you lay out not only the Trump Tower meeting, when you lay out Trump's infamous line during the campaign-- Russia, if you're listening-- and then you read through Mueller's indictments and realize, yes, they in fact were listening, and within hours launched a spear phishing attack at the Clinton computer servers. They're reacting to one another in real time, out in the open, in a way that's hard for us to process. I do this in the end of the book. I ask readers to do this little mental exercise. What if we had learned months later-- what if Trump had never said that in the campaign, and instead we had learned months later that he had secretly, via some encrypted app, asked the Kremlin to do this? And they in fact responded? We would know how to interpret that. We would have really no question about the coordination that was happening between the Trump campaign and Russia in that moment. But because it happens out in the open, it's so disorienting. And when people say, you know, no collusion, Mueller hasn't shown us anything yet-- you have the national security adviser having lied to the FBI, to his own government. He's lying to his own government about his interactions with the Russian government, to cover up a signal that he is sending at the culmination of that election, that we got you covered. I don't know. I have a hard time when people are too dismissive of what we already know. MICHAEL HAYDEN: Me too. [LAUGHTER] Other questions. Here's one. Yes. Hey, David. AUDIENCE: Good evening. Hi, Greg. GREG MILLER: Hi, David. AUDIENCE: I want to pick up on what you just talked about the election tomorrow, because I think if you would have told most Americans 20 years ago, 10 years ago, five years ago, that we'd be talking about somebody who said Russia, if you're listening, we'd love to get those emails, and then it happened, and then there are indictments, and then there's the national security-- all of these things happening. Normally, we think would mean this would be a big deal in the election, that this election might be a referendum on that. Poll after poll shows it ain't happening. It's health care. It's jobs. It's even immigration in some districts. But you look across the country and the Russia investigation is not often in the top three issues voters care about. This book isn't about the election. But how do you feel about the fact that this, in a way your life's work building up to this amazing reporting and story-- and the election comes and people are almost brushing off, perhaps the biggest national security impact on domestic politics in our lifetime? GREG MILLER: That really makes me mad. [LAUGHTER] From a sales point of view among others. I wish Mueller would hurry up and juice these numbers a little bit. But look. This is the climate that we're in right now. And we've never been through anything like it, where the level of chaos and the ability to stay focused on any issue more than a week or two or three, is really hard to sustain inside news organizations. I mean, I don't know how many-- I think we've got eight or nine people covering the Trump White House. We had three in the Obama administration. And they can't keep up, because there is just so much chaos day after day after day. And even then, despite all these hires we've made at The Washington Post, there's a whole layer, there's a whole other world of stories that we don't even have time to get to, that in normal times we would be all over. It's going to take I don't know how long-- a long, long time to do the sort of journalistic cleanup job that's required to really get at everything that's happening in this moment we're living through right now, is what I would say. And if I can plug David's forthcoming book, he's got one coming soon that Mueller might want to buy, about the impeachment of Presidents. MICHAEL HAYDEN: It's even broader than that, right? All right. Thanks, David. Who's got the microphone? Do we have a gentleman here? Yep. And then we've got-- why don't you go ahead and preposition it up here. There's someone else with their hand up. Yeah? AUDIENCE: You mentioned that Mueller's indictment of the 16 intelligence officials. And then you said that Putin was in charge of the operation. Why wouldn't Mueller not indict Putin? GREG MILLER: Well, that might be a sources and methods problem that even Robert Mueller can't get past. I mean, I think that would be pretty hard for them to lay that out. I mean, it's in the intelligence community assessment that this operation was approved. It's asserted at the highest levels. But to detail the evidence that you would need to there? And, I don't know. Perhaps it's also just the idea that you're going to indict the head of state. Russia is just not something that Robert Mueller sees as part of his remit. MICHAEL HAYDEN: OK. Right here. AUDIENCE: Yes, hi. As a former journalist, if there is such a thing, I have a question related to false equivalencies. I heard-- General Hayden, you were saying something about how journalists have this strike a balance between seeming as if they work for the resistance, and speaking truth to power, which is one of our jobs. I would argue that anyone who trafficks in facts, truth, knowledge, and understanding, even wisdom, is going to look indistinguishable to opponents. And I've had a lot of us-- people in my circles, anyway-- get really upset when journalists try to balance things, when they're balancing something like all costs denial to the truth. And I'd ask you to kind of just maybe-- your thoughts on this whole idea of false equivalency that I'm hearing out there. And I have a second question, which is, given the Trump operative history of relationship with the Putin operatives' history, going back decades, there is this conspiracy theory out there that Putin has been actually grooming Trump for this for a very long time. And I'm wondering whether you think there's any credibility to that. GREG MILLER: So on the first question, the question was about this false equivalency, which is basically, the idea that news organizations, in their effort to be balanced in their coverage of things, end up giving equal weight to arguments or positions or even facts that aren't of equal weight. And you know, there's some merit to that criticism here. And I think we are adapting the same way every other institution is adapting to this era. You know, we are coming out of an equilibrium that existed for decades and decades, in terms of our coverage of politics and of government and of the White House and so forth. And things are changing more quickly than we can sort keep up with, I think, is part of the issue. I think you're starting to see corrections there. I mean, it took a while for people to use even the word "lie" when it comes to these assertions by the President. I think that restraint is a good thing for the most part. As we were talking about earlier, we don't want to overreach, become adversarial. And it's hard in this environment to make anybody happy, let alone everybody happy. I think it was really telling, a few weeks ago, when the New York Times broke the story that Rod Rosenstein had considered wearing a wire into meetings with Trump. The reaction from the left, and the denunciations from the left, which supposedly is supposed to be in love with the allegedly liberal-leaning New York Times, really struck me, really made me think, man, we are in such a polarized moment right now that even the New York Times is getting whipsawed from the left. You can't get far enough left for these people. I think on the second question, I don't know. I mean, we know that Trump was pursuing business deals in Russia for many years. If Putin was really trying to recruit him and develop a relationship, wouldn't he have shown up when Trump was in Moscow for the Miss Universe Pageant? I mean, there were plenty of opportunities that looked like he didn't take advantage of there. But I don't know everything that the intelligence community knows, or that Robert Mueller knows. So we could be learning more about that pretty soon. MICHAEL HAYDEN: I'll just add to that one. My pure instinct, no data, is that Donald Trump would not have had to have been running for President for the Russians to be interested in such a personality. So in terms of development of information, I think my instincts are, there's a pretty long file, which is quite different than trying to create a source or an agent of influence. Where's the mic? Come on up. Yep. Yep. AUDIENCE: The New York Times had Clinton at 99% chance of winning the day before the election happened. The Washington Post had similar numbers. How can you claim to have credibility and objective truth, given that your prediction of the election was so far off? MICHAEL HAYDEN: I usually get that question on weapons of mass destruction. [LAUGHTER] GREG MILLER: Was it really 99%? Is that accurate? AUDIENCE: The poll was-- the prediction was at 99% the day before. GREG MILLER: I think that you have to make a distinction between-- objective truth and reality is not predictive. I don't think any of us claims to know the future. We only know what we report in our stories, based on what we learn from the sources that we talk to. And I think that there was a lot of hand-wringing after the election, and probably still is some lingering hand-wringing, over how wrong everybody was about that. But I would just put those predictive polls and stuff in a very different category. And I would just argue that I don't think that that undermines our credibility in terms of coverage of events that have occurred, which is what our real jobs are. MICHAEL HAYDEN: Who's got the last question? Who has the microphone? Here we go. Yes, ma'am. AUDIENCE: Thank you. On May 11th, 2016, Trump signed the executive order on cybersecurity. And then in July he tried to meet with Putin to create an unhackable cybersecurity network. That, allegedly, as far as I know, did not go through, because people protested. Except for that, he's given Putin almost everything Putin's wanted. What do you think Putin is going to try to make Trump do next, or try to influence Trump to do? Let me rephrase that. GREG MILLER: So you think the cybersecurity initiative between Trump and Putin was a bad idea? AUDIENCE: I don't know why I would think that, but-- GREG MILLER: You know, I actually think that there's been a level of disenchantment in Russia with Trump. I've been doing a bit of reporting on this, and I know that my colleagues in Moscow have done more reporting than I have on this. I mean, the reality is that you sort of have to look at the aftermath of the election and what Russia got out of this in two different ways. They got almost nothing, and less than nothing, in some ways, in terms of the most transactional things on their shopping list-- removal of sanctions and progress on other fronts like that. The payoff, and the ongoing payoff, is the dysfunction. As we were talking about, the first order of this operation was the dysfunction and the damage to the reputation of American democracy, and the embarrassment, and making it look bad on the world stage, and sowing division in the United States. That's the gift that keeps on giving, unfortunately. MICHAEL HAYDEN: Greg, thank you so much. GREG MILLER: Thank you. MICHAEL HAYDEN: I enjoyed reading the book. I highly recommend it for everyone. [APPLAUSE] LARRY PFEIFFER: All right. I appreciate everybody coming out. Please stay tuned to our website or our Twitter feed or elsewhere for a follow on event. Our next event will be the tenth of December at the National Press Club. General Hayden will be leading a panel discussion that's going to look at the law and regulatory aspects of how we govern intelligence. It should be a very fascinating conversation. I would ask your indulgence in allowing General Hayden and Greg Miller to make their way out of the auditorium, into the reception area. And there'll be plenty of opportunities to stop and chat with them, and ask questions in there. And with that, one last round of applause for our special guest. [APPLAUSE]
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Channel: The Hayden Center
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Length: 69min 21sec (4161 seconds)
Published: Wed Nov 07 2018
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