BIGGEST BUSTS From Every Round Fantasy Football 2021

what's going on everybody dave locker with awesomemode.com and today we're talking top busts in each round of the draft now by each round we're going the top eight rounds of the draft because that's usually what fills out a roster or a starting lineup we don't need to go 16 17 18 rounds because at that point there are no busts there are just dark throws so we're gonna hit on all of that but i want to be sure that we all have the same concept of what a bust is this isn't somebody that you draft in the second round and i say it's gonna be a bust and he's going to finish as the rb 99 no of course not it's very simply somebody that we don't expect to live up to or produce up to his adp or up to expectations so it might be a second rounder that finishes as a fourth round value or a fifth round value but that's what we're talking about when we mean bust another thing to consider too just to get all of this out of the way right i read all these articles and videos watch these videos of people talking about well you gotta take risks in fantasy football if you're gonna win yeah on the surface that's totally right but if you're not taking calculated risks approaching it in the right way you're gonna get screwed here's what i mean taking a risk in the 10th or 11th round is a lot different than taking a risk in the first round when you're drafting somebody with a ton of risk surrounding him around all of these guys that are already potential league winners that can already win your league that already have a high floor and a high ceiling so consider that when you're thinking about where you want to take risk where you want to reach on guys be sure that if a guy has a massive amount of risk in the first round that you can't get anybody else that's as good as him in the event that he doesn't have any of that downside in the regular season so let's dive into this let's get started before we do though if you like these videos you want to help support us and you think we've helped you along the way hit that thumbs up and subscribe to the channel we have just hit 5 000 subs cruising on our way up to 10k thanks to all of you so let's make that happen as quick as possible all right let's go a healthy sacrum barkley wouldn't be on this list there's no way i think we all know that and it's entirely possible that he is healthy or will be fully healthy by the start of the season but every player being drafted in the first round has league winning upside and that's something we have to consider with barkley this speaks exactly to what i was referring to just a minute ago when we talk about risk barkley is being drafted as a fifth or sixth overall player returning from an acl injury and not guaranteed to be on the field for week one of the regular season he's one of the best running backs in the league when healthy as evidenced by his rb1 rookie season and rb10 finish in 2019 despite missing three games he's an elite pass catching back who produces in both phases of the offense but that won't matter if he's limited for a while or inactive to start the year joe judge has already said and i quote i know he's anxious to get back on the field but the one thing we really need to know and do is take the long-term vision with him end quote so does this mean that barkley doesn't get onto the field to start the year or that he's seeding a lot more work to devonte booker than we'd feel comfortable with those are some pretty significant unanswered questions for a top five or six draft pick not to mention pff ranked the giants as the worst offensive line in football heading into 2021 so yeah risk is necessary to win in fantasy football but is the risk worth it when you're drafting what should be the most valuable player on your roster all season long i'd rather draft ezekiel elliott who suffered one bad season thanks to a broken offensive line no dak prescott and a dreadful defense that forced dallas to abandon the run game the cowboys line is healthy now prescott should be healthy to start the year and dallas is likely to see far more trips inside the red zone than new york regardless of barclay's status [Music] to be fair there isn't anyone in the second round who i really don't like so let me take this time to voice some concerns that i have with aaron jones i actually backed off my stance from last week that jones would bounce into the first round for me if aaron rodgers was on the field and as i do research and better understand the situation i'm willing to admit spots where i could be totally wrong this is one of them and here's why jones won't have to compete for passing down work with jamal williams this year which is huge aj dillon is not a pass catching back so we shouldn't expect them to inherit any of the 70 receptions or six receiving touchdowns that williams recorded over the last two seasons but at six foot 247 pounds how concerned should we be about dylan a second round pick in 2020 getting significant enough goal line work to hurt jones production jones has actually been really impressive near the goal line finding the end zone on 18 of 33 carries inside the five since his rookie season but if there's any type of split on these high percentage scoring downs it should spell trouble what adds to my concern is roger's willingness to throw inside the 5-yard line last year no team threw inside the 5 more than the packers who attempted 30 passes in these situations so here's what i'd say with jones he's a perfectly solid late second round pick or even mid second round pick but i'm hesitant to draft him getting up into the first or even in the early second right now based on the potential drop in touchdown equity that's enough to keep me away i'd rather have a devonte adams calvin ridley or deandre hopkins in this range while trying to grab a clyde edwards hilaire in the early third round but again this doesn't mean don't draft jones or anyone on this list for that matter it just means be aware of where they're being drafted and where they should be drafted i could have put deandre swift in here for a third round bust but i've talked too much about him over the last month and i think you guys all know where i stand so let's go with amari cooper i was very disappointed to hear that cooper was dealing with another injury entering training camp on the pup list as he recovers from ankle surgery and i might not be the only one who's disappointed according to yahoo sports charles robinson there's a strong sense that internally the cowboys have grown frustrated with cooper constantly being banged up dealing with soft tissue problems and not practicing because he's paid like an elite wide receiver one this could all be though i mean cooper has missed the total of four games in six seasons while posting a thousand yard campaigns in all but one of those years how healthy he was in all of those games is up for discussion though but is he an elite receiver i tend to think not yes cooper's very good and the cowboys offense barring more injuries should be extremely potent this season but cd lam is essentially the same adp as cooper and receivers like julio jones and robert woods are in many leagues going a full round after him cooper has never had a 1200 yard season and averages .41 touchdowns per game for his career i'm drafting lamb over cooper all day long not just because i think he's more likely to be a true wide receiver one but because he's not dealing with lingering ankle injuries heading into camp i could have taken the easy way out and said that jamar chase and kyle pitts have never played a single snap at the nfl level and are being drafted in the fourth round hence making them prime candidates to disappoint at their adp but that would be too easy and there isn't much evidence to suggest that they'll burn us outside of their lack of experience so what's the point so we're going with tyler lockett here yeah the same guy who had a career-high hundred receptions last year with over a thousand yards and ten touchdowns while finishing as the wide receiver tap so how can i justify lockett not performing up to his adp this year well i'm glad i asked all of those numbers were more than solid for lache but they don't tell the whole story get this 37 percent of his total yards 38 of his receptions and a crazy 80 percent of his touchdowns came across only three games last year in those weeks he finishes the wide receiver one one and five and if you started him those weeks you were surely in business but laka was the wide receiver 36 if you remove those weeks and no it isn't fair to take a player's best weeks remove them and then say he was bad but what i'm saying is lockett was wildly inconsistent he actually finished outside of the top 50 at his position seven times last year and was a top 20 receiver only five times of which all but two of them came in weeks one through three when russell wilson looked like the 2020 mvp with wilson projected to throw less and the seahawks expected to run more lacka could see even less opportunity than last season and while huge weekly upside is awesome it's far less appealing when the other 13 weeks are forgettable this may be an unpopular take but i'd rather draft cooper cup now that matthew stafford is in los angeles we get hyped about rookie running backs and it usually makes sense rookie running backs generally produce more than rookie wide receivers especially when we're talking about backs drafted in the first round but i have some serious reservations about travis etf it's not that i don't think he's good or explosive or a position to have a nice career at the nfl level but more so that we have no idea what the jaguars backfield is going to look like this season urban meyer said a couple months ago that etn is like percy harvin he then compared into paris campbell and curtis samuel he also said and i quote i think you need compliments i just love great backs and at ohio we had zeke elliot carlos hyde and now we have james robinson who was a stud and carlos hyde who i have a great history with so we have two downhill backs and they can do other things too but i think travis is that duel end quote come on now you guys want to tell me that we know exactly what's going to happen with jacksonville or have even the slightest idea what's going to happen in that backfield this year i don't yeah it's true that a target is worth more than a rushing attempt we all get that but how many targets should we be expecting from etn with dj shark marvin jones the viscosity all expected to get decent work or will he line up as a receiver as meyer suggested and out of the backfield too but only on third downs again no idea hopefully we'll learn more as training camp progresses and maybe i'll change my mind if etn's role in the offense becomes clear but i'd rather draft javonte williams right now who went 10 picks after etn in the 2021 draft and is positioned to take over the lead back role in denver as the season goes on [Music] the sixth round is too early for me to be drafting chase edmonds there's always the idea that when a starting running back leaves a team that the incumbent backup is now clearly positioned to earn the bulk of those carries is that actually true when it comes to edmonds though let's break this down edmonds has been pretty efficient in the limited work he's received on the ground in the three years with the cardinals averaging 4.4 yards per attempt and 4.8 yards per attempt over the last two years but his work has been just that limit it edmonds has never seen 100 carries in a season and even last year when drake was struggling edmonds averaged only 4.8 attempts per game when drake was active i still expect edmonds to get a decent amount of work on the ground as cardinals running backs have averaged 333 carries in two seasons with cliff kingsbury at the helm and i would think he'll be the primary pass catching back too but my biggest concern lies in the offseason acquisition of james connor no conor wasn't impressive last year and also has a concerning history of injuries but the steelers had arguably the worst offensive line in football and more importantly conor has been legitimately good in goal line situations he's seen 32 career carries inside the 5 of which 16 of them have gone for touchdowns it's also hard to imagine the cardinals didn't bring conor over to be used in these various situations meanwhile edmunds has won i repeat one goal line carry for his career combine that with the certainty that kylo murray will vulture plenty of goal line rushes himself and we're looking at a potential time share on the ground and very little goal line work for edmonds in 2020 if any i'd honestly rather take a shot on conor in the 10th round and pass on edmonds for a chase claypool or t higgins in the sixth maybe someone can explain this to me because i'm having trouble understanding the steelers top four offensive weapons all have a seventh round adp or higher this season from naji harris to deonte harris to chase claypool and juju smith schuster but i'm seeing ben roethlisberger drafted as low as the qb qb28 so we love all these receivers but hate the guy throwing them the football now don't get me wrong a bad or washed up quarterback can still support a wide receiver one season and maybe even a strong season for two of his past catchers but three of them that seems like a stretch and honestly i don't even think ben is totally washed yet but he's certainly trending downward and mike tomlin is absolutely looking to take a more balanced approach with the offense there's no way and he's talked about this that the steelers want to throw at a 65 and a half percent clip again this season and they drafted a first round running back to hopefully prevent another 20 20. we'll see if the offensive line can block well enough to make that a reality but one thing is for sure roethlisberger throwing 41 times a game again is not an option so we're already anticipating lower passing volume from pittsburgh but what about smith schuster himself and why just a minute ago would i say that i'd rather draft chase claypool in the sixth round here it is smith shuster had the seventh lowest yards per target in the league last season which would have been fine if he was racking up solid yards after the catch but at only 4.17 yards after catch per reception smith schuster ranked a paltry 47th in that category 2. not to mention he ranked 82 out of 84 in yards per reception among all receivers with at least 50 targets he did lead the team in red zone targets which is a plus but smith shuster signed a modest 1 year 8 million contract to stay with the steelers and feels like the clear third option in the passing game with claypool going into his second year so do i hate smith schuster in the seventh round no i don't hate him he still had 97 receptions in nine scores last year but i'm not convinced he comes even close to those numbers in 2021 i'd rather draft devante smith in the seventh even though i have some reservations about the eagles offense because unlike smith shuster devonte smith has a real shot at becoming the clear wide receiver one in philadelphia there are two schools of thought in the fantasy world when it comes to marquis brown one way of looking at his situation in 2021 is the arrival of rashad bateman will finally give brown the opportunity to be the type of player he was designed to be and not the clear-cut number one he can now be more productive with his opportunities and efficiency is good for fantasy football there's also the assumption that greg roman wants to throw more this year and while that sounds nice in the eight years roman has been an offensive coordinator for the niners bills and ravens his team has finished bottom three in pass play percentage all but once and the year the 49ers didn't finish bottom three they were 26 that's just insane the second school of thought is where i reside that even if roman does decide to throw more and it would make some sense given that they spent a 20 20 first round pick on bateman drafted tylen wallace in the fourth and added sami watkins in free agency there are going to be way more mouths to feed than there have ever been in the past and let's not forget about mark andrews either i just don't get even a little bit excited about drafting brown as a flex and while in some leagues you're going to be able to get him as a bench player which i guess is fine why not take a shot on someone like michael pittman who could be a legitimate wide receiver one for the cult or even brandon cooks who despite the ugly quarterback situation in houston is still the clear alpha receiver in that offense i just don't see the upside in brown outside of possibly a few big weeks where he breaks off some long receptions for touchdowns if you're satisfied with the wide receiver 4 who has very little room to climb the ladder up to even a wide receiver too then brown is your guy otherwise look to some of these other receivers with similar floors and far more upside that'll do it for today's video head over to awesomeo.com check out everything we've got going on over there in the fantasy football space and of course for dfs headed up by the number one ranked daily fantasy player in the world awesomeo himself until next time we'll see you back here at the osmo fantasy football channel peace [Music] you

Channel: Awesemo Fantasy Football

Views: 23,512

Keywords: fantasy football 2021, fantasy football dynasty, fantasy football, fantasy football rankings, fantasy football advice, nfl fantasy football, fantasy rankings, fantasy football podcast, 2021 fantasy football, 2021 fantasy football rankings, fantasy football 2021 rankings, fantasy rankings 2021, awesemo, fantasy football news, Fantasy Football Busts, 2021 Fantasy Football Busts, Fantasy Football Do Not Draft List, Saquon Barkley, Aaron Jones, Amari Cooper

Id: UrI2bNoB1Y4

Length: 16min 4sec (964 seconds)

Published: Sat Jul 31 2021