21 Lessons - Yuval Noah Harari in Conversation with Jonathan Capehart

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- Good evening. Welcome, everybody. My name is Russell Shaw. I serve as head of school at Georgetown Day School here in our nation's capital and far more importantly, I serve as husband to Rabbi Shira Stutman here at Sixth & I. So tonight's conversation is gonna be live streamed on Facebook at facebook.com/sixthandi. If somebody who wanted to be here but wasn't able to, you can text them now and tell them to tune in. It is my privilege to introduce Yuval Noah Harari, an Israeli historian and a professor at Hebrew University in Jerusalem. He's the author of the international bestseller, Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind and Homo Deus: A Brief History of Tomorrow. His most recent book which was released just two days ago is 21 Lessons for the 21st Century. Harari's writing reminds me of a book that was very hot in the '90s called Zoom. The book starts out with an image of a rooster and then it zooms out and you realize that the rooster is actually in a barn and it zooms out from there and you understand that the barn is on a farm and then it zooms out again and you understand that the farm is a toy farm and a child is playing with it and then in the next image, you understand that the child playing on the farm or with the farm is an image on the cover of a magazine. We see something up close but by zooming out, we can see a much bigger picture. Harari's writing does that. It helps us see a much bigger picture that can provide a fuller understanding both of where we've come from and also where we're going. It's a broader perspective that is necessary at this moment in our history and for which we are all and as a case in point, of the top eight bestsellers listed in Sunday's New York Times, five are about the Trump presidency, both for and against, two were memoirs and one was Sapiens which was published in 2014. At Georgetown Day School each year, I give the senior class a different book at graduation. The class of 2018 got Sapiens. I'll share some of what I said to our seniors at their graduation. In Sapiens, Harari takes on the ambitious task of telling the story of 2 1/2 million years of human history in 400 pages. He does a remarkable job talking about three big shifts in human history, the cognitive, agricultural and scientific revolutions. The engine of the Scientific Revolution, surprisingly, was accepting that there were things that we didn't know, that we didn't have the answers, that there was so much for us to learn. Prior to the Scientific Revolution, humans assumed that we did know that all the answers to all the questions existed within ancient texts and traditions. The Scientific Revolution wasn't about answers, it was about questions. Accepting that we didn't know was the beginning of a fuller understanding of this world in which we live. 500 years later, there are so many things that we still don't know. Answers to some of the biggest questions of our time like those outlined in 21 lessons for the 21st century. Yet, we're living in a moment where more energy is invested in finding people who agree with us, who agree with what we know to be true than is invested in listening and coming to know others with a different truth. If we engage the world and other people certain that we have the answers, we are powerfully limiting our ability to discover, to make leaps, to solve previously insoluble problems. So that's some of what I told our seniors who as we speak are starting college and openness to new ideas and ways of seeing the world will be prerequisites to addressing the 21 challenges that Harari teased up in his new book which in a recent review, Bill Gates called fascinating, compelling and a crucial global conversation about how to take on the problems of the 21st century. From terrorism to artificial intelligence to fake news, Harari uses his wide-angle lens help explore our rapidly changing an unknowable future and we are fortunate to have him as a guide. Tonight, Harari will be in conversation with Jonathan Capehart, an opinion writer for The Washington Post. Jonathan, who's writing focuses on the intersection of social and cultural issues in politics is a member of the Washington Post editorial board, the host of the Cape Up podcast and a contributor to MSNBC. During his time at the New York Daily News, he was awarded a Pulitzer Prize for a 16 month long editorial campaign to save the famed Apollo Theater in Harlem. Please join me in welcoming Yuval Harari and Jonathan Capehart to Sixth & I. (attendees applauding) - So, is this the reception you get every time around the world? Packed houses, applause. - Sometimes, yeah. Sometimes were-- - Well, Yuval, thank you very much for being here for your latest book. I read all of it and people who have seen me do this before, I've underlined, I've taken notes, I've got page numbers so be ready. I think that the perfect way to start off this conversation is to read a paragraph. Admittedly, it's in the introduction, page XVI or 16th. And this is, I think, it'd be a great way to kick this off. You write, so where are we heading? This question is particularly poignant because liberalism is losing credibility exactly when the twin revolutions in information technology and biotechnology confront us with the biggest challenges our species has ever encountered. The merger of infotech and biotech might soon push billions of humans out of the job market and undermine both liberty and equality. Big data algorithms might create digital dictatorships in which all power is concentrated in the hands of a tiny elite while most people suffer not from exploitation but from something far worse, irrelevance. That happy paragraph is basically a good way, a perfect introduction into the book. Talk more about this merger of information technology and biotechnology and why, at once, is it extremely exciting but also extremely scary. - What a good place to start is with the question, do I know myself? Do I really understand myself? And many people would say yes and in that case, they have nothing to fear but because the AI will not make much of a difference to them. It can't know that know them better than they know themselves but these people are probably mistaken. Very few people actually understand themselves. Very few people can really say yes, I know myself. I understand my mind. I understand my desires, my thoughts where they are coming from. I think that too many people suffer from a lack of curiosity about themselves and the AI revolution or really the merger of biotech and infotech is at the same time both exhilarating and frightening because we are about to create, we are creating an external system which is hacking us, which is getting to know us far better than we know ourselves which on the one hand is exhilarating because you can start understanding yourself, you can start understanding your brain, your body, your mind, your life choices, your desires, your thoughts in ways which were previously unimaginable, but at the same time, this kind of knowledge will be accessible not just to you but to some external systems. And depending on the political choices we make, this kind of understanding might be accessible not to you at all, only to the external systems and to think what it means to live in a world when somebody else, an external system, understands my innermost desires and fears and hopes much better than I understand them, this is a very frightening scenario. - And we're already living in it. In reading the book, we are feeding data to these big companies and into these algorithms. As I was reading, I kept thinking about how I go to Google Play and I will hit start radio and then all of these songs, I pick a particular song that I really love, start radio and then all these other songs come on and then I'm like oh yeah, that's great. Oh, I remember that song, I love that song and that's this algorithm that's learning me, that's understanding me. All of my choices are being sucked up by this thing. - But this is just, you know, this is the beginning, just the tip of the iceberg because at present, these algorithms are still extremely primitive, they're in their infancy especially because they don't go beneath your skin. They are still based on the choices you make outside, on you pushing buttons and pointing at things and swiping your credit card and then doing likes and dislikes on a screen and it gathers a lot of data from that but it's all surface. The really big change will come when it goes underneath the skin. When the same algorithm, with the use of biometric sensors of that of the type which are already beginning to see on more and more wrists and fingers and will eventually be inside our bodies, when the same algorithm that chooses music for you can, in real time, monitor what happens to your blood pressure, to your heartbeat, to your brain activity as you listen to each song and all the data is not going to disappear. It's being accumulated. And within quite a short time, this algorithm can understand your deepest emotions much better than any other person and much better than yourself. And it's good maybe to start by talking about art and not economics or politics. A very common understanding of art in the modern age, it was different in previous ages but at least in the modern age in the West, it's commonly believed that art is all about human emotions. It's about inspiring human emotions. Maybe joy, maybe sadness, maybe anger, maybe fear but art is about the human mind and human emotions. So really all artists play on the same instruments, whether it's musicians or whether it's painters or whether it's TV producers, the instrument everybody's playing on is the human biochemical system, is the human emotional system. And if somebody can hack that, they will be the greatest artist in the world. They know how to press, they will know or might know how to press our emotional buttons better than any pianist or any TV producer or any painter and that's that an exhilarating thought and an extremely frightening thought at the same time. - Well, as you write in the book that this algorithm will know how to push our buttons better than our mothers do. Which I had to chuckle at that. But the other thing you write in terms of art, it's not so much that the computer or the robot or the algorithm has to be the next Tchaikovsky or the next genius. That algorithm just has to be as good as Britney Spears. - Yes, for starters, yes. There is a lot of, whenever people talk about AI, very often, they make the mistake of overrating what AI can do today and what AI could do in 20 years or 50 years but what balances it is that they also overrate what humans can do. People say well, yes, Google is good but it will never be perfect, it will make mistakes. Yeah, right but humans make mistakes all the time also. If we move from art, let's say to questions like what to study in university or whom to date or whom to marry? And we'll try to look a couple of decades to the future and maybe an algorithm, we will turn to an algorithm to decide for us what to study at university or whom to marry. And when you talk about these people will say yes, but the algorithm will make mistakes. There will be things it cannot predict, there will be things it doesn't know about us, there'll be all kinds of mistakes. That's definitely true but for authority to shift to the algorithms, it doesn't have to be perfect. It just have to be better on average than humans and humans make, sometimes, terrible mistakes. And the most important decisions in life. So, this is the real bar. In art, it means it doesn't have to be Tchaikovsky. It can start by being Justin Bieber or Britney Spears. - You have two stories, talk about algorithms and AI that were particularly fascinating. One involves Google Maps. And this idea of people handing over to AI and the algorithm's decisions and how we've gone from being able to drive and look at maps and follow directions to just saying hey, Google, take me to 69 and then within a matter of time, we've forgotten how to do anything without this algorithm or without asking Google for help. That's a problem, isn't it? - It's not necessarily a problem. Again, it often does a better job. And when it comes to navigating the city and getting away from traffic jams and so forth, so yeah, it's a good idea to follow the recommendations of Google. It becomes frightening when you realize that the same basic dynamics and mechanisms that makes Google Maps better than our own spatial instincts might in the not-too-distant future make it better also in deciding things like what to study or whom to marry or whom to vote for in the elections. And this raises some very deep philosophical and spiritual questions about human life, what is human life all about? If you look at most of history, then both art and religion told people that life is like a journey in which you have to make important decisions. Life is a drama of decision-making. Whether it's in religion, you have to make these important decisions and if you get the answer wrong, you go to hell for the rest of eternity and also in art, like almost every big or small novel or movie or theater play, whether with Shakespeare or Jane Austen or the latest Hollywood blockbuster, it's often just a drama of decision-making. You have to choose, do I kill King Claudius or not? Do I betray my husband or not? Do I marry X or do I marry Y? And how does life look like when in every such situation, you just take out the device. You don't even have to take out the device and you have Hamlet saying okay Siri, what should I do? Okay, Alexa what do you recommend? And how we could have a much more convenient life but what kind of life is it when all these big decisions and even small decisions are not made by us? So we become these kinds of ultimate consumers, perhaps, and everything is arranged to our comfort but what exactly is the meaning of that kind of life? - The second story involves AlphaZero and this gets to just how quickly computers, AI, algorithms are, the machines are way more advanced than, I think, the lay person gives them credit for. Quickly tell the story of AlphaZero. - Well, it's very old news that computers can defeat humans in chess. It's been 20 years, I think, since Deep Blue defeated Kasparov. But the latest sensation is involves a game between two computer programs. A new program just out there, just a baby, a tiny baby managed to defeat the previous computer chess master and the amazing thing about the baby program is that except for the basic rules of the game of chess, nobody taught it anything. With Deep Blue and other chess computer chess prodigies, you had human engineers teaching the computers, the software, a lot of things besides, I mean all the accumulated wisdom of hundreds of years of human chess players went into it. With AlphaZero, nothing went into it. It just played against itself and within an amazing short time of just four hours, it became better than the previous computer world champion which was much, much better than any human being. So-- - Stockfish, the Stockfish team. - Yeah. - Program. - This was the previous champion. - Right, this happened on December 7th, 2017. So this was just almost less than a year ago. Four hours, this computer was able to teach itself chess and then beat the reigning champion. And if I have it right, if I can read my notes here, it won all of, it won most of the matches and then had a draw. - Yeah, they played like a hundred matches. It's very quick with computers and I think it won something like 25 or 28 or something and had draws in all the rest of them. Didn't lose a single one. And, you know, chess is not like the world. It's much, much simpler but in more and more fields, computers are gonna outperform humans and will not even need humans to teach them the basic skills and the basic tricks. They can teach themselves more and more things. - So you spend a lot of time in the book. I've divided your book into three sections. All of this that we're talking about, AI, robots, algorithms, artificial intelligence. And then the second part is like who are we? And so if we have a situation where computers and algorithms are gonna know more about us than we do and we end up spending a whole lot of time just handing off decisions to this algorithm, then answer the question, who are we in that case? - We don't really know. And again, this becomes very dangerous when somebody else knows. But who are we both on the individual level and on the collective level, it's one of the most basic philosophical and spiritual questions that confronted humankind for thousands of years. But like many other philosophical questions, they now become urgent questions, very practical questions. Now, for thousands of years, the basic answer was given in the format of a story. When people ask who am I? What is the meaning of life? In almost all cases, they expect the answer to be a story. They expect to hear a story about the universe which gives them as a group or me as an individual some role to play and this is who I am. This is how I understand who I am. To the best of our knowledge, all these stories were fictions invented by human beings. Not a single one of them was true but it didn't, I mean, it's not that it didn't matter very much, it mattered a lot but to be effective, a story doesn't need to be true, it just needs to convince people. And some of the most and it's not that the more true story is, the more convincing it is. There is often a very little connection between the level of truthfulness of a story and its level of effectiveness of how convincing it is. In fact you can say that truth and power can go together only so far. At one point or another, they will have to split to go in different directions. If you really want to know the truth, at some point, you will have to give up power and if you really want to gain power, at some point, you will have to give up truth because it's it's almost impossible to unite large number of people without telling them some fictional story and it's impossible, at least so far, to have a lot of power unless you manage to unite a lot of people around you. - Can you expand on that and talk more about what you write about and that is the difference between tribalism and nationalism. - Yeah, well you will hear a lot of times this day that nationalism is part of human nature. It's in our genes, it's in our DNA, therefore, it's natural, it's eternal, we'll never be able to go beyond it and then so forth and so on. And this is complete nonsense. Nationalism is one of the least natural things for Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens, like other human species, we are definitely a social animal and sociability and loyalty to a group is definitely in our nature, in our genes, in our DNA but for hundreds of thousands of years, Homo sapiens and its other hominid ancestors, they lived in very small groups. The chief characteristic of these groups was that they were intimate communities in which everybody knew everybody else and this is what comes naturally to human beings. To be loyal to a small group of a couple of dozen people who you actually know. Your family, maybe your family business, maybe an infantry company in the army, maybe a small football club, something like that. This comes very natural to us but nationalism is nothing like it. The essence of nationalism is the ability to make millions of complete strangers who never met each other and will never meet each other and don't know anything about each other as individuals, nevertheless feel part of the same group, feel that all these other strangers, they are somehow my brothers and sisters and friends and so forth and care about them deeply and even be willing to sacrifice my life for them. I'm not saying there is necessarily anything wrong with it. Nationalism has done a lot of good to humankind, a lot of bad also but also a lot of good. You couldn't have functioning large scale societies without being able to go beyond the small tribe but it's definitely not natural for humans to have these kinds of loyalties to millions of strangers. This developed only in the last few thousand years which is yesterday morning in evolutionary terms. And the key question to remind ourselves is do I know these people? Like I come from a relatively small country, Israel. We have about eight million citizens. I don't know 99.99% of them. I don't know these people. If you think about the place like United States, you have what, like 300 million citizens? - You think we're about 350 by now. - 350. You don't know these people. What do you care about them? But you do, at least many people do. And this is kind of the miracle of nationalism. And as I said, nationalism is not necessarily bad, it's the foundation for most of the effective societies today on Earth, it makes you care enough to taxes that somebody else you never met will have health care and education. It, of course, has a downside that you care only about this segment of humanity and in some situations, you're willing to kill and exterminate other people you don't know equally just because they don't belong to the group of strangers that you feel loyal to. But I would say that as we look to the future and the need to develop stronger global cooperation to confront the big problems of the 21st century, I would say that if we manage to get people, to get Homo sapiens from being loyal to a hundred people you know to being loyal to a hundred million strangers, that's a very, very long road to cover and we covered it. Now, the distance from being loyal to a hundred million strangers to eight billion strangers, that's a very short road in comparison. - Alberto Ibarguen is a mentor of mine, longtime friend and he's also the president of the Knight Foundation and he's a fan of yours and he's all about the First Amendment and he is the first person who turned me on to the fact that we need to be thinking about these issues about social media and algorithms and what it means for the First Amendment so I shot Alberto an email asking him, I'm sure you know Yuval Harari. Do you have any questions that I could ask him? And what you were just talking about hits on a question that he had me, wants me to ask you. He says in an era of worldwide media of instant reach in virtual communities that defy geography or real space intimacy, are we not growing up to live our lives in cyberspace? Do we not consider our online relationship as real as the physical ones? Do we not find satisfaction support and convenience online as in fact? If your answer is even a tiny bit yes. - It's a tiny bit yes. - Tiny bit yes, okay, great. - Even more than tiny. - Okay, good because this is great because this is the question and I think it has to be, he said, then why do you not think that nationalism is the logical extension of tribalism? - Just because of what I said, that tribalism, at least in the original sense, in the evolutionary sense, the defining characteristic of the natural unit for humans is people you actually know, where is the defining characteristic of nations is people you don't know. You imagine you know them. They are all my brothers and sisters. But you know, I can name my two sisters. I can't name the other eight million brothers and sisters that I have in the Israeli nation. - Okay. Talk about religion. You you spend an entire chapter-- - It's a synagogue after all, yeah. - Yes, of course, we have to talk religion but you spend a lot of time in your book, you have an entire chapter on religion and you hammer away at Judaism, also Christianity, but Judaism because as you write, that's what you know and the this thing you can criticize because that's what you know. I'm gonna find this. - I'll just say about-- - 'Cause you say things in order to make us understand that we shouldn't be so self-centered. - I hammer Judaism just because this is like my tribe, my group, so it's more polite to criticize your own people than to go about the Japanese or the Brazilians or whatever but this is a characteristic of all human groups. Everybody think they are the center of the world. Everybody think that history revolves around them, that without them, the whole of humankind will be living in some dark ignorance and chaos and whatever and you go to the Chinese or you go to the Russians or you go to the Jews or you go to the Greeks or the Egyptians, will all tell you the same story. It's all about us. And it's ridiculous when you hear it from the others but it's so convincing when you hear it, like, well, these Indians, what do they know? But, we, yes, we are the center of the world and I just gave an example in one book of how, and maybe this is also relevant to the United States because you often hear about this Judeo-Christian tradition. And you need to remember a few things about the Judeo-Christian tradition. First of all, it didn't invent morality. Lots of people go around with this ridiculous idea that all of morality comes from the Bible and the Ten Commandments and thank God, it doesn't because we would look in a very bad shape if this was the source of all morality in the world. The Bible was written between 2,000 years ago and 3,000 years ago. Humans had moral codes and moral behavior thousands and thousands of years before that. Other apes, other social animals have morality. The Chinese and the Indians and the Aborigines in Australia, they had ethical codes and ethical behavior far superior in many respects to the Judeo-Christian religion without knowing anything about Jesus or about Moses. What does characterize much of the Judeo-Christian tradition and here, specifically, it's more the Christians who bear the cross, they are the most intolerant, they have been the most intolerant tradition probably in human history. If you compare say the Roman Empire before it became Christian and the Roman Empire after it became Christian, two completely different world. The Roman Empire before it became Christian was a bit like California today. Like a supermarket of so many gurus and traditions and try this and try that and then Christianity comes and the party's over. Everything else is forbidden except, and then they start killing and you have all these, you go to a church, you have all, in in many churches at least, you have all these images on the wall of martyrs. You have these wicked Roman soldiers torturing Christian martyrs in all kinds of imaginative ways. Actually, in 300 years of persecutions, the pagan Romans killed far fewer Christians than the number of Christians killed by other Christians in any one of numerous religious wars between the adherents of the religion of love. So, just because they just didn't understand the right interpretation for God's love, we must burn these people. So, there is a lot, I think there is a lot for the followers of every tradition and every culture to be humble about and not to go about with this feeling that all the world owes us this big debt because without us, everybody would be living in darkness and ignorance. - And in fact, I misspoke, everything that you just said was not in the religion chapter, it's in the humility chapter. There's something else on this, on religion and the idea about stories. When you were talking about everybody tells stories. The nation tells stories, religions tell stories that actually, you have something in here about, it's basically, like the original fake news. Talk more about that. - Yes, well it's a bit impolite but even religious people will usually agree that all religions except one are fake news. Which one? Ours, of course. I mean you go to a Jew, he will say, yes, Judaism is the truth but Christianity, all these news that Jesus is the Son of God and Jesus was raised from the dead, this is fake news. And then you go to the Christians, they all say no, no, no, this is the truth. But the Muslims, they are selling you fake news. All this story that Muhammad met the Archangel Gabriel and the Quran is the word of God, this is all fake news. And then you go to the Muslims, they will say the same thing about the Hindus and so forth and so on. Fake news is definitely nothing new about it. If people think that fake news is a result of Facebook or Twitter or whatever, I'm a medievalist but originally, before I wrote about cyborgs and AI and all that, I was a specialist in the Middle Ages. So, let's go back to the Middle Ages. You go back to a small town a thousand years ago in England or Germany or whatever and there is no Facebook, there is no Twitter, there is no social media but you have the town's gossip and he comes to you and he tells you, you know this old woman who lives alone by the edge of the forest? I just saw her flying on a broomstick and within an hour, you would have a raging mob with pitchforks and torches ready to burn this old woman to death. And some other day, he will come and say, I just heard from somebody very reliable that the local Jewish community has kidnapped and sacrified a small Christian boy in order to baked matzos for Passover. And again, really a very short period, you would have all these people ready to kill every Jew in town and you don't need social media for that. - And that story you just told, that's a real story that happened what, 1066? - That happened so many times. - Touche. But what I mean is, you specifically wrote about this-- - Oh, yeah, yeah. - The little Christian boy who was found dead in a well and the rumor went out that it was a Jew who did it and thousands of people came from everywhere to kill thousands or hundreds of Jews that were in this particular town, in England in like 1066. - I think later, it seemed it's called the blood libel and it began one of the, some of the first were in England in the late 12th and early 13th century but then it was such a good story that it spread around and you have such stories popping up in France and Germany and later on, in Russia and even the Middle East. - We are, if I'm reading the clock right maybe five minutes before we go to Q&A. I just would have tease that for you so we have a mic here and a mic here. I'm sure they told you this before we came out but I just wanna say it now to line up at either mike and I'll alternate between you two so you can ask Yuval Harari a question. The last part of the book, the third it is the who am I? And you have a line in the book about if you ask someone who am I, you're gonna get a story and basically, you shouldn't trust that person. Talk more about that. - Well our mind is a machine for generating stories. And we have been hearing these stories throughout our lives. It's like a constant commentator in the head that for some reason, we trust. And the biggest story it tells us is our story, the story of our life. And even when it has very little to do with the actual reality of our life, we tend to believe it. And one of the most shocking experience you can do is to just drop everything else you do and just spend some time with the commentator in your head and gets to know each him, her better and I guarantee, it will be a shocking experience. - Well, you meditate two hours a day, I've read and I could've sworn I read in your book that you're supposed to just completely let go, not even listen to the person in your head and just, how do you, I was trying to do that and I was not successful. - Very good, it means you really meditated. - No, I mean I wasn't able to stop talking to the little person in my head. How do you? Let me start again. Because you say, to completely empty your mind-- - No, no, definitely not. - No, don't? - Just observe what happens. I mean the mind does its own thing. You don't try to shut it up, you don't try to struggle against it. For once, all the time, throughout our life, we always try to do something. Even when we go inside ourselves, we almost always do it to do something. We don't like the way we are, we try to change it. We think we need to improve ourself in somehow so we need to work on ourselves. And this is now like second nature to us but the idea is don't try to do anything, just observe whatever happens. If what happens is that the commentator in your mind becomes crazy and start talking non-stop the whole day, that's what you have to observe. And it's one of the most difficult things to do in life and this is why we tend to run away to the smartphone, to the television, to the computer, to a book, to something. The most difficult thing is just don't do anything, just stay there and observe what happens. And a lot of people have this fantasy that I will go to some ashram or some cave and I will find time like a week or two weeks and just be with myself and I'll start observing my inner reality and I will discover what an amazing person I am and I will discover all these inner strengths and all these unfulfilled dreams that I now need to go and usually, it's a completely different experience. - Well then, what was the experience for you when you went on, I think it was a was it a month long, you write about it in the book. - Yeah, my first meditation which was 10 days long when I was doing my PhD in Oxford, I went and tried meditation and I was absolutely shocked that, I was 24 at the time, it's the first time I really actually tried to observe myself seriously. I mean not to listen to the, when people try to observe themselves, they often just listen to the commentator, to the storyteller in the head and not that. Just let go for everything, just observe what happens. I mean the first exercise the teacher, S.N. Goenka gave, was don't do anything, just sit there and know when the breath is coming in and when your breath is going out of the nostrils. This is like the simplest thing in the world. You don't have to control the breath, you don't have to breathe strongly or weakly or anything, just you close your eyes, bring your all your attention to the breath and just know when it comes in, oh yeah, and now, it comes in. When it goes out, okay, now it goes out. That's it, sounds very easy. I couldn't do it for more than five seconds or 10 seconds without running away to some stories, some fantasies, some memory, some worrying and what shocked me, in the first night I began this is that I know almost nothing about my mind. I have absolutely no control over what's going on there and yes, I've been listening to the storyteller in my mind all my life but it's like a screen that hides the entire inner reality behind it. And trying to look beyond that screen is maybe the most difficult and also most important thing that I think a human being can do in life. - And have you succeeded in seeing beyond the screen? - A little bit from time to time. - So this is something that even after those 10 days and even right now, you are in your two hours of meditation, you are still trying to get beyond the screen? - In a way, yes. I mean it's not, don't become perfect but really, you do get to know yourself a bit better. It's not a thought stop or the story stop but you have a much better understanding of what or who you actually are and in most cases, you realize it's a far far more complicated reality than we tend to imagine. That the basic tendency is just to identify with whatever thought or desire just pops up in the mind. Like a thought pops up and you feel, hey, this is me. I chose to have this thought now and when you realize, no, I didn't choose to have this thought, then the next question is where did it come from? And this, in a way, brings us back to the beginning of our conversation to AI into the algorithms that try to get us to know us better that if you just identify with the thoughts and desires that pop out in your mind, then you know almost nothing about yourself and you're basically the easiest person in the world to manipulate. And it is now more important than ever in history to make the effort to get to know ourselves better because of the competition. When Buddha went around recommending to people or when Socrates and Jesus went around recommending to people know yourself a bit better 2,000 years ago, 2,500 years ago, if people didn't listen, they were still a black box to the rest of humanity. They couldn't be deciphered. There wasn't the technology, they didn't have competition. But now there is very serious competition. There are lots of corporations and governments that are, at this moment, busy trying to hack us and the only way to stay in the game is to get to know ourselves better. The moment they know you better than you know yourself, then they can play on you on your emotional system, on your biochemical system and you will never know because you will just identify with whatever noise they produce when they press this button or that button. - And that gets to the one big thing that you write in the book that I think will blow a lot of people's minds is we are the product. It's not that they're advertising to us and we're gonna go buy things. Like no, no, no, the data that we're giving for all of these things, we are the ones that are being sold to other corporations in this crazy new world that we are going to be in. There are lots of people lined up. Thank you very much for your patience and I am going to start here. - [Attendee] Thank you so much. Really eloquent. You spoke about how taking us from a hundred million to eight billion is simple compared to where we started from. - Compared, yes. - [Attendee] Compared. At the moment, it looks like we're not like we're coming together but much more like we're fragmenting. That progress made in the 20th century is regularly being undone before our eyes. So do you have a view or a thought or a prescription on what it takes to bring that fragmentation to a close? Thank you. - [Yuval] No. - He spends a lot of time saying no. Thank you, chapter two, chapter three. - I don't know, you know, it's one of the most difficult questions in the world. I know that we should. I know that it would be good for us but I also know that people very often don't do what's good for them. So I would say that the three biggest problem humanity now faces are nuclear war, climate change and technological disruption. Even if we somehow managed to prevent nuclear war and climate change, AI and biotechnology are was still going to completely disrupt the job market, the political system and our own bodies and minds and the only way to deal with this challenge is through global cooperation because you cannot have a national solution to climate change and you cannot regulate something like artificial intelligence on a national basis. If you ban some dangerous development in the United States but the Chinese or the Russians are doing it, then very soon, the Americans will be tempted to break their own ban because they wouldn't like to stay behind. So we need this global cooperation. And one thing, at least that I try to do is to tell people about it. That look, nationalism was all good and well perhaps in the 19th and 20th century but it's just not good enough to deal with the problems of the 21st century. You cannot deal with them on the national basis. Whether it will be enough to convince people, I don't know. - Question here. - [Attendee] Thank you very much. I've read Sapiens, I loved it. I tried reading Homo Deus and then I misplaced it but you have a really great way of really expanding our minds and blowing our minds so thank you for coming here and speaking and my question was actually about that process of writing. What was it like for your first book to be such a massive success and be so popular and what led you to write your subsequent books and are you now a writer? Is that what you're going to be doing with your time? - Well, about the success of the first book, it was a very hard work not just of me but for the entire team just like it takes a village to raise a child, it takes a village or a team to make a book successful. I know only how to write but that's a long way from actually having a successful book because there are so many very good books out there that nobody heard about. So, I also had a lot of help for my husband who is they like that the PR genius behind all the books and also from our publishers and for my entire team and this is something I think that anybody who is working on a book should also realize that yes, without a good book it won't work but just having a good book is also not enough. And I didn't have any plans on writing the first book or the second or the third, they just kind of wrote themselves. I'm a bit almost can say afraid of defining myself as a writer or an author because I don't want the responsibility of writing another book. Like, okay, I'm now an author, this is my job, what's the next book going to be about? And I don't know, if I have nothing to say, then I'll write it down and hopefully or not, people will read it but I don't want to be in a position that I have this pressure, well, it's been two years or five years or whatever since the last book, when is the next book coming out? - [Jonathan] Question here. Thank you, question here. - [Attendee] There are two very well established models for our future. One is the really scary one that you are talking about with all the unnecessary and unneeded people and small ring ruling us and the other was promoted by the futurists of the '60s and '70s where there was a specifically human skill, explorers' skill and explorers' spirit involved in exploring and settling the universe and as a first step of that maybe cleaning up our own planet first. - [Jonathan] Your question? - [Attendee] So the question is do you see any scenarios between these two or other possibility and what was-- - There are many, many scenarios. I don't think anybody knows how the world would look like in 2050 because it's not deterministic, it haven't been decided. I definitely don't see my my job is making prophecies. I think if for sure how the future is going to be like, there is no point telling people about it. They can't do anything about it. It's not going to change, it's going to be like that. So, I think that the important thing is to expand our horizons and realize there are many different futures out there and we need to make the right choices, the wise choices to avoid the worst scenarios and yes, I tend to focus on the worst-case scenarios in order to encourage people to avoid them. - Thank you for your question. You're next. Into the, thank you. - Yes, my question is in a world or universe full of failed stories-- - Could you speak into the mike so everyone can hear you? Thank you. - Yes, in a world full of failed stories and I think the need for stories is also basically man's need for meaning or explanation in why we're here in this universe. I'm curious as to how you personally find meaning in this world full of fake news, fake stories and if you do find meaning, why in these things and if you don't, also why? - Well, I try as much as possible to stay in touch with reality. I think one of the most difficult but most important thing for humans is to know to tell the difference between these fictional stories which are often necessary, we need them to have a functioning society. Even something like money is just a story we invented. It has no objective value, no objective reality, it works only as long as enough people believe in the great stories that people like the chairperson of the Federal Reserve tell us and so, we need these stories but we also need the ability to tell the difference between what is the story invented by humans and what is reality and I would say that the best test I know is the test of suffering. Suffering, if you need to know whether an entity is real or whether it's fiction, ask whether it can suffer. A nation cannot suffer. Even if a nation loses the war, it doesn't suffer, it has no mind, it has no nervous system, it has no consciousness, it doesn't feel pain or sad or anything, it's a metaphor when people say the nation is suffer. Haven't the Jewish people suffered enough? No, they haven't suffered at all. The individuals suffer but a people cannot suffer. You don't have a people mind or a people consciousness. And similarly, animals suffer. A cow can suffer for more than the whole of the United States because a cow has a mind but United States doesn't have a mind and this is not a political commentary. It's just a simple-- - [Jonathan] I'm with you. - Scientific fact. - I'm still with you. - [Attendee] Isn't that like a genocide though, that have people suffer? - So you have many individuals who suffer. Suffering, you need to have a mind, you need to have consciousness, you need the ability to feel pain or to feel sad to suffer and this is something that collectives, that nature, I mean I can certainly suffer when my nation loses a war both because of the physical consequences and because I identify with my nation. Even when it loses at a football game, I can suffer. Like I watch the game like on the television and they lose the game and I suffer, the suffering, you know, I feel unpleasant sensations in my stomach. I feel unpleasant sensations in my chest. This is what happens. Now, a nation doesn't have stomach or chest. It doesn't feel anything. So this is something which is very good for us to remember as we try to make sense of the world. - [Jonathan] He really goes into it the book. Read the book. Next question here. - [Attendee] Hi, I have two short questions so you can answer them quickly. First, do you think there's any hope for algorithms that you control yourself? - Yeah. - There are new technological developments for that where I'll control my own algorithm and also, this idea of blockchain democratize control. What do you think of those? Is that possible? - So, yes, definitely. Technology can be used in many different ways. At present, much of this new AI technology is used to monitor people, to monitor individuals in the service of corporations and government and so forth but it can be the reverse. The AI can serve me and not the corporation or the government. To take a simple example, there are all these organizations trying to hack my brain in order to sell me things that they want. Just as I have an anti-virus from a computer, we could develop an anti-virus for the brain. The AI which serves you gets to know your own weaknesses by following you and monitoring you. And if it knows that you have a particular weakness, you fear a particular, a group of people, so you are susceptible to this kind of fake news then the AI goes into action whenever this kind of story pops before you. It knows that you have, you really like watching funny cat videos for hours and hours so when this first funny cat video tries to come up in YouTube, the AI comes to your rescue and prevents it from coming up and you have this small screen saying somebody just try to hack your brain like a report. So, we can definitely have it the other way around. - [Attendee] To much brighter future, I think. And then quickly, your book, the second one talks about the government, at best, is a custodian. Sorry, governments, at best, are a custodian. They can't really keep up with all this information and in parallel, there's all this AI and singularity. So I know you don't want to forecast the future but how do you see this coming together? For our government, is dysfunctional but meanwhile AI is powerful, the tech companies are powerful. What's your best guess of how that will evolve? - Right, thank you. - I don't know. I mean it depends-- - [Attendee] If you guys have a best guess. - In different part of the world. - [Attendee] I mean, your a historian. - In different parts of the world, we have a very different development at present in terms of the relative power of governments versus corporations and in the end, it doesn't matter. Whoever controls these algorithms will be the real government. It doesn't matter if you call it a corporation or we call it the government by any other name, the real question who controls all the data in all these powerful algorithms. - [Jonathan] Thank you for your questions. You're next. - [Attendee] Thank you so much for a great talk. I wanted to connect two separate strands of talk that you discussed today. One was the trade off between truth and power as you called it. As you seek one, you have to sacrifice the other. And the other, your question about who are we will become extremely important in the future. So, isn't that a source of power trying to seek the truth about who you are and isn't history full of characters like Jesus or Buddha or the like? - Yeah. When people seek the truth about who they are, this opens an opportunity for somebody to gain power over them by telling them a very convincing story which claims to explain who they are. And if they believe the story, then that person or that movement or that party now has a lot of power over them. And this usually involves deviating from the truth. If you really tell people the truth about themselves, they are unlikely to follow you. - [Moderator] We have time for two more questions. - [Jonathan] Okay. - [Moderator] Okay. - One and two. - [Attendee] Quickly then. Okay, I wanna talk to you about artistic inspiration. - [Jonathan] Quickly. - [Attendee] Quickly, so quickly. Algorithms and computers can only recycle and combine known information in a linear universe, in a linear perspective whereas, at least, I believe or I feel that artistic inspiration, when a human gets out of their way, unlike a machine because machines cannot get out of their way but a human gets out of their way and listens to the muse for what may be an alternate universe or a spherical experience. That's where, in my opinion anyway, real art and a real music comes from. - To the question. - Okay, so-- - [Attendee] Wait, hold on, do you feel-- - Question. - Do you feel that inspiration, human inspiration is in danger of extinction? - [Yuval] Well. - [Jonathan] Oh, that's a great question. - One big question is how much of art is really inspiration and how much of art already is human are just recycling? And I'm not sure about the answer to this question but a large percentage is recycling and every human work of art, almost every work is based on some kind of recycling to give, I don't know, the first example that comes to my mind, I really like Harry Potter so it's fine but I was very disappointed at the end of Harry Potter because I felt hey, I've read it somewhere, at the end of Harry Potter, he dies and then he comes back to life and I read it somewhere before. So, this is recycling. It's very, very difficult to come up with something completely original and there is a lot, whenever you talk about AI and art, you get these questions and not just about creation but also about the way that we consume art. That okay, if I now I know have an algorithm that chooses my music for me, then I will be kind of imprisoned inside an echo chamber of my previous choices and I will never be able to break out of it and so forth but this is not true. Actually, it's much easier to break out of the algorithmic prison than of the prison of your own brain because the only thing you need to get up to do to get out of the algorithmic prison is just tell the algorithm, surprise me which is it can do it much better than your old brain. You can say to the algorithm that chooses your music, I want 5% serendipity. And you are guaranteed to get 5% serendipity in the choice of music. - [Attendee] But no inspiration. - [Jonathan] And the final question to you, sir. - [Attendee] Sorry, it was a two-pronged question but I'm gonna cut out the first one. - Yeah, thank you. Short, short. - [Attendee] Okay. So, you talked about the nation states being not a great model for cooperation per se especially in the face of the disruptions we are and will new face in terms of climate change and AI and stuff. Until at least a few years ago, there was an idea that European Union, a model like that is an incredible model, right? Countries are tracking at war for each other for 300 years coming together to decide to work and it functioned very well for a period, at least. And especially in political science, a lot of people thought that would be the step forward, super national organizations who could come together and work on cooperating like that and although the dream has taken a bit of a stumble right now and I'm not saying you should be prescriptive about this but what do you speculate is the way forward? Do you think this path will remain where we keep trying to go into the super national federation style if you are the world or will there be something completely different? - Again, I don't know. What I can say and I repeat it quite often is that to deal with our main problems, we need greater global cooperation. I don't know whether we'll actually do it or not. Humans have this tendency to do things against their interest. So in that sense, just because it's the right thing to do doesn't guarantee that it will be done. I will say that when we talk about global cooperation, it should be very obvious we are not talking about the global government. We are not talking about a single empire that rules everybody. We are not talking about abolishing all cultures, all languages, all local cuisines and everybody becoming just this homogeneous great group. No, the idea can be summarized in the mode of harmony without uniformity. Real harmony doesn't mean that everybody are the same. Let's go back to art, to have an orchestra, it's not like you have just all identical tools, musical tools playing exactly the same note. If you want to make soup, you need a few different ingredients. So real harmony is not about uniformity and it's not, and global cooperation does not mean abolishing all national and cultural differences. It means basically adding another layer of loyalty and of identity. Humans, in any case, almost everybody have a several layers of identity and of loyalty. I can be loyal to my family, to my business, to my community, to my village and to my country at the same time, we can add more items to the list. We can also add humanity and the planet to this list. Of course, when you have several identities, several loyalties, they sometimes collide and then it's difficult to know what to do. Sometimes, you prefer the interests of your family over the interest of the business. Sometimes, you have to sacrifice the interest of the family for the business to survive. It's difficult but you know, life is difficult. Deal with it. - And thank you for your questions. I want to end with a question of my own and that is in this now more than hour-long conversation, it's safe to say we have barely scratched the surface of what you write about, what you discussed, the ethical questions that you raise in terms of self-driving cars and the algorithms involved in that. The philosophical questions, the moral questions. When the folks in this room finish reading your book, what's the one thing you ultimately want them to come away with from your book? Just one. There's several but just one. - A clearer priority about what's happening now in the world. What are the really important questions we need to focus on. It's not a book of answers, it's not a book of solutions and also many of the questions that you asked me today, I don't know but the really important thing is to focus on the important questions. We now live in a world in which censorship works not by blocking information but by flooding us with enormous amounts of information, much of it irrelevant and the biggest problem is how to stay focused and how to build a good priorities in the things that we tackle. So I hope that after reading the book, people will have a clearer idea of what are the most important discussions we should be having now and what can be left aside. - [Jonathan] Yuval Noah Harari, thank you very much for coming. - Thank you. (attendees applauding)
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Channel: Yuval Noah Harari
Views: 134,030
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Keywords: 21 Lessons, Yuval Noah Harari, Yuval Harari, Jonathan Capehart, Sixth & I, Washington, USA, book tour, history, 21 Lessons for the 21st Century
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Length: 72min 44sec (4364 seconds)
Published: Sun Sep 23 2018
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