[WARNING] To all Palantir Stock Investors | Palantir Stock Analysis | Is Palantir (PLTR) a buy?

[Music] hello everyone it's david here and welcome back to learning finance in today's video guys i want to talk about palantir stock volunteer technology ticker symbol pl tier yesterday actually we have had an interesting video from the palantir official channel on youtube over there by alex carp the ceo who said something quite interesting in my opinion which is also correlated to actually what the ceo said during the double click event and today is another bloody day on the market and so i will also show you the technical analysis and interesting stuff which in my opinion it is forming it can be not a good news in the short term but can be very interesting if you like the stock in the long term the only thing i ask you guys as always is please leave me a like it's very important and i thank you for it and subscribe to our channel so you don't miss any new updates let's begin all right guys so first of all yesterday what we had is this video from volunteer ceo alex carp who basically said it's a five minutes long video if you haven't seen go to check it out on the volunteer official channel over there but what he said is actually that they are planning to give the volunteer fundraise system for free to large corporation if they want first of all the first time maybe you say well he's completely out of his mind right giving something for free but then if you take a look at the palantius business model acquire expand scale you realize that in their acquire space actually it's what they are already doing it's not that they are giving it completely for free but if you read carefully what the acquire phase actually is is that they give a sort of a pilot okay of the foundry software to those businesses in order to start to familiarize with it and try to see how it can be implemented in the enterprise so in that phase they literally make almost zero money okay very very low amount of money but why it is interesting because they are so confident also for the enterprise part of the business that once those companies actually they have or they try the foundry system for the first time the idea is that actually those businesses they will have to continue to use it because they will realize that according to them is one of the best system ever in terms of data usability basically the idea here is in my opinion another marketing move exactly as i told you for the double click event so giving that sort of pilot for free in order for the long term to maybe write big contracts with volunteer okay and so that in my opinion is another long-term move sacrifice short-term gains for the long-term success it's all about that but he said at the end of the interesting part and he said how volunteers work but with government and enterprises in the us it's drastically increasing very correlated also what the coo said at the beginning of the doubleclick event by actually giving a statement that for them it's now very hard to keep up with the rising demand for volunteer softwares all of that is absolutely positive for the business itself and in my opinion what we need now is some real numbers probably in earnings okay i think that if they will be able to beat that according to what they're saying well maybe the market can actually recover a little bit from this bloody drama that we have seen in the recent days weeks a bloody drama which if you follow my channel you know that i am actually not surprised to see and this is simple enough because of fundamental analysis here from the previous video i have added you something so you can actually see more precisely what i mean by that and then you can go on and think that well i'm completely wrong and that's fair enough i love different opinions but just to make you understand what i mean because this model that i did i told you how in 2030 palantir could achieve 100 per share now obviously and that's fair enough because it's how it should be everyone has different opinion but i told you first of all this is something that valentia can achieve but i got comments like that i have been extremely conservative and not bullish enough with this model just to make you understand what this model implies i am considering at the end of everything a total revenue growth from 2021 to 2030 so nine years which on average we have a 34 growth for nine years in a row now this is a 20x in revenues in nine years basically okay starting from that coming on to 20.6 billion now this if it's not bullish enough i i don't know what else bullish is right so this is obviously not a worst case scenario for volunteer okay in my opinion if they will be able to achieve that it will be a sensational performance for the company in terms of revenue growth so as i said in the previous video it's all about expectations because when you write down some numbers for real you realize that having a price now around the twenty dollars uh which by the way this model with this average growth rate gives us a fair price of 27.16 dollars per share clearly the more the price going down the more even though it's kind of a complicated and something that it's not directly understandable probably but the more it's better for you if you believe in the company long term why is that because if you have a price of 27 you have an implied growth rate over the next nine years of actually this 34 which is massive but as the price let's say just now it's around 21 now these drops significantly okay we are probably already below the 30 implied growth okay so the more it goes down the more you get a bargain if you believe in the success of the company long term now when you see these kind of numbers actually you understand how silly and irrational the market has been over there now this is the moment where palantir actually became a sort of a meme stock but for palantir to reach a high of almost 45 dollars per share back in february if you take a look at the numbers that i just showed you if a price of 27 which is here is my fair price where i put this green bar over there if a price of 27 implies a 34 growth until 2030 imagine what 45 dollar species implies okay something that it was out of this world for volunteer and it's absolutely normal to have a price then now it's getting lower it's not palantir's fault is actually the exuberance of the market over there now when we take a look at the technical analysis actually it's where things are not good enough in my opinion or probably someone won't like that but anyway what's happening here in my opinion and what the graph and the price action is telling us is that after this crazy move it didn't make any sense we have that the price it came back down to this as we can see this green bar over there which is a huge support around the 20 level and what the price has done since then is actually pretty clear to see lower highs by coming back all the times through this 20 21 price range okay support over there now this is something that in terms of technical analysis is not definitely not bullish because what happens is that the price comes back from a higher level and then you see how the first bounce back is quite strong but then it gets rejected and the second bounce back is less strong than the previous one to then come back to the same level now that can repeat okay again a couple of times but if you take a look at this in technical analysis it's actually like when you throw a rock on the lake you know the first time it bounces then it bounces another time but less than the previous one and then and on and on again but you arrive at the point where the the rock actually drops below the water and this is what this basically triangle is telling us in terms of price action there is the risk for volunteer to actually capitulate and do that finally go below the famous 20 level eventually i don't know whether this is going to happen this is all about statistics it's all about what has happened many many many times in the past okay that's actually technical analysis but if that happens here is where if you like the company in the long term is actually in my opinion a bargain we don't know whether this will happen i just wanted to make you aware of actually the price action and what is happening with volunteer stock price and as far as we continue to see that weakness as far as we remain inside this downtrend line over there there is the risk okay there is the probability that palantir can do that just to make you understand what i mean by that this is bitcoin back in 2018 we see after the bull run that we had in 2017 the price actually came back and then got stuck actually in this triangle we see with the resistance of around 5 800 and we it went on for an entire year actually and you see how the lower highs so bulls were losing power and then eventually after a while when the price gets compressed inside this triangle you see how it went below the major support capitulation and then here is where the bargain was and then the rest is history that's what i mean there is the risk of that to happen also into volunteer stock we are seeing with the prize action so it's not something great in the short term unless you are very bullish long term okay so that is where probably opportunities can come it's not something that will happen 100 percent but i just wanted to actually show you that and get you aware of it but once again in terms of what they are doing for the long-term success well they are doing great in my opinion so long term i am obviously bullish and i continue to hold my position and eventually buy more if i get lower prices okay so i hope you find the video interesting guys leave me a like and leave me a comment below actually tell me what do you think about that will we see lower prices or not on volunteer and subscribe to the channel if you want and as always guys have a wonderful day

Channel: Learning Finance

Views: 22,376

Rating: 4.9191489 out of 5

Keywords: stock market, finance, investing, get rich, stocks, balance sheet, cash flow, fundamental analysis, make money, undervalued stocks, earnings, business, Stocks to BUY NOW, Fair price, Palantir Stock analysis, Palantir Stock, Palantir (PLTR), (PLTR), Buy Palantir Stock, Best Groth Stocks For 2021, TOP High Growth Stocks, buy Palantir, Should you BUY Palantir Stock?, Cathie Wood, Palantir, Buy the dip on Palantir Stock?, PLTR Stock, PLTR, Palantir Stock Price Target, Buy PLTR, ARK

Id: BDomCmPyQ_g

Length: 12min 49sec (769 seconds)

Published: Tue Apr 20 2021