Voting For Lok Sabha Polls Phase 6 Begins! What Is At Stake? | Lok Sabha Elections 2024 | News18

good morning it is Saturday the 25th of May and we're all gathered here nice bright and early for the 6th and penultimate phase of the battle for bat it is 58 seats across eight different states from anant nagra jori up in the north all the way to Puri and katak in the East that is what is at stake as far as this penultimate phase is concerned Welcome to our special coverage joining me here in the studio with me zaka Jacob is my colleague Rahul shiv Shanker Anan nariman will be joining us in just a moment as well but folks nowhere is this election more focused today than in the national capital seven seats of Delhi 10 seats of neighboring harana in what is a high stakes almost Prestige battle in the national capital a chief minister who is out on bail campaigning saying that democracy is at stake the BJP having swept the national capital all seven seats twice over in 14 and then again in 19 can they repeat that performance in 2024 let's talk about the Battle for the national capital our reporters are spread across the length and breadth of these 58 seats and particularly so in Delhi but Rahul shiv Shankar what is at stake in this election particularly in the battle for Delhi so let me just put this um in context Delhi has a great distinction of predicting the national winner so the voter here somehow has a finger on the pulse he knows what the nation is thinking and over 37 years nine consecutive elections it's got it right now obviously the AP and the Congress have come together in Delhi and one hopes at least for their sake that they can actually pull off a couple of wins because they central theme and you have to basically Focus Fus on what they're saying their central theme actually encapsulates the entire election so it's going to be a referendum in Delhi on that central theme that is Modi is a dictator democracy is in Peril there will be no more elections it's the last opportunity to stop somebody who wants to basically do away with our democratic system and most importantly the opposition in this country is being demonized demolished and therefore through the agencies at work we are seeing a complete corrosion of the political process so this is a message and this is a message that has been sort of fragmented and put out all across India but it's concentrated here in Delhi the fundamental point that I want to make here is that Modi must win Delhi if he is going to return in some way in a larger capacity in Delhi then the Electoral outcome willy-nilly because of History will will be sealed in his favor so fundamentally even in 1989 and this is a very important statistic even in 1989 zaka the JD the J D which went on to form really the government with VP Singh got one seat here MH it tells you it's a bell weather you see so the J D in the larger sweep Stakes ended up with 143 seats the Indian National Congress with 197 and the BJP with 85 but the BJP that year won four and the Congress two so it told you that it was really indecisive here in Delhi and it was nationally too you can see pictures of basari saraj she's the candidate from uh the New Delhi seat she's of course up against somat bharti of the am admy party it's also a test of the alliance between the am admy party and the Congress up contesting on four Congress on three but what is at stake nationally in this phase my colleague Anan nariman joins us bright and early this morning 58 seats from anant nag Raji all the way to Puri and kak what's at stake Anand well anant nag Raji good morning to everyone anat nag rori was not supposed to be in this phase it was supposed to be earlier but it got pushed and there was a lot of crib about it but 58 seats means there will be nearly about 11.3 CR voters who have the ability to go ahead the power to go ahead and cast their franchise they have seen how it's pulled over the last five phases what's been the conversation now it's the final two rounds today is Phase 6 and then it's phase 7 the voters must go out and vote because what's also been recorded is a dip in turnout what does that imply phase seven uh seven phase polls sixth phase 58 seats this is what is at stake ladies and gentlemen across the states like of or the union territory of Jammu and Kashmir to utar Pradesh to Bihar to Bengal and of course Delhi 889 candidates are in the free so more than Phase 5 this time around Phase 5 at about 695 candidates this is 8 80 plus 14 out of 40 40 seats out of 58 seats the BJP is actually playing defense so these are the phases which were BJP strong in 2019 and also slowly they've Consolidated even since 2014 now this is again where they will have to now not just defend well but they will also have to keep an eye on the remaining 18 seats and grab some there too five Union ministers will be testing their metal it's a big big test for some of them and uh whether or not they will come back and yield and come back into the entire consideration set of formation of the government and the cabinet we have to wait and watch what their roles are dep will depend upon the margin of their Victory and the kind nature of their Victory 42 assembly constituencies of odisha also go to the polls and 43 seats are from the Hindi Heartland 14 of those are from uttar Pradesh so eight each from Bihar and West Bengal so there is going to be quite a lot of uh tussle if you were to see and the NDA score in the uttar Pradesh belt is nine so they can improve by five because four went to the bsp one to the Indi Alliance for the IND Alliance and the bsp they will eye not just at retaining these five seats but also try and go ahead and hurt the BJP in those remaining nine seats is this where the BJP will try and make up for some of more of the losses is uttar Pradesh the state where they will try and make up for some of the losses in Rajasthan some in harana and possibly in Delhi this is the first time there is such a strong talk that Delhi may not be so so much of a cakewalk for the BJP but in 2019 the situation was far more stronger or uh the the Amad party and the Congress in a better position at that time with a narrative with a story and perhaps organization or is it irony that the man who got the Congress out of Delhi and Punjab is today actually allying with the same party he had said anybody but the Congress anybody but the Congress for Delhi anybody but the Congress for Punjab and now he's gone ahead and the aadmi party again with a slew of scams controversies surrounding it surrounding arind krial will he be able to try and create a dent in Delhi or will Delhi actually Dent the am admi party in the runup to what's going to come up very very soon that is the assembly elections which are not so far away so this perhaps the toughest electoral test for Arin kajal both in Punjab and also in Delhi many say it's not the test for the BJP as much as a test for this party which Finds Its Origins just about a dozen years ago 10 harana seats single face Pole now this is again a test of character for the BJP because they do not have their Ally in place at this point Duan Chala is fighting on its own the Congress is trying to make a lot of inroads the arm admy party is doing a lot of work in harana and there has been a certain level of infighting and distress within the BJP to will they be able to circumvent all of that and and get to these 10 seats in harana that becomes very very very critical these two states Delhi and harana will also try and test the metal of some of the big guns who are out there in battle including the likes of Manoj tiwari Kanaya Kumar and of course somat bharti Mina Gandhi is in sultanpur samit Patra will be contesting in Puri so will that slip of Tong will it hurt will it short over all the work that he's done over the Last 5 Years these are big big questions to be answered 42 phases seats of odisha Also let's look at delhi now Rahul shiv Shankar zaka Jacob Rahul was mentioning Delhi but zaka here the last time around what was the bjp's vote share and if the IND needs to creep up what's the Gap that they need to bridge oh absolutely and I think this is a fascinating one because uh there is a differential between loksabha and vihans SAA certainly in Delhi the voter of Delhi is voting very differently in L SAA compared to vidhan SAA Anand was asking about the vote share of the BJP take a look at this difference there's a 16o uh differential between the BJP and the India Alliance this is aadmi party plus Congress so basically they need to overcome a 16% difference with the BJP now what's interesting in this election in Delhi is since 2013 this figure of 56% for the BJP when it comes to a loksabha election when it's a vidhansabha election this figure has not crossed 30% or it's in the range of 30% now what does that show you that shows you that there's a quarter and this is a phenomenal number rul will weigh in on this a quarter of the Delhi voter who votes one way in the Assembly Election is willing to shift is willing to move towards the BJP in the loab election that's a massive figure we we've heard of you know 10% 15% the Modi vote because Mod's on the ticket this is a 25% shift you know what that means that means one out of every four voters in the national capital is making that switch from up to BJP because Mr modi's on the ticket well you know first of all let me just divest everyone of uh this impression that only Modi has made the difference for the BJP in Delhi since 1989 the bjp's average vote share zaka in Lok SAA elections has been 44% so it is very much of force in Delhi and I'm going back all these years almost 30 34 years now or 35 my math is bad and it's a Saturday morning but uh nonetheless the fact is that since 1989 even in the two Worst Years 2004 and 2009 the bjp's vote share only in 2009 did it go down to 35% otherwise even in 2004 you know that election where the NDA was supposed to come back and it didn't quite happen surprising everyone the BJP had 40% of the vote share and this is when Modi was nowhere on the scene no there one one difference uh in 4 and n it was a two-way fight it was Congress it's been a two-way fight yeah but since 2014 since the up has been a party it's a triangular I'm not I'm not2 2013 and Delhi between 2010 and 2014 saw about three or four elections happen yeah so all those elections the BJP has had either 49% in 99 26 49.5% in 98 50% it was a two-way fight there have been parties that have come in the jdu is coming in the JDS is coming the JD has coming you've had parties at different points coming in trying to bsp has had a presence here but the point is fundamentally what I'm trying to get at is that the BJP has a presence yeah at the grassroot level in Delhi so it is Delhi has always had some sympathy why why does that change from Lok SAA to vidhan saaba yes there is a there is a differential so why that changes is because the BJP and obviously the Delhi voter also is looking at the larger picture right it is a microcosm of the north where the BJP is always been a little stronger if you look at it the population of Delhi has significant number of people from Punjab Bihar uttar Pradesh jarand Bengal so and and of course there are many casts that make up this entire sort of the the the demographic geography of Delhi so you have to understand that as far as the bjp's connected to the north this particular constituencies represent a large number of those Central leadership and the organizational leadership of the BJP the RSS are stronger when that comes to L SAA and they are very weak because of the infractions this because of the inter party Dynamic party Dynamics had a dynamic leader uh since the 1990 late 1990 sushma swaraj and S Singh VMA after that her daughter is now haven't really had yes there she is so she's going to obviously try and you know this is a potential potential Chief ministerial candidate if she wins of course we shouldn't get ahead of ourselves in the next one decade let me tell you from is also going to cast it's a critical yes crtical all of Delhi will go out to cast their vote now Delhi how have they how have they fed historically when it comes to to voter turnout during loksabha elections compared to the other metros a lot of the Metros have actually disappointed ladies and gentlemen the urban voter has not actually taken the effort to go out and vote Yes it's been very very hot but you have had the early mornings the polling boots are open from 7:00 a.m. till at least 10:00 there could have been a steady turnout people could have voted today is or even a weekend so will the voters stay back that's a big big uh uh question

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Id: K7GSCjQpPGI

Length: 13min 53sec (833 seconds)

Published: Sat May 25 2024