Let's take a closer look at whether the current conflict is expanding or whether it will become more serious. Others will join more and more people , including the so-called US military base in Syria that was hit by 5 rockets, not 1, but 5 rockets. The attacks included Assad, who we can see in Al-Anbar province. He also shot down 5 of these helicopters in this place in Syria. It is equivalent to saying that it was affected next to Israel. The northern part of Israel was attacked by 35 rockets from Lebanon. The Israeli president , who immediately hit back at his concerns, also said that the best thing is that everyone remains confused about Iran's strange revenge attacks last week . Don't ignore it. Pay attention. The Israeli president said the only thing I can say is that the past two weeks have exposed everything. The real threat to world stability begins in Tehran and spreads through proxies throughout the Middle East. The regional situation will become increasingly complex. Israel supports Iran's expansion of the battlefield and diverts international attention from Gaza. Now it includes the so-called Gaza offensive. Many countries have continued to raise these questions about the Sa case. In his phone call with Nanatanyahu, French President Macron said that he hoped to strengthen the fight against Iran's destabilizing behavior. This is a rare warmth because they were raised by various countries at the United Nations meeting. The representative of Israel humiliated and ridiculed him in all kinds of ways, and when he got to the most serious point, he even told him to get out . Take a look at this paragraph. When the representatives from various countries took turns speaking, the only thing that kept coming was applause. Everyone was excited. So what is going on? Take a look. The Wall Street Journal mentioned that as the crisis in Iran slowly recedes, Israel is one step closer to the invasion of Rafah . You see, medical staff and even many children are also affected. The Israeli military and Jewish settlers are shooting at them. Directly targeting ambulances is tantamount to indiscriminate attacks on these vulnerable people. Israel’s military intelligence chief resigned, the first Israeli high-level official to step down since the Gaza incident. There is a rather suspenseful matter. Netanyahu himself broke the news and said that it is strange for us. In a secret meeting of four people in a very small circle of secrets , someone leaks the secrets every time after the meeting. You know and I know. How can anyone know what the four people know? Who he is referring to is the Minister of Defense. He even said that some people deliberately spread it there. If you don’t want to do a good job in disinformation , just leave. His speech was very tough. Everyone just mentioned Zelensky in particular. Now the aid bill to Ukraine has been passed. Zelensky said that if it passes, they will have a chance to defeat it. He spoke very hard. Beautiful, he must say this , but is it really true? The Kremlin also choked and said that this military exercise was useless . The Russian army has already gained the upper hand. You can see that they sent 25,000 Russian troops to directly attack Wudong, which means that the war situation has arrived again. In the new situation, it is becoming more and more difficult for Ukraine . Will the financial aid really help? Will the 61 billion U.S. dollars really help? Many experts , including two of our experts , directly told everyone that the key point is If you have no people, you will have no troops, and you will have insufficient troops. So in your very disparate situation, will the so-called US aid really help? General Shuai, this US aid can only prolong the war a little longer , but it cannot be obtained. The decisive result is not to mention that Russia has already mobilized and its arsenal is full. It is resurrected with full blood. This is what the Americans are talking about. It is now April and May, and this wave of offensive is because after September it is almost winter again. Russia wants to This is the time to take major actions , but you have only approved the U.S. aid now. When will it arrive? So before winter comes, Russia may go further. So the reason why the United States approved this issue is because it is an election issue for Biden. He cannot surrender Ukraine before the election. Well, what he did before was wrong, so Russia also saw this opportunity and stepped up its offensive . Looking back at Israel, Israel deliberately tried its best to provoke this bigger conflict, so it attacked Lebanon and Syria. We are also attacking Iran , but our soldiers see that the number of attacks you are attacking is not fatal at all. To put it bluntly, the act of setting off firecrackers is just to make things difficult for Biden. Do you want to support Israel ? Who is your godson, right ? This problem is also faced by Netanyahu. There is also a lot of anti-war voices in Israel. The Minister of Defense also sees that the war may not live up to expectations and it is condemned by the whole world. It is not an embarrassing thing , so internally there is There is a problem , but Natanyahu insists on going his own way. I have observed this war very early. He just wants to kill everyone . Now he is attacking Rafa. Why is he attacking Rafa? It sounds nice. I have 40,000 tents for him to accommodate refugees. How can he live with 1 million people? 4 Tens of thousands of tents, he just wants you to attack the hospital, cut off your food, and attack your supply convoy. Why is the United Nations supply convoy being attacked by him ? Make you hungry, make you suffer, make you sick, make you die, and make the refugees here unable to stay any longer before heading south. This is the task of moving and expanding his occupation of the entire Palestinian territory , including the settlement area next to the Golan Heights. In other words, he has thought about it all because he thinks that Palestine will launch terrorist attacks on me every day when you are around me. He is determined to resolve this matter. This is the idea of the Jewish die-hards. He will not talk to you about peaceful coexistence. He wants complete control . So in the United Nations, so many United Nations representatives support the United States in the discussion between the two countries. Support Israel's veto because after two states are established, Israel cannot use aggressive actions. So you are not a state now and it does not recognize that you are a state. It is expanding its territory. So when we watch the show and watch the fun, we must see its true purpose. We watch Israel. The war was initially fought in northern Palestine, now in central Palestine He asked Egypt to open its doors so that all this group of people can be driven out. The remaining few he can control are under his total control. In other words, Palestine is equivalent to a colony. He only needs to use your cheap labor to do the rest. You don’t want this, so what everyone dislikes is that back then, everyone sympathized with you, Israel , because the Nazis were killing you. Today, you are using this matter to retaliate against others , right? Could it be that Netanyahu hopes to create a Moses Belt like Palestine ? Is it impossible to follow these 1 million people? So this thing means that there will be more casualties. Next, I want to ask Professor Huang, what do you think of these conflicts in the Middle East , including the war in Ukraine? To be honest, the conflicts in the Middle East are becoming more and more complicated now , because they are not It’s just that Iran has also joined the Israel-Kazakhstan conflict we have seen , not to mention, I feel that some of the surrounding countries that are originally anti-American and anti-Israel, whether they are called militia armed groups or the surrounding Arab countries , are now eager to try, hoping to let This conflict has become bigger. Let's solve this so-called Israeli problem at once. This is my feeling. I hope it is not right. Of course, in the recent wave, Israel first attacked the Iranian embassy and consulate in Syria and then Iran retaliated. Israel Another reply was just like what the host just said. One was very confused. It seemed to be a military operation launched by Israel . A few days ago, Iran shot down several drones in the west. I don’t know if it was Israel. Then there were some Iranians. Senior officials also said that this cannot be regarded as a very aggressive military operation. So what exactly is it? Anyway, let's not make it clear and vague. I think Iran and Israel may be under the strong mediation of the United States. The problem with such an expression is that even if Iran has such a willingness to maintain short-term peace , the brothers around it, let me give you an example. For example, in Syria, it has a Syrian Civil Defense Force called the National Defense Force in Syria. The Civil Defense Force does not have rockets. Theoretically, it does not have rockets. It is not clear how many people there are. They have more traditional rifles, grenades, mines, etc. Syria is eager to take revenge on Israel. It has a strong desire for revenge and has the power of rockets. Of course, there are the Hezbollah Brigades in Lebanon , and there are also the Houthi organizations and the Youth United Organization in Yemen , which all have rocket capabilities , so you can see that these Iranian brothers can really attack Israel from a distance. Some may not necessarily listen to Iran , but I don't rule out another possibility. On the surface, Iran said that there would be no war on the Western Front for the time being and that there would be no further conflict with Israel , but behind the scenes, it asked my brothers to come and throw a few pills. Don't let everyone think that we are really obedient or that we are showing weakness. I think this so-called proxy war is very common in international politics , not to mention that Iran's proxy war has already conflicted with Israel in the past. There are so many in the Mediterranean, on land , and so on. I must also emphasize that what we see now is Iran. It has a vague axis called resistance. It is not only in the Middle East but also in the Arab countries of North Africa. As long as there are many people who hate Israel and dislike the United States, they are slowly gathering under Iran's suggestion. Will this resistance axis have larger-scale armed attacks in the Middle East in the future ? I think we must look at the Middle East carefully . Hit the agents and then include Ukraine. We see that he is short of weapons, men and money. Which one will help? Please tell the committee. This is Ukraine. We are really looking at it in Taiwan. We cannot regard it as just a tragedy from afar. If we look at him and he is not careful, we will really become Ukraine, because he is almost reflecting the United States using a tool and then paying the price. In the end, there will be many casualties. Then he will be full of money and then retreat and leave. Let's take a look at what the United States did to Iran today. Someone needs to use the large amount of military aid and weapons . Today's population of 40 million has become what it is. Those who have died in the war and have fled are already less than 20 million people within the country. Among these 20 million people, children, old people, and women are not included . How much military power can be given to no one with weapons? And the more war there is, the fewer people there are. Do all the Ukrainians who have been exiled now return to the country to defend the territory ? They will probably never come back. Then Russia is fighting with him. What is his rear? Life goes on as usual. There is no shortage of food, clothing, housing, transportation, education, and entertainment. So how do you say how to fight this war? The second war relies not only on manpower, but also on morale. Today, all Ukrainians believe that victory and success are in sight. Let us fight harder and the price we pay will be Do you feel this way about winning ? At least we can't see it. There is no manpower and no morale. Now we are just injecting chicken blood , just like a patient in the intensive care unit. If we give him more blood, we will just let him breathe a few more breaths. In the end , he will lose. It still ends tragically , so a responsible world-class international leader and a responsible Ukrainian leader should consider how to end this war. The same goes for Israel. It was originally a limited war and he wanted to end it. It became an infinite war because Hamas attacked Israel and Israel retaliated. The whole world would probably have no objection to this . However, this was originally a limited war , but Israel is now preparing to fight it into an infinite war. The end of an infinite war is to annihilate The whole world can see clearly that Israel has paid the price of human society's sympathy for it in the past decades. Now it is probably completely gone. Israel has almost become a public enemy of mankind. So we will start from this. From one point of view, Israel uses their fists too much, so we Taiwanese people say that when fighting, you hate being powerless , but you can’t use up all your strength . When you fight, you wish you had more power, but you can’t use up all your strength , because when you use up, you use more force. Today, Israel is using all its strength to support itself. Now only the United States is left to hold on for as long as it can. So the United States can hold on for as long as it can. So we learn from the example of Israel or Ukraine that we, a small Taiwan, can To survive, he is writing a textbook-level lesson to teach us how much better we can experience . We have more topics. Take a break and come back soon. We saw news that Saudi Arabia and the Hong Kong government directly signed a memorandum. We hope that we can have more cooperation in the future. If there is a dispute, communicate with each other and avoid each other . Of course, in mainland China, they have promoted a very important development called Future City NEOM. I don’t know where it is pronounced as Neom. He beckons investors from mainland China . This looks very beautiful and feels very good. The whole futuristic feeling from this air control from outer space is like a shining golden light, like a line, like a light. In this way, the crown prince of Saudi Arabia took the lead and brought a team to mainland China to do it in first-tier cities. During the interview , he hoped that China would invest 500 billion U.S. dollars. Looking at this photo, it felt like it was a futuristic movie scene. Nazmi, the executive of New Future City, said that it was a very grand vision and it was very possible. It is the most exciting and growth-promoting initiative for mankind in the 21st century . Well, everyone asks Saudi Arabia itself, which should be very rich, why does the crown prince lead a large team of people to mainland China to find funds? He said that there is still a war between Israel and Iran. At that time, the representative of Saudi Arabia had already visited the major cities of Beijing, Shanghai , Hong Kong and Shenzhen for a seven-day visit. This was an in-depth, wide-ranging and long-term visit . He hoped to accommodate a linear city with 9 million residents. This was a very exciting idea . Executive Officer Nazmi just said that it is a very complex and huge project. Such a project requires the participation of a large number of Chinese companies to be implemented . Another thing also shocked the A-share Aramco. He suddenly made a bargain of hundreds of billions of dollars. The giant is already very rich. Now it wants to cooperate with Hengli Petrochemical . The two giants have joined forces to expand cooperation. Al Qahtani , a senior executive of Saudi Aramco , also said that we need to expand our presence in the important Chinese market. He is very, very excited about the business prospects . Indian analysts directly said that if the tension between Iran and Israel leads to the Strait of Hormuz , Iran has also said this before. He said that in fact, our most ruthless method is to remove the Strait of Hormuz. If the strait is closed , everyone is very nervous about shipping in these areas, which will cause the prices of crude oil and natural gas to soar. Efforts to ease this tension can avoid a surge in oil prices. However, in the past 1 or 2 days, oil prices and gold prices have slightly recovered. Reuters also said that the United States will resume tariffs on Chinese solar equipment. The report quoted two people familiar with the situation. The United States will use this new method. The new China and the United States want to grab energy. This is asking General Shuai for advice. It's strange that these leaders in Saudi Arabia are all highly educated. Don't get me wrong. The princes and nobles are all sent away. He is not the country bumpkin we imagined. Second, their senior officials know very well that the oil will be mined out one day, so the world's big businessmen are He invests all over the world , just like finance, to earn back the profits he deserves to ensure that the interests of his country can exist , so he has to come up with some tricks because the people also hope that for such a big project to be built in the desert, who else can he look to but China? China's Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, railways, highways, desert frozen soil, and other technologies can all be overcome . Therefore, many large enterprises in China are engaged in machinery, real estate , highways, and bridges. All companies are big names. company , so it is inevitable for him to go to China, not to mention that China and Saudi Arabia are now very friendly, so this project depends on mainland China. Other countries can’t grab the order. They can’t eat such a big thing in one bite , especially in the desert. And he built that before. The highway in the holy city of Mecca has already given people a high-speed rail. Saudi Arabia is confident that you can build it here. So I think the integration between China and Saudi Arabia is getting closer and closer. In the future, China can also sell it weapons, right ? If the United States does not sell the F35B, China will go all the way to Saudi Arabia to hold an air show. Unmanned ships and unmanned submarines will perform for you. This is a future trend. In addition, we are going to talk about the Strait of Hormuz . If it is closed, oil prices will rise because most of the oil it produces is bought by mainland China. The demand in mainland China is less than 10% . But after the Strait of Hormuz in mainland China is closed, it must go to other oil dealers to grab it. As oil prices rise, Biden is now afraid of high oil prices in the six months before the election. When oil prices rise , department stores will rise. This inflation will be detrimental to Biden's election. So today we summarize it. Look at Saudi Arabia, look at Iran, look at Israel . Biden looks at Ukraine just to keep his position as president At the expense of tens of thousands of civilians, isn't it? You, the United States, have the ability to stop the war between Russia and Ukraine and the war between Israel and Iran. You campaigned for you, right? Zelensky is still there , not just to save that dog's life. Are you holding on? Didn’t Natanyahu also fight to the end for his own position? So this thing is unkind and treats all things as spoiled dogs . It’s these leaders who have problems. The world is in chaos . The president, the commander-in-chief, has guidance for the start of the war and guidance for the end. It’s a pity for these people. There is no guidance , and all for the sake of one's own private official position and political life, at the expense of the lives of ordinary people, which has led to many unnecessary wars. The real thing to blame is that the wrong person was elected in the election, and you have to bear this. No one will do that for you. When it comes to elections, I think the United States Like us, there are people who are resisting China , so we saw the latest TikTok algorithm being questioned. So now in the United States, he is voting on whether to sell it. He said that if you want to survive, it is very simple. You should become independent from your parent company, ByteDance. And you have to sell it , otherwise I will directly ban you in the United States . This bill will be voted on in the United States today, April 23, and TikTok will start a legal battle. How can you force me to do this? This is purely a political reason, TikTok said. Said that you want to use important overseas and humanitarian relief as a cover for the House of Representatives to force a prohibition bill again. He will sacrifice the freedom of speech rights of users in the entire United States , up to 170 million American users . It is terrible that so many people are using it. Your reason is very strange. Even Musk has posted that he supports TikTok and opposes the US government’s ban. He said that I don’t think the United States should ban TikTok. Although the relevant ban may make some differences , it will benefit himself , but he feels This goes against freedom of speech and expression. Some experts say that the U.S.-China tech war will drive the two countries apart because of this. An anonymous American scholar said that last week, Beijing forced Apple to help close a loophole. It was just a small move , but he He has the key ability. He is a law scholar from Yale University. He also talks about the direction very clearly. He is preparing to build a wall. He asked the committee members for advice. The wall must be built and the United States is bound to put pressure on it. But can subjective wishes be fulfilled? Sometimes there is a question mark about this. Let’s take a look at the 320 million people in the United States who have the behavioral language ability to play this smartphone and use TikTok. Do you know if we deduct the 170 million people who do not have the behavioral language ability? The number of people who know how to use TikTok is not half, but basically 70-80%. In other words, when you want to deal with this matter, TikTok also has a condition. What will happen if the fish is dead and the net is broken ? You have to think about when I TikTok and you want me to go to legal battle to win or lose, I won’t do it. It depends on what you do. This is a big problem , so we only need to recall one thing. At that time, Trump used an executive order to deal with TikTok. As a result, Biden took office. After that, I restored it and now I am playing this game again for the election. I have been right over and over again , but there is a general direction. Everyone should pay attention to this problem between China and Saudi Arabia. We cannot only see the needs between China and Saudi Arabia during construction. Relying on China, yes, mainland China has funds. It also has funds, construction talents , construction capabilities , and manpower that can be invested in construction. Because manpower was very important when building high-speed railways. This was probably only done by mainland China in the world , but This alone is not enough . You must pay attention to the past relationship between China and Saudi Arabia. It is very simple . Mainland China has a high deficit because it has to spend money to buy its oil and energy . But if we want to carry out such a large-scale construction today, both sides The whole one is energy trading and the other is construction trading. The currency exchange between China and Saudi Arabia will become a fact . I use a large amount of RMB to buy your oil and you use RMB to pay for my construction. The whole thing is constructed by this thing. Will there be any changes in a new international structure that is dollar-based and gasoline-based ? At least it will produce a big change here. So when looking at this issue, we cannot only look at the technical talent capabilities. Perhaps what needs to be seen more is that in the past, the trade between the two countries was a unilateral deficit . Now, this progress will slowly create a balance. This balance itself allows them to exchange their own currencies. Because of the relationship between the Russia-Ukraine war , China Mainland China has successfully carried out currency swaps with many countries like Russia. After that, it was discovered that it is safe for itself if it is freed from the control of the United States. So I would like to ask Professor Huang, what do you think of the increasing intensity of cooperation between China and Saudi Arabia ? TikTok is about to be banned in the United States . Will there be an answer today? As we are recording, the U.S. Congress has not started discussing yet. They are getting ready to get up and are getting ready to go to the office to prepare for discussion. So we I don’t know the result yet, but I think TikTok has become a political issue. There is no absolute right or wrong in political issues . For example, in the United States, there are many officials , congressmen and opinion leaders who say TikTok is a brainwashing tool for Americans from mainland China . Tools , but mainland China says that without Douyin, it is just a listed company. And if you are paranoid in the United States, how can I use Douyin to brainwash the American people? So there is no way for me to say which side is 100% settled on this political issue on both sides. An absolute answer to the advantage But I also have to talk about TikTok. In fact, in 2020, Trump wanted to ban it and he issued an executive order. However, the U.S. federal court judge said that you violated freedom of speech, so Trump’s executive order was No, I still remember that last year , in 2023, the governor of Montana in the United States, who was a super conservative governor, said that I also wanted to ban TikTok, which was not healthy for the teenagers in my state, both physically and mentally. As a result, Montana The federal judge said again, I'm sorry, you violated free speech , so I don't think the Biden administration and even the U.S. Congress will forget what happened before , but I said this is a political matter , so you just move on. Anyway, the news came out first and said Douyin was cruel. The correctness of our American thinking or wait and see, when the final judge has to decide, you may have already finished the election by the end of the year , and even at the end of the year, the Republicans and the Democrats each get what they want, and everyone has shown the so-called resistance. Politically, I have earned money from the strong momentum of China's opposition to China. If I say I'm sorry, you violated the constitution or violated the protection of freedom of speech, I respect the judge. It doesn't matter. I elected this matter. Anyway, that's the end of the matter. Okay, then this sand The Udi area is actually a very big project in his 2030 vision. This new future city already covers an area of 26,000 square kilometers, a little over two-thirds of Taiwan. It has such a large population and I don’t know how it can be done now. Some people say that it can live up to 8 or 9 million people. The target is 9 million people . Why should we find the technology in mainland China? The two seniors have just talked about it a lot. I think we can see this, whether it is in the field of new energy. Or in the integration of AI and transportation or other new technologies, these innovations include biotechnology. In fact, mainland China is not first in the world, but also in the top 3 or 4 , so Saudi Arabia has found mainland China to cooperate. On the one hand, mainland China should Some technologies in mainland China are basically quite mature, and then when it comes to the construction of future cities, mainland China also has the Beijing Science Future City, etc., etc. Mainland China originally had such an idea. Instead, you want to look to the United States , and you want To build such a future city of 26,000 square kilometers, a relatively large country like mainland China must have such experience. Well, I must also say that under such a premise, the United States must say that this is mainland China. He wants to reach out to a tool in the Middle East , but mainland China clearly said that Saudi Arabia came to me, and Saudi Arabia also openly uses this public offering and IPO method to deal with capital issues , so I think this If the future city really starts to push forward, then for Saudi Arabia, because Saudi Arabia is a country that likes to be tall and tall, its things must be magnificent, big and powerful. Our Chinese style Humble is actually modest. There is no use again. In the end, Saudi Arabia gets the high-end things it needs. Mainland China , which is number one in the world, gets its international visibility and its energy in the construction related to the future city. From now on, he can say this loudly. I built it. If you need it , as long as the price can be negotiated, come. Today, first of all, welcome our guests, General Shuai Huamin, everyone. Hello, former legislator Li Shengfeng , host. Hello everyone . Professor Huang Kuibo of the Department of Foreign Affairs, National Chengchi University. Host, good audience friends. Hello everyone. 520 to the end. What will the situation be like? Everyone began to analyze his speech, but there was a very special trip yesterday . Lai Qingde met with many ministries and committees in the business community. He visited them in sequence. But what is more paradoxical is that the Mainland Affairs Council was very low-key when he went there yesterday. The media did not It was photographed that someone asked him, President Lai, have you given any work instructions to the Mainland Affairs Council? The Mainland Affairs Council was very, very low-key and said that we had no response and did not dare to say more. Yesterday, there was a situation in the waters of Penghu, our navy's Zhang Qian. There was a confrontation with the People's Liberation Army's Lishui on the other side. In the past, there was no such situation in this field , but now there is such a situation. During the confrontation, the other side was still very strong. He said, "Who am I, who are you, you have to pay attention. " From your position , let’s listen to this good story . In the past, everyone had a tacit understanding that no situation would arise here , but things are different now. Will it become more dangerous after 520? Is there any way to do it ? Is there a possibility of war breaking out in the Taiwan Strait ? Experts say what to do. Good thing, what is this thing? After reading this article , I also felt very puzzled. He said that the most important thing is that all the people should participate in this war. I think I should get it back. The writing is the same as writing in vain. Cai Zhengyuan said One thing he said was whether the People's Liberation Army would attack Taiwan. He actually said no. He was not prepared because their army and landing craft were not moving. In other words, in Cai Zhengyuan's opinion , these two may be a key point in whether he is going to attack Taiwan. He felt that the Air Force was doing a normal training , and the United States and the Philippines were working side by side. These included three weeks of training with Australian and French troops. One thing that was very special was that the Philippines crossed 12 nautical miles between them for the first time. This is the first time for waters outside territorial waters to push forward with China , and there are so many troops from the United States, France and Australia participating in this exercise. What’s special is that France has also sent the so-called Portuguese Moon to participate in this event for the first time. Of course, China was dissatisfied with the exercise . He said that you are deliberately operating these so-called island chain blockades to tear the world apart. Zhang Youxia, the second-largest figure in the People's Liberation Army , said that you should not block these straits. Straits are our rich resources. You want to make it The so-called decoupling and rupture in the arena of gunboat diplomacy has divided countries into isolated islands where everyone is suspicious of each other. The so-called containment and island chain blockade at sea has plunged the world into a turbulent whirlpool. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin severely condemned this Let’s talk about China and the Philippines. We actually had some consensus when dealing with Second Thomas Shoal. Why have you torn up all these consensuses now? Why have you not implemented them in accordance with our consensus? However, the Philippines denies it and says no, we have not reached it. If these consensuses are good, then there is another mystery within the mystery . Now their member of Congress in the United States, Congressman Bill Gates, revealed something. He said that the Secretary of the Air Force of the United States personally told him that everyone in active service thinks that the F35 fighter is very powerful. He said that there are only less than 3 1 in 2 has combat capabilities. If this revelation is true, it is very, very amazing. But because it was not the minister himself who said it , but the congressman relayed the minister's statement, he said that it will take a year or more for new fighters to be put into combat . On the other hand, Does China’s H-20 need the United States to worry about its power? Now there is an American intelligence report showing that a Pentagon official said that no matter how China’s H-20 performs in the future , American officials are confident that it will not meet the standards designed by the United States. This is equivalent to saying There is no need to take him seriously. Another Chinese mainland media has reported that they are of course a threat to us. The propaganda video of the Chinese Navy released the Shandong ship's aircraft carrier formation for the first time in its entirety. Let's take a look at these pictures . The formation includes submarines, submarines and aviation wings. The entire underwater force also includes 3 submarines, one of which is a strategic nuclear submarine. And this is an official promotional video of their navy. The last and most golden scene is that they have a nuclear missile launching vertically in the scene . The media judged from the shape of its missile that it should be a giant wave of submarine-launched ballistic missiles. So what they are showing is their strength. Of course, everyone sees them. It is an easter egg , and of course it is a threat to us. What does General Shuai think? First of all, I believe that Lai Qingde must have kept a lower profile in 520 because the cross-strait situation is tense now and he has no way to solve the crisis . Moreover, the extent of the so-called help from the United States is also limited. It’s not enough for him to straighten his back, not to mention that the general election has already passed, so my guess is that he won’t take any strong wording. The second one is about the two ships. Our Zhang Qian number, Zhang Qian number, Zhang Qian number. The Lishui is a success-class ship. There is a problem with the Lishui of the People's Liberation Army. The Lishui is a new ship that has only been put into combat order. It was only launched in 2020. It was tested and I heard that its assessment results were pretty good. It ranked first in the combat skills competition. One , so this one is also a little more arrogant and his speech is different from before. Now I tell you that the confrontation between China and the United States includes the military of both sides. All countries in the world like to talk big. I have been watching gangsters fight since I was a child, and that little guy ran to the front to fight. Die for him, right? When watching a boxing match , regardless of the American boxing match or the world boxing match, the fierce one must beat you to the ground and beat you to death, right? So sometimes we refer to this thing and don’t take it as the same thing. Of course, it’s this It is more troublesome for the Lishui ship to go to the Penghu waterway , because the connection between Taiwan and Penghu is the most important waterway in Southeast Asia , and Penghu is an important base for our navy. It was used in the first battle of Penghu , so the strategic position of Penghu is very important. What about Dongsha and those? It’s not enough to say that Penghu is a place worthy of everyone’s attention. The second U.S. military gave a speech here and the congressman asked whether the F35 had only one-third of its combat effectiveness. I didn’t quite believe it , but one thing that is credible is that the higher the technology, the higher the technology. The more weapon parts there are, the more problems there will be. The F35 itself has to take off and land vertically , be capable of aerial combat , and require electronic reconnaissance , so it has a lot of equipment, and its maintenance and repairs are more difficult , so it must have a higher failure rate. Of course , two-thirds of them will not work. I don’t really believe this. The US military’s shipbuilding capabilities are relatively poor , but building aircraft is not necessarily as difficult as building ships, because building ships requires large docks, aircraft, and probably a lot of insurance. Both systems can be used when we established a Boeing 707 maintenance center in Yadong in Taichung , Hanxiang can do it , so this is something that cannot be compared between the two codes. So France and this are here to stir up the so-called alliance with the Philippines. I don’t think so. It becomes a major threat because after all, you are thousands of miles away from the ocean and what can you do? Secondly, it is more difficult to use a small island to blockade a big country because the island is not like a land after all . The Communist Party has built so many islands here and established airports. Ammunition depots, oil depots, and the deployment of aircraft carriers will strengthen its anti-containment strength. Without the participation of aircraft carriers, the island can easily be breached. Today, the U.S. military is not advancing in combat power and has deployed missiles on many small islands. In fact, unless you start a war, unless You attack the first wave with a sneak attack , otherwise you will be annihilated quickly, so don’t be fooled by a war signal. It feels scary, but it is not the case. The third thing I want to say is that the US aid to Ukraine has been approved, but There are fewer and fewer civilians in Ukraine who can fight. No matter how many weapons there are, it is useless . Moreover, these weapons are not as good as those of Russia. The ability of logistics to manufacture arms is an overwhelming advantage , so don’t brag about this war like the untrue media. From the beginning, Ukraine will win. You will know the outcome by looking at the outcome today . So the situation of 520 also includes the entire drama between the United States and the Philippines. What will be the situation of mutual restraint in the entire region ? Let me ask the committee members to talk about whether there will be a war between the two sides. It is not a military issue, but a political issue. From a military point of view, you can explain whether it is political or not , which is the important force that determines the military. What Lai Qingde showed before 520 seems to be low-key, but don't forget that low-key must be coupled with wisdom. Low-key is meaningful. If low-key is coupled with unsmartness, low-key is counterproductive. Why do I say this when you were speaking loudly a few days ago? You said that you need to carry out national reconstruction and cleanse people's hearts , and then the military wants to set up an external advisory meeting on transitional justice. Tell me what message you are sending to the other party. You are keeping a low profile , but you are keeping a low profile. What you make is a stupid signal. It is a stupid signal . What about you? There is no point in keeping a low profile. When your army wants to transform, what does justice mean? Then your transformation to justice now means that the spirit of Huangpu is gone. There is no national revolution, and the Republic of China is gone. I think the performance of the DPP in this year 's commemoration of the 100th anniversary of Huangpu will be It will decide whether politics has taken another step forward , so it doesn’t matter how much he prepared for the Korean War in 1950. What he prepared for the Vietnam War in 1979 was all decided by politics. This is the first place I want to explain. The second place is From a very simple point of view, the US military , the Philippines and mainland China have a global layout . They have to travel thousands of miles to arrange their forces in China. All of China’s energy targets are only the United States. If you think about it, the United States is global . China wants to use part of it to fight against mainland China. China wants to use all of it to fight against you. And it is waiting to work in this war. What game is the Philippines playing ? It’s okay to set up missile bases in the Philippines. No, it’s okay . Don’t let a war or conflict happen. The first one to be caught is These are the places that will be destroyed. The first ones to be destroyed are all the overseas bases of the US military in Japan, South Korea and the Philippines. If Taiwan is also involved in this, then it is just right. This is what I said. This is a matter of political judgment. If we don’t look at it this way, then we There will probably be a big, big situation . Frankly speaking, mainland China has gone from being a tubal guy wearing a five-star hat to today. If you look at his military uniform, he has a military mindset that is synchronized with the world. His strategy has changed, so let’s take a look. It seems that he has made much progress. Facing the military exercises you adopted, I adopted a civil war. I, the Western Pacific Forum, used civil war against military force. At this time, you brought the army all the way to the coast of China to show off your power. Then what about me? A relevant international conference was held in my field. Compared with this article, how much say do you think the United States will have? In my conscience, I will make a question mark for him. So when it comes to this, we will make a question mark. Whether Taiwan or the Philippines, we all must understand that our strength is too far away from mainland China . What we have to live is to rely on wisdom instead of finding an old American to support you. Why will he leave if he pats his butt ? For example, the Russo-Ukrainian war is the best example. Sorry, the funding passed by Ukraine today is not aid. Money is his weapon to kill you. Whose is it? It is the Ukrainians who started this war. The United States burned the United States . So far, there have been only one casualty in single digits. This is not a battlefield. The American arms dealers have made a lot of money. I will give you all these. Then Ukraine has suffered all casualties and is miserable. Isn’t the example of Ukraine enough for us to be wary of embracing the United States? One day we discovered that the thigh was a prosthetic leg and that the leg was unusable. Regarding the latest situation on both sides of the Taiwan Strait, including the South China Sea, let me ask Professor Huang for advice . On the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, I think Lai Ching-te’s appointment to the Mainland Affairs Council should be a formality because he is preparing to take over. He will go to many government-related units. What I am more concerned about is what kind of briefing the Mainland Affairs Council gave Lai Qingde. Because the relationship between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait has deteriorated rapidly in the past eight years, the Mainland Affairs Council actually has a very poor grasp of the other side of the Taiwan Strait . It is not them. Officials do not work hard , but the general environment prevents them from working hard. Under such circumstances, what kind of analysis and suggestions will they give Lai Qingde ? In fact, I am very curious about this. In addition, we have also seen some people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait. I don’t know who the host mentioned just now. Of course, when I was very young, I heard my father and his elders talk about the idea of all the people being a soldier. Of course, cross-strait relations were extremely tense at that time , but we must not forget it. During the eight years of peace, stability and prosperity during the Ma Ying-jeou administration from 2008 to 2016, we did not give up the power of strengthening deterrence at that time . However, on the other hand, we relied on political consultation and political dialogue to carry out cross-strait resolution. During the eight years when hostility turned towards goodwill, I think cross-strait relations are actually very simple , that is, they walk on two legs. The first one, of course, still emphasizes national defense and psychological defense , but the second leg is definitely political communication and negotiation. Some people say The key point of why the CCP wants to talk to you is that Because the CCP does not want to use force to solve the Taiwan problem . And as Commissioner Cai Zhengyuan said, it is true that the CCP is not ready to attack Taiwan. Before it is ready, I don’t think the People’s Liberation Army will act rashly unless it is forced to the end and has no other way . It is that we have some pro-independence forces in Taiwan that are attaching this sense of urgency to the CCP , forcing the CCP to think that it can only use force to solve Taiwan's problems when it is not ready. As for the South China Sea, it 's very interesting. You can see that Beijing here is talking about Manila, Philippines. Please pay attention. From the past until now, in fact, we are talking about the Marcos government. We have such an agreement to properly handle Second Thomas Shoal . Of course, this agreement is not necessarily written in black and white . At least the Chinese Communist Party has said it very politely and said that we have actually talked about the Second Thomas Shoal issue with you. This must be what they should have definitely talked about when President Marcos visited Beijing around January last year. Why? We don’t have time to discuss the reason for the sudden 180-degree change , but I can see that the CCP still saved a little face for Manila and said, please think about what you said before. This is the first point. The second point is that in the South China Sea The current side-by-side exercise between the United States and the Philippines was originally the largest annual exercise between the two countries. It was mainly conducted on land, but now it has exceeded 12 nautical miles. Indeed, you said it is not aimed at mainland China , is it pointed at Vietnam ? Because Vietnam also occupies a large area in the South China Sea , but I believe that today’s exercise in the Side by Side area will not go into the territorial waters claimed by Vietnam , but I must also talk about this kind of exercise outside such territorial waters. It will definitely enter the exclusive economic zone of our Republic of China. So does our government of the Republic of China want to express appropriate concerns ? That is, your exercise is an exclusive economic zone , but please do not endanger the sovereignty and sovereignty-related rights of the Republic of China at sea. I think this is something that a sovereign government should clearly state. More topics. Take a break and come back soon.
