To what extent has it evolved now ? Has the United Kingdom and the United States jointly bombed the Yemeni rebels and angered the Middle East ? Now, Turkish President Erdogan is angrily saying that he will turn the Red Sea into a sea of blood . Has the geopolitical power of the United States faded in northern Myanmar ? There is a ceasefire. China has come forward to mediate the peace talks in Kunming. The Burmese army and the rebels have now reached a ceasefire agreement . Mao Ning , the spokesperson of the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, said that between the 10th and 11th , they have reached a formal ceasefire agreement under China's mediation . But You can watch the current life-or-death uncertainty in another place. Two US Navy SEALs attempted to board a suspicious ship in the Gulf of Aden and crashed into the sea and disappeared. It has nothing to do with the actions of the Yemeni rebels. The Washington Post reported that the US Navy SEALs encountered violent attacks off the coast of Somalia. Sea conditions: Two special forces members accidentally fell into the sea while boarding a ship. Their lives are still uncertain. So there is so much turmoil in the Red Sea right now. The United States launched two air strikes on Yemeni rebels . Biden said he had privately informed Iran . So they are targeting the Yemeni rebels. The youth movement launched a second air strike on its stronghold in Yemen. The youth movement immediately threatened to respond strongly and effectively. U.S. President Biden said that he had privately informed Iran about the air strike , but we brought it Did you see that Liu Jianchao, the next Chinese Foreign Minister, is visiting the United States to show goodwill and Britain and the United States jointly bombed rebel military facilities in Yemen . The New York Times said that the youth movement's infringement of the Red Sea's force has not weakened. The US military also air raided Yemen, China, Russia, and others. They all opposed the suspension of oil tankers in the nearby strait , including China , Iran's ally Hamas, the backer of the youth movement, Russia, Turkey, and Iraq . They all condemned such attacks by the United Kingdom and the United States. Even Turkish President Erdogan said, "Are you going to turn the Red Sea into blood?" China and Saudi Arabia, which has been at war with the youth movement, have called on you to exercise self-control . Now in China, they have proposed the San Francisco Vision, which implicitly warns the United States not to disrupt the status quo. Then they said, Liu Jianchao , director of the International Department of the Communist Party of China Central Committee, appeared on Tuesday. In New York, the Chinese government actively carried out diplomatic liaison activities before the Taiwan election. Analysts said that this is a U.S. election year, so China is eager to see the Biden administration maintain the good momentum of Sino-U.S. relations. Blinken met with Liu Jianchao and reiterated his commitment to maintaining peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait. Importance Blinken not only raised concerns about human rights issues in China but also reiterated the importance of peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea. Then Liu Jianchao, Minister of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China , visited the US Congress. Blinken said that he is most likely to take over as China's foreign minister. He is currently visiting The United States also met with Blinken and other political figures yesterday , so Glacier analyzed that Liu Jianchao is likely to be the next foreign minister. Let’s first ask Brother Liang, what do you think about the ceasefire in northern Myanmar? China is now here It seems that their efforts have been successful because China is probably the only big country that is familiar with all parties , so this is also related to its own interests , such as banning electronic fraud or not affecting the border . They have to deal with it , and they have already intervened . For a period of time, even the revolting army in Kokang went to eliminate electronic fraud. Some people thought that he was behind it. So I think because he did not want the civil strife in Myanmar to be too serious , he also kept in touch with the military government, so he also opened an agreement with the military government. The satisfactory result of the summit is that the war can be stopped , the illegal enterprise can be banned , and then it can move towards formal development. This will of course demonstrate the ability of major powers to coordinate . This is like saying that the United States will coordinate with Yemen. The Yemeni Houthi armed forces here are obviously targeting Israel's attack on Gaza. No one dares to come forward, so I will come forward to protest. But because they are guerrillas, the United States , do you think you can eliminate them by bombing them twice ? Frankly speaking , as long as the United States Ground troops are useless if they don’t land, because they just run around . Unless you land , the Houthis in Yemen will have no way to approach the coastline . This can effectively block them . However, the United States is unwilling , and the United States has publicly stated that they are completely unprepared to follow. Since the Houthi armed forces are engaged in ground combat, you have said so, and the Houthi armed forces are playing hide and seek with you. You will bomb them. When you bomb them, I will hide because the attack method they use is either drone rockets or small boats. You have to know that there are 12 energy, oil and natural gas that pass through the freighter. They cannot tolerate one blow and it will be over. So this kind of thing is very troublesome . It is not that the United States cannot win against Yemen , but your method of fighting is It's ineffective because he uses guerrilla warfare to cause risks to cargo ships. You say cargo ships, no matter how you evaluate your costs, you don't want to take this kind of risk . And now the price of marine insurance has increased 10 times , so you would rather go around. It would be a lot safer to walk around the Cape of Good Hope for 12 more days. Of course, at least nothing would happen, right? Why should I come here for a while ? My goods might burn up, so what should I do? So I think this is a bit The real cause of the deadlock is that Israel has not treated Gaza humanely. However, the United States currently has no effective way to control Israel , so this confrontational deadlock has always existed. We would like to ask Ambassador, what do you think of Turkish President Erdogan? Do you want to turn the Red Sea into a sea of blood? Because in fact, this attack by the United States is quite dangerous because it will force the Arab country to take a stand or support the Houthi organization , because the Houthi organization basically has its political stance. It is to safeguard the interests of Islam in the entire Arab world , so it attacks Israel today. Its starting point is from the standpoint of Islamic countries and Arab countries. What it wants to intervene is to save their Palestinian brothers, Muslim brothers and Arab brothers. So if the United States takes more drastic measures against the Houthis , other Arab countries will inevitably To express your stance , you must know that Turkey was the caliph of the Islamic world in the era of the Ottoman Turkish Empire, which is the real leading country in the Islamic world. Coupled with Erdogan, he basically attaches great importance to Islam and Turkey ’s influence among Muslims. Therefore , in fact , since Erdogan came to power , Turkey has built a lot of new buildings. Many mosques have been built. And you know that during the revolution in Turkey, their Kemal Kemal was the founding father of modern Turkey. He was pursuing the separation of church and state. Then it became Islam requires secularization , but Erdogan is a change, so I think Erdogan’s speech on things happening in the Islamic world is very, very sharp and clear-cut , so he opposes the United States’ interference in this youth organization , so his speech is With this background, as to whether they will take real action? Judging from the current military strikes by the United States, it will not really lead to a full-scale showdown between the United States and Islam. However, these are warnings, especially Al I think he is a warning. Based on his past performance in international politics, Erdogan is quite opportunistic. On the one hand, he is on good terms with Russia, and on the other hand, he wants weapons from the United States. On the other hand, he wants to join the European Union and start fighting. In the Islamic world , he wants to come out and shout a few times , but Turkey basically just talks and does nothing. When Russia is under great pressure from him, and he gets benefits from Russia , he will let Russia go a little bit. The United States is under great pressure from him. At that time , he also compromised with the United States , so I think Erdogan cares about the Turks and the real influence of the country Turkey . In addition, he has shown that he has an opinion and a position in international affairs . As a country, I think it means that if the United States now attacks the Houthis organization on the ground , it will not attack it from the air. The United States has done a lot in the entire Islamic world , so I think this matter is basically If there is no further aggression from the United States, there is little chance that this matter will escalate. Brother Bing, what do you think? Now that Glacier has named Liu Jianchao , it is very possible that he will become the next foreign minister , because I think it is not impossible. And they will make such an arrangement now . I think it is to first let him get familiar with these related units in the United States , and then slowly gain a certain tacit understanding with each other. This will also facilitate his future appointment. I think this is helpful. What may happen, otherwise he would not make such an arrangement . Of course, Sino-US relations are now a top priority for both parties , because the United States is about to hold an election. For the mainland, after Taiwan’s new election results are announced, he will also want the United States to give them as soon as possible. Only by promising and guaranteeing can he determine how he will operate under the new structure, so I think they and the relevant people on the mainland need to quickly set the tone , otherwise it will be detrimental to their own work. If it creates some obstacles , then I must say that the United States will choose to attack the Houthi organization in Yemen. I personally think that they are probably just intimidating, telling the Houthi organization that you should not go too far . We have the strength to attack you, but I personally think that this attack itself will not be useful. You can't threaten the Houthi organization at all. Why? Because this organization has been around for a long , many years. Even though he captured the capital of Yemen , he just couldn't get a sea port , so this means What does it mean that the economy does not rely on shipping at all? Because they don’t have it in the first place. If they don’t have it in the first place , we will take you to see it first. But what we want to talk about first is that the Democratic Progressive Party used to be good friends with the United States . So now the Democratic Progressive Party It was strange how the United States reacted immediately after the party was re-elected. Biden did not send blessings at the first moment but emphasized that the United States does not support Taiwan’s independence. At the moment when Lai Qingde and Xiao Meiqin won the election , compared with the blessings of other countries, the United States responded to this for the first time . For a while, I could only reply that I did not support Taiwan’s independence . Now everyone is very curious whether Lai Ching- te will form a coalition cabinet after he takes office. Lai Ching-te said that he is willing to discuss national affairs with opposition leaders to solve problems without distinction of party. He said that he will also prepare for this in the future. Form a grand democratic alliance and let good talents join the government regardless of party affiliation . But now everyone is very curious. Who are you looking for as the executive director? Someone has been named, including Lin Jialong, Zheng Lijun , and even Kaohsiung Mayor Chen Qimai. The voices are loud. Lai Ching-te is about to form a cabinet and has said that he will recruit cross-party talents. The current Secretary-General of the Presidential Office, Lin Jialong, has made a lot of calls. Zheng Lijun is also regarded as the cabinet that this new department is looking forward to. Will she be the first female executive director ? In addition, Chen Qimai is also a dark horse candidate. Zheng Wencan, who once had a subtle competitive relationship with Lai, is also eye-catching. However, some media have named him. Will he recruit a cabinet member of the former Malaysian government, namely Zhu Jingyi, an academician of Academia Sinica ? But now President Lai Ching-te and Chairman of the Party, the territory of the British faction will be greatly reduced. Is the new trend coming? You see, after the dispute between Chua and Lai in 2019, of course the British faction still has problems with Lai Ching-te. This time, faction general Luo Zhizheng and Su Zhifen represent the British faction. Department Together with the several British factions nominated by Tsai Ing-wen during the period of Party Chairman Tsai Ing- wen , they are no longer in the Legislative Yuan . It can be said that the strength of the faction has been greatly reduced. Although the rescue of Wang Yichuan failed in the end, there are also points of disagreement on whether the National Congress will continue to endorse Lai Qingde in the future. Some factional people say that in fact, the powerful factions within the Democratic Progressive Party have no objections to Lai and the new trend of resources . Especially now that Lai Qingde is at the peak of his power , he will have to rely on him in such a short period of time. However, it will be difficult to determine the opportunity to seek cooperation opportunities in the future. Now the kingmaker, the New Trend, has become king. After Lai Qingde entered the presidential palace, will the power war of killing and killing be about to begin? You can see that the New Trend has gone deep into the campaign headquarters, the Democratic Progressive Party Central Committee , and even the administrative system. There are many new departments in important positions . The blood of the decision-making system of each county and city will run through the new trend. Invisibility has been seen through. Hou Ke, who is running for president this time, has specially drawn a target for the new trend . Even if this Ko Wenzhe is not saying that the new trend will not defeat Taiwan, Okay , so now that the new trend has become more powerful, it is bound to be locked in. But although the new trend has become bigger, the north stream and the middle stream are affected, and only the south stream is left. Has the Democratic Progressive Party, the largest party in Congress, only won the legislative committee ? The new trend alone accounts for 1/3 of the 51 seats . The new faction holds 17 seats in this Congress. Among the 36 regional legislators elected by the Democratic Progressive Party, 13 seats account for more than 35. Of the 51 seats overall, It also accounts for 1/3 , but the new system is still seriously injured. Although Nanliu stabilizes its position, all south of Chiayi are home runs , but the mid-stream Beiliu has a great influence , including who can you see among the new system's Clouded Leopard Little Princess? There is no such thing as Lai Pinyu , including Xu Shuhua, who was not elected . Even Zheng Yunpeng, Huang Shijie, who was in Taoyuan, and even Zhao Zhengyu, who was more friendly with them, have all disappeared. Zhang Liao Wanjian of Taichung also lost the lottery , so now everyone is very suspicious. Lai Xiaopei has decided to move forward , but Xiao Meiqin is taking Xiaoying's route. Will Lai Qingde really continue to follow it ? Will the two of them not have this so-called running-in period? Let's first ask Brother Liang about what US President Biden said. Isn’t this sentence very intriguing? It means that Biden has just met Xi Jinping not long ago. Of course, the United States does not want Taiwan to change. This is not surprising. In fact, before the election, scholars from three think tanks published an article and even hoped that Lai Qingde The platform of the Taiwan Independence Party can be frozen before 520. So Biden is just restating his original views because in fact Beijing may expect Biden to implement this sentence. If you say you don’t support Taiwan independence, show me what you do. Show me what you do. Is that right for Beijing? It means that either you don't want to sell arms to Taiwan or you support my peaceful reunification. The United States cannot do both of these things , but the United States cannot do both right . So he said this right away , but it doesn't matter. Because this is the position of the United States and has been publicly posted by the State Council , I think what everyone is observing is whether Lai Qingde will deal with the party platform within the party before taking office on May 20. I think everyone is still paying attention to this because it is more effective. Substantively , as for whether the new trend will dominate the entire Democratic Progressive Party or the Executive Yuan, I think it is very difficult because he is not confident enough. You only have 40 , and your Legislative Yuan does not have a majority . Frankly speaking, at this time, Chen Shui-bian was president for two terms. It is easy for a minister to die in battle because as long as someone is dissatisfied with you, I will leak the news to the opposition party and let the opposition party fight you. Can you hold on? This is different from Tsai Ing-wen because Tsai Ing-wen is the son of heaven and Tsai Ing-wen is the two. The National Assembly has reached the halfway mark , so the Democratic Progressive Party alone can protect your position . However, this is not the case now. Your Democratic Progressive Party does not have a majority in the Legislative Yuan , so as long as you have some kind of information that is exposed to the opposition party , you will have no way to escape. You know , so I don’t think he has the confidence to dare to act recklessly . Just say what position do you want New Trend to occupy? If you want to occupy any position, I will throw out this message. And currently it seems that the Executive President, I don’t think it can be Zheng Lijun , because Zheng Lijun is also If you don’t understand finance, you, the executive director, must have the ability to be a mayor. So you said Lin Jialong and Chen Qimai are certainly possible , but Chen Qimai is still in office, right ? Wouldn’t this make him a runaway mayor? It would be more inconvenient back then. Lai Ching-te also came directly from Tainan to be the Executive President. At present, I think Lin Jialong really hopes for the best, so he will continue to cooperate with the National Assembly. He should use someone who is not a new trend person as the Executive President this time . In fact, Chen Qimai also Isn’t that right? Zheng Wencan is very coordinated. I don’t know whether Zheng Wencan will continue to be the deputy dean. So Zheng Wencan’s dream of being the executive dean may be gone. Because Taoyuan’s selection was not good this time, I think it is unlikely that both will be possible. They are all new trends, because this is too concentrated power for the Democratic Progressive Party. The president is also a new trend, and the executive director is also a new trend. In fact, Zheng Wencan and Lai Qingde are originally in a competitive relationship , so when one person gets the leading position, the other person I'm afraid we have to step aside and let other factions come in. So at present, I think Lin Jialong is the most convenient and has the best chance to fill this position. If he comes up, the layout of the entire Executive Yuan will not be all new trends, and it will definitely be compared. And I think Lai Qingde will also recruit some people who have no party membership , because now you have to negotiate with the Kuomintang or the People's Party and ask them to recommend cabinet members. I think this is very difficult because if you do this, it is equivalent to having your head scratched. I think in the current situation I think it’s unlikely . I ’m afraid he is looking for suitable people who are not members of the Democratic Progressive Party to serve as cabinet members. This is possible . So although he said that talent should be employed regardless of party affiliation , this should not be accomplished through political party negotiation. I think it is unlikely that there will be political party negotiation. Let's ask Brother Hanbing, what do you think? It seems that the new trend now is only Nanliu. Hold on, you see, in this legislative election, the northern and middle streams seem to have been flipped by others. What do you think ? Of course, because of the Democratic Progressive Party's election results in the legislative election, it did very poorly in both the northern and central areas. All the bamboo seedlings have been wiped out , so under this situation , it is of course a big blow to the new trend's north and middle streams. But the problem is that the strength of the new trend still lies in that place. You see , there is still one-third of the new trend in the National Assembly. What is great is that they can take care of their own people. You may say that if there is a chance, some of them may stay in the constituency and fight again , but many may join the cabinet or help them find a position first so that they can accumulate energy and continue to work. So I think this is You don’t have to worry about New Trend. New Trend’s career planning is very good. I have never helped them worry about this . As for whether Chen Qimai will join the cabinet now, I don’t think it will be because Chen Qimai is in his prime moment now. Why should he? No matter how he joins the cabinet at this time, he has to wait until he has the opportunity to take over, because now Lai Qingde has just been appointed. So think about it if he becomes the Executive President. You know that it will be very difficult to be the first Executive President because In Congress, they are not the majority. Many things may be directly blocked by Congress . Your ability to coordinate these things is very troublesome and complicated. So I personally think that the first executive president should be someone who tries to moderate. He may even find a It means that someone from the non-DPP will be the one , but it won’t be from other political parties , nor the Kuomintang , nor the People’s Party. Maybe they can find another kind of civil figure, someone like this who is pro-green,
and they have a good relationship with the green, but they don’t have it. This kind of person with obvious partisanship may not need Chen Qimai at all. I think he is more likely to be something like that . For example, when his term as mayor of Kaohsiung is about to end , he is more likely to join the cabinet or do other things , because now for him It ’s not necessary at all. Under this situation, I personally think that Lai Qingde should have won over some things at first because he was not elected by the majority. Therefore, in terms of factions, he will strive to stabilize the factions in the party because although the new trend accounts for But other factions may not listen to him, and he is a minority. If other factions in Congress cannot settle things, in the end he will not be able to control the presidential palace. Wouldn’t it be ugly? So I think he will At least for the time being, we must maintain the harmony of one faction . As for hiring people based on their talents , I will directly say that the Kuomintang cannot be used by other political parties because the current situation of opposition is very obvious . Of course, the People's Party does not rule out all kinds of cooperation. Then think about it, if the People's Party assumes that one of the People's Party members is chosen by Lai Ching-te to join the cabinet , or even become the executive president or do other things, then what is the future path of the People's Party ? You must know that although the People's Party said that our current structure may be that blue accounts for 1 point and green accounts for 3 points. In terms of 4 points, blue people account for about 25 and 75 people. They are more pro-green but do not really agree with green . So Under such circumstances, if you slowly give people the impression that you are merging with the Democratic Progressive Party, this will be harmful to the People’s Party itself , because in the end, all parties that merge with major parties will end up being You see , the power of the times and the radical wing are all wiped out. Is this how the People's Party will embark on this road on its own? So I think they themselves have to think clearly. As for the one who I think is the most interesting, Luo Zhizheng It is hard to imagine how Luo Zhizheng will go next. It is really hard to imagine because his biggest problem is not that the video is the audio tape. The audio tape is really fatal. The reason why the audio tape has reached the presidential level is because the president
and executive director are both After being recorded by you, I think it would be very difficult for anyone from the Democratic Progressive Party to dare to approach him and talk to him. So under this situation, I think Luo Zhizheng’s future trends are really worth exploring . What on earth would someone like him do? In this way , I can only say that the luckiest person in this year’s election is Ye Yuanzhi. Let’s ask Ambassador what do you think? Especially in the future, the new trend in the Legislative Yuan will definitely become the focus of offense and defense. Because since before the election, he has been shouting slogans like "Taiwan will not be fine unless the new trend fails." What do you think? Of course, the new trend does not mean that it is controversial outside the DPP, but it is very controversial within the DPP . So I think the current Lai Qingde must first deal with his internal balance, so the best option for him is of course the balance of factions. He doesn’t want to grab it all. So now that he has just gained power , his top priority is stability. Stability is not the first priority to realize many of his ideals , so I think if he is a voter and joins the party, and someone in the party becomes a cabinet minister, he must consider the balance of factions and he will not let people feel that he is The new trend has to eat up all the positions of the new trend because he alone is enough. The new trend is enough. But there is another possibility, because Zhu Jingyi is also spread here. In fact, Zhu Jingyi has recently been I posted an article that went viral on the Internet on January 5th. His article asked where Taiwan should go. He encouraged and stressed that voting is not about electing political parties or legislators , but about deciding the future of Taiwan. He made a very low evaluation of the system in mainland China , so he believed that it was about Taiwan. We must cherish the value of Taiwan's democratic system , so we must come out and vote to decide Taiwan's future. This article was published on January 5. Considering his background, it is actually very sensitive. I think his proposition is to talk about the future of Taiwan. So for him, Transcending party affiliation. Although he was an official in the past when Ma Ying-jeou was the leader , after Tsai Ing-wen took office, he also served as the ambassador to the WTO in the Tsai Ing-wen government. So it means that he has political experience in both blue and green circles. This makes me think that because now It was also rumored that he would think of it. In fact, Lai Qingde's current situation is very similar to the situation when A-Bian 39 was elected. Of course, what he considers now is that the most important thing is that he must be stable and not make any mistakes during the transition of power. So do you remember who the first executive director A-Bian looked for at that time was Tang Fei . His name was Tang Fei , and he was not only a member of the Kuomintang , but also something like that. He also had a military background , so I think if there is a dark horse now, It is not an exaggeration to say that Zhu Jingyi is a dark horse , but for anyone who cannot achieve a big position without more than half of the votes , he is psychologically seeking stability in the first stage, especially in the first four years . So what? So I think this one has been passed down and there is another one. I think in terms of the balance of factions, if it is not for the Jungkong Council to fight , it will get a big position. On the other hand, there is another one that belongs to this and also belongs to the faction. It is not a new trend. Lin Youchang is Lin Youchang. He has also served as a county and city chief and a central ministry committee . Because he can also be said to be outside the list, I think he should not be considered outside the list . Well, let’s take a short break from advertising and come back to bring you. Let’s pay attention to the international situation . In fact, the US’s message of immediately sending a delegation to Taiwan is to clearly tell everyone that it is worried about the situation in the Taiwan Strait . Therefore, is there any risk to the situation in the Taiwan Strait? It is not only our domestic and international media that are concerned about this election in Taiwan. It is very important for everyone to observe the various statements made by China, which are very tough. How do you think this is aimed at maintaining stability in the post-election China Sea? It is very clear that Blinken directly met with Chinese and Japanese diplomats to discuss the situation in the Middle East. Externally , of course, it is important to maintain peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea. If something happens to Taiwan, Japan will say whether something will happen. Then, of course, it will worry about something happening to Taiwan. If this is the case, Japan will set up a research team to formulate an evacuation plan for the outlying islands in case of any eventuality. When something happens to Taiwan, it should formulate a safe evacuation plan for places like the Sakishima Islands in Okinawa Prefecture. In the new year , a special research group established by the Chief Cabinet Secretary will study this matter. Biden is actually really busy . Is there any way he can be distracted? He has taken care of his so-called friends in many places , such as the Red Sea. The Red Sea crisis was caused by the non-stop bombing by the Youth Army in Yemen. Therefore, without the consent of Congress, Biden directly convened the National Security Council during the New Year while on vacation. The team directly launched bombings. After carrying out a 12-day diplomatic and military plan, they decided to attack 70 strongholds of the Youth Movement. As a result , many shipping lines in the Red Sea were bombed and attacked. For the second time, they air raided Yemen. The rebels Biden said that he had privately informed the Iranian side that he certainly did not want the war to be overly expanded , so he carried out air strikes on 28 strongholds and hit more than 60 targets . Therefore, the youth movement immediately threatened to make a strong and effective response to this . In response, everyone is still waiting to see whether Iran will react or whether the rebels in Yemen will take any action. Of course, the crisis in the Red Sea has caused global oil prices and shipping costs to rise sharply , and they are also worried about whether it may affect the reopening of the economy. What about the battle line ? Is it illegal for Biden to order an air strike on Yemen? Some in Congress were very suspicious . U.S. Representative Connor jumped out and said that Article 1 of the Constitution stipulates that if the President of the United States wants to order an attack, what must he do? First, he told Congress that he would insist on this regardless of whether there were Democrats or Republicans in the White House. He directly skipped these members and made the decision to bomb Congress. He had strong opinions , including the U.S. House of Representatives. Poken also said that the United States cannot risk getting involved in another war without Congress. He must cooperate with Congress before authorizing and continuing the decades-long conflict in Yemen. But the problem is that he has already carried out air strikes. How will he explain to Congress next? Many analysts believe that AFP reported that Biden hopes to target youth movements with air strikes. Why can he show a tough guy image at home and abroad? Because he will be elected next, the US election will be held in November. Diplomacy has been stagnant or there is no way to control the situation, which is not good for Biden's election. So he hopes to pass such a Will the movement control the Red Sea? And if the youth movement continues to attack the Red Sea, will it affect international shipping? The price of food and gasoline will soar. However, the bombing will indeed immediately send oil prices soaring , but will it affect Biden's re-election hopes? It is all for the election . When considering replacing Biden, I have to worry about it, so the global energy war is coming. The United States and Britain attacked the Yemen rebels and pushed up oil prices by 1%. Biden said that he was worried about the continued trend of oil prices, but the results of crude oil exports have been going on for a long time , just like the original blockade of Russia. The United States is still the big winner in local conflicts because according to the International Energy Agency, the amount of oil supplied by the United States to overseas countries in the last week of December last year averaged 3.915 million barrels per day. The increase is quite large , it became 5.292 million barrels. The increase was 1.3 million barrels a day. Those sold abroad increased by 35%. So everyone needs oil. If the price rises again when shipping in the Middle East is dangerous in all aspects , who will gain? The answer is very clear , so the sanctions have not been lifted. There is a phenomenon discovered by the media. In November last year, the United States imported nearly 750,000 U.S. dollars worth of crude oil. Where did it come from? Russian crude oil . It marks that the United States has implemented an energy ban since April 2022. Of course, this transaction may have an impact on both Europe and Japan. Didn't he ask everyone to impose sanctions? In the end, after a long time, he also bought it himself, right? General , we are watching the international situation and worrying about the situation in the Taiwan Strait and Japan's surrounding areas . Whether the United States can be divided into two parts is also a key point. I would like to explain our title first. Biden bypassed Congress. I would like to explain that this is actually what we are worried about . Biden did not bypass Congress because he did not declare war because there is a conflict between countries. If you declare war, you need to get the approval of Congress. If he says that this is just a military operation, it is the same as Putin saying that it is a special military operation. Why do I have to mention this sentence ? In fact, the Chinese Communist Party has also passed this law against Taiwan . To say that for Taiwan, it is called non-war conduct, and it is a code of conduct for military operations , which means that it regards Taiwan as a country. If you say you are not a country to me, if I want to attack you, Taiwan, you are a country, and I will declare war on you. If you are not a country , you are me. If this is a domestic issue between us, I don’t need to declare war with you, I can directly fight you. So the gray area of Biden’s words this time is the gray area of words , which makes us more worried about Biden. Using this kind of gray area, he did not get the consent of Congress. He said that it was just a military operation. Putin also used this kind of words at the beginning , but I specifically said that we in Taiwan are currently paying attention to the election. In fact, the Houthi organization in the Red Sea this time is very serious . It is so serious. To what extent it does not affect freight rates , it has actually affected Tesla and Volvo. Two car factories have stopped working. Their supply chains have been cut off . There is no time for production . The supply chain has been cut off. The United States really has no pimps with the Houthis . We went to bomb twice and he continued to hit you. He walked around with two missiles. He continued to hit you with two missiles. You know that island. We talked about what the Bab el Mandeb Strait looks like. You know that the Strait is already very narrow. There is also something in the middle. There is an island called Pilin Island , and this side of Pilin Island is the Grand Canyon, this side is the Small Gorge , and that is very strange, the Grand Gorge , the rugged reef under the seabed, the boat cannot go, you must go through the Small Gorge, the Small Gorge is only 2 kilometers , that is, he can use the cannon. I can hit you. How are you going to do it ? Now the United States is using missiles to hit you. I will tell you how the United States deals with the Houthis. I will give you an example. Everyone knows how annoying the United States is. Just like when you sleep at night, there is a mosquito over there. Buzz... it's been noisy, isn't it ? There are several mosquitoes , they are not afraid of you to hit them, aren't they ? Then you use cannons to hit them . This is how the United States uses missiles now, isn't it? They shot nearly 100 cruise missiles and couldn't find the fly swatter, so they had to use it. The cannon hit 2 million US dollars and then it went to 200 million US dollars. But you still didn't hit him because he was not afraid of hitting you. You know he is called the Slipper Army . He runs around in slippers . You have no target. In fact, he is already very brave and good at fighting him. Who should he fight with? Before, he fought with Arabia, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. Because they are supported by Iran, Saudi Arabia has nothing to do with him . Now the United States can only use cannons to fight mosquitoes and suffer the consequences. In terms of the situation, I think the United States has been dragged into the water. In fact, it will be detrimental to the U.S. election. It will be difficult to improve in the future. We will have more in-depth discussions later and will be back soon . Of course, the Taiwan Strait crisis is of great concern to the world . In fact, there is a place where the Red Sea affects all raw materials and all supplies in the world. What kind of development may the so-called Red Sea crisis have after the US bombing ? The Red Sea crisis is mainly a test for Biden. Why ? Because Biden has actually done several things during his term that are actually helpful to the Houthi movement in Yemen. For example, he asked him to pressure Saudi Arabia not to intervene in the civil war in Yemen . This is actually helpful for the United States and Saudi Arabia . This alliance between Uzbekistan and Arabia actually has a great influence. At the same time, the United States has canceled the Houthi movement and removed it from the so-called anti- terrorism list. These are all the Biden administration. So now the Republican Party regards these as the misconduct of the Biden administration and says that you have done these things so that Saudi Arabia can no longer effectively support the original government of Yemen and allow the Houthi movement to continue. Then the next one is that he is not only sitting big, he has now become an entire alliance system, an entire alliance system that hates the United States. What else is there besides the Houthi movement in Yemen ? There is also Hezbollah in Lebanon. Then there is Iran, which is even connected to Russia and mainland China behind the scenes . He said that the entire anti-American alliance is actually the biggest test for the United States . If the United States cannot effectively attack the United States, it will make this alliance bolder to challenge. The international order maintained by the United States includes the so-called free passage of waterways. This is why Biden wants to take this action. It is very important to take military action. The reason is that he wants to prevent the Republican Party from challenging him domestically . Of course, here In fact, it will also involve an issue, that is , because of its actions on the Red Sea, the general just mentioned that for Volvo Cars or Tesla, which country will actually be affected by this waterway? Egypt will benefit from the shipping profits of this waterway , and Egypt is a major ally of the United States. As we all know, Egypt has been the country that accepts the most U.S. dollars in the world for many years. So of course, here it becomes that if the United States does not After taking action , all your allies will leave you , including Saudi Arabia, which is already buying Russian diesel in order to seek support from Russia. Although the United States is sanctioning Russian diesel , Saudi Arabia will buy its diesel from it , including Egypt in the future . It will also move towards Russia , so why does Biden have to take action ? His domestic political considerations are of course also because he is generally considered to have made some major miscalculations regarding the Middle East , so he has to make up for this problem. Let’s take a break and come back soon. The risks are spiraling. Well , we can observe it from the reaction of Japan and the United States. I think this time , if you look at the reaction of Taiwan, if you look at the English media , especially the British and American media , they all emphasized that the election of Lai Qingde was a slap in the face to Beijing , which means that it may anger Beijing more. But you Looking at the reaction of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the Communist Party of China, I think they have seen the fact that the DPP does not represent the mainstream public opinion in Taiwan. What does it represent on the mainland ? They do not want to escalate tensions , but the United States is very worried that tensions will rise. Why? Because President Biden told the truth, because the United States sincerely believes that Lai Qingde wants to pursue Taiwan independence , that means that Lai Qingde and Xiao Meiqin ’s so-called independence is not the CCP’s wishful thinking , and it is not just part of the CCP’s external propaganda. Americans may agree with this. Now Americans agree with this, so Blinken is not only saying that the United States is not only sending a delegation to Taiwan today, but it has already arrived in Taiwan today. As discussed earlier, Lai Qingde is about to be warned. Now Blinken is included in the US Secretary of State. Hurry up to see China, and then hurry up to see Japan, because if they weren't convinced that Lai Qingde might want to pursue Taiwan independence , even mainland China would be worried about the uneasiness that might arise from the election of an independence activist as president. Why would they do so much? Blinken 's actions include meeting with people from mainland China soon and also going to Japan. Japan is also very nervous. Japan is discussing that if something happens to Taiwan, something will happen to us . Japan has already set up a study group. The rotation of political parties has not been realized. However, the next step is to return to It’s hard to say how the Legislative Yuan will supervise the integration of various comprehensive programs. But for Hou Youyi, of course, he lost the election yesterday and told everyone immediately that it was all his own responsibility. He did not want any more so -called internal reviews within the party. Early this morning, he immediately returned to the municipal schedule. He said that the green camp wing would launch a strike group and actively replicate the strategy of striking South Korea. The community was working in tandem. Then he himself said that he would get rid of the fake goods and get to work as soon as possible. Would he be involved in the mayor's defense battle? The so-called 7.7 Hou Youyi 's approach was to apologize to the citizens of New Taipei City first . Of course, he did not benefit from winning the presidential vote and lost to Lai Qingde's team in New Taipei City . However, he said that he would redouble his support and work harder in the municipal government. So the new trend? This time is the first time that a new trend president has been released. But has he really won face and lost face? Among the few of his disciples in the new trend, Xu Shuhua lost directly to the 7th district and lost to Xu Qiaoxin . Lai Pinyu , who has repeatedly assisted in the election and even served as the campaign chairperson, also lost to Zheng Yunpeng of Taoyuan District 1 , not to mention that he actually lost the election to a young man with such a standard of running for mayor. The challengers in the second constituency of Taoyuan are also there. Taoyuan, where the eldest brother Zheng Wencan has been in power for 8 years, was completely annihilated. Then Liao Weixiang of Taichung also defeated Zhang Liaowanjian. So the New Trend faction seems to be very prosperous, but Liao Weixiang's party within the party There is still a lot of internal controversy going on. Is there going to be a government like now? Maybe there is still a lot of internal fighting that is getting ready to fight. There are many pictures of the new trend system. Come and laugh with me. Come with me. Virtue wins the Taiwan election. What about future generations? Many of the chicks next to him have disappeared . The little Clouded Leopard Princess is waiting to strengthen the auxiliary selection. This one has also disappeared. Are you going to continue to test the people's IQ? So of course Zhang Shanzheng also kept his eldest brother in Taoyuan. The entire constituency was wiped out, leaving Nanliu to stabilize its position. South of Zhuoshui River, Lai Qingde could still laugh , because although the Democratic Progressive Party, the largest party in Congress, won 51 seats, New Trend accounted for 1/3 of them. Judging from this ratio, In the future, many policies will be promoted in the Legislative Yuan . It is not like in the past where you can do whatever you want. After the Legislator lost 4 seats, the Internet was sour . It doesn't matter . The style of the DPP is like this. Those who lose the election will be in office immediately. So don't worry about it . Because The government is about to be formed, so the eldest brother just mentioned in the cabinet list is hopeless. There are various other candidates under discussion, not only ECFA but also more cross-strait challenges . In other words , many analysts before the election believed that if Lai Qingde was elected, it would be impossible for cross-strait communication to be almost interrupted. It will be even more severe when it starts again. The first one to accept the challenge is ECFA . Then of course there will be more . Will Lai Qingde be polite about price inflation after taking office ? Is the issue of extending military service and the war more stringent between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait ? After everything has stopped, there will be a break between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait and they will become more unilaterally dependent on the United States. What will be the result? The Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives will send a delegation to visit Taiwan after May 20. Biden reiterated that he does not support Taiwan independence . Of course, the U.S. sent this immediately after the election. The visiting delegation will land today to talk to the relevant elected officials. Is there anything they want to explain? Only Lai Qingde knows. When Biden was asked about his views on Taiwan’s election, he reiterated that he did not support Taiwan ’s independence . Speaker Johnson of the U.S. House of Representatives expected President-elect Lai Ching-te will continue to cooperate and send a delegation to attend the inauguration ceremony in May. US Secretary of State Blinken sent a congratulatory message to congratulate Taiwan on the election and cooperated with leaders of Taiwan's political parties to congratulate the people of Taiwan for once again demonstrating the democratic system and election process . In fact, we have seen that from China's side The various statements made are actually quite harsh. So what does Sister Yongping think about the so -called dismissal of Hou Youyi ? I advise the Democratic Progressive Party not to try this easily. If you don’t believe in evil and still insist on going your own way , then I will use Xie Longjie to quote him. Xie Longjie can now enter the Legislative Yuan. If he wants to remove the president, the proposal of one-third of the legislators in the Legislative Yuan can be completed . Thank you. Ryuki is always with me, Lai Qingde, he says yes, he chokes, I’m here waiting for you to overthrow the government. To put it simply, overthrow the government and remove the president. As long as you are in the Legislative Yuan, you have no way to control the Legislative Yuan. Many things can be done . In other words, if the president is so weak, 40% of the people. Just because our electoral system cannot conduct two rounds of voting , we cannot elect a president with the majority of public opinion . Yesterday, teacher Zheng Cunqi made an algorithm. I admire you very much. You have to multiply it by the voting rate , which means that all Taiwan has citizenship rights. Only 70% of the people who voted came out to vote , so if you actually get 40% of the votes, you have to multiply it by 70%, which is equal to 1/3 of the people with citizenship in Taiwan . None of them support you. Then you are very embarrassed. If arrogant people come out to do things and continue to fight against public opinion , you will definitely be backlashed. This is the first one. Let me solemnly announce it. The second one is why I think the new trend issue will become a political issue this time . One of the focal points is that when New Trend nominated Lai Qingde , they made harsh words , saying that the era of New Trend's full power has arrived. Not only the opposition party was disgusted by this sentence, but also people from the non-New Trend faction of the DPP were disgusted. As a result, this time you Look at the person in the picture with the arrow falling from the horse. There are a lot of new trends, right? And they are all star-level people of the new trend . There is also a person who I didn’t mention just now. What we all find incredible is that he previously ran for Taoyuan City on behalf of the Democratic Progressive Party. Mayor and mayor-level legislator Zheng Yunpeng has a good image. Zheng Yunpeng also has a handsome son. This time, everyone was mentioned by a paper and so on . Everyone was talking about who is this Niu Xuting. Who is this Niu Xuting? Even people from the Kuomintang have to ask because he did not represent the Kuomintang for a long time. He had no party membership for a while. He later returned to the Kuomintang and was defeated by such a person. You can know that the new trend is based on the people of Taoyuan. He is too much. The manipulation caused such a backlash from the public because everyone needs to know how seriously Zheng Wencan, the representative figure of Beiliu, used the resources of the Vice President of the Executive Yuan and his position to go to Taoyuan to promote these legislators . Every Taoyuan mayor Everyone was called and greeted by Zheng Wencan , who kept calling people and asking how they were doing. Zheng Wencan was very serious about the assistant election. As a result, the nine-in-one gift given to him by Taoyuan this time has been defeated. This time, it is even more different from Zhang Shanzheng's Buddhist way . At that time, the Kuomintang was worried and said, Mayor Zhang, you are too Buddhist. Zheng Wencan kept coming. Unexpectedly, after the votes were counted, they all collapsed and the group was wiped out. Then the Buddhist faction won. Zhang Shanzheng’s professional image is very good for his close people and he will not intimidate you casually. Randomly using resources to win you over has gained some Taoyuan citizens. However, I have to say one last thing. Seeing Beiliu in full swing , the DPP is particularly trendy. It likes to do things that go against public opinion , so the one who is most likely to form a cabinet now is No one should think that Zheng Wencan , the overlord of Beiliu, has no hope after being wiped out by the group. I think that with Lai Qingde's personality and new trend style, the one who is most likely to form a government is the completely defeated Zheng Wencan. Here, I will observe a little bit about the green media. He is almost excluded. If it is really him, then it is really Lai Ching-te or Tsai Ing-wen who are trying to support each other . What do you think? The results of this election will have a new and more serious impact on Taiwan's international situation and cross-strait relations. Is there a challenge? I have read a lot of foreign media reports. What is the title? It means Taiwan has rejected China. Taiwanese voters have expressed their intention to reject China. However, cross-strait relations are about to face great challenges. Taiwan may face Mainland China is under greater pressure. I think the message is actually very clear , especially Lai Qingde. Throughout the election process, his various statements included saying that the Republic of China is a disaster, the Republic of China is a myth, the Constitution of the Republic of China is a disaster, etc. In fact, the stance of waiting is really not to say that it is mainland China. I think the United States is very worried. Basically, what we see now is that before the election , this has not happened in the past. This situation has almost never happened. That is to say, before the election, the United States is with mainland China. There were intensive exchanges of views , including Liu Jianchao’s visit to Washington , Raimondo’s phone call with China’s Minister of Commerce , and even Liu Jianchao ’s meeting with the deputy national security adviser in the United States . Now, when reporters asked Biden, his reaction was: When asked about the results of Taiwan's election, he actually responded that the United States does not support Taiwan's independence. So you can see that the United States is also highly nervous and very worried about the current situation. This situation will get better in the next four months to May 20. It’s becoming more and more tense and complicated. Why? Including the speaker of the House of Representatives, Johnson, who wants to send a delegation to attend Lai Ching-te ’s inauguration. Who will he send ? He said he will send some of these so-called Community Chairs , which are these committees. Chairman , each of these people is a loud voice , and each of them will have a lot of ideas. Will the first one send military planes ? I think about what else we should buy, right? The second one , they may also be so strict on the one hand. Of course, those who criticize mainland China will also have some thoughts with the new government . So I think these issues may be a very, very headache for the next government . I am more worried about whether there will be some of these dark green people. Instead, this group regards it as an opportunity and says that this is the United States to support Lai Qingde. If the United States affirms Taiwan's independence , I think it will really make the new government have its head burned because it will become a dilemma. Of course, maybe he thinks it's just what he wants in his heart , but I think this is definitely not Taiwan's blessing. Yesterday, President Biden of the United States said it in person I'm afraid the independence faction also knows that their plot will not succeed, so the delegation will come to explain something. But as we saw yesterday, after the election, many friends in the green camp were very excited. They did not see the intentions shown by the voters. I have not seen these worries in the world. I think this is an idea. Of course, I hope that the future President Lai will really have a clear mind and really understand that everyone is actually very concerned about Taiwan independence. I am extremely worried if you look at his inaugural speech. In his election speech, he mentioned the constitutional system of the Republic of China , but he did not mention the Constitution of the Republic of China. I think deep down in his heart, he may still think that the Constitution of the Republic of China is a disaster . I hope he can take a few more steps forward. Of course, you can see that he also didn’t use it at the first time . Like Tsai Ing-wen, she will use Beijing, but she will directly use China. I think these actually reflect his future possibilities. As a tendency, these may face different voices in the United States, and pressure from the United States will come , including the U.S. executive branch , but including the Republican Congressional departments , especially when the U.S. has an election this year. These people all have their own performances they want to perform. How will Taiwan respond to the drama? If the mainland also has its drama, then I think the peace and stability of the Taiwan Strait will face the most severe test this year . Of course, all kinds of exchanges between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait have been interrupted. After various exchanges between some tourist groups were interrupted, will there be more serious problems now ? Will the risks rise? William Lai let the world see Taiwan. The Eurasian Group published a list of the three major dangers in the United States. My friends and I You said that dangerous friends are more terrible than dangerous enemies. He listed him as the top three dangerous friends. I will read it to you. The first one is Zelensky, the second one is Natanyahu, and the third one is us, William Lai, us. The level of William Lai and Natanya Hutong is really terrible , but why do we Taiwan qualify to be on this throne? Zelensky has a vast land , 40 million people , and NATO is his backer, right ? Now we are fighting Why is it said that he is the most dangerous friend of the United States in this situation ? Because what he needs most now is to drag the United States into the water to fight with him. This is Zelensky’s current calculation. Therefore, he is said to have The second one he lists as the most dangerous friend of the United States is Netanyahu. I tell you, Israel has been fighting for three months now. They claim to have defeated it. In fact, he has not even captured Northern Gaza. You know that it has been fighting until now. Northern Gaza has not been captured , so where is Natanyahu 's most dangerous enemy now ? Whether it is the Houthis or Iran, it is his most dangerous enemy. So he hopes to drag the United States into the water , and of course he will consider the United States to be him. One of the most dangerous friends includes Natanyahu. Why is our William Lai included ? Because our William Lai believes that we have three magic weapons in Taiwan. So the United States will definitely come to support us. We are the first ally of freedom and democracy . But I want to tell you in particular. Is it rock solid ? Didn’t the United States also promise Zelensky to Ukraine ? But now we see The second thing is that the United States does not dare to fight on the ground. Second, Lai Qingde believes that Taiwan can stand here because our geographical location is very important geostrategic. We are in the first island chain . But I especially want to remind the United States. Now there is a second island chain. He will send the US military here to sacrifice his own soldiers for you. In order to protect your first island chain, he has a second island chain to defend , right? In fact, he can retreat to the second island chain. The United States is indeed making a strategic retreat to the second island chain. Whether we see it building bases on Tinian Island or here, I will tell you that we, Lai Qingde, believe that we still have the sacred mountain TSMC in Taiwan , but this TSMC has been forced to commit suicide by Tsai Ing-wen, and it has been sent to the United States. If Taiwan does not have TSMC, an important economic, technological, important pillar, and geo-strategic, it is no longer as important as the United States thinks. Then you just Relying on an ally that says we are a rock-solid democracy. How much support do you think the United States will have for you under this situation ? Especially this time, the United States will be here immediately tomorrow. I will tell you what it will do. I just want to see what Lai Qingde's inauguration speech is about. Because the United States is really weak right now . Without him, let's go to the inauguration speech. He comes first. He must explain it first. I will explain it first . 520 There will still be some time for you. See why as soon as you are elected, you will fly over the next day to see how you are going to handle your inaugural speech. I believe that the People's Liberation Army will be more free to do it at this time , whether it is a provocation in the gray area or something else . It turns out that he still had a glimmer of hope that the Kuomintang would be elected. Now that the DPP is elected, he has let go and started the war. In terms of follow-up, whether it is possible or not, this military plane may not just reach the center line . Is it to get closer to 24 nautical miles from the adjacent coastal area , or to seize one of your outer islands, right? or to block you , or to cut off your submarine cables . I think these are likely to be some of the actions that the People's Liberation Army will take in the future. Then all of us. Just have to wait and see what happens next.
