The situation between the United States and Israel. Is it counterproductive for the United States to support Israel now that the International Court of Justice has responded hard? How can I put it? The speaker of the House of Representatives in the United States, which supports Israel, wants to invite the so-called Netanyahu to come to Congress to give a speech as the Israeli-Palestinian war continues. But now the US Republican Johnson has announced that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is about to give a speech to the US Congress. However, at the same time, the war in Gaza has continued to burn for 231 days. The International Court of Justice ordered Israel to immediately stop attacking Rafah . On May 24, the war between Israel and Palestine has been burning for 231 days. The International Court of Justice has now issued a ruling of 13 to 2 and officially ordered Israel to immediately stop its military attack on Rafah in the Gaza corridor. The humanitarian situation on the ground has turned into a catastrophic situation and is open to the public. Supplies are coming in and investigators are being allowed into Rafah. Israel is required to present a so-called enforcement report within a month. The International Court of Justice has now ordered a halt to the attack on Rafah . He refutes South Africa's accusations that Israel is committing a so-called genocide as false and outrageous. The International Court of Justice has no power to stop them from protecting civilians , and further refutes accusations that military action would lead to a so-called genocide . This has seen Natanya now internationally isolated. Will Huna cause Natanyahu's rebellious mentality? Stop attacking Rafah. Saudi Arabia and other countries welcome the ICJ's decision. Saudi Arabia and other countries in the region decided on Friday by the International Court of Justice. Turkey urged the United Nations Security Council to Its own efforts to force Israel to implement the resolution include now continuing the onslaught and air strikes on Rafah, despite the judgment of the International Court of Justice. Israeli warplanes targeted Rafah shortly after the International Court of Justice issued provisional measures requiring Israel to cease its military operations in Rafah. Rafah has launched a violent air strike on Nagassa. Now Israel's devastating air strike has killed 26 people. Israel says it is ready for a new round of truces to negotiate. This also happened in Gabaliya and Rafah in the Gaza corridor. Netanyahu said that the war cabinet has asked the so-called negotiating delegation to continue negotiations for the release of the hostages , but the fighting continues . Has the attitude of other countries, including Germany , changed? Now that Germany is seeing part of it, he said he will implement the International Court of Justice's arrest of Netanyahu. Israel said Yahu's order was too outrageous. What did Germany say? He said that once the International Criminal Court issues an arrest warrant, it would assist in executing it . The Israeli ambassador to Germany retorted that this was really outrageous. If we were to defend ourselves or be restrained, Any public statement about Israel's right to self-defense would lose his credibility. What did Netanyahu's spokesperson say? He said there are many people in the world who need to check their moral compasses and get on the right side of history. But now Not only the attitude of Germany and France has attracted great attention , but France expressed its support and said that the independence of the International Criminal Court should be respected and impunity should not be tolerated. Let us see France. He said that he supports the independence of the International Criminal Court and also supports the so-called In order to combat impunity, France also warned Israel that it must abide by so-called international humanitarian law , especially the civilian casualties in the Gaza corridor, which have become unacceptable. Humanitarian assistance should also be hindered. Switzerland also said that it fully supports the International Criminal Court . Who is ignoring the International Criminal Court? Now the United States seems to be ignoring the International Criminal Court. Biden said that he would not help the ICC arrest Netanyahu. What did Biden say? We believe that everything Israel does is not the same as Hamas. They are not the same . It’s that simple to not recognize the jurisdiction exercised by the ICC. As for now, when the New York Times asked Biden about the arrest warrant for Netanyahu, Biden actually got angry. Let’s take a look at this footage. The reporter said he had two questions , but Biden said You only have one question , and you are so unruly. He also said that we have stated our position on the International Court of Justice. If you have a question , come back and ask Brother Bing. Brother Bing, what do you think about this? Is the United States’ support for Israel now counterproductive? I think the United States The handling of this matter has become increasingly outrageous and has put itself in an even more embarrassing situation. We all know that the United States will definitely support Israel. Needless to say, everyone knows that the United States has assisted Israel at various levels, but for this kind of international Logically speaking, the United States should keep a low profile on the public outrage . The most you can do is for Biden to say that we do not recognize that the International Court of Justice has jurisdiction over us. This is fine because the United States has never recognized this thing, so you can just respond in this low-key way. As a result, you actually want to bring Natanyahu to the U.S. Congress to give such a high-profile speech . He is a person wanted by the International Court of Justice. And now more and more countries in Europe have recognized that he is committing genocide. As a result, you bring such a person who is wanted by the International Court of Justice. A recognized genocide murderer, a suspect, and a wanted criminal are asked to give a speech to the U.S. Congress. It is clear that he is at war with the whole world. Basically, this is the reason why the United States considers itself the leader of the free world , but in the end, it is trying to protect you. Forget about harboring and condoning genocide. Now you are asking a wanted criminal for genocide to give a speech to the U.S. Congress. How can the United States tell others about your freedom, democracy, and human rights values? You don’t need to say it because no one will believe it. Honestly. Speaking of this, more and more countries, like Ireland and Spain , have begun to recognize the statehood of Palestine in the past few days , and now Switzerland, Germany, and France have expressed their stance one by one , saying that if the International Court of Justice really issues an arrest warrant, we will come to you, Natanya. As long as Hu shows up I arrested you to express an attitude, because everyone knows that in fact, the orders of the International Court of Justice are rarely implemented. You know that many countries ignore this matter , but why do these countries make these statements? Neither does Netanyahu. Why would you go to these countries ?
Why do you make these statements ? In fact, you are telling the United States that you should quickly stop Natanyahu’s inhumane behavior. Then the United States not only did not stop it, but also openly invited Natanyahu. Is this the right thing for the United States to do? I know that Biden is under a lot of pressure because of the election in November. He cannot offend Jewish donors. But the question is, will the United States help Israel in such a high-profile way and blatantly confront the international community ? Will this really add points to Biden's election ? I think that Natanyahu’s arrival in the United States may be the beginning of another student movement . It is very possible. Do you think those students will protest on campus? Now that Natanyahu has arrived in the United States, these students will not protest. So I really think that, bye Den made a very stupid and wrong decision. I think there is still time for Biden. You should change it . But I don’t think Biden will move . I want to ask Captain Lu to basically talk about the International Criminal Court we have seen. It’s because everyone signed the Rome Statute. The Rome Statute stipulates that the International Criminal Court has jurisdiction over only four crimes. The four crimes are genocide , war crimes against humanity, and the crime of aggression. But now we see Natanyahu is satisfied with two at once. He is satisfied with the part about crimes against humanity and war crimes. Among these two crimes, we look at it this way. If we look at crimes against humanity, there are a total of 12 items in the list . You can see murder, extermination, deportation or forcible relocation of people, isn’t it? Isn’t that what we are seeing in Gaza now ? Isn’t that what we are seeing in the Gaza Strip? Move those in the north of the Gaza Strip to the south and move those in the south to the sea side . Isn’t this always forcing people to relocate? And you keep saying it to you. Anyway, whenever you see someone, you say they are Hamas. Isn’t this extermination and murder? This is what we talk about crimes against humanity . The first war crime is intentional killing. What we just talked about is intentional injury . Of course, now you can not implement it. Remember that we discussed in 2022 whether Russia had similar behavior towards Ukraine. Indeed, I was on the Internet at that time. In the international law class, I asked my international law teacher what would happen if everyone did not implement it. My teacher said that it would be the destruction of the personality of your country. What is the destruction of the personality of the country ? Do you remember that at that time, Russia sent a representative to the United Nations ? During the speech, all the diplomats stood up and left. That is the destruction of the character of your country. Now what we have seen is that if it continues, then and we have seen before that in the United Nations General Assembly vote , in fact, 143 votes were in favor, 9 were against, 25 abstained, and the certification was approved. Palestine complies with the United Nations Charter . This is the biggest refutation of the United States and Israel. It is that I can’t do anything to you. However, each of our countries has slowly recognized Palestine one after another. Although they can’t demarcate territory now , they have some rights to some of the current land. He was occupied by Israel and had no way to solve it , but everyone has recognized his international personality. This is the biggest blow to the United States and Israel. We must pay attention to one thing. How did World War II happen? That is, the League of Nations at that time was no longer effective. On this international stage, he lacks the power to check and balance these powerful countries. Do you remember that at the beginning of this year, the British Defense Minister said that this was the pre-war era , and a few months later, the Prime Minister of Poland also ratified this matter. Now it is In the pre-war era, why was it because the United States and Israel were undermining the international order ? I would like to ask Professor Li about it. Because the conflict between Israel and Kazakhstan now has about two battlefields. One is on the ground in the Gaza Corridor. The second is international public opinion , diplomacy and international law. Some related issues . In fact, there have been a lot of new developments on this issue in the past month or two. I think it has put a lot of moral pressure on Israel and the United States. The first point is that some of the countries have been mentioned just now , for example. Like Belize, Colombia, and Bolivia, they have made it clear that they are severing diplomatic relations with Israel . Colombia has said that it will directly establish an embassy for Palestine . The first and second is diplomatically. Norway, Ireland, and Spain publicly stated on May 22 that we recognize the status of Palestine . Is it bilateral or multilateral? As the captain mentioned just now, because at the beginning in April, there was a discussion in the Security Council on the proposal of Palestine’s membership status in the United Nations , but we know that it was vetoed by the United States, the United Kingdom, and Switzerland . The other 12 countries were in favor of abstaining , but the issue will be sent to the General Assembly for further discussion. The result of the meeting was as the captain said just now , about 143 votes in favor, 9 votes against, 25 abstentions. What they said was that they hoped that the Security Council would reconsider because the United Nations The key to the status of a member state in the first step is the recommendation of the Security Council , but it cannot be passed. However, even so , the support of more than 140 votes in the General Assembly still shows that this is a thermometer of international public opinion. It is obvious that the third one still requires us to distinguish one. It is the International Criminal Court (ICC). This time, the ICJ is the International Court of Justice of the United Nations. The ICC is very aware that on May 20, the prosecutor actually prosecuted about five people on suspicion of war crimes and crimes against humanity. Israel has three leaders, including Prime Minister Natayahu, Defense Minister Gulen and Hamas. I think it is fair to a certain extent . This is an arrest warrant. The arrest warrant is very special because it is unexpected. It is a major Western European country just now. We have already mentioned that France and Germany basically respect and cooperate with each other . Another point is that since the end of last year, South Africa has petitioned the International Court of Justice , which is the ICJ , the United Nations' International Court of Justice , for Israel's violation of the crime of genocide. It hopes that the ICJ will come out to uphold justice. This decision of the ICJ is There were January, March, April and this time. Basically, the most important thing is that in January, Israel was asked to take six temporary measures. These six temporary measures, he did not immediately judge that Israel had committed the so-called genocide. He said that the 1948 Genocide Convention You need to prevent it and avoid it. You need to restrict it. The IDF should find ways to provide humanitarian assistance and provide a report within a month. But basically Israel will ignore it. It did it once in March. The most recent time was a few days ago. It passed The decision made after the hearing is basically locked in Rafah's request for Israel to submit a report , but basically Israel's response is very strong. So , we also know that even if it has some judgments or determinations like the ICJ or ICC, But it still depends on implementation . In fact, implementation depends on the cooperation of all countries . So at present, these decisions from multilateral to bilateral international affairs will not have an immediately obvious impact , but they will hurt Israel itself. I think Biden is in a more difficult situation because of his international prestige and his moral legitimacy, because he is also in a very complicated election . Let's take a break from the commercial and then continue to discuss whether the sword is pointed. China and Russia are now receiving the so-called Kenyan President Ruto with high standards because of the United States . They even used a red carpet to welcome the visiting Kenyan President Ruto on May 23. The carpet was very red and very long. In addition, a so-called grand national ceremony was held on the lawn of the White House to welcome Kenyan President Ruto Biden . He said that Kenya and the United States had almost no challenges that they could not face together and make corresponding improvements . Not only did they The close talks in the Oval Office also included walking and chatting together in the White House. Let’s take a look at this video first. In this video, Biden even raised his glass to pay tribute to Kenya. There were as many as 500 people present. VIPs attended the state banquet , including Obama and the Clintons. The United States and Kenya also issued a common vision and hoped that creditor countries would reduce the debt burden of debtor countries. Kenya's largest creditor country is There is a strong sense that mainland China is targeting Beijing. After meeting with the President of Kenya, Biden deepened mutual cooperation to counter the influence of mainland China and Russia in Africa. During Ruto's three-day state visit, he also announced that Kenya would Being listed as a major non-NATO ally of the United States to strengthen mutual security cooperation, Kenya will also become the first African country to become a major non-NATO ally of the United States. In the future, it will be able to obtain military and financial advantages similar to those of NATO members . Currently, 18 countries have been The United States lists it as a major non-NATO ally , including Ukraine. Although it has not officially become a security and political treaty , the United States still strengthens military and diplomatic relations with these countries. Now let’s see if Biden does not want an armistice . Is NATO just making a show of it? Now there are sources It is said that Putin hopes to use the current war as a ceasefire. If the West does not respond, it will continue to fight. Reuters reports that there are now 4 sources, 3 of whom are familiar with the discussions in Putin’s inner circle. Sources said that Russian troops have recently been in Ukraine. Pushing forward in the northeast, Putin believes the war can last as long as it takes , but he believes Ukraine is ready to freeze all fighting fronts now to negotiate a ceasefire. Sources also point out that there will be no agreement as long as Zelensky is in power. Unless Russia bypasses Ukraine and talks directly to the United States, how will the United States respond? The United States says that at this stage it does not believe that Putin is interested in making peace with Ukraine and now it is on guard against Russia. The six NATO countries have also agreed to form a so-called drone wall. Lithuania pointed out that Lithuania is now with The other five members of the North Atlantic Treaty that are close to Russia have jointly agreed to build a drone wall to protect the border from provocation. What did the NATO Secretary- General say? The NATO Secretary-General said that we offered to train weapons and ammunition to Ukraine , but NATO does not plan to send troops to Ukraine. On the other hand, including Hungary, Hungary’s attitude also means that the Hungarian government is currently trying to find a way to maintain its status as a member of NATO without participating in operations outside NATO territory. It can be seen that it is quite reserved . Let’s first look at whether Biden wants face . What does Zelensky want? Is it money? Now the Russian Ministry of Defense said that the Russian army launched 49 military attacks on Ukraine within a week. The Russian army launched a frenzied attack. The onslaught on Kharkov's railway system, orphans and children without their parents, hastened to be evacuated. This now includes Russia's night attack on Kharkov's tracks and railway vehicles as the authorities , including the Russian army, prepare for a new wave of powerful offensives to evacuate local children. What does Zelensky say? Zelensky now says that the Ukrainian army has gained control of the combat area in Kharkov. It seems that there is no such thing. This statement was made after a meeting with regional officials. But this statement is completely different from what we just said to Russian officials. What did Russian officials say? They said that they control more than half of the territory of Volchensk Town. Volchensk Town is only 5 kilometers away from such a border. The distance seems very close. The Ukrainian General Staff Headquarters reported in a report that the situation is very tense and is controlled by the National Defense Forces. I just mentioned that Zelensky hopes to have more money and foreign aid to assist the West. Now he plans to use Russia to be frozen. People familiar with the matter pointed out that Zelensky will attend the Group of 7 leaders’ meeting in June. He is urging allies to propose longer-range weapons that can strike targets in Russia. According to the Associated Press report Two U.S. officials now say that Biden will announce an additional US$275 million in military aid to Ukraine this week , which is about NT$9.1 billion. If I come back, let me first ask Brother Bing. Brother Bing, what do you think of the very high standard of reception by the United States? Does the Kenyan president have an overtone? It is obvious that he hopes to improve relations with Kenya. And more importantly, he hopes to win Kenya over and make him a partner of the United States instead of a partner of mainland China. Because Kenya The largest trading partner is mainland China, and the largest foreign debt creditor is also mainland China, because one-fifth of its imported goods every year comes from mainland China. In fact, this has also caused some problems within Kenya, such as some last year. Local businesses in Kenya responded that they hoped that the Chinese would leave and not compete with them there, so there were some conflicts between Kenya and mainland China , so last year the EU went to the EU to form an alliance with it. This year, the United States will come, so the United States and the EU They are trying their best to win over Kenya and hope that they can stay away from mainland China. But I think it is not so easy to get people to leave mainland China just by asking for a meal. Why? Because the first and biggest creditor is mainland China. Mainland China is still helping him build railways . So under this situation, do you think he can easily leave from mainland China ? I'm afraid it will be difficult. What's even more funny is that the United States is shouting over there that it hopes these creditor countries will relax to these debtor countries. How do you want to reduce their interest repayments ? You call mainland China and then reduce their interest and do it to you. Do you think it's... weird? Do you think the mainland would do such a stupid thing? I think the United States is too naive. So of course, whether the United States ' attempts in this area will be effective, I think it depends on how long the United States can last . That is, for Kenya, of course the United States is willing to show goodwill to him, and of course he welcomes it. If the United States can give him more Of course the benefits are better, but the question is how long can the United States continue to provide? And every time the United States pays, there are strings attached. Because the United States likes to interfere in other people's internal affairs , will the United States extend its hand again and accuse others of not doing well in this place? That 's why many countries cooperated with the United States at first and then gradually drifted away. Because Americans really like to interfere in other countries' affairs. It depends on what the United States will do. Of course, the current situation in Russia and Ukraine looks like It's very detrimental to Ukraine , so it doesn't matter to Putin. Anyway, I'm on the offensive now, and if you want me to stop, you can stop it. That is, all the places I attack now are considered my right. But Ukraine cannot accept this thing , so Putin's It means that because he no longer regards Zelensky as an opponent, he has already said that he will not talk to him, so now it is very simple. He has been telling NATO whether NATO wants to talk to me and the United States. Don't talk to me. This is for us to decide. It doesn't have to be Ukraine's decision . In fact, it's very simple for NATO to negotiate. As long as they stop supplying military services to Ukraine, Ukraine will have nothing to do. It can't even fight them. Ukraine . Ukraine is so outrageous now that it has a shortage of military resources. He said that he would reduce the number of troops in his Strategic Command by 50 and send them all to the battlefield. You will know how scarce his military resources are , so Ukraine is almost at the end of its rope . Without the support of NATO, Ukraine is almost doomed. But Zelens Ky is still fantasizing that NATO will provide him with weapons to directly attack Russia. Do you think such a thing will happen? Is Zelensky too naive? So I really feel that I really don’t want to watch this war again. When more Ukrainians sacrifice their lives, I think sometimes humiliation is better than losing the lives of the entire country. Sometimes I really feel like this, so should someone come forward to promote peace as soon as possible ? I think this is good for everyone. Let me ask Professor Li. I think it is because looking at the overall situation , Ukraine is not only facing a lot of offensives from Russia in the east , but starting from January, it has more control over the Russian army that began to slowly attack cities and plunder the territory. In the past two weeks or so, we can see that Kharkov in the northeast is also facing a lot of pressure on battlefield initiative. Because we look back at the Russian-Ukrainian war in February 2022 , after Russia began to invade. In fact, Kharkov Kharkiv fell in the first period , but in September 2022, Ukraine launched a counter-offensive to recapture it and drive the Russian army out. However, I did not expect that the offensive in Kharkiv in more than two weeks was so extreme. It was almost expected that everyone would judge whether this was a feint attack at first , but when the Russian army gathered about 30,000 to 50,000 troops to attack the Kharkov border , such as Wovchansk, Everyone thinks that this pressure may be real because Wovchansk is very close to the Russian border and Kharkiv, the capital of Kharkiv Oblast , is only about 40 to 50 kilometers away . So this is where everyone will gather heavy troops in the future . But I I think the main thing is to highlight that Ukraine is currently suffering from a passive shortage of troops. As mentioned just now , it is also short of ammunition. This is why after Blinken went to Kiev more than a week ago, he talked about the seizure of Russian assets and the freezing of these assets . It was used for Ukraine. In April, the United States had just passed a $61 billion supplementary package for Ukraine . But whether the money from this package can be transferred in quickly is a question mark. The second one is that it has been mentioned a while ago. It is said that the Biden administration in the United States is discussing whether to relax some of the bottom lines of the United States. We know that from before the outbreak of the war to now, there are two bottom lines between the United States and NATO. The first is that American and NATO soldiers do not directly participate in the war , but other The second one is that the military equipment provided by the United States to Ukraine is limited in that it cannot be used against targets in Russia. But if it is Ukraine's own , for example , the year before last, we could see Ukraine using unmanned aerial vehicles. The strategic bombers attacking airports in Russia have nothing to do with the United States . For example, the United States has assisted Ukraine in the Haimas, which is equipped with a tactical missile system and the Great Wall's precision rockets to attack its range and targets. But the United States has not relaxed its focus so far. What does it mean when there are more and more similar discussions ? I think it reflects that the Ukrainian battlefield is currently in a relatively disadvantaged position. Otherwise, there would not be such discussions. I think this is what everyone is worried about at the moment. I would like to ask Lu Jian. As expected , President Biden has been on the Senate Foreign Affairs Committee for a very long time , so he knows what each country likes . So the host just talked about the president of Kenya. He held a long red carpet state meeting and then held a state banquet. Everyone seemed to have everything. It's so beautiful , and he also put forward a lot of inducements , but let's look at this long red carpet. Then of the two countries, this is President Biden and the President of Kenya, and then the first ladies of their two countries. Is this the only one? Once? In fact, it wasn’t Trump before. But Trump was not a country, it was a meeting . But Trump also invited the president of Kenya to visit. But is Kenya really so easily swayed? This is a question. The second one is actually Biden. As I just said, he really knows what many countries need, and he has written a lot of checks. He said that he would make Kenya the only major non-NATO ally south of the Sahara Desert , and then he said that he would start technical cooperation. What does this new era talk about? Cyber security, artificial intelligence , clean energy, semiconductors, everything. Let’s think about this. We talked about this major non-NATO ally. This sentence sounds familiar to everyone. Why do you still remember it? When he wanted to provide us with Taiwan Link-22, did he also say the same thing about our Taiwan and that it was a quasi-non-NATO ally? What does that mean? It means you are not. But now we see that he is using this conditional carrot to lure Kenya . But there are It's useless . In fact, we can continue to observe. In addition, let's talk about the unified construction of this drone wall in the six NATO countries. Is this drone wall really so useful? Do you think every country is Israel? Israel has an Iron Dome. Not only does it have Iron Dome, it also has Iron Beam. Iron Beam is Iron Beam. It uses lasers to hit drones. So why did we see that when Iran attacked Israel, why was it able to stop almost all of its drones immediately? There is a reason for this. Let us see that on May 19th, the floating dock in Gaza was finally ready for shipping. However, the United States is also very worried about what it calls the shore-based Phalanx close-in weapons system . It was also placed next to this pier and talked about the latest decision of the International Court of Justice related to Israel. He said that Israel should immediately stop its military operations in the southern city of Rafah in the Gaza Strip . Then it told the International Court of Justice to arrest two people. One is Israel’s Netanyahu, and of course the leader of Hamas is the same , but Israel’s Finance Minister is very strong and said he does not accept the verdict. The leader of the Israeli opposition party also said that the International Court of Justice’s actions in this city at the southern end of Gaza are morally corrupt . There will be Palestinian civilians facing the danger of destruction. I’m afraid the picture you see is not like this. So when countries such as Saudi Arabia and Saudi Arabia asked to stop the attack on Rafah, they followed suit and expressed their welcome to the decision of the International Court of Justice. The question is including Turkey, but the question is how Is the execution possible to be binding? Just look at what Captain America Biden said. We do not recognize or recognize the way in which the ICC exercises jurisdiction. It is as simple as the order of the International Court of Justice. The United States does not support or help arrest Natanya. Republican leader Johnson Johnson also said that we will soon be doing something in the Capitol. Receiving Natanyahu not only does not mean that he will also be invited to Congress to give a speech. This is the attitude of the United States. Therefore, currently China and Brazil are separate from Russia and Ukraine. Is there a chance for a war to see a glimmer of light ? Is there a chance for an armistice? This is a statement jointly issued by China and Brazil after the dialogue. They agree to oppose splitting the world and creating closed political and economic blocs. So China and Brazil want to help solve the crisis in Ukraine ? Possible ceasefire: Reuters says Putin is open to ceasefire The prerequisite is to recognize the current front. As a condition for reaching a ceasefire and terminating the Ukrainian war, we will be ready if Kiev and the West do not respond. It seems that it will be almost difficult to continue fighting . Ukraine will continue to fight for a long time. What did Orban say? The Spanish Prime Minister said that he said that Russia may also launch attacks on NATO members because you provide weapons and resources . He thinks this is groundless because The Ukraine-Russia war , which is currently in its third year, shows that Russia’s capabilities are limited . Are you really afraid that it can’t fight? It’s been three years since the war. Where will the war in Ukraine end? Among them, the six NATO countries are guarding against Russia. For fear of being involved in the war, we have agreed to build a drone wall to avoid provocation on the border. German Chancellor Scholz also said that closer military cooperation is necessary in Europe. What does he agree with Macron? France proposed France The threat of nuclear weapons to ask Germany to support him means that there must be various deterrents. Otherwise, if Russia keeps flexing its muscles with nuclear weapons, this type of nuclear weapons, etc., then is it very risky for European countries? Putin continues to walk around. He went to Belarus because Of course, Belarus is closer than other NATO countries or Ukraine. So the border distance between Ukraine and Belarus is now 1,084 kilometers long. Will the next step be to carry out various precision strikes through Belarus ? Is it an intrusion? No one knows yet. So, including the ceasefire during the Paris Agreement and the Olympics, etc. , it seems that each has put forward conditions , but the difficulty is still very high. Brother Liang , in fact, there is another issue , which is that the West is now Acknowledging that Russia is violently attacking the area around Kharkov , Ukraine made a request that the long-range missiles provided by the United States can hit Russian territory because Kharkov is too close to Russia. If it can't even hit Russian territory, Ukraine thinks there is nothing they can do. Defense means that you must attack its territory and force it to return to defense. The United States is currently divided. Blinken strongly advocates , but the United States knows that if he is allowed to attack Russia's territory , it will be terrible. What will Russia think of you ? If you intervene directly, you will intervene in the war. Because You allow him to hit me, right? The Secretary-General of NATO also came out and said that he agreed that Ukraine should be able to hit its territory. I think this is very critical, because if Ukraine cannot be allowed to hit its relatively long-range missiles into Russia, I think Hal Sooner or later, Cove will lose this iconic city because it is the second largest city after Kiev. It may cause a comprehensive collapse of Ukraine from the north to Donbas. This has a huge impact , so I think Russia may also have it. Such a calculation is why Putin would throw out such a statement: If you admit the front I am fighting now, the front is the existing border. Stop the loss here. Yes, it means that if you are here, I will stop the loss immediately and I will not fight. No one in Ukraine dares to answer like this , otherwise I will continue to invade and expand the area. You are equivalent to admitting the 4 states of Donbas and Crimea. If you lose 17% of the territory, Ukraine will be gone. If no one agrees, he will continue to fight. If he continues to fight, he will hit Kharkov. Then he also hits Odessa because he believes that some NATO armaments may have come from Odessa because it is relatively close to Udong. Odessa is also often hit . The continuation of this war is very detrimental to Ukraine because more and more statistics have been released recently . Ukraine actually wrote a report. The Washington Post wrote out the contents of his report. Ukraine has found that its interception rate against Russian missiles is getting lower and lower. Why is this happening? Because Russia’s electronic warfare capabilities are getting better and better. Secondly, its air defense capabilities are getting worse and worse. I am talking about Ukraine, so recently, for example, In the past, he might only hit 1 out of 10 hits, but now he probably hits 3 to 4, which is very harmful. The other thing is that he often misses when hitting Russia , which is because his electric warfare ability has improved. Unfortunately, there are A weapon that happened to be purchased by Taiwan is called the Haimas rocket system. Didn’t Putin recently say that he would give Xi Jinping a big gift? He said that he would give all the information related to the patriots of the US military collected during the Russia-Ukraine war to mainland China . Including the Patriot missile surface-to-air defense system. I believe that Hamas also has this information in China . Is it still useful for us to buy these two Patriots and Haimas ? Ukraine actually submitted an urgent report to the American manufacturers and told me He calculated it accurately no matter what, so I couldn't hit Russia. Russia would make adjustments, so I didn't hit it. This is a very troublesome situation . Has the U.S. armaments been seen through by others? Vulnerabilities have been found , and because of the location of Ukraine, There are fewer and fewer anti-air defense systems. When the United States urgently transferred them to him, he could only deploy 7. His defense line is very long. How do you defend it ? So let me be frank. You said Putin said this and said I am willing to negotiate. In fact, he has preconditions. That is to say, if you recognize the existing borders , then I will negotiate and I will cease fire immediately. In this way, Ukraine will be equivalent to admitting defeat. So I think it is basically a deadlock. To be honest, the deadlock includes Israeli teacher Zuo. If you see that although various criminal courts The International Court of Justice and the latest one, the International Court of Justice , have said that Israel must not continue to attack Rafah and even asked for the arrest of the leaders of both parties. But the problem is that this is something that cannot be implemented. The United States is also completely opposed to the interim order of the International Court of Justice. This was requested by South Africa because South Africa filed this case and now they are saying that because this case has not yet been decided, there must be this interim order first. You know this interim order is the first one and it is binding on all member states. For example, like South Africa and Israel are both members of the International Court of Justice , and this case is based on the Convention on the Prevention and Abolition of Genocide . Since both countries are signatories , they are bound by it. It just says that there is no way to implement it , for example, in 2022. In March , the International Court of Justice also asked Russia to cease fire and there was no way to implement it . Therefore, this execution order probably can only have a political effect, which is that everyone sees Israel becoming more and more isolated . But what we see in Israel is an increasingly isolated situation. But it has a different impact in Israel . For example, Ganzi has publicly announced that he will resign in June. If there is no way to reach a ceasefire agreement, if there is no way for the Israeli hostages to come back , this is obviously for Natanya. Hu's idea of a coup was that I ask you to do these things . But when the execution order came down, Ganzi said that he also opposed it. Why did he say that your execution order was not connected with the so-called release of hostages, so you must The two should be connected together. Even Israel's opposition parties are opposed to it. Therefore, although this executive order may seem ugly to Israel politically , it will actually help Netanyahu internally . This is an unexpected effect. So why doesn’t the United States dare to endorse him ? For example, at the International Criminal Court, the prosecutor said that he would arrest Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and his Defense Minister Biden. Now he is the first to say that he will never help the international criminal court. When the court did this, the second thing even Congress said was to sanction the International Criminal Court. So why? Of course, on the one hand, the United States is not a member of the International Criminal Court and it did not sign the Treaty of Rome. But on the other hand, Biden actually also It is very clear that if he stands on the side of this court, firstly, he will not be able to effectively implement it . Secondly, he will also lose and reduce his influence on Israel. So the situation is very complicated now because Biden has just followed up. The purpose of the Egyptian President's phone call is to enable Egypt to open its borders so that relief supplies can enter . This is actually the provisional order of the International Court of Justice. One of the things required in that provisional order is Because he said that Israel has blocked the border and humanitarian supplies cannot enter, and then your UN investigators cannot enter because you have not investigated whether there is genocide or not. How do you know? Maybe you are not human. How do you investigate when you go in ? So this is also one of his so-called wartime orders. But the key to how it will happen is whether the two sides can cease fire , because if there is no ceasefire, probably don't talk about this or anything. Can you be punished in the end? Even your investigation is very difficult. Difficulty , so now William Burns is the CIA director of the United States and will fly to Europe next week. Why does he still need to talk to the Prime Minister of Qatar and his counterpart in Israel to see if a ceasefire can be achieved? The agreement can be revived and moved forward , but it seems that this task is really arduous. Probably the most effective one for Netanyahu is Garze , but Garze's time is also very limited because his polls used to be very high and now they are constantly rising. So I think that part of it is Israel’s domestic politics that are the key to all problems. Captain , if we look at the current Russian military deployment, is there any possibility of him attacking NATO ? For example, the Prime Minister of Hungary is very confident. Is it true that it is impossible for it to attack other European NATO countries because it has no ability? First of all, you have to know whether a country is aggressive. You have to look at its history and what people are saying now. Don't believe too much in the second thing you say. Like the current war between Russia and Ukraine , if NATO basically falls apart in the future , and Russia becomes more and more successful, do you think it will stop? Judging from its past history, it will almost continue, but I want to talk about it . I don’t know if you see that the United States seems to be so domineering, right? It just doesn’t sanction Israel’s Netanyahu. You know, I don’t know how you feel when you see it. You know, I see it. I am very happy. Why do you know ? It is said that when God wants to destroy a person, he must first make him crazy. If there is no US-China struggle for hegemony today, there will be only one United States in this world. Of course I will be very angry when I see this , but I find that this incident just makes the whole world compete for hegemony between the United States and China. When everyone was thinking about which side I was going to go to, which side was justice, he suddenly saw that the United States was actually acting so ridiculously and becoming more and more rude , right? China might provide Russia with an accessory that could be used as military equipment. He wanted to to sanction him Then what kind of murderous weapons, bombs and missiles do you provide from the United States ? Like Hamas, the whole aspect is spread like this. Do you know who is the righteous side? I think the whole world is watching . They can see it. If not, Many countries may still think that the United States is the world's policeman. You know this is one , and then there is another one. The last thing I want to talk about is this . Putin said that the current front line is the current front line. Let's talk about a ceasefire. Once this is said, you know these politicians. The speech is just high-sounding nonsense. It is impossible to exist. From this sentence, I can also think of what Lai Qingde said, saying that the two sides hope that I am willing to start negotiations without any preconditions. Do you know that his sentence is also nonsense? Why not? Any premise is a premise, isn't this a premise? If you really want to talk, I'll sit down and we'll sit down and talk. Then the other side may ask you to do this or that, just like saying you want to recognize the 1992 Consensus . Then I'll ask you why you must insist on it. What about the 1992 Consensus? How long ago was 1992? Can we embrace 1992 and welcome 24, which is 2024? Can we have a new one? You know, if you don’t sit down, you don’t have to talk about anything. But as long as After we sit down and talk, can we all discuss this ? If you want me to recognize the 1992 Consensus, how can we recognize it ? Should our president come out and say a word that I recognize the 1992 Consensus or publish an article or something like that ? You can talk about what to say under any circumstances and who will say it . But when you don’t want to sit down, you have to say without setting any preconditions. That’s just a precondition. You just don’t want to talk about it. The most important thing for us is of course the confrontation between the United States and China . We may be innocent targets , but in fact, in the United States, is there an increasingly high-octane racial atmosphere like the Israel-Kazakhstan conflict that is quietly happening? There is a Chinese-American former U.S. Marine . A person with this status is called a bad guy just because he has a Chinese face. He is a Chinese , so he once fought in the Iraq War. From the perspective of the United States, he should be a hero. However , because of his Chinese face, a Marine like this is called a bad guy. As for the inexplicable attack he received in the supermarket, about 7 to 10 people surrounded him and beat him . In the end, they kept calling him a bad Chinese, etc. Although he had received various professional training , so many people beat him together. However , he was still beaten to death in his own home. The president of the Chicago Chinese Internet Association said that Qin Xiaoke survived the Iraq war but almost died in his own home. He was beaten to death and similar incidents should not happen again. Is there more of this kind of hatred against China? Is the sentiment in the United States spearheaded by the government? Ma Yuqing, a former CIA agent and former special language expert for the FBI, was accused of serving as a Chinese spy for at least 10 years. He pleaded guilty in the federal court in Honolulu, Hawaii. In the end, various investigations were conducted to determine whether it was true. There is a large amount of confidential U.S. defense information that has been given to mainland China. It is now being exposed to various possibilities, including the FBI's espionage investigation. After that, the Chinese police officer was directly fired. This is also the history of a Chinese police officer that happened on February 16. What happened in Tivin has been that since October, 30,000 mainland Chinese citizens have illegally entered the United States. The United States has made a big fuss about illegal immigration and has national security concerns. Among them, 24,000 were arrested in 2013, which is more than in 10 years. The previous total is even more. This is also an issue that Trump is currently focusing on, policy and political opinions . But what will happen next, such as sneaking into sensitive locations in US military bases and so many other issues, will be Biden's trouble. This kind of hatred is worth the hype. Of course, it is worth it. It will increasingly become one of Biden's key policies , such as the anti-China ban on mainland China, which has been expanding. Bloomberg said that the United States not only imposed 100% tariffs on electric vehicles as previously announced , but also applied materials to the largest semiconductor equipment manufacturer . They are also receiving subpoenas for suspected violations of U.S. export controls and are preparing to launch further investigations and issue more subpoenas. It is actually more difficult for U.S. and Chinese companies to do anything. The U.S. House of Representatives also proposed a defense spending bill this week that would ban the use of U.S. military equipment in the U.S. military. China-made optical radar sensors are used in military systems. This kind of sensor will affect our national defense security. The current situation on both sides is such a severe one. In January, the U.S. Department of Defense even listed China’s Hesai Group as being included in the Beijing military’s list. The list of companies contacted is another concept of communist espionage. Are they trying to contain and supervise this company ? But there is a final line of defense between the United States and China. Of course, the phone call finally restored the dialogue. We were planning to hold talks in Singapore next week. This is The Pentagon announced publicly that U.S. Secretary of Defense Austin was about to have a video conversation with Mainland China’s Defense Minister Dong Jun in Shangri-La . Then there was even a further conversation and the result of the call during the Shangri-La meeting. Unexpectedly, it was first reported that he was healthy and bright. I am afraid that this is not the case because Deng Austin has no way to go because he has been admitted to hospital for treatment again in just 3 months . He has been hospitalized twice in just 3 months. He cannot go to Southeast Asia. However, there are other people in charge of the Pentagon who are planning to visit Phnom Penh and have to request it from Cambodia. They came to help join the ranks of the anti-Chinese people. Brother Liang saw these various spy images , or like this American A former Marine who fought in the Iraq war and was almost killed in his own country in the United States, I think there will only be more of this. This is really helpless because sometimes they can't tell whether they are Chinese or not, in fact, Filipinos, Vietnamese, and Koreans. Everyone has been beaten. Singaporeans also have this. There is no way. Let me tell you, there is news recently that Trump's deputy is now interested in questioning that Douyin, Zhou Bei , Tom Cotton. He has taken a fancy to Tom Cotton. That senator , if this really comes true , then if Trump wins the election again and this person becomes the vice president, think about it. Do you remember how he asked Zhou Shouzi if he was right, were you a communist, etc. I asked him so many times in a row that I thought this was a sham. Then he kept talking about his various military-civilian dual-use components, and he became more and more suspicious of what you had installed in it. So I remember that even BMW in Germany has encountered problems recently. He said that he used Chinese components, and the United States used it as an excuse because BMW came out to oppose the tax increase on electric vehicles, which violated the United States' ideas. And because you were the one who stood out, the United States punished you. He said that even BMW was punished by him, so I think It is difficult to stop similar actions in the United States. I think it will only get worse . For example, you can see his suspicion. Then you see that Europe is now a little bit concerned about whether the United States has gone too far. In fact, France is still considering it. Should we re-activate Huawei? Germany has basically not rejected Huawei. For the United States, you see what might happen. The United States will definitely warn France and Germany and tell them that I will not give you intelligence in the future because I have to use Huawei's 5G system, right ? Frankly speaking , I don’t know how to solve these problems. Anyway, they will become more and more serious. For example, the United States also made an unreasonable request to Esmer, saying that you should not provide after-sales service for the DUV you have sold to it. This will lead to a lawsuit. When people do this kind of thing , Asmore will say, "I'm being sued and you have to compensate me." That's your family's business. So I think the United States has entered into a self-perception that China is everywhere, threatening China and infiltrating. If you do this, of course, you will be suspicious of people in the end , because no matter whether it is the circulation of network information through various devices , it still has to be passed through people for execution. So in the end, I tell you, we are getting closer and closer to the Americans during World War II. The attitude towards the Japanese is very scary. There will definitely be more and more institutions that will not use Chinese. I think this will definitely happen, and they will not tell you that they just can’t use it because it would be too ugly to put it into law in black and white. But you just If you find out that you will not be admitted, it will become an unspoken rule. There are about 5 to 6 million Chinese in the United States , which is quite a lot . So I think there is actually no way. People from mainland China who want to study in the United States need to think clearly about studying abroad. If you want to stay in the United States and work in the future , you may be unreasonably affected. This is the situation. The confrontation between the United States and China. In the anti-China atmosphere, even some schools, institutions , research units, and any private sector may have problems. After the election , I am afraid there will be more. Is it miserable? Take a break and come back soon. The United States has said that it will expand various sanctions or investigate Applied Materials . In fact, Applied Materials has received subpoenas twice before. This is mainly because Applied Materials exports its factories in Massachusetts. This equipment is semiconductor manufacturing equipment exported to mainland China through South Korea. This investigation was the earliest. In fact, after 2022, when the United States first started to ban the export of this equipment, the investigation at that time was mainly focused on this. It was mainly at that time. It was revealed for the second time in January 2024 by the Ministry of Justice and the Ministry of Commerce that a subpoena was received, mainly for something. This is very strange. It was investigated by the US Securities Regulatory Commission, so I am afraid it also involves its so-called equity interests. This part of the transaction and what it is now revealed is a criminal case. In fact, this is really serious. So of course Applied Materials was the one that the stock price fell as soon as it came out. Now I don’t dare to say how big the impact will be. But you can see that because everyone like Asmore is now encountering this problem , in addition to your original tradition of making mature processes, in addition to advanced processes, mature processes also prohibit the output of your equipment. So initially Asmore What is the approach is that American employees in Asmore should not be involved in exporting to mainland China. But now the United States has to deepen and widen the scope of its sanctions , so it is becoming more and more difficult. Well, of course this will affect mainland China because China Mainland China actually includes Huawei’s Mate 60 last year. The chips it uses come from SMIC , and the equipment used by SMIC comes from Applied Materials. So the Applied Materials under investigation is the equipment it exported to SMIC. This is good for us. In fact , you may have noticed the news a few days ago that Esmore said that if there is a war between the two sides, he can remotely shut down the equipment in Taiwan. You have not noticed that in fact, he said that TSMC must also agree, but this is obviously his It is said that both sides have discussed it. I think this point may not have been noticed by everyone , which is how much impact the cross-strait war will have on us. But there is another point. The more profound impact is that as the mainland's domestic mature manufacturing process becomes larger and larger after sanctions , and the United States and Western countries increasingly emphasize bringing this advanced manufacturing process back to their own countries, Taiwan's role will become smaller and smaller . We are going to face a huge challenge. Come back immediately and don’t go away. Even a former American Marine was beaten and insulted because he had a Chinese face. This happened to a Chinese American last year . In fact, I was very angry when I saw it because of this man. At least she looked young and strong . Last year, there was a female student from Taiwan who was about to graduate. When she was in the New York City Library, she went to the bathroom and came out . She was preparing to graduate and return to Taiwan. Then a black man walked over to her face to face. The black man was a woman, so he pushed her and hit the wall hard. You know, then she was injured, and then forget about it. After that, because the injured person had classmates with him, he immediately went to the guard. What happened to the guard? The guard said to let that person If you want to sue her when she leaves, go and sue her. You will find that the guards are also biased and treat her differently based on race. I have always thought that I still don’t understand why the DPP is so anti-China and vilifies mainland China. Do you have any thoughts? When I think about the fact that the two sides of the Taiwan Strait are actually co-prosperous and co-prosperous, I mean co-prosperous and co-prosperous.
