In addition, we just talked about strength , which also includes many so-called international competitions. Now , whether it is under the water or on the water, there are many actions , including Xie Feng, the ambassador of mainland China to the United States . He said something The Spring Festival reception he held was a Spring Festival reception for them, the Chinese expatriates. He said, “When will China’s economy collapse? When will it collapse again ? ” In fact, it has been mentioned many times in our program , including by foreign media. The Western media and the American media are badmouthing that China is about to collapse. In fact, they have been saying it for more than the past 1 or 2 years, maybe 10 years . So Xie Feng said it. He said that no matter what happens, these statements are in the tariff war and technology war. No cognitive war can stop China's high-quality development. To some extent, he has also made a declaration . In addition, we see that the US election is coming. Trump now seems to have very high polls and his voice is also very loud. He will speak He came up with a conspiracy theory and said, you know why so many immigrants from Central and South America are coming now , and those immigrants are not good people. There is a person behind the instigation, that is, China. He manipulates these illegal immigrants to come in and deliberately selects criminals from Latin American countries . The United States is controlled by China , so China is the biggest evil. In addition, demonizing China or badmouthing China has now become the main theme of the Western media , and we have seen a personnel deployment. This is the Indo-Pacific Czar and the Indo-Pacific. Campbell, known as the Czar, was officially approved by the U.S. Senate as the new Under Secretary of State of the United States. He is also an anti-China general. On the one hand, he fights against China. On the other hand, he operates in the media. On the other hand, there seem to be some changes in actual business transactions. Recently, the United States said that it would not dump Chinese tinplate , which includes some tin-plated steel. They thought that they had imposed an anti-dumping tax in the past, and now they have removed the dumping tax. So they removed the tax system. Is it a well-intentioned move, including China and the United States, which are currently holding economic work conferences in full swing ? The two major countries are negotiating on various aspects, including tariffs and investments. Of course, mainland China has also made several protests , including the United States against China. Increased tariffs , restrictions on two-way investment , and the suppression of mainland Chinese companies have also expressed some concerns . However, it is a good thing to talk about it. It has entered the third meeting . In addition, the Ministry of Commerce of mainland China also includes semiconductor cloud services. The minister also expressed some of his concerns and said that we feel that these restrictions are not OK. Should we consider further relaxing the controls? We saw that the Financial Times made an exclusive report at this time. He said Is there another breakthrough in 5nm chip technology for the production of Huawei's new high-end mobile phones? We can also see that Huawei has released new mobile phones in the past period, and its breakthroughs in chips have made many gains in these technology products for people's livelihood. Li seems to have made a profit because he invested 77 billion yuan in dividends to employees. Everyone will feel envious of messages like this because Huawei has 140,000 employees who received money, dividends, and big red envelopes. The average audience per person is 542,000 yuan. My friend , this is not Taiwan dollars, this is RMB. I was about to say that this is RMB. On average, a person can get a dividend of NT$2 million. This year-end bonus is enviable. Mr. Lai is really enviable. It is really enviable. Huawei’s 140,000 employees every The average salary for an individual is more than NT$2 million, which may be more for some people and less for others, but it is simply unbelievable. The Financial Times announced that 5 nanometers has already been demonstrated. Of course, they also said that the yield rate is worse than that of TSMC. There are many , so the cost is relatively high , but the problem is that their fund funds are pouring in continuously , and it seems that Huawei uses its own. In this case, the cost is higher , but it sells products at a high unit price. In this case, Huawei is still He thought it was profitable or had a surplus, so he spent a lot of money to buy this. For SMIC, the Financial Times' assessment is that for SMIC, as it continues to mass-produce, it will continue to reduce the number of defects. Therefore, its yield rate will gradually become higher and higher. In this case, it is equivalent to higher than our original estimate. At that time, TSMC also thought that it was at least 5 to 7 years behind, and some people said that it was 10 years. Now it seems to be fast. Shorten , I think TSMC will also be troubled because if you think about it, 5nm has broken through again. From 7nm, it was said that it was impossible to break through. Now, 5nm has broken through again , and it is reported by foreign media, not mainland China’s own media , but by the British. Their media reports finally proved to be true. If you want to move to 3 nanometers, this will be really stressful for TSMC . Fortunately, TSMC is working hard, because I have to fight hard to move to 2 nanometers and 1 nanometer. I think this part is that Taiwan still has strong competitiveness , but the government should love our own TSMC more and don't just send them to the United States to ruin this. It is not good to talk about TSMC. Now, although Trump has been promoting resistance, This was the atmosphere in the United States during the past presidential elections. They were either anti-China or anti-Russian . But the problem is that Biden seems to be quietly changing. You see, Sullivan rushed to Thailand to talk to Wang Yi for 2 days and 12 hours , and then announced It was said that Blinken was about to visit the mainland , and there was news that Xi Jinping might be willing to speak to Biden in March . Now the news has stopped again , but the problem lies with the deputy minister of the Ministry of Finance. We have already arrived in Beijing and have finished the talks. Yellen believes that if there is progress, it means that the dispute gap between the two parties is getting closer. At this time, the Deputy Secretary of the U.S. Department of Commerce and the Chinese Ministry of Commerce had a dialogue with Raimondo. He is also very hawkish. What does this mean ? It means that the disputes between each other are decreasing. What does this mean? From the bad, it seems to be moving in the direction of relaxation. Is Biden's strategy deliberately different from Trump's ? That means he can control it. How do you view the relationship between China and the United States? Including the economic struggle between China and the United States that you mentioned, it seems that it has relaxed a little bit. I think in the early days, the economic struggle between China and the United States was the United States unilaterally imposing various sanctions and all these things . In the early days, you will find that the United States is not eager to communicate, and he does not want to communicate. But later on, he is very anxious. You can see that he is the one who took the initiative to communicate. Why did it turn into a confrontation in the later stage ? After the confrontation, he realized that it was not just When I take action, people are just hiding, and they will fight back, and they will think of saying, "Don't misunderstand me, I don't mean it." He starts to want to communicate. This is the first one, so what they have decided is that the deputy minister will be once every six months, but the minister will be once a year . Next, I want to talk about Trump. In fact, I have studied a lot about Trump . There is a book that I advise everyone to read, especially during the Chinese New Year. If you watch this show, you must be concerned about international things. This book is called Trigger. The reason why I dare to do this here It ’s because TVBS, your company’s publishing company, is on the verge of publishing. It’s not this channel. I haven’t explained why. Do you know that this is the memoirs of a former U.S. Secretary of Defense? In the past, if you read this kind of foreigner’s memoirs, I’ll probably take a look at it. I fell asleep , but I read this memoir with great interest almost from beginning to end. It is so interesting. What he said in it is really interesting. Did you know that he is in it ? After I read it, if you have time during the Chinese New Year, everyone can pick it up. After reading this book, I discovered that the United States is a country governed by systems. Even though Trump is so arbitrary and crazy , I tell you that most of the time what he says will not be implemented. From this book, you can read If you look at it, you will know that there are many times when Trump says that he wants to do this or that, and the Secretary of Defense does not implement it at all. Then the Secretary of Defense goes to argue with him about this country. It is like saying that he now wants to impose 60% of China’s taxes . He has a group of people under him to help him manage all these things. After reading this, you will find that if there is a book in this world, everyone should have read Harry Potter. Is there a Buddha in it? If Voldemort says that we are more explosive than this, it is Harry Potter , that Voldemort is Trump, from the beginning to the end, you can see that there is such madness, he is really Voldemort , a crazy person, as described by his own appointed Secretary of Defense. Sometimes when you see that kind of words, you feel like you are about to die laughing. From there, I see what I feel. Do you know that there may be problems with our democratic system ? There are really problems . Why are there Trump and Biden now ? Which one is it like Qian Zi? These two are asking you to choose. You don’t know who to vote for. Our democracy may really have problems. People like the United States, the benchmark for world democracy, may want politicians . Politicians may want to vote for them. Thinking about it carefully, I think I have been hearing the theory of China's economic collapse for about 30 years. 30 years is about right. That's about it. I said 10 years is still too little . Really, I have been listening to the theory of the collapse of the Yangtze River dam for a long time. It's the same as the Yangtze River dam collapse theory . The same is basically the same, so I think China's economy is of course facing some difficulties. They are also in a period of consolidation and transformation. Whether they can survive the current difficulties depends on how their people and their systems work hard . I think I have always liked it. I think the people who are most likely to collapse in China have very strange ideas. China is the most productive country in the world and the market for the world economy. It is the second largest economy in the world. If it collapses, do you think the whole world will have a better life than Taiwan? The first unlucky thing is that our dependence on it is still 38%. Let me ask you , how will we fare if it collapses ? So I think this idea is very strange. Then Trump, I think he talks about China's manipulation. I think the entry of these undocumented tourists is really about how to control it. I read that report and I can’t see how to control it. So are you telling me that all the countries in Mexico, Central and South America are controlled by mainland China? Then you, the United States, are finished. To be honest, this is how it is, so I think this incitement is a bit over the top. The problem of illegal immigrants in the United States is of course very serious now , but it is caused by your own wrong policies. I think it is the fault of China to introduce the guests for this hour. First of all, Mr. Lai Yueqian, an expert on international politics, host, hello everyone, dear friends, senior media person Xie Hanbing, host, hello everyone, and our retired colonel, Captain Huang Zhenghui, host, dear viewers, hello everyone, dear friends, New Year’s greetings. In two days , we will usher in the Year of the Dragon. has arrived , but now many people are busy posting Spring Festival couplets. At the same time, I have one of the most popular Spring Festival couplets in my hand. Let's take a look. The most popular Spring Festival couplets now are probably this one. Long Yao Jiqing. Let's compare it. Han Guoyu. In the middle, Long Yao Jiqing has two. One version and one version is where the signature is. It is the hot stamping version. Now on the Internet, you can see the online shooting. We just checked it out. Someone on the Internet sold it for 4800. The version I have is an affordable version , but it is not for sale. If you want it, you can go to the Legislative Yuan and ask for it. We got this affordable version. The affordable version is 50 yuan . What I said is On the Internet, because you know it is profitable, some people sell it in online auctions. The affordable version is 50 yuan and the hot stamping version is 4,800 yuan. But we have to remind you to be careful because of this. I am afraid that someone may be a copy. This may not be the original. You may want to weigh the price of 4800 yuan and take a look at the Changchun Spring Festival couplets. There are now two versions of the font details, and all the font details have been exposed. There will be such a topic. We will introduce it to you in the vernacular . Because it is popular, many viewers and friends have called me to talk to me . I want the Spring Festival couplets of former President Ma Ying-jeou. I want the Spring Festival couplets of former legislator Gao Jiayu. In fact, I have also received calls from such audience friends. Some of my own relatives and friends have also asked me for them. I also asked Gao Jiayu for 10 pieces signed by herself. It is said that the website Spring couplets signed by Gao Jiayu can also be sold for 500 yuan on the road . What we are going to talk about is politicians. In fact, sometimes star politicians are like celebrities. Their related products are very popular. For example, General Li Zhengjie said that at that time, Kaohsiung was booming. When he made a fortune, as soon as his Spring Festival couplets were exposed, every year in the past, everyone rushed to get them. This is a good start, which means that he is very popular. This year is also the same. As soon as his Spring Festival couplets were exposed, everyone wanted to have them. Everyone supported him. We saw another one on the Internet. Some young friends were discussing on PTT and said that it was strange that Han Guoyu had just come back . Why was there so much news discussing the past president of the Legislative Yuan? The discussion was not so high . So you saw that the president of the Legislative Yuan was only responsible for coordinating and presiding over meetings. How could his character be like this? There were a lot of news , and another friend picked up the conversation. He said that you are charming , and his traffic is very large. Let’s go to this YouTube fever video to check the current top 100. There are 4 famous videos related to Han Kuo-yu , including the 14th, 17th, 20th, and 22nd, so why don’t you try to catch up on the traffic? In addition, you can see that some senior artists used to be like the Korean wave. There are some die-hard fans who are very enthusiastic and crazy, such as Shangguan Mingli, the Shangguan sister. She is very high and says it’s great because she thinks Han Guoyu is very steady and has a great speaking attitude and mellow attitude , so she has always been a die-hard fan. Fans , but some people also asked this Shangguan Mingli if it is possible that you are a Korean fan and you will be hacked after everyone knows. Shangguan Mingli said that she has been hacked for a long time. I feel sorry for him, but she will protect and support him. In the future, Hanguo Yu may also Korean fans will be magnified and scrutinized. In fact, to some extent, you will also be bullied on the Internet. Once you are labeled as a Korean fan, we also see that President Han Guoyu has a calm start . He may have to put away his laughter and curses in the past , or maybe he He tends to like joking. We have seen his behavior in the Legislative Yuan these days. He has smiled less and put away that attitude. He wants to act more calm, so we saw this special article about him in the United Daily News. He wrote that he said that Han Guoyu was familiar with the night before taking action. Do you remember the night attack he liked to sing? He had to get familiar with it and know the enemy's movements at night before taking action. So he was much calmer. And you saw the title of the political commentary program of Youtai Youtai. What is the Hashtag? Ke Wenzhe, Lai Qingde, South Korea Yu, Li Yuan, Three Kingdoms War, there is no longer Zhu Lilun, so who is the political star? It is actually very realistic. Audience friends can see clearly . Who has traffic now, who has more topics, he is a political star. We can see in 2028. Because Ko Wenzhe has said that he must elect the president, who might Han Kuo-yu cooperate with? Now there are some trends that you can observe in detail. Zhang Qikai is a non-district legislator of the People's Party . So he is planning his party committee in Chiayi. Next , but there is a person accompanying him to his appointment. Who is that person? Han Guoyu appointed him in Kaohsiung City to be the chairman of the Kaohsiung City Steamship Company . Zhang Qikai came to the party headquarters in Chiayi and took office, so some people even looked at it and asked whether Han Guoyu was helping Ke Wenzhe. Because Hanguo Yu and Ke Wenzhe seemed to have a good relationship. When we talked about confronting the Democratic Progressive Party , why some people may have been against the Democratic Progressive Party in the past. The party is also very good or supports the DPP or even has a lot of expectations for the DPP. Don’t say support. But later on, we have to fight against the DPP. This is when we are angered to a certain extent. The example we are talking about is that we My good friend Huang Yangming often comes to our program. Recently, he was involved in a lawsuit. The Democratic Progressive Party wanted to sue him. Lai Qingde wanted to sue him because he revealed on the program that the Democratic Progressive Party used 8 figures to fight for the leadership of the Legislative Yuan . The party said that I did not have your source of information wrong. You were changing the situation. You were setting the trend , so they sued him and demanded 1 million in compensation. Huang Yangming was enraged. He was angry. He said to the Democratic Progressive Party that you have rich assets and do not need to use this 1 million to do it. Fake public welfare because the DPP said that if Huang Yangming won his lawsuit, he would pay 1 million and he would use it for charity. Huang Yangming directly bet with him. He said that if I, Huang Yangming, won the lawsuit, I would also pay 1 million. If you do charity work , come and sue me. I have been with you all my life, the DPP. Huang Yangming is not a very aggressive person. I personally think that he would say such things. In fact, he was really irritated. Come and ask Brother Bing, Brother Bing, did you take it? Didn't you get this one? No need to thank you . I really have too many Spring Festival couplets. Of course you won't post Gao Jiayu's couplets, right? No. In fact, I don’t like to post Spring Festival couplets. In fact, someone asked me today if I had any. I really didn’t. No need to ask me . I heard that the legislator seems to have 100 copies in every office of the legislator , but there is probably no need to ask. Because they were probably all asked for it. Almost 100 copies would be gone in no time. It’s not necessarily because the time he gave was too late, so many people actually didn’t have time to send it. No need to send it because I heard that the offices of the legislators in the Legislative Yuan were very big this morning. After receiving the call, a lot of people were everywhere asking them to get the right ones. A lot of people were asking for each one. As soon as they opened their mouths, 10 of them were given out. I think almost all of them have been given out. Unless you can catch the legislator secretly hiding it, you have already given them away. That’s all been said , so you can make up your own mind , but to be honest, of course it’s auspicious New Year, I think it’s OK , but spending money , especially spending 4,800 yuan to buy it, I think it’s a bit too much, maybe a big fan, maybe, I don’t know , it’s like Han Guoyu’s jacket that was very popular back then was also a flight jacket . I got 4 of them and they were very expensive . Then I didn’t own any of them. They were all taken away, so I didn’t keep any of them. Are you selling them? Is it possible to sell it for profit ? I feel that Han Kuo-yu’s popularity has never diminished , so this is of course a hidden worry for the DPP because they are very afraid that if Han Kuo-yu does a good job as the Legislative Yuan, the Kuomintang may push South Korea again in 2028. The Democratic Progressive Party has another headache , so for the Democratic Progressive Party, of course they have mobilized some 1450 flankers to fight , but the mainstream faction of the Democratic Progressive Party has actually been relatively soft on Han Kuo Yu because next he is the Legislative Yuan. It won't do you any good if you keep confronting him, so the strategy they are adopting now is that these legislators, the mainstream faction, can let it go without mentioning it. First, let's see how Han Kuo-yu 's performance in the Legislative Yuan is, and then those 1450 flankers will try their best to Is it effective to watch blackmail on the Internet ? But I personally don’t think the effect will be too great. Why ? Because to be honest, you could still question him before. You know you can still keep an eye on him every day at work and after work. He is now the Legislative Yuan. Why should you keep an eye on him? Unless he handled matters unfairly or he said something that made everyone think it was very controversial. Without these things, everyone can actually see that he is actually more cautious when he comes back this time than before . So in this situation, you have to I'm afraid it won't be that easy to catch his pigtails again , and if you catch him in the end, it might cause a backlash. Like when I saw Brother Kuling, I caught him at ten o'clock. That ten o'clock was really on the Internet. Did you know that it was Brother Kuling who was raped? People scolded him because he messed around and rambled on and made up some stuff in his own head . So I think it’s pointless to do these things. If you go and see Han Kuo-yu and he doesn’t do well , everyone will criticize him. It’s okay to say that they have just started and haven’t started anything yet. You guys are going to do that again. I really feel that engaging in these things is not good for the DPP itself . Zhu Lilun’s role will definitely be marginalized in the future. This is It is normal, because in the future at least in the short term, all the focus will be on the Congress. So of course, how these individual legislators in the Congress , including Han Kuo-yu and Ko Wenzhe's caucus, will perform there. This must be the focus because the party chairman is relatively It is not so easy to attract attention , because many things are decided by the party group, and the party chairman may not necessarily intervene in everything . Of course, Zhu Lilun also has Zhu Lilun’s plan , because after all, his term as chairman of the party is until 2025 , so I believe that Zhu Lilun will still find a way to make it happen. Even if he exists, he will not allow himself to be completely marginalized and have no voice at all , because he may have other ideas, which are difficult to talk about. It all depends on how Zhu Lilun behaves. As for Yang Ming , to be honest, I think Yang Ming If the defendant is the DPP, it’s not very winnable. I think if you listen carefully to what Yang Ming said, he didn’t name him at all and said it was the DPP who took out the money. So you have to sue him for this matter. I think it’s very difficult, so I said it yesterday. If Yang Ming loses, then I will still buy 100 pieces of chicken steak. It is as simple as that. Let me ask Captain Zhenghui. Let me first talk about my biggest impression of Han Guoyu. He has an ability. The only time I have seen him in this life is his speech. The ability to speak basically depends on two conditions. The first is called hot , which is the hot and cold. As soon as he speaks, everyone in the venue will pay attention to his position. For example, everyone is noisy now . When we were chatting privately, he stood up and immediately became silent as soon as he spoke . Then everyone looked at him and even those who wanted to sleep woke up. This is a kind of heat . When I speak, everyone will come to see me involuntarily. This is the first heat. It's useless. The second word is "forbearance", which means that his head is very calm. Don't look at it. With so many people, so many people, so many instigations, his mind is very clear. The way he speaks is based on the principle of saying what he says first. What is it? It is very easy to penetrate into your heart and convince you. I have only seen this in my life. I said that the second Han Guoyu has two. Is it unprecedented? Will it be unprecedented? I don’t know. The first unprecedented is the flip of Kaohsiung in 2018. What a green city. When I first chose you, Chen Qingmao completely ignored them. Under such circumstances, the enemy completely underestimated you. You were able to reverse the result . This is unprecedented. Secondly , don’t look at his defeat in 2020. Look at the whirlwind he set off at that time . No matter where the rally was, the number of people at the venue and the emotions of all the audience have never been achieved in all the past rally occasions in Taiwan today. Look at that thing called a glutinous snake following behind. The locomotive following behind. The greedy snake. To the captain, I would like to ask your classmates or your friends what they think of Han Guoyu’s comeback this time . What are the feelings or evaluations ? But I still have to talk about it. Since you asked about this, I have to say that some people in Deep Blue I know are firmly opposed to Han Guoyu. Do you think it is the same when you are the dean? Isn’t it just this time before? Basically no one talks about this. If you want to talk about what I think of him as president, I have very high expectations for him. I hope that with his ability and his ability to speak , he can make the Legislative Yuan even a country with different people's hearts. The integration of the three parties can do good things for the Taiwanese people. It does not mean that if you have more people, you will win if you fight. The people will be moved . But if you can integrate the Legislative Yuan , they will promote bills that benefit the people and make some For the good of Taiwan , I tell you , he will leave his name in history. I don’t care if he is elected in 2028 or not. Do you agree? It depends on his performance in the past four years. I really want him . It can make all Taiwanese people see that there are actually some people in the Kuomintang who really love Taiwan and not just the Taiwan dollar. I think Han Kuo-yu has such a chance. We will wait and see . I hope he can really make the blue camp win over in the past few years. We in the Blue Camp feel very excited. In fact, we can do very well. I came to ask Mr. Lai what he thinks. I think Hanguo-yu's popularity remains unabated, which is a good thing for him personally. It is also a good thing for the Kuomintang. In fact, it is a good thing for the Congress. It is also a good thing because our Congress has been reduced to a legislative bureau by the Democratic Progressive Party for too long. In other words, in the past 8 years, because of the Democratic Progressive Party , it has almost controlled the executive branch , the Presidential Executive Yuan and even the Legislative Yuan. So our Legislative Yuan has become a legislative bureau. It has no oversight function and no checks and balances function. So we have seen the abuse of power in the executive branch. We have seen the arrogance and domineeringness of the President of the Executive Yuan, and then we have to deal with this kind of indifference of the members of Congress. This kind of abuse and ridicule, and then we see the disdain of the heads of various ministries and committees towards the legislators who are elected representatives of the people , and then this contempt and disregard of his existence, ignoring his questions , and even we see those in public hearings. The meetings were all superficial . In other words, the public hearing on ractopamine should have been properly held. But we all know that when the poisonous pigs from the United States were to be sold to Taiwan , the public hearing was just hastily done . You saw it clearly, that is. The reason why it has evolved into this is because our Legislative Yuan has become a legislative bureau, which has no checks and balances and no oversight role. But now that Han Kuo-yu has arrived at the Legislative Yuan, he has gained a lot of attention on the Internet and the focus of the media. The focus of the entire public opinion has moved towards the Legislative Yuan. At that time, do you think any of the legislators in the Legislative Yuan would not want to perform well ? Because no one in the Executive Yuan is elected. The Executive Yuan is all official-affiliated, so they don't care at all. They only care about the boss in the past. They only care about Tsai Ing-wen's caring eyes. Now they only care about Lai Qingde's caring eyes. So they don't care what the people think or what they think. But the legislators are different because he will be re-elected in 4 years. So today Hanguo-yu arrived at the Legislative Yuan and he made his popularity When the volume is brought in, everyone is paying attention to the legislators. The Legislative Yuan should perform well. We hope that this is a very good opportunity for the opposition parties , not just the Kuomintang, a good opportunity for the People's Party. It's also very good. I think the Kuomintang and the People's Party should make good use of this voice and use this reputation to check and balance the abuse of power in the Executive Yuan and supervise the Executive Yuan's 880 billion, which is a waste of the people's hard-earned tax money . He should perform his duties well . I think this is a good thing , but I support this comment in the United Daily News . It is necessary for Hanguo Yu to be cautious in his words and deeds because you are the Speaker of the National Assembly . The Speaker of the National Assembly makes jokes in everything he says and does. You can't make casual jokes , especially gender -related jokes. You can't make casual jokes about gender, especially jokes related to eroticism. The things we generally say in the public , don't make them casually in the hall of Congress. I think you should maintain your own depth and elegance. I think This is very important. The speaker of the National Assembly must have a role model. It is really important for this audience. Friends , we see that President Tsai Ing-wen is about to leave office after 520. She will no longer be our head of state. But in the past, we have seen that including A-Bian and Ma Ying-jeou. Will President Tsai go to Taiping Island before leaving office? We saw Su Qi, the former secretary-general of the National Security Council, asserting that there is a 90% chance that Tsai Ing-wen will not land on the island. There are two reasons: one is the United States and the other is personal safety. Considering that it would be very ugly if mainland China sends this People's Liberation Army fighter jet to accompany the flight, let's first see if this thing really happens, whether our national army can respond to our national army's F16 Block20's longest range is The combat radius of 4220 kilometers is 562.5 miles. Our fighter aircraft can carry internal fuel and three external auxiliary fuel tanks. However, we in Taiwan do not have oil transport aircraft yet . Our national army does not have oil transport aircraft, so the endurance in the air is insufficient. If the situation just mentioned above really happens, it will be a little dangerous. So this comes from Su Qi, who said President Tsai. The 90% probability of not landing on the island is probably due to such a safety consideration. In addition, people like Lai Shibao said that Tsai Ing-wen is not as good at protecting sovereignty as a mere fisherman. How can we say that our Taiping Island has been judged by the International Arbitration Court in The Hague in 2016 ? It is a rocky reef, not an island , but our fishermen will actively protect our sovereignty. Therefore, President Tsai often talks about our need to protect our sovereignty and protect Taiwan on various occasions . Doesn’t it seem like it is just lip service ? We have seen scholars, including scholars, also calling for the need to protect our sovereignty. Do not go to Taiping Island to declare sovereignty. This is what our scholars say. He said that including the security of the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea, you should take it into consideration . This is a matter of sovereignty and our security. So for the country's leaders, this matter may need to be carefully considered. At the same time, we have seen that the rivalry between the major powers in the East China Sea and the South China Sea has become increasingly serious , including the dispute over the Diaoyutai . We mentioned that mainland China sent four coast guard ships into the waters of the Diaoyutai. Mainland China has made great moves in the Sea of Japan. The Security Bureau has also taken some countermeasures. We have seen that Japan has issued several warnings since January 27, saying that this is our territorial waters and asking mainland China’s coast guard ships to leave. When China and Japan were engaged in disputes over Diaoyutai, Taiwan was actually Remaining silent, where is our sovereignty and our declaration? And in addition, you see the United States, of course, its role is multi-faceted. He recently did one thing. He held a mass casualty drill in Japan . It is said that this is a possible future for Beijing. They have prepared and practiced their actions in advance in case Beijing invades Taiwan. How will they evacuate the wounded, how will they treat them, and conduct humanitarian rescue operations? They are doing certain exercises with Japan. There are hawks and doves in mainland China. We have seen that there are hawks and doves in mainland China . Scholars said that China should dare to show its sword. This is what Wu Shicun , a scholar of South China Sea studies in China, said. He believes that 2023 will be the year when the situation in the South China Sea changes from stabilization to improvement to chaos and change again . He believes that this is a key point and a watershed . At a turning point , he believed that mainland China should take action in time and dare to show its sword when necessary. What does it mean to show our strength and let other countries take a look ? So China and the Philippines are wrestling in the South China Sea, including the dispute with Japan over the Diaoyutai . Of course, the United States has taken precautions against him at sea. Is it building the Great Wall? Is it building the Great Maritime Wall with Japan and India ? This is a question mark. Let’s first take a look at what trends are happening now , including the United States’ attempt to blockade China in the three seas. You have seen the United States trying to blockade the East China Sea, South China Sea, and Taiwan Strait. The sea is connected to build the Great Wall on the sea. This is an analysis I just talked about from the Hong Kong News Network. What kind of role does India have? We see that India is actually not Wu Xia Amen. It is very powerful. It is also a powerful country in terms of military. Launching a new form of survey ship to compete with China in the Indo-Pacific region. We saw India’s Defense Minister saying that our new ship will further strengthen India’s role as a superpower in the Indo-Pacific region. Their Sanhayak survey ship You saw that it was launched. The officers and soldiers on the ship also took photos to commemorate this. Beijing sent a scientific research ship. It will dock in the Maldives and become the China-India wrestling field in the Indian Ocean . Because it docks in the Maldives, everyone knows that the Maldives is A pearl in the Indian Ocean , so this scientific research ship does not seem to be a military force , but it has a certain strategic significance . If you stop in the Maldives, it will become China-India . Will the Maldives triangular relationship touch this sensitive nerve? It has a meaning. It is called Beijing's long drive into New Delhi's backyard. They use this place as their backyard to highlight the diplomatic turn of the new Malay government . So you can also see the Maldives. In the past, India had some troops stationed here. Now that the scientific research ship is parked here, what kind of influence does it have? Or are we making a fuss? We need to ask experts to analyze this in detail . First, I want to ask Brother Bing what he thinks, including Su Qi. In a radio interview, he talked about a lot of issues. What do you think about the issue of Taiping Island? I also think that Tsai Ing-wen will not go because the Americans do not want her to go. In fact, when Chen Shui-bian and Ma Ying-jeou wanted to go, the United States was Objection So in this situation, with Tsai Ing-wen being so obedient to the United States, it is unlikely that she will go because she has no need to offend the United States , and what Tsai Ing-wen has always been thinking about is that after 2024, it is none of her business . It's none of her business. What is she going to do? Tsai Ing-wen has never had any concept of national territory. In all her actions, does she regard Taiping Island as our territory? It doesn't look like she does. Don't mention Taiping Island and Diaoyutai . Territory , so she seems indifferent to what Japan is doing there, so Tsai Ing-wen is a person who has no concept of sovereignty. She probably only has the concept of sovereignty , and the only other island she doesn't care about is Taiwan , so I don't think so. Tsai Ing-wen will do this. As for Tsai Ing-wen, if she really goes, do you think the People's Liberation Army will fly with her? I have doubts. To be honest, I have doubts because there is no need to do such an action. What will doing such an action do to the People's Liberation Army? Does it make sense? You think he won’t fly with you ? I don’t think he will at all. Because when Ma Ying-jeou and Chen Shui-bian went there before , Ma Ying-jeou didn't do this even if Chen Shui-bian went there. Do you think he didn't know that Chen Shui-bian flew over ? Of course he knew what the People's Liberation Army was doing. In fact, there was no need. You went there to tell everyone this. It's Chinese territory. Why would he stop you from doing this? It makes no sense at all, right? So I think this is overthinking. I'm afraid it's just an excuse for her not to go. As for Japan and mainland China, they are on the Diaoyutai side of Japan. This declaration is useless. The more you say this, you say this is our territorial waters . Sorry, people will not leave. I will tell the truth. Why does mainland China send ships there on a regular basis ? It is to declare that it is If you still talk about his territory in front of him and say that it is our territory, then you are forcing him to stay there and stay longer. This is definitely the one because he can't retreat . He might have wanted to say forget it. If there is no action or reaction, I will go back and take a rest. Since the two sides are already in a confrontation like this , how can I retreat ? And to be honest , with the ships and tonnage currently owned by the People's Liberation Army , you will be disadvantageous to Japan in the long term because Japan The tonnage of the ships is relatively small , and the number of other ships is also relatively small . In terms of distance , it is actually relatively far from the Japanese mainland , so for Japan, Japan is in a relatively disadvantageous situation . So I think if Japan hopes to continue the confrontation If so, then continue to talk to the other party . As for the drills between the United States and Japan, I find it very interesting. There were media reports before that this was an exercise against mainland China , but Japan changed the story yesterday ... That is the media's own speculation . There is no one to target. In fact, it is an exercise. No one will clearly say who to target. To be honest, there is no need to do an action that angers the other party . So if you say who the exercise is aimed at, of course it is against mainland China . Otherwise, it is. Who must be like this ? It 's just one thing that can't be said. As for whether he is responding to the idea that Taiwan will be invaded in the future and the US military will go to the rescue , resulting in a large number of casualties. I don't think so. I think they are more worried now because he will look for What I think is the joint exercise between Japan and Japan? What they have always been worried about is that the People's Liberation Army will launch a diversionary attack . In other words, when I attack Taiwan, I will attack you by the way and Japan will make it impossible for you to come over. What they are worried about is actually attacking this. The Japanese mainland is a deterrent type of attack on places like Okinawa, which makes it impossible for you to come over. What they are worried about is actually this. I don’t think they think that if the Taiwan Strait is invaded , they will directly mobilize to assist Taiwan . It seems that they have not practiced this because the last time they were supposed to do this drill in Japan, it was only at the stage where they might have to make a decision that they said they should stop the drill and that’s it . So obviously Japan doesn’t want to get into this muddy water , so I I feel that we really don’t want to put ourselves on the line and don’t think too much, so if something happens to Taiwan, it means something happens to Japan. Maybe it’s better to think too much. Many people hope that Tsai Ing-wen will go to Taiping Island in the South China Sea to declare our sovereignty before leaving office. If Tsai Ing-wen does not go before May 20, my personal inference is that the United States is a relatively large factor . The main reason is that the United States does not want Tsai Ing-wen to go. If Tsai Ing-wen goes, it will highlight why Taiping Island belongs to us. That 's because there was an 11-dash line. How did this 11-dash line come about ? That is, in 1945, with the assistance of the United States, our sovereignty over the islands within the 11-dash line depended on the recognition of the entire European and American coalition forces. And they said this They are ours , so they are named one by one and they are very knowledgeable. For example, Taiping Island is the Taiping Ship. Zhongye Island is the Zhongye Ship , which is the name of the warship of the navy at that time . There are many other islands and reefs that were brought by Zheng He when he went to the West. The generals who went there were named after each other , so they were all knowledgeable. This means that in fact , we were exploring the South China Sea from the Song Dynasty to the Ming Dynasty . Because so far, many shipwrecks have been excavated, and there are a lot of pottery in them, which proves it. It is said that during the Song Dynasty, there was already trade with Nanyang , and many ships used that island and reef as a docking station . This means that this place has long belonged to us. Based on the principle of preemption , it is indeed ours. There is no doubt that now the United States has Support the Philippines to fight against mainland China. Of course he does not want Tsai Ing-wen to go. So if Tsai Ing-wen really does not go, she should be obeying the orders of the United States. Then this should not be because this is ours. Why? Because you have to declare sovereignty over the islands . Our fishermen have this economy. The fishing rights in the sea are exclusive to our fishermen. This involves the direct interests of Taiwan's fishermen. The Diaoyutai is also the Diaoyutai. If the Diaoyutai is not ours, how can there be negotiations on a Sino-Japanese fishery agreement ? How can Ma Ying-jeou succeed and Lee Teng-hui comes to this? Ma Ying- jeou, who Chen Shui-bian couldn't even talk about, talked about it in one breath. That's because the Diaoyutai is ours. If Taiwan doesn't defend the Diaoyutai , the mainland will help Taiwan defend the mainland. Help Taiwan defend the mainland. Basically, only coast guard ships will go in. His coast guard There are three warships outside the ship protecting it. Therefore, the three warships are already fixed within the sovereignty of the Diaoyutai , so guard this place and the coast guard ship goes in and declares administrative jurisdiction. The administrative jurisdiction of the Diaoyutai belongs to mainland China . In fact, it belongs to our Yilan . Knowing the issue of the South China Sea, I feel that based on the current situation, the U.S. Navy’s combat capabilities in the Asia-Pacific region are actually unable to compete with mainland China. I think Wu Shicun is an expert on the South China Sea issue and is very experienced. He is also a diplomat . His current proposition is that the People 's Liberation Army must dare to show its sword. In fact, whoever it shows its sword to is of course the United States. Therefore, more and more scholars from the mainland advocate that the People's Liberation Army must directly engage the US military. Let me ask the captain first. Talking about the South China Sea, I think the first thing to consider in the South China Sea is the issue of strength. All international relations are issues of strength. Mainland China has three fleets in the North Sea, the East China Sea, and the South China Sea. One fleet in the South China Sea is stronger than the navies of the eight countries near the entire South China Sea. The total is added up , so the difference in strength is thousands of miles over there. After talking about strength, the second thing is profit. If we fight for an island, will we make a fortune ? Are there any resources underneath that are the same as those in the Middle East? Without you, throw it away. Is it true that our economy will go bankrupt? Its interests are not great, so the disputes about entering the South China Sea will not be easily settled. However, if there is no major incident, it will not be the time to show off the sword , because this time is not so critical. This is the first and second. I want to talk about whether President Tsai should go to Taiping Island . Let’s first talk about whether he should go or not. This is your territory . You see, when James Soong was the governor of the province, he went to all 368 towns. It means that I care about the past. What can I do to them? But I care about this, which conveys a very important meaning. The second question is whether you can go. The so-called whether you can go is that it is not a controversial island. If you say that at this time, we all say that President Tsai, you should go to Diaoyutai . It seems to have ulterior motives . There is no dispute there . Taiping Island has always been ours. It must be ours, so there is no dispute about going there. Is there any reason to go ? Don’t say that you have nothing to do now. So many foreign ministers have run away. There is a reason. Because the current pier of Diaoyutai is about to be completed, it is a big thing. How much effort has gone into building it? It has a special pier. Does the fourth one have the ability? What we call ability is whether it can be brought there. C130 goes back and forth in the morning and comes back in the evening. This is not a problem. As for the companion flight, what brother Han Bing just said, I completely agree with the CCP companion flight. What are you doing? If you beat it down, will you beat it down? Will you beat it down ? 2. It is not a companion flight , it is to protect you. Isn’t that boring ? So I don’t think it’s the C130. It’s a kind of aircraft. If you think about this thing and feel uncomfortable flying, what about the navy? Don’t forget how long does it take for our navy to arrive? I calculated today's distance. It's about 1,600 kilometers away. If we go like our current combat ship, I don't want to rush . It 's just a cruising speed of 24 knots. It takes 36 hours to go one way . It can be accelerated faster, so it can go back and forth. It's about 3 days. If you say I stay longer, it will be more than 3 days. Of course, when you get there, you have to get on the boat. It's a bit dangerous. You know, the girl may not be very good. There is a helicopter for her to sit on. One of those Keelung-class ones is very big. That one is very big anyway. You can take a helicopter and go there. The attaché will take a small boat like that. You can go up first and wait for her to come. Take the helicopter and come back. It’s very safe. So it’s OK to walk from the sea. It’s OK to walk from the air. And Cai The president has never sailed and stayed overnight on a warship, so I think since she is so concerned, I strongly suggest that the Navy file a case and invite her. I think this is a very good idea. It is 3 ships, 2 combat ships, and 1 success-class ship. The Keelung class is not the Jiyang class. The Keelung class is a very large ship of nearly 10,000 tons. The command room is also very large and very comfortable. It takes about 3 days to go back and forth without getting seasick because the ship is very large . This can be seen. You, the president, have reasons for this. I just said 4 of them. You have no reason not to go. Finally, there is only one that may prevent you from going, which is the intervention of the United States. If this is the only thing, you will not go. What do you mean by saying that sovereignty is in our hands ? Who are you telling me? Did you go to Diaoyutai ? If you said you didn’t want to go, just forget it. This thing really makes no sense and if you go there on a warship, it would be a great, great encouragement to our navy brothers . Of course, all military morale will be boosted. Look, President. When we go out this time, look at the previous presidents, including old presidents Chiang Kai-shek and Lee Teng-hui. They all took warships to outer islands and stayed like this until night. Now we are also appealing to the navy. Can we write a case to invite the president to invite President Tsai? Show our combat power. Go to Taiping Island to build our navy fleet and show our strength and sovereignty.
