There may be some defensive measures. First of all, it is rumored that the former navy commander of the People's Liberation Army may take over the position of Li Shangfu as the defense minister of the mainland . Because this position was originally vacant, the possible candidate now may be the Central Committee of the People's Liberation Army. Liu Zhenli, chief of staff of the Joint Staff of the Central Military Commission , or Dong Jun, who was originally the commander of the navy, are currently being called out. This is from the American media. So I am afraid it remains to be seen how this will happen in mainland China. In addition to the announcement here, Xi Jinping has appointed a new naval commander. As the dispute between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea continues to heat up, he is now said to have been promoted to general for a record four times in one year , including Wang Wenquan and Hu Zhongming, both of whom were promoted to lieutenant general. As a general, in addition to the high-level staff of the Central Military Commission of the Communist Party of China, there are also some adjustments to the combat bureau. The original director is Cao Qingfeng, who was also promoted to deputy chief of staff. In addition, take a look at Li Shangfu's Rocket Force procurement fraud case . In addition to Li Shangfu, In addition, there are three military industry giants in mainland China, namely Wu Yansheng, Liu Shiquan and Wang Changqing. They have all been disqualified from being members of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference. These three people were involved in the corruption case of the Rocket Army. In fact, Li Shangfu was also dismissed. Being involved in this is tantamount to a major campaign to combat corruption. We hope that the armaments can be returned to the normal track as soon as possible . Let's take a look at this. Agents from China's Ministry of National Security. It is rumored that the main source of their intelligence searches in the past was, for example. There were whispers at some banquets in the embassy , but now the United States has observed that their progress has been enough to keep pace with the CIA. U.S. officials have said that agents from the Ministry of National Security currently have an AI system in Beijing that can track American spies . Some other people are now reporting that the United States is still rebuilding its intelligence network in mainland China, so it is not so easy for them to understand some of China's high-level plans. According to some current or former officials, in fact, after 2020, the CIA will still There are some Defense Intelligence Agency and other U.S. spy agencies that are accelerating their shift to possibly focusing on counter-terrorism and the Middle East , but now they are turning to expand their penetration into the government of mainland China and then put these All budgets have been transferred here , and all expenditures and funds have been transferred here. The focus is on mainland China. In addition , let’s see if the United States has also cut some funds in the Middle East . Is it possible that this will trigger a war in the Middle East? It is reported that F18 fighter jets are coming from the United States. This is the U.S. military's Central Command's aircraft carrier attack. They mentioned that the Arleigh Burke-class missile destroyer and the Eisenhower aircraft carrier, the carrier-based fighter F18, jointly shot down more than a dozen suicide drones and this anti-attack aircraft. The U.S. base was attacked by a ship-to-ship missile . Now Biden has personally ordered an air strike in retaliation for Hezbollah ’s brigade 3 facility. Iraqi Prime Minister Sudani mentioned that the U.S. Air Force killed one soldier and injured 18 civilians in the United States. It is infringing on Iraq's sovereignty , so they also express considerable dissatisfaction. In addition, Iran is also deploying new warships on the Caspian Sea. The Caspian Sea is actually the largest lake in the world. Although it is not connected to the ocean , it is an important sea area. There are almost 5 countries around. They also have their own territorial waters , economic waters , shipping and navies. In early November, Iran deployed new warships to the Caspian Sea . Its multi-target tracking capabilities are called The most powerful warship in the Caspian Sea has also made some surrounding countries nervous. In addition, we have seen that the United States is constantly setting fire to the South China Sea. It is now reported that the Philippines seems to have some changes in its attitude . He said that he hoped that the sovereignty issue of Ren'ai Reef could be solved by himself. Is he not going to play anymore? Is he not going to continue to be the agent of the United States and rush to the front? He mentioned that although the United States has been helping the Philippines with maritime patrols , the Filipinos hope that they can Solve this problem or continue to step on the accelerator . I am afraid that the relationship with mainland China will really be unstoppable. Let’s take a look at a well-known political commentator in the Philippines . He mentioned that the Philippine Coast Guard and some civilian ships in the Philippines deliberately provoked trouble. Are they deliberately trying to mess with mainland China when implementing the American master project ? And the Philippines is not planning to buy 12 American F16s now because they say it is a bit expensive. They feel that the US$2.43 billion seems to be a bit beyond their expectations, so there are rumors. It is possible to cancel the order and purchase second-hand fighter jets from some countries in Denmark. So has the Philippines really relaxed its attitude? American think tank scholars are now making calls that military assistance to the Indo- Pacific should be expanded . For example, to the Philippines or It is the Indo-Pacific region that needs to express some assistance and cannot cut off this line to facilitate the fight against China . First of all, let’s ask Mr. Yang what Mr. Yang thinks about Xi Jinping’s current big moves and some of the current new military appointments. I want to be the Minister of Defense. This appointment should be coming out soon , and because it has been delayed for a while , no matter who it is, everyone will have to see whether he will have this high-level dialogue with the United States . We know that the last time it was Liu Zhenli and the new president of the United States. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Brown held a high-level dialogue. This was a development after Xi's visit, so this is the focus of everyone's attention. Secondly, when we look at the Philippines, I feel it is a bit of a warning because the first time in several consecutive days is An article in the People’s Daily the day before yesterday commented that the Philippines’ continued reliance on the United States to provoke trouble in the South China Sea is extremely dangerous. Then I saw it yesterday. The Global Times editorial has the same and similar statement yesterday and today. The English version in Hong Kong is called the South China Morning Post. The most famous entrepreneurs in the Philippines began to speak and said that the relationship with China is very important and we should use it. More diplomacy rather than military provocation. After his speech, the spokesperson of the Philippine Ministry of Defense said in the past two days that we are not provoking a military conflict with China. Of course, his logic is that we are protecting ourselves. This is the island itself , and the related exclusive economic zones and sovereign rights are indeed true. I think the United States is also doing it. Because I just saw in the previous paragraph that US President Biden signed the National Defense Authorization Act, there is actually such a part in it . It is about how military partners in the Indo-Pacific region strengthen military cooperation . A large part of the funding does not explicitly refer to the Philippines, unlike Taiwan. However, everyone now sees that this area is likely to be the future of the United States . To strengthen military cooperation with the Philippines, there are currently 9 military bases , right? There are 3 in Palawan and northern Luzon . So these may probably see the military cooperation between the United States and the Philippines strengthen in the future. But although the F16 is too expensive , Marcos here must praise the Philippines. We in Taiwan don’t have the guts to say it’s not right . Maybe we think it can’t be bought elsewhere , but Marcos will do it . Marcos will run . Go to other places to buy , so it can be seen that he still has a little space. Is it in this space? Knowing the pressure from the Philippine business community and the warning from mainland China, he may still avoid it under tight or tense circumstances . However, the possibility of further conflicts may not be high , but the military cooperation between the United States and the Philippines is a foregone conclusion. In the future, in the South China Sea and the Philippines, at least during Marcos' term, we all know that he must be captured by the United States. Is the handle correct? It should be announced. I think there is any information in mainland China. If it is said earlier that it has strong intelligence detection capabilities , what angle should we use to let everyone know? Let the Filipinos know that you are truly in the interests of your country, business owners. I have already said what kind of relationship with China is in line with your national interests. Please tell me, General. This time it is indeed true. The Houthis launched several missiles , but they were not anti-ship missiles . They were ballistic missiles , but they are also very strange. Ballistic missiles can actually hit moving ships. This is a world record. There has been no such record in the military before. Only anti-ship missiles can hit ships. Ballistic missiles hit outer space and then fall down. It was really accurate this time he launched it. All the missiles have been intercepted by the US military, and the drones have also been intercepted by the US military. But we often hear a sentence that a certain major general in Taiwan once said that the interception rate of Patriot missiles is 70% . Do you know where this is calculated ? I know it was calculated from this place. The Houthi organization launched Scud missiles to hit Saudi Arabia, right? Saudi Arabia has Patriot missiles to intercept them. They calculated that the interception rate is 70. The interception rate from the Houthi missiles to hit Saudi Arabia is 70. That is It is common sense in the military to say that they usually use 3 rounds to intercept 1 missile. Now let me ask you, how many Patriot missiles did you use to intercept the Scud missiles fired by these Scud Houthi missiles? This kind of F18 fighter plane is going to intercept some drones worth only 2,000 US dollars. How many fighter planes are used to take off? How much oil does the aircraft carrier burn per day ? It does not burn oil , but how much does it cost for fighter planes to take off and land ? How much did it cost the U.S. military to intercept these drones and missiles ? The question is how long will you continue to do it here? Everyone should note that today we also talked about the Caspian Sea. You know that the Caspian Sea has an important point. You know, you go there. Looking at the map, we can see that the Caspian Sea connects two countries. We have to pass through the Caspian Sea. From Iran to Russia, the Caspian Sea has the largest shipping volume. From that side of the Caspian Sea, we probably all know that Iran has the most shipping volume. The first kind of military weapon is drones, right ? The most needed thing in the current Russia-Ukraine war is drones . Can we use this side of the Caspian Sea to transport drones to Russia ? We can even say that they can be used by Hezbollah in Lebanon. In this situation, the Houthi organization has already blocked the Red Sea. If Hezbollah in Lebanon blocks the Mediterranean again, what will Israel do ? How many warships will the US military send here to protect the safety of these things ? When I go to the Philippines, I want to talk about the Philippines in particular. Marcos, your country, all your foreign exchange today, you rely on your people to work as Filipino domestic workers abroad and then remit the money they make back to your country. How much money do you have to raise 12 F16 fighter jets? You know that you don’t just buy an airplane and put it there for show. Do you have to do the follow-up maintenance and take-off ammunition ? It’s even said that you need an early warning aircraft to complete the combat mission . In this situation, you can’t afford it in the Philippines. Don't just talk big words here. Just rely on your expenses . Think about it for the people of your country. Don't just rely on your expenses. The foreign workers' money earned by working outside can be used to buy these weapons with the foreign exchange remitted back to the country. I'm sorry, I'm sorry, you, the people, please ask Brother Zhengyuan. Mainland China's Foreign Minister Qin Gang was dismissed and then quickly replaced Wang Yi to pick up the Foreign Minister. Mainland China's Defense Minister Li Shangfu was dismissed. But it has been delayed for so long, and I have forgotten that it has been several months. It has not yet been completed. I think this may not be appropriate because the Minister of Defense is a facade after all , so this continent must quickly complete this. As for the promotion to general , this is normal. An improvement because both of them have new positions. Will this make the mainland's People's Liberation Army less susceptible to U.S. infiltration ? This needs to be considered because during the period of reform and opening up, the U.S. deployed it in the party, government, and military on the mainland. They have a lot of spies and informants , so they have been able to grasp the dynamics of some important core issues in the mainland for a period of time . Especially like last year, the think tank of the US intelligence unit directly came up with what kind of cook room is where and where is the location of the PLA ? Leakage of secrets is a very serious problem on the mainland , so the mainland is also actively dealing with it. Now that it has been dealt with, the director of the CIA can publicly say that they now have difficulties in deploying such people in their own intelligence operations , because the intelligence operations are electronic. Those who have satellites are the most critical people. The most critical mainland should also be compared with the United States setting up a dragnet to deal with the issue of the Philippines. I don’t think Marcos can make his own decisions. I don’t think the Philippine business community is interested in this either. What influence does it have on the Philippines? To put it simply , it is a puppet country of the United States . If the United States wants it to go east, it will be difficult for it not to go east. If the United States wants it to go west, it will be difficult for it not to go west. Not to mention that little Marcos relies on the United States because his father embezzled 10 billion US dollars and is now in the country. The United States is being detained. The United States may negotiate with him to get part of it back . In addition, little Marcos is still a wanted criminal in the U.S. court because he refused to testify for his father's corruption, so he is listed as a wanted criminal. He is now a wanted criminal. Of course, the United States needs to disengage him in this regard , so he becomes more likely to be manipulated by the United States. What else does the Philippine economy need from China to invest in Philippine business ? It really doesn’t make much sense to argue with China over the Second Thomas Shoal matter . Besides, That is not the Philippines. The Philippines has always had this kind of voice , but the United States has the final say. So this matter is China-US relations. Declaring Taiwan independence will not lead to war. Who said this? Cao Xingcheng said so. He criticized Zhao Shaokang. He talked about you. It is wrong to say that Taiwan independence will lead to war. Not Taiwan independence will lead to war. Then he said this logic is strange. Zhao Shaokang said that since it follows your logic, then the DPP should quickly declare Taiwan independence and we will have peace . If Taiwan independence will not happen, Why didn't the DPP declare a war ? Why didn't Lai Qingde admit it? So it's really a godly logic. He said, hurry up and see if there will be a war after the DPP declares Taiwan independence . The DPP used to love to talk about the rotation of political parties. Replace the party, replace the person, look at what the government has done in the past 8 years. After the election of Elector Kang next year , we will ensure that Taiwan will become more and more peaceful , no war, the economy will be better, the politics will be clean , and the children will have a future. In addition, we see that Su Zhenchang is also there. While starting to follow in the footsteps of Lai Qingde, he started playing the Jingguo card. He said that Chiang Ching-kuo followed the three-step anti-communist line and now the Kuomintang is so pro-China. If Chiang Ching-kuo is still alive, he will definitely be pissed to death. Is this really the case? Zhao Shaokang said You are simply taking it out of context . Is Taiwan stronger than the mainland after the Green Camp has been in power for 16 years ? It’s really funny that Lai Ching-te plays the Chiang Ching-kuo card. The focus of Chiang Ching-kuo’s speech is to use the Three People’s Principles to rebuild China ’s position against Taiwan. Undecided. Lai Ching- te . Do you agree? Lai Ching-te, you can’t take it out of context. He said that he was sorry for Chiang Ching- kuo and Guo Zhengliang. A Liang also talked about Brother Liang. He said that Chiang Ching-kuo was anti-communist but not anti- China. However , Lai Qingde's cup of bow and snake shadow made people breathless. Therefore, Zhao Shaokang talked about Hou Kang's current tone. We just don’t talk about reunification and let future generations decide the future of both sides of the Taiwan Straits. Let’s take a look at Ke Wenzhe. Now they also have different opinions on the topic of diplomacy. Wu Xinying scolded the Ministry of Foreign Affairs as a ministry of breaking off diplomatic relations , but Ke Wenzhe said that the number of diplomatic relations is just a myth , even if there is zero diplomatic relations. It doesn't matter. He said that he was poached because the relationship with China is not good. But does it really matter? We saw many people and many people from the Democratic Progressive Party immediately jumped out and seemed to disagree with this statement . Let's look at Ke Wenzhe first. He said that his attitude towards me is that he doesn’t care about the number of countries that have diplomatic relations with him, but rather cares about the substance, because China will suppress it internationally because the relationship between the two sides is not good . However, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that Ke Wenzhe’s speech might hurt the friendship between friendly countries and even said The DPP said that if Ke Wenzhe is elected, it will turn into a disaster because Ke Wenzhe's diplomacy is not calm and steady. It is even more ironic when you come from the DPP. What qualifications does the DPP have to say that other people's diplomacy is not calm and steady? You see See, we are just Wu Zhaoxie. Don’t talk about anything else. Wu Zhaoxie broke off diplomatic relations with 7 countries and 8 countries during his tenure. He said that he would not avoid any political responsibilities. In March of this year, he said that he is still in his position. Later, in December of this year, In an interview with the Wall Street Journal on the 14th, he said that the ruling party will step down regardless of whether it is re-elected. This means that we have to look at it in reverse , that is, he will not step down until May 20 , 2024. In fact, in addition to the 7 countries that have severed diplomatic relations, I'm afraid Paraguay will still have this variable of severing diplomatic relations. So how dare you, DPP, to say that others are not calm and stable in diplomacy ? Then let's take a look at the current tensions in the Taiwan Strait . Biden signed the National Defense Authorization Act. Mainland China's diplomacy The Ministry of Foreign Affairs expressed its opposition to mainland China with the National People's Congress and mentioned that China will take resolute and powerful measures to defend its sovereignty and security. Even the spokesperson of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the National People's Congress of China said that using Taiwan to control China is doomed to failure. The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council also said that it would immediately stop continuing to arm Taiwan and mediate elections. Therefore, the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council accuses the United States, which is the real mediator . We see that the People's Liberation Army's Hong Kong Garrison is now organizing joint patrols. Their focus is now on using pull-out drills to mobilize these parts of the land, sea and air forces . Then they organize joint patrols to focus on tempering the troops to quickly plan emergency dispatches and deal with these related matters under special circumstances. We have seen some of the capabilities of joint operations. In addition, some American scholars are reminding the United States that the best interest should actually be to avoid war with China. This can be said to be an avoidable war. Xi Jinping and some American scholars have also talked about China and the United States. There are 100 reasons to coexist peacefully , why must we choose war? The US government has cited a lot of reasons to accuse China. It is not that it does not abide by the international order and engages in foreign aggression to destroy peace across the Taiwan Strait. But the only real reason is to prevent China from surpassing the United States. Is this the main reason why the United States seems to be at war with the Taiwan Strait ? First of all, let's ask Brother Zhengyuan what he thinks. Is it true that there will be no war in announcing Taiwan independence ? Do you agree? I think Zhao Shaokang said it very well. That won't happen. The war will be declared tomorrow. Tsai Ing-wen can declare it tomorrow. Why don't you dare to declare the establishment of the Republic of Taiwan ? We will help you set off firecrackers. That's okay . Don't you dare? Then military service can be resumed. What is the reason ? What is the difference between Taiwan independence and the independence of the Republic of China ? Taiwan independence means that Taiwan is part of China's territory according to international law. If you want Taiwan independence, the land will be separated. If it is the Republic of China, it is just a division of sovereignty. There is a big gap between the two because from Beijing's standpoint, your regime We can have a good talk about partition with me , but if the territory is separated, I haven't seen anyone say that there will be no war if the territory is separated, including the United States. As long as the territory is separated, there will definitely be war. Cao Xingcheng, I think he should go see the old man. The dementia department will be more in line with his current situation. However, Lai Qingde’s recent operations should pay attention to the first one. He labeled all three candidates as Taiwan independence, I am Taiwan independence, you are Taiwan independence, what qualifications do you have to talk about me, Taiwan independence , and now there are 6 golden grandchildren? Among the candidates , including the vice-presidential candidate, there is only one candidate named Wu Xinying. She said, "I am Chinese. If there are no others, you must also notice this phenomenon. Come on, the DPP, including Lai Qingde, is playing a game to tie anti-communism and anti-China together. " Do you think Chiang Ching- kuo is anti-communist? I am anti-China. I am also anti-communist. May I ask if we are going to come to mainland China? No contact, no negotiation, no compromise . I tell you what Chiang Ching-kuo said. Not long after he said no, a China Airlines cargo plane will fly. Go to the mainland and quickly negotiate and get the plane back. Who is going to get the 1992 Consensus ? It’s not Lien Chan, it’s not Ma Ying-jeou , it’s not Hou Youyi. It’s Lee Teng-hui. Are you mistaken? Why is it because Lee Teng-hui thinks that the two sides of the Taiwan Strait are dangerous , so he went to hold Hong Kong talks ? This is right for a lot of people. Young people may not understand it very well , so the DPP is afraid of being labeled as the golden grandson of Taiwan independence. Ke Wenzhe even calls him the grandson of Taiwan independence. When you face this situation, he will start playing this game with you. If I am anti-communist, anti -communism is equivalent to being anti-China. You are not anti-communist. Zhao Shaokang naturally said that I am also anti-communist. Where is the interface between anti-communist and anti- China? At present, the Kuomintang has not made it clear or struggled with him in terms of discussion. It is impossible for future debates to come up with this topic again . All three people will Taiwan independence , so there is no difference between us. We don’t say that I am Chinese. I say that I am Taiwanese, right? There is no difference between the three. This is what the Kuomintang needs to pay attention to how to deal with. The remaining one is more serious. That is to say, well , should we prepare for war and to what extent ? Of course, we are actively preparing for Taiwan independence. He will tell you that you are opposed to our defense budget. If you do not prepare for war , it means that you are pro-Communist. This is a language game . Ke Wenzhe said that the numbers of countries with diplomatic relations have changed. It doesn't matter if it's zero. I think his speech is specious. What is specious? We have diplomatic relations with some countries that we don't have diplomatic relations with and we don't behave . What are the Americans giving us ? It doesn't matter if I say it publicly. What are you talking about? The four Pacific countries, Marshall Islands, Nauru , Palau, and Tuvalu. They are all affiliated countries of the United States . The United States requires it to establish diplomatic relations with you and requires us to pay. So you can’t help but buy this order because the defense and diplomacy of these countries are all in the hands of the United States . It will be more clear to you if you ask Brother Yongming . Caribbean, Haiti , St. Cris, St. Lucia, St. Vincent. You also know that this is the right thing to listen to the United States, so you pay the money and deliver the goods to maintain the illusion that we have diplomatic relations. What is the real key? Guatemala and Paraguay. It is the real key , so anyone who becomes the foreign minister in the future will have to put some thought into this. So Ke Wenzhe does not need to underestimate this international legal phenomenon with zero diplomatic relations. Let me ask Teacher Yang for advice. In fact, I think this election is quite special. So far, the war has not turned into a battle of cross-strait policy choices . In other words, there is no exchange on cross-strait security and economy. We do not talk about security and economy when traveling. Is it right for survival and development ? There are different differences whether it is Lai Qingde or Hou Youyi . I think all friends, you all know that the difference is huge, right? Why is there such a big difference in the choice ? So far, there has not been any topic. Instead, it is these flankers. Cao Moumou and Cao Xingcheng ignited these things over there. The first one actually has the possibility of blue and white combining until the end of November, so there are no issues in this regard . Then after the blue and white cut, you will see 12 On the 15th and 21st of the month, the mainland is not a strategy to impoverish Taiwan. Many people say that this is a strategy to impoverish Taiwan. You are wrong. It is a little more complicated and understands the reality. It means that it will no longer give you profits to Taiwan . It is just like this. It has been 13 For quite some time in recent years, the purpose of the concession may be for the sake of cross-strait relations. Perhaps we hope that ECFA can finally sign something that is good for both parties. But now it is impossible for it to continue to give benefits to you . And you still feel arrogantly that you don't Is it your mistake to give up profits because of political considerations ? So you know that if all 539 items are restored to normal tariffs, only 12 items will be removed, right? Of the 12 items, 9 items will be changed to 2, 2 items will be changed to 6, and 1 item will be changed to 10. They are basically produced in Taiwan. It will not be transferred to the mainland , and it will not be produced in Taiwan . If 539 items are removed and become normal tariffs, most of them will not be exported to Taiwan. What will be the impact on cross-strait trade of 17 and non-electronics? About 1/3 of the 1 million employed population, no one is discussing this issue. Do you think that if we resume normal cross-strait trade with it , will the signing of ECFA affect the supporting facilities and our products at that time? The market can be expanded, right? This is a policy , because people may not listen to it when talking about it in the election , but it will have a profound impact . As for security issues, I finally talked about security issues, right? Do you still remember Xi Jinping’s speech in front of Biden ? We must be so determined that we should focus on peaceful reunification but will not give up the use of force. At the same time, the United States will respond to this National Defense Authorization Act because this is the U.S. Congress. You must know that the U.S. Congress has now become a very strong anti-communist and anti-China organization . A stronghold of anti-China, so if we don’t make the right choice between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait in this election and choose Lai Qingde and Xiao Meiqin, who are leaning toward Taiwan independence, then security issues will immediately arise . I am not saying that a war is about to happen , but the cross-strait war will happen soon. Turbulence will become a common occurrence. Please ask the general for advice. We know that the three most important elements of a country are sovereignty, territory and people. Territory and people are probably very specific. Now , whether it is the Republic of China or Taiwan, we have 23 million people and our territory is We are now responsible for Taiwan. What we have jurisdiction over now is our territory of Taiwan, Taiwan, Penghu, Jinma. So where is our sovereignty? Our sovereignty does not mean that I tell people every day that my surname is Li, but everyone calls me Zhang, right? I, Zhang Zhengjie , can’t do it. My surname is Li. Fortunately, there was a teacher Yang who was willing to call me Li Zhengjie. Now our diplomatic relations in Taiwan are similar to this. Today, Ke Wenzhe and Wu Zhaoxie are called by one sentence. You know, one is called Turtle, Xiao, Turtle, Wuwei, and the other is Wu. Laughing every step of the way, right ? They are laughing at each other. One says we have zero diplomatic relations and it doesn’t matter . The other says you cut off diplomatic relations with 7 countries. This is nothing. The two are laughing at each other. If it is the United States, why is it suppressing those in Nauru and the South Pacific? Why does the country want to recognize the Republic of China ? Because if we don’t even have diplomatic relations with these countries, just like my name is Li Zhengjie, no one will call me Li Zhengjie from now on . At least you still have Professor Yang who is willing to call me Li Zhengjie, right? That means What should I do when no one calls me Li ? So I think sovereignty, diplomacy, and diplomatic relations are of course very important. This is definitely not the case. Ke Wenzhe said that it doesn’t matter if there are no diplomatic relations with countries. The second one is that I want to talk about Hong Kong . In fact, in Taiwan, when I was in the army, we also practiced training. What is called training? Training is when the troops march to each location, and you can adapt to the terrain characteristics of that place to carry out operations in that place. Because every place Different places need to be defended , some are mountains, some are jungles , some are woods. We have to familiarize ourselves with each place. The People's Liberation Army actually conducts training in this place. In Hong Kong, we know that in Hong Kong, its environment is very special, and it has political factors. Right? There are also terrain factors, etc. There are also needs in various aspects of the economy, so in every place he has to adapt to that place. Sometimes he has to ensure the safety of its financial building or the safety of its shipping. This place is very safe if foreign countries invade , so the way of fighting is different in each place. They often talk about where to fight and where to train . So training in Hong Kong is very different. One important thing is that Hong Kong is indeed a very special place . In addition to talking about how we want to ensure that our land and territory are not infringed upon by others, you also need to ensure that the local politics can be stable and the finance can continue to go forward . The war will not cause major financial setbacks, so I think this is the biggest goal of its training . Okay, let's take a break for commercials and come back to join us in the discussion. The guest is Cai Zhengyuan, a doctor of law from Tsinghua University in Beijing. The host is good. Hello everyone . Deputy Secretary-General of the National Security Council Yang Yongming, Zhai Di, hello everyone, retired Major General Li Zhengjie, host , hello everyone, viewers, has this Lai Qingde successfully defused the bomb? It seems that his Laipiliao incident is still spreading . Let’s see what Zhao Shaokang said about you. Take care of a lot of people Because now the Democratic Progressive Party is attacking Hou Youyi, saying that when it comes to the rent of Triumph Garden, they are just talking about it from beginning to end. In fact, he has outsourced it to Xinguang to handle this, which is the rental matter. He has no way to control how much Xinguang wants to price , but the DPP The party is now talking about Hou Youyi earning so much rent in this way. Zhao Shaokang said angrily that you manage a lot of other people's money but you didn't donate anything to your own house. In fact, Hou Youyi is just a matter of personal financial management and he won't care about some details of the Democratic Progressive Party . It ’s so boring. Lai Qingde, you Laipiliao said you wanted to donate, but you didn’t take care of a lot of other people’s affairs. What do you mean? Please ask Lai Qingde to apply for legal housing recognition like ordinary people. The Public Service Bureau will also assist in processing according to regulations. However, we see that in this Laipiliao incident, Lai Qingde seems to be hiding behind others to help fight this matter. This will On the contrary, it will deepen everyone's doubts because Lai Qingde himself no longer takes the front line on issues in his hometown and no longer comes out to cry. So it seems that the doubts from the outside world will only deepen. It does not mean that the bleeding of his election has stopped. Let's take a look . According to blue and green internal polls, Zhu Lilun said that their current internal polls look like the election situation in the south is very good. Many polls are almost tied or within the margin of error. He believes that the strategy of north-south support should be It will work. He is quite confident about the election situation in the south. Zhao Shaokang also said that he said whether the polls had declined after the political meeting. He said that the polls he watched were not like this. Zhu Lilun, Jin Pucong and he were both doing it. We have three differences. The polls conducted by organizations are all close , and the gap with Lai Xiaopei is narrowing. We don’t know how to do it outside. Anyway, it’s just a reference. But you can see that there is some news coming out from the Green Camp. It seems that I have seen relevant polls. Have you noticed any warning signs? The first person mentioned is Zhou Yukou. She said on Facebook that she typed this string of text. She said that she felt heavy after chatting with a scholar who is familiar with Taiwan’s elections. Does this mean that The election situation is not going well for the Green Camp. Is it the presidential election situation or the legislative election situation? She didn't make it very clear. When people asked her, she just smiled and didn't answer , or expressed concern . The other person gave some clues. Yu Tian said that the election of the president and legislators was very dangerous. The polls were within the margin of error. Now when the green camp executives were privately asked whether they had been caught up, they admitted for the first time that the leading gap had indeed been narrowed, so now It seems that both the legislators and the president seem to be not so sure. It is no longer a situation where Lai Qingde can just lie down and elect. Let’s take a look at the latest poll of this beautiful island today, the 99th wave. The poll came out and Lai Xiaopei returned to 40% support and even led Hou Kangpei by 11.1 points. The gap has widened again. And he said that Lai Xiao was ahead of Hou Kangpei in all Taiwan except Keelung, Yilan, Hualien, Taitung, Penghu Golden Horse. Kang has even got 52.6 support in Yunjia Nan. So how could it be like this if Hou Kang lost even the two norths ? Is there really such a big difference? This is the result of the beautiful island poll , but let's take a look. The gap in the ETtoday poll released yesterday is not that big . The gap between blue and green is probably only about 3.3 at the moment . So now we just continue to pay attention to see what kind of things will count down the next election. In 10 days, it will ferment or influence the final election result. Then we see that Lai Qingde has a new card to play, which is the wife card. We all know that in this election, Chen Peiqi is of course the most common one. This is for Ke Wenzhe. It is said that the wife card has been played for a long time . In addition, Lai Qingde has played the wife card for the first time. His wife Wu Meiru's first advertisement was exposed, saying that she would support her husband. Lai Qingde also said that this was quite surprising, saying that she would be willing to stand up. The video also Please let Mrs. Lai make her first appearance to explain to everyone the reasons for choosing Lai. Because Lai Ching-te is trustworthy and is fearless to protect others. I believe he will take good care of Taiwan . In fact, during Lai Ching-te's political career, he seemed to feel that he was right . The family is relatively low-key, even the sons are considered to be relatives, so we see that they actually rarely appear together in public. They said this is their first appearance , but in fact we also searched for it in Lai Qingde 2020 In fact, my wife made an appearance at the inauguration ceremony in 2019. My wife also made an appearance in the crowd in 2019. She also made an appearance at the inauguration of the mayor of Tainan in 2014 , so it is not considered the first appearance. Maybe most people will not go back and check like us. So they have to play the card of scarcity and preciousness. It is rare for Mrs. Lai Qingde to stand up and support him. So what does it mean? Does it mean that Lai Qingde's election situation is critical or his election situation is good ? We have to wait and see. First, let's ask what Brother Zhengyuan is doing. Let’s see if Laipiliao has succeeded in defusing the bomb. They are counterattacking this, which is equivalent to saying whether counterattacking Hou Youyi has any effect. In recent days, Lai Qingde’s camp has been advertising continuously. Calling it "Leasing Hou" is an attack on Hou Youyi's decision to rent out a house to others. Such a large- scale advertisement means that Lai Qingde's election situation is very tense. If so, if he thinks he will win , does he need to invest such a heavy investment? No. And there is no need to talk about a separate topic. If the election situation is very stable, he can continue to pave the way to the positive. He is handsome and his great policies will strongly attack the opponent. And it is not Ke Wenzhe who is attacking, but Hou Youyi. It proves that Hou Youyi is very I want to get close to him so I want to knock down Hou Youyi. In this wave, since Qiu Yi took the name Laipiliao, it is obvious that Lai Qingde's polls have declined whether it is the Formosa Island poll or ETtoday's poll , especially in Formosa Formosa. The decline in the polls was even greater. Obviously, the decline was even greater during that period. But after this treatment, he wanted to beat him as black as a crow in the world . I built illegally, and you, Ke Wenzhe, illegally used farmland, and you, Hou Youyi, chartered it. He wants to muddy the waters. This strategy of muddying the waters is very common in election campaigns . So now we are talking about whether Hou Youyi has been beaten. It is obvious that we have seen in various polls that he has a little ground. It's not going up, or it's going down. In the past few days, I estimate that the amount of advertising under Qingde alone should be in the tens of millions. It 's too fierce. The Internet has only spent tens of millions to advertise Triumph Garden, plus the student movement. Posting some notes and constantly creating news has hurt Hou Youyi. Now the focus is not on how much Hou Youyi was hurt. How Hou Youyi can clean up the mess and rebound again. It is a pity that Qiu Yi is beating up the gangsters , that is, Hou Ying's advertisement or the Central Committee of the Kuomintang. The advertisements were not followed up , but this time when they packaged the rental, they used students to do news topics first , then continued to hold press conferences , and then placed advertisements , because the advertisements are different from ordinary our programs. The problem is that our program will be watched by a specific audience, but if it is advertised, it will be more widespread. I heard that they have to hang this chartered advertisement at every intersection in Taiwan, which means that it is very popular. I'm afraid that Hou Youyi has indeed kept up , so he has to widen the gap. Next, let's see if the Hou headquarters or the Party Central Committee has any strategies to resist it. Now it's considered very urgent . It won't be a few days. Lai Qingdao should not be allowed to widen this gap. Even if we say that our own polls are very good, basically you have not taken them out for everyone to review. If you say this, it does not mean much, and it will become a media -led one. This public opinion market will affect the direction of the Xigua faction. If the Party Central Committee does have a good poll situation, I suggest that it be publicly announced so that everyone can check the reliability of your poll. Zhao Shaokang said that he did his own poll. Jin Pucong There are also polls to be taken out... Otherwise, the gap in the polls of your beautiful island has widened . ETtoday, which has always been relatively friendly to Hou, has also widened, so this thing must be done as soon as possible. Urgent processing should not be done in the last few yards, not the last mile . It would be a pity to lose the opportunity of this election. Please ask Teacher Yang for advice. As Commissioner Cai observed, in fact, when Lai Qingde and his headquarters are constantly packing and renting, When Gong Kaixuanyuan was in office, on the one hand, he was actually portraying that there is no difference between you and us, right? We all have such a problem , and then you still targeted students and assisted students. The most important thing is to constantly advertise on the TV network. This is about who has deeper pockets . But to be honest in the current election, Taiwan has elected so far that you are deeper than pockets. At the same time, you must have a correct strategy. In this advertisement , in this entire press conference and in the media, you have to use these issues. The same is true in the United States. When we watch some elections in the United States, he can immediately say that there is no picture for 10 seconds, just text, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, bang, yeah, you, do you believe what he's saying ? Do you believe what this person is like? How can you support him? He just kept doing it and then he made negative publicity. Now it is basically like this. But what does this mean ? This has entered into a slit-throat war. I think I should make a suggestion here. It's Hou Youyi. In fact, we watched his previous two political speeches. I personally saw him attending speeches for some groups. His speeches are actually very charming. It is completely different from the previous perception of him by our general media. It seems that he is a policeman and then does these things. Local offices do not have enough grasp of some issues. On the contrary, you can see that there were many highlights in his first and second political speeches . So I think that when the Kuomintang first started, it was actually a group war and there were so many This is the mayor, county magistrate, legislator, and Mr. Zhao Shaokang. But now we must highlight Hou Youyi because the group battle will be dispersed to some extent at the beginning. The media is now going back and forth several times a day. This issue especially revolves around the scammers. This is the case with the media in Taiwan , and the overall media prefers the issue setting of the Democratic Progressive Party. Everyone knows that at this time, how can you highlight Hou Youyi in the reflection of the issue ? What will be highlighted in the next 20 days is Hou Youyi . Don’t forget that this is a presidential election. Taiwan has been accustomed to it since 1996. Although the name and photo of the vice president will be on the ballot, this is a personal competition chosen by the president . Therefore At this time, Hou Youyi really told everyone that he actually has this aspect of charm and performance. What does it matter if he speaks Taiwanese? Everyone knows and supports him, right? So now he has to highlight this main axis of his , and then what about everyone else? The most important thing about this assist is to be able to make immediate advertising demands in the entire election strategy. At the same time, we must understand that Taiwan’s media ecology will actually watch our program. In fact, at this point in time, there is a certain political However, you can still appeal to some middle-level voters , but advertising will really affect young people . Especially don’t forget that let’s look at Ke Wenzhe’s part. In fact, he has not come up again , so that means that young people may have low turnout. But if people who vote can abandon their bail, it depends on your grasp of the issue. Highlight Hou Youyi and the use of advertising. Please ask the general for advice . We have to admit that the DPP is really good at elections. Not only can they elect , but they can also elect inhumane people . Although Hou Youyi can speak Taiwanese , the Kuomintang will not expand and use the Taiwanese he speaks. That day, I heard Hou Youyi say a sentence that made me shed tears. What he talked about was the matter of his Triumph Garden. He said that at that time, because he was a criminal police officer, his son passed away because of the car fire incident in 1991. Then his mother-in-law, right, her son died because of her daughter, and her husband was a criminal police officer. What if there was a shootout with the police and robbers outside ? In fact, in life and death , if one day you end up on the road of no return or die in the line of duty, I will leave a piece of rice cake for you to cook. This is the saying in Taiwanese Hou Youyi: Hou Youyi is a tough guy. He can't act. He can't act. In fact, this This sentence touched many people. What does it mean to leave a piece of cake for you to cook ? His mother-in-law told his daughter, "I will leave a piece, a stove , and a mouthful of food for you in the future. If your husband also dies in the line of duty, explain it clearly. If your husband dies in the line of duty, You have no son now, you are left a widow with no children, I want to leave a mouthful of food for you to eat, you are my daughter, you said, so that’s why Hou Youyi said this sentence that day. People who understand Taiwanese have people who have felt this way . Tears will fall. Why is there only one mother left? What will happen to the family if she is a woman? Mr., if unfortunately he dies in the line of duty, why will I be moved and empathize with him ? Because many of our military and police died in the line of duty. Who will take care of his family after he dies in the line of duty ? Who takes care of his orphans and widowers , right? For example, we saw those policemen a while ago, right? Several policemen died in the line of duty. Until now, why are the policemen so angry and hateful ? It’s because you didn’t take care of him. You didn’t give him anything. His plan did not give him a good budget when he was performing his mission so that he could have good equipment to protect himself . And if the police officer died in the line of duty, the same would be the same. We have also seen many police officers die in the line of duty . Who will go to us now? We often say that we will sacrifice today and forget tomorrow. At that time, more than 30 years ago, Hou Youyi was still protecting the people through life and death . His mother-in-law just left a piece of land for her own daughter so that she would not say that she had no husband or children in the future. No one took care of me . In fact, when Hou Youyi said this sentence in Taiwanese, I remember very clearly what he said. He said that his mother- in-law said to him in Taiwanese: "I leave a piece of cake for you to cook. I leave a piece of cake so that you can really eat it." So we have to talk about the fact that the DPP went to hype up the Triumph Garden this time . It was really inhumane. Secondly, I think the whole story of this incident is actually a very touching story . I think the Kuomintang should explain this matter clearly to these young people about what it means to leave a piece of rice cake for you to cook. We must let young people understand the ins and outs of this matter and make it an advertisement to promote it . I believe it can be done. It’s good to bring back the hearts of young people. Let’s take a break from commercials and be right back.
