[SUB]歐洲又要出大事了?岸田尹錫悅遭重創 新聞大白話@tvbstalk 20231204 (字幕版)

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So while the confrontation between the United States and China is of course ongoing, there is one issue that has at least a common denominator, the energy issue. So at the COP28 conference, is it possible to have a consensus on the energy issue and global warming ? But now there are some doubts , such as the market Questioning OPEC's plan to reduce production has not been effective , which means that it is obviously not easy to reduce production. On the contrary, all today's meetings are held in major oil-producing countries. Therefore, Saudi Arabia especially uses donations to show its commitment to new energy. Support , but the international oil price plummeted last week because the market was skeptical about OPEC's production cuts, so even Angola has refused to accept this quantitative rationing of production cuts. It is expected that Brazil will also say that it will not participate , so although Brazil will participate Is this climate summit being described as being undercover? Of course it is described as a conspiracy theory. But Brazil is originally one of the top ten oil producers in the world. It will join OPEC+ in January next year. So after Brazil joins, it will persuade everyone to give up. Use fossil fuels? Is this what Lula said, but everyone thinks it is true? Is this a huge financial resource that you have to give up? Especially the number of oil and natural gas exploration wells in the United States has increased for the third consecutive week. Of course, after the discovery of shale oil in the United States It also has its own advantages in the Russia-Ukraine war, so as of December 1, the number of oil and gas exploration wells in the United States has increased by 3 to 625. It has increased for three consecutive weeks , and even the main shale oil has increased to 5. The same is true for the 559 continents . There are new results in oil and gas exploration in the continent. Gansu has also discovered that there are so many large self-contained oil fields with a capacity of 100 million tons. So will the oil-producing countries give up the original traditional energy sources like this to transform? How to reach a consensus ? But Xi Jinping is The grand economic strategy is very clear. He talks about reform and opening up. For example, when he went to visit, he did not visit Shanghai to inspect. When he went to Shanghai, he particularly emphasized that Shanghai should drive the leading function . For example, to increase the competitiveness and development momentum , the mission is to build 5 The center is very good at summarizing this. For example, it is an international economic and financial center, trade, shipping, technological innovation, so with Shanghai as the center, how can economic strategies be promoted ? For example, visa exemption for five European countries, tourism , and other economic issues, supply chains, etc. must be comprehensively improved. So what is the effect of the visa exemption for these five European countries ? Immediately, on the first day of the day, the number of French nationals entering the country reached 227. Of course, it was said to be 52.31% , such a high increase. Sorry , This is the place with the fastest growth among European countries. Of course, they also hope that after the epidemic, the number of tourist trips and investments in European countries will not be affected by the containment and confrontation between China and the United States. Instead, they hope to have a transfer function so that day by day South Korea, Japan and South Korea media reported that South Korea and Japan agreed to restart high-level economic dialogue within this month. South Korean diplomats described it as saying that the foreign ministries of South Korea and Japan have reached a consensus and will start this meeting soon. Why has it been suspended for 8 years because of the previous meeting ? The first time a Korean civil society organization was held in Tokyo in January 2016, they installed a statue of a comfort woman girl in front of the Japanese Consulate General in Busan. As a result, the Japanese side canceled the meeting in protest and the dialogue was suspended for eight years. Now the two sides have reopened the meeting. Is there the possibility of further economic cooperation? Is it possible that this situation of confrontation and confrontation will become more friendly? And for South Korea, South Korea will reorganize its cabinet as soon as next year, and its polls are not ideal. Yin Xiyue December The Cabinet is reorganized on the 4th. It is said that there may be at least 7 heads of departments. So there is a need to speed up the pace of the three major reforms of pension, labor and education . The problems faced are the same, even more serious than those in the United States. Part of it is that high housing prices, high unemployment, and violent pressure on the birth rate. In this report, South Korea 's central bank warned in its analysis that after 2050, the population will cause South Korea to face economic shrinkage year after year and be unable to achieve economic growth. In fact, this is the situation faced by Taiwan or other countries in Asia and Taiwan. It's almost the same , but the reform measures South Korea is currently taking to face this problem can also give him a lesson. Taiwan can serve as a reference. What does Brother Liang think about the current relationship between Japan and South Korea , from the issue of oil and energy to the current relationship between Japan and South Korea ? South Korea's economy may be severely impacted by China. Much more than Taiwan , including especially automobiles, because the automobile industry is not a very important industry in Taiwan. Now you only need to look at South Korea , especially South Korea , Japan and Germany have been affected. China's automobile exports this year may exceed expectations. 5.4 million vehicles in Japan are less than 4 million , so this is really a bit beyond expectations. The general expectation was about more than 4 million vehicles. Unexpectedly, the number of electric vehicles was so high. BYD also surpassed Tesla. The automobile industry is an important industry in South Korea. In addition, for example, let’s say that it makes that panel and it makes OLED. It used to dominate the world. Now BOE has also risen , and it also includes shipbuilding and shipbuilding. China’s entire shipbuilding industry has now surpassed South Korea . So in fact, it is China that has been more affected. Mainland China is also increasing investment in mature semiconductor manufacturing processes. This also has an impact on Taiwan , but it is more direct on South Korea because the passive semiconductor chips made in South Korea are easier to make , while the storage chips in Taiwan are more difficult to make. Taiwan's logic chips are Calculating chips, etc. So I don’t know what he can do with Japan because the point is how to sell his products to the other side’s market . Otherwise, I don’t know what he wants to talk with Japan because South Korea and China have mutual sanctions. Japan and China also have problems , so originally they were going to talk about China, Japan and South Korea , but you can see that Wang Yi left in a hurry at that time. I think it was a bad breakup, basically a bad breakup. Later, I saw some media reports in mainland China that South Korea was blaming others, which made Wang Yi so angry that he didn’t even eat dinner and left without a joint statement. So I don’t think there was a China-Japan-ROK summit that South Korea was expecting in December. Because Xi Jinping is probably going to visit Vietnam on December 12th, so I think there is no way you can elect an American as president. He is basically out of touch with South Korea's economy, and Kishida is of no use because of Kishida's term. It is absolutely impossible for him to be re-elected until September next year. The current polls are so low. His polls have been as low as 21% for a while. That is so low that the government has already collapsed. So I don’t know what the significance of these two people meeting is. Just like Tsai Ing- wen met with McCarthy last year, you met the speaker of the House of Representatives who is about to bid farewell. Now he also met Fumio Kishida, who is about to step down. So frankly speaking , everyone is under great pressure in the economy because orders are generally decreasing, so how do you strengthen yourself ? Enterprises should not be greatly affected. This is still the key for good professors to take a look. There is finally a slight consensus on energy issues around the world, but it is really difficult to reach the so-called consensus . Or is it just a superficial consensus? I think the energy issue is In fact, this consensus is not easy , especially now that Brazil has entered. Although Brazil is the world's tenth largest oil producer , it hopes that everyone will reduce petrochemical emissions. What I want to talk about is actually Xi Jinping's visit to Shanghai . I think he has actually flaunted three In the field of finance, technology and people's livelihood, Shanghai is not just Shanghai. Shanghai is the entire Yangtze River Delta. The Yangtze River Delta covers this area, which means that Shanghai will lead the Chinese economy in this new wave of technology and people's livelihood finance. Chen Jining, the current secretary of the Municipal Party Committee of Shanghai, is actually full of enthusiasm. A special person did this. He was the president of Tsinghua University. He originally worked in the UK. Later, he returned to Tsinghua University in 1998 and became the president. He became the minister of environment and became the mayor of Beijing. After that, he was transferred to Shanghai instead of being the secretary of the municipal party committee of Beijing. So he was given a high level of responsibility. I think Xi Jinping actually came here almost every year and saw what he did. Now in mainland China, these are the financial, technological, people's livelihood , especially finance and technology. I watched Zheng Yongnian said this. He said that in the future, mainland China will adopt a rapid unilateral opening , which means that he will open up. You said that the visa exemption for 6 European and Asian countries is just a small test of the water temperature. In other words, he will use unilateral opening. This is a way to invest more in these exchanges and exchanges, as well as your understanding and confidence in me . Because for example, before the epidemic, there were 11,000 international students in the United States in mainland China, and now there are only 221 left, less than 10%. So it’s like this Of course, there are many factors involved in this situation . The mutual understanding between China and the United States . The epidemic has just ended, and everyone’s understanding of the Chinese economy from the outside world . So now you have to guide it yourself. Who can guide it ? That is Shanghai. As for the issue of Japan and South Korea I think this is an opportunity for Japan to return to chip manufacturing because it is still number one in the world in many materials and equipment. Now it has brought all the mature process things over from South Korea at all levels. TSMC has also gone to the United States. I tell you that South Korea is dissatisfied because the proportion controlled by South Korea is too high. However , South Korea likes to ask for prices from the United States too much . Japan is relatively submissive to the United States. So if Japan matures from materials and equipment to design and use in cars, I think This is a possible source of power for the next wave of Japan's economic development. Indeed, Japan also heavily rewards our TSMC for setting up factories there. The scale of the rewards is also quite large . What do you think of Brother Bing , whether it is the Sino-US confrontation or this time? Everyone in OPEC is talking about whether they have their own agenda and whether they are really willing to contribute to climate change or continue to safeguard the interests of oil-producing countries. I think Lula is just talking about it casually. I don't believe it at all, because the teacher in Brazil just talked about it. It is now one of the top ten oil-producing countries in the world. It is estimated that it will become one of the top five oil-producing countries in the world by 2030 because its oil is still being discovered one after another . It has very rich oil reserves. I took a look and it made 427 from oil exports alone last year. Do you think that a country like Brazil will no longer need to export oil? What industry will it use to make up for this ? So I think this is basically impossible. He should just say it casually . Of course, COP28 is actually this Secondly, there is a consensus among everyone that nuclear power should be tripled in the future. This is because everyone has considered that if you want zero carbon emissions, the only solution is probably to use nuclear energy. So I think this is what Taiwan should pay attention to. We are now following the global trend. The direction of the world is going in the opposite direction. People are trying to say that if you want to achieve the goal before 2050, there is no other way but to rely on nuclear power . Then we will scrap all nuclear power and switch to gas and then use renewable energy. If renewable energy cannot be developed, what should we do? The final result is to burn more gas and coal. This is the only solution, otherwise what other solution is there? You see, all over the world, including the United States and mainland China, are still exploring for oil. Petroleum is absolutely still a very important energy source in the future . This is basically what I think. Personally, I think it will be difficult to completely replace things within a few decades , so this is the bottleneck of human science and technology, so we must accept the reality. Mainland China is actually facing many difficulties now . Its economy needs to develop, and it also faces many transformations. For mainland China, especially during this Sino-US trade war When the aftermath is rippling, of course it must hurry up and seize every step of transformation. If it wants to revitalize tourism , I personally think it is very difficult recently because it was actually just a purchase thing before because virtual currency is too popular for foreign tourists . It has already had a certain crowding-out effect, and it has been even more unlucky recently because there have been mycoplasma, pneumonia, and other things like climate change. Everyone seems weird, so you become a tourist. Many of my friends originally wanted to go to the mainland for a while. Everyone wants to say take a look first because you don’t know what the epidemic situation is, so this is a realistic consideration. There is no way. As for Japan and South Korea, I ’m serious . If Japan can take this opportunity to return to semiconductors , of course I think its opportunities may be It’s bigger than South Korea. In its current situation, I feel that after Yin Xiyue went astray, he wants to pull it back now. Will he be able to pull it back ? And is he really willing to pull it back ? I’m afraid it’s not very good during his tenure. If it is easy to do, South Korea may miss the critical moment of its own transformation. What needs to be urgently improved now is its own poll support. At a time when wars are still happening all over the world, there is now a conspiracy theory that there is an EU member. Why is there a conspiracy theory among MPs Michel Rivasi ? Because she was investigating the scandal of EU President von der Leyen , but she suddenly died in front of parliament and the reason was a heart attack . So now someone has come out and revealed that she spent It took several months to obtain information about the secret agreement between the EU and Pfizer. Among them, there was a call related to the CEO related to von der Leyen. Is there any consideration or problem in the laboratory ? What about this incident? I don’t know , but the sudden death of this congressman triggered discussion of conspiracy theories. What other conspiracy theories are there ? Hirsch, the Pulitzer Prize winner, publicly stated that he was a media senior with expertise in investigative reporting in the past. He said that the Russian Chief of Staff He and the Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces skipped over their respective bosses and launched secret peace talks. At least he believed that Zelensky, the Ukrainian side, did not know about this kind of peace talks, nor did the White House , and even firmly opposed this secret peace talks. It has been completely bypassed . So is it possible that there is a possibility of peace after this peace talk, that is, skipping Zelensky? Ukrainian polls have shown that 82% of the people believe that Zaluzny should be asked to negotiate . The person who has been talking about the secret peace talks has a support rating far higher than that of Zelensky by 10% in the polls. Therefore, in an interview with The Economist, he also revealed that this deadlock has caused public dissatisfaction with Zelensky. That’s why the mayor of Kiev also said that Ukraine’s move towards authoritarianism cannot always depend on the whim of one person. You see, the war has caused a war and there is still no way to stop it. Polish truck workers in Ukraine have blocked the border for months. Europe wants to aid Ukraine. The front line is about to collapse. Poland , the neighbor next door who supported him the most, is now wavering. What's more, what is the United States providing ? Is it providing more weapons? Now there are great changes because of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Let’s take a look at the conflict. Although the ceasefire agreement has ended, it is said that the negotiations will be extended and broken down. Therefore , the Israeli army has expanded into Gaza. In addition to continuing the attack, the Israeli military will continue to bombard and go south. So the Israeli military said that it will increase its intensity. The scale of the ground operations in the Gaza Corridor requires residents to evacuate quickly. As for the southern part, yesterday we also specially analyzed that not only the northern combat area will also be extended to the south to annihilate Hamas, it is no less important than the people fleeing in the north. When will the war stop? People who are fleeing say that we just want to be killed directly to avoid having to experience these repeated threats and pains. It is understandable how helpless the ordinary people are. In fact , their lives and property have been suffering. The same is true around other countries. Many merchant ships were attacked on the shipping lanes of the Red Sea. U.S. destroyers rushed to the rescue and shot down drones . This was all caused by gunfire and misfires caused by the Yemeni rebels in the surrounding area . The surrounding area is really uneasy , and Israel continues to prepare for the attack. What did the US military do to promote the Gaza buffer zone ? It supplied Israel with more ground-penetrating bombs to bomb bunkers . Obviously , we have been discussing Biden's policy for many days and asked whether it will affect domestic support or even his. The election situation is already preparing for next year's general election. In a duel with Trump, will the 80-year-old Biden be at a disadvantage ? Whether there will be any health problems , especially the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, these worrying polls have made his public opinion weak. It has been difficult to improve support , but it has given Trump a chance to come back again. Therefore, the US Secretary of Defense said that in the face of the three major challenges of China, Russia and the Middle East, the United States can still operate many theaters , which means that it has plenty of resources and can continue to take into account even economic resources. Is it true that we can continue to deploy ? We have all faced quite a lot of challenges. So from the European Union, we have seen Israel, Palestine , Ukraine. In fact, the world situation is relatively turbulent. Brother Liang , there are two accidental ones now, for example. Ukraine , because this Zaluzny is the commander of the armed forces, the commander of the armed forces. His polls are so much higher than Zelensky. Zelensky is now saying that we may not re-elect next year , because Ukraine is originally the same as Russia next year. Zelensky is going to be elected as President . His polls were already as high as 90% when the war just started. So it is obviously declining . The main reason for the decline is because It is really impossible to fight anymore because you can see that people from the US military intelligence unit came out to speak and said that Ukraine’s ammunition will only be used until February next year . Then the Financial Times wrote a feature a few days ago and said that Ukraine is now The average age of soldiers on the front line is 30 to 40 years old . Logically speaking, if you are an infantryman on the front line, you should have the best physical fitness. The peak physical fitness is generally 18 to 24 years old , which means that he has exhausted his 18 to 24 years old. The infantry has basically been wiped out. The United States made an estimate that after more than 600 days of the Russo-Ukrainian war, about 70,000 people were killed in Ukraine. It is terrible, and 120,000 people were injured. The Ukrainian army was originally close to 400,000 people. Then more than 10 million people went abroad, so it’s not that they don’t have weapons and ammunition. They even have problems with manpower. So in February and March last year, there were thousands of people queuing up at every turn, and now they can’t recruit them anymore. The army was in the army , and some people used their privileges to buy exit passes. As a result, 20,000 young people received military orders and disappeared. Later, didn’t Zelensky fire all the commanders of the recruitment center ? So you know that this country has fallen into a considerable degree. There is a chaos , so Zelensky does not want to re-elect because he may step down if he re-elects. There are even rumors that internal forces are beginning to be dissatisfied with him. The most likely voice of dissatisfaction is the military , which says you should just let us take the lead . But I and I You said that Zaluzny is not that good. For example, if you say you want to go to peace talks , can you negotiate a good plan? Because think about it , what I just read were all written publicly by the American media and the British media. Wouldn’t Russia know about the situation? If Russia knew about the situation, why would he want to talk to you ? He might just want to say, I will take the opportunity to win in one fell swoop and force you to admit the four states and the like. Now you are stuck. Then Biden, you also I know that the Republican Party has also blocked Ukraine's budget , and then the right-wing forces in Europe are slowly rising and retreating . None of them want to give him resources , including Slovakia and the Netherlands. After the recent re-election, they directly said that we should no longer support Ukraine , so I really don't know what he is doing. If we hold on, let's take a break and come back to see when the Israeli -Palestinian conflict will end in addition to the Russian-Ukrainian war . Take a break and come back immediately . After the ceasefire agreement was stopped, we immediately entered the state of attack again , especially if we continue to do so. It was really miserable to attack the people in the South. Did you know that in 1986, Brother Liang and I were both graduate students? We occasionally met and chatted in the graduate student library at that time . At that time, all college students in the United States were opposed to the funds of these universities in the United States. The president's office of Columbia University in South Africa, which continued to support South Africa, was occupied because they bought the copper mine school fund in South Africa . Later, the whole situation in the United States changed. You see, in the past ten years, universities all over the United States have also been rebelling against the kind of thing they did at the beginning. The entire pre-Civil War totem of racial discrimination, the totem of Harvard Law School, has changed, and then the portrait of General Lee at the University of Virginia, where I went to school, was also removed. Now, you know, two days ago Five hundred students from the University of Massachusetts surrounded the school and said that the school fund of the University of Massachusetts is related to the stocks of the military-industrial complex. These military-industrial complexes are helping Israel make these missiles and bombs . Now it has become a trend. Do you know that? They say that young people in the United States are no longer the only so-called minority group. They believe that young people should stop the United States' support for Israel's apartheid. This has become a big slogan . And you see now that the war has started again. Yesterday, 700 people died again . More than 15,500 people were massacred, right? It’s not just about segregation, so this thing will definitely have a huge impact on the United States’ continued support for Israel. Why, because Biden is about to be elected , it will also have an impact on Biden’s re-election. Do you think so? I asked if Trump is more supportive of Israel , but Trump will say that I can end the war in Israel in one day. He has not said such a thing yet . He is currently only saying that the war in Ukraine will end in one day . But when will he say that I can end it in one day? The war in Gaza will stop immediately. I think the situation will be reversed because young people in the United States , especially those who mainly support the Democratic Party, are dissatisfied with Biden's continued support of Israel because they think you are supporting Israeli apartheid. Even the policy of massacre has really no end in sight for the entire Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Take a break and come back soon . The Russia-Ukraine war actually has a direct impact on Biden's election . But I didn't expect that the defense minister said it doesn't matter. We in the United States can still operate in multiple war zones. There are many ways of operating. Small-scale operation is also one kind of operation. Large-scale operation is another kind of operation. With the current situation of the United States, it has these three war zones. You can operate on a small scale. You will probably have nothing to do in Ukraine. Send some weapons there , and then you can send troops to Israel to help it look at the situation. But if it really intervenes in the war, it is impossible for the U.S. military to have the ability to intervene in three theaters at the same time . Now I think there are two in a row. It is unlikely , so I think of course as the Secretary of Defense , Americans must say that they are very powerful. But to be honest, just looking at your resources on the Ukrainian battlefield, it is very clear that your resources on the Ukrainian battlefield have begun to be severely stretched . So I think it’s hard for you to convince others like this . But I personally think it’s probably very difficult for the United States to deal with Russia, Ukraine, Israel and Palestine. Now it is in a state of unfinished business because we originally thought that Israel would not be willing to accept this. As expected, it is now launching a full-scale attack on the entire Gaza corridor. That is exactly what we thought. It has no plan from the beginning to the end. To keep these Palestinians here, he needs to drive them all away. But the problem is that these people have no place to go. So what should we do next? Do we have to watch them be slaughtered directly or are they going to be killed? Rush to the sea, rush to the Mediterranean, so I think this has reached a point where the international community can no longer sit back and watch. I am Wang Qianqiu. I will introduce this section first. The first guest to discuss international and domestic issues with us is Guo Zhengliang, a PhD in political science from Yale. Brother , everyone is safe. Senior media person Xie Hanbingbing, host. Hello everyone. Former deputy secretary-general of the National Security Council, Professor Yang Yongming. Qianqiu. Hello everyone. What are the issues in the election campaign ? What are you looking at now? Previously, Ke Wenzhe himself broke up after the Blue and White alliance. I accepted the first media interview and mentioned that someone in the so-called Blue and White Alliance wanted to give him money and ask him to return the money. He was asked to be a deputy. However, the pro-independence groups and flankers went to the District Attorney's Office to ring the bell and report him. As a result, the case has been officially divided into other cases by the Beijing Prosecutor's Office, and four people including Ke Wenzhe have been listed as defendants. How will this case develop and how will the next relevant persons be summoned? So what will Ke Wenzhe say at this time ? In fact, if it is a duel between blue and green, what will the election become? It will become a duel between unity and independence. So if he says that he, if he does not run, it means that Lai Xiaopei will definitely win . So now, if he runs, Lai Xiaopei will win. Isn't that the logic of winning? So because he believes that the main focus of the election campaign is that Taiwan is pro-American than pro- China , so only he can attract the so-called middle voters? Or are there other voices of support other than unification and independence ? Then Zhao Shaokang How can he say that he must be pro-China? Just like Brother Liang on our show, he also knows Zhao Shaokang very well. He himself said that he not only studied in the United States but also worked in American companies. I am not pro-American and who is pro-American. I am very pro-American. Compared with the United States, what he said is that the DPP is pro-American and hates China. He is pro-American, but peace with China is the concept of multilateralism in political science. The suspicion of Ke Wenzhe's 200 million deputy is now that he wants to end it and does not want to talk about it anymore , but others do not. For example, Yao Liming held a press conference again today and he said that this was a direct reference to China's election, that is, the 200 million yuan is what China wants to give. In fact, the media involved have interviewed the three people mentioned. Two of them said that they had never said that, but Yao Liming questioned that only China in the world has this criminal intention , so only China can afford this price . So he is thinking of ways to put the red hat on Ke Wenzhe's head . So when Lai Qingde said When Taiwan hopes to be friends with Mainland China , everyone thinks it is true. They can’t help but ask if it is true. Because in many of his comments on this strategy and tactics, what we hear is that he does not even want to be friends or communicate. The pipelines are all cut off. According to a survey conducted by the Reagan National Defense Survey, nearly 77% of Americans regard China as the enemy , and 51% of Americans regard China as the biggest threat . Therefore, Lai Qingde is Isn't it the same as the US investigation ? He said that he wanted to be friends with China , but Wu Xindai and Wu Xindai were against each other. Do you want to retaliate for supporting Gao Jiayu but not her? Wait, because what she is referring to is that Wu Xindai strongly opposed China , and Lai Qingde has changed his tune now. Is it true that you want to make peace with China or make friends with the mainland ? Of course, there are many fraud cases and there are signs that they will continue to explode. Among them, everyone is tired of papers. It seems that everyone's papers have problems one after another. This person also Called Lin Zhijie , his name is Lin Zhijie, not Lin Zhijian. Who is he saying is more serious than Lin Zhijian? Hsinchu legislative candidate Lin Zhijie. His professor promotion thesis was questioned and he copied and pasted the master's thesis of his supervising student. The student's paper was copied and pasted, and the similarity between the two papers was as high as 51%. Therefore, when these high similarities were questioned, he himself was a scholar. In the past, during the 2022 county mayor election, Tsai Ing-wen designated Shen Huihong and Lin Zhijian to choose Taoyuan and Lin. In the end in Hsinchu , Lin Zhijian was overturned because of the plagiarism of his paper. He had to have the whole party protect one person to kill five people . Now how does Lin Zhijie respond ? If he admits to plagiarism , won’t he have to choose as a scholar? If Lin Zhijie does not admit plagiarism, the plagiarism case will continue to be like Lin Zhijie. Do you want everyone to continue following this series of one corpse and five lives ? Of course, I am still waiting for his response. I seem to have just seen the latest push from a media. He himself said that it was an own goal . But of course, it is possible to return to the original point. The original school will make the determination. As for the controversy over Xiao Meiqin's resumption of nationality , she has come out to explain today. She said that she has never given up her nationality , so there has always been the issue of the Republic of China nationality not being answered. But at the same time, it was Pan Mengan who Wang Hongwei broke the news about. There are so many green energy photovoltaics in Pingtung, and now there are 50 million luxury houses to live in . There are two parking spaces in this new building in Taipei. Is it supported by a consortium or a closely related residence ? Is it supported by the building? Among them, of course, the bidding agency showed the lease and emphasized that the assistant rented it and paid 60,000 yuan per month, which is a reasonable rental. It is shown in the lease contract. But Wu Zijia said that Ko Wenzhe's group of people are running around with young votes, etc. Now, the DPP or the Kuomintang are also trying to find ways to grab these young votes , and are the young votes going to Lai Qingde? The probability is relatively high , so Lai Qingde is not far ahead. Wu Xinying may have a negative impact on Ke Wenzhe. This is Ogasawara's analysis. Five polls show that the election will enter a hand-to-hand battle. Although Lai Qingde still maintains the lead , Hou Youyi's support has increased significantly while Ke Wenzhe has declined. The narrowing of the gap between the first and second place is also a possibility that may cause the election results to reverse. If Lai Qingde is not far ahead, he may enter a close fight. If a series of doubts about these frauds are raised , of course there will be some right. Will the election have a major impact? Brother Liang , the final flow of votes, I think this involves how the Kuomintang persuades young people about the significance of this election. Is the rotation of political parties the value that everyone thinks? The DPP , because frankly speaking The green Ko Wenzhe does have more green votes. Why did those green votes go to Ko Wenzhe? He must be dissatisfied with some of the actions of the DPP. In fact, most of these people have no experience of voting for the KMT. They are also identified with Taiwan. So how does the Kuomintang persuade him ? For example, let’s take a random example. For example, the most common question people ask is, are you better off than you were 4 years ago and 8 years ago ? This is the easiest way for the DPP to degenerate into such a political party. Shouldn't he step down? Not only is he corrupt, double-standard and arrogant , he's also anti-democratic. He blocked the TV station and so on . Use 1450 to attack you Tsai Ing-wen. He hasn't held a press conference for more than 700 days. If a political party can be so arrogant , shouldn't it step down? I think the Kuomintang Don’t think that war and peace can be fought from beginning to end. I’m telling you , this issue is for the future. We have no experience. Frankly speaking, the voters who feel this way are not the majority who really want to be soldiers. Sorry, there will only be more than 9,000 next year. More than 9,000 plus parents, do relatives plus OnePlus have 50,000 votes? This is a real issue, so the Kuomintang has to evaluate how you can go with the votes of the Ke camp to shout and shout to him, how can people flow to you? Here I assure you that fighting the cross-strait issue is useless. The cross-strait issue can only consolidate your base and is useless in expanding your votes. Agreed , right? So what are you going to fight against? Fight against corruption, double standards, arrogance , anti-democracy, and then your economy. Are you concerned about the lives of the middle and lower classes? Then you go and adopt Ke Wenzhe’s political views to a certain extent . Hou Youyi has to tell you, I tell you, Zhao Shaokang said it’s useless . Hou Youyi himself has to say it , and Hou Youyi also has to say it. We said ourselves that we are willing to cooperate with the People's Party in the Legislative Yuan to elect the president and vice-president. We are willing to do this. Maybe the president and vice-president should be appointed by Han Guoyu , because he does not rank first in different regions . The other thing is that we are willing to form a coalition government with the People's Party to reform this situation. A kind of corrupt politics and arrogant politics. I think this is the election. Frankly speaking, for ordinary voters or people who are not so enthusiastic about politics, you must tell them what has happened instead of telling them what is expected to happen in the future. Cross-strait relations There will be no war, it will be next year. How serious is the trade barrier investigation? How do I know now that it has not happened yet? So you have to tell me what the DPP has done in the past 8 years . Is such a thing worth it for everyone to jointly promote party rotation? I think this is the only way to change the votes of the People's Party. In the end, they decided to split the vote. They must make a final judgment , that is, it is not easy for Ko Wenzhe to win alone . But you still have to come out to vote because there are no divisions for you. I want to vote for the People's Party , but here do you want to consider splitting the vote to get the DPP to step down ? I think only this method will work . This involves whether the Kuomintang has grasped this feeling and whether it wants to fight such an issue . Then of course you can follow It is the stupidest move for the People's Party to quarrel and create hatred between parties. Not only should they not do this , but they should also establish demands that everyone can unite to carry out reforms and establish new politics in the future . Otherwise, let me tell you, Wu Zijia's judgment will become a success. It's really because these people have no experience voting for you in the past, so they start to not want to vote for president or something like that. When they either don't vote or they vote based on their past habits, they vote for the green side again. So I follow You talked about this, so I said that there is an issue this year. The situation is different from what Wu Zijia talked about because this year there is the issue of three parties not being able to get half, a coalition cabinet, and the issue of joint election for president and vice-president of the Legislative Yuan . This has not been the case before. Before, it was all one party. So there is this new issue this year. The Kuomintang must grasp this kind of discussion and build a united front with the Kuomintang . Otherwise it will be very difficult to win the election. What does Brother Bing think? Will it be possible in the next month or so ? It is a judicial drama , such as the investigation of Xu Qiaoxin, such as Cha Li Chang going to the mainland to engage in cognitive operations , or, for example, the investigation of the 200 million yuan case , whether these are the key to the final election every time. This kind of judicial cases will appear in the final stages of litigation , but in fact these judicial cases are usually nothing We may not be able to do really big things , but we just hope to create a trend and see if it can stimulate some feelings. Personally, I feel that there has not yet been a judicial case that is big enough to reverse the election , or it may have the opposite effect. I think it was counter-productive when they tried to get Xu Qiaoxin, because to be honest, with Xu Qiaoxin’s advantage in that district, she really didn’t have any need to engage in bribery or anything. What’s more, you said Shou Noodles were also used by others. It's a bit too funny to talk about this , so I think of course the inspection may not only check the longevity noodles but also other things , including whether the mayor has accepted hospitality or something. But it seems that it should n't be able to find out anything. Instead, you It will arouse the local people to feel that they have the same hatred and hatred mentality. They feel that your hand is stretched too far by the state machine to bully people. So I think this is counterproductive . As for the matter of making ball soup. There is no way to find out the result of this, because from the beginning to the end, only Ke Wenzhe said that this is really the case. Then what can he say? So I think this is just a political In the end, not much can be found out about the statement . Of course, the DPP is now following Yao Liming to deliberately say that this must be from mainland China. Who said it? Why is it not the United States? It’s strange . Who stipulates that only mainland China can pay for this ? It’s not good that the money provided by your Democratic Progressive Party is not right. You deliberately came to provoke me. So who knows, any situation is possible. So making this kind of judgment is basically not called judgment . This is deliberately pretending to use judgment as a cover for reality. Basically , it is to frame the opponent . This is a common practice in Taiwan . I must say that I agree with what Brother Liang said just now. I have always thought that the Blues' polls have risen in the past two weeks , but the polls In fact, I think that at least if you combine the judgments of various sources, at least the Blues are still losing to Lai Qingde by 5% to 10%. I think it is absolutely impossible to escape. Maybe it will be bigger. I don’t think it will be smaller. At least 5% , so it is extremely difficult to overcome this 5%. Yao Liming said that we are sure to win. Yao Liming is saying this now , but I also find it very strange. I rarely hear the kind of leading people directly tell others that I am sure to win. This actually has the opposite effect. I don’t know if Yao Liming is cheating this time or because he was originally called to beat Ke Wenzhe . Now that Ke Wenzhe has fallen to third place, he doesn’t know what to beat. Such green camp supporters. You can definitely win without coming out to vote. That's great. If it can have this effect, that's great. Just don't come out to vote. I want to see if he is that powerful. I think the key point is not to talk about consciousness at the last moment of this election. As for the issue of form, I don’t think that’s important. The key point is to bring out the atmosphere of hating the DPP. That’s the most important thing. Yes, in fact, the nine-in-one win last year was because we hated the DPP. You know, but this year, honestly speaking, it won’t matter either. Don't recruit , you have to find a way to expand. In fact, for example, if you fight Pan Meng'an, I think it will feel a little bit because it is very simple. Although Pan Meng'an has taken out the lease and said that I will rent with him for 60,000 yuan a month , don't forget that it is only a few dollars. Months ago , Gao Hongan also owned a house worth more than 50 million yuan a month . She rented a house worth 50,000 yuan a month and was beaten to a bloody pulp by you. It's exactly the same thing. If you pay 60,000 yuan, it would be more noble, right? So she would be killed for 50,000 yuan. So, Pan Meng'an, don't you have the same problem as Gao Hong'an ? Why can you rent such a house at this price ? And why do you have to rent this kind of house and be so close to the green energy industry in Pingtung? The relevant thing is that I think if you can rent a room for 8,000 yuan like Wang Dingyu, I admire you . Our netizens said this morning that the rent should be 8,000 yuan. Yes, just look at your landlord. You are so kind, right? 8,000 yuan. I can rent it to you directly. I believe her house must still be vacant. You can just rent it with her, right? Why should you buy a house worth 60,000 yuan ? And it belongs to a consortium that has an interest in you . So this is the way to go. I think there are actually a lot of things that people will feel about in the past year, including eggs . These things are often encountered in life. Now everything has increased . Now how much does a pound of eggs cost outside? Eggs have recently fallen. Chicken legs have increased a lot. Pork has also increased. A lot of times, when I was having dinner with my mother two days ago, my mother told me that all prices have gone up , and lunch boxes and everything else have also gone up . You need to directly deal with people's livelihood-related things , so that everyone can remember what you gave to the people. The party has been working for more than seven years , but instead of making Taiwan better, it has made our lives worse. Only by fighting something that people feel can the people vote. Professor Lin Zhijian’s paper was very popular at that time. I feel that because I refuse to admit that the whole party protects one person, everyone is used to it now . Now there is another Lin Zhijie who is said to have directly copied students' papers. The similarity can reach 51% . This is how to see the possible effects of this in the papers for promotion. What is that ? How come there are so many that all need to be tested in the same way ? I have to wait a moment because I have seen that what he just talked about today is actually a study he did himself. That student was his research assistant and then he published a paper and the student later wrote a paper. So what exactly is going on ? I do n’t think you should follow the trend of the media . In fact, to this day, Hou Youyi’s role and his focus have not been revealed by the Kuomintang. This is a complete outline of what he is really doing to elect the president, right? Last week, there was an occasion where I was in the audience and listened to his speech for nearly 30 minutes. He spoke 80% of the time in Hokkien, and underneath were some entrepreneurs. Everyone listened. He was intoxicated because he even spoke Hokkien and had to understand Chinese characters . There were some words that the audience might not understand . Then what he was talking about was about security and economic development . In fact, what he said was very profound and he was full of confidence, so Hou Youyi In fact, he needs to be reshaped and reshaped to represent such an image of local security. I think he is the real candidate for president today . This is very important, that is, in terms of the demands of the Kuomintang in the future, this can just go. Is it right to compare it with the Democratic Progressive Party from Tsai Ing-wen to Lai Ching-te because he has served as Executive President and Vice President, and then compares these whole problems ? So I think this is actually something that should be paid attention to. As for the so-called Reagan Survey report in the United States, of course you may have already discussed it. It is very conservative and the question design is the simplest. It asks you, do you think China is Enemy or Ally? How to choose ? When it comes to enemies or allies, how do you choose? Brother Liang, how do you choose between an alliance and an enemy? So 77% of the enemy and 15% of the alliance, right ? You don’t have that kind of in-between problem, right? How can the United States look at China? The other option for the alliance is the enemy. But if there is another question, he said if it is a threat , it suddenly dropped to 51% . In 2018, it was only 21%. So this question actually means that this is the way you ask the question, but I The key point here is that the right - wing Republican media in the United States are now using this a lot in reporting. Fox News has reported it in three consecutive articles. These defense news are also using this in the Reagan National Defense Investigation. Doing research and reporting , so you can see this development . I think it is also a method of hyping up anti-China. It is a hyping up anti-China. It is obvious... It is the same as what Raimondo said in the past two days. China is not a friend. China is the biggest threat
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Channel: 新聞大白話
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Length: 48min 11sec (2891 seconds)
Published: Mon Dec 04 2023
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