Yes, but what you see on the battlefield is a very bloody state . What you see here is in Iran. They have now spread that they actually have a building on the Syrian side. At that time, the revolutionary army on the Iranian side was building. As a result of the meeting here , suddenly three fighter planes came over and dropped artillery shells from the sky. The 4th floor was immediately razed to the ground. At the same time, both the Iranian commander and deputy commander inside were killed. They emphasized that a total of 5 Iranian officers were killed. Leahy has already said that severe retaliation measures must be taken against Israel. Israel's explanation is that the reason why this operation is necessary is because Iran's affiliated armed forces exist here, and if they exist here, they will pose a threat to us. In fact, the war between Israel and Kazakhstan is currently ongoing. Of course , the impact on the Red Sea is still ongoing. The Houthi Youth Organization continues to attack ships passing by in the Red Sea , including those from the United States and the United Kingdom. So the United States and Britain have joined forces again to launch Operation Poseidon's Archer, a new wave of offensive against these Yemeni rebels . Of course, so far, it can be seen that Biden and Sunak decided at the same time . Launched an attack on 8 targets , but whether this attack can really completely destroy them. In fact, everyone has a question mark, because now they also say that we also have cargo ships that attack the US military. The US denies this , but look at it. Now, in addition to the Red Sea, the Gulf of Aden, which is a little outside, has begun to become a new field. Now that Iran is directly involved , everyone is beginning to wonder whether this action will eventually lead to a war between Kazakhstan and Kazakhstan. In the region, everyone is involved in an overall war operation. The United Kingdom is now starting to target their Sea Viper missile system. They want to upgrade it because they say that there are continued threats from some missiles in Yemen. Of course, what everyone is watching is the wrestling between Britain and the United States. Is it possible for Iran to unite with their Muslim brothers ? As for Africa, it is another wrestling ground because China and the others usually come to Africa first to tour after the Chinese New Year. Blinken came immediately and what everyone was talking about was of course that he hoped to clean up the situation and not let everyone move closer to that. This time, including Nigeria and Ivory Coast, etc., he hoped to strengthen the partnership and hope to provide some economic or It’s sweet , but is it really enough? Because through two projects, they said they would allocate 150 million US dollars to the country of Cape Verde. But in fact, Cape Verde has a large number of expatriates in the United States , so cooperation between them has long been possible. Competing? No one knows , because now they hope to start with infrastructure construction. In the past, this part of infrastructure construction was actually China’s strength. But this time, why Europe and the United States were able to win Angola’s 30-year concession was mainly because of the Chinese-made railway stations. It is said that something is wrong now , so they decided to abandon China and invest in the United States. Of course , seizing this 30-year franchise in 2022 is a very big deal for the United States and the United Kingdom. Everyone started talking about the United States. In the past, I felt that they were here in Africa. I probably rarely go there at all. Now because China goes there every year and Europe is a very important strategic support place for them , so they always follow China? Do you have to go once wherever China goes ? Do you have to go there once? The two sides are actually here You come and I go back and forth, who is stepping on whom in the end, who can win whom in the end . In fact, no one knows. Let me ask Mr. Lai, how do you think this war will end? No one knows. The latest one is Israel. Now they are talking about it. Because Iran's own power here is expanding, I must take action. Leahy is very angry. The limited retaliation between Israel and Iran is currently still restrained. How long will it actually escalate? It will expand. We are still observing that some time ago, Israel first killed an Iranian militia commander. After that, Iran immediately retaliated. Iran locked the Israeli station in the Kurdish area in northern Iraq , which is an area controlled by the US military . But it It is the Kurdish area in northern Iraq . The Americans control this place, so the Iraqi government has no way to rule this place. The United States has a consulate in this place . There are some mansions outside the consulate, and there is an Israeli intelligence point in that place. That intelligence point was located in that place and was discovered by Iran. After it was confirmed, Iran used a precise strike and used a missile to kill a house in a luxury residential area . About 2 to 4 people were killed inside . It is an Israeli intelligence officer. After the Israeli intelligence officer was killed, Israel immediately retaliated. This time, the revenge was chosen in the luxury area outside the embassy and consulate area in Damascus, Syria. There is a building in the luxury area outside the embassy and consulate area. I think that in the mansion area that you see in the picture, there are four or five commanders of the Iranian militia organization who live in that place . They are officially invited by the Syrian government to Iran. The military adviser lived in that place and then Israel touched the spot and blew it up. Now the president of Iran has announced that they will definitely retaliate. So for now, my judgment is that the Iranian intelligence personnel will definitely try their best to search for this Israeli station. If Iran finds intelligence bases overseas , whether in Iraq, Syria or Lebanon, it is very likely that Iran will use precision or drone missiles. If Israel attacks it , it will definitely retaliate again . Anyway , because their religions are basically the same, they firmly believe in retaliation, so it must be retaliation. But will this spiral of retaliation slowly expand? It is very likely that there will be something else about Yemen. On this issue, Yemen's appeal is to narrow the strike surface. The so-called narrow strike surface means that its blockade of the Red Sea only targets the United States, Britain and Israel . Therefore, it has confirmed that any shipping convoys from mainland China, Russia and Germany are not subject to attack. At present, it is equivalent to narrowing the strike surface , so the conflict with Yemen in the Red Sea becomes a matter between the United States and the United Kingdom . Because France, Germany, Italy, etc. , they will not participate in US military operations . It is good, but Iran seems to be too. We have already begun to intervene because this is a Reuters report. In other words, this kind of military action by the United States and Britain cannot destroy Yemen's attack capabilities. Why? Because it is very likely that Iran will use these weapons that Yemen needs . A steady stream of water will be sent to Yemen , so the tense situation in the Red Sea cannot be resolved in a short time. It seems that there is no way to really return to stability at the beginning of 2024. When will we see this this year ? What about the situation? Our Advanced Advertising will come back and continue to talk about how we should look at it, especially in Africa. Wang Yi has just finished his visit to Blinken and asked Mr. Zuo for advice. In fact, the competition between the United States and mainland China in Africa is very fierce . Once Wang Yi visited 4 countries in Africa , then Blinken also visited 4 countries. They overlapped with Ivory Coast , but the most noteworthy was Angola because Angola was a very close partner of the former Soviet Union during the Cold War. At that time, he also Cuba , like other communist countries, is very close. At that time, it established a country called the People's Republic of Angola. However, recently, a railway built by the mainland has caused some local projects to be built by the mainland . There are some local complaints about his handover. There may have been some local complaints about the connection of the project. As a result, the United States later came in. In fact, because of the overall situation now, the United States and mainland China are actually relying on the United States alone in terms of material strength . Therefore, the United States later joined forces with the Swiss trading group and Portugal. The builders jointly bid for this called the Lobito Atlantic Railway , so this is considered to mean that the United States is competing with the continent in Africa's infrastructure construction . This country is very representative, so of course the United States thinks this is It is an important milestone , so why did Blinken go to Angola in particular this time ? In fact, this has a lot of influence on the entire African continent, whether it is trade relations , infrastructure , or aid, so the United States hopes to be able to Copying Angola's experience to other countries , but the United States is not completely smooth sailing without obstacles. On the contrary, the United States' strength in Africa in the past was not the economy but the military. However, after the coup in Niger, the French troops were forced to leave Niger. The United States and France Because of this NATO alliance, the U.S. military presence in West Africa has also been affected . In the past, the United States used Niger and the French army to fight against terrorist organizations in this place. Now the United States has to find its base again. On the contrary. Generally speaking, there has been some progress in mainland China's military deployment in West Africa , which the United States is very worried about because the east coast from West Africa to the United States is very close . Now it is said that this country with the so-called British Alliance may become a military base for the mainland , so the two countries In the past, the mainland was strong in the economy and the United States was strong in the military. Now the mainland has made some progress in the military. The United States has made some progress in the economy. So I think the battle between the two sides in the future is very worthy of our observation. We have advanced advertising. Please come back. Committee member Yu Fang helped us summarize that in fact, Iran’s revolutionary sentiment has always been very high. So whether you look at Hezbollah or Hamas in the Middle East , Iran is actually behind these things , but he is very cautious and tries not to go there. Fight Israel directly because it is easy to bring the United States in. The United States also had plans to attack its nuclear facilities , but the United States gave up in the end because Iran is a big country. If you do this, you will stoke a hornet's nest. The bees will fly out because it has plans to attack Iraq and Syria . The influence is very great because it is the same Shiite political party as the current ruling party in Iraq. Syria has also sent troops into Syria, so try not to do so . So this time, you see, Iran is also very cautious and careful to say that we don’t have Hamas. Participating in his war is a problem between him and Israel . But now you see, this problem is gradually no longer a proxy war. Iran has been involved. It is directly face-to-face with Israel , so this development will be very troublesome. There are some good things so far. Of course, the political situation in Taiwan after the new Congress took office and before May 20th, everyone was very concerned about whether they could survive this transition period in a stable manner. Yesterday, there was news that the RC135 from the United States was coming. Fortunately, we conducted direct reconnaissance in our airspace and did not avoid suspicion . Some people said that he was taking a civilian flight and was going back to Taiwan at that time. The north of Pengjia Island turned out to be a very, very close place. We could meet at a visual distance. I started asking , so what kind of situation are we in now , but the Global Times said this, Lai Qingde, the other side of the Taiwan Strait, of course already knows his Taiwan independence position very directly , so if Lai Qingde does not do a good job in this part in the next four years, A word of explanation I'm afraid it will be difficult to stabilize the Taiwan Strait. The United States does not want any changes this year between the United States, China and Taiwan, because they have an election , and the Democratic and Republican parties are now in power. It seems that the Communist Party has also come out. After the governor of Florida withdrew from the election, Trump It seems that he should represent the person who aspires to the White House. Once again, Trump is going to face the current president. What will be the ending between the two old men this time ? Trump now says that he will fight again. President Glacier of the United States told Taipei that it must The main reason to be careful is because he doesn't play by the rules. In fact, if you think about what he did in the past , you can understand why everyone now says that Taipei should be careful about the last election. Although the DPP is It’s good to bet on Trump , but in the end the Democratic Party basically won. But do you really think Trump is so friendly to Taiwan? Because after leaving the White House, many Trump cabinet members published books , including what they talked about , including Bolton. Someone who came to Taiwan said that Trump actually admires Xi Jinping very much and thinks that he is the greatest leader in Chinese history. He even used the pen tip on the table to compare Taiwan and said, look at this, it is just Taiwan. The oval table , that is called China, is like this. In the past , when he was asked in an exclusive interview with Fox whether he would send troops to protect Taiwan from Chinese aggression, he would not give a clear answer and even mentioned that he was dissatisfied with Taiwan taking away their chip business. Wait, these all existed in the past. Is it really possible for a Trump like this to take over the White House again? Because this time someone said it, of course I know he has been president. I know him . He is the president when he is president. This seems a bit like a braggadocio , but some people here in New South Wales say that, but I feel like me, so I will still vote for him. You know he is ignorant and rude , but you will still vote for him. Some people also say Why did I not like him at first , but I think he is very similar to me and I will still vote for him . Of course, it is not illegal to brag because he said such a thing a few days ago . Everyone thinks this is bragging. He said he saw it a few days ago. China's stock market plummeted and he said, "I know why. The reason is because I won the Iowa primary. Everyone wants to say what is the logic of these two things ? Put them together. Now there may be new conflicts between the United States, China and Taiwan this year. " Are there variables? So far, American think tanks have told us that the other side of the Taiwan Strait is capable of imposing a blockade on us within five years. What worries us the most is the Taiwan Strait crisis in 1996. If such a thing is true , the South China Morning Post told We may be able to connect these two. They said that China's secret laboratory simulates supersonic missiles to attack American warships . If there is a blockade, will the United States come to intervene ? Is it possible to use supersonic missiles? As a counterattack, it is not only the first island chain between the Taiwan Strait. Take a look at it . The RC135 electronic reconnaissance aircraft has also been discovered recently. It has also come to the South Korean Peninsula because the situation here recently is also somewhat dangerous. If If a war really breaks out here, if we count this island chain from Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and the Philippines, the GDP of the countries involved will be more than 25 trillion U.S. dollars , equivalent to two-thirds of Asia . This matter is really igniting. Are you up? There are already many people in Taiwan who are actually a little concerned about this matter . There are already two battlefields in the world. What everyone is worried about is whether it will spread to a third one and whether there will be a third one. Please tell me, Mr. Lai. Because when many people saw the RC135 reconnaissance in our airspace and did not shy away from suspicion, the people were actually a little surprised. The Taiwanese people have the right to know that the Ministry of National Defense has the responsibility and obligation to detect any third - party aircraft in our air defense identification zone . Military aircraft entering our Air Defense Identification Zone should be publicly announced so that the people of Taiwan can clearly know whose aircraft has entered Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone , especially in our waters , such as the Diaoyu Islands, where it is very obvious. It is our sea area, our sea area has our airspace , so how can we say that foreign troops have entered our airspace or entered our airspace, but we have completely failed to respond and completely prevented the people from knowing what should be known to the people. Deliberate concealment will make the people know. I don’t trust him , so if the Ministry of National Defense has no way to gain the people’s trust in you , how can you have influence in Taiwan? In addition, you should not intervene in the election or interfere with the election . That is to say, you should not inform the country before the election. You are alarmed, but you have already announced that China will launch an artificial satellite . This artificial satellite has been announced internationally for a long time. Wikipedia has already listed the specific time, place and date. And you made it so clear what it was going to launch, but you issued a national alert, and it was before Taiwan's vote, so we had to wonder whether this thing was involved in Taiwan's election , and whether the administrative neutrality maintained by the Ministry of National Defense was self- inflicted. In such a situation, will you lose the trust of the Taiwanese people in you by destroying your own hands and feet ? I think this is a very serious matter. The Ministry of National Defense must honestly and seriously apologize to the people and admit their mistakes, saying that you should not have participated in Taiwan's elections. Not long ago, a national alert was issued for the launch of a well-known artificial satellite , and then a foreign military entered our air defense identification zone but was not announced. I think this situation is very inappropriate. Now that Trump is back , I think Trump is back. Trump is very close to the Republican Party. Republican voters are currently overwhelmingly in love with Mr. Trump . Therefore, my personal inference is that there should be no suspense for Trump to win the Republican candidate. Then DeSantis withdrew from the candidacy and Trump fell into a trap. I think it is extremely unlikely that he will be reused in my cabinet because I had a lot of people supporting me right away. What he meant was that even if a number one person like you initially opposed me, I still want to follow him. My competition is now completely defeated by me. I will never show mercy to people like you, so I will not use your words to make it difficult to hear. In fact, isn't he also hinting and warning that this Haley is your Republican Party? Anyone who wants to compete with me again , let me tell you that I didn’t know how to use it when I came up, so you’d better all step down for me. That means everyone can only support me and let me become the only candidate of the Republican Party early. Now I will start to expand my Isn’t it very clear that his posture is very clear during the presidential campaign ? Even the people in the party can threaten and say, I will not give you an official position . Then think about what he means to Taiwan. If this interest is not strong enough, he can abandon it at any time. This is why the New York Times published an article some time ago saying that the people in Taiwan are increasingly distrustful of the United States. He uses the present continuous tense , that is Because the people in Taiwan have lost confidence in the United States, that is, because the United States has continuously abandoned its allies in history and always puts the interests of the United States first. When you put the interests of the United States first, of course you will encounter conflicts with your American interests. When the time comes , you will abandon your so-called allies or everyone. Of course, Taiwan will be abandoned. It is no wonder that only 34%, 64%, and 66% of those who believe in the United States no longer believe in the United States. I estimate that a large part of the majority should advocate Taiwan independence because they have no way to go, so they have no way to go, so they have no choice but to trust the United States. Think about it, the United States is actually very sad. It turns out that its allies are actually trusting him more and more. Even he himself felt that even the New York Times had to admit that Taiwanese people 's trust in the United States is only 34%. I would like to ask Mr. Zuo for advice. The reason is because if Trump really comes back now, of course, this game will be over at the moment. It seems that the Democratic Party should still be Biden, so it will become a battle between two people. Of course, Glacier herself has some relatively clear political positions , but she specifically emphasized that Taipei should be careful. In fact, after Trump leaves office, After Biden takes office, are there really any differences between the policies of the two sides in Taiwan because of this ? Or are they basically the same? What Americans care about is the interests of Americans . Trump can say that his main policy direction is America first , so America first means that he cares more about the United States itself and less about other countries. So Glacier's speech certainly reflects this kind of thinking , and it reflects her concern about Trump's style . But I think the first thing we need to understand is why American society supports Trump. It’s not just that his speech is arrogant, which makes many people happy to hear it . There is also a very important reason why he does what he says. He says he will build a wall. A high wall was built on the U.S.-Mexico border. He said he wanted to withdraw from the TPP and then withdrew. Many things people thought were exaggerated , but he did them all. So of course, everyone felt that his speech was powerful because he said it. That's it , but I think the difference between my worries about Trump and Glacier's is that Glacier thinks it would be terrible if Trump comes back , but now Trump has already caused an impact on Taipei even before he comes back. We have to worry now. Our government has to worry now. Vice President Lai has to worry now. Why? Because everyone will think that Trump may come back , and the probability of coming back is very high. At this time, the assessment of many things will not put Biden now. Whether it is the benefits or threats proposed , he will take them so seriously because he will think that it is Trump behind him, so what Biden does today may be overturned in the future , such as the Russia-Ukraine war . It is possible that the two sides will simply cease the war and negotiate this year because they have been in a stalemate. But now Putin is not willing. He said that he will wait for Trump to come because Trump will give him the best conditions after he comes . So Biden will now become Because the power of the domestic Republican Party has risen, it is increasingly difficult for Congress to pass aid to Ukraine. But on the other side, Putin is unwilling to cease the war and Zelensky is unwilling to step down. So in this case, he is riding a tiger and is unable to get off. I think Trump The impact has already appeared now , not when Trump really came up , but now. So under such circumstances and under the pressure that Biden faces from all aspects, it will be difficult for him to achieve greater results with the mainland. I think what I want to talk about is the so-called compromise or room for concession. I think the CSIS report is very important because it shows that Taiwan is actually far less worried about the cross-strait situation than the United States . The United States is more worried about Taiwan and less worried about this. I think This is something we should be careful about, that is, maybe we are too relaxed about the possibility of a war between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait . The second thing is that if the most likely future is that the mainland will implement a blockade , does it mean that the Tsai government has promoted it in the past ? The so-called urban war or the urban war planned by the United States in Taiwan In fact, the wrong prescription is used, because if there is a blockade in the future, the first thing we should pay attention to is energy security. The second thing should be to have large-scale vehicles to counter the gray zone operations on the other side instead of our urban warfare. So from the perspective of military planning, if you think that is the most likely scenario, we will now start to change our military planning. Teacher Zuo will ask Commissioner Yu Fang for advice. The reason is because if it is like CSIS , we Is it true that I guessed the question wrong and prepared in the wrong direction ? Because the South China Morning Post said that they also saw China's secret laboratory simulating the use of supersonic missiles to attack US warships . Does this mean that the Chinese side already has their own set of scripts? Or do they have multiple scripts going on ? What is the impact on the entire island chain? If China wants to fight against Taiwan, the biggest influencing factor is actually the involvement and degree of intervention of the United States . It will definitely intervene , but to what extent we don’t know, so China One thing that the mainland needs to prepare is to try its best to strengthen its ability to deal with the United States and deter the United States from intervening. Once it takes action against Taiwan , it will intervene in the war and hope to minimize your intervention . This is probably what he thinks. As for when the war will break out and how it will be carried out, I am very timid because it is very difficult to predict. International political scholars know that I have said many times that it is very difficult to predict when a war will break out. The more difficult thing is how to proceed , and the most difficult thing is what the result will be. When the United States fights in Afghanistan, do you think that one day you have to evacuate in the middle of the night? Do you want to flee? Do you flee in a hurry? You didn't expect it. So I want to talk about what we have to do now. Let’s get back to talking about if Trump is likely to be elected, I think the probability of his election is very high. To understand how he views war, first, he is a unilateralist. He never believes that it is necessary to combine other allies to do one thing. He doesn’t want CPTPP regardless of military or economic matters. He doesn’t care at all. He doesn’t want it . The second thing is that he is very opposed to the United States stationing troops abroad. This is because businessmen stationing troops abroad spend too much money. So he thinks that if Japan and South Korea refuse, If you pay such a small amount, then we will withdraw it. Then you, Japan, and South Korea, just use nuclear bombs and protect yourself. This is what he said to the EU and to NATO, so be careful. The third one is that he is actually opposed to US military intervention in Afghanistan, so he has been calling for the withdrawal of US troops in Afghanistan . Putting these together, let’s talk about businessmen first. Businessmen value profit over profit. What I value is that interests are very substantial. Benefits : How much money will I make if I continue this business ? How much can I lose at most ? I need to plan it in advance . Saying goodbye is just goodbye. I don’t care at all. It ’s like this . So one thing we have to be careful about is that in the future, if we talk about cross-strait If a war really breaks out, how willing is Trump to let the US military intervene and help Taiwan? I believe it will be helpful to what extent. If it is like the 823 artillery battle, the US military will help escort our convoy and supply convoy to Kinmen. Stop 3 nautical miles outside the sea and seize the beach yourself. This process of seizing the beach will still cause heavy casualties because he thinks that I want to make a gesture to mainland China. If I don't hit you , don't hit my ship. I keep a safe distance. That 's it. If so. Is there anything we can do based on our own abilities ? For example, just now Zhengdong talked about the issue of supply and energy storage. We now have energy, our gasoline, and how many days our natural gas can last . This is something that everyone knows very well. He blocked your natural gas for a month. If there is no oil, it will probably be almost done. If you want to support the United States, we need to transport it. We need to transport this oil. We need to protect us and we need to seize the beach. Is there any way you can do this ? So in mainland China, you said they are developing supersonic extremes . If a missile with the speed of sound is going to deal with an American warship, if he tells you, he will think that you are an island fighting and if the United States wants to come in , then I will prevent you from entering . He will win this war , so that’s probably the case. But Trump, I am I think you want Trump to long-term support for countries like the Russians and the European Union to support Ukraine . I don’t think this businessman can do this. I want to tell you about domestic and international matters in words you can understand . To introduce the guests for this hour, the first thing I want to introduce is the international politics expert Mr. Lai Yue-qian, the host, hello audience friends, and the international strategy scholar Lin Yufang. Hello everyone , and the professor Zuo Zhengdong from the Department of Political Science at National Taiwan University. Hello everyone, the host. Let me start with What you are here to see is a major event after the current election ends. After the new Congress is formed on February 1, the battle for the leadership of Congress is now directly announced by Ke Jianming. He said that it seems that everyone in the Democratic Progressive Party and the People's Party will go their separate ways. If this is the way to go, then it will be to recommend Han Kuo-yu who is the most unqualified. He said that he is the most unqualified and has no expectations . He even choked him for being the legislative president with the lowest vote rate in history. At the same time, what else did he say about Han Kuo-yu? If you really If we let him be the leader of Congress, there is a high possibility that our Congress will be controlled by the CCP in the future. When the time comes, which country will come to visit us, the other side will play a guiding role . He particularly emphasized that Is this a way of saying that the fear of China card should be used even in the battle to become the leader of the Legislative Council? Everyone wants to ask, do you think you are more qualified, whether You Xikun or Ke Jianming ? In fact, now that the new Congress has a new atmosphere, everyone hopes We can see that everyone is really doing parliamentary reform. After the People's Party proposed four-point reforms, the Kuomintang was not to be outdone and proposed five-point reforms. The first one they advocated included changing the vote in the election of the Legislative Yuan. At the same time, many in the Legislative Yuan in the past When you ask for information and there is no way to get it, they ask whether it will also be enacted in the future , such as the crime of contempt of Congress and the congressional investigative and hearing rights. They think that members should be given the means to conduct strong supervision. You can get all the information you need, but what about the People's Party? Now they have to decide what path to take. The way they talk about it is that so far they are still in the process of discussing whether it should be green-white combined with green-blue or blue-white. Hehao, no one knows what kind of combination this is, so Lai Shibao directly said that if it is really white who decides to go with green, then you are equivalent to joining the ruling alliance . Isn't this bad for you? Abandoning a little bit of the positioning you originally wanted, at the same time, Wei An, a senior media person, said that if the DPP is sure that it cannot win because it has only 51 seats due to its relatively small number of people, is it possible that it could simply The first vote of the People's Party proposed Huang Shanshan, and all votes were cast for Huang Shanshan. Huang Shanshan became the Legislative President. Do you think this is an attempt to poach the votes of the People's Party ? Is there such a trick? So far, many people have said that there are variables. There is really a lot that I still don’t know , but the problem is that many people are now asking about the future reform of Congress, including whether the president should come to the Legislative Yuan to deliver the Congressional address of the Legislative Yuan . In fact, Lai Qingde once had He said that he was willing to deliver the State of the Nation Address. Lin Weizhou asked about increasing the membership of the Kuomintang. Do you want to increase the membership? Unexpectedly, some of the new green members of the Legislative Yuan actually praised and expressed their agreement. They thought that they would do a State of the Nation report and then make relevant suggestions. They think these are very good. If so, how can we tell everyone that the Congress will have a new atmosphere ? Today Lai Qingde came to the Congress in person. After all, he himself used to be a member of the Legislative Yuan. He emphasized that he was a member of the Legislative Yuan in the past. When he was a committee member for 12 years, he never went to socialize or go to karaoke . Every time it was over, he would go directly back to the dormitory. I hope everyone can listen to public opinion and ask professional questions. But so far, is public opinion really on the side of the DPP? According to the latest public opinion survey in Taiwan, they found that after the election, the three parties in Congress were less than half, and nearly 60% of the people agreed to form a coalition cabinet . But now they see that the Democratic Progressive Party has not won a majority of seats in Congress , but it is also true. Nearly 47% of the people are basically happy to see the end of the complete rule of the DPP . Between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, they also particularly emphasize that China mediates elections in every election. In fact, half of the Chinese people think that there is no such thing. This election is not serious. The Democratic Progressive Party has cried wolf every time. As a result, half of the people now don’t think there is such a thing as a wolf . Or is there really a wolf now ? Everyone starts to ask . So in this round, the Democratic Progressive Party is shouting that the possibility of recommending Han Kuo-yu to be controlled by the CCP in the future is very high . Or even if each party goes its own way, it will recommend the most unqualified Han Kuo-yu. Is this useful? Let me ask Councilor Yu Fang . In fact, Ke Jianming It is very impolite to say this . It is not even the most basic polite thing to do as a human being . Like you, Han Kuo-yu is a non-district legislator. Neither of you were elected. Are you much better than Han Kuo-yu? It seems that you don’t have a better image than Han Kuo-yu. Okay, I don’t necessarily see that in the future, only half of the three parties will fight in the Legislative Yuan. Of course, there must also be cooperation. But when you say this, you are basically denying people ’s loyalty to the Republic of China , and the DPP engages in this kind of thing. This trick of smearing and smearing must really come to an end. Frankly speaking, it is very bad. Now, how do you choose the president of the Legislative Yuan? Do you think his 8 votes are not decisive? The 8 votes of the Democratic Party actually determine who he is. Who can be the Legislative Yuan, who cannot be the Legislative Yuan , or which party can become the majority party in the Legislative Yuan ? There is no way. Because it is very simple. If the DPP supports the Democratic Progressive Party, it will pass. If it supports the Kuomintang, the Kuomintang will pass. Then he can also If you choose not to support him and don’t support him at all , then the Kuomintang may pass, so he still has his influence. But Ke Jianming, he is now humiliating the Kuomintang all at once and saying that your 8 votes have no influence. The 8 votes are all at once repairing the Kuomintang. That is to say, that kind of pride. The Democratic Progressive Party only won the presidential election this time , and it was only because the opposition was divided that it was elected. You were elected very poorly in the Legislative Yuan . As a result, you are still so arrogant. With this tone , you can foresee the future 4 In the Legislative Yuan , the DPP would not pay too much attention to the Kuomintang or the People's Party. I think they would not hesitate to fight and boycott when necessary. If they are not the president, if they are the president of the DPP It's very simple to take down the dean's throne. He just doesn't like it. The meeting is adjourned as soon as the gavel is struck, and then the meeting is adjourned, and then it completely cooperates with the administrative department and ignores you at all. Many things have to be passed by force. It doesn’t matter whether you fight or not. That’s how it must be. So the DPP is still not so humble. Face the whole society and say that you really did not govern well during your eight years in power , so Lai Qingde’s vote is actually not ideal. It is because the opposition parties have no way to cooperate that you can win the world. Moreover, you are also the second largest party in the Congress, no longer the third largest party. It’s a big party. If you don’t have this understanding, you still have to use that kind of arrogance and use the method of smearing red to deal with the Kuomintang. I think this will happen in the Kuomintang in the future in the Legislative Yuan . I think there will only be struggle between parties. There is no cooperation at all. This is actually not a good thing for Taiwan , so I hope that Ke Jianming will really adjust his mentality a little bit . Also, his chief minister seems to be older than the legislative president , so I think we should let him If it is not that big, the only way is not to let the DPP be the president of the Legislative Yuan, and let the president of the Legislative Yuan fight with the chief congressman of the DPP. Let him know that there are people outside the world. I think Han Guoyu came to fight him . A good choice. Is he repairing Han Guoyu like this now ? In his heart, Maomao thinks that he has finally met an opponent who may be more ruthless than him. In fact, we also want to ask Teacher Zuo now, what do you think of the reason ? It's because the whole people are actually looking forward to the new Congress , so we can see that basically 47% of the people so far actually agree to end the complete governance of the DPP because we want to see a new atmosphere . Of course, the KMT now Some reforms have also been proposed , such as the crime of contempt of Congress . For example, they now need to have the power of investigation and the right of hearing. This is actually what happened in the past when the legislators in the blue camp couldn't get some information when they asked for it . Now they want to put the administrative unit in the past. The ruling party despises Congress and refuses to provide Congress with information. Such things are completely subversive. I think these are very correct directions. I would like to further point out that there are two major directions that the opposition parties can work together in the future. The first one is to return to power. Our constitution originally had the spirit of a cabinet system, and the design of a congress is because in fact, our current highest administrative organ is still the Executive Yuan, not the presidential office. The budget of the presidential office must be proposed to the Legislative Yuan through the Executive Yuan . Our current constitution It is still stipulated that the administration must be responsible to the legislation . So here, the legislation is actually a role that can not only supervise the administrative department but also lead the major policy directions of the administrative department . This is the second thing I think it should do. What is the matter ? It is necessary that the Legislative Yuan not only supervises and balances but also proposes important policy directions. So the two key points are to go back to the constitution and require that the executive must be responsible to the legislation. This is a basic system spirit. The second is what is it? The second is to be able to show that the legislative branch leads your policy direction in your supervision, checks and balances , and even in the process of asking the executive branch to be accountable to the legislation, to be able to be in front of the executive branch, to suffer the people's sufferings, and to put forward what the people want. I think some of the legislative directions that we are looking forward to are these two directions. These two things are things that the new Congress can do and should do. This is back to how to do it . In fact, we talked about it this time. The so-called president's report on the state of the nation to Congress is actually part of the Constitution. In the past, during the Ma Ying-jeou era, he wanted to report to the Legislative Yuan, but he failed . The Legislative Yuan did not allow him to report to the Legislative Yuan. In the Tsai Ing-wen era, the Legislative Yuan wanted her to come because the opposition parties wanted her to . She reported , but Tsai Ing-wen was unwilling to report. So now, according to our Legislative Yuan’s inquiry exercise method, Congress actually has the right to consent. Now that the majority of Congress is in the hands of the opposition party , Congress can require the president to go to Congress. To conduct a State of the Nation report , and after the State of the Nation report, as Lin Weizhou wrote, although it is not called preparing for inquiries, it is called asking questions , but it is actually a similar concept to this inquiry. It is just that the president does not need to answer his inquiry , and must have the president's consent. The president can make a supplementary report, that's all. In the future, when the questions and answers are over and the supplementary report is over , the legislators can discuss it again and send the meeting minutes to the Presidential Palace for reference . So his question is a supplementary one. There is no such effect as questioning , but he can still highlight the matters that legislators care about. I think it is not only the state of the country report, but also another very important thing, which is the policy policy report of the Executive Yuan. In the past, in fact, no one paid attention to this matter. The thing is that he thinks it is just a question to the Executive Yuan , because this is stipulated in the method for exercising the powers of legislators in the Legislative Yuan. He allocates his question time according to political parties, so he can conduct this policy address. The question and answer should be answered by the Executive President . But if we really return to the spirit of the cabinet system and the administration is responsible to the legislation , then the Executive President, who does not trust the Legislative Yuan, should follow the spirit of the cabinet system. It cannot be passed at all and there is no way to exercise its powers. But now that the Legislative Yuan is unable to implement such a spirit, what the Legislative Yuan can do is to ask the executive president to hold a debate after the policy address is delivered. After the debate, even You can vote to express whether the Legislative Yuan is satisfied or not with the new Executive Yuan. I think although this has no legal effect , it can create a kind of political pressure to force the Executive Yuan to respect the majority opinion shown by the Legislative Yuan. Therefore, there are many things that can be done in the new Congress because the opposition party has obtained a majority . Although the opposition parties are two political parties , since everyone proposed before the election that they want to promote the cabinet system , then the current powers of the Legislative Yuan and the Constitution have been used. As a basic system in which the executive is responsible to the legislation, I think we can still do these things through the method of exercising powers. Just now, the teacher specifically mentioned that the opposition party is in the majority , but this majority really has a way to achieve substantive results. Does it work? Because the teacher Lai Shibao has said it directly so far , if white then goes to join forces with green, you will become the ruling alliance of the Democratic Progressive Party. White will not join with green, because if white joins with green, white will become a small party . Having no room for survival and no room for development is tantamount to self-limitation. We can say it would be self-castration. So my inference is that white will not combine with green . White can adopt vertical and horizontal alliances with different political parties to focus on functions. Because Bai Bai will introduce his own ideas and his own bills, I think the Kuomintang can be more active in introducing its own ideas in this section , such as how to restrict restrictions. We have seen that in the past 8 years, the executive branch has really acted recklessly . The reason why we act wildly is because one party was dominant in the legislative branch. So when the executive branch was acting wildly, it despised Congress, the Legislative Yuan , and members of Congress. At that time, the ruling Democratic Progressive Party was trying to protect its shortcomings . This resulted in our legislation. The department 's supervision of the executive branch has seriously failed. This has caused the chaos in Taiwan in the past eight years. It has also caused these officials in the executive branch to be impolite, unfriendly , and even sometimes full of provocation and insults to members of Congress in the past eight years. The meaning of humiliation is unbearable. Because the members of Congress represent our people in the Legislative Yuan , when they supervise the administrative department , these administrative officials, the president, and ministers are not elected by the people, but they go directly. Humiliating the legislators elected by our people in the Legislative Yuan is completely unacceptable to us. But they have been doing this for eight years in the past. With the current situation, does the People's Party also want to be angry about this and be humiliated again? It also wants to be angry about this. Swallow it? Of course not. Since I don’t want to swallow this breath, of course I must cooperate with the Kuomintang on the bill. We must make these arrogances of the executive branch defy Congress , legislate and criminalize them. Whoever is in contempt of Congress must use the law to punish me. I think this is something that can be done. The last thing I want to talk about is Ke Jianming. Ke Jianming is not qualified to say whether Han Guoyu is suitable or not , because whether Han Hanyu is suitable to be the president of the Legislative Yuan is not yours. Ke Jianming has the final say. It is the legislators who have the final say . It is all in Taiwan. The people have the final say, but I know that you, Ke Jianming, are not suitable to be the President of the Legislative Yuan. Why is it because Tsai Ing-wen said that you are not qualified ? You always wanted to win over Tsai Ing-wen, the President of the Legislative Yuan, but she refused to let you be. Why is it because Tsai Ing-wen thinks that you, Ke Jianming, are not qualified? Ge Dang, the president of the Legislative Yuan, has already endorsed this. You can't deny it, right? Ke Jianming admits it.
