Good afternoon everyone, I am Chen Yanying. Welcome to the Global Liang Talk. Every Thursday at 12:30 noon, we go online on time and invite everyone’s favorite guest, our teacher Guo Zhengliang. Hi, everyone, be safe and well. Our recording time is actually the afternoon service . It's about 3 or 4 o'clock in the afternoon , so we prepare some afternoon tea every time and ask the teacher to comment. Today's afternoon tea is a little richer. Today is beef noodles. Why do you look a little bit swollen? And I have already finished one bowl. He had already finished a bowl before we started recording. He came to tell me directly how he felt after eating today. The rating was very high because my wife is a vegetarian , so I bought most of the non-vegetarian food myself , so I probably ate it. I have eaten all kinds of beef noodles, you said take-out ones ... Including the most famous brands out there, I have eaten them all with a few stars and a few stars... I have eaten them all, no matter how expensive they are. After eating it , he said, no matter how expensive it is, I want to eat it. No matter how expensive it is, I have eaten it. What do you think of today ? The first one is beef. It has all the muscles and muscles. The muscles are full and soft, and the taste is very delicious. It has a good taste. The second thing you need to know when you go in is this side and that side. What is this side called? The wavy side is because usually most of the sides are straight, wide and thin . And if you look at me taking it out like this, you will find that it is actually wrapped. There's so much soup that it's so good to carry with you. I've bought other noodles outside that have wide and thin noodles that are easy to cook. This one won't, so it has its Q degree , so the degree of reduction is very high because it's not. The combination of pure beef noodles also comes with slices of braised hoof meat, right? I like that hoof meat very much. What do you think? The dried tofu is also good. We are all gourmets here. He just finished it. You are asking me how is today's combination? Because my house is next to Lao Zhang Beef Noodles. If you tell people this, it is the famous one there . My house is just over there on foot. I used to live in Huang Weihan. When we were nearby, he would take me there to eat noodles every time and then he would go home. So we ate a lot of this kind of shop, Lao Zhang Beef Noodles , which is famous for its cut braised beef noodles. I think the dried tofu is quite well done , and this, this, this is the hoof , that’s the hoof meat, the pig’s feet, the pig’s feet are well done, the pig’s feet are good, the pig’s feet are marinated, right? Because just before he ate it , I said I said I like the pig's feet and they are not overcooked but melt in your mouth. Come and listen to Brother Liang. Do you really want to know how much it costs ? Now I will introduce to you this combination of beef noodles that is our happy event. It's just bright. Brother said it's delicious. You know its sales volume has actually been as high as 9 seats and 101. So the sales volume is very good. Many netizens have discussed it on the Internet before . This is our own brand . Come on, the happy event is our TVBS. So it has launched some peripheral products. I don’t know which chef is the one endorsed by Sister Yalan. But I know it is the one endorsed by Sister Yalan. You have to write about the chef. The chef has to write about it, right ? The braised food we developed ourselves said it was delicious, especially the pig's feet. The reason he said it was delicious was because we actually marinated it first , then fried it, and then braised it, so the process was quite repetitive and it wouldn't be bad. The kind that will be too rotten but not rotten because it has been fried ... It has a certain toughness and a good Q-temperature, so let me tell everyone who is interested. It has two flavors , one is braised and half gluten, and the other is half gluten and half meat. Gang Liang Ge One of the things I ate was the spicy green peppercorns. Friends who like spicy food can also try this one to see if it’s pretty good. The taste is pretty good. This combo is two bowls of noodles... and then there are three side dishes . It’s 1,199 yuan, but I’d like to remind everyone that this is already available. The discount is 100 yuan , but the shipping fee is still 130 yuan. So I personally think that I don’t like to pay for shipping. I must buy the one with free shipping. That’s the Pengpai group. The Pengpai group has a total of 8 There are 4 bowls of noodles each and 2 plates of side dishes each, so it’s really filling. If you double the portion, it’s about 2,100 yuan, including shipping. This is really cheap because I bought decent beef noodles in a box for about 250 yuan. To 300 yuan a box, he said one box, one bowl, one bowl, because I have eaten too many. We just discussed a little bit about the major emerging brands. We won’t say more about the other ones. Okay, if you are interested, come today. For reference, please refer to our happy news. Today we are launching this beef noodle for a limited time until next Tuesday. Friends who need it are welcome to follow our introduction or click on the blue column in our chat room to find relevant links . Come and buy directly. Let ’s talk about this first. If you want to eat, can you continue now ? Can I continue to be greedy ? Of course... Of course I eat braised food. If you want to eat braised food, okay... Then I will continue here because this international event is very important. Hurry up and eat more this week. It’s so sad that we can’t eat in Gaza. I saw that he sent me that photo yesterday. It was on the other side of the Gaza corridor. Then there are a lot of media. They now have more and more photos. Including now, in fact, because mobile phones are developed and there are many self-media, many people will see these contents on There are 1,200 people in Gaza That is to say, the Palestinian side said that there are already 900 people. This is the death toll. This number may continue to rise. The reason is because the Israeli Defense Minister has said that they are now free to fight without any restrictions on combat. I just saw it in the United States. It seems that they are going to launch another aircraft carrier. They said in the past that they hope to give this region a greater deterrence capability. But whether this war will continue to go up is probably not a solution in the short term , because Natanyahu has already He said that there is no possibility of negotiation and peace now because for them it has just begun. What do you think of the subsequent development of this whole incident ? Because many people say that this is just like what happened back then. The Yom Kippur War was version 2.0. At that time, it actually triggered subsequent oil crises . Because it was in the Middle East, it caused many problems. How do you first ask how you look at this matter now ? We may see it in the near future. How do you predict the subsequent development of this situation? It will be different from the Day of Atonement, because at the beginning, Egypt and Syria came to attack Israel from the south and from the north. Frankly speaking, Israel was actually defeated that time. It was the United States that came in to save Israel. Otherwise, the consequences would be It was very tragic because it was unexpected. Just like this time, Israel did not expect to choose the Jewish Day of Atonement and carry out such a large-scale attack. The United States came in to save it. Later, the Middle Eastern country was very angry and said, "How can the United States intervene? " There was an oil crisis because they had no leverage. All they had was oil, so they started using oil as weapons. This time is different, that is, it was initiated this time. You cannot say it is a government organization . It is just a government organization. In fact, I am telling you this. It is controversial because six countries, the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, the European Union, Japan and Israel, regard it as a terrorist group. However, the United Nations has not passed the United Nations Security Council. China, Russia , and most Arab countries regard it as a resistance group, that is, a resistance group. If you use resistance groups, it means that Gaza is an unusual place. Some people simply think that it is a concentration camp . It is not easy to get out when you enter . It is very difficult for you to do economic development in it because it has various barriers . I even saw a story saying that even cement cannot be allowed in, and cement cannot be allowed in. It needs to apply for a special project. Because there was a case where Turkey had a ship called the Gaza Humanitarian Ship , which assembled 6 ships from It was coming up from the Eastern Mediterranean , but the Israeli navy boarded the ship and killed 10 people , saying that they were smuggling cement in the name of smuggling cement. So let me tell you, the severity of this place is unimaginable. As a result , Turkey still fought with Israel because of that. So for the time being, all diplomatic ambassadors have been withdrawn, etc. This is history. You know that this place is a very special place. Why? Because Israel has a Palestinian autonomous government in the entire territory of the West Bank , but it is basically Palestinian autonomy . The government is still under the control of Israel. Of course, Israel controls this place this year because the Palestinian moderates live on the West Bank and the radicals live here. So think about what Hamas stands for . To destroy Israel is the same as Iran , and you are in my territory because it was originally Egypt and then occupied by Israel after the Six-Day War. Israel withdrew in 2007. How could Israel really withdraw? The groups here want to destroy me, so of course it There are various barriers set up , so the locals feel that you will not allow me to develop freely and independently . Let me tell you how serious the situation is. The area of this place is 365 square kilometers, with a population of 2.37 million. Its population density is similar to that of Hong Kong , and its unemployment rate is 40 % Youth unemployment rate is 60% , and 70% of the people live in refugee camps. 70% of the people live in refugee camps. Why do they receive assistance from the United Nations? This place is that you know that Muslims do not use contraception. It is the same as Catholicism, so their children Many people are right, so the population of this place keeps increasing. The same goes for Israel. I saw a number. In 2002 , its population was only about 6.57 million people. In 2020, it increased to 8.6 million people. This speed is also very fast because of Orthodoxy . Judaism is not contraceptive. OK, let me tell you . It has brought back Jews from all over Russia and Ukraine in large numbers. It wants to increase its base. As a result, Israel has launched a settlement policy. Because there is not enough housing there , it encourages them to go to other Palestinian areas for settlement. Frankly speaking, the West Bank is expansionism from a political point of view . How can you go to a place where you have promised others that you will establish a country in the future ? Are you not occupying other people's land? As a result, Israeli laws and military police are one-sided in escorting the Jews who go out to colonize. So if you think about what the Palestinians will think, they will think that you have occupied and actually controlled it , and then you continue to colonize and occupy my land. Then the international community does not care that Israel has colonized and immigrated about 320,000 people in the West Bank . If you look at the changes in the map over the past few years, you will find that the area has been shrinking almost continuously. The area where Palestinians live is getting smaller and smaller. So if you think about it, it is roughly this. Why should I introduce this big picture first? The background is to tell you that the reason why Hamas came into being is completely different from that of terrorist groups. Its demands are very simple. In fact, it wants you to give me back my land. Give me a space for independent development. Because Israel refused to listen , it gradually turned into an anti-Israel radical movement. This is relatively the Palestinian autonomous government, which we call Fata. It is equivalent to another system. Fata believes that we must be gentle and ask you throughout Israel not to be confrontational, etc. If you are a young person in the Palestinian area and you see the unemployment rate is so high and you see restrictions everywhere , you will easily start to sympathize with Hama. Si, you know what I mean , so this happened . I think the economic difficulties we are talking about are long-term factors because they have always been like this. Why did it happen at this time ? Because there is a short-term factor that stimulated them, which is this. For more than a year, Saudi Arabia has wanted to normalize relations with Israel and has not ruled out the establishment of diplomatic relations in the future. The United States has promised to help Saudi Arabia develop nuclear energy and may even allow it to possess nuclear weapons in the future. Saudi Arabia initially said that during this process it would We will not betray our Palestinian brothers because from the beginning , Saudi Arabia had a political commitment that if it wants to establish diplomatic relations with Israel, it must establish Palestine first. Saudi Arabia has always told Palestinian brothers that I will not forget you. I will never forget you. After all, I heard the Sunni Big Brother ’s speech was right at the beginning, so even the Palestinians thought that Big Brother would help him get justice. However, in the past six months, I feel that Saudi Arabia has rarely mentioned Palestine , so I think it is. The radicals inside will be worried that Big Brother will not care about us. We just want to go with Israel. Some wealthy Sunni countries have become friendly with Israel and joined the United Arab Emirates and Qatar. So you have to know that most of the money from Hamas It's from Qatar , so what I mean is that I think this must give them a sense of psychological worry and urgency , so the radicals want to stop this and say, I can't let you Saudi Arabia and Israel. Normalization, I think the proximate cause of this incident is this. Of course, there is another reason that he said himself, but I don’t think that is that big. You said that you go to the mosque and let people enter the mosque to worship and pray. From April to July, the army enters you . Interfering with our religious freedom and other such things have happened before , so I don’t think this will constitute a reason for launching a war. I think the bigger reason is that Saudi Arabia and Israel are normalizing , but this thing is very strange. It is obvious that Israel has completely underestimated the power of Hamas. There are many conspiracy theories here. I have been talking about Egypt telling the Natanyahu government that they were going to move... The Natanyahu government had no reason. But now Netanyahu has denied that they did not know the news in advance. But the problem is that you have to know that Israel has such a high per capita , their technology is so developed , and their wall is so high. Why? Because now Even Hamas and some of their sub-groups said that they didn’t expect it to be so easy to hang glide and that it could glide across land, sea and air. When I saw it, I wanted to say, is it a Korean drama now? How is this possible? Why did it happen at that border ? The British didn't know, MI6 didn't know, and they didn't know why something like this happened. Is it true or not? Frankly speaking, what's most incredible to me is how the rockets were transported in. How could they? I don’t know , more than 5,000, he said, yes, he said, I still have a lot. In fact, it hits it again and again. The rockets are huge. The rockets are as high as you. Do you know that it’s about as high as your shoulders ? I don’t know how to respond to him. Those rockets are very big. When boys mention it, you can lift one by yourself . They are made of earthenware and come in . Because there are rumors now that they came from Iran, Russia , Lebanon, or wherever. It could be no matter what . How could it be brought in? Because Israel has a land, sea and air blockade, how could you not know? Is it possible that it came in through a tunnel? This is a joke . This is the first one. How was it brought in? This is the second one. I don’t know what happened . I just said what does this include? This includes why the Iron Dome didn't work when the rockets came over. In fact, it did work because the amount was too large and exceeded the saturation level. Attack it with 20 rockets . Then maybe a lot of them would come at once and it wouldn't be able to get 20 in time. They would send out 20 at a time , but a maximum of 100 can be sent out in a specific area. So it reached the upper limit after sending it 5 times, and it still hit the target correctly. And the second reason is why there is no advance intelligence. Of course, some people explained that they may not use technology to communicate at all , but aren't they wired people in there? Everyone talks about it. Saying that they have informants in Gaza, we may be conveying secret instructions face to face , so you would not know that what you just said is actually telling you that they have developed a pattern and then surpassed the inertia of your intelligence system. For example, Your informant, you think the informant is fixed at certain points. As a result, everyone knows it , so you won’t know when we meet. You understand what I mean is that I know, for example, the janitor downstairs in my house is an informant. I have to decide. I won’t let you know about it. You know what I meant. I deliberately didn’t call you , so you can’t find out. What I mean is that at least some of the information is confidential , and there is also the coordination of various organizational points. It happened at the same time , and so many rockets were brought in, and they actually had powered gliders , and then they went to attack the outpost , and then the pickup truck dragged down the wall and then poured in, because this would not have been possible without certain coordination. There may be such a large-scale person , and he has captured and taken so many people as hostages, hundreds of people , and even a commander was captured, right? So the United States and the United Kingdom are indeed reflecting on this issue , saying that Israel’s military situation and military are both There was a serious problem, so that Freedman. Because Freeman is Jewish, he used to be a reporter in the Middle East. He wrote an article in the New York Times and said that although he had not been to Israel for a long time , he had some online reporters on the ground and he would keep in touch at any time . He said that this time he also called immediately to ask. The reporter was shocked and inexplicable. He was an online reporter. He said that I had never imagined such a situation . The Israeli military intelligence did not detect the military intelligence, so the military responded so slowly. It has caused a large number of deaths and a large number of kidnappings. That’s how Hamas did this. I didn’t just say that his purpose was political. So now he says that his political purpose has been achieved and he is willing to come out for talks . But now Israel does not want to talk about the military against you. The operation is over and the damage has been done. Your purpose is to prevent Saudi Arabia from normalizing with Israel. It is really impossible now and it seems impossible now. I think there is another political purpose , which is to highlight the life in the Gaza Strip . The difficulties of the Israeli occupation and the injustice of the Israeli occupation are indeed noticed by the international community , because the channel they look at must be the statement of Russia and then the statement of China. They all mentioned the issue of the establishment of the Palestinian state , so his goal has been achieved , which is my appeal. Also, I have succeeded in preventing the normalization of Saudi Arabia and Israel , so of course I have to negotiate with you next , Natanyahu. Of course, the whole country of Israel is outraged, so let me put it bluntly , Natanyahu will immediately I yelled a slogan and said I will destroy you, but here comes the problem because when you fought with Egypt and Syria, it ended when Syria admitted defeat. May I ask how you define your goal of annihilating Hamas ? Because Hamas has people. It is said to be between 20,000 and 40,000 people. As a government unit with jurisdiction , of course it exists , but as a radical group, where is it? Some of its leaders are simply overseas . They are in Qatar. I heard it right now. What we arrived at was that two commanders were killed. This does not mean that all the high-level officials are finished, right? Because it is such a poor and difficult place to develop. To put it bluntly, even if you kill a lot of Hamas, the spring breeze will blow again in this place. Young people have no future and still hate you Israel, so some people are radicalized and join Hamas again. Even if you eliminate Hamas, there is a third group. Currently , there are three groups in Palestine called Islamic Jihad, Fatah and Autonomous. The government, Hamas, and then the Jihadists, the Jihadists, are even more intense than that. This is like removing Al Qaeda and giving birth to the Islamic State. So the fundamental thing is that if you compare here, you will know that China is smarter. How does China deal with the Xinjiang issue? It does not just use repression. It strives to develop the economy . So you can see that there are fewer problems in northern Xinjiang now because Xinjiang's economy is developing relatively well in the Urumqi area . Southern Xinjiang is relatively backward. Therefore , most of the terrorist independence movements in Xinjiang are in southern Xinjiang . But because of China After all, the mainland is an independent government. Gaza is in the hands of others, so you have to solve the problem. I think Russia and China are right. You need to make people independent , let people have a politically stable government, and let people be able to develop economically. Otherwise, you basically have no solution. But the most obvious thing at the moment is that I tell you frankly , what is your goal, Natanyahu ? I think he is very angry now. Some people have been talking about whether he will actually be on some levels. Because his previous judicial reform matter was indeed not very good. Is there a conspiracy theory saying that you want to shift the focus now , so you deliberately don't deal with it or you deliberately magnify it ? But let me tell you, will he? We don’t know if it will be amplified , but the current public sentiment in Israel is that they want revenge because this kind of thing is the kind that triggers the nation. You know , revenge is the need to take revenge. In fact, someone has already broken the news that Biden called him immediately, right? Netanyahu said that he wanted to take revenge. He must go to Gaza and exterminate them. Hamas once said that in the coming decades and generations, they must remember that they will learn such a lesson when they attack Israel. His terminology is Of course, this is an angry statement. How can this be done with a population of 2.37 million? But Biden did not stop him on the spot because Biden knew that he was angry now , because the American understanding is that this is Israel's 911. They are Think about it this way, the United States did not go to Afghanistan in the same way at the beginning , right? So it is inevitable that it will go to war, but it means how it will fight. If you use the past model of bombing and bombing , it will be one-sided because Hamas does not have an air force. Shouldn't it be connected ? Come down because it is a place with such a dense population. All the houses are connected together. Many of them are in refugee camps. So if you really move in with ground troops, it will 100% turn into street fighting. I can tell you an example in 1982. In 1982 , a massacre broke out in Beirut, Lebanon. It was the same at that time. The Israeli army moved in and it was out of control . It thought that there were Shiite radicals who were causing trouble inside , because Lebanon The leader of the Phalangist Party was killed and assassinated . They were looking for the murderer. As a result, the Phalangist Party in Lebanon was the extreme right wing of Lebanon. It watched the Israeli army come in and Israel had already won and controlled the situation. As a result, the Phalangist Party began to kill one by one. As a result, Israel The authorities did not deal with it, and more than 3,000 people were killed. As a result, the United Nations came in to investigate Xia Long. You know, Xia Long was the Minister of Defense when he resigned . That is what really happened. In 1982, it was called Beirut. Now you can go to Wikipedia and you can find that it is called Beirut . Now we don’t know about the massacre in the Lebanese refugee camp, that is, if there will be similar incidents after you enter Gaza. Why? Why do I think it will happen? Because the first one he has issued, he said it is a war order, so he has basically issued it. There is an order called free movement, which means that if someone resists or you are threatened, I will allow you to shoot. That's it. In fact, it is a kill order. You can almost imagine that because you go in, you are the object of everyone's hatred , but it may not be the case. Hamas, you are looking for Hamas because you will have some information, but this person may be in a certain room . Do you want to go in and search you? Maybe when you go in, someone will throw stones at you . But throw stones at you. That person is not Hamas, you know what I mean , then you may fight together because you are also invading other people's homes. Of course, people will protect themselves, so I tell you , I think there will be a lot of tragedies, so I tell you, don't think that now The public opinion is sympathetic to Israel. When these incidents start to happen, you will see how the international public opinion will go. Because now everyone has a mobile phone and can access the Internet at any time. Because I recently also said that X is on Twitter. I found that the opinions of both sides are similar . This time, there has been a very obvious change. Of course, a lot of the international information we have received has been mostly from the Western media , which is the Western mainstream information. The Western mainstream information now actually reports a lot about that open-air concert. The miserable photos of the music festival haven't come out yet, right? But you already know that 260 people died , and there were a lot of stories that happened in this scene , and I also saw it on X. I also saw a lot of wives, daughters, children , or just directly You have seen the scenes of being taken away as hostages , so your heart will be upset because Hamas has done outrageous things . But you see, even so , many people come out and say that Hamas is not Palestine, and Palestine is the real thing. The problem is that six Democratic congressmen in the United States marched in New York and led the crowd to support Palestine. They ended up fighting with the crowd supporting Israel. They started fighting each other in Times Square, right? They fought each other, right? The far left in Manchester, England , and France are all the same . So I follow You said that even in the West there are voices supporting Palestine, saying that this problem has been around for a long time. Everyone knows about the injustice of Israel’s long-term bullying of others, so I think that when it comes to this problem that everyone has to face, you cannot just blame it on you. In fact, Hamas has not dealt with the Palestinian issue , so what I mean is that if the atrocities in Gaza start to appear , wait until they really move in with all their ground troops, and then the situation will change. I tell you, there will be a lot of photos of me. Let me tell you , I have seen some photos , but they are all victims of air strikes. Because it has already started bombing , but how can you bomb only kill Hamas? They must be civilians, so I saw some . Someone must have thrown the video to X As you can see above , there are bodies lying under some houses one by one. This has already started . If ground troops enter , it will be even scarier. There will be some pulling and throwing stones, etc. So I think Obama came out and wrote a tweet yesterday . It's more fair. He said that we condemn Hamas, which kills civilians , but at the same time, let's not forget Palestine. Just compare this sentence written by Obama. Obama wrote a tweet, saying that we should not forget the issue of Palestine and work with Israel. I think this kind of voice will eventually become a more mainstream voice. Obama jumped out so early to talk about it. Obama often has a relatively weak attitude when it comes to dealing with such international issues. He will look at the weak side. He will be more rational. You can see from his conversations that he has such an orientation. But actually what I want to ask is, well, if it comes to conspiracy theories, I know you may be less likely to take this aspect. I have heard it all. I know you tend not to follow this direction. Isn’t it because this needs to be proven by facts? Do you think there are several conspiracy theories about Biden now ? Just say that we have no facts and no evidence. I think this matter must be related to Iran, at least with assistance , but we don’t know if it was planned, because the Wall Street Journal clearly wrote that Iran’s Revolutionary Guards flew to Beirut, Lebanon, last Monday. Then they planned it together with Hamas and wrote it to this extent. It was obvious that there must be pro-Israel people in the US intelligence unit, so they put this news on the front page. I think the current choice of the White House is not to start a war with Iran. Not long ago, he was choking on others about oil. Let me tell you, if you start a war with Iran at this time, the entire layout of the United States in the Middle East will be over. Is there any hope now? Isn’t it different if you start a war with Iran ? It’s still different , and you still have a chance to save me. You just have to wait until Israel kills a lot of people in the Gaza Strip before you enter. So this matter still has to deal with the Palestinian issue , and by that time I believe mainland China will also come in. But what I mean is that you can't go to war with Iran because the United States has no way to eliminate Iran. Because Iran is a plateau country and most of its weapons are hidden in the valleys. What can you do ? Moreover, there is the Strait of Hormuz that controls the world. One-third of the oil is imported and exported. You provoked it and even led to an economic crisis. So I think Biden in the United States has at least drawn a bottom line here , that is, Iran is involved. I will forget it . So he replied that we have no evidence. Yes, then Iran cooperates with the show to deny it. Israel, you can do it yourself, because think about it. If the United States says that there is Israel, can it not investigate? You are a party and it hates it so much . And you think about Hamas. If it is really Iran is responsible for killing so many people here. Can Israel not send fighter jets to fight Iran ? This is the first one. The first one is the first conspiracy theory . Who did this? The second one is whether someone deliberately let it happen. This is also a conspiracy theory , but I think the possibility is really low because For example, are you saying that Natanyahu wants to save his own polls and then ask Mossad to deliberately pretend not to know why Mossad wants to support you ? Because Natanyahu’s recent judicial reforms actually offended Mossad? So I don’t think it’s necessary to take the blame for this matter. You know what I mean. This is the same as 911. 911 people also said that President George W. Bush knew that the CIA had written a report to him, and he deliberately let it happen so that he could We have heard too many conspiracy theories about going to fight in Iraq . You must have logical and factual proof. For this, it is like Chen Shui-bian’s 319 shooting case. Why do I prefer this? I think this is unlikely because of the national security units that intervened before and after. There are at least a dozen people there. Do they have to help you cover it up? You know what I mean ? You are talking about it from a logic and a probability perspective. Because he is not your person, why should I help you cover it up ? And now the political parties have taken turns and Ma Ying-jeou is in power . Why don't I tell you? What I mean is that this is really unbelievable. Of course , because it has already happened, Netanyahu took the opportunity to retaliate. Then at this time, he is sure that the polls will rise. It must be right, right ? His coalition government will It can continue and maybe he will win the next election. Of course he will seize this opportunity to increase his support. This is understandable and he will definitely do the same . But because he will definitely do this , the United States will not let it go . So I I think that the United States will send aircraft carriers to the surrounding areas , that is, to the Eastern Mediterranean. Of course, on the surface, it is to prevent external intervention, such as Iran, Syria, and Lebanon. In fact, frankly speaking , I think the possibility of Iran and Syria intervening is very low, because they are far away from Gaza. It happened in this place in the southwest . Lebanon said that there seemed to be some movement on the Allah side in the north. But the problem is, the movement was limited to the north. The rockets were shooting back and forth and intersecting there . I think that at this time, Syria is very weak and has just been to China. It is hoping to receive some economic assistance from China . How can it intervene in the war ? So I think the possibility is not high, so the focus is still on Israel. Finally , looking back, what do you think of Biden ? Because Biden, as you just said, he thinks he is about to overwhelm Saudi Arabia and Israel . Because he has already made an agreement with them, I will tell you about you. Be nice to him, and then I will help you develop nuclear energy and let you have nuclear weapons. Maybe it would be good for Israel. It seems that the Middle East as a whole is a gentle trend. It also thinks that I can join you and we can do some economic development together. There were more connections with Turkey before. Now these things are bound to be blocked. Can it be said that Biden's Middle East layout is yellow ? It may also affect his election next year . Since Trump is now out , he has to He should find a way to deal with the constructive side in the process of this war so that he can also score points. It is not because politics is already here. This is how politics is treated . For example, if your original plan was overturned, you cannot call Saudi Arabia now. Talking about normalization with Israel is untenable now, so you don’t have to think about it now that this situation is gone. We politicians are like this. Since it has happened, just accept it and get over it. Then start from the new reality . Looking for scoring opportunities is politics. Now it is Israel entering Gaza. If you expect Some tragedies will happen in the future, and the United States will have to play the role of stopping them and calling out cards at the right time. So, do you think sending those two ships there is just to call them out ? It also has this purpose . I can only say this because of external forces. Frankly speaking, because It has sent the weapons in today the weapons used to be reasonable because you didn't know what was going to happen and what it gave it was the howitzer was the 15 centimeter howitzer and then another millimeter the other one was that Iron Dome not that surface to air missile it Maybe it was given Iron Dome, such as anti-aircraft missiles. Israel has it, but it said that it would give it again and add ammunition to it ... that is Iron Dome ammunition... All anti-aircraft missiles are anti-aircraft, so what I mean is that for Lebanon, There is no need for Iran's military to use two aircraft carriers. This is too exaggerated. Does it have a large army? What's great is that drones attack you and rockets attack you. So I think it has another purpose. If you kill Israel, it will kill you. I call for a little strength at hand , because the United States gives me the feeling that it is often taken away by Israel , and in an election year, you have to, especially Netanyahu, who is so strong, so he is very likely to do something that the international community cannot. If the United States plays the role of shouting cards at this time , how much points can Biden score ? Because now Trump will of course hold people accountable, that is, you are conniving with Iran. Why should you return the frozen money to it , so that it will have money ? To help Hamas, they don’t even think about who admitted the West Bank incident at that time . But let me tell you frankly, the main source of money for Hamas is not Iran . Iran provides weapons , mainly Qatar, because Qatar , but I think this Things will definitely spread because Trump has proposed a plan. He said that he will check the financial flow in the future. So he will check Gaza’s external financial aid. He may warn Qatar that you can’t do this in the future . After all, Qatar is a financial institution. Center , so it may be restricted in terms of your dealings with Hamas. Of course, we know that money has more than a dozen legs to support Hamas. It must be the kind of rich person who must be very politically ideological , so he will use it through The other method is to say that there must be a formal stop. Of course, mainland China does not want to stop here. China will push forward because the statement from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of mainland China is very clear. He said that the international community does not pay enough attention to the Palestinian issue. We have to work harder , so I think it will do what it says , because Abbas has been to Beijing and met with Xi Jinping, right? So I think mainland China will definitely raise this issue and say that the issue of Palestinian statehood must be dealt with otherwise . There will never be peace in this place, right ? We don’t know how this will develop. I think if the United States is smart enough, it must follow up so that Biden can score. Don’t make such a big game in the end and end up being taken away by China . The whole scoreboard turned out to be really Is it right to be led by Chinese leaders ? Because you don’t know where the field will be, and you don’t know what method or platform it will use . But you can see that this time such a tragedy happened in Israel . It jumped out for the first time and directly talked about its opposition to Hamas and its support for Israel . In fact, there are not many countries , but it is still its old friends. Yes, it is still old friends, such as the United States, Europe, France, Germany, India, Japan, South Korea, and South Korea. It is also quite ambiguous, but in short, it is actually Most countries believe that Palestine must be solved at the same time . Especially those Middle Eastern friends who have joined the BRICS this time , everyone’s speeches are very serious. In fact, I tell you, we have made it clear. Many Muslim countries are celebrating this day , which is also international. In fact, everyone in the media has seen the scene. This is a fact , especially what the Iranian Congress was doing that day. It was rejoicing over there. Even Pakistan , think about how far away it is. Pakistan is in front of the big house of the chief executive, which is a bit like a palace. Crowds gathered there. While cheering , you know how much people complain about Israel. I am talking about Muslims. There are 47 Muslim countries in the world. So if you go to the Internet and see that many people in Malaysia and Indonesia immediately support Palestine, that’s why this issue is this. The problem is not wrong . Israel is being treated unreasonably , especially civilians who are being killed . Civilians are being killed. This is something that the whole world will oppose. But the essence of the real problem is the Palestinian issue. If you don’t deal with the Palestinian issue, this tragedy will definitely happen again. That’s how it is for me. I think a consensus will gradually form. The United States has no way to deny it, so no one knows what will happen next. But so far, my board has fallen off in China. It doesn't matter. In China, it is true that they have already published it. It just came out. The 162-word statement made by Brother emphasized that the main reason why this conflict will happen repeatedly is because the peace process has been stagnant for a long time, so what it requires is the implementation of a two-state solution to establish an independent Palestine. They made it very clear and then at the same time It is also said that there should be an increased sense of urgency. This means that everyone has put this thing down before . In fact, I think of it. This year, especially after the implementation of the resumption of diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran, it was said that the Middle East is now a peaceful one. There's nothing the process can't handle . It's actually a bit too Israeli-Palestinian and that's why we saw it a while ago. I saw that the Palestinian leader could visit the Chinese side and was treated politely. At the same time, they really treated him as the leader of a country. They also told the Israeli side that they were coming because this was Natan . Yahu himself said that Beijing, China, invited me to what kind of occasion. It was supposed to be in October. I don’t know what kind of occasion it was. But he himself told a time and said it was October. That ’s what he said now. He was supposed to go earlier, but he ended up going there. He went to the United States first because he never went to the United States. He never went to the United States after he took office again, so he was kind of shouting. His feelings at that time were like this because of the judicial reform . Even Biden was angry because He and Biden are not on good terms to begin with. That’s what I want to tell you here. Frankly speaking, if Israel knows that China has this intention, it means that after Iran reconciles with Saudi Arabia, it will deal with the Israeli-Palestinian issue , right? What is your original layout of Israel? You just want to win over Sunnis to fight. Winning Sunnis to fight against Shia parties is wrong, so it is to win over Saudi Arabia and fight against Iran. This logic is also agreed by the United States. The United States also adds a logic that it should not let China is involved in the Middle East , so the United States and Israel have a common interest, which is to normalize Saudi Arabia and Israel . This will reduce the influence of Saudi Arabia from China, and Iran will also be isolated . This is their consensus , and China thinks that you will do this to you . We don’t have to continue fighting with the Shias in the future , so you still haven’t fundamentally solved the peace in the Middle East and there will never be peace, right ? But obviously Israel did not follow the path of China. It first went to the path of the United States , and now it is encountering this problem. That's why I said this is a good opportunity for China. I finally let you know that if you want to deal with Sunnis alone and then isolate Shia, this road will not work. Do you want to turn around and follow me? This path is that I am now good friends with Shias and Sunnis. I also encourage Sunnis to come and go with you. Saudi Arabia and China will come together. We will help Palestine solve the issue of statehood . It proposes a two-state solution , but Let me tell you , in fact the United States and Israel also advocate a two-state solution, so the difference is not a matter of not allowing Palestine to establish a state. The difference is a matter of national borders. It is a matter of the capital. Who wants Jerusalem to have a two-state solution? Go back to 1967. The West Bank at that time before the Six-Day War, so the subtext is that you get rid of Israel’s illegal settlements. How could Israel do this? Later, a settlement party was born. Did you know that there is also a settlement party? This settlement party is the same as Natanya. Those who are messing with the coalition government, so I tell you , this is really a political issue . Your settlement party is unreasonable. Of course, China, Russia, and now Palestine are the autonomous governments we are talking about. They all talk about the 1967 plan, but China The mainland also knows very well that it cannot go back . Neither the United States nor Israel can agree. Trump still recognizes it, and Biden has followed suit . He has not abolished it. After coming up, he did not say no, but said that the reclamation zone is legal. Then that is The capital of Israel , so you don’t want others to carve out East Jerusalem for you, right? But this is China’s plan. The United States, you have to put forward your plan, and everyone will come. Joe, you know what I mean. I guess it won’t reach 1967 in the end . But that’s it. You have to give people a reasonable explanation. For example, for your 320,000 people, you have to withdraw at least a few hundred thousand people and 200,000 people. My example is that you want to start such a negotiation. I think this negotiation is not as difficult as imagined because of this Basically, it’s a question of sharing the capital. How much do you want to carve out to make it the capital? Then do you retreat a little from the settlement area ? In this case, Palestine may agree to become independent , and then let the Palestinian government intervene . The only way for Gaza to form a stable government is to have a plan to solve this problem . At what point in time do you think it might happen ? Of course, it’s just the beginning. I think someone will come up with it after Gaza becomes a river of blood. Unfortunately, many international negotiations have to be paid for with this blood. Otherwise, let me tell you frankly about this matter. Why would Hamas do this? Because after the Russo-Ukrainian war, no one has paid attention to the Palestinian issue . Is this true ? It is a fact, but it is also true now. It is also a fact that no one pays attention to the Ukrainian issue. I agree with both sides. You know it has become one now . But international politics is like this. Ukraine does not have a so-called occupied issue because Russia is here. It is building fortifications. It is already It has got these things, it is stuck here, and it has no intention of retreating . But for the Palestinians, Israel is advancing step by step, and its usable territory and living space are getting smaller and smaller , so they will be anxious. This is a The fact is that the power behind it is huge. Behind it is the entire Arab world. The population of the Arab world alone exceeds 200 million, so time, to be honest, is not good for Israel because you were much stronger than others back then , but now these countries all produce oil. When you have money, you buy a lot of modern weapons, right? So if they really want to kill you with drones and rockets, You are also having a hard time, right ? So under this situation, should we talk about it? It’s probably like this. So after seeing this situation so far , Brother Liang said that we may see more developments in the future, and we can only see it later. What will happen to the big countries? Joe will take action to stabilize them. But this matter actually has a profound impact on American society because Israel and the Jews have a profound impact on their American society , especially in the media. So we have seen it. I have seen a lot of reports about Schumer, who is basically dominating American politics . Let me just mention three people and you will know. Schumer who is now in Beijing is a Jew. He is the leader of the Senate majority party, right? Biden, Mrs. Trump, and his son-in-law are both. The Jews said to Schumer that no one actually saw this when he was in Beijing, but he said at the press conference after his meeting with Xi Jinping that he had asked China to use their influence in Iran to prevent the spread of the war. It was not him. Look at his language, like the New York Times, he said , "I beg you to stand with the Israeli people and condemn the cowardly and evil attacks. " But did it appear in the conversation between the two of them ? Yes, yes, because he knows that China is influential. So what do you think of Schumer now that he has come to Beijing ? Of course, this is a very important thing for him , and he must express his position. How do you judge this visit to China ? Because he said before that he wanted to meet with Xi Jinping. Many people talked about whether it would be better to meet with Xi Jinping . Now that he has met with Micron, he also said what he should say. And then he said about the major events happening in the world. As a Jew himself, he also said how do you judge it? Now some people say that it seems that the two sides actually have contacts. The November meeting should be fine. What do you think ? It should be in November. I will tell you about Schumer . His political weight exceeds that of all Biden's staff. He is very senior. In fact, he is the No. 3 person, which is of course the Speaker of the House of Representatives. That is to say, the President, Vice President, Speaker of the House of Representatives , and then the Speaker of the Senate . But we are looking at the Democratic Party because the House of Representatives is the Republican Party . He is the third-ranking figure in the Democratic Party. He is a senator who has been elected for four consecutive terms. His power is definitely greater than that of He Jinli, so he is equivalent to the second-ranking figure. To put it bluntly , I think mainland China has a relatively deep thinking in this aspect. The first one is that if I want to deal with the Democratic government, do I need to have a congressional channel outside the White House ? Because the Republican Party has no way to deal with it , but the Democratic Party does not necessarily mean that this person is anti-China. Now he specially came to Beijing to see Xi Jinping. That means he is willing to adjust. You need to know his constituency. His constituency is Brooklyn, New York, which is New York State. He lives in Brooklyn, which is New York City. Behind him is Wall Street. Currently, the forces that are more friendly to China are Wall Street and the high-tech industry . I think Mainland China, considering his background, is that, to put it bluntly, Wall Street and high-tech companies can no longer stand the power of the private sector and feel that the U.S. government can’t do this anymore, so why did they come out to help him? In fact, it’s not just about Micron . In fact, there is a congressman in the same group with him who is from Micron. That is not his topic. He is speaking for the financial services industry because they are in Shanghai. Then he feels that the counter-intelligence law in mainland China has caused many of them to be ignorant, so they do not know. What should I do? Let me make it clear that there is a big incentive behind it because the U.S. government is now restricting Wall Street funds from investing in mainland China. He said they need to go through a security review, right? I think Wall Street is dissatisfied, so Schumer is asked to do some work because If you don't go to Wall Street, I'm sorry for mainland China, but you have already gone to the Middle East sovereign funds. In fact, how can Wall Street not know ? Of course Wall Street knows that Wall Street will definitely go and tell Schumer that all the benefits you have done have been taken away by the Middle East , and they have done it. If we are together , it really has nothing to do with us. Is this what will happen in the future? Schumer Schumer went there just for this thing called three-part love after meeting . In fact, the Chinese are very good at doing this kind of thing. Schumer will definitely talk to Xi Jinping when he meets him. Because Xi Jinping knows that he is anti-China, some people tell him a lot about China and the United States. We must stand together, right? The Thucydides Trap is not inevitable. We have a thousand reasons to improve Sino-US relations, but not a single reason . Sino-U.S. relations have deteriorated because he has never met Xi Jinping before. Xi Jinping is willing to meet with you . He talked to you for 80 minutes , and it was not a lecture. It was not like Blinken came and sat on both sides. It was like a lecture , and Blinken finished it in 30 minutes. One-to-one, so I think I’m going to tell you about Schumer. Many people in Taiwan who have worked in Washington know him. He is an old fox and a powerful figure . If you have time in the future, you can ask Ambassador Haojie. Ambassador, have you met him ? He is a powerful person. He graduated from Harvard Law School and has a very clear mind. He is now 73 years old and has been elected to four terms in the Senate. The vote rate in the last two terms was 70%. This kind of person is so powerful and he has no background. He started from scratch and started from the youngest member of Congress . I climbed all the way to the point where I was originally a member of the House of Representatives and later became a senator . So we have seen some people like this in the political arena. They must be powerful people. So it is very clear what the purpose of his coming is. What he wants to do is to help Wall Street speak. I hope that if mainland China is willing to provide some assistance to the American financial services industry in Shanghai, he will definitely return it to the White House and tell the White House about your financial services. If the industry needs to be lifted, you know what I mean . What's wrong with China? What's wrong with allowing American funds to invest in China? So I think the Chinese side should think about the logic behind this. From now on, he will be a friend . His status is enough and he can. Expressing some positions has put some pressure on the White House. I think China has probably realized that American high-tech companies have different opinions from Wall Street and the U.S. government. The problem is high-tech companies and you are not politicians, right ? So I finally found it. One of the representatives is called Schumer. You know, I finally found someone who was strong enough to speak... in Taiwanese, his hand bones are big enough, and his speech is weighty enough. So I knew I should look for him in the future . He could speak like this. And Biden has no way of ignoring his speech too much ... The leader of the majority party is very good , so now we see that there is basically another layer of new development between the United States and China . Of course, this technological war The reason why it continues to spread is because we have actually seen that in the United States, they have imposed sanctions on the Chinese side . The reason is because they said they helped the Russian military industry, so they sanctioned 42 companies again, and of course they will. This is because you have to know that next week, the current time is 17-18 , which is the Belt and Road Summit. Putin will come to Beijing next week to meet with Xi Jinping. Of course, what everyone is watching is whether Kim Jong-un will come with him . If China, North Korea and Russia meet in a big conference, they will not... will be separated. But there will still be a summit. Because Xi Jinping will speak and he will have a keynote speech with more than 130 countries , but we will see some differences. On the same occasion , of course, what everyone is concerned about is what the two leaders of China and Russia, Xi and Pu, will say. Will there really be further development in the military ? Or, what did Putin just say a few days ago? He now has a Haiyan, which is very powerful . It is actually a stealth missile with nuclear power. After it is launched, it can circle around in the air like this... for a long time , and then you don’t know when it will come down. This kind of thing is a lot of strange weapons, all made by Russia in the past . I’ve never heard of it, and you’ve never thought about it. It ’s called the ultimate weapon. It doesn’t usually use it, but it was really scary when I heard it. It also has an even more frightening weapon, which is a bit powerful, because now it says that it successfully tested it . There is a weapon that as long as it hits a state in the United States, you will not see the state, not the city . You will know how powerful it is. The power is very scary. So next week we will make it very clear that we will be famous all over the world. Come here to have a good chat with everyone. Please help us analyze the Belt and Road Summit. How should we see how the subsequent development of the Xi-Pu Congress will affect the political and international situation ? Of course , we will come back to follow you at the end of the program. Let’s talk about this happy event. Fortunately, today is our special lunch time. Let’s share with Brother Liang what’s in our braised food. Brother Liang said that this braised food is very flavorful , and there are also pig’s feet and pig’s feet . Basically, because it is marinated first, fried and then braised, it is very chewy. If you are afraid of eating the soft dough, don’t worry, it won’t taste very good. In addition, there are two combinations of noodles, one is braised and the other is Spicy green peppercorns, I think the tendon meat is beef tendon meat, which is delicious because you can basically see that there is still picked meat in it. The beef tendon part is very soft, so if you talk about it at home If you have children who like to eat noodles, this noodle has just been rated by Brother Liang. It is more delicious than the one with several stars. The highlight is now a 33% off discount, okay? So I remind everyone that if you like it, you can come directly to our store. If you click on the blue column in this chat room and there is a link, you can buy it directly. If you buy the Pengpai group, there is a 33% off limited time discount until next Tuesday and free shipping for 2099 yuan. There are 8 bowls of noodles and 6 side dishes. If you buy For our all-inclusive group, it is now 1,199 yuan , with 4 bowls of noodles and 3 side dishes. But I want to remind everyone that because of this cost relationship , although we have discounted 100 yuan , there is a shipping fee of 130 yuan . In other words, your shipping fee is Just pay 30 yuan, so if you have a small family, this is more appropriate. You are welcome. Basically, the shipping fee is 30 yuan. I believe everyone can understand this thinking logic. At the same time, this is also a 24% discount, which is a full discount. If you are in need , please trouble yourself to visit and purchase. At the same time, I would like to remind everyone to wait until 2:15 when our global vernacular will be broadcast live on YT for 15 minutes. We will be online on time to interact with you in the chat room. Today I also want to thank Brother Liang very much for coming to our world. Thank you Brother Liang. Hello. We will see you next week. Bye Bye
