Well , of course everyone is worried about the Middle East. The Middle East is full of wars , but this so-called rising tension is a bit interesting. It means that both sides are retaliating. The latest one to be retaliated is the bombing of a military base of pro-Iranian forces in Iraq. Look at the live footage. This scene happened last night when Taiwan was bombed by night bombers in the early morning hours. Through the video, you can see that this is a pro-Iranian militia organization, the Popular Mobilization Organization , which has now been integrated into the regular army and is stationed there. Because of this attack, This base called Kaso has attracted a lot of attention . However, the air strike on this base has caused 1 death and 8 injuries. However, the United States and Israel have said that it was not done by me. Therefore, there was retaliation against Iran before , and they also said that it was not true retaliation. It was nothing to do with Israel. Precision strike satellite photos revealed that Iran's S300 air defense system had important radar damage. The three missiles launched were the result of Israel's retaliatory actions. They attacked Iran's Isfahan Air Force Base and destroyed the air defense system. There is a radar inside that is used to track incoming attacks , but Iran is not very angry. Iran is very interesting. He just said that it is okay. What to say? This expert on German and Iranian issues said that the analysis of the attack on Isfahan means that Israeli intelligence operations can penetrate into Iran. Internally, this is important, but it is very insulting and deliberately targeted at Khomeini. That is to say, the Supreme Leader of Iran, Ayatollah Khomeini, was bombed on his 84th birthday by various translators. Is it ugly? But Iran is not very angry and restrained. The Iranians even said that it was a toy airplane , and officials forwarded this video . The little girl said it looked like a paper airplane. It means that this is like throwing a paper airplane into an apartment. The impact is like It was the attack concept given to them by Israel , and he emphasized that the attack was not caused by Israel but by infiltrators. This was very uncharacteristic. Instead, he did not specifically condemn Israel or criticize Israel , as if he had no concept of escalating the incident. This kind of exchange of fire. I am going to exchange fire with this Hezbollah model . What is Netanyahu's plan to use this in exchange for Biden? If he takes his next move to attack Rafah, will he turn a blind eye? Many analysts believe that This is the relationship that more than half of people think makes Americans think that Israel’s reason for attacking Hamas is reasonable. Even because the Israeli military’s front is too long, it will be unable to do what it wants. There are various analyzes , but the point is that the so-called self-control between Israel and Iran does not matter to each other. It is also a certain kind of information being revealed. So was the United States informed in advance when Israel counterattacked Iran ? Whether or not it was known has become the focus of many media in the United States, including when the G7 knew about it. This was revealed through Italian Foreign Minister Tajani. The G7 knew about it at the last moment when the United States learned that the Israeli army was going to launch an attack. Although the United States did not tell it , it actually informed the United States through Italy at the last moment. The G7 also knew about it and Blinken. I just emphasized that the United States was the last to be notified , but we did not know that we were not involved and we were not the ones to attack. Therefore, many videos were released and said that it was an unprecedented shock and the timing was sensitive. The United States had 12 B2A fighters on a large scale. Emergency mobilization exercise. The Wall Street Journal reported that the Biden administration is considering selling more than $1 billion in new weapons to Israel , including the tanks, ammunition, military vehicles, mortars, aircraft, etc. we see on the screen. Isn’t this enough ? Now that the situation is becoming more and more severe for both sides, is it possible to continue to give Israel more weapons but hope that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict will stop ? Isn't it very contradictory? At the same time, there are also those who are anti-Israel after Iran was bombed. The wave is rising again. Even Google Columbia University has shown voices of support for Palestine. For example, when we saw Columbia University and saw the picture, we can see that Columbia University students directly occupied the school square to protest against Israel. They kept holding up signs to protest against standing with Palestine. On the one hand , even in the United States, there is a wave of young people who support pacifists and are anti-Israel. Even Google’s internal office, the CEO’s office, was occupied. This was Columbia University. It was 28 Google employees who ran to occupy the CEO’s office to express their opinions. The current sentiment in the United States is like this , but is the conflict in the Middle East now under control? Is it a limited conflict? Brother Liang , the global public opinion is probably inclined to be anti-Israel , except for the American political elite and Wall Street , but I think Natanya Hu cleverly used the incident of attacking Iran and then switched to Biden's partial support for his attack on Rafah. He said that he would not expand the war situation and I followed it because the Iranian consulate did not inform the United States when he attacked Syria last time , so the United States was very angry about this. Before he attacked Iran at dawn on Friday , he reported to the United States on Thursday that he would attack Iran within 24 hours to 48 hours. I think it should be vague, so the words you used here are correct, that is, let the United States attack Rafah. The attack turned a blind eye because it has now been reported that he is preparing about 40,000 tents to enter Rafah. If he encounters a refugee camp , he will ask them to temporarily withdraw from this plan. The United States also knows that the United States cannot accept it. The United States believes that it must be certain. It will lead to another wave of humanitarian crisis because you move him to a tent , so what, how to deal with food and accommodation, food and other issues , and if you want to enter the refugee camp in Rafah , there are 1 million people , and the whole order will be messed up . What should I do at that time? The Palestinians have no place to escape. The Egyptian border is closed, so I really don’t know how the United States is thinking about this situation. But this seems to be the lesser of two evils. If you attack Iran, it will be more serious. I definitely don’t want to see Natanyahu’s good baby in this game. He didn’t hit Iran very hard and it ended smoothly. We gave him a small candy to eat and allowed him to hit Rafa. I guess the United States will also ask for him to hit Rafa. Frankly speaking, I think the Gaza War is almost over, because the key is that Israel believes that it can win wherever it fights. There is no victory or defeat , because Hamas cannot win against Israel . There is too much difference between the strengths and weaknesses ... So this is When will Israel stop being stuck, right ? This is different from Ukraine. In Ukraine, NATO insists on supporting Ukraine , so it seems that the war will never be finished. That is another question. It is much more complicated. The Gaza war is actually relatively simple and pure. Even if everyone keeps trying to persuade Israel not to fight anymore, that’s it . But Netanyahu insists on fighting the United States. As the global hegemon, the Security Council wants to embarrass itself again. The United Kingdom and Switzerland , the only veto power , have abstained, and all other allies have voted. The "yes" vote included Japan and France. You will know how one-sided the global public opinion has been. As a result, the United States is still embarrassing Israel. When Israel went up to speak, half of the foreign ministers left. This is the case. So I think it is really If we continue to fight, it won’t last too long , but unfortunately , the Palestinian people are the next wave of victims. I really don’t know how many people will die. Because the conflict between Iran and Israel later appeared to be very self-controlled , although it looks like It's like playing video games , but it's a bit embarrassing not to admit each other , but in fact it's a good thing. It's better than if they don't control themselves and actually fight. But the problem is that after the big announcement, the score is right . Is it okay? Does it take care of face? It's fine if everyone is happy , but The question is, what is Natanyahu's plan now ? What should he do next? Basically, as you said, this war is like a military show for political purposes rather than political combat. It is a show , so there is no need to see the results of the war. It's nothing. Even if he hits something, he still resists the pain and doesn't shout that it's okay, it's okay... He didn't hit it , but why did Israel hit him ? He's forcing the United States to make things worse for me. You have so much anger that you can't control it, right? What is Israel's purpose? Today he has already tried it. Then Jiulafa will make one last effort to drive away as many Bayou organizations as he can. I will eliminate as many Bayou organizations as possible. You see, he is also expanding in the reclamation area east of the Jordan River in the east. When he disagrees with the two-nation theory , what he means is that I cannot genocide and I cannot kill everyone. I have to control this and you will be completely ruled by me. Because this is less, it will be easier for him to control because this guerrilla will always be him. I'll fuck you today. I'll fuck you tomorrow. He must defeat him completely. Therefore, Rafa still has to fight as much as he can . Then over there in Yilan Highland, he can also expand as much as possible because of Yilan Highland. The Palestinians over there in the Golan Heights don't have much will to resist , so they want to rule as much as they can and put this completely under my control. So they want military control. So you see the United States has also compromised. Why did the United States vote veto when the two countries voted at the United Nations ? In other words, the United States still supports him to control the entire territory of Israel, which contains natural borders. So when this issue came up, Zelensky ran and cried. Why didn't you give it to me? You are not him. Dad, are you right? Look, now the Golan Heights and Gaza have become occupied territories. He doesn’t recognize you as the government and I keep expanding and occupying you. It seems that this ending can be seen because he hopes that these Even if a person is a low-level worker, he cannot completely chase them away because he has no military rivals . However , the most critical impact on the United States is the electoral vote. So if there is such an anti-Israel wave in places like universities, colleges, and Google, Of course it will affect Biden's votes , but on the other hand, Trump is more supportive of Israel. So from this perspective, Biden is still trying to balance. Of course, there are many young students in the Democratic Party, especially the more liberal ones and the left. Some young people are dissatisfied with Biden and vote for Trump instead. But they are not saying that they will support Trump and actually vote. But I think it is just an empathy effect , that is, they are dissatisfied with Biden's current policies. But if you understand Trump Trump is a voter who is more pro-Israel and pro-Natanyahu. I think the United States really has no choice in Israel. In fact, it also faces a big problem. Even if you win the war today, But the feeling that you are surrounded from all sides will become stronger and stronger, especially when we talk about it . General Shuai also mentioned just now that there are so many settlements in the West Bank, and many of them are surrounded by Arabs. You have provoked them today. We have seen that some Arabs in the settlement areas have been massacred by the Israelis, including Palestinians . As recently as yesterday, there seemed to be 5 people , including a 16-year-old young man , so this hatred is getting stronger and stronger . Sa, when you went in and talked about millions of people, how could you really drive them out? I remembered that movie about the Rwanda Hotel. When the Tutsi were being hunted by the Hutu, there was a Rwanda Hotel. The manager asked the general and said, " Don't you think you can really kill them all?" He said, "Why not, we are already half way there. Just look at it." I saw such a value of hatred. What Israel is facing now is not only the Houthis, but also Hezbollah, militia groups in Syria, and Iran in Iraq. They are just lurking outside. The real threat , but there is no security in Israel. There is no security at all. You win the war , but your psychological safety is completely lacking. Normally when we talk about the war being over, it should be like going home happily , not because you have created more The more hatred you have for your children, the next generation will live in such insecurity. In the past, when we were studying, we said that there were several countries in the world that were isolated in the 1980s and were exiled. One is Israel, one is Taiwan, one is South Africa, and one is Chile. South Africa is because of their apartheid problem. So South Africa, if you look at it this time, they think that what you are doing in Israel now is what white people did in South Africa and black people , so they sued you. Go to the International Court of Justice. The International Court of Justice also found that you do have these facts , but there is no way to confirm whether your motives are true. It means that we really want to eliminate them . But if you read the conversations of many Israeli leaders, they really do. If you have such a heart , then you will become evidence. When you think you are a populist and just say something , these words may also become evidence. So I think the United States really needs to draw some clear lines with Israel today, especially in the United States. Now the opposition is getting stronger and stronger, and coupled with the Jewish control of speech in these universities in the United States , look at USC, the University of Southern California, is it right that a Palestinian student’s graduation speech was removed? I think this is the future. It is very detrimental to Israel. It is creating international public opinion that is unfavorable to itself without realizing the very long-term and far-reaching consequences. Of course, Israel has a very good relationship with the United States , so the United States is trying its best to help it solve these problems, including the Wall Street Journal. The report exclusively stated that the Israel-Kazakhstan war has been going on for half a year now. What is Saudi Arabia’s attitude? It announced on February 7 that it would terminate normal relations with Israel . However, the United States is now trying its best to promote the separation of Israel and Saudi Arabia in order to limit China’s influence in the Middle East. Is this the best thing for the United States to make peace with? At the same time, Saudi Arabia has also spent 500 billion US dollars to build future cities. However, the Saudi Arabian delegation will go to China starting on the 15th to visit places for 7 days. Now it seems that the executive of the new future city in Shanghai , Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong and Shenzhen has publicly stated that the future city is a complex and huge project for Saudi Arabia. Such a large project must involve a large number of Chinese companies. Realizing this is a huge opportunity brought by the Belt and Road Initiative, including the 2030 Vision, which requires US$1.5 trillion to build a 2.65 square kilometer smart city in the desert of Saudi Arabia. This is definitely not something that ordinary manufacturers or enterprises can achieve. Saudi Arabia is bound to do it , so China is a partner. Chinese electric cars are accelerating into the Bay Area. How do the Gulf countries say that electric cars have become a new business card for the export of this Chinese brand to the Gulf countries? The United Arab Emirates or Saudi Arabia Those who invest in joint ventures with Chinese electric vehicle companies will establish joint ventures in Saudi Arabia. The electric vehicle fields in China, the Gulf countries, and even Africa and Europe have become the most important third-party markets for production capacity cooperation , so electric vehicles also have engineering and technology infrastructure. When they are still his weapons, let’s look at the United States. Compared with Africa, the military government of Nigeria and Japan originally had long-term U.S. troops stationed there . As a result of the successful coup that took power last year, the situation changed. The military government began to abandon the United States and join Russia. Last month, it announced the immediate termination of follow-up. The cooperation with the US military has terminated your right of residence, so go home. So it is reported that the US and Nigeria have finally reached an agreement to withdraw their troops from Nigeria starting today. This has always been the case in West Africa to combat Islamic extremist forces . I think the important hub is a very important base station here for the United States , but there are still bases for operating drone fleets . Now, West Africa may not have any influence. The challenge of the United States to build a railway with 1.7 billion US dollars is like Comparing China's influence in Africa, what is the difference? The Washington Post reported that the United States launched a counterattack against China's promotion of the Belt and Road Initiative in Africa, including the construction of a railway connecting Angola to the Democratic Republic of Congo and the construction of the US$1.7 billion Robido The purpose of the corridor is to maintain the security of key mineral supply chains . However, when China and the United States compete in the new space race, we see who most of Africa cooperates with , and it is with mainland China. This is mainland China's expansion of non-space projects. In this part, Beijing's Long March rocket series has become new partners with many countries, including Algeria, Niger, Sudan , African countries, and the BRICS countries. Ethiopia, Egypt , and China have also launched satellites through mainland China , so Egypt will soon launch satellites in Cairo. The establishment of the African Space Agency here sounds very impressive and will further strengthen cooperation with Beijing. China has already established a satellite assembly and testing center in Cairo in June 2023. At the same time, there are three companies. We have seen the display of technology in people's livelihood issues. On the mobile phone topic, there are statistics on who sells the best smartphones in the world from January to March. Let’s take a look here to see who is in the top few. Besides Apple, OPPO is among the top five. Besides Samsung, there are several companies in the top five. Mainland China’s mobile phones are said to be used in Africa, Latin America and Southeast Asia There is a very special company called Transsion that is also on the list. This company is relatively unfamiliar to us and rarely heard of it , but it sells particularly well in other places , especially in Africa, which is targeted in third-world countries. As Africa’s economy continues to grow, smartphones are even more popular. The demand is soaring , so the mobile phone market in mainland China is heading here. So among the top 5, there are Xiaomi , OPPO and Transsion. Obviously, mainland China has a lot of technology in terms of infrastructure, mobile phones and even the space program. There is a huge space for competition with the United States. Brother Liang, the United States ' efforts to win over Saudi Arabia and Israel have nothing to do with suppressing China. Originally, the United States wanted to win over Sunnis and establish diplomatic relations with Israel to fight Iran. It did not expect that China would come out to win over Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia's original motive for reconciling with Iran is to have both sides, because it has reconciled with Iran now , but it is also willing to reconcile with Israel, so the two cannot be said to be in a confrontational relationship. Maybe they can be both sides. There are many such countries in Southeast Asia. Even if we have good relations with the United States and China , obviously his strategy is the same. The same is true for Indonesia. Indonesia is not anti-American. So I think it depends on the strengths of the United States and China. For example, if you want to build the Red Sea Future City , of course. It is China, because China has already built the high-speed railway from Mecca to Medina. The first desert high-speed railway was completed by China . For example, Huawei has already bid for the energy storage system of the future city. This is also the future of China. No one is going to do it now. That flying car? Because this place will use flying taxis from now on. In fact, mainland China is likely to win the bid, so I think it doesn’t matter. Everyone depends on their ability. Of course , mainland China has advantages in many infrastructure and individual manufacturing industries. Like the Transsion mobile phone you just talked about, why Transsion mobile phones sell so well in Africa is because they have made special arrangements for African Americans and the actual geographical conditions in Africa. For example, its speakers can be our voices. 3 times because it often has farmland far away and you need to shout this. Why does China have it? Because in the past, mobile phones in North China were also long like this. They can shout very far, just like a big speaker. Not only that, but also its camera. It has Special light processing is done specifically for the skin color of African Americans. So frankly speaking, this is the characteristic of mainland China , that is, it adapts to local conditions . Is there such a thing in the iPhone? How can a customized iPhone be specially made for Africa ? How can it be impossible? So The price should also be very cheap, very cheap. In fact, it is a white-brand mobile phone in China's early years. It was originally very cheap , but the customization was very thorough , so you can say that this is the special advantage of mainland China. As for the Wall Street Journal , it is said that the United States uses Building a railway with US$1.7 billion will challenge China. What are you talking about in Africa? It is insignificant. Mainland China has probably invested at least more than 200 billion yuan in Africa. So I don’t know what it is going to do. The longer railway was also built by China . It started in Tanzania in the 1970s. Recently, there are too many railways in Kenya , so I said that if the United States does not run Africa systematically, it would be impossible to win against China. You are all just scratching the surface. What's the use? So I think Anyway, this is just to do some publicity. The Wall Street Journal will help him publish it, which is about it. The question is how long will it take for the US$1.7 billion to be completely covered. The United States should take a break . We will continue to have more topics to discuss this kind of technology. There have also been some changes in the garrison of troops in Nigeria. Let me tell you about Africa. Just now Guo Zhengliang has talked a lot about China's economic advantages. You need to understand that many generals from African countries have been trained in China. African countries also like to fight with each other. So We are all classmates, and African soldiers often take charge of a coup. When he becomes the leader , even if he is not the leader , he is still a powerful person in the country. So you see, mainland China needs to use this relationship in addition to economic investment. The United States has no way of grasping this advantage . In the past, we in Taiwan also made great efforts in Africa , and the Huaiyuan class also came to many African countries, and it had an effect when they returned . Now there is a photo album in the mainland. I watched it, and it turned out that the officers in Africa learned from each other from Sun Tzu's Art of War . If you speak Chinese very well, you can slip back and become the general of every country. So this thing is that the United States has almost no ability to compete in Africa. The withdrawal from West Africa will have a great impact. Of course, because if you think about it, has the United States paid attention to Africa over the years? Africa feels like it. A place abandoned by the world, right? The black slaves were captured there in the first place, right? Now Africa wants to be independent. What it needs is investment, technology, economic development, and the need to defend its own country's energy. The weapons stockpiled in mainland China can also be used. Selling these problems, the United States has no advantage at all in Africa. If you want to deal with this military issue today , mainland China has been too close to them for many years. It has not only been like this for a year. All its officers, big and small, speak Chinese. They're all so cool. I watched a series from Mainland China called "Senior and Junior" where all the countries are mixed together. Is it a Beijing movie? Really... So when the United States wants to compete, it needs to compete with the so-called high-speed rail worth 1.7 billion US dollars. Because the current diplomacy of the United States in the world can be said to be a failure. Your support for Israel has angered all the countries in the Middle East, including Indonesia, a country with a large number of Muslims. The war in Ukraine wants to support but not supports Europe. There is also centrifugalism. You have a high wall in the small courtyard today. You have made it difficult for every country's economy to manage , because the world is a big production chain. Everyone takes what they need and contributes. As a result, the United States has caused chaos in the world. The reason why the world is in chaos should be that the United States now cannot even fight in space in Africa. It's really interesting to cooperate with mainland China. I'll be back soon after taking a break. I'm afraid that even after Niger's withdrawal, it will have a very big impact. Basically, you see that Niger has uranium mines, so the United States attaches great importance to it. In the past, it also followed its democratic government. Very good relations, good relations, and troops stationed there. As a result, in April last year, Blinken became the first US Secretary of State to visit Niger for the first time . A few months later, there was a coup. That coup was gone. By March this year , the United States was invited People are out and now it is announced that the Wagner Group has come in. So if you look at what the United States is facing in Africa now, it is not only China but also Russia. The Wagner Group is everywhere from Central Africa to East Africa to West Africa. There are footprints of the Wagner Group. Then you and the United States have to condemn them . Military coups are not regimes that came up through constitutional procedures. Do you want to sanction them? As soon as they are sanctioned , someone else will take over. Because China says I don’t interfere in internal affairs , anyone can come forward. So China doesn’t actually need to have an army in Africa. Wagner is not a formal army. But Russia has great influence. China has enough influence through economy, diplomacy, and infrastructure. Now, besides China's base in Djibouti, it may be in Equatorial Guinea , West Africa , which is on the Atlantic coast . Of course the United States will be nervous and ask why it came to me . The Western Hemisphere should not have such a threat , so this is for the United States. It is not only facing China's international and domestic issues. The first guest is a Yale political scientist. Dr. Guo Zhengliang, brother, everyone is safe. We are with you for the second hour. Retired Lieutenant General, General Shuai Huamin, everyone is good at politics. Adjunct researcher at the National Relations Center. Teacher Yan Zhensheng. Moderator. Hello, everyone. The countdown to the inauguration time of 520 is almost here. One minute and one second is coming. Now it is said to be 520. What was the previous move? Mainland China decided that there was dumping of polycarbonate from Taiwan , so it first imposed trade sanctions. This was announced by the Mainland Ministry of Commerce. The investigation agency found that there was suspicion of dumping, which caused the entire industry to suffer substantial damage to the mainland. Injury , so starting from April 20, a punitive anti-dumping tax of 22.4 will be levied on the products under investigation. Then cross-strait scholar Zhang Wuyue described that Beijing will continue to put pressure on Taiwan before May 20, and it will not be like this, including Wen Gong. The gray area of military terror will continue to suppress . Of course, the two reports from friendly channels are even more tense. It is called combination boxing. How to combine boxing techniques is like the latest M503 route announced by the Civil Aviation Administration of China on April 19. What is the difference? What day was this route announced? It happened to be the first day of the Hanguang Exercise 40 of the National Army. So this action was interpreted by the top national security officials as it was difficult to say that it was a military push against Hanguang , but it was definitely aimed at the pressure and punch combination before 520. It is a quasi-gray area. How can I say this ? Once this M503 route is used, we will lose the critical 3 minutes for our air defense. What do you mean by these 3 minutes for the PLA fighter planes to fly from the coast of China to the A470? It originally took 7 minutes to fly to Taiwan. Now it only takes 3 minutes for the M503 to rush over. Does 5 minutes reduce the buffering time of 2 to 4 minutes? In addition, there is news about the domestic production of submarines. When Huang Shuguang announced his resignation, why did it come out at such a coincidence? An important confidential letter was leaked. What is this content? This letter was written from the domestic submarine project office to Huang Shuguang , the vice president of the American company. This letter said that because you have been unable to deliver our periscope and periscope related equipment information on time , it has led to the failure of our country’s domestic submarine production . The acceptance test of the ship will be postponed , and people familiar with the matter also specifically said that now someone not only wants to let Huang Shuguang go, but also kills the Haikun so that it cannot continue to operate. However, the Ministry of National Defense responded that this kind of letter is a commercial letter and does not involve specifications. It doesn't matter if these secrets are not leaked in the classified category. At least one piece of information is revealed, which is that many of the equipment and delivery dates that the United States should deliver are exactly the same as all our defense procurements. After he resigned, Wu Zijia speculated why he did what he resigned and why he couldn't continue. He thought it was to win the love of quasi-president Lai Qingde. Instead, did he have a quarrel with Tsai Ing-wen? Let's take a look at the muscle-flexing actions related to mainland China. The only one is the H-6 bomber playing the role of a mother. This photo of the ship concept shows traces of the unmanned No-Reconnaissance 8 UAV on the belly of the PLA's H-6 bomber. So the combination of this is equivalent to the concept of a two-plane aircraft, with more powerful reconnaissance data to fill the most important reconnaissance gap. Well, there are also 5 models of Fujian ships, all 5 models of carrier-based aircraft, and after all 5 models of carrier-based aircraft are boarded, a new training aircraft is unexpectedly added. So many different types of fighters are put on it to give everyone an idea of what it can do to catch up with the United States' 100,000-ton aircraft . The strength of the super aircraft carrier with so many various early warning aircraft and electronic warfare aircraft means that the specifications of this submarine and this aircraft carrier are being improved, including the mainland's Undetected No. 7 UAV, which was first used in the United States on Luzon Island in the Philippines. When the Typhon land-based missile system was about to be deployed , the Undetected 7 Xianglong was discovered and flew into the nearby sea area for reconnaissance. Then there were BrahMos missiles that arrived in the South China Sea to fight against China. India also delivered the first one. Overseas customers can also make weapons. Then this missile was delivered to the Philippines to deal with the recent very, very tense military atmosphere in mainland China and the Philippines , and the topic of China's first time will become a hot topic in the Indian election. The Indian election will now start voting for Modi on Friday. He is seeking a third term , so he is resisting China. All his actions during this period and drifting away from China will have an impact on the general election. This is also the first time for India that it will have such a profound impact . Brother Liang, when we see this Among all the topics, from these movements before 520, do you think this is a combination boxing or a concept that puts a little pressure on Lai Qingde? I think these two things are not the polycarbonate I told you about last year in 2022. The sanctions started because they were due to expire on May 29 , so he announced new sanctions . This time, the period is 5 years. Because the time is coming, he must announce new sanctions , so this time it was 22.4 Na Chimei last time. This time it was reduced to 12.2. Those who were not sanctioned last time were all 22.4 , so it is difficult for you to say that this is for 520. No , I think there is a problem with this interpretation. It is because 529 has expired , so he announced a new one and I said To put it bluntly, if he targets Lai Qingde, how can he only have this one ? Is it too light? Please ask him. The second wave of the trade barrier investigation has not been announced yet. If it targets Lai Qingde, it will be the second wave. The entire announcement will not be this . And last time he After the announcement, many of them are targeting large companies , so most of them have layouts on both sides of the Taiwan Strait . For example, Chimei has increased its production capacity in the mainland and reduced production in Taiwan. So in fact, they are all big companies. I have already adapted to it. Last time, I remember that Formosa Plastics and they have already adapted to the second M503. Didn't M503 originally ask Ma Ying-jeou to give up 6 kilometers? Now it has been taken back, so in fact it is also implemented. Now it only means from west to east. Should those two routes be activated? So in fact, M503 has begun to return to normal. Simply put, it is called business. It means mercilessly facing Lai Qingde. I didn’t give up the profits. I was business. So if you start from this If you look at everything from a business perspective, you will know how serious the trade barrier investigation is. Because there are many things in Taiwan that are not allowed to be imported from the mainland , so if they want to comprehensively investigate you, many of them will violate the WTO. So I don’t think you have started yet. I am quoting the speech of our brother Wuyue here. In fact, our brother Wuyue has expressed this point of view very early. He is not talking about these two, he is saying that this kind of thing will probably happen in the gray area, etc. Wait , I think it hasn’t started yet because today is only April 20th and there is still a month left. Don’t be too hasty. You have to wait and see . I’m telling you. In fact , for example, why Fu Kunqi is in a hurry to go next week ? He just feels that both sides of the Taiwan Strait are There is still a little chance for travel , so what I mean is that there is still a month and many people are working hard , so I think there is still the possibility of some changes, so don’t think that this is it. We, the National Security Council, should be patient and don’t do this immediately . I do n’t think it has started yet. He won’t start without military actions. I guarantee you that if he is really desperate for Lai Qingde, he will definitely have military actions. He will have military exercises and the Kinmen ship collision incident. The action hasn't started yet, so I said don't rush to judge like this. What you said makes us, Lai Qingde , feel like he has already been sentenced. In fact, he has n't gotten there yet. I think I agree with Wu Zijia about Huang Shuguang. The reason is that Gu Lixiong was appointed as the Minister of Defense. In fact, Lai Qingde also talked about his political views. His political agenda was to build seven submarines together, right ? Of course, I also think the order of building them is problematic, but this politically implies Why does Gu Lixiong want to supervise this matter ? We knew before that Huang Shuguang used the National Security Advisory Committee to serve as the convener of the national submarine production. No one could question him. He has the final say. I think Lai Qingde thinks this is against the system. He thinks If you can't do this , then Gu Lixiong will directly come to be the Minister of Defense. You will be responsible for this matter. Gu Lixiong quickly went back to study to learn more about the problems of domestic submarine production . Moreover, I also told you about Lai Qingde's mysophobia. He thought how could this happen? There are a lot of tricks going on like this and there are competing manufacturers , so let’s be honest about this , so you will be more or less suspicious and ask how it was handled like this. Of course, Huang Shuguang , I know that he also proved his innocence, so he said, don’t do this and this. If it will harm our domestic production of submarines , it may not be his problem , because this is such a big thing. If the quotation is true , how much money is 280 billion? So I think Lai Qingde and Gu Lixiong probably want to have domestic production of submarines in the future. Is there a stricter intervention process ? Is this obviously the reason for his resignation? Because General, when we are watching this process, there must be some kind of trick that the outside world may not know about. After he resigned , these documents were not leaked out. Will it be a single case ? Will there be more information like this later ? What is the purpose? Because basically, the domestic production of submarines has its own difficulties, because this is the system of each country. It is here to integrate this problem . In fact, it doesn’t matter if Gu Lixiong comes here. So with this news now, let me talk about the channel M503 first. It actually has no meaning if our radar can’t see it. If it's a civilian aircraft or a military aircraft, the radar will be scrapped. What's the point of 3 minutes? If it 's a military aircraft, my radar will react. If a civilian aircraft comes up, do you care? At that time, the risk was very high. An anti-aircraft gun on the ground knocked out the entire plane. More than 100 PLA soldiers died. How can there be such a stupid air landing? This is not how it is done. Second, if you say that this fighter fighter is coming over, we will get up. We were alerted to our former Ministry of National Defense. From which airport did your military aircraft fly? I immediately found out and dispatched patrol aircraft immediately, so this is meaningless. The second submarine was made in China and you actually purchased it commercially . Let me tell you what is the difference between military procurement and commercial procurement. In military procurement, the U.S. Department of Defense guarantees the quality of the product for you , but there are no breach of contract penalties. If you buy commercially, there will be breach of contract penalties, just like doing ordinary business. Today, if the periscope is not delivered, the price will be raised. How did you make the contract in the first place? This is a question... Otherwise, what about the 7 ships behind him if he starts to raise prices today ? Is he going to do it again? Anyway, you are determined . You have to use my product. You have also finalized the model and must adopt this. So why don’t I advocate the budget for 7 ships? When you budget for this thing, you still find problems. Do you need to change parts? Do you need to change technology? Change clothing? Is the money behind it a waste? Or is it unusable? So this problem has never been like this in the world. You haven’t finalized it yet because you I don’t know if it will sink or float during the sea trial. I don’t know if the periscope can be extended. I don’t know
its quality. I don’t know if the sonar can hear it. I don’t know if the noise can be reduced to a certain extent. I don’t know if any of them are broken. The problem is that you may need to significantly change the budget, and the design is all different. From design to clothing to parts to integration, you probably don’t know that it is a very difficult thing. This is American and British. There is no communication with Italy , so this problem is tricky. Of course, the company behind it is L3Harris, the seventh largest arms company in the world that does system integration, but it can still delay the delivery of submarines. You see, you started with someone like Guo Xi who had a lot of criminal records back then. How can you say that he doesn’t have that ? Right ? We don’t know how many countries are participating in the system now, right? Second, any James’s Almanac has basic numbers for any weapon. How many knots are the speed and how long is the submersible time? Sonar can listen. How deep have you dived before? You don’t have this information now. Now it’s a mysterious stage. It’s a secret. It’s a state secret. It’s not called a secret. When compared with others, you will be noisier than others. Japan’s Whale-class submarines are half cheaper than yours. So, that’s right. When this problem was so high, I advocated buying it . I knew that I had created a lot of problems. Because I had managed the national defense industry in the joint logistics department, our national defense industry was very weak. The Chinese Academy of Sciences tried every means to buy other people's parts and piece together things. Now there are many things. Why can't we mass-produce gyroscopes ? Many of the navigation equipment in the middle have to be bought from others . So when you mass-produce, can they provide you with so many? You can do this when testing. So we have developed a lot of Tiangong and Tianjian. There are a lot of things , but the problem is quantity. Submarines have the same problem. You haven’t finalized the shape. You haven’t set the rules. How can you prepare a budget for 7 ships? I wonder if the minesweeper last time left after the money was full. You remember, the minesweeper rolled up the money and didn't even do the docking right... Anyway, it's not his business. Yes, the first woman in the north, Chen Shui-bian, was defrauded by that liar. So how much money did Chen Shui-bian get defrauded by that liar ? So these things, I feel about arms sales and arms purchases. The supervisory agency also has insufficient supervision capabilities. The responsible supervision units are not enough. Didn’t Qiu Guozheng of the Ministry of National Defense say that? It’s none of my business. I can’t supervise you. If you can’t supervise , then I’ll ask Gu Lixiong, can you supervise? Do you understand technology or not? I don’t know what I know about business or procurement , so I’m not very optimistic about this submarine. If Lai Qingde is really mysophobic and fires a few corrupt officials, I would agree to at least set an example to Teacher You Yan. We see that we are just an M503. The route has been talked about so seriously. A three-minute take-off and landing. Can we not care less about the more rigorous issues of our domestic submarines ? In the South China Sea and India , in the anti-China atmosphere, do we only have the same path? So I think we should find Gu Lixiong is very good as the Minister of Defense. His specialty is contracts. Why do we sign so many bad contracts so that others can decide us like this and then take whatever we want. I think he is re-examining all contracts today . We used to think that American lawyers were The people defending on the stage are not real lawyers. They are business lawyers who are looking at the contracts . Gu Lixiong is famous for this. I think it is good. You are the Minister of Defense today. Take a good look at all our procurement contracts with the United States. Take a look and insist that we are buyers. We should have an advantage. We are buyers. According to Trump’s logic , because we are buyers and have bought a lot of weapons with the United States, he has to answer Tsai Ing-wen’s call , right? Trump is like this. If the businessman comes back, then you use the businessman's thing to deal with him. It's very simple. We bought it with money. Of course we have the right to ask for the contract. We can't let all the devils hide in the details. I think this is what we can do if we change the Minister of Defense. I think the election in India this time will take more than two weeks before all the elections are completed because it is really big. But look at a country as big as India. With a population of 1.4 billion, his parliament has only 543 seats. Then we see that his ruling party, the BJP, is probably because India has a small constituency system. It has a majority advantage now. Then there are more than a dozen opposition parties . When we talk about India, everyone started with Gandhi and Nehru. The Congress Party, the most famous party, now has less than 10% of the seats in the Congress , which means it is still the second largest party. But how can you challenge him? In addition, recently India's economy is pretty good , so basically I think Modi is using his economy and then saying that he will provide more social welfare and coupled with very strong nationalism, I think he can probably sweep this time by using these three issues. So there is no need to see what the final results will be two weeks later. Anyway, his ruling party is the largest party and he will continue to serve as prime minister. I think this is a big challenge for China, because probably since he took office, India and China have gradually The distance is getting farther and farther and it is getting closer to the United States , so it should be China that we have to worry about.
