More BIG Storms Are Coming Soon...

hey everybody and welcome back to another Max velocity weather forecast and in today's forecast we'll be breaking down a huge pattern change that'll be coming to the United States over the next couple of weeks and this pattern change is going to bring a very active weather pattern to much of the country and this is going to lead to some more significant severe weather events as we get closer to the end of March and this is all due to the transition of El Nino to La Nino where we are going to see a completely different weather pattern as we head closer to the late spring and into the summer but first off we're going to be dealing with some more severe weather before to the end of March I'll be giving you the layest breakdown on everything that you need to know in this forecast and let's begin with what's happening right now in the United States today and we will begin with the Southern Plains and this is an area that is still quite active right now we've had a lot of showers and thunderstorms across areas in Texas for the last 24 hours we actually had some massive hail storms back down in areas near Houston uh we actually saw upwards of baseball siiz tail just Northwest of Houston by about 30 to 40 miles yesterday afternoon so there are still some showers and thunderstorms ongoing down here overall the severe weather threat is beginning to dwindle we're not going to see nearly as much severe weather today though there is still a risk it's definitely going to be on the lower side of things primarily in the same area as yesterday so if you're back down in South Texas be mindful more large hail and damaging winds will be possible further up to the north we have another cluster of showers and thunderstorms moving through areas in north Texas and Oklahoma this will continue and a lot of this is due to this low pressure system that is sitting Arizona and Utah and the reason why we're having all this rainfall is one this upper level low is spinning tons of moisture out of areas like the Pacific Ocean and that's du a strong southwesterly flow and essentially we're getting all this rain activity down here in the Southern Plains and that's going to continue all the way through the end of the weekend but overall the rain coverage will begin to decrease as we get closer to the end of the weekend and as well as early next week another thing I want to mention is that we have a large low pressure system back up in Canada and this is actually a cold blast believe it or not we are going to see some well below average temperatures start to Usher into areas in the midwest Ohio Valley and back through the southeast as we go into early next week this is going to really cool down a lot of areas below freezing temperatures will be possible as far south as Central Georgia and Central parts of even Alabama as we go into Tuesday morning so be very mindful of that make sure you're protecting sensitive vegetation we'll be talking a bit more about that here in just a second and then the West Coast really dry right now obviously it's been very active this winter we are not really going to be dealing with anything there though for the next few days now as I mentioned at the very beginning of this forecast we are going to have a very active weather pattern as we get closer to the end of March specifically around about March 25th to about March 30th that is the time frame that I'm the most concerned about right now for a large scale storm out of a trough ejection that'll come out of the western tier of the United States and one of the biggest things that we need to look at is obviously the storm itself how large will this potentially be what kind of impacts will it bring but since we're looking at a long-term storm that is still over week out things definitely remain very uncertain but one thing that we can look at is a supercell composite parameter now this is a fancy word really for seeing showers and thunderstorms in a particular area of the United States and this is as we go into the last week of March and notice all this red obviously looks scary and all that but that basically means we at least have some sort of high likelihood of seeing thunderstorm activity in this area that could lead to some severe weather and the key word in this particular program is supercell that means that we will have the potential for some rotating supercells for example in this area as we go into the last week of March at least there's a chance again it's not a guarantee at this point but it is getting more and more likely and this is all due to the jet stream we're going to have a trough objection most likely I'll be showing you that here in just a moment but I do want to mention again if you're anywhere back in the Southern Plains Lower Mississippi Valley perhaps even back into areas like the Ohio Valley just be mindful of this as we go into the end of March because there is a better likelihood that we'll at least have some sort of large scale trough ejection that could e easily lead to some severe weather now to look at this storm in particular near the end of March I want to look at two different things and the first one's the jet stream this gives you an idea of the weather patterns that are happening in the United States especially in the upper levels because the jet stream is located in the upper levels it's at 300 mbars which is well off the ground and this gives you an idea of again what the weather patterns are in the country right now we have a large trough coming out of Canada this is going to bring all of that cold air into much of the Midwest and back through the southeast we'll be talking more about that by the way in a few minutes here's your low pressure system in the upper level sitting in the southwest that's actually going to sit there by the way all the way through the early week it'll start start to backtrack more and it's not going to get nearly as much moisture pull out of the Pacific Ocean so overall areas in the Southern Plains will begin to get a little bit drier as we go into the mid to late week but once we get closer to Thursday and Friday that finally will start to take off and move to the east by Thursday and Friday but notice this as we going to Saturday and Sunday now the European model and a bunch of other computer models are strongly hinting at a large scale storm sometime in the early portion of next week so around March 25th or so notice this on the jet stream as we get closer to that time frame very strong jet stream here and then here's your trough down here in areas like the Southern and Central Plains and even in the lower levels if you look at the 700 marar chart for example we actually have some strong lowlevel winds across areas in Texas now I do want to mention again this is still well over 7 days out so Minor Details like this can easily change and the position of this storm could also very easily change but the biggest thing that you need to take out of this is that there is likely going to be a large trough ejection by the end of this month and that could very easily lead to a lot of severe weather for those in the Great Plains and eventually perhaps even into the Ohio Valley and as well as back into the southeast now let's put this into more simplistic terms with the future radar cuz a lot of those details like the Jetstream might seem a little bit confusing so let's kind of break you into the future radar give you an idea of what we're talking about with this particular storm and also other stuff that'll be happening here over the next 7 to 10 days beginning with this weekend going into tomorrow notice showers and storms right along the Gulf Coast there is a marginal threat of severe weather down there mainly for some isolated damaging winds maybe a brief tornado once we go to Monday and Tuesday things really drying out across much of the country perhaps a little bit of snowfall back up in the Northeast but nothing out of the ordinary for the most part by the time we go into Thursday and Friday we will have another shot of severe weather by the end of this upcoming week so around March 21st March 22nd keep that in mind Thursday night to Friday some severe weather may occur across areas in Missouri Arkansas Louisiana eventually into the southeast as we go into Friday by the time we go into Saturday and Sunday the European model again shows this large scale storm developing across a large trunk of the Great Plains key thing though is that this is still well over 200 hours out things will easily change with this including the potential for snow including where the severe weather happens are very very very uncertain at this point and obviously if the storm even happens at this particular day Still Remains uncertain because we're still talking about a forecast that is well over seven days out the the accuracy of forecast Beyond seven days out in most cases or at least some cases it's like putting a Plinko chip down a board of like six or seven different pegs it's like a 1 and six or 1 in seven chance of getting the forecast even remotely close to right so just keep that in mind things definitely will change with this but there is obviously some increase in concern here that there will be some sort of large scale storm sometime by the early portion of the following week one thing that is a bit more certain though at this point is that we will likely be seeing some sort of severe weather event Thursday and Friday it's probably going to be a bit more small scale though I don't expect a severe weather outbreak at this time for those back down in the Southern Plains or the Lower Mississippi Valley but again make sure you're subscribe to the channel we'll be keeping post with everything on these storms all the way through March April May the entire severe weather season here across much of the United States now one other thing that's changed Ching this weekend are the temperatures notice we have this cold air mass that'll be building across areas in the midwest by Sunday into Monday this is going to grow in size and bring well below average temperatures to a large chunk of the southeast United States and areas in the Midwest and Ohio Valley will also feel the uh big shift of temperatures by the time we go in later portion of the week by the way we're going to get another cold air mass building across areas in Canada and as well as the Northern Tier of the country that'll also cool some areas down and if we do get that large scale storm for the following week there will likely be another cool down in parts of the Northern Plains now in terms of the actual temperatures Monday morning it's going to be quite chilly in the midwest especially many areas going to be dropping into the 20s and teens for low temperatures by Tuesday Morning notice that below freezing line is going to drop all the way back down into Arkansas even into Alabama Georgia and South Carolina now that will not go all the way down into Southern Georgia but it will at least go through areas in Central and Northern Georgia thank you so much for watching make sure hit the like button down below and subscribe if you've not already

Channel: Max Velocity - Severe Weather Center

Views: 43,478

Keywords: the weather channel, north texas weather, north texas, dfw weather, north texas snow storm, severe storms, severe weather, extreme tornadoes, extreme tornado outbreak, weather channel, weather update today, weather channel live, stormy weather, live weather, weather report, colder weather, tornado, tornadoes, winter storm, snow storm, winter forecast, weather, cold blast, arctic blast, extreme weather, weather forecasting, weather forecast, tornado tonight, winter weather

Id: 3vFA1rrqfLI

Length: 8min 27sec (507 seconds)

Published: Sat Mar 16 2024