Is Congress imploding? • Is there a Telangana surprise for the BJP? • JVC Sreeram

namaskar hello and welcome to P gurus Channel I'm your host Shri apologies for the slight SL slight delay in start JVC sham is here and we're going to be talking mostly about the situation on the ground in Telangana we knew that in telengana in 2019 the BJP had done extremely well they won four seats the expectation was that in 2024 they will equal that or better that how better is the question so for that let's seek the answer from jbcam JBC G ram ram namaskar how are you thanks for coming good thank you thank you thank you very much yeah I know you have to jump back into Times of India again so but thanks for taking the time out talk to us a little bit about the ground situation in telana see I me to hit the ground to be honest with you I not hit the ground in Telangana uh I was there probably before April 15th uh or you know much before that I was there uh so situation is what we were thinking is probably BJP will be in a position to win five to seven seats now I started to hear about telingana only since yesterday and what I'm hearing from the my team who were there uh you know doing lot of surveys and election management work and all and also affiliate teams who are also working with us as theologist is that when I told them yesterday that probably we could get you know BJP could get around five to seven seats uh I was in for a big big surprise because what my expectation was I'll put across very simply straightforward to you the four existing seats adilabad Karim nagar NAD secondat and add one more seat to it probably either it could be Chella or maliri both are very large seats okay maliri happens to be the largest parliamentary seat in the country so predicting that is going to be a fotel affair but what I'm hearing now is that the ground is completely shifted in favor of BJP now I have to go and cross verify it this zabad probably BJP is going to win with over 52 to 53% of votes that's going to be very big adilabad you know pretty well that in 2023 assembly elections itself they did very well kharim nagar they're doing well secondat there have been reports of anti-incumbency against City Union Minister and BJP president mran Ry but things seem to have got better right now malaj AJ is doing pretty well and Cha I'm hearing that Kish is doing that now so five seats or six seats this is what is coming to now what I'm hearing about this is something which is Earth shaking so what we hearing is zahirabad uh mahabub nagar and even a seat like bongi and maak they are all poised towards now a favorable situation where BJP could be in a stting Striking Distance to win now I will have to go and cross verify it because when I speaking to couple of journalist because as I'm speaking you know pretty well the lights are on me because the camera is at home from times now even the times now reporters who had come they said that they had covered Amit Sha's rally before yesterday and what I'm hearing from them also is it's it's changing it's ground is Shifting BRS is not to be seen on the ground and Congress is probably holding on to its strengths where they have like say kamam mahabad nagar kol those are the seats which pedali those are the seats which probably the Congress is holding they're saying that unless otherwise BRS does something drastic and dramatic medak could also go out of them medak must be knowing that was a seed which was won by indraa Gandhi and it was won by Vijay Shanti of PRS and also kcr himself had contested from the seat so raghunandan ra is contesting the stem on BJP ticket so it looks like it's going to be very promising for BJP and uh I would not be surprised because even I had gone on record in times now saying that BJP could get seven seats I said this probably sometime in January and February when I had hit the field at that point in time and I could see that Ram traction was happening in a big way so that is what I said but now even I'm a little surprised that tally could go all the way right up to 10 because you know you're looking at adilabad Karim nagar naam Abad second rat cha maliri this is this is six zahirabad medak then you're talking about bong so 9 10 seats you know it's that's going to be big very big and which means you know probably BJP could on its own cross 30% wot share because they don't have much presence in southern Telangana like places like kamam or mahabad they don't have much presence so this is turning out to be if I had M nagar it goinging to 10 seats so that's all I I I to say but I would have to cross verify and check and see how true it is the reports which I'm getting from the ground because I'm not just getting from the public I'm just getting from the guys who are on the ground working and also theologist who do uh surveys in different uh uh assembly and parliamentary constituencies so that is a feedback that I'm getting so we have to keep our fingers crossed I do a cross verification in the next few days thank you JVC and viewers Telangana Modi and Amit Shah will have absolutely no problems addressing the crowds everybody speaks Telo everybody speaks Hindi uru four five languages just like that people are very conversent and familiar the the Telangana version Telugu is slightly different from the Andra version of Telugu but it's very very colorful but it has all these word from Tamil from marati from Canada because naam's kingdom was part of all these things so very beautiful you know mix of a lot of things so I think in terms of messaging BJP should not have any issues JBC see one question Harum Konda used to be the Fortress of BJP 1984 after the assassination of indraa Gandhi BJP got only two seats one of them was anuma so what happened there so so anuma is warang see I think know that was a seat which was won because there was an alliance with TDP Ram andam swept the election and swept the election in 1984 in spite of Indra Gandhi's assassination and in fact you should know that it was the they the second largest party in the parliament so but right now I wouldn't give warangal I wouldn't give warangal to BJP I don't think I would give warangal to BJP it could be it could be BRS it could be Congress way it'll be a miracle if something happens in warangal and if something is going to happen in warangal then I can only think of moodi tsunami then we are literally talking about numbers uh hitting the roof and probably two 400 is on the way you know if if those are the seats are going to be won then I think you know as a cist probably my tracker will go I it'll go crazy right now going crazy because we don't know how many seats Kerala is going to give we don't know how many seats Tamil Nadu is going to give we see I think the challenge here Mr a is BJP wants NDA to go closer to 400 Congress is fighting in around 120 odd seeds and they're looking to somehow or other touch 55 now these are the two contrasting plays which are being played out so even Mr modii knows that the worst case scenario for a BJP could be a 300 plus okay the worst case scenario for BJP alone could be a 300 plus you know 311 or something of that kind that's what I've been mentioning but the best case scenario for congress at this point of time looks to be probably 70 seats for that they have to they a mountain to climb in telingana they have a mountain to climb in Karnataka they have a mountain to climb in Kerala and they're fighting very few seats see let's remember one thing in mum by parliament in 2014 before 2014 I'm talking about 2009 there were five or six uh Congress MPS from uh Mumbai and I don't think Congress is contesting any seat in Mumbai I don't think so so what has happened you know and you have in Surat there is no candidate so I think these people even in Rajasthan if you take see Congress is fighting somehow or other wants to fight in five to six seats and somehow or other squeeze into two or three seats now that's not a strategy which is going to be a very healthy strategy as far as congress party is concerned you cannot go into the election saying that okay I'm going to cap I'm going to look at three seats in madya Pradesh give a big fight to BJP I'm going to give six seats in Rajasthan give a big fight to BJP no this is not the way you win an election this is this is a way you're going into you know you are saying that in a soccer team in the first half the opponent has scored say two goals so you're going into the second half saying that I'm going to stop the opponent from scoring more than five goals now eventually the opponent will score nine goals because you are not because the ball is going to be in their position and you're going to be defending that's it your entire 11 players are going to be defending including a goalkeeper and that's the strategy Congress is adopting now unfortunate unfortunate because people are worried saying that Rajasthan what may happen come on yeah they're fighting only in six seats which means they're putting all the resources and might in those six seats and BJP knows pretty well that 22 to 23 is in my pocket in madhya Pradesh BJP knows that 27 seats is already in my pocket and they know be the Congress is fighting hard in manla and in chinara chinara so now this is a play out this is a different ball game alog together I don't know who is strategizing for congress Narendra Modi is a very lucky manam thank you so much for that and we just have a few questions from our viewers and these are all basically some things you may have already answered how many seats do you think BJP will win in tamad yeah I think I think I should not be disclosing anything right now because we are in the midst of running an exit poll so I have given my fair chances that NDA and BJP are very comfortably poised in three places and the there is a there is another 10 seats where there is going to be a tossup and in those 10 seats we are doing exit polls and I'm extremely sorry I not be in a position to disclose anything more than that I can tell you that the number will be far more encouraging than what any one of us thought it is far more encouraging uh there are seeds which we called as tossup seats in our D opinion poll survey uh like we talked about Kuru we talked about dharmapuri we talked about V we talked about radhapuram we talked about kanyakumari we talked about EO we talked about namak we talked about trur many of the seats are settling down like say if you take the case of a seat like namal it is moving more towards DMK if you take the case of a seat like say probably dharmapuri it's moving more towards pmk I can only say it is moving I can't I can't give a verdict right now because we are running an exit pole and you know pretty well that it's a national daily for which we are running an OP exit poll so we can give you only opinion poll result and we can give you the toss-ups how the toss-ups are emerging right now thank you so much and next question is has raja's wealth redistribution proposal affected the Congress definitely yes I think you know this election uh I think there was a chance for BJP to be stopped at 311 to 320 because there could be some strategic losses for BJP I had mentioned a few in Rajasthan a few in Karnataka a few in madhia Pradesh all handful only a few R seat in Arana so what we were looking at is even in Bihar there could have been a chance of a two or three seats being lost by BJP but eventually these seats could have been offset by up by Bengal by odisa and a few handful of seats in uh Tamil Nadu and maybe a one seat at Kerala there could have been loss of seat in Karnataka also so what we were net to net looking at in fact I gave a hint last Friday before the polling started that BJP is probably looking at 31 plus uh and then I said no it was 329 in fact it's a very confusing one after the wealth redistribution proposal see because let's understand nobody wants India to go the maist way because the PO poor people are coming out of poverty today's India is an aspirational India you cannot sell a product which is used in Peninsula and which has seen the kind of uh Decline and the economy is in do drums and people today understand today people are living on social media I can tell you Mr AER when I went on opinion poll in kungu region Auto drivers were cursing that women are no more coming and taking autos and they were talking about anamal a lot I asked them how do you know about anamal they say we are glued to YouTube so today what is happening is even an auto driver is able to watch four to five hours of content in YouTube in his mobile as a result of which they are aware of what is happening not only in their constituency not only in their District not only in their state not only in the country what is happening across the world so in this kind of a you know times you cannot be talking about 1970s and 1980s product of wealth redistribution or for the matter inheritance these are things which will not go down well with this aspirational class go to any airport and see in the key kind see the kind of people are traveling it's go to a mall and see and not to deframe anything even people who live in you know you know middle class lower middle class even lower class I've got know the classes have been have been uh redefined and then this redefinition which is going on you cannot talk about redistribution this is redefinition of classes social status is happening in this country and Mr Modi had played an important role see I'll give you one statistics India had 12.4% internet penetration in 2014 in 2024 India has 52.4% of internet penitration in this country which means almost 76 CR Indians have access to Internet on a minute to- minute basis not on a day-to-day basis and this is a different world we are living in and you cannot be fooling people by saying I will redistribute wealth about those stuff thank you so much uh how about Manipur uh man s wants to know what happened I I have I I have no idea I have no idea I'm too I'm to to too occupied of the few areas that I know I me to look at things also viewers move with meaning s told me up front that he has not had a chance on AP in Rajasthan I just wanted to thank you for your donation I'm going to move on to the next one dhar sanatana thank you so much any fate change in Hyderabad see I don't think you know Hyderabad cannot be conquered so easily unless otherwise you do a delimitation I don't think Hyderabad see I see let's not because people think sitting you know sorry you know I'm not trying to you know be kind of an arrogant here but people think sitting in probably in Twitter world through namal can be won by BJP you know this can be one Mila can be one chamam can be one Hyderabad can be one what we see in social media and what is actually on the ground are too contrasting even a good number of vots if BJP is able to get in Hyderabad that'll be fine I think in Hyderabad there will be two or three rounds where Hyderabad BJP candidate will take a lead and that itself will be a great achievement eventually it is O who's going to become the MP from hyat thank you sir um e44 uh e thank you so much why is TDP not contesting in KP has decided TDP has decided not to contest in Telangana and they're supporting offering support to BJP in kamam there's a BJP candidate there and it is a policy decision that they have taken that they're not going to contest in telingana for reasons well known to everybody kcr will spin a different narrative altogether he would say that telana will be taken away and uh all those Nar will be spinning so they don't want to give any room for that whatever vot transfer can happen I hope it happens in tangana does BRS have any chance one or two seats they would still have a chance they would still be fighting in M they were still fighting in warangal be still fighting in pedali so I would not write off BRS I would like to you know as we go into the elections we are to keep a watch because how much TRS is going to use vitamin M that is something which we need to keep in mind uh because you cannot write off a party which has got 37% of votes very true very true um dharat thank you so much Charis Congress goal looks like that's what I said that's what I said they're try to see they're fighting for 55 SE they want to some or other become if not the Prime Minister next best option for him is at least become the recognized leader of opposition right right right right and thank you so much sh as we speak as we speak I want to give a breaking news Supreme Court rejects petition seeking 100% evbm bbad cross verification oh okay I wanted 10% let's see move with meaning thank you so much we don't want to say anything about Andra Pradesh we haven't got the data for you so thank you so much rajat and I I promise you 15 minutes 18 minutes JVC sorry went over a little bit you'll have a little bit of time to recharge your batteries and get back to Times of India thank you so much sir please viewers share and subscribe and don't forget to click on the Bell button for notifications namaskar thank you thank you thank you

Channel: PGurus

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Length: 18min 37sec (1117 seconds)

Published: Fri Apr 26 2024