Hyperbitcoinization w/ Jeff Booth (BTC052)

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Preston Pysh (00:01:05): Hey everyone. How are you guys  doing? I’m here with Jeff Booth.   And Jeff, let’s just kick this thing off.  You had commented… I sent out the typical   message asking people to comment. I think we  got I don’t know how many questions for you   that you had made the comment that the  first time we chatted Bitcoin was at $9,500,   the second time we chatted, it was at $17,000,  tonight as we’re recording this, it’s at $68,000.   When is this thing going to stop? Is  it going to stop? What’s coming here? Jeff Booth (00:01:37): Forever, Laura. Preston Pysh (00:01:39): Forever, Laura. Jeff Booth (00:01:40): Yeah. It’s not going to stop. For the  people that have seen this for a long time,   you being one of those people, you can kind  of see what’s happening. So I think it’s   just bringing more attention to the space over  and over. All of the existing system failing   is bringing more attention to what’s  really going on that’s driving this. Preston Pysh (00:02:00): Let’s talk some of the qualitative narratives  because a year ago when we were having this   conversation, what were some of the  things that you kind of anticipated   playing out like businesses putting on their  balance sheet or whatever that might have been   and has it exceeded that expectation  that you would’ve had, call it a year   ago to where we are today? Or is this kind  of where you expected this thing to run? Jeff Booth (00:02:24): You obviously can’t tell the daily movements or  what’s going to happen there. I actually remember   you saying at that time, this is going to run  into the new year. I think your prediction on   what it would be in price point was right on the  money that time. If you talk about the big macro   struggle that would the big forces which were kind  of predicted in my book and predicted out of this   is you have technology that’s trying to drive  prices down, moving exponentially and you have   monetary using or inflation or central bank  trying to stop that from happening. Because   if that happens, the entire system  resets through a deflationary spiral.   And so through that lens of those two giant  forces, one trying to save our time, one trying to   make everything price more and waste our time, you  see the great human tragedy for what’s happening. Jeff Booth (00:03:22): The problem is there’s no way  out of the existing system.   And when we talk about the inflation  deflation debate and everything else,   I think what’s lost on people is the  inflation debate is a non-free market debate.   The free market is [inaudible 00:03:39]  and everybody that’s talking about   inflation is saying, well, we’re going to have  inflation to right because there’s no other way to   save the system. If central banks suffering,  they have to accelerate. They have to do more   over time. If they stop or slow, you’re  going to tip into deflation and expire. Jeff Booth (00:04:01): So those are some pretty big macro trends that are  fighting each other. And what ends up happening is   most people measure the system by the system  because the system is responsible for everything   around them, their GDP, housing prices, food  prices, everything else, their wages. They   can’t even see that they’re stuck into a system  and everything’s just reinforcing that system.   So the system changes typically never come  from the inside. The system doesn’t change   itself from the inside. It’s imposed from  the outside. That’s what technology does,   it lowers the cost so dramatically or  changes the narrative so dramatically   that people adopt a new system. That’s what’s  happening through the lens of Bitcoin today. Preston Pysh (00:04:50): I think that when I look around at what is  the really, really big thing that’s just   shining a flashlight on all of this. Almost like  we’re looking in the house for the cockroaches   and we shine the light in the corner  and they’re just spewing out. And the   thing that I think that that is, is the supply  chain. I think the supply chain is illuminating   and I think it’s just starting to illuminate what  is about to just unfold into this nasty, nasty   looking thing. They’re getting CPI prints over 5%  here in the US for six, seven months now straight   and the projection and the trend is  demonstrating that it’s going to get worse   or at least hold that 5%. So what  are your thoughts on that idea? Jeff Booth (00:05:38): I try not to… So all of these, I look at it pretty  simply, when you have misinformation and money.   So you essentially have shift of a base layer  of money or misinformation and money that must   create more misinformation in money because  it’s not the free market. It is the opposite   of the free market. Then as a byproduct of that,  you must have greater misinformation everywhere. Jeff Booth (00:06:03): And that control of that message, that control  of that misinformation, central banks are losing   control of that narrative because what’s  happening is the more that that happens…   there never used to be an escape valve. So if you  look at gold, when that used to happen, they could   impose financial repression by grabbing all  the gold because it needed to be centralized   and forcing that inflation which is  a destruction of your time or savings   on society. So through financial repression,  they could essentially hold you in the country,   own your assets and they replace everything  else. That’s not able to happen today. Jeff Booth (00:06:44): And so with social media and  more voices on the internet,   there’s more people, the signal is showing through  that noise. So as you create more misinformation,   it’s just driving and clarity through the  signal. Voices like you, me, many others that   have been preaching this for a long time, what’s  happening. And that’s actually what’s happening   with Bitcoin is it’s more of an emergent  phenomenon and every single person for every   single voice that joins and understands what’s  happening. Once you see it, you can’t see it. Jeff Booth (00:07:18): And so that emergent phenomenon is getting  stronger and stronger and stronger and- Preston Pysh (00:07:22): It’s not linear. Jeff Booth (00:07:24): Exactly. It’s a network effect that you could look  at every one of us as almost a node in the system.   It makes it some of us actual  nodes in the system with right   but, but as a node in the system, making an  entire thing stronger, it’s really hard to stop. Jeff Booth (00:07:40): So when you think about supply  chain issues and all of this,   these are tiny… And they’re not tiny, but they’re  predictable patterns out of manipulating money   that are bound to accelerate. So what would  happen if supply chains start to impact food,   which they will so then governments will  try to control food with regulatory capture   over different things to be able to lower the  cost of food or to make sure that they’re not   at risk as budget. So you just have a  breaking of all the rule all over the world.   And at the same time that I’m on some technology  food boards. You have technology that’s lowering   the cost of food in real time that may be allowed  to able to localize that food give more for less.   So you’re driving… and that  more for less is deflation. Preston Pysh (00:08:34): And I think this is an important part,  Jeff, that more for less is dependent on   technology to supply it, right? And so when  we talk about the erosion of supply chains   and we talk about the complex parts that  are required to manifest this technological   leap in productivity that is happening everywhere  and you’re talking specifically about food, but   when you start breaking down the supply chain and  the lowest level commodity is starting to break   because of a weather pattern and you had just  in time optimization of deliveries, right? With   all your lean six sigma, that’s been optimized  throughout every ounce of these supply chains. Preston Pysh (00:09:15): But when you get up to the top of that supply  chain and you start talking about complex parts   and technological parts, just computer boards,  and you’re seeing it in cars and there’s things   way more complex than that. If they’re starting  to be delays there and they’ve become accustomed   to it always functioning perfectly and always  being able to get it just in time with six sigma,   and all of a sudden, there, there starts to be  a few delays here then there and then everywhere   else in the supply chain, all of a sudden  your costs start manifesting themselves.   They start manifesting in a way  that the fed can’t control that. Jeff Booth (00:09:54): And there’s a timeline there and  then what ends up happening… and   one thing is if you think about  systems, what ends up happening is   systems that you centralize get more and more  unstable. So you sacrifice for a long time and you   keep doing it. And if you try to take out the kind  of changes in that, and you keep on centralizing,   they get more unstable. So if you think about  this in supply chains for chips, for example,   you’re exactly right. But what do you  think will happen as a result of this?   Is people now know this risk and because  of the price rising and the shortage,   you’re going to have a whole bunch of more  localized matter of fact decentralization   of that so that you avoid that risk. With  technology, again, you’re able to do that.   There’s for sure impacts in the short term  before and some of these impacts like say,   chip manufacturers that takes a long time to spin  up. So those impacts can go on for a lot longer. Preston Pysh (00:10:56): Then you’re seeing governments trying, okay,  well, we need more chips so let’s manufacture   that. So let’s just throw a bunch of money at it.  Let’s build more than what we probably need. Let’s   overreact to it. And then, you’re just throwing  further perturbations in the supply demand curve   for that one specific thing. But then they’re  doing it across the board for everything. Jeff Booth (00:11:17): All those things that you’re doing, and just think  about any business and each thing that’s doing   this is actually imposing more deflation because  everything moving into a digital infrastructure,   which is imposing. Now, that might  not come tomorrow, it might come   later on but you’re imposing and you’re printing   more money to impose more deflation.  So you’re trying to push prices up. Jeff Booth (00:11:38): Remember when I talked about, I’ve talked about  this many times, but I don’t know if it was   specifically in my book when I predicted and  I said, looking back over the last 20 years,   we’ve had $185 trillion of stimulus to grow the  economy $46 trillion. That’s looking backwards   on technology and that’s to offset what we’ve been  talking about for the last 20 years, essentially   pushing prices up. Where has that money gone to?  Education, housing prices, all of the… So created   distortions and essentially, it’s Robinhood in  reverse. You steal from the middle class and   give to the rich. There’s less and less people at  the top and more and more people at the bottom. Jeff Booth (00:12:17): You can see what ends up happening to society  as a result of that. Now the biggest the   part is and I think this is where the book  predicted this future. The biggest part was   most of the deflation is in front of us. And  when I talk about deflation in that case,   I’m talking about a system change to a different  world, right? What Bitcoin would allow us to   do. But most of the deflation is in front  of us and it’s a good thing for humanity. Jeff Booth (00:12:48): It’s a terrible thing for our existing monetary  system. So what can we expect just because those   trends are moving in opposite directions  and each one is reinforcing the other,   we can expect way more easy. We can expect… It  has to offset and that more easing or that more   misinformation creates more misinformation, havoc  everywhere in the world. And for a long time, it’s   been the central thing, driving just what every  other conversation that nobody’s talking about. Preston Pysh (00:13:22): Now, you and I have talked about how the  speed at which this transition takes place,   the more drawn out or smooth that we can make that  transition, not that we have any control over it,   the better for humanity, but history has  demonstrated that when trust erodes in a currency,   it typically plays out pretty fast. And even  though that might not be the scenario that   you and I both want, if I was going to  put probabilities on one or the other,   I’m putting the higher probability on it actually  playing out faster than what many expect.   What does that mean for labor? What does that mean  for just people trying to stay employed? Because   I mean, you’re going to have all these zombie  companies that we all know are out there that have   been kept alive for decades finally come to the  realization that the game’s over, the jig’s up. Jeff Booth (00:14:13): So it’s way more complicated. We’ll  get it into that. So it’s that   and a whole bunch. So just think about  the incongruence in our own thinking.   In one sense, we want our  housing to go up forever.   We believe our housing will go up forever and we  leave our housing. We don’t want that to go down   but it’s only gone up over the last 20 years  because we’ve stimulated economies by $185   trillion. And we know it’ll fall precipitously.  If that stimulus doesn’t keep coming. Jeff Booth (00:14:42): We know if stimulus does keep coming, then it ends  in concentration of all power in very few hands   and regulatory capture. That’s what US looks  like China. And when I say very few hands,   imagine where technology takes us with artificial  intelligence and what people will do to stand   up to dictatorship today. Very few people will  stand up to that because if you stand up to it,   you get killed, right? Think Nalvany  in Russia of where you get first clue. Jeff Booth (00:15:13): And so now think of who should have power? Who  should have domain over everybody with an AI and   would that person change their mind? So if you  think about that path, that’s where the existing   system takes us. Or if you believe that we  should live in a world that you manipulate money. Preston Pysh (00:15:33): This is without Bitcoin in the picture? Jeff Booth (00:15:35): Without Bitcoin in the picture or if Bitcoin  didn’t win. I know it’s going to win because I   think it’s inevitable, but it’s, if Bitcoin didn’t  win and why there would be a whole bunch of…   If I was that person and I wanted that,  then I would try to create a whole bunch   of misinformation as well. And even if I didn’t, I  might not even know how bad that took us. Right? I   might just be reacting to a system and trying  to make sure that the system didn’t collapse,   because I feared the system collapse would be  worse but that’s where that system takes us. Jeff Booth (00:16:11): And that’s a very dystopian world  that doesn’t have a high probability   of happening, but nonetheless, it doesn’t  have a zero probability of happening.   And that’s probably my biggest reason for  Bitcoin besides truth, honesty, fair rules,   everything else. But that’s probably, if  I said the top stuff, that’s probably… Jeff Booth (00:16:34): Now think about that system today and now we’ll go  into the other side and Bitcoin accelerates today,   tomorrow currencies collapse, Bitcoin accelerates  and everything else and Bitcoin stuff.   There would be no food on the shops.   There would be societal breakdown completely.  And you would have dictators emerge into   that in a different capacity, might not be good  for Bitcoin. In the end, I don’t think anything   would change it. It sure wouldn’t be good for  people so I like to think about Bitcoin here. And   this is why and through company lens, I like  to think about it like this, what really smart   companies do and it’s super rare, the really great  monopolies do is they transition themselves but   they know they can’t transition themselves  from the inside so they set up a separate   lab that tries to compete against the company. And  that’s separate lab is typically then super secret   because if anybody knows in the existing company  that and network transfer to the new company, that   new company gets killed before, because there’s  just so much inertia in the existing company. Jeff Booth (00:17:43): So good example of this would be Apple and the  iPhone. I have to run the existing company.   Will I take out what the company is moving  to and do a separate secret facility   to be able to run that.  Steve Jobs was great at that   and then, as that transitions, it  moves everything to the new company.   So it allows you to run one while you move the  vision forward, central banks can’t do that. Jeff Booth (00:18:09): That’s really difficult for central banks,  especially globally interconnected central banks   it’s really difficult but what this would look  like, or another example, imagine Amazon starts   in 99 or started 95, I guess, 96, Amazon starts  in 95 and it just sells books. In 2000, all retail   stores collapsed. Just imagine they all collapse  and Amazon doesn’t sell very many things yet.   Where would you get your groceries?  Where would you get your everything else?   So if you think about that lens, today we’re  living in this system measuring the system,   Bitcoin is emerging and it’s emerging really  quickly layer two, Taproot integration, everything   else that’s going to happen still to come. But  if it happened right now, you don’t have an… That   network transfer hasn’t happened enough that you  could kind of build a bridge to the other side. Jeff Booth (00:19:06): And what’s happening is what I’m super excited  about with layer two, with everything else is   you’re building the bridge to the other side. And  yes, the people that are in early have more of the   opportunity. And of course, just like the people  that were in early in Amazon, if you held it at   $5 and went all way up, instead of selling along  the way, you have way more of the opportunity,   because it is a network transfer from one system  to another. But those bridges or lane need to be,   which is happening, and what gives me hope  on that is the speed of which it’s happening   and innovation moving now to the Bitcoin rails  and what’s happening there in that ecosystem. Jeff Booth (00:19:53): Companies, countries and the ecosystem, and  people are starting to build to it. And so   that accelerates and what a lot of people do  but most people is they predict the present   forward. They don’t predict the future. They won’t  change. Everything else changes around them but   they don’t change, their minds don’t change.  And so what’s happening right now is Bitcoin’s   doing that and changing minds  and moving more and more people.   And hopefully that happens at a  rate that you can have that bridge. Preston Pysh (00:20:30): So is five years, enough time for  this bridge that you’re referring to? Jeff Booth (00:20:35): Yeah. So it might happen faster than…  When you say Hyper-Bitcoinization,   it’s the second layer that it could operate  at. This is a currency. It’s going to be   important because when things collapse  violently, you need something to move to. Preston Pysh (00:20:54): Yeah. In your first example where you  were talking more about the dystopian   where the power and the buying power  and the control is being manifested into   smaller and smaller group of hands. What I  find interesting about Bitcoin is you do have   the opposite of that because most people are in  debt up to their eyeballs with their real estate. Preston Pysh (00:21:16): And if you do go through something like this  and they start receiving a salary in Bitcoin,   all of a sudden it gets really easy  to start making payments on the house   and basically take ownership of all that equity,  which I think is by contract, distributed pretty   amongst all the people across, at least in the  United States, I’m assuming most of the rest of   the world is kind of similar to the United States,  with respect to people having a contract that says   that they own their house. Even though most of the  debt on the house is owned by the bank, they do   own that equity. And that would be a windfall for  most of these people if we went through some type   of transition and I mean, there’s, there’s your  effective “debt Jubilee” as far as I’m concerned. Jeff Booth (00:21:59): That’s true. But if you said, is that   the lower class or the middle and lower  class, many of them don’t own their own the- Preston Pysh (00:22:06): Own the house, they’re renting. Jeff Booth (00:22:07): They rent and the prices of the rents are going  up. Prices of food are going up and everything   else. And a lot of those people believe  that it’s capitalism that’s created that   and it’s free market that’s created that.  And that’s actually why we have to be careful   when I say this, we have to understand other  people’s, what they might go through and to come   to that belief because it’s a complete opposite of  capitalism or free market that is imposed. It is   a distortion of markets that impose that and hurts  those people. Those two people most left out. When   I said, we don’t understand how much our own minds  will change and how much we’ll when you… when   I saw a question that was asked, people talk about  what happened in Germany and everything else. Jeff Booth (00:22:53): I don’t think about Hitler specifically  when I think about Germany. I think about   the millions of people that changed their mind  and said that was okay to do to other people   or didn’t stand up and say, that’s wrong. And  then, I think we’re the same meat sacks today.   So if that could happen to people before  and we think that it couldn’t happen to us,   then very few people can stand  up to that type of pressure.   So you have that type of pressure  that’s being imposed on society   out of this inflationary policy. You are creating  a whole bunch of these people who believe it’s   capitalism, free market and everything else  and it’s those people’s fault that did that   and they believe it. And so can you imagine a  dictator stepping in to ignite that? And I can. Jeff Booth (00:23:47): And so if you keep running  this system, that’s the way,   it turns pretty dystopian pretty fast and with  technology, it just gets more, more and more so   for quick look. So people will look  at the Boston Robotics 10 years ago.   And if you looked at that 10 years ago, you  would’ve never predicted what it is today.   So just look at the videos 10 years ago versus  today and see what that’s done, but then   they’ll have an anchor in their mind about  the robot dog and back flipping humanoid, and   they’ll think, oh, that’s what it looks 10 years  from now and it won’t look anything like that. Jeff Booth (00:24:24): The rate of this progress is staggering. And so  when you think about these things, that rate of   progress is job destroying. If you think about  where AI is going, where robots would do a whole   bunch of stuff, they neutralize everything  else. It’s job destroying. And if you try to   artificially prop up jobs by printing money,  you just concentrate all power in few hands.   And so as the jobs get destroyed,  the prices have to fall to match   or, or it looks pretty… and again, this is  unfortunately true… well, it’s fortunately   true because we are living in a transition that  because of Bitcoin can get us to the other side. Preston Pysh (00:25:09): How do you guard against the scenario  that you described as far as you   could see how leaders could emerge that  could, this is probably the bad phrasing,   but Hitler-like throughout the world, how  does humanity guard against something like   that? Is it just knowledge and  dissemination of that knowledge? Jeff Booth (00:25:30): So it’s people like you, it’s people like me  talking about it and a whole bunch of people   in the Bitcoin community are trying to bring  more people on because it’s that important. And   so it is knowledge. What gives me hope in this  and that’s why I try to be… sometimes I have   to check myself too, because when somebody says  something just ignorant, [crosstalk 00:25:56]. Preston Pysh (00:25:56): I’m way more guilty than you, Jeff. Jeff Booth (00:25:57): Yeah. But you hear it 100,000 times, you hear it  over and over and over again, you just know like,   you can’t be that dense. You cannot be that  dense or you must check your bias or privilege or   something. And I want to say it. I want to scream  it. But I realize, okay, would I help the cause   by doing it? And it can’t hurt me. I just care  more about the other people that it might impact.   So I try to stay pretty levelheaded on that whole  conversation because I don’t want to… I want to- Preston Pysh (00:26:32): I need to take your advice, Jeff. Jeff Booth (00:26:35): You don’t need to take anyone’s advice. Everybody  comes to Bitcoin in their own way and you have   brought more people on than through inviting neon,  through inviting a whole bunch of other people. Preston Pysh (00:26:46): It’s so frustrating though. It  gets so frustrating. I mean,   there’s times when you just want to just scream.  I mean, the stupidity that’s out there and some of   the things that are being, I mean, did you see the  CNBC post it? They deleted it. Thank God. But they   literally published an article on why higher  inflation is good. That was the title of the   article. What insanity are we living in? And I  retweeted and I said, who is paying for this? Jeff Booth (00:27:18): Again, that system must create more information.  And as a result of the more information, must   create more regulatory capture  and more concentration of control.   It’s just a system problem and whether  you’re in the system. And so one of   the things that’s probably most, I  just tune them out. The people that   essentially know it’s a wrong know it  and will advocate for the system anyways. Jeff Booth (00:27:46): So those people, I do, it’s just okay. Block  or ignore. And I don’t block very many people   but there’s a couple there that I just, okay. But  again, we have to expect that. We have to expect   and then, the good news, the really good news  is the more you lie when the truth is out there,   as long as you don’t control all the  airwaves, more people find the truth. Jeff Booth (00:28:15): So more information gets people searching for  the truth. And so you have this chaos today,   what feels like chaos as one system like  it’s throwing everything against this   because it needs to and more people  are finding it in their own way   through this. And my hope is that’s what  you’re seeing in the price. Price is rising   because of that emergent phenomenon and  more people finding it and holding it. Preston Pysh (00:28:42): So, a little bit more on the supply chain  dichotomy with interest rates. So we’ve got the 10   year, I think it’s at like 1.5%, somewhere in that  range. And we’ve got CPI at 5.5 or 4 or whatever   it is. And that’s if you buy and believe that CPI  is like… That’s given at the benefit of the doubt.   You can’t even hide that anymore. And so you  got nearly a 400 basis point negative spread.   I’ve been asking everybody that comes on the  show recently, this question but I think it’s   such an important question because you  just can’t hide the fact that every single   bond, every bond on the planet, I mean, we’re  talking hundreds of trillions of dollars- Jeff Booth (00:29:31): 130 trillion, I think is so, yeah. Preston Pysh (00:29:33): … is negative yielding, every  one of them on a real basis. Jeff Booth (00:29:39): By the way, we talked about this, I… Whether we  talked about it on your show a year and a half   ago or if it was afterwards, we talked about  this very issue and I remember talking that   the structure, they’re all effectively going to  say or if you could impose financial repression,   if you could, for the people that stay  there, they’re going to get killed. Preston Pysh (00:30:03): Killed, 100% impairment. Jeff Booth (00:30:05): Yeah, 100% impairment over time, but you  can’t impose financial repression because then   there’s an escape valve in Bitcoin. That’s  what’s happening. In the world before,   you could impose that, close your borders or  whatever or lock up all the gold, force that on   society and pay back the debt in cheaper dollars  and start again. US imposed that in the series   but at that time, US was kind of the one and only  rising power right? At the time and they had a   bunch of gold to be able to do that. US looks  different today so they can’t play that same   trick and there’s Bitcoin. So as  more people realize what’s happening,   right now, if you’re on zero allocation to Bitcoin   and you’re all in the existing system,  I don’t know what you’re thinking. Preston Pysh (00:30:55): Hey, so I was listening to a Ray Dalio interview  that I think happened just like in the last week   or two. Andrew Sorkin was hitting him pretty  hard on Bitcoin specifically and was like,   Hey, Ray, you and Bitcoin, this and  that. And the thing that really caught   my attention and just kind of made me… my  eyebrow went up, he says, what do you think   about… It’s too big now but governments  can’t ban it. And Ray says, no. I see it   actually the exact opposite of that. I see it that  it’s actually gotten easier for them to ban it.   And then he gave like, this really didn’t give  a response as to why. And I was just like,   boy, oh, boy, do I disagree with you?  But maybe it’s because of where I sit.   And I’m just kind of curious  to hear your thoughts. I wish   I could just play the clip for you  because it made my…I was like, what? Jeff Booth (00:31:46): I think that’s nonsense. I think there are  some things that we need to think about   in the transition to the other side. If you had a  whole bunch of Bitcoin on exchanges or if you had   concentrated amounts of Bitcoin, I think  that would be easier but as a decentralized   people holding in their own keys, why that’s so  important. I think that’s virtually impossible. Jeff Booth (00:32:09): And again, one of the things,  and Ray’s a smart guy, but   when you think about public figures who  are trying to drive a different agenda,   think about Ray investing in China. And  when you have funds that is that large   and you’re trying to outperform other markets  and you’re making big bets. I can’t deny that- Preston Pysh (00:32:31): Not an easy job. Jeff Booth (00:32:34): I can’t imagine what his portfolio looks like  in January. When I said regulatory capture as   the government goes after some of the type  companies and changes because they have to,   there is no free market. You’re in a manipulated  market. And so now Ray has a whole bunch of   his investor allocate capital and everything else  in a market that his voice needs to be prosystem.   Or I can understand why it is because Bitcoin  unwinds a whole bunch of those trades.   I do not get why he wouldn’t be more   yet even as a protection against what he’s got  the risk on on the other side. But I do understand   the kind of bias that takes place, when you’re in  a system. You measure the system from the system. Preston Pysh (00:33:24): You know when we were talking about  interest rates, so you’re seeing in general,   the market is selling off. The bond market is  selling off. You’re seeing yields coming up,   pretty precipitously, federal funds rate  still sitting down at zero, nothing percent   but you’re seeing the rest of the bond yield  curve selling off and rates are coming up.   This is a little different than what  we’ve seen for the last 40 years   with how this plays out. Typically, the central  banks will come in, oh, we’re raising rates   then there’ll be a little bit of sell off  throughout the curve and this time they’re   still saying, hey, we’re going to stay down here  at zero and the rest of the curve is selling off. Jeff Booth (00:34:07): Yeah. So they have to and they have to do  yield control, they have control and they   have to do more easing so anything  that they say and the free market   says, and the free market can at  push up rates because there will be- Preston Pysh (00:34:23): Beyond a certain point. Jeff Booth (00:34:25): Yeah. Because governments have to step in.  Why? Pretty easy to see that whole mirage   of growth forever is just manipulated money but  the worst part about that, that manipulated money   isn’t actually money sitting in a bank account. It  is just a credit based system. And so if you let   all that manipulation of money, that credit based  system that’s expanded way out of touch contract.   The whole thing resets, and that counterpart risk  that contagion goes across the world and you have   a reset through a different type of reset.  So through that lens, you can see for sure,   all across the globe, there’s going to  be more rent and more yield control. Preston Pysh (00:35:09): So Plan B, myself and you were talking with Peter  McCormick and I think Peter asked us about whether   another March 2020 liquidity shock could happen in  the markets and if so, would Bitcoin go down? And   I think all three of us were like, yep, it’s going  to go down if something like that plays out again.   Describe this a little bit more from your  vantage point and do you see another shock   to the system where basically the economy throws a  fit and there’s impairment across all this credit? Jeff Booth (00:35:44): An analogy first, in unstable markets,  we’re building more and greater   instability in the market all over the place.  And everybody’s looking for which snowflake is   going to cause the avalanche and measuring the  snowflakes doesn’t much matter. The avalanche   is coming and it could come in a number of  different ways. My hope is the avalanche comes   in a position that Bitcoin is further enough along  kind of run that you can transition. But that’s   before it takes the entire system down, normally  the taking the system down happens through when   I said, we change our minds, we elect leaders  who will be dictators and then change. We change   our minds to follow those. We change our minds  following them right into war. And that’s how   they’ve changed, normally comes. We get controlled  through that. It’s somebody else’s fault. Jeff Booth (00:36:39): We go to war, we reset a currency through  war, victor resets currency starts over again.   So my hope is Bitcoin allows that not to happen.   If you had, let’s just use the example before,  if you deflation, if you allowed that to happen,   if governments didn’t keep printing and it  started to have deflation and then, you would   have a credit unwind. And just, everything would  keep unwinding and governments would be forced   to come in and essentially nationalize their  banks, save their banks and everything else. Jeff Booth (00:37:11): Otherwise, you would have what’s happening in  Lebanon right now. Banks would close. People could   get their money, you can get to. And what would  your housing look like in that environment? What   would the price of your housing be? What would  this street look like? What would it look like   walking down the street. Imagine that catastrophe  and what that would look like. But if you allowed   deflation to happen, that’s what would  happen because it would keep on unwinding. Jeff Booth (00:37:39): In that event, for a while, US dollar would  get really strong because people would hoard it   and Bitcoin might fall for some time  because what would happen in that event   is people would sell whatever they’d have   to be able… they’d sell their best assets because  they’d have to sell something to get money. So   in that event, in that type of collapse, you  could expect a short term correction in Bitcoin. Preston Pysh (00:38:08): I want to just explain something for people  that are hearing this, the reason that the   Jeff made the comment that the dollar would bid  and that you’d have a run on dollars in this   scenario is because most of what is “money”  people refer to as money in the system is   credit itself. I don’t know what percent but Jeff,  what is it? Like three fourths of it is credit? Jeff Booth (00:38:33): More than that. It’s all credit. Yeah.  Considering we live in a credit based system. Preston Pysh (00:38:38): And so since most of all of it is credit and a  very small proportion of it is actual monetary   baseline dollars in the system, when you  start getting into this impairment of credit,   like let’s say I owe Jeff $1000 and then he owes  another person, $1000. If I can’t pay him $1000,   well now all of a sudden, he can’t pay the other  person a $1000 because what was an asset to him,   that was a liability to me became impaired. Preston Pysh (00:39:09): And so when most of the system is made up  of these agreements that were created out   of thin air that aren’t actually backed by  real dollars that I can produce on the spot,   as each person calls the next person saying,  Hey, I want my $1000. I’m sorry I have to sell   something in order to come up with it or in order  to pay you back, that’s all the counterparty risk,   the buzzword that you hear a lot of us  say from time to time. So that cascading   of selling is due to the fundamental nature of  fractional reserve banking and the system at hand. Jeff Booth (00:39:46): Yeah. And thanks for doing that Preston  because I think a lot of people don’t   realize that. And that function is  what requires you to grow forever   because if you have contraction, which  deflation would happen, that counterpart risk   happens overnight and it keeps on and it  unwinds. So a bunch of people that defend   the monetary system today, what they’re defending  is a credit based system that must grow forever   through inflation. It cannot be congruent  with where technology’s taking us. That system   cannot work with it. So what ends up happening  is that system must concentrate all control as   a byproduct to fighting the free market and that  becomes a system change. A very real example,   I knew that the US was going to bail out the  financial system in 2008, even though it broke   the free market rules, capitalism, everything  else. But they knew that was going to happen. Jeff Booth (00:40:47): We had at the time, tens of millions  of dollars in the bank, we had   paid letters of credit in my former company,  letters of credit all over the world   and trade going on with containers all over the  world and other banks wouldn’t accept our money,   wouldn’t accept our [inaudible 00:41:03]. Why?  Because they thought our bank was consultant too.   So the trade for four days stopped.  Nothing. We couldn’t figure it out. Jeff Booth (00:41:14): And so when we talk about how  interconnected this system is,   if US didn’t come in there then the thing would’ve  imploded at that time but that coming in there   creates a bigger problem for capitalism  itself, because then it turns into   crony capitalism and it doesn’t allow the natural  clearing of cycles and it enriches all the people   who leave her up and create the  problem at the expense of the people   at the bottom but where we are in the cycle, it’s  just accelerated and it will accelerate more.   So that’s just a hard reality. And that’s why  you need a system change from a new system. Preston Pysh (00:41:55): All right. I want to talk about the valuation  process of equities, but in a Hyper-Bitcionization   world. So when I look at large cap equities  today, I can’t buy them because I can’t get   around the math because I’m of the opinion that  on the other side of this thing, this black hole   we’re being sucked into, the interest rates or  whatever we would determine risk free rates to be,   I have no idea what that… Is that going to be  the lightning network that’s determining that? Preston Pysh (00:42:29): I don’t know, but if I had to guess today  and boy, oh boy, I don’t have a whole lot   of confidence in this guess but if I had  to guess, that’s what I would guess it is,   but let’s just say whatever that  is, I just don’t see it being the   interest rates that we have today. I think  that this, call it a 10 year treasury at 1.5%   is a total mirage of what a risk free rate cost  of capital should be. And if true, then the   200 basis point premium that’s put on top of  that for the price of equity is ludicrous.   And so I’m curious what you  think about this and then,   what would a real interest rate  look like on the other side of this? Jeff Booth (00:43:17): So we’ve already talked about it through  a different lens, the bond market   and the equity market is just a smaller version  so you’re exactly right. If you believe that   this system is going to keep going on  forever, then some of those technology   companies will still do really well  forever and so will some of the resource- Preston Pysh (00:43:41): But will they be capitalized at the rate? Jeff Booth (00:43:45): It all determined on a mirage. Preston Pysh (00:43:48): That’s right. Jeff Booth (00:43:50): And that’s why it’s so hard for people  to see because they’re living in a world   that’s really a make believe world of who gets  to press the button and how much money and how   much button pressing do I do to destroy people’s  time? Like press the button, destroy 40 years of   labor or time because all money is, is a trade of  our time. And so it’s all on a make believe world   that you can hold down interest rates forever and  we can have as much money as we want. That’s kind   of the… and I’ve said it probably on your show  before too but you either have abundance of money   and scarcity everywhere else or scarcity in money  and abundance everywhere else. That’s the choice. Jeff Booth (00:44:30): So your question is really a dependent  question. How long can the Mirage keep going on?   And there’s a whole bunch of people that believe  it’ll go on for a long time. And there’s a whole   bunch of people like you and I, that think why do  I want to live that world? I’m going to come over   here. I’m going to measure my world in Bitcoin  and see the truth and see what’s happening? Preston Pysh (00:44:51): Well, so it’s even affected like how I’m looking  at mining stocks so anything in the sector,   right? Because if those are priced at a multiple  of 35 and I believe that we’re going to have   actual free and open interest rates in the future,  not to mention, they’re completely correlated to   the price of Bitcoin but it comes with operational  risk and execution risk and derivative exposure   to energy prices and all this other stuff  that these people have to expertly manage. Preston Pysh (00:45:29): So those two factors it’s like, hey, I’m  getting the same performance as Bitcoin but   it comes with all these other risk factors plus  it’s coming at a PE of 35. And my expectation   is maybe interest rates might be 5, 10, 15%  on the other side of this which is going to   compress the PE ratio. So like why in the  world would I own equity even if they’re   putting Bitcoin on the balance sheet today.  It’s hard for me to get around the math. Jeff Booth (00:45:57): Yeah. The interesting thing Preston,  with you because you came at this   through a different lens. You  came at it as a value investor. Preston Pysh (00:46:05): Yes I did. Jeff Booth (00:46:05): And the beautiful thing about  that lens as a value investor,   you’re looking for those mispricing opportunities  and that real value and taking advantage of that.   And I think what happened with you is  you realize everything’s mispriced. Preston Pysh (00:46:20): Everything’s manipulated. Jeff Booth (00:46:22): Everything is manipulated. The entire stack is  manipulated and that manipulation is creating   a whole bunch of damage. And I came in and  through a different lens. I came in it through,   technology is moving this way. This  is why everything’s manipulated.   Because it must be, to save the system. Preston Pysh (00:46:38): Yes. Jeff Booth (00:46:39): But that value investor lens gives you a really,  why are people making this choice? Because it   seems like… They think they’re being responsible  fiduciary and everything else and from…   But they’re actually incurring more risks. Preston Pysh (00:46:59): Yeah. I can’t understand it. And  it’s just kind of blows my mind.   Anyway. How about UBI? So we’ve seen a little bit  of this to date. I think you can maybe make the   argument that them redistributing the childcare  benefits and things like that on a monthly basis.   And then they were talking about like, Hey, maybe  we’ll just continue that and maybe you’ll even   get the tax credit at the end of the year.  I mean, this is really kind of very mild UBI   in my opinion. I suspect it’s going to continue  and maybe even accelerate moving forward.   And I’m just kind of curious to hear your thoughts  on how you think some of that might progress. Jeff Booth (00:47:39): Yeah. You’re monopoly analogy and my monopoly  analogy from before. Those are exactly   but no, I’m just saying that you  actually did a really good job on yours. Preston Pysh (00:47:50): People need to know the context. So Jeff had  a post on this. I actually stole this from Ray   Dalio. I don’t know how many years ago, he  had some speech he was doing and I brought   it up on the show a couple times and then, you  had an excellent post on it. Well, then I was   there talking with Jay the other night and then  somebody in the comments was like, you all are   stealing this from somebody else. And Jeff’s like,  no, it has nothing to do with us. We don’t care.   We just think it’s a good analogy and people  need to kind of understand what’s happening. Jeff Booth (00:48:19): It’s actually fairly worth investigating  that a little bit because I don’t care. Preston Pysh (00:48:25): I don’t care. I know. I’m with you. Jeff Booth (00:48:26): I actually don’t care one aorta and need to be my  stuff for everybody to know that’s listening this.   If it helps bring more people  the understanding, steal it. Preston Pysh (00:48:36): Yes. Jeff Booth (00:48:36): But I don’t care. Preston Pysh (00:48:41): I want to give a shout out really fast  and then I want to get back to this.   Saifedean Ammous. He, with his book,  The Bitcoin Standard, came out,   published it, on print. You can buy it  on Amazon. You know what else he did?   He just put it on a PDF. He said, everybody  steal it, take it. It’s for the taking.   And you know what? I don’t think it hurt his book  sales at all. If anything, I think it might have   helped it because people were reading the PDF and  they’re like, “Hey, I want to go buy this awesome   book” but what a generous thing to do to help  people and just put the word out there. Hey, this   is what it’s all about and I know you feel the  exact same way. I feel the exact same way. Anyway. Jeff Booth (00:49:22): No, that’s actually why this is… but you’re… So  what ends up happening? We don’t know a lot of   times something come in your mind, we’re  thinking and somebody will say something   and we’ll sleep on it. We don’t even  know where we heard it. Comes in comes   and all of a sudden, it’s now in our  consciousness and we put a slight   tweak to that and we think we came up  with the idea. We don’t know where we- Preston Pysh (00:49:44): Yeah. Jeff Booth (00:49:44): So that’s actually why you don’t  and the good thing about that is   when you do what we do, you don’t even know  how much impact you have on other people.   You could never know over time and hopefully,  that’s a positive impact over time.   Now, this monopoly analogy going into it  but what I really liked about your version   is you said, first, they give you $200 when you  go around the board and then the prices go up and   everybody keeps the assets and the assets keep  rising. And then you can’t get around the board   and then they give you $400 and you can’t  credit around the board so they give you $600.   That isn’t the way to solve the problem. That just  concentrates wealth and control in the very few   hands faster. And it pushes what we’ve  talked about a lot, it pushes, essentially   slaver to wide portions of the population. Preston Pysh (00:50:43): And dependency. Jeff Booth (00:50:43): Exactly and dependency. It Removes individual  rights and freedoms through that same thing.   It’s kind of modern based laboring for a  job that you can never escape the system. Preston Pysh (00:50:58): Jeff, you could also make the argument  that it increases the volatility   of the behavior of the participants that are  receiving it. Because now, they’re basically   going out there to try to do the lottery ticket  where, Hey, if I don’t put it down on this.   This is my only shot. So for making a million  bucks so I’m going to go out and buy Dogecoin. Jeff Booth (00:51:15): And NFTs. That’s exactly what it’s doing   because everyone is trying to escape a  system that they know has terrible process.   And so it forces that on society and as it forces  it on society, there’s tons of winners and losers,   and you lose all semblance of what is money  in the first place. It’s a trade of our time. Jeff Booth (00:51:39): And so if you manipulate money, you manipulate  our time. So yeah, this whole thing has such   traumatic consequences for the world, we live in  and the world we’re moving to it’s and Bitcoin’s   potentially. And I said this a long time ago  and the CNBC crew took it out to me for it.   But I think it’s humanity’s  greatest invention, at least today.   I think if we look back in  time, it’ll look like that. Preston Pysh (00:52:09): So Tina and I were on our spaces and he was saying  that this entire debt market’s going to disappear.   There’s going to be no debt market. And I’m  very hesitant to go complete binary that it’s   going to zero. I think that there’s still going  to be a debt market on the other side of this   now will be significantly smaller.  Absolutely. What size will it be? I   have no idea. What are your thoughts on  debt markets post Hyper-Bitcoinization? Jeff Booth (00:52:39): By the way, this is a very complex  topic but I think Tina’s more right. Preston Pysh (00:52:46): You think it’s going to zero? Jeff Booth (00:52:49): Not zero. Preston Pysh (00:52:49): Okay. I’m with you. Jeff Booth (00:52:57): I think that’s actually important to… because if  you created a giant debt market on top of Bitcoin,   all you would trade is these leaders for new  leaders and nobody would ever transact in Bitcoin   and you’d have a system built on top of  it, which forces prices higher and higher,   higher, and higher. And yes, it would produce  a, if there was this counterparty risk,   it would unwind. And so it would… but I suspect  if you kept doing that to a great extent,   you wouldn’t get the transition I’m talking about Preston Pysh (00:53:31): My opinion on the only kind of spot where  it would actually occur is in a classic   founder scenario with like a let’s go  through like a venture capital thing. If… Jeff Booth (00:53:43): Let me give you a better example. So let’s  imagine that I have 100,000 Bitcoin and I   can keep levering that as much as I want  and other people don’t. Very few other   people have that access. Could my time as well  buy up more mining capacity with that scale? Preston Pysh (00:54:05): I can’t even get to the point where you would have  the ability to do that, Jeff. So in my scenario,   the only time that I would see somebody that would  do a debt deal is the founder of a startup has   basically captured lightning in a bottle and their  growth rate is going through the roof, right? Preston Pysh (00:54:26): They got everybody and their kid’s sister with  Bitcoin in their pocket saying, I want to invest.   I want to invest because I can see the growth  rate. And the founder goes back to them and says,   no, I’m not going to give you equity but I  will let you give me some money and maybe it’s   a convertible debt deal. Maybe it’s a whatever,  right? In that scenario, I can see debt basically   rising up in a post Hyper-Bitcoinization scenario.  Outside of that scenario, I really haven’t come   up with a situation where that would really  happen because everybody’s going to want equity. Jeff Booth (00:55:01): Then we totally agree. So in that case, and  would somebody give debt to that founder?   And they would price kind of what is  the return on that? Be a higher rate. Preston Pysh (00:55:13): Very high rate. Yeah. Jeff Booth (00:55:14): It would be a higher rate. Yeah. That  would happen. The debt markets would   not look because their entire  system today is the debt market,   credit market. It wouldn’t look anything  like that. When people think… And remember,   on gold, you had to have a layer two tech,  which kind of turns into this credit market.   And why I think inflation is so easy for  us to believe, that we believe within- Preston Pysh (00:55:40): It’s because of that- Jeff Booth (00:55:41): Because of that… Preston Pysh (00:55:42): Yes, I agree with you a 100%. Jeff Booth (00:55:43): And then, you have a credit based market that  sits on top and essentially nothing on the bottom.   And then you must have inflation to be able to  make that work and it just gets away on itself. Preston Pysh (00:55:58): It’s always just been a convenient narrative  that fit because the trusted agent was required   to put the currency on top of it. Yeah. Jeff Booth (00:56:06): Exactly. Preston Pysh (00:56:07): I’m with you 100%. Jeff Booth (00:56:08): When you pull on that string too, though,  why it’s so easy to believe and why it   fools so many people in a population, maybe  this is different on Bitcoiners specifically,   but most of the population wants to believe they  can get more today than they can actually get. Preston Pysh (00:56:29): Explain that. Explain what you mean by that. Jeff Booth (00:56:31): Governments would be forced  to spend within their means.   but you can’t get elected  by spending what’s in your- Preston Pysh (00:56:37): Yeah. Jeff Booth (00:56:39): So you get elected by telling people  that I can give you more than I can   spend and then you hide that, how much you’re  spending and inflation, which picks the pocket   of middle class and poor to give to the rich  and it expands government at the same time. Preston Pysh (00:56:54): Especially if there’s no term limits. Jeff Booth (00:56:57): But either way, like no matter what, on top of  that system, you don’t get the truth in part.   You can’t because nobody’s come out and say, I’m  going to spend. I’m going to make this right and   cause an inflationary collapse, which would  be the free market, which for the free market- Preston Pysh (00:57:17): Yeah, never going to happen. Jeff Booth (00:57:19): It will never happen. So we want to believe in  this system, we want to believe in Santa Claus   in the system which is based on a  Mirage but because that belief pattern   takes hold, people keep voting for it.  They keep voting for it without even   a question. It doesn’t matter what  side of the aisle you are. It’s the   same pattern because both sides require more  printing to be able to run the entire thing. Preston Pysh (00:57:44): I have to admit him bringing it up  challenged my preconceived notion   of there being a whole lot more debt in the  market. I didn’t think it’d be anything like   it is now but I wasn’t thinking that it would be  as small as kind of what we just described. But   having kind of thought through it, I’m with you.  I think that it is going to be much worse. Yeah. Jeff Booth (00:58:04): [crosstalk 00:58:04]. It is really small. And  that’s actually what you want because what   Bitcoin does based on layer two is it allows  for the velocity and money to happen without   the centralized control of that credit based   system. So you can have massive velocity of  market of the money, if the market demands that. Preston Pysh (00:58:27): What’s really fascinating about the Lightning  Network? Having set up my node and I’ve got,   I think like 300 channels open on my node now.  What’s wild is you’re taking those Bitcoin,   you’re locking them. And people yell at me when  I say locking, they say you’re freeing them.   And then that guy can see why they’re saying it.  But you’re writing a contract on layer one that   establishes this IOU channel between you and this  other party that you don’t even know who it is. Preston Pysh (00:58:57): And then, whenever you close that contract  between the two of you, you adjudicate the   balance between whatever the channel amount  was. So in a really weird convoluted way,   I’m sure a lot of people are going to have  issues with me calling it, it’s almost like   you’re lending or you’re putting that liquidity  into the market to be bounced back and forth. Preston Pysh (00:59:17): But you’re doing it in a way where you’re not  putting yourself at any type of risk outside of   losing your keys like you do in a self  custody wallet. There’s really no risk there   but yet you’re lending it out but you always  retain the same balance at the same time. It’s so   weird. And it’s not like anything that we’ve  ever seen in financial markets ever before   but it’s like lending in a way, I guess, because  I can’t go and do other things with it. Like I   can’t take those coins and invest them in equity  and still have them plugged into those channels. Jeff Booth (00:59:55): Exactly. You can’t create a full bunch  of different contracts on top of that   and everything else unless you sustain that  which puts that rigor on a financial system. Preston Pysh (01:00:07): Let’s pull the thread on this, right? So if I’m  going to keep these coins in these channels and   the fees are only yielding, let’s choose kind  of an extreme example, let’s say that the coins   are only yielding a half of a percent, but  we’re in a post Hyper-Bitcoinization world   where Fiat’s gone. Right? And I can invest in  equity that’s kicking off free cash flows of 10%.   Am I going to keep those coins in  those channels on layer two? Hell, no. Jeff Booth (01:00:40): And they’ll connect to that to a  different again, because the system   changes so much on equity markets as  well. A lot of those equities won’t yield.   There will be a race. Prices will keep  coming down and the market will shift. Preston Pysh (01:00:57): So what do you think the yields would be then? Jeff Booth (01:00:59): I’m not sure Preston Pysh (01:01:01): You thinking they’re way lower than 10%. Jeff Booth (01:01:03): Yeah. I think what ends up happening is over  time anyways, that in the transition phase,   this is why it’s so complicated because there’s  so much noise in the market as one system dies   and another system moves on but as prices fell  through, just think about kind of what the world   look like on the other side and prices are  cheaper and cheaper and cheaper everywhere. Jeff Booth (01:01:27): And there’s less jobs as well because more AI,   more rural products, more and more  is happening through automation.   Where would the best entrepreneurs go? Would  they attack industries that have low returns. Preston Pysh (01:01:42): [inaudible 01:01:42]. Jeff Booth (01:01:44): Or they attack the industries that have  the highest opportunity for margin capture.   What you’d see is all of the industries  that were left out of some of that would   be attacked ferociously by entrepreneurs  trying to give more value to society because   the market incentives force you there or it be  because you can make more money by doing that. Preston Pysh (01:02:04): And then the focus of that is going to be so  much narrower than it was like it is now. Simply   because you don’t have all this Fiat chasing every  single thing out there. So you’re only going to be   investing in… you’re only going to find people  willing to depart with their Bitcoin to invest   in these types of ideas, unless it’s got a very  high probability of success, at least I will. Jeff Booth (01:02:32): I think that’s what exactly what will  happen. Will it change on the other…   so it might slow down the innovations for a  little bit but it won’t change it at all on   the other side because people will say, wait,  that’s a great idea. And some of those ideas   are great and they can create incredible returns  and what the ideas are great are the ideas that   essentially destroy monopoly by using technology  to lower the barrier cost to everybody else. Jeff Booth (01:03:02): In fact, if you look at Bitcoin through that lens  and the monopoly being monopoly on money and that   monopoly on money costs a whole bunch of friction  costs to make it work. That’s all Bitcoin is. It’s   a technology, an open decentralized network that  lowers that friction cost dramatically. And as a   result, the people that are most locked  out of the existing system start using. Preston Pysh (01:03:28): So let’s go back to the dichotomy between the  layer two yield that you’re collecting by having   open channels versus the free cash flows that  equity’s kicking off, regardless of whether you   think that that is 10% yield in equities or a 4%  yield in equities, I would suspect that that layer   two fee is going to… you’re going to have Bitcoin  that’s pulled out of those channels, which is then   going to increase the fee that the remaining  channels are getting because now it’s flowing   through tighter pipes and then, you’re going to  see those try to converge on each other. Correct? Jeff Booth (01:04:10): I’m laughing because you’re exactly… It’s the  free market taking care of all these things. Preston Pysh (01:04:14): Yeah. Jeff Booth (01:04:15): And that’s exactly what had happened and so the  price will move up on some of those channels and   the price will move down on some of the other or  the interest rate move down on some of the others   or up if the free market demands it. They’re real  risk free rates will be shown all over the market. Preston Pysh (01:04:33): Do you see kind of like an S&P 500 type index   representing risk free rates then at that point  or would you see it more as like the layer two… Jeff Booth (01:04:44): I think that layer two could show that. Preston Pysh (01:04:50): Because, I mean, your risk is a little bit  of execution risk in making sure that you’re   backing up the channels that you have open  but in general, it’s pretty straightforward.   I would imagine most of all, that’s going  to be very automated in the future, but wow. Jeff Booth (01:05:04): So it’s amazing though right now, you think  about what you’re doing and I don’t have   lightning notes set up yet. I’m going to pick  your brain on how to do that but think of what   you’re doing in this and this is something I try  to teach my kids and stuff. If you want to learn   where the market’s going, learn Bitcoin, learn  Lightning, learn [inaudible 01:05:21], learn   what’s happening here because the  innovation that’s coming on top of this- Preston Pysh (01:05:25): It’s going to be crazy. Jeff Booth (01:05:28): There is so much. And I saw a couple of  the questions, where is the opportunity?   I can’t keep up with the opportunity. We’re  reimagining what the world looks like and the   people who can imagine what that looks like and  use technology to give more value to other people   have a front seat at the table. That’s what an  entrepreneur does. And that’s what technology does   today. The tools to be able to deliver more value  to society are staggering and it’s everywhere as   system that looked one way is changing into  a new system so there’s tons of opportunity. Preston Pysh (01:06:03): What’s a topic that we didn’t  cover that you love talking about? Jeff Booth (01:06:07): I think we’ve talked [inaudible 01:06:12].  Were there any questions that I didn’t answer? Preston Pysh (01:06:15): Yeah. I’ve got hundreds that have not been  answered, but in interest of your time.   I don’t want to keep you. You’re way  too kind. You are on vacation, sir.   And I am not going to keep you a minute  more. I really appreciate you accepting   the invite even though you are out there having  a good time and seeing the world right now.   So thank you so much for coming on and  give people a handoff to your book. People,   you’ve got to read. If you haven’t read  Jeff’s book, I think most the audience has. Jeff Booth (01:06:46): Your audience has because you  keep on saying it for that. Preston Pysh (01:06:51): If you haven’t read Jeff’s book, you’ve got to  read Jeff’s book, give them a hand off Jeff. Jeff Booth (01:06:55): The price is more, why deflation is it’s  really, we’re in a system change. And most   people can’t see we’re in a system change  because they’re in the system and not able   to see this. So it’s just an important context  to what’s going on. But Preston, one of the   beautiful things about this Bitcoin community  is all of the great minds that you get to meet. Preston Pysh (01:07:19): Amen. Jeff Booth (01:07:20): When I started the journey on the book,  I had to say something. I had to because   this wasn’t being said. I didn’t know how much  my learning would accelerate as far as writing,   when I ended the book. And that learning  accelerated from people like you   from people in this community. So thank  you to you too and just incredible friends,   incredible relationships that have  evolved to this. So it’s… what a ride, Preston Pysh (01:07:53): What a ride. [crosstalk 01:07:53]  What a time to be alive. Jeff Booth (01:07:53): Yeah. Preston Pysh (01:07:54): What a time to be alive. Hey,   are we going to be roaming around the  streets in Miami here in April or? Jeff Booth (01:08:01): I sure hope so. I think so. Yeah. Preston Pysh (01:08:03): You’re not getting lost again. Jeff Booth (01:08:04): Yeah. Exactly. Preston Pysh (01:08:07): All right, Jeff. Look forward to the  next chat, if we don’t see each other in   person. And thank you so much for making time.  It’s always a pleasure having you on the show. Jeff Booth (01:08:15): Anytime.
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Channel: The Investor's Podcast Network
Views: 15,353
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Keywords: the investor’s podcast we study billionaires, investors, finance, investing mastermind, btc, bitcoin, bitcoin fundamentals, bitcoin analysis, bitcoin update, cyrpto, cyrpto market, crypto world, the investor’s podcast bitcoin, the investor’s podcast, the investor’s podcast network, the investor’s podcast youtube, preston pysh, preston pysh and jeff booth, Hyperbitcoinization, jeff booth interview, preston pysh bitcoin, the investor's podcast bitcoin, the investors podcast youtube
Id: 2w__BBg35NI
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Length: 78min 43sec (4723 seconds)
Published: Thu Nov 18 2021
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