Henry Kissinger at 100: Former Secretary of State on China Relations, Vladimir Putin, US Politics

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πŸ‘οΈŽ︎ 1 πŸ‘€οΈŽ︎ u/AutoModerator πŸ“…οΈŽ︎ Jun 18 2023 πŸ—«︎ replies

negotiations between the circles of Hell have been ongoing for the past 30 years, in the meantime no one will take him, ironically becoming a frozen conflict.

πŸ‘οΈŽ︎ 22 πŸ‘€οΈŽ︎ u/ConspiracyClub πŸ“…οΈŽ︎ Jun 18 2023 πŸ—«︎ replies

[removed]

πŸ‘οΈŽ︎ 19 πŸ‘€οΈŽ︎ u/[deleted] πŸ“…οΈŽ︎ Jun 18 2023 πŸ—«︎ replies

Only the good die young…..

πŸ‘οΈŽ︎ 11 πŸ‘€οΈŽ︎ u/Quirky-Scar9226 πŸ“…οΈŽ︎ Jun 18 2023 πŸ—«︎ replies

This ghoul's opinion isn't one you should be paying attention to.

πŸ‘οΈŽ︎ 7 πŸ‘€οΈŽ︎ u/Keeperofthe7keysAf-S πŸ“…οΈŽ︎ Jun 18 2023 πŸ—«︎ replies

Just think about how many good people who have positively contributed to the lives of others have lived and died in the last 100 years.

πŸ‘οΈŽ︎ 6 πŸ‘€οΈŽ︎ u/FlowersForAlgorithm πŸ“…οΈŽ︎ Jun 18 2023 πŸ—«︎ replies

Henry, shut up. Just do us that favor.

πŸ‘οΈŽ︎ 8 πŸ‘€οΈŽ︎ u/Humbuhg πŸ“…οΈŽ︎ Jun 18 2023 πŸ—«︎ replies

Fuck this war criminal and stop giving him a platform.

πŸ‘οΈŽ︎ 3 πŸ‘€οΈŽ︎ u/FoxSquirrel69 πŸ“…οΈŽ︎ Jun 18 2023 πŸ—«︎ replies

assKissinger is as irrelevant and wrong as always. why is anyone listening to him? it boggles my mind...

πŸ‘οΈŽ︎ 3 πŸ‘€οΈŽ︎ u/CM_701 πŸ“…οΈŽ︎ Jun 18 2023 πŸ—«︎ replies
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There are few living people who have had as great an impact on how the world stands today. As Henry Kissinger, he has advised American presidents since the 1960s, stood toe to toe with the likes of Chairman Mao, Golda Meir and Vladimir Putin changed the fortunes of countries in ways that are still admired, condemned and debated 70 years ago as a young man at Harvard. Kissinger wrote that in the life of every person, there comes a point when he realizes that out of all the seemingly limitless possibilities of his youth, he has in fact become one actuality. One's journey across the beddoes is indeed followed a regular path. Having just celebrated his hundredth birthday, you might imagine Henry Kissinger's path is now set. In fact, he is plainly still involved in public life, still talking to leaders around the world. His legacy can be felt from Cuba to Cairo. But we've broken this interview into three geographic parts Europe, where he was born. The United States, where he found power and fame. An Asia which he transformed. And then we have a more personal epilogue to do with that legacy. Henry Kissinger was born in 1923 in the German town of Fur. Two years later, Adolf Hitler came to the town to denounce its Jewish citizens. I began by asking Henry Kissinger how his first 15 years of persecution and chaos only ended when his family escaped to America in 1938 has shaped his world view. In my youth, within a disintegrating society. The German society. Was. Collapsing into the Hitler period. Gradually in each election, the Nazi period. But again. And then when Hitler finally came to power, I, together with all my family and all the people I knew well, became part of a discriminated minority. Living in a town in which there was silence at every public place that Jews are not welcome here and at the entrance to every town. When you ended it by trade, no car anywhere. So that was why you'd think that your view of the world is something that needed some degree of order. If you look back, I believe that for it to tidy or for a. Group in which people lived. Stability. Or to could different. For creativity, though, that's another thought I had then, too. It says, but stability meant a great deal. The next time you came back to Germany was in the war, you came back as a soldier. You've fought in the Battle of the Bulge. You saw the concentration camps. You helped. You took part in this of the rounding up of Nazis all by the age of like 24, 25. That is a hinterland that very few people in modern politics have. If you look at the people you dealt with, de Gaulle, Mao, all those people that they had seen warfare. Well, I came back to Germany as a rifleman. In the 80 4th Infantry Division of the U.S. Army. And so I saw war In its most immediate form under circumstances In which you have fellowship with your fellow soldiers. If you are. Of survival and everything depends on it. And I was lucky that my fellow soldiers of that period. Live from northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin. It's called the Rails River Division after Lincoln. And so that was the environment. To then edge the battle near the German border after the bell, during the Battle of the Bulge. I was transferred to intelligent. Which was still at the front, but not right. In part two miles back at the civilian population, but to I saw the impact. Of authoritarianism and totalitarianism in my youth. And of war The next period. Until. It was an experience which. It's so elemental that it becomes part of you because you chose both the They didn't give. But also the sense of unity of of of a community. Then when they believe in fundamentals. We know today that the. German tanks will probably. Better than. But you could never convince American soldiers that because they were convinced. If better tent could be built, we'd be building. I have never forgotten that for most of your life you were dealing with world leaders who had had somewhat similar experiences. You could argue, but they'd seen combat the lot. But the last American president to be in that state was the first President Bush. You look around the leaders of the Western world now, they're all people. Some of them closer to my age than yours who've never seen those things. And I wonder whether you think that makes a difference to world politics. Do you worry about that with today's leaders? I think the. Leaders who have not had an experience of catastrophe or at the edge of catastrophe. Some of them believe they have more options than they really do. And that that is characteristic of vote, especially in the West, because the one exception possibly is Xi Jinping because he went through the Cultural Revolution, didn't he? So he would have had some experience of the terror that you would have seen. Well, for Xi, a Crucial experience. Was living in a cave with his father. After his father, a Red Army leader, was purged by Mao. And in these conversations before he became President he would refer to the fact that this experience made him strong. As you said, you grew up in this period of chaos and disintegration. You are seen to be somebody who wants to. Does not want Russia if it loses the war in Ukraine to be overly punished. Is that is that in part because you saw what happened to Germany? The Germany before the First World War seemed a very proud, successful country. The best universities, the best all these things. And then humiliation and disintegration follows. Do you worry about that with Russia? I worry about the fact that Russia had been. An integral part of. Of European history for. 600 years. And in a very special way, because it is infinitely larger than any European country. And it has always been part of Asia, the Middle East and Europe, that unique aspect of Russia in comparison to the European countries. So it has been torn throughout its history between. It desired to. Become fully European and a fear of European technical superiority or capacity. Europe will become more stable. The world will become more stable. When Russia accepts the fact. That it could not conquer Europe. But it has to remain part of Europe by some sort of consensus as other states do. But I don't want Russia so crushed. That, it seems, is being a factor of international politics in other regions. And becomes a subject for European competition among the various states. So. It is important. For Ukraine to be preserved. And for Ukraine to emerge from the war. As a autonomous, strong and democratic country. We have substantially achieved this objective. But now. It can still be improved in terms of the borders of Ukraine. Indeed, what I hope will be the concluding phases of the war. But I would prefer to preserve Russia because the dissolution of Russia or the reduction of Russia to resentful impotence would set up a new set Of tensions, do you think Vladimir Putin is somebody who could live with that parameter? You said you want a Russia that doesn't realize is where its borders are. Well, let's remember two things about Vladimir Putin, that he is on one level the inherited of traditional Russia and therefore has the tendencies towards [inaudible] that I have described earlier. But there is also a right to be important. Who grew up in the siege of Leningrad, in which a over half of the population died of starvation and under under constant threat. But he has translated that into never wanting European military power to be. In easy reach of St Petersburg and major cities like Moscow. So when the border of Europe at the end of the war, which was the military border of Europe, which was in the centre of Europe, moved to within 300 miles of Moscow and maybe 50 miles of St. Petersburg He reacted very strongly. And as it turned out, at the age of irrationality, you once said to me that Vladimir Putin was more Dostoevsky than Hitler. Do you still think of him in that way? I think he is a Dostoevsky-type figure set by ambivalences and unfulfilling aspirations but not Devoted to power in the abstract, but very capable of using power that it turned out they used it excessively in relationship to it to Ukraine. I would like a Russia to recall that recognizes that its relations too, but to Europe have to be based on. Agreement. And a kind of consensus. And I believe that this war will. If it ended properly. They may be achievable if it's ended on the terms you're describing. Do you think Vladimir Putin can survive in power? It's improbable. On the other side of the fence, the moment we have the Ukrainian counter-offensive seems to have begun. Do you see that as the last offensive before you You have to move to. Diplomacy and peace talks of some sort. I began to urge moving to urge diplomacy a year ago when I urged that the various parties to the conflict as themselves, how they want to end it. Not that they would end the dreaded debt burden, but that they would know what their political aim to A. I think that becomes increasingly important as time goes on. Lest wind up at a point where the war becomes its own objective and military operations and military relations between powers dominate all of this geopolitical thinking. And at that point. Countries like China will have to become, from their point of view, increasingly active that would spread into a world conflict. Do you think that that is actually the real danger that the Donbas doesn't become Europe's frontier with Russia it becomes sort of Europe's frontier with China, that Russia gets driven back into the arms of China? Well, this could happen because Russia gets driven back or because Russia collapses and this integrates as a functioning major autonomous state and therefore it requires. Thought. In this current phase, which I support, that we were correct in resisting the attack on Ukraine. We talked about China and Russia. One power that could emerge much more powerfully from this particular episode is Germany. Germany is probably the country that is going to rebuild Ukraine. If that happens, it may be involved in rebuilding Russia and within Europe. If you visit. Spain, if you visit Italy, you can feel the frontier of Europe has been dragged to the east. So the center of Europe is now closer to Berlin, so to speak. And Germany, by the fact, has been involved in supplying more arms and everything like that that it is. It looks set to become a bigger power in Europe. Do you agree with that? Firstly and secondly, do you think that Germany is ready for that task? I agree that the which this description of the transformation of of the center of gravity in Europe is been inherent Since before World War 1. and was one of the causes of. World War One because Of the refusal of other countries to accept. This reality, but also. Because of the inability of Germany to understand the information of its own position Because the leading country. Has to be an example of. Moderation and and wisdom In balancing the interests of all the countries, if they are to be participants in the system. and historically, Germany wanted to exercise its potential but domination And it's tragedy has been After the retirement of Bismarck. The failure to learn this lesson. Which directed India to trading with which all that the entire position of Europe in the world. So, now, Is again in this position And it has no leaders with an experience Of either the Nazi period Or of the war. So they have to construct the system By themselves. And they're new, they're in office only a year or so. And this is not a reflection On their abilities, but a description of a new challenge for them. That hasn't existed that form before. Do you think that also causes problems for the other great powers? You know, you wrote a lot of history about containing, you know, first containing France, then containing Germany, and now that now there is an issue. If you if you are France... Well, Germany was in conflict with France since the Thirty years war in the 17th century. because French policy was explicitly based On maintaining the balance of power within Central Europe, which in practice meant maintaining a division of Germany between competing states. And France Partly, two mistakes that Germany made And Britain came to look at Germany as a threat to achieve power. So. When the wall fell. neither the British. Nor the French leader were enthusiastic about the unification of Germany. But the reality is that Britain is that the British Prime Minister in the 80s, 70s, when Germany was unified. as the last made European country to be unified in 1871, said This will have a greater impact than the French Revolution. So we are at this moment, now when a new structure of Europe has to be created based on this. Reality. And I'm describing the challenge here, I'm not saying that the Germans have failed. It's new and it's a new challenge for this generation. It's also a challenge for France and Britain. Very quickly, they followed very different paths, especially since sewers in France's as very much defined itself, often in opposition to America. And it's buried itself in the European Union. The British, by contrast, have tended to stick with the Americans. And now they are outside the European Union. And you and I can argue about who's got things right over the past 50 years. But we are where we are. And I wonder, you look at France and you look at Britain now. Who is better placed to go forward? Britain outside the European Union. France inside it. Psychologically? Britain is better placed because it needs structure of the world. That one can imagine appearing. Whatever Europe does to its own construction, cooperation with America and pursuing parallel politics with America will have to be an essential component on it because by itself. Opposing all the other major power centers. Europe is in a difficult position to do that. May be impossible, So Britain historically is Better placed to do it. Britain's problem is its connection, how to connect with Europe. not how to connect with the United States. It has the history of special partnership. And an instinctive fear in Britain that the danger comes from across the oceans and come from across the border. While in Europeans think their fear is the danger comes from land invasions. So for Britain to link to Europe. has Turned out to be not possible organically. so Now It has to be done by policy. And I think that you watch. You actually think Britain, which I might disagree with you on this, but you think that Britain is sort of psychologically happier outside the European Union? Yes, I. You do. I think it's all too. A great opportunity for it. To act as a link between a unifying Europe. America. America has never been true to itself unless it meant something beyond itself. Henry Kissinger said those words about his adopted homeland in 1973. He first arrived in the United States in 1938 as a 15 year old refugee. I began the second part of our conversation about the United States by asking if his life story was uniquely American. Could he have achieved what he has done anywhere else? Absolutely. Uniquely American. I was. At a dinner in Germany. The German gent. Of the democratic Germany, would Britain and the American ambassador that amazingly adds to Tatler. What would have happened to me in Germany if I had survived this period and. He said. I would be a. junior professor in Munich University. That brings us very nice. That brings us very nicely to the next phase of your life. You go to Harvard. I think at different times of your life. You taught about chemistry and being an accountant, which is a wonderful image. But one of your mentors, Fritz Kramer, had a phrase about you. Were you a musically tuned to history? You go to Harvard and the other kind of great figure of your youth. Bill Elliott, professor at Harvard, directs you towards the philosophy of history. Robin, just history itself. And that's where you get all the Kant or the Spinoza. Is that a really important difference? You've always been obsessed not just by history, but the ideas behind it. Later on in life My views. And those of many of the academic community at Harvard. Can be charitably described, as not parallel, But in that period of my life. But in a funny way was a second immigration into America. Food from Germany in the second from the army. Harvard played a very important role because it gave me a. Confident. Or inspiration, it's a better word and do the direction. I will sort of divided. I was doing extremely well in chemistry, mostly Brad Stone memory. And I went to see the head of the chemistry department. Its name was Professor. Kistiakowski, he became a very well-known figure and I asked him whether i should major in chemistry and he said, if you have to ask me, No. And so I was on the other course already, inwardly it gave me the confidence to do it, I was most interested at first in philosophy. In. Theory of knowledge and theory of values, but history, it's a way to combine the inherent uncertainties of philosophy inherent because so far no absolute entities have ever been formed by any civilization with the results of what actually happened. And so i progressed in development. I became very philosophy, history became my dominant theme, and i think if one read my books. That theme runs through all of them. Where in your life is that the idea, the philosophy of history being most most of the ideas be most challenged by reality. You've said that history is interesting because you get reality conflicting with the idea that life is torn between managing the present and the evolution of the present. So the. In individual lives and of course, it's magnified into society's lives. There's always the ambiguity. That. Emphasis on the presence leads to stagnation. And that therefore, every thing else around you will outstrip that society and so, how to strike that balance between ultimate values are too absolute, Because they demand a degree of imposition on others. How to strike that balance? It may be it may be given to us, it's our insoluble problem to keep our motivation at the. Appropriate level. It's not quite interesting that it's not also the story of of American foreign policy. You have this you've always argued that there's a set of ideals that America wants to give optimists. It's a problem for America now because we haven't been as close as it is possible to be to be satisfied with the way we are. And we've been protected by two great oceans, because whenever a society in almost every place else, every place else is tempted to be effectively satisfied with itself, its neighbors intruded on them. It was very difficult to do that in America because of these oceans. But after World War Two and now increasingly and with artificial intelligence, totally. So we are part of an international or global system. And. It goes beyond international. It goes beyond its universal system and we have simultaneously to adjust to that and conduct a day to day policy with countries that have the same situation. And with other countries that grow up to our level of achievement that never existed before in history, you've always said America should balance a sort of shining city on a hill complex with reality. And you look at the last. You look at the last Cold War and America won it by kind of singing a song of liberty of those ideals, but also by doing really basic things, helping people, the Marshall Plan and things like that. If you go to America's allies, they will say America doesn't talk about those ideals any longer. It just talks about America first. And in terms of trade deals and things like that, America isn't you know, it's not even doing trade deals with its allies in either either Asia or Europe. So America, in a strange way, is more disconnected from what it should be than it has been. Well, actually, in fact, America is not more disconnected. It's probably more connected feed in what it considered the great period of American history, except that during the Marshall Plan at the end of World War Two, all this was new. So it was a new experience. And it was therefore that it became very significant in day to day thinking of policy makers, now policy makers torn between And at that time, we had over 50 percent of the world gross national product. Now we are down to about 24 percent, which is still a huge percentage. And it's still a extremely influential percentage But it requires us to be more discriminating. So it looks as if we are entrenching. The problem that bothers me. It's not basically that they're entrenching. But these we have not yet found a concept. That unified Americans and so now the advocacy of the realisation that we need a new idea of a world order. has shrunk to a much smaller group that existed at the end of World War 2. Our talented conceptual more than. Practical when you came to power, America had a long period where it had been able to to lecture the world. America was going through great difficulties then, you know, it was going through things at the gas price. You had all these things going wrong. And America did what you had to scramble. You had to try and find allies. You had to try and make things work. You've had another period, you know, from the Berlin Wall onwards where where America seemed very strong. Now, again, it's it's stuck having to make allies, having to find balances. Is there a comparison there to the. Now living in them in the world of. Unprecedented. Complexity. The need for those. It fits, but what the allies are supposed to do and given to set and now the alliances are supposed to do in given circumstances, and how the alliances are supposed to operate, When every issue has a global component, but that not every issue has a comparable interest for every country, so that countries they all have a global interest in global stability, but they don't yet have the same interest in the immediate situation. Secondly, there has now... I was given the opportunity to participate in policy making, it was essentially the 70s and early 80s. All these issues we're discussing the beginning and they were in their infancy and so that their very existence was in dispute. And one of the contributions of Nixon was that he was willing to face these new these new realities. But now they're upon us. And. That is an evolution of the problem. As you suggestion in your question. Do you think now America is a worse ally? I mean, if you go to if I go to Paris or I go to Jakarta, they will say all we hear from America is we hear America first and we hear we don't want to trade deals. We don't want to do things with you. There is no there is no sense of reaching out. And they would probably say that Joe Biden is a little bit more polite than Donald Trump. I would say ... but no more helpful. The debate within America. The debate within America has shifted to the extreames, So the difference between, say, liberal Republicans and Democrat in their 70s and 80s was about the degree of their participation in which they both shared. In the present period, the debate that shifted to extremes in which is. An extreme theory of America first, which is applied on both sides, but in such a way that it that it focuses too much on American interests and not on global interests. That is a challenge. But anyone who wants to conduct a few very good foreign policy must balance the two. Or America will become isolated. Do you think the current administration is is doing a serious job that. I think the current administration. Is trying to do that, but still afraid of attacks on itself that doesn't do itself justice. You were a Rockefeller Republican. Nowadays, there are no Rockefeller Republicans does as Democrats or one extreme as Republicans on the other. The center of American politics, the fact it's disappeared. Do you think that that has dramatic foreign policy? Applications. I think that center still exists. But it doesn't have fully it doesn't have an articulate it originated. Would you ever like to see an independent party in America? Well, independent voters in America have not had a good faith. But I do one. It is important. To maintain. An argument for the philosophy that I have maintained, the latter because I've maintained it but could. It reflects the necessity of a period and that becomes magnified if you consider that we are now in the field of artificial intelligence at the very beginning. Of a colossal transformation of human consciousness. Which will have to be built into that foreign policy. But we have a paradox then when you have these issues, you have artificial intelligence, you have climate change, you have maybe the global economy where interconnectedness is incredibly important. But America doesn't seem to follow it. that is in the current world. But the essence of what I'm concerned about is that we have opened the door to a dialogue with objects and with machines that did when when the printing press was invented. It transformed the human consciousness and set off of what we call now the Enlightenment, which is going on for 500 years. Now we had these machines. What is the essence of these machines? We as a question of these machines. These machines are then. Capable of encompassing, all the knowledge that we have taught them, but that we cannot contain in one brain or one machine. Look at it. Give us an answer and we act on the basis of that. That is a new reality that that will be studied for decades. Like the old new reality words, when the printing press permitted exchanging information illegally at the printing and printing presses at a time of nation states or nation states were coming to the fore, were you? You had an immediate need to interact with other ones. It was part of what appeared. AI is coming part in, as you described in America, which doesn't have borders - I think that America will be driven by reality and do studying what I have and so will other countries that an American thing , but it's become a high-tech thing. So therefore it will be a dialogue between. Therefore, the dialogue between America and China will become more important, even more crucial. But it will change. The way we interpret reality because to do our achievement, we have found the key. To a new aspect of reality, which we didn't know existed. One last thing on America, given the huge complexity of what you've described. Do you think that a presidential election between Joe Biden and Donald Trump offers somebody who is capable of dealing with that degree of complexity? It could be very difficult. It is. It's a painful question. We have. To live with what exists, and we mustn't turn our disputes into civil wars. We have to overcome them. The third part of our conversation centred on Asia, perhaps the place where Kissinger has had the most enduring impact. For most people now, that impact is represented by China, which Kissinger and Richard Nixon helped open up to the West. But his first encounter with Asia and the area of his life his critics focus on was Indo China. I put it to Kissinger that although Nixon and he plainly inherited a mess in Vietnam in 1968, by 1975, North Vietnam are taking control of Saigon in Cambodia, which America bombed was a disaster. I asked him whether, from the perspective now of nearly 50 years, there was anything he would have done differently. I believe. We did the best we could. We inherited a war in which five hundred and fifty thousand Americans no, five hundred thousand were in place and fifty thousand more. Had already been ordered to go there and were underway to go there. In America, public opinion had turned in a significant way Against the war and in violent demonstrations. In the street among the international public. Everybody was against the war. But they also were for America's defending them. So our credibility around the world. Depended as it does today. And our ability to perform. task we had assigned ourselves, we have. Comparable problems today. Issues in Taiwan and Ukraine. So our decision was to try to end the war under conditions. in which the the control over their own destiny. fell more and more into the hands of the South Vietnamese. We gradually withdrew our troops. Conducted negotiations, but also conducted enough military operations so that our. adversary, now quasi-ally, but then-adversary did not become convinced that he could take over. We did not want what later was an Afghanistan style withdrawal, which was for Twenty five hundred people. We had five hundred and fifty thousand people plus a million. armed Vietnamese in place so it was at every stage conducted. With the absolutely. What's a better way at any one point? We didn't think so. I still don't think so. But I'm open to that argument. But but it was meant by better. We reduce American casualties substantially so that by the last year of the war, they were in the thousands when the Nixon administration came in. They were reduced to. Less than 100 in the last year of the war. And we withdrew from ground combat within two years. At all times maintaining a negotiation. The irreducible demand we had was. An odd turn, a move. Democratic government. In South Vietnam. That was not granted until the last three months of the war, which is why they were the last three months of the war. At that point settled. Then the next question became, could we maintain this settlement? We believed. we believed that we could maintain their settlement, as he did in South Korea. Against all but an all out invasion from the north. At which point the alliance issued would have arised. But we believed against foreseeable infiltrations. We could maintain the autonomy. Of the of the government. And we could maintain it against even significant at that. But then Watergate occurred within two months. Of the settlement And the Congress reflected public opinion, forbid any kind of military action in over, and near Vietnam. At that point we had become. It had destroyed the bases. It was painful. It was the saddest moment of my public life when I had to sit in the. Security advisor's office And recommend the final withdrawal. And I published in my memoirs, Conversations with President Ford. to show how painful he found it to agree. To these recommendations, I think it's time we gained. Enabled us by the time the war was ended, we had already opened to China. And that in turn or China had opened to us. either way. But that was the crucial turning point of the Cold War. And also. Created a structure from which We could have maintained. Or at least given the. Vietnamese a reasonable chance. During the debate said the pressures, many things were said that could now be used to indicate different views. But it was our central views and I'm sure that any later. The books I read, not the subject that I have asked for, but you will see that this was what we thought and that is very critical that you think that in the end, the end and the end justified all the collateral damage of hanging on. No. The end for us, The end we were aiming for was an honorable peace by honorable peace be meant a peace in which we did not turn over the people who had relied on us to the domination of those whom they had fought. Relying on our promises. That was our definition of the end. We honestly believed that we had achieved that. And in presenting his proposal, the North Vietnamese negotiator (inaudible) the crucial point was in In October 1972, when the North Vietnamese negotiated, turned over a proposal and then read it to us and said this is essentially what President Nixon had proposed in January. At that point I asked for a recess and my closest associates at that point was a man called Winston Lord, who Went on to a distinguished career and he had thought over resigning at the time we fought in Cambodia. And I told him then you have two choices. You can go outside and walk around with a placard or you can help end this war. And so at that moment, I turned to Winston who was (inaudible) turned to him and I said, we've done it. Turned out to be a sad statement, because we hadn't because we could not maintain the domestic support that was needed. To sustain it. But the effort. If the effort had not been made and if we had gone to either of the other extreme solutions, one of which was. To go all out. Upon coming into office before the ground had been laid with Russia and China. Or to withdraw unconditionally and try to extricate hundreds of thousands of troops while the enemy would still around them in the form ended. Local people might have turned against us. Words, words, not what's not acceptable. And there were no other terms that could have been negotiated that would see reality that we faced. And so in retrospect, President Nixon came to believe. And hopefully. I saw it already at that time. We should have considered a more all out military solution at the beginning, but reflecting about it at the time, we had had assassinations in America and already violent demonstrations. That was probably more theoretical than practical. So that was our thinking. Good that it will be debated. The other bit which you you mentioned as being in part a reason why staying there made sense was China. From that point of view, you went there. You opened up. Important for us to show. We. Ended office convinced that a country of the magnitude of China. And the history of China could not be kept out of the international system and that we could not keep it out of the international system, that it would find a way to enter it. And so. We began efforts To. Open relations. At that moment, China had withdrawn all its ambassadors from every country in the world except to Poland and Egypt. And Poland was maintained In the Geneva agreement of 1954 as a contact point. Between America and China. And negotiations began on a regular basis, that is between the ambassadors that there were a hundred and sixty two meetings between 1954 and nineteen seventy one. None lasted more than a day, because each began with the Chinese demanding the immediate return of Taiwan to China. And with the Americans demanding. A firm commitment to a commitment to a peaceful evolution. Neither demand was accepted and so we began from that basis And then went through many contortions to establish contact. and exploring many ways of possibly doing it, And finally found a way when President Nixon told President, I think it was in Pakistan that we wanted contact. to convey to the Chinese that we wanted a real dialogue. We emphasized it By sending an ambassador in Poland,to approach the Chinese ambassador at any social function to which all amabassadors were invited. Which turned out to be a Yugoslav fashion show. Which one normally doesn't associate with Yugoslavia. But we approached him. And it was at that moment we. ... The ambassador a few weeks later drove up to our office, to our embassy. And said they were ready to begin negotiations. Those are the contortions through which Things were conducted at the time. But from there. we worked, together with China on the specific problem of its enabling in a dialogue. Which gave Russia something additional think about and then led to the easing of the Cold War. And the culmination of the Vietnamese agreement. And to subsequent evolution of Chinese-American relations. There is always a metaphor where I think the first time you said we were in the foothills of a new Cold War and then we went up to the mountain passes. Then the world was on a precipice looking over. But each time we talk, the relationship between America and China seems to be worse. Is that is that true today? We are now at the top of the precipice. One of the big problems is both sides need to step back from it simultaneously If one of them steps back, it is falling and so both have to decide to take the tension out of the situation. But there is an inherent difficulty. In that relationship, China has been a great country for much of its history But in the period that prior to the resumption of relations, It in terms of measuring power, China was much weaker. Then the then the United States, its capacity was to stir up difficulty. All over the world by using its diplomatic and potential commercial influence. As China grew in strengths, Which was inherent in opening the relationship, it Gained the capacity. Of threatening the United States in the nature of modern technology and the nuclear age. From the beginning raised the issue. That countries developing nuclear weapons. And their capacity to deliver them. We were able to inflict the amount of damage that would normally require years of warfare so that therefore their capacity to influence, actions by threats grew. That was the Dilemma of the nuclear age to begin with. And it was one reason why many of us thought negotiations for the reduction of that very important. With respect to Chinese American relations, as China grew stronger. And that's the American debate became more complicated, as we've discussed earlier. And as the chinese Governments changed over the years. The tension became harder and harder to manage. And on the American side. It became a subject which it had not been of domestic politics. So that candidate now influenced by the degree to which their opponents can accuse them. Of selling out to China. No. Mm hmm. So that it's the current revolution, however. It's a. Unique situation in the sense. That the biggest threat of each country. It's the other that is the biggest threat to China. It's America in their present. And it's a bridge through here. That the biggest threat. On the other hand, wars have become. Either unwinnable. With the advanced weapons. Or winnable only at costs that are out of proportion. And so I would support efforts to negotiate with China And I've been urging them. There's One interesting thing you said you. You pointed out that in America, the politics has changed because successive leaders and elections, people fight. in China. You've had one leader, you've had Xi Jinping now for over 10 years. So the fact that it's got worse in China, is that his fault? has he gone in the wrong direction? Well, what he has done is. The so-called wolf diplomacy in which Chinese diplomats were urged in effect to throw around their weight. so in relations with, say, Australia. which of a dramatic reduction of Chinese trade because of some political the statements that made.. So it's a problem a Little bit comparable. What we discussed before about Germany before 1914. That Germany suddenly became a great power, And after it. Bismarck, it's first (inaudible) They don't know how to apply it in a way that translated into a diplomatic result. You describe Deng Xiaoping, for instance, as a great man. Do you think of Xi Jinping as a great man? Well, Deng Xiaoping Had finished his destiny or his role Xi Came in. After a cultural revolution which wiped out many of these experienced leaders. And. I don't describe it now as a great man, but. I think he's pursuing goals which Which must earn him that title. And the American president, if they achieve. A real balancing of relationship between the two countries. What chances do you see of of of an invasion of Taiwan sometime in the next 3, 4 years? On the current trajectory of relations, Well, on the current trajectory of relations, I think some military conflict Is probable. But I also think the current trajectory of relations must be altered And for the weeks preceding our discussion. There have been signs. On both sides. Of trying to end them. They have not yet actually engaged. In this sort of dialogue that I suggested, but I think that they're moving towards it. And I leave my mind open in relation to the outcome. The other thing which has happened is that China has got more involved in things up beyond its traditional region. You know, you've seen China talking to Zelinsky. You saw China brokering a kind of truce between Iran and Saudi Arabia. Well, it should be an inevitable part of the discussions that both sides explain into each other. What their core interests and determine. How do we handle situations in which the core interests clash? I would hope to resolve interests in which their core interests clash without conflict or manage to avoid situations of clashing core interests. At the moment you have in India, which is seems to be a non-aligned country. It is not on one side or the other. Would it put the younger Kissinger now focus from an American point of view of trying to bring India, which will be the next great power onto the American side? I have not dealt with India For. In terms of years, even longer than I've dealt with China and the early period of my dealing with India, then non-alignment was a sort of considerable irritation because it took the form of lecturing on the virtues of non-alignment. That choice was open to them, but not to us. When you are in a Cold War, you can't retreat from it, and you say you're not going to choose non alignment. But in the decades with which I've dealt with India since, I think their current is extraordinarily thoughtful and I have great respect for their foreign minister, who is a very... I would say brilliant executor of that policy. India is a great power. And over the decades ahead, it will grow very comparably to China. Maybe not quite the same. But it doesn't matter at that point. Exactly. It will be of sufficient strength to assert itself And so it performs best when it defends it's own interests which overlap many of ours. Our interests as a great power are To prevent any country of dominating the world or it's regions and to lose influence to achieve important objective, the final part of our conversation focused on legacy and the personal side. Henry Kissinger has remained a pretty private person. In an age where leaders like to play on emotional narratives, he has, as we shall shortly see, tended to suppress his backstory, even when it might win him sympathy. One constant in the three decades that I've known him has been football. His first question on seeing me was why had Leicester City, my football team, just been relegated from the Premier League? He has followed Firth, which itself got relegated from the Bundesliga last year. Since he was a boy. Indeed, he and his brother were beaten up by Nazi thugs trying to sneak into a game. You have lived 100 years. The first has yet to win the Bundesliga. How how long would you have to live for that to happen? It would come close to the definition to give a definition of infinity. I've read a lot of things you've written and nothing quite a sort of powerful. This is in real focus and spoke. It was a private essay you wrote when you visited on concentration camp when you age, I think just 22 and especially you meet this inmate called FΓ©lix Sama and you say Folek Sama, your foot has been crushed, so you can't run away. Your face is 40. Your body is ageless. Yet all your certificate reads is 16. And I stand there with my clean clothes and make a speech to you and your comrades. Folek Sama, Humanity stands accused in you. I, Joe Smith, human dignity. Everybody has failed you. You should be preserved in cement up here on the hillside for future generations to look upon and take stock. Human dignity, objective values have stopped at this barbed wire. As long as conscience exists as a conception in the world. You was personified. Nothing done for you will ever restore you. You are eternal in this respect. Always had a very profound experience. But if something you chose to keep private for a long time, is it is that you think as a different way of people seeing Henry Kissinger? It was a feeling that concentration camp. Evoked in me. I wrote that. Within a week. Of heavy. Seen the low level of dehumanization. We can imagine. People too weak to hurt the guards that. Kept them And we killed some people by mistake by giving them solid food. But it so I wrote that for myself. I had no intention of publishing it Because feelings about humanity. It can affect your own actions. A biographer discovered it not among papers I gave. But if it reflects. An underlying reality. That we. Have to recognize it's working Behind technical capacities. And that we'd need to contain and prevent from breaking, and to use to prevent the barbaric side from breaking out. When you look back at your life now from the hundred year point of view, do you think that has been the core of it is trying to do that? It's been an important core of it. But I don't advertise it. on that thing. I know you're 100. You're talking about writing two more books. But how if not for that? How would you like to be remembered? Out of my control. I tried to do. The best I could. Within the framework that we have. It's good. Henry Kissinger, thank you very much for talking to Bloomberg. Very delayed. Happy birthday. Thank you very much.
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Channel: Bloomberg Television
Views: 52,575
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Length: 80min 55sec (4855 seconds)
Published: Thu Jun 15 2023
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