Age of Infrastructure Investing

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Infrastructure has gone from the boring building of roads, bridges and water systems to be all the rage, not just the United States, but all around the world. Bob Steele Perella. Weinberg helped put together one of the biggest deals in recent years BlackRock's purchase of global international partners for 12 and a half billion dollars. But when we sat with Bob, we started with the larger context. I try to think about this with a bit of an on ramp into the conversation. You know, for thousands of years we had an agrarian economy. For little more than 100 years, we transitioned to an industrial economy, and now we're in the stage of moving to a knowledge and global economy. And each one of those economies required a different set of foundational infrastructure in order to allow the economy to succeed. And so there are lots of transitions going here, and there'll be lots of spending required to organize that transition. You're right, there's an energy transition underway, but there's also a transition with regard to how we move goods and services in a global economy, ports, airports, things like that. And so and the digital infrastructure required to. And, you know, we all grew up where we built a highway system in America to move cars. Now we need the digital infrastructure to move data, which is the equivalent of, in my mind, of the highway of knowledge for the future. So all of these things are coming together. Yes, energy transition is a large part of it, but I think it's much more than that. Well, given the size of it, it's too big for either the private sector to do it by itself or for that matter, for government to do it by itself. What is the relation to the private and the public as we move into this transformation you describe in infrastructure? Well, let's let's think about it together. First of all, it's up to government and our elected officials to organize the projects and the rules and regulations for how the economy should be set. And that's their job, is to lay out what's the destination or the blueprint. And I think that. But when you get to implementing that, I believe there's a special role for the private sector that I believe can do in many cases, a better job of organizing, executing, planning and delivering on the ambition that government has outlined, that the government's going to write the rules on energy transition. What are the requirements for cars? What are this and that? But it's up to business to respond and work with government in order to lay down the tracks to accomplish this and take us to the destination that our elected officials have organized in response to what we all think and needs in the US. The government has laid down a lot of infrastructure track in the last three years through the Inflation Reduction Act, the bipartisan Infrastructure bill and the Chips and Science Act. I think that the three examples you gave of legislation and direction from the federal government are all in the right way, and they're serving as a stimulant to basically encourage this type of investment. We know that the CHIPS Act, while controversial, is going to bring new focus to the semiconductor industry in the United States and the group. On behalf of Secretary Raimondo that's organizing that are working hard to make sure the money is allocated in the right way to the right places, so that when we come back in 3 to 5 years, we've really made progress. And think about that for a second. It was a government organized project. The government brought in outside advisors to help them allocate the capital. The capital will go to companies who now we're going to be managing that way. That seems to me like a good combination of interest and skills where hopefully we'll make progress on this, but it's going to take a long time. Whatever the efforts of the US government, it's not alone in pushing hard on infrastructure, particularly when it comes to chips and particularly when it comes to China. You know, it's easy to imagine a fantasy world in which no one subsidizing, but that's just not the world that we live in. And in fact, China started its semiconductor subsidies first in 2014. She called AI conductors at core technology, and China started setting up its first government backed investment funds to pour money into the chip industry. And so whether you're the US or Japan or Europe, you've got to act with that as a fact. That's just a given and you've got to devise your policy around that. And I think one of the reason why the US Congress passed the CHIPS Act is because they realized that there were U.S. firms, US based firms that were getting more money in subsidies from foreign governments than from the US government. And so given those circumstances, it wasn't a surprise that US companies were moving manufacturing overseas. And so given the scale of Chinese subsidies, I think a lot of governments are saying we want a like industrial policy, we be skeptical of it. But what is the alternative? Given the size of the need and the opportunity, the government alone can't drive the transformation in infrastructure that's needed, including large non-profit foundations like the Rockefeller Foundation. Every big company out there should be a big part of this transition. If you run a food company. You should join a coalition. We're helping to establish that once 50% of your supply chains to be from regenerative agriculture, agriculture that actually sequesters carbon and avoids releasing unnecessary carbon into the atmosphere. And those types of transitions are going to be fundamentally commercial transitions. One way to let the marketplace direct all this capital to the most effective uses is through a voluntary carbon market. So I think these are very practical issues now. Combine that with governments and NGOs who are trying to come up with realistic solutions and they need concessionary capital, they need first class money. This is where I think that the voluntary carbon markets can help because companies that are making every effort to get to either carbon neutrality or net zero nonetheless can't get there because the infrastructure isn't in place or technology isn't in place when it comes to global investment in infrastructure. It's not just a need. Major players see it as a ripe opportunity. As we saw in the recent acquisition of Global Infrastructure Partners by BlackRock. This is going to be the golden age of infrastructure investing both in terms of the need for capital as well as investors who want that capital. Okay. And so the question we asked ourselves was, how can we accelerate the pace at which we're getting things done? Investing in new assets as well as getting pension funds as well, funds, asset managers to give us additional capital. And so if you look at the the the marriage between ourselves and BlackRock, Rob CAVUTO said it was one plus one equals four. I'm not sure whether it was four or five or three, but he's certainly right that one plus one is more than two. As Larry said, perfect mirror images of each other. They have a great infrastructure business, but very complementary with us. We do large cap transactions, they do mid-cap transactions. They have a terrific infrastructure debt business. It's primarily investment grade ozone is primarily below investment grade. We have an infrastructure solutions business which which we don't have. So you put these two businesses together, we can go to governments, we can go to companies large, small, medium sized and offer them an integrated solution. The conversation you had with Larry and by you highlighted this idea. Our firm was the advisor, one of the advisors on that transaction. And I think what you're seeing and what Larry and Bio talked about was that there's a global demand for capital, private capital to go with government capital in order to organize these large and important products. And now, David, the scale of these projects is so large, and they're just a small handful of firms that can provide the capital of which the combined BlackRock GAAP combination will be one of the leaders. But there's different types of capital. The way I think about it is the government can provide some of the foundational capital to size the risk so that it's appropriate for private capital to come in. Some of these projects are so big and they're subject to change by the population and by by legislators and regulators. That's not the right risk for private people to underwrite. That should be underwritten by government. And then private capital should come in to work with the projects once they're defined. And that's what the infrastructure investors have been able to accomplish. And so providing the private capital and I think also private capital speaks to the issue you were just talking about is where do you get the discipline to manage the projects well, to make the hard decisions and allocate capital in the right way. I think that when private capital is part of the equation that brings that skill to the table and ensures that the project turns out in a better, more efficient, more focused fashion than if it were just a government project. And that gives expertise in putting together and running big projects was an important part of what BlackRock saw when it made its 12 and a half billion dollar investment. They invest in major and larger projects than we did in infrastructure like Gatwick Airport and Sydney Airport, but they're particularly superb in the operational efficiencies of these investments. They improve the quality of service. And so if you think about what we have brought at BlackRock over the last eight years in infrastructure, what GIP has been doing since 2006, the two organisations look like a perfect match and then you've overlay the cultural connection and we always underestimate the cultural connection though. Guy PE now combined with BlackRock, is one of the biggest global infrastructure players. It is far from the only one. It's not just VIP, it's not just BlackRock. If you look at Prologis, if you look at really any large company investing in infrastructure or logistics, looking at two areas, one is clean energy and energy transition in order to reduce costs and increase reliability and reduce risks and also air obviously. And those are getting more and more intertwined. And interrelationship between AI and clean energy, I think will be an interesting area to watch when we're talking the trillions of dollars that will be needed for infrastructure investment around the world. You simply can't get there without major roles for the private sector and for the markets. I trust the marketplace and business on behalf of the marketplace with their ambitions to organize how to pursue the path. And so that'll be the idea. We know that we have an issue with greenhouse gases and we know we have an issue with the carbon aspect of the economy. Now, as I said, when I started, there were 100 years of the industrialization of America and the driving energy form came from hydrocarbons, and that was successful. It lowered the price of energy. And we know low energy prices and energy availability are very progressive, positive aspects for growing the economy. And we became connected to that form of energy and it accomplished a lot of great things. Now we're at a point we recognize that's not the right path for the future. So we're going to pivot. We know the large generators of greenhouse gases. We know which transportation, we know it's heating, we know it's industrial, We know all the different things that are and we're going to have to make adjustments to each one of those things by public policy. And then I think the marketplace can respond by helping to organize it in the right way.
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Channel: Bloomberg Television
Views: 13,914
Rating: undefined out of 5
Keywords: David Westin, Economy, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Infrastructure Investments, Interest Rates, Jobs, Perella Weinberg Partners LP, US infrastructure, Unemployment, banks, central banks, infrastructure, labor market, recession
Id: 12ychX051UQ
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Length: 11min 49sec (709 seconds)
Published: Fri Feb 16 2024
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