>>NEIL DEGRASSE TYSON: Welcome back to the - what is now our 10th
anniversary of the Isaac Asimov Memorial Panel Debate. I'm the host and moderator, Neil DeGrasse
Tyson at this institution - thank you. Here at the American Museum of Natural History,
I serve as the Frederick P. Rose Director of the Hayden Planetarium. Frederick P. Rose was, he was a great philanthropist. The entire Rose family, in fact, have transformed
the landscape of the city in ways that have brought cultural enrichment to us all. The Rose Center is just one example of them. Part of that philanthropy that was going on
at that time involved a way to remember Isaac Asimov. Isaac Asimov is no stranger to readers out
there, author of more than 600 books. He was a New Yorker. Did much of his research in the halls of the
American Museum of Natural History, availing himself of our library system. And, as a fitting memory to his legacy, his
wife, Janet Asimov, and friends endowed this series, the Isaac Asimov Memorial Panel Debate. This is our 10th year, but of course that
makes it our eleventh panel. You do the math, that's how it comes out. I want to thank Janet Asimov and the Asimov
family and friends of Isaac Asimov for enabling this, what has become one of the most successful
programs of this institution. I want to publicly recognize them for this. We have elected in this 10th year, 10th anniversary
of the series to reprise the subject of the original Asimov panel debate. That original debate was on theories of everything,
specifically, string theory and what string theory is, what it means. How far has it come, how far will it take
us. We thought that over these 10 years, maybe
we should check in on string theory, see how they're doing. Oh, by the way, I meant to publicly recognize
that we have 300 overflow attendees to this event in an adjacent room. I just want to say hi to them. There we go. Not forgetting about them, as well. So we're going to revisit this subject. We have two members of the current panel that
were on the original panel. That'll sort of ground us with a 10-year baseline. But we have some new people to bring to you,
people who have new ideas about what should be going on on the frontier of physics. I'd like to lead off introducing Dr. Lee Smolin. Lee, come on out. Lee Smolin. Lee Smolin is one of the founding physicists
of the Perimeter Institute of Toronto, an institute that specializes in the fundamental
principles of physics and how they might need to change to give us an understanding of the
world that we all hope and expect to have. Next-where am I going here? Got my sheets backwards. Hang on. There we go. Next is Janna Levin. Janna, come on out. Janna Levin is professor of physics and astronomy
at Barnard College of Columbia University. She's a specialist in the early universe,
especially higher dimensions and what that means. Higher dimensions always confuses us all,
so we're going to find out if she can straighten us out and find out what that has to do with
theories of everything. Next up...where are here? There we go. Marcello Gleiser. Marcello Gleiser is professor of physics and
astronomy, Dartmouth College. We'll find out a little later that I think
he actually throws the whole concept of a theory of everything into question entirely. We'll see where that lands. Next up, no stranger to this stage. He's one of the original first panelists of
the Asimov Debate-Jim Gates, professor of physics, University of Maryland. Jim Gates, come on out. A deep thinker on all matters from the frontier
of physics. I always enjoy conversations I have with him
by email, by phone and in person. The fifth of our six panelists is Katie Freese. Katie, come on out, Katie Freese. Professor of physics at the University of
Michigan. Katie Freese is an expert on the early universe
and especially dark matter and other exotic phenomena that none of us understands. And last and certainly not least is our sixth
panelist. Our sixth panelist coming in via Skype. Via...Skype. There he goes. Can you hear me...? >>BRIAN GREENE: Yes. >>TYSON: Many of you recognize this gentleman-Brian
Greene, welcome back to the Isaac Asimov Panel Debate. It's been 10 years and you look marvelous. >>GREENE: Thank you. >>TYSON: So, Brian, I want to lead off with you. It's been 10 years since we had you on this
stage. What-actually, no, before we start, just tell
me, remind people who you are and what you're interested I and why we might have even asked
you to be on this panel at all. >>GREENE: Well, first, I just want to apologize for
not being there in person. I had meant to be, but something came up. But I do realize there are some advantages
of actually not being there in person. You know, should Neil wildly gesticulate,
I'll be the guy that gets hit. Should anybody say anything that makes me
want me roll my eyes, I can actually do so while still being completely polite just by
pulling the curtain right across like that. And, finally, this is the first event at the
Museum of Natural History I've participated in without wearing any pants. >>TYSON: Brian, later on we'll be asking for data on
that. Something string theorists are pretty shy
on providing, but go on. >>GREENE: [unintelligible] data. But, you know, I have worked on string theory
since I was a graduate student back in 1984, '85, '86. And I think that perhaps is part of why I'm
here. And I have a view of where the approach to
unifying the laws of nature has been and where it's going, and I look forward to sharing
it with the panel here this evening. >>TYSON: So we'll come back to you on that, then, if
you think that's headed at all in the right directions. Because I know we have panelists that think
it's-the directions it's headed might not be the right way. So we'll certainly have a vibrant conversation
about that. Katie, can you introduce yourself to us all? >>KATHLEEN FREESE: Yeah, I'm a particle astrophysicist, and I'm
not used to being the pragmatist in the group, but I work on the dark side. So, the dark matter, the dark energy, dark
stars. And, in my view, the theory of everything
needs to provide answers not only to questions about the four forces of nature, but also
about the content of the universe-its dark matter, its dark energy. In fact, this is one of the central questions
of our time as scientists and we're fortunate in that it looks like some of these answers
are beginning to come in. So, in my view, the theory of everything needs
to tie together with the experimental results we're starting to get out of the dark matter
and dark energy regime. So, to make sure everybody knows what this
problem is, when you think about the chairs that you're sitting on, the air that you breathe,
the walls in this room, the planets, the stars-all of that, all the atoms in the universe, all
the quarks, all the leptons, all that adds up to only 4% of the universe. And we don't know what the other 96% is. So that's what I work on. >>TYSON: Wait, do you work on the 4% or the 96%? >>FREESE: The 96%. >>TYSON: The 96%, okay. So you're steeped in abject ignorance, that's
what you're telling me. Okay. We'll get back to you on that. Jim. >>JIM GATES: Hello, my name is Jim Gates and in some ways
I owe my presence here to Isaac Asimov. As a kid, I was an avid reader of many of
his science fiction works and I even know who Paul French is. You have to ask the family who that person
refers to. As a young theoretical physicist, I had a
dream. You know, like, I'm a black man, I have...
never mind. I had this dream that, if I got a chance to
do this kind of work, I could find a magical piece of mathematics that was simultaneously
an accurate description about things in our world. And I think I'm really close and I'm going
to share with this audience tonight, for the first time in front of any audience, where
this place leads us. >>TYSON: How old were you when you first started thinking
mathematically about the universe? >>GATES: I started thinking about wanting to be a scientist
when I was age 8. >>TYSON: Eight. >>GATES: About the time, a little bit before I started
reading science fiction. >>TYSON: Okay. So you've been at it for a while. So we expect really great, deep thoughts out
of you for this. >>GATES: Wait a minute, you said I've been at it for
a while. Why do you say that? >>TYSON: Just a few years, yes. Marcello Gleiser, yes. >>MARCELLO GLEISER: Right, so I am a theoretical physicist. And I grew up in Rio at the beach, but also
thinking about the stars. And I started my Ph.D., I did my Ph.D. in
string theory and extra dimensions and all those things and post-docs and all that and
published papers on it. But after a few years, actually a few years
back, I started to think a little differently about our efforts to unify all theories into
this single theory of nature. And let me just give you one quick story. There was, this week in The New Yorker, there
was a short story by David Foster Wallace called Backbone. And it's, very briefly, it's a story of this
little boy who, at 6 years old, he gets this idea in his head that he has to, quote, press
his lips to every single inch of his body. And he devotes his whole youth to this. He starts all these contortions and he starts
spreading his lips so that he can touch every possible place in his body, but then of course
he looks at the back of his head and the crown of his head, [with this] tremendous mystery. You know, places which are almost sacred. And the story ends basically with a statement
which is that "and he has never for a second doubted that he could do it." And yet, of course, he never can do it. And the point is that, in the process of trying
to do it, he became a wonderful contortionist and the pursuit of the goal led him to something,
right? And I'll just leave it at that as an allegory
for our search. >>TYSON: Wait, wait, wait, wait. So you get your physics insight from fiction
stories in The New Yorker magazine, that's what you're telling us. >>GLEISER: Of course, absolutely. >>TYSON: Okay. >>FREESE: Are you calling us contortionists? >>TYSON: Yeah, are physicists contortionists,
is that your conclusion? >>GLEISER: Mine and David Foster Wallace's contention. >>TYSON: We'll find out. Janna, what's been keeping you busy? >>JANNA LEVIN: Yeah, actually, the past few years I've been
interested in more practical aspects of science. So I work on black holes. But black holes are real, astrophysical objects
and I remember when I kind of made this shift to thinking about black holes as the death
state of stars and wanting to work on the possibility that black holes ring space like
a drum and actually kind of make a sound, play a song on space itself and that these
are things that we can detect one day. That this was a real shift to real things. I remember thinking, on my deathbed, I just
want to work on one thing that's real. I do also work on extra dimensions. I'm very interested in the ideas from string
theory or other theories of everything-the idea of extra dimensions actually predates
string theory. And the implications that these ideas have
for understanding the early universe. And, ultimately, also the course of black
holes, because these are things that we will not understand without more ideas than the
ones that we have in our toolkit right now. So, theories of everything are still crucial
to pursuing even practical things like, you know, black holes. And so I guess that's what brings me here
today. But I also have sort of vague ideas about
the general paradigm for why we pursue a theory of everything or if it's even something that
we'll ever get our hands on. >>TYSON: Thank you. Lee, you ran off to an institute where all
you have to do is think about the fundamental laws of physics. That's deep. >>LEE SMOLIN: That-I'm very, very grateful for that. And thank you, I'm very honored to be here
and also it's very nice to be here. Maybe something that the audience will pick
up is that we all know each other and there's a lot of knowledge and history here. Nonetheless, I learned something about each
of the panelists even so far, even as well as we know each other. It's especially great to be here and to be
back here because I was a kid just a few blocks from here on 93rd and Central Park West... >>TYSON: Native New Yorker. >>SMOLIN: Native New Yorker. Even though Toronto is the future, is the
city of the future, it's great to be there, I'm... >>TYSON: He's a founding member of that institute,
so he's got to say all the right things, yeah. >>SMOLIN: It's great to be here. I didn't start out, like some of the other
panelists, or unlike some-I didn't start out wanting to be a scientist. I started out first wanting to be a rock & roll
musician and then an architect. And then that led me to a book of essays by
and about Einstein that I picked up when I was a high school dropout at about 17. I think Janna was also a high school dropout,
we have that... >>LEVIN: That's true, yeah. We have that in common. >>TYSON: Now they tell me this, before I have
them on the.... >>SMOLIN: And in that book there was an essay by Einstein
and in it, he was writing in his later years, in about 1950. And he said that there were two problems that
he had tried the last years of his life to solve unsuccessfully. And one of them is to make sense of quantum
mechanics, which he never believed. And the other is to unify physics and particularly
to unify gravity with the other forces and with quantum mechanics. And for some reason, although I'd had no interest
in being a scientist before that, I read that essay and I felt like I had a mission. Something clicked and said I'm not very good
at math, but maybe I can do that. And that's what led me to be here. And I have to say... >>TYSON: So we need you to help other high school dropouts. This is a remarkable... >>SMOLIN: Sure, no, no, for sure. And, of those problems, the problem of the
foundation of quantum mechanics, when I learned more and was thinking about what to do in
graduate school, I decided that was too hard. Although the last few months I've actually
for the first time in my life had a real new idea about the foundations of quantum mechanics. But the other problem, the problem of unification,
particularly of the unification of quantum theory and gravity is the one that I decided
to work and I've worked on that most of my life. And I've worked on different approaches to
it. I have worked on string theory, which is the
subject of our discussion, but most of my work has been on other approaches, what we
call background independent approaches. I hope that that term and that discussion
comes up, particularly with quantum gravity, but also other approaches. And it's been deeply humbling to have the
opportunity to work for one's life on these compelling problems about space and time and
what really ... what is the nature of nature, as Feynman put it. And I look forward to discussing where we
are in that search tonight. >>TYSON: Well, excellent, thank you, thank you, Lee. So what we're about to do right now, which
is the hallmark of this series, is we're going to break into conversation as though you are
eavesdropping on a debate we're having at a bar. Or somewhere-or a coffee lounge. And you're eavesdropping on our discourse. Okay? That's what's about to happen. Brian, it's been 10 years since you were here. I'd like a report from you on what kind of
progress has happened in string theory. I don't read the journals on string theory. And so has there been progress or not? Because some of were skeptical back then. >>GREENE: Yeah, there's definitely been progress. One question I do have-is it worth setting
any ground, basic materials? Everybody in the audience familiar with string
theory? >>TYSON: Yeah, can you give us-sure. Give us in one sentence what string theory
is. >>GREENE: It'll be a looong sentence. >>TYSON: Use commas and semi-colons. No, just, yeah, lay that groundwork, go ahead. >>GREENE: In less than a minute. No, the major developments in physics in the
20th century, as I think many people in the audience know, the general theory of relativity
is one of the major developments-that's a theory of gravity, which is relevant when
things are really big-stars, galaxies and so forth. The other major development, quantum mechanics,
is for the small things-molecules, atoms and subatomic particles. The thing is, each of these two theories works
in their own realm. But when you try to meld them together, it
is very, very difficult to get the mathematics to work. The two theories are, in some sense, ferocious
antagonists when you try to meld them together. And there has been a push for a long time
to try to meld them, because there are realms in the universe where you need both the theory
of gravity and the theory of quantum mechanics. The center of a black hole is a good example. A star collapses to a very small size. It's massive, you need the theory of gravity. It gets very small, you need quantum mechanics. >>TYSON: Because its size is as small as quantum phenomena
would require. >>GREENE: That's right, its size in small in terms of
length. Its size is big in terms of mass. So you need both general relativity and quantum
mechanics together and the Big Bang provides another good example. So this is one of the main motivations for
trying to build a unified theory and perhaps as a footnote I should say we may have slightly
different definitions theory as the evening progresses that may become clear. The most basic version would be uniting quantum
mechanics and general relativity and that is one of the hallmark features of string
theory. That at least on paper, that's what it does. >>TYSON: So, in the past 10 years, has there been much
progress on that? Because you looked very hopeful back then. >>GREENE: Yeah, no, there's been an enormous amount
of progress in string theory. There have been issues developed and resolved
that I never frankly thought we would resolve 10 years ago. We've been able to, for instance, crack certain
fairly impenetrable mathematical aspects of the theory, allowing us to go far beyond the
approximate techniques that were the only thing that we really had at our disposal some
10 years ago. And this is a fantastic step forward. Where we've not made great progress is in
making definitive, testable predictions that can be tested. And this has been one of the major issues
about string theory for a very long time. So let me just be very clear so that the baseline
is really set. If you were to ask me do I believe in string
theory, my answer today is the same as my answer 10 years ago, which is no. I do not believe in string theory. I only believe in things that are experimentally
proven or observationally proven. Do I think string theory is one of our best
approaches to putting gravity and quantum mechanics together? I do and the progress over the last 10 years
has only solidified by confidence that this is a worthwhile direction to pursue. >>TYSON: So you're using the word "confidence" in place
of your belief? >>GREENE: I think "confidence" is a much better word
than "belief." "Belief" I think is a murky word. >>TYSON: Okay. >>GREENE: I mean, in science what you do is you have
a theory and you never, ever know whether that theory is right because you could do
a thousand experiments and they all confirm the predictions of the theory, but the thousandth-and-first
experiment may not confirm the theory. So experiment after experiment can bolster
your confidence that a given approach is correct... >>TYSON: Except we're really just looking for one experiment,
right? Not a thousand. We want the first experiment. >>GREENE: Yes, no... >>TYSON: Jim, do we have experiments that can...? >>GATES: Well, actually I was-hi, Brian, good to hear
from you again. I wanted to actually break in at this point
because in fact one of the most exciting parts of string theory may be related to superconducting
materials. There's a Nobel prize that was given recently
for a material called graphene. It's a remarkable material made of carbon
and it may replace silicon as we make computers in the future. But in order to understand how this stuff
works, you actually have to have a mathematical theory. >>TYSON: So this graphene was this thin, thin layer... >>GATES: Thin layers of carbon atoms that have truly
remarkable [properties]. >>TYSON: You have one atom layer ... >>GATES: Absolutely, absolutely. >>TYSON: ..graphene. >>GATES: Yeah. And it turns out that, if you want to understand
graphene, there is some evidence that string theory is the only piece of mathematics that
can solve certain problems. In fact... >>TYSON: Wait, wait, wait. Wait. So there's string theory as a physical concept. Then there's the mathematical tools invoked
for it. Are you saying string theory the concept can
apply to graphene? Or the math that they're working on is useful
to you, as well? >>GATES: It seems as though string theory, the concept,
can be useful for understanding graphene. The recent Nobel prize winner himself was
shocked by this. >>TYSON: So, obviously, he wasn't the one who came
up with it. One of you string theorists knocked on his
lab door. >>GATES: One of-well, he also said he doesn't
like theorists in general. Not just string theorists. >>TYSON: You contaminate their lab. So, Katie, you work in the real world here. So-compared to anyone else on this panel. You think about real objects. How do you see this marriage of gravitation
and quantum mechanics as mattering-as a goal, as mattering to your frontier on the early
universe? >>FREESE: One of the big questions is trying to understand
the large-scale structure of the universe. Where do galaxies come from? Where do clusters come from? And it turns out you need quantum mechanics
on the tiniest scales but at the earliest times to get that process started. So we think there's an inflationary epoch
of the universe where it was accelerating its expansion at very early times and in those
theories of inflation where you take a small patch of the universe, blow it up to be very
large and hence explain ... >>TYSON: When you say "blow up" you mean "expanding." >>FREESE: Expanding, yeah. >>TYSON: Because when stuff blows up in the universe,
that usually means something else. >>FREESE: No, no bang here, no bang here, no, no. >>TYSON: Okay. Expands. >>FREESE: So it expands faster than the speed of light
and then our observable universe fits inside this giant patch, but one of the big bonuses
you get out of this theory is that there are quantum fluctuations on absolutely the tiniest
scales which also get blown up to larger scales in-not in the explosionary sense-and can serve
as seeds for explaining galaxies and large-scale clusters. Without quantum mechanics on the smallest
scales, we wouldn't have those. >>TYSON: So what you're saying is there's a macroscopic
fingerprint that is traceable back to the microscopic phenomenon. >>FREESE: And, if we-absolutely. And if we're lucky, we can actually use this
to test some of the ideas of string theory-in fact, Brian has worked on this-by looking
at imprints in the cosmic microwave background. >>TYSON: So we think the cosmic microwave background-this
is this residual light signature of the Big Bang might-because it has signatures of other
things going on in the early universe-you think string theory might be there as a signature,
as well. >>FREESE: Well, we've seen the imprints of these quantum
fluctuations on the cosmic microwave background, as well as on the large-scale structures,
so those are actually observed. You can see ripples in this radiation. But the details of that you have to ask-well,
where were these quantum fluctuations imprinted and, if it was early enough, you might see
signatures of string theory. So there's ... >>TYSON: Yeah, so, but, Lee, this all assumes standard
quantum physics, right? >>SMOLIN: Sure. >>TYSON: Is that okay? Or are you taking us someplace new? >>SMOLIN: Well, I was going to contribute to this discussion. I'm happy to go that discussion later. But because just to get specific, because
there's an interesting proposal which has come up in some quantum theories of gravity,
particularly in what's called loop quantum gravity, that quantum gravity has a property
called chirality. Chirality is asymmetry between left and right. Or asymmetry under looking in a mirror. And this is a property that particle physics
has, particularly neutrinos and the weak interaction. And... >>TYSON: Wait, just to clarify, you're saying there's
an experiment you can do on this side of the mirror and it has one outcome. And if you do the experiment in the mirror
image of that, you get a different result. >>SMOLIN: You get a different result, yes. And that's a result in particle physics. It's now very well-understood, the standard
model of particle physics, particularly the weak interactions has that property. Gravity as a classical theory does not have
that property. Gravity as a classical theory is symmetric
left-to-right. Gravitational waves which are polarized left-handedly
have the same properties are gravitational waves polarized right-handedly. But in some forms of quantum gravity, that's
not true quantum mechanically and recently some of us have understand that that leads
to a prediction for the cosmic microwave background fluctuations that Katie was talking about. And I'll say it in language halfway between
technical and non-technical language. There are modes of the cosmic microwave background
radiation called the tensor modes that, if they're there and if the story of inflation
is right, our quantum gravity effects, their quantum fluctuation in the gravitational field
amplify or expanded or blown up as Katie was describing, and there is a possibility in
the Planck satellite of seeing asymmetries left-to-right, or parity asymmetries coming
from parity asymmetries in quantum gravity in the production of the tensor mode. And this is an experimental possibility that,
if it's there, I think would knock all our socks off. >>FREESE: Now, of course, the problem is these tensor
modes, although they're predicted by inflationary theory, in many models they're quite small
and you won't see anything and that you go back and rule out... >>TYSON: Yeah, so wait, wait... >>SMOLIN: Let me just say one technical point to Katie. If these are there, they're not down by the-there's
a ratio of how small the tensor modes are compared to the scalar modes. You're usually looking for things which are
in the square of that quantity. But if there's... >>TYSON: So what you're saying-wait, wait, so to clarify,
it's not the existence of this in the microwave background that would support the theory,
it's the measurement of how much it is relative to... >>GLEISER: Different signals... >>SMOLIN: Yes, but there's also an opportunity, because
a parity braking effect in the tensor modes would show up much before the tensor modes
themselves, because they would show up in correlations with the temperature mode. >>TYSON: All right, so you're saying... >>SMOLIN: So it's a great opportunity for fundamental
physics. >>TYSON: So, Lee, the current data on the microwave
background is insufficient to distinguish this. You need data from this next satellite, from
the Planck satellite. >>SMOLIN: From the Planck satellite. >>TYSON: Which is a European satellite, if I remember
correctly. >>FREESE: It's taking data now. >>TYSON: Taking data now. So when will you... >>SMOLIN: Looking forward to this. >>TYSON: When will we have this data? >>SMOLIN: Katie would know better than ... >>FREESE: Yeah, no, I don't know, either. 2012, I think. >>SMOLIN: It's always just a year away. >>TYSON: It's always just a year away. >>FREESE: How'd you guess? >>SMOLIN: That's better than 10 years away. >>TYSON: Better than 10 years away. >>FREESE: No, I think it's right. >>GATES: No, I know. And the thing that's really weird that I didn't
think we'd get to such a technical discussion, but in fact this asymmetry he's talking about
is also present in string theory, so I'm not sure it would help disentangle everything
at all. It might make the picture much, much murkier. >>TYSON: Let me ask Brian. Brian, what's your best experiment you can
suggest for this? Is something in the Planck data that you'll...? >>GREENE: You're talking very specifically about astronomical
observations? >>TYSON: Uhhh...yeah? You got some other kind of observation? Observation of the universe. >>GREENE: You asked me about how might you test any
of these theories-yes, I think astronomical observation, that's one promising place which,
again, at first sight is a little weird, because we're talking about theories that deal with
the quantum nature of particles, maybe the quantum nature of space and time-why would
we look up there? But Katie's explanation's good. And an allied one is, if I had a balloon that
had no air in it and I scribbled a little tiny message on the balloon and it'd be too
small for you to see it, but blow air into a balloon, the balloon stretches, you can
read the message on the surface of the balloon. Similarly in the universe, if the young universe
got imprinted with some of the effects of quantum gravity or string theory, very, very
small, but over 14 billion years of the expansion of space, that little imprint gets smeared
out on the sky and you just need to know what to look for. So, Lee is suggesting to look for this chiral
property of gravitational waves and they're from the early universe. Calculations that I've done in string theory
suggested to look for other kinds of features in the microwave background radiation which
again are very small, too small I think for us to have seen yet, but it could be the Planck
[Macy 31:40] evidence of them. So I'm excited about that direction, but I
do consider it a long shot. >>TYSON: Janna, what is all this about higher dimensions? Could you take us there. Because I live in three and I ... >>LEVIN: Right now? >>TYSON: Right now. Take us there intellectually. Whether or not you visit there physically. >>LEVIN: Yeah, well, it is an interesting concept,
the idea that there would be an extra dimension that we can't point to, it's kind of a frustrating
idea. But you have to imagine that that extra direction
is everywhere in a certain sense. So if you imagine a plane and imagine you
were this classic Flatland creature-you know, in 18...I think it was 1882, Edwin Abbott
wrote this beautiful parable of Victorian society called Flatland. And all the characters in Flatland indeed
lived in this plane, completely unaware of the third dimension. >>TYSON: Some were triangles, some were squares. >>LEVIN: Some were triangles and your social status
is related to how many sides you have as a polygon, you know. The high priests are circles, they have so
many sides, and the lowly workers are triangles. And our hero is a square. And women are lines, they have no sides. But it was very satirical... >>GREENE: They [lucked out]. They could only therefore be seen if they
shimmy, which was a little... >>LEVIN: Right, they had to shimmy. And coo. >>TYSON: But women are lines. Lines, what you're saying. >>LEVIN: Women are lines. They're only one-dimensional. >>SMOLIN: This was 1882. >>LEVIN: No, but you see he was being very-he was definitely
making a social commentary. He was a progressive person who was making
a social commentary about Victorian society. But women could kill their husbands if they
didn't see them come in edge-on and they could pierce them, so there was a high mortality
rate amongst husbands. Which I thought was fair, you know. Anyway, so in Flatland... >>TYSON: Flatland, by Edwin Abbott. It's available...it's a Dover reprint. Go on. >>LEVIN: But Flatland does a beautiful job of challenging
you to imagine what it would be like to perceive a third dimension if you were two-dimensional. How impossible it would be for a two-dimensional
create to point up. And yet up is everywhere. Everywhere on that plane, there's an up and
a down. But those Flatlanders, they can only see north,
south, east, west. They're completely unaware of that third dimension. And that would be our situation, if there
were extra dimensions. We'd feel like we're three-dimensional. It looks like we're three-dimensional. But there would be these other dimensions
that we simply can't point to or very difficult to describe in any language other than mathematics. Luckily, we can do it with mathematics, which
is a beautiful gift. But those extra dimensions would be everywhere,
at every point in space-time. >>TYSON: So how do you invoke them? How do you invoke them? >>LEVIN: So, one of the big questions I think that... >>TYSON: I don't deny them mathematically, I can go
with you mathematically. >>LEVIN: But even Einstein started, very soon after
Einstein first started to propose that space-time was something mutable and evolving, that it
could grow and stretch, expand, collapse, people started asking, well, why should there
only be three dimensions of space-time? And so this is a very old idea that really
predates string theory, although string theory requires a certain number of dimensions for
internal consistency, so it's been foisted back on us again. But the great question is, why don't we see
these extra dimensions? Which I think is what you're getting at. Why don't we see them? It might be that they're very, very small,
literally too small for us to stick our hands in, or it would take too much energy to bust
our atoms into that transverse direction. Or it might be that we are somehow confined
to a three-dimensional kind of a membrane, much like the Flatlanders were confined to
their plane. So I think there are a lot of ideas out there. >>TYSON: Okay, that's fine, but... >>GREENE: It might be that they're not there. >>LEVIN: What was that? >>GREENE: It might be that they're not there. >>LEVIN: It might be that they're not there. It might be that there are no extra dimensions. Like Brian said, it's not a matter of believing
in things. Nature doesn't care what I believe. But these are very interesting ideas that
have some very compelling consequences and we might not have to wait for the hardest
experiments to see them. >>FREESE: What we have to do is go to the highest energies
and accelerators to the point where you... >>TYSON: Currently not in America. >>FREESE: Right, right. >>LEVIN: In Europe. >>FREESE: Send something off into the extra dimension. >>LEVIN: Right, so the Large Hadron Collider, which
got a lot of press because there was an injunction against it in case the black hole, a black
hole was created and it destroyed the world-which I think is a reasonable risk for the advancement
of science... >>TYSON: Oooh. >>LEVIN: I'm just kidding. People were aware of the possibility of making
microscopic black holes and things like that. But the LHC, the Large Hadron Collider in
Europe may see signatures of extra dimensions, as Katie's saying. They may get particles going at high enough
energy that you can spew something into this extra direction and get a missing signal. Something would suddenly sort of disappear
out of your ... >>TYSON: So you would interpret that as losing something
into another dimension. >>LEVIN: Well... >>TYSON: And, if that's the case... >>LEVIN: Yes, it's possible. >>TYSON: .. let me ask you: If that's the case, could
be there some other activity going on in other dimensions where they punch a particle through
and it shows up in our space? And, if that's the case, is that what particles
are that pop in out of the vacuum that we say mysteriously these are like virtual particles
popping out of nowhere? Could we be reacting to experiments gone bad
in another dimension? >>LEVIN: I can say this-I don't think virtual partic-you
know, virtual particles don't require extra dimensions, but you could say something like
this, like Marcello and I feel like we're completely independent entities, but actually
there's a string connecting us that's going into the extra dimension and when it intercepts
the three dimensions, it looks like a particle here and particle there that look disconnected
but indeed could be connected. >>TYSON: Yep. >>GLEISER: So the thing that was exciting is that Einstein
wrote his paper in 1915 and in 1919, only four years after that... >>TYSON: It's the General Relativity paper. >>GLEISER: Yes, his GR theory and, in 1919, just four
years after that, this mathematician called Theodor Kaluza said, you know what? Instead of having three space dimensions,
we have four space dimensions, I can arrange things in such a way that my theory becomes
a theory of gravity-which was Einstein's original idea-and electromagnetism when it's seen in
four dimensions. So, you go from five to four and in our perspective
of four dimensions, you actually have these two forces, but if you could see them with
five-dimensional goggles, you actually would see them as one. >>TYSON: So you'd be unifying the forces in higher
dimensions and, in our lowly three space, one time dimension, it manifests itself as
these separate entities. >>GLEISER: Right. >>LEVIN: Can I say it in a slightly different way? >>TYSON: Sure. >>LEVIN: If I look at that lamp, I think I'm seeing
light, which is a phenomenon that's completely different from gravity, which is keeping the
Earth in orbit around the sun and keeping me pinned to this chair. But, as Marcello's saying, the big insight
at that time, very shortly after Einstein's paper, was that maybe it's all gravity, it's
just gravity in higher dimensions. And that, from our three-dimensional perspective,
that looks very different from gravity, but it's actually gravity in a higher dimension
universe. >>SMOLIN: But, Marcello, if you're going to tell this
story, you should tell a few years after that when Einstein gave up the idea. >>TYSON: Yeah, yeah, so ... [TALKOVER] >>TYSON: ..promising, Marcello, but Einstein died trying
to make this work. >>SMOLIN: No, no, but Einstein gave up the idea, okay,
for a reason I think is very relevant and we'll see what Brian thinks, but very relevant
for the last years of development in string theory. Einstein gave up the idea because, in general
relativity, the geometry of space and time are dynamical. And if the geometry of this extra dimension
is dynamical, then they wouldn't stay small if you need it to be small to reproduce the
difference between electromagnetism and gravity. They would grow or they would expand. >>TYSON: So they're not stable. >>SMOLIN: So they're not stable. And making them stable has been an enormous
challenge that I think we may disagree about how elegantly this problem was solved, but
a lot of progress in string theory and a lot of the twists and turns of the development
have rested on attempting to solve this problem. >>LEVIN: Brian and I wrote a paper about it. >>TYSON: Wait, I'll get to Brian in a minute. Jim, how many dimensions do you live in? >>GATES: I live in precisely three spatial and one
dimensions [TALKOVER]. I'm a higher dimensional refusenik. >>TYSON: You're a refusenik of higher dimensions. >>GATES: Yes, absolutely. Because in fact it turns out that string theory
is actually so bizarre that there are versions of it that don't have higher dimensions. This is not very often discussed, even among
the physicists. But in the late 80s, this was actually shown,
not as conclusively as some of our other versions, because they're not as simple. So this whole discussion of higher dimensions
I think takes the direction that one should be perhaps thinking with a grain of salt. >>TYSON: Because what I worry about is, you invoke
a higher dimension when you can't solve your problem. So it's kind of Band-Aid-Oh, here's stuff
you can't see, you'll never interact with. Let me invoke it so that I don't look like
an idiot trying to understand my own universe. Brian, how many dimensions you live in? >>GREENE: Well, I think it's a good question and let
me just-I'll give you a number at the end of what I say, but just to respond to what
you just said... >>TYSON: Keep us in suspect, fine. >>GREENE: Just to respond to what you just said: It
is not at all that we can't solve a problem so we pull extra dimensions out of a hat. That... >>TYSON: It sure looks that way. >>GREENE: ..is completely wrong. >>TYSON: I'm glad. I'm just saying it looks that way. >>GREENE: That's fine. >>TYSON: In a higher dimension, it looks like that. >>GREENE: I'm trying to disabuse you of that misconception. What we do is, we follow a mathematical structure
that we believe has the capacity to put gravity and quantum mechanics together-this approach
that we discussed, string theory, or Lee's approach is another approach. But when we follow the particular mathematical
equations in string theory, they take us to the idea of extra dimensions. We don't go out looking for it. It's an idea that comes to us. Now, Jim's point, if you want to discuss it,
to me is a bit of an interesting footnote. In these other versions that appear not to
have extra dimensions, they have other degrees of freedom, features that sometimes can be
interpreted as extra dimensions. It's a point well taken. But the bottom line is, we don't stick it
in from the outside, it comes to us from the mathematics. The actual number? The current version of string theory that
we take most seriously has 10 space dimensions and one time, for 11 total space-time dimensions. It's an approach that you may have heard of
called M theory. It unites all of the previously-thought-to-be-distinct
string theories into one unified framework. And that's the approach that most physicists
in this field are studying. >>TYSON: I have to ask-was there ever an idea that
had more than one time dimension? >>GREENE: Yes, absolutely. So, Itzhak Bars was one of the people at USC
who's pioneered this possibility. He has studied theories with two time dimensions. They're much harder to make work. I mean, if you have trouble thinking about
extra dimensions of space, try and think about extra dimensions of time. I mean, if one of those notions of time sort
of aligned with psychological time and the other would be a different kind of time. I mean, if you show up late, would that mean,
oh, yeah, I'm late according to that time, but... But that's really just facetious. There are really mathematical challenges about
having two time dimensions that are very, very difficult, but people have studied it
and some progress has been made. >>TYSON: Katie, what are you saying? >>FREESE: I was just going to say that the extra dimensions
offer us a tremendous playland in cosmology, we have a lot of fun. So, this idea that we're living on a three-dimensional
membrane in higher dimensions, motivated from M theory, one theory of this is that there
would be two such brains... >>TYSON: Brain, not human brain, but membrane. >>FREESE: Membranes. At the end of the world. So that's it, that's the end of the space-time. And in-between, only gravity can exist. >>TYSON: Or propagate through it. >>FREESE: Only gravity can propagate through it. So one of the consequences of this is that
it makes us look again at the equations in four-dimensional theories and, for example,
one possibility emerges that Einstein's equations in four dimensions have to be modified depending
on what is going on in the extra dimensions. Now, this may actually be a good thing from
the point of view of trying to explain the dark energy of the universe. >>TYSON: This is the mysterious pressure that's accelerating
the expanding universe, that nobody knows what it is. >>FREESE: Yeah, we see these supernovae explosions which
are the end products of stars-when stars die, they explode. And you know exactly how bright the supernovae
are. It's sort of looking at holding up a 60-watt
bulb in the back of the room, so you know how bright it really is... >>TYSON: A standard candle. >>FREESE: A standard candle. But then it's not looking as bright as it
should. And so the interpretation is, well, it's because
the person holding that lightbulb is running away from me. So the accelerating universe would be an explanation
and we call this, out of ignorance, the dark energy, this negative pressure that drives
this acceleration. >>TYSON: So, so, but do you need higher dimensions
for that? >>FREESE: No. >>TYSON: Or maybe you don't know if you need higher
dimensions. >>FREESE: We don't know. But it is certainly one of the big puzzles
that keeps us all working to try to understand how you can ... what can you do, either using
modifications of equations coming from extra dimensions or, back to Einstein, his cosmological
constant that he wanted to abandon, but perhaps here we have this reappearing as an explanation
for this anti-gravitational acceleration. >>TYSON: So I want to shift gears a little bit right
now, because basically we've been grounded in the kinds of thoughts and physics that's
been driving research over these years. But I want to-Marcello, you came to the Hayden
Planetarium a few months ago and gave a talk that dumbstruck many people in the room. Because you came at it from a whole other
place. What is that place that you come from? >>GLEISER: Right, so let me just clarify a thing which
I think is extremely important that maybe all of you know, but when people talk about
theories of everything in physics, at least, we don't really mean "everything." It doesn't mean that we'll have a theory that
will predict where I'm going to have dinner tomorrow, if I'm going to have a haircut or
something like that. >>TYSON: Because it's a theory of some stuff. >>GLEISER: It's the theory of some stuff. And it's really relegated to how the fundamental
particles of matter interact with each other. So the notion that we know now is there are
four fundamental forces in nature. Okay, the gravity and electromagnetism, that
we know. And two others that live inside the nucleus,
the strong and the weak force. So, the notion of a theory of everything or
unification is that we want to bring these four forces into a single force, so that if
you look at very, very high energies, i.e., very close to Big Bang, close to the origin
of the universe, you wouldn't see four forces, you'd see only one. So that is the pursuit that, if you look at
nature at higher and higher energies, hence in the LHC, for example, you'd actually start
seeing things to look more and more alike, particles interacting in more and more similar
ways, all the way up to this unified theory. >>TYSON: So it only looks like four forces because
we live in a relatively cold part of the universe. >>GLEISER: Exactly. >>TYSON: All right, so Einstein died trying. >>GLEISER: He did. He spent, I don't know, 20 years trying to
unify all the electromagnetic and the gravitational interactions into a theory in four dimensions,
as Lee was mentioning there, and what people nowadays would say, well, he couldn't have
succeeded because he left two very important forces out. We now know that there are only four forces
of nature. And I start thinking, well, how do you know
that? Well, that's what we measure. But how do we know about nature? Well, exclusively through our measurements. What we need in order to make sense of reality
is our tools. And a lot of discovery in physics, not completely,
but a lot of it, is very much dependent on the accuracy of our instruments. If you look at the history of quantum mechanics,
for example, it wouldn't have happened if we didn't have the right machines, the right
laboratory experiments to force people, brute force people into thinking in a completely
different way than they were thinking before. It was a real time of drama in physics where
the old folks would not want to give up the notion that everything is deterministic and
ordered, but experiments forced them into this. Einstein, when he came up with relativity,
he had very specific tests on his theory. And eventually, when the tools were there,
people went out, measured-for example, eclipse, the eclipse, during a solar eclipse, you could
measure stars and look at their position, respect when the sun is not in the path and
you find a little distortion which has to do with the curvature of space that he predicted
would be there. So, a lot of what we know of the universe
depends on how we measure things. And, to me, the problem with the notion of
a theory of everything is that it implies that we will eventually know everything there
is to know in the world of particle physics only, that we're going to have tools that
will be able to give us all the answers that we're looking for. And I do not see how that's possible. For example, let's say we succeed with a 10-dimensional...well,
11 space-time dimensional superstring theory, which is a wonderful thing and I'm completely
in agreement with Brian that it is about making it falsifiable, making it testable and that's
perfectly okay. What bothers me is not getting there. What bothers me is saying that that is The
Answer. That is The Theory of Everything. Because very possibly a few years from now
a new machine, as has happened on and on and on in the history of physics, will reveal
something completely unexpected. There will be new ideas for us to keep going. So, for me, physics is a work in progress. Is a narrative. Is an ongoing effort for us to understand
nature. >>TYSON: The endless frontier. >>GLEISER: The endless frontier. >>TYSON: And if it's endless, you then can't have a
theory of everything. >>GLEISER: Right. You make your knowledge grow, like an island. But then the shores of ignorance increase. >>TYSON: Yeah, but... >>GREENE: Is it a question of language? >>SMOLIN: Can I ...? >>TYSON: Yeah, but Marcello, but you...but...that sounds
like almost wishful thinking. There are things we do understand and… >>GLEISER: Of course. >>TYSON: ..the shoreline of the island does not keep
growing. We find another island, but the shoreline
of the island we've been studying works, we predict within it and we're done. There are certain things about physics that
we're done. >>LEVIN: We do progress. I mean, you can't [TALKOVER] progress. >>GLEISER: Depends, depends how deep your questions are. Okay, so you say, look, Newtonian gravity
explains how the Earth is going around the sun, everything is a beautiful thing. And then you start to think, okay, but how
is matter attracting matter? Well, you say it's the curvature of space,
which is what Einstein said. But then you say, but why matter attracts...? >>TYSON: I'm with you there. I'm with you there, but hear me out. Hear me out. >>GLEISER: Okay. >>TYSON: Using that analog, you have Newton, that works
for, like, horses and stuff. And then Einstein, you need a new understanding
that modifies Newton to get high speed and high gravity. So that's not something separate. That's not a separate island. It's a bigger island, with more understanding
of the universe. >>GLEISER: Right. >>TYSON: With more tools to measure that fact. I submit to you that it ought to be possible,
even likely, that as our tools grow and we discover more things, fine. Then we get to a point where more powerful
tools reveal the same phenomena, and not new phenomena. That tells you... >>GLEISER: How do you know that? >>TYSON: Doesn't that tell you that you hit the limits? >>GLEISER: But you can never know that. >>SMOLIN: Can I try something? Can I ...? >>TYSON: Yeah, Lee, go. >>SMOLIN: Because I wouldn't articulate it anything
like the way that Marcello does, but I have a disquiet with the dream of the search for
the final theory, and let me try to express my disquiet and see if it overlaps and see
if it addresses your question. Physics, the way that Newton taught us to
do it has a certain methodology. And the methodology is we isolate a little,
small part of the universe and we do experiments on the small part of the universe over and
over and over and over again, varying the inputs or what we call the initial conditions. And by doing this, we learn to separate out
what are the generalities, what is true every time we run the experiment. When the experiment is throwing balls up in
the air we can throw them with different initial speeds, different initial directions, but
something is always the same and those things which are always the same we call "laws." And we separate them from the initial conditions
of the inputs to the experiments which differ. >>TYSON: The laws that are the things that are constant
and repeatable... >>SMOLIN: That are constant... >>TYSON: ..in time and space. >>SMOLIN: Yes, that are constant, repeatable. And this is the method that Newton taught
us and it's highly, highly successful. It explains the success of quantum mechanics,
of general relativity, which is always tested, if we're honest, with small parts of the universe
and so forth. What is different about the period we live
in is that we come to the cosmological scale. And at the cosmological scale, two things
happens simultaneously which I think befuddle us and I think have thrown us for a loop. One of them is we no longer can do experiments
over and over again. There's one experiment which is the universe
as a whole. >>TYSON: The Big Bang is a singular event. >>SMOLIN: So we cannot-we're no longer in a place where
we can separate out, quote, the laws from, quote, initial conditions. That's the first thing that happened. And the other thing that happens is surprises
that Neil has discussed has worked so well that we're left with the question of not just
what are the laws, but why these laws, rather than other laws? And why the initial conditions, why it turns
out that the initial conditions which give rise to our universe are very special, why
these initial conditions rather than other initial conditions? And at the cosmological scale, the method
that Newton taught us to discover what the laws are gives us no grounds or no tools to
answer the questions why these laws, why these initial conditions. And at this point... >>TYSON: But wait, wait, Lee... >>SMOLIN: ..we face a crisis. Yeah? >>TYSON: Katie, can't you create initial conditions
on a computer and run different universe models? Isn't that tantamount to the same thing? >>FREESE: Yes. >>TYSON: Okay, so here is Lee in his angst that we
only have one universe with one set of initial conditions and we're hopeless in a Newtonian
sense of being able to experiment with it. But isn't that what you do every day? >>SMOLIN: No, no, but we can't understand why these
particular laws. [TALKOVER] >>FREESE: I think, I think what he's... >>SMOLIN: Why these particular initial conditions. >>FREESE: I think he's heading towards the multiverse. >>SMOLIN: I'm not heading toward the multiverse. >>LEVIN: You are heading towards the multiverse. [TALKOVER] >>SMOLIN: I'll give room for other people, other people
wanting [unintelligible]. >>TYSON: The multiverse. >>LEVIN: You are pushing them towards the multiverse. >>TYSON: Multiverse-Katie, what's the multiverse? >>SMOLIN: Before we head to the multiverse, I think
we're at a junction here and the junction is the method that Newton gave us no longer
tells us how to go ahead. We have two choices. One of them is to ask what is the right method
to go ahead and continue to do science? We have to change the methodology by which
we try to understand the universe. That's the first choice. The second choice is the multiverse. The second choice is to say, well, the method
we have only works on systems which are small parts of a much bigger entity, so let's invent
a much bigger entity that our universe is a small part of and start to reason in the
same way that Newton taught us, statistically and so forth, as if there were many, many,
many universes. And my-just to jump in-my take on the multiverse
even having contributed my own versions of it, is that it's the response to taking Newton's
method into a domain where it's not applicable and failing to have the wisdom to invent a
new method which is applicable to discovering what the laws are on a cosmological scale. >>FREESE: I think just because we don't have an answer
to a question yet-for example, why are electromagnetic forces as strong as they are today?-just because
we can't answer it now doesn't mean that we're not going to get there. I don't want to have to resort to saying,
well, our universe has to have this value or we wouldn't exist. And somewhere over there is a different universe
that has different creatures because their electromagnetic interactions have a different
strength. I don't think so. >>TYSON: So, Lee, I'm going to translate what she just
said. >>FREESE: I think that we're going to answer [this]. >>TYSON: She's saying, just because you can't figure
it out... >>FREESE: Yeah. >>SMOLIN: Oh, no, I agree with her. >>TYSON: ..doesn't mean the properties of the universe
have to be different. >>SMOLIN: No, no, no. >>TYSON: Did I translate accurately there? >>FREESE: Thank you. No, no, I think the conception of laws has
to-Let me quote, for example, the first person to think seriously about the issue that I
raised, as far as I know, was the American philosopher, Charles Sanders Perce. And he said in 1893 that the progress of science
would advance to the point where the problem became not what are the laws, but why these
laws? And then he said something I think has a lot
of wisdom. He says the only rational way of accounting
for why these laws rather than other laws is if the laws themselves are the result of
the process of evolution. And I think it's that process of evolution
that we have to discover and understand and then we can do what Katie wants us to do. >>TYSON: Marcello? >>GLEISER: I just want to make a [run], before we go
into this more philosophical discussion, which is basically we don't even know all the laws. And yes, we're definitely going to make progress. We're always making progress and there will
be answers to many, many questions. But I think it's a process that is not-we
should not believe that we should get one [and]. I'm for the humility of the humanity. Like, yes, we're really smart, but to have
the notion that we can find not just all the laws that exist in this universe, but also
the laws that define the laws in all possible universes and hence understand this one in
particular? It's quite a thing. Which doesn't mean I'm a pessimist. I think we should go there, we should totally
try. >>TYSON: But. >>GLEISER: But we should keep in mind that everything
should in the end be grounded in what we can measure of reality. >>LEVIN: But can I just say, Marcello, that we have
had incredibly successful examples of unification. Obviously, certainly our understanding of
matter is more or less unified in an incredibly successful model, where we understand that
light isn't different from-electromagnetism isn't different from weak forces or strong
forces. Where do you draw the line? Would you have drawn the line before that
great success? Would you have said, we shouldn't be thinking
about unification of matter? We'll never get there and it's just too much
to expect? >>TYSON: In other words, Marcello, a hundred years
ago, what would you have been saying? >>GLEISER: I would have been saying that unification
of electromagnetism is not perfect. Only in empty space. And that is true. If you look at the-sorry about this, guys-if
you look at Maxwell's equations that basically describe how electromagnetic waves propagate
in space, they are beautifully perfect, symmetric whenever you don't have any sources of electricity
and magnetism. If you look at, you know, sources, they're
not perfect anymore. And just to make a comment about this, yes,
we have unified and I think the tendency of unification, of simplifying our knowledge
of nature is absolutely key. That's what we all want to do, that's what
we like to do. >>TYSON: But? >>GLEISER: And in fact, the standard model, which is
what Janna is talking about, is a magnificent achievement in which we can describe everything
that we know of particles, you know, in terms of 12 particles. And that's just beautiful. However, it's not a pure unification in the
spirit that, say, superstring theory would like it to be, because each one of the forces-electromagnetism,
strong and the weak interactions-keep their imprint in the theory. And what we really want in the so-called Grand
Unified Theory, or GUT theory, is that these three things become one. And the standard model certainly does not
do that. It's really bringing them together in a sort
of a patchwork way. And that is in fact one of the reasons why
want to go beyond that. That's one of the motivations for string theory. >>TYSON: Jim, have you gone beyond that? >>GLEISER: [unintelligible] >>GATES: Well, it's been very interesting sitting on
this stage and listening to my colleagues. But-and I am far from experimental physicists
as you can imagine, but this is why experimental... >>TYSON: Which means you're a theorist. Yes. >>GATES: Something like that. >>TYSON: Okay. It's code for "I'm a theorist." >>GATES: Exactly. But my point is that it is always the case
that it is our experimental colleagues that prevent us from forming a religion. Because it is always grounded in what they
can measure, as Marcello keeps coming back to. And so, although people can express either
enthusiasm or dismay about where we are that the given point in time, I think that we need
to be a little more humble and to understand that the process that we engage in is a constant
flight from fantasy about what we would want to happen. And we query nature for that and that query
goes through experiment. So, although this has probably been very entertaining
for my audience here, I think that, at the end of the day, we have to keep grounded in:
it's got to be about things that affect your lives and those things are measurable things. >>TYSON: So where has this pursuit taken you? >>GATES: Oh, my god. >>TYSON: Where have you landed. >>GATES: Why would you ask that? >>TYSON: I'm asking that here and now. It's New York City. It's March 7th. >>GATES: Well, partly it's taken to this very strange
images that are behind your head right now. These are pictures of equations. I've been for the last 15 years trying to
answer the kinds of questions that my colleagues have been raising. And what I've come to understand is that there
are these incredible pictures that contain all the information of a set of equations
that are related to string theory. And it's even more bizarre than that, because
when you then try to understand these pictures you find out that buried in them are computer
codes just like the type that you find in the browser when you go surf the Web. And so I'm left with the puzzle of trying
to figure out whether I live in the Matrix or not. >>TYSON: Wait, you're blowing my mind at this moment. So you're saying-are you saying your attempt
to understand the fundamental operations of nature leads you to a set of equations that
are indistinguishable from the equations that drive search engines and browsers on our computers? >>GATES: That is correct. So, the... >>TYSON: Wait, wait. I'm still...wait. I have to just be silent for a minute here. So you're saying, as you dig deeper, you find
computer code writ in the fabric of the cosmos? >>GATES: Into the equations that we want to use to
describe the cosmos, yes. >>TYSON: Computer code. >>GATES: Computer code. Strings of bits of ones and zeros. >>TYSON: It's not just sort of resembles computer code,
you're saying it is computer code. >>GATES: It's not even just is computer code, it's
a special kind of computer code that was invented by a scientist named Claude Shannon in the
1940s. That's what we find very, very deeply inside
the equations that occur in string theory and, in general, in systems that we say are
super-symmetric. >>TYSON: Okay. Time to go home, I think. Where are we going to go after...? So, are you saying we're all just ... there's
some entity that programmed the universe and we're just expressions of their code? >>GATES: Well, I didn't say that. >>TYSON: Like, the Matrix? That's what you said. >>GATES: Some of those codes are showing on the screen
behind you right now. They don't look like codes, but these pictures,
which we call "adinkras" are graphical representations of sets of equations that are based on codes. So this is, in fact, to answer your question
more directly, I have in my life come to a very strange place, because I never expected
that the movie The Matrix might be an accurate representation of the place in which I live. >>SMOLIN: Jim, may I give you an argument that we don't
live in the Matrix? >>TYSON: PLEASE. Yeah. >>SMOLIN: Very simple... >>TYSON: Give me one now, quick. >>SMOLIN: Very simple argument. There's a property that the real world right
down here has that no mathematical equation has and no solution of an equation has, that
no-okay? That no abstract object has. Here in the real world it is always some moment
which is one of a series of passing moments. A mathematical equation doesn't have a flow
of time in it. It just is. And this means... >>GATES: But, Lee... >>TYSON: Wait, wait, let him finish. Wait, I need him here and now. >>SMOLIN: This means that, to me, that the ancient metaphysical
fantasy that we, quote, are just mathematics, cannot be true. Because in a world that was "just mathematics,"
there would be no moment of time. >>TYSON: Why isn't there...? >>GATES: Lee, Lee... >>TYSON: ..math as a function of time? >>GATES: I'm sorry... >>TYSON: These are differential equations. >>GATES: But Lee, Lee... >>SMOLIN: But then you lay the solution out... >>GATES: Lee, Lee, Lee, you're mistaking-you keep using
the word "is" and I'm talking about the word "describe." You see... >>SMOLIN: "Describe" is fine, but then... >>GATES: No, no, but let me finish, please, since we
started with my discussion. The point is that I ... it's fun to talk about
some deep, metaphysical essence that sits behind physics, but for some of us it's about
trying to find the most accurate way to describe where we live. So my statement is that in the description
of our universe, that is a super-symmetrical universe, which we're going to test in the
LHC. If you believe that description, I can show
you the presence of these codes. That's my statement. >>SMOLIN: That's beautiful and that's fine and I admire
that. Seriously, that's fine, that's another beautiful
piece of mathematics that may be explanatory or descriptive of physics, but that all I'm
objecting to is that doesn't mean that we live in the mathematics. That means the mathematics is just descriptive
of an aspect of the universe and... >>TYSON: That's a good point, let me follow that one
up. Jim, Jim, just because-who was it? Eugene Wigner, who commented on the unreasonable
effectiveness of mathematics that we just invent in our head-yet the universe follows-can
be described mathematically. Mathematics is the language of the universe. Brian, math gets-math is your tool. So should we be amazed or depressed by what
Jim tells us here? >>GREENE: I can't really comment on what Jim says. I find myself in the unusual position of feeling
rather conservative on a panel when usually I'm sort of at the outside [unintelligible]. >>TYSON: And, by the way, the pictures Jim showed all
look like Spirograph images from your kid's thing. >>GREENE: I saw them, I saw them, I don't know enough
about to comment. But there is an interesting question, the
one that you raised, about whether math is a descriptive of the universe or we are the
math or what's the role, the math [you] discovered is invented. I mean, I had a conversation-and I think you
may have been involved in it, if not mistaken-and the question was, is math the right way of
going about trying to find deep, physical law? And I said, look, I can imagine one day we'll
encounter aliens and they'll say to us, okay, show us what you've got to describe the universe
and we break out our mathematics and they look at it and say, Oh, man, we used to do
that. Ultimately, a dead end. You know, and then they show us what they
have found. Now, the problem with that is I don't actually
even know what I would fill in regarding what they would show us. Because to me mathematics is really the language
of pattern. It's self-consistent ways of embodying pattern
and that's ultimately what we do. We're pattern recognition machines. We try to codify the patterns we see in the
world around us in math and in that way we try to describe the universe around us. Does that mean we are the mathematics? I don't know. It becomes really hard to really know exactly
what that means, but we have found that math, so far, is a potent tool for making predictions
that we can test and confirm. And that's why I follow this particular trajectory. >>TYSON: Brian, we're going to have to very shortly
go to questions from the audience, but I want to come back at you with a couple of questions
that are sort of purposefully blunt. Okay? >>GREENE: Yeah. >>TYSON: So, you guys have been at this string theory
for running on two decades now. And Einstein, working alone, went from special
relativity to general relativity in 10 years, working alone. And it was a brilliant piece of work and there
was an experimental verification four years after he came up with the idea. Here you have legions of string theorists
working two decades and you're sort-of not there yet. Is there just not enough of you? Is there-are you chasing a ghost? Or are the collection of you just too stupid
to figure this out? >>GREENE: I mean, I think it's pretty clear it's the
latter. Hello, you know, Einstein was a singular genius
and making comparisons with him I think is perhaps not that representative. But putting that to the side, look. The questions that Einstein was trying to
resolve, however deep they were, were still within a realm that was experimentally accessible
within a couple of years, a couple of decades at most. We are ambitious. And we are trying to make a big leap to try
to understand the universe on fantastically small scales and fantastically high energies. Why are we so ambitious? Because we have been so successful theoretically
to date that the open questions in this line of research are the ones that we're now focused
upon. They're much harder to test and therefore
we don't have the guidance of experiment to nudge us this way or that as much as in the
past. Now, if we could solve these questions I think
we'd be answering some of the deep mysteries of the ages. Do you say, well, you haven't cracked it in
20 years, so it's time to give up? No, I think you say, if progress stalls, then
you go and look at other directions. But as long as progress is carrying forward,
and it is, you keep going and try to figure things out. You can't put a timeline on it. >>TYSON: I think your pace of progress is sufficiently
slow that it has led to these other ideas exhibited on this panel. [TALKOVER] slow that Jim is finding that we
live in a matrix. And that Marcello is questioning the whole
idea of a unified theory. >>GREENE: Yeah, so I do worry about some of the things
said on this stage maybe [give me] the wrong impression. But the bottom line is this: You have no capacity,
as far as I know, to judge progress in the field unless you're actually deeply reading
the theoretical papers in the journals. Are you doing that? >>TYSON: No. I presume members-I presume that we got people
here who ... That's why I brought the panel here. That's why I brought this panel here. And apparently they're thinking up other stuff
now because string theory is not satisfying them on some level. >>GREENE: Look, let me just say this. We have made great progress and that I really
think is not disputable. Have we solved all the key questions, have
we tested the theory, those are the most vital things? No, but we united gravity and quantum mechanics
at least on paper. On paper, have unified all the four forces. We've incorporated key breakthroughs from
the past that are now well understood within the context of string theory. We've been able to cure space-time singularities
of particular sorts within string theory. We've understood black hope entropy within
string theory. The mathematical contributions of string theory
are absolutely unassailable. >>TYSON: He's on a roll. >>GREENE: Time and time again we've had great contributions. So to say there's no progress-c'mon, man,
that's just not right. >>TYSON: Okay, all right ... While people gather to
the microphones at the front of the stage, let me just get a quick reaction to Brian. Janna, we haven't heard from you in a bit. Quick reaction to Brian. >>LEVIN: Well, you know, I >>TYSON: ...I invite you to come to the microphones. >>LEVIN: I agree with Brian mostly because his office
is three doors down from mine. No, I do, I agree with Brian in the sense
that progress is being made, but we all have to pursue other directions, occasionally think
in a different direction than-I can't say string theory is the mainstream, but then
the flow of ideas, there's always going to be new ideas that come on the table. I don't think you can judge progress in terms
of human scales. Nowhere is it written that we have to solve
problems in one human lifetime, that we won't have to work on problems for hundreds of years. This might be the first time that it's really
been documented like this. But I don't see why we should be shocked that
solving incredibly challenging problems may take more than one human life span. >>TYSON: And I confess, Brian, in spite of my diatribe
there, I agree with Janna. There were some problems in the history of
astronomy that took millennia to solve, so I'm getting on your case... >>GREENE: I know, Neil, come on, man, give me a hug. >>TYSON: See, I could just unplug you, you see. I got real power here. Katie, where are you on this? >>FREESE: Super symmetry. We haven't talked a lot about supersymmetry,
which is an important ingredient in string theory. And there are aspects to it that come over
to cosmology and are extremely testable. >>TYSON: So these are extra particles added to the
model that we have for particle physics that explain some stuff that right now we can't
explain. >>FREESE: For every particle we know about, there's
a new partner. So, for example, for the electron there would
be the selectron. >>TYSON: Selectron? >>FREESE: Selectron, with the "s" of supersymmetry in
the front. Or the photon becomes a photino. >>TYSON: Okay. >>FREESE: And all of these particles decay to lighter
ones-decay, decay, decay-until at the end you get to the very lightest super-symmetrical
particles and those could be the dark matter. In fact, they're the strongest candidates
for dark matter and one of the reasons, one of the major motivations for building the
LHC, so the LHC can find... >>TYSON: Dark matter particles. >>FREESE: Yes, and supersymmetry. And then dark matter detectors are currently-they're
underground, underneath the Apennines in Italy. They're all over the world. They're in deep underground mines in the United
States. And they're looking for super-symmetric particles
to scatter off of the detector and then you look for the little bit of heat deposit and
every single one of these experiments that has happened in the last two years has seen
anomalous, unexplained results. So. >>TYSON: That could all come together soon. >>FREESE: Yes. So many Elena Aprile at Columbia University,
she's the leader of the Xenon experiment and they're going to release data very soon and
that's the best bet that we're going to solve this problem. >>TYSON: And you're in business. Then it's no longer an exotic particle. And you're done. >>FREESE: And if there's indication of super-if supersymmetry
is right, well, that is one of the key ingredients in the building of string theory. >>TYSON: Marcello. >>GLEISER: However. If you look at the data coming out of the
LHC in the last two months, it's restricting the parameter space of supersymmetry... >>FREESE: Not much, no. >>GLEISER: A whole lot. >>FREESE: No. That's mis-it's misleading. >>GLEISER: I would say that… >>FREESE: Their abstract is misleading. >>TYSON: You're both interpreting the same research
paper differently. >>FREESE: Yes. >>GLEISER: Yeah, obviously. >>TYSON: Jim? >>GATES: Well, all I want to say is that you need to
understand that a large part of the discussion here tonight, and in fact reminds me of the
story about the blind man and the elephant. You know, they each feel a different part
and think it's a different creature. I have a sense that that's likely what's going
on in a lot of the discussion. >>TYSON: That the universe is an elephant. >>GATES: Well, yes, and that we're blind. >>LEVIN: Written by the matrix. >>TYSON: We're blind. >>GATES: And so the thing that I told you about information,
ultimately that would actually become part of string theory, not something different. If string theory is correct, this will be
part of it. >>TYSON: I want to go to the audience right now. In order to make this efficient, because we're
a little long, you direct your question just to one of the panelists. Not to get a comment from all eight of you,
no. One panelist. And try to be efficient in your answers. Go. >>QUESTION: All right, this one's... >>TYSON: Oh, I remember this, he was a little kid coming
to Hayden program. I didn't even recognize him. Are you in college yet? >>QUESTION: MIT. >>TYSON: MIT-he's at MIT. Well, congratulations. He's been coming since he couldn't even walk. >>QUESTION: This one's to... >>TYSON: Wait, shouldn't you be in school now? >>QUESTION: Shh. >>TYSON: All right. >>QUESTION: This one's to Gates, with apologies to Robert
Frost. Some say the world would be written in pearls,
some say in lisp. So, that aside... >>TYSON: You better apologize again to Robert Frost
for that one. >>FREESE: You better watch out, he's at MIT right now. >>QUESTION: I'll see you there. >>GATES: I'll be looking for you in the Infinite Corridor. >>QUESTION: [I'm in] the Admissions Office. Anyway, are there any-do you have any predictions
in your ideas or any ways to test any of your ideas any more than, say, the guy over on
the screen? >>TYSON: You can take the blue pill or the red pill
and you'll find out. >>GATES: I took the red pill. The work that I'm doing is in fact so theoretical
that we don't understand whether it is even possible to complete the program. We have found these strange grafts. We know that they are equivalent to equations. And we have found in these equations computer
codes and so that's where we are right now. So I cannot give you a prediction. This work is less than two years old. >>TYSON: But you ... but it's not that you never ... you
recognize that you will need a prediction in order to... >>GATES: As someone recently asked me, said, well,
you don't care about experiments, do you? And I said no, that's exactly wrong, because
you see I have spent my career as a researcher worrying about supersymmetry. I would want to see an experiment before I
shuffle off this mortal coil so that I'd know that I did not waste my entire professional
life. >>TYSON: Good with that, okay. Right here. >>QUESTION: I guess my question's for Lee. It seemed like towards the end you were talking
about coming to the point where you either change the science or you go to a multiverse
theory. And it almost seemed like you were called
out by Kate, as though, oh, no, not multiverse theory, like it's a copout. And is it or is it not? That's really what I want to know, I want
to hear a little bit more about that from you on that. >>TYSON: So, is a multiverse a copout? >>SMOLIN: My view is that it doesn't-and there's so
many things that we've mentioned here that we could have a long discussion of at very
different levels, so. But my view is that it's very unlikely that
the kind of multiverses which have a larger, infinite number of universes simultaneously
with no common chains of descent, it's very unlikely that those will lead to testable
predictions that are successful. And I know that there's disagreement and I
know... >>TYSON: That doesn't mean that it's not true. >>SMOLIN: No, no, no. >>TYSON: Okay. >>SMOLIN: Science is not about what's true or what might
be true. Science is about what people with originally
diverse viewpoints can be forced to believe by the weight of public evidence. So. >>TYSON: I gotta give him app...that was good. That was good. >>SMOLIN: So my view is that, and this is, I should
confess in work with Roberto Mangabeira Unger which is in progressive, and it's also inspiring
a lot of my current scientific work, I'm interested in the idea that the universe is just that
which we see already most of. And that the-and taking seriously Charles
Sanders Pierce maxim, which I did in my first book, Life of the Cosmos, was proposing a
cosmological scenario in which the explanation for why these laws did arise to akin to natural
selection, and thinking about that more seriously and more deeply in the last few years, it
leads me to think a lot about the nature of time and the question of whether time is emergent,
as many people in the quantum gravity world have proposed or whether just space is emergent
and time in some sense is really, really real is not emergent, and whether, if laws evolve
and time is really, really real, whether there are new opportunities to do plain, old-fashioned
science, the way that Katie was saying. There's science where we make predictions
and we widen our understanding and we widen our knowledge because we're able to make predictions
which are verified successfully. So that's in a nutshell. >>TYSON: That wasn't a nutshell, that was a coconut
shell or something. >>SMOLIN: Anyway, thank you. >>TYSON: Okay, next question here. >>QUESTION: Okay, first I feel like maybe a little emotional
closure on the debates if you could kiss the back of his video head? Anyway, the question is, just for fun, and
if anyone wants to answer it, maybe no one does, sort of in the spirit of Isaac Asimov:
So, forgetting LHC, forgetting even Xenon experiments, if there's something that you
could go to and measure, forgetting the continuity of space-time, what might you measure to get
the deepest insight that you might want to see about the universe? Does that make sense? >>SMOLIN: Sure. >>TYSON: Let me go to Marcello. Marcello, you take that. >>GLEISER: Jeez. I'd like to see gravitons. If I could see a graviton, then I would be
fore sure convinced that gravity has to be described quantum mechanically. Because, you see, right now we are so confused
about what gravity is all over again that there are some proposals out there that gravity
may not be a force like the other forces, which goes very much against the spirit of
superstring. And so, if we saw a graviton and [were] a
quantum particle like a photon, that would be great. And if it were a chiral graviton, then I'd
be a very happy man. >>TYSON: So it's not good enough just to see a gravitational
wave, you want to get the actual particle in there, is what you're saying. >>GLEISER: Yeah. >>TYSON: Next question here, sure. >>GREENE: I guess I could aim my question to Dr. Greene. When does the abstract become too abstract,
where you can't even possibly let's say explain to the layman? I'm a biochemistry student, I took two semesters
of physics and read some stuff on the side, I thought I'd be prepared for a talk like
this tonight. I am [apparently] unprepared. >>TYSON: Okay, so, Brian, why don't you take that? >>GREENE: Well, I think it's vital to explain these
ideas in a way that someone without technical training can understand, simply because it's
so enormously exciting what's happening at the frontier and it's a shame when it's couched
in language that many people aren't trained to understand. But in terms of scientific research and the
progress that we make in one field or another, I don't think you judge it by how abstract
it is. You just it by how well it contributes to
trying to solve unsolved problems, how well it contributes to trying to make predictions
that you might be able to one day confirm. And, look, it could be that the final laws
are right out there staring us in the face, frankly, and we don't have the mental capacity
to understand it. So it may not be that we're coming up with
ideas that are too abstract. The universe may have fundamental truths that
we can't grasp. I mean, look, dogs are pretty smart, but I
don't know any dogs that know the general theory of relativity. >>TYSON: Okay, that's it. Of course, Brian has the most successful books
written on this subject ever. They were best-sellers, so somebody's buying
them who are not scientists. And so there's some major fraction of the
reading public that does receive the language, the translated language that Brian provides
us. Next question, yes. >>QUESTION: Yes, I'm one of those people whose not a scientist
that reads these books, I'm a philosopher. And my question is directed to Lee, since
he's grappled with philosophical issues more than anyone else I'm aware of. I was particularly enchanted by The Trouble
With Physics and the earlier book, The Life of the Cosmos. Lee, how much of the problems that physicists
are now dealing with and are attempting to unify all the different theories of the physical
forces, how much of that is as a result of a lack of conceptual understanding of, shall
we say, philosophical insight? How much of it is due to being tied to an
empiricist outlook? >>TYSON: That's an interesting question. >>QUESTION: [TALKOVER] the old Newtonian paradigm that
there are things out there in the world and relations are something separate from things. >>TYSON: But just so I understand, just so I understand,
is it fair to reword your question in the following way, just so I can believe I understand
it? You're saying sometimes it's good to be driven
by a philosophical expectation of what you would expect the universe to be and that guides
your experiment and in other way is just doing an experiment without a philosophy. >>QUESTION: Well, something like that. What I'm saying is that, maybe our conceptual
apparatus is sometimes that we inherit from our day-to-day experience is simply not adequate
for grasping modern physics. >>SMOLIN: So, I'm going to say two things that appear
to contradict themselves. >>TYSON: And try to make this really in a nutshell,
if you can. >>SMOLIN: One, okay, science progresses because there's
a diversity of scientists who have a diversity of viewpoints, predilections. Some of us are very pragmatic and empirical. Some of us are conversant with the philosophical
literature and the historical literature. And I think it's important for the diversity
... for science that there be diverse approaches as well as diverse styles. I also think it's the case that we're coming
out of a period which was dominated by a very pragmatic tradition, which followed a period
that was very philosophical-that is the physicists who dominated the early part of the 20th century
were largely people conversant with the philosophical tradition. And they achieved great things, like the discovery
of quantum mechanics and general relativity. And then they started to fail to achieve things
and the pragmatic generation that came after them achieved great things that they failed
to achieve. Epitomized by people like Richard Feynman
and Freeman Dyson. And now maybe we're in a period where we face
again questions where we need people who are conversant with the philosophical tradition. But the most important thing is that the only
thing that matters is real results that make contact with experiments. It doesn't matter how we get there. And therefore the diversity of approaches
is the most important thing for progress. >>TYSON: It's a good theme in many walks of life. Next question, here. >>QUESTION: I'll address this to Dr. Greene on the television,
because you talked about our ability to grasp. I wonder to what extent do the limits, our
cognizance of the limits of logic-and this is a physics question, not a religious question-do
we take that into account in our attempt to understand phenomenon? Do we ever think that they might be beyond
the limits of logic, since we are, after all, embedded in the universe? And also, whatever happened to the anthropic
principle? >>TYSON: Yeah. >>GREENE: Well, for the first question, we theorists
all work within the framework of mathematics which itself is based upon the logical structure
within which the fundamental operations are constructed. So we really don't sit at our desks, encounter
problems saying "maybe this is beyond logic." We say maybe this is beyond the mathematical
formalism that we so far built. Maybe this is beyond the theoretical ideas
we've so far developed. And we try to push them, but all within the
context of traditional logic, within the context of traditional mathematics. There are some people who push the boundaries
and really do fiddle with some of the logical axioms and see where that may lead, but that's
really not a mainstream activity among theoretical physicists. As far as the anthropic principle goes, well,
you know, that's this idea that we really touched on with these multiverse notions that
came up a little bit in the conversation. I'm surprised, frankly, didn't come up more
in the conversation because this is really where string theory has gone. It's too late in the evening to go into it
in great detail. But one thing that you really do have to bear
in mind-when we observe the universe, our observations are biased. They're biased by the fact that we are here
doing those observations. And we have to take into account that observational
bias. There are things that we simply could not
see because to see them we'd have to exist in a place that would be so inhospitable to
our makeup that we couldn't actually be there. And that really is what the anthropic idea
is about, taking that into consideration and that is something which is something that
needs to be done across the board in science. >>TYSON: So, a takeaway from you, Brian, there is that
before you start abandoning the very foundations of logic, there's still much more to bring
us from the field of mathematics in our search for truth in the universe. >>LEVIN: Can I...? >>GREENE: Yeah, there's no evidence that we need to
abandon logic. >>TYSON: Janna? >>LEVIN: I was just going to say quickly that there
are examples in science, particularly last century, where we did confront decided limits
in physics and in mathematics, so Gödel and Turing, for instance, were the mathematicians
that realized that there were facts among numbers that we will never know, that there
it was an actual, fundamental limit in the context of arithmetic. There were true facts among numbers that we
would never know and, not only that, but most numbers were numbers about which we would
never know anything. And there was also the limit of the speed
of light and maybe the limit of uncertainty in Heisenberg's understanding of quantum mechanics. And out of each of these things came incredibly
creative scientific bursts. They were not the end of understanding, but
they just squeezed all of that energy into a different direction. So from the limit of the speed of limit, we
discover special relativity. From Heisenberg's limit we discovered quantum
mechanics. From Gödel and Turing, we delve into computer
technology and artificial intelligence. So, confronting limitations isn't necessarily
an end. It's often a creative kind of beginning. >>TYSON: That's a brilliant point, thanks for adding
that. Yes? We'll go about another 7 minutes here? Are we okay, in the audience? A reminder that at the end of this, the panel
will be out in the Hall of Northwest Coast Indians and you can bring your program, have
them sign it or I think there are books there for sale, as well. So we'll take this another 7 minutes. So try to be efficient, we'll get through
as many of you as possible. Go ahead. >>QUESTION: How far do we take… >>TYSON: Oh, who is this to? >>QUESTION: I guess Mr. Greene, but anybody ... >>TYSON: Okay, go on. >>QUESTION: How far do we take the analogy with musical
strings? They talk about... >>TYSON: We got to take that to Brian. Brian, you were on TV talking about string
theory with a string quartet in the background. That seems like a stretch to me... >>QUESTION: But in particular I was wondering what causes
the vibration in these little particles and is it the Big Bang and [unintelligible] during
the [eight century] created or...? And also you were talking about 10 dimensions
coming-is that coming from the 10 directions that the string vibrates and how did they
find those? >>GREENE: Yeah, so, very briefly, I know that time is
short-we didn't really say what string theory is, strangely, in this whole conversation. The idea is that the heart of matter are little,
tiny, vibrating, string-like filaments and that's why we call it string theory. And as to the analogy with musical instruments,
violins and cellos-this is one of the places in physics where the analogy brushes up very,
very closely with the real physics. Were I to show you the equations governing
the motions of the little strings in string theory and the equations governing the motion
of a violin string, there are some very direct resonances between those mathematical equations. So this is a metaphor that really is, unlike
many, right on target. In terms of what causes the strings to vibrate-that
is, where does their energy come from?-I don't know. That basically is the question: where is the
energy in the universe coming from? Why is there something, in essence, rather
than nothing? We don't know the answer. We look out in the universe. We see that there is energy. If string theory is correct, a big "if," but
if it's correct, then the strings would be the most fundamental, microscopic carriers
of that energy and they would carry it in their vibrational patterns. >>TYSON: Okay. Brian, had I know you didn't know why strings
vibrate, I mean, I don't know if I'm disappointed that you don't know this. >>GREENE: Just be careful with the way you summarize
what I said. >>TYSON: Okay. I'll try. Next, right here. >>QUESTION: This is towards Dr. Gates. Curious about your theory. You say there's computer code in these equations. Now, computer code is generally just instructors
for a processor and I'm curious as to what the instructions you're finding are. And, if you're not sure, what's to say that
it's actually computer code? I mean, theoretically, the number pi has all
the data that's ever existed. >>GATES: Well, we say that they're computer code... >>TYSON: You mean the digits in pi? >>QUESTION: Yes. >>GATES: Okay. We say they're computer codes, first of all,
because the structure of the equation is such that they dictate that there are certain things
that are actually strings of ones and zero. Now, that's just digital data. But it's not just random ones and zeroes. As I mentioned earlier, let me talk about
something that you probably do every day, but I don't know if you're a computer scientist
or not. Most of us sit at our... >>TYSON: Sounds that kind of fluency... >>GATES: Okay, well, most of us sit at our computer
screens and we type on the keyboards and we then send these, if we're using a browser,
we're sending strings of ones and zeroes elsewhere. But on the other hand, in the transmission
process, there's always some fluctuation. So a zero that you type here because of static
on the line might be rated a 1 at the other end and vice-versa. And so in fact, when you sit and type on the
keyboard, your computer's doing something behind your back. Namely, it throws in a bunch of extra ones
and zeroes, and these things are called error-correcting codes, so that the computer at the other end
can look at the whole collection of what you typed plus what was sent and figure out if
there were bits that were being flipped back and forth. And that's how you get accurate transmission
of digital data. Among the codes that are used for this purpose
are a special class of codes that are called block linear self-dual error-correcting codes. They were first-in fact, the Shannon extended
checksum code is an example of one of these things-these are the codes that we find buried
in the equations. Not just any code, but these self-dual error-correcting
block codes. It's quite remarkable for anyone that I've
talked to. We have no idea what these things are doing
there. >>QUESTION: Any literature out? >>GATES: I'm sorry? >>QUESTION: Do you have any literature out that ...? >>GATES: I can give you technical references that almost
nobody in the world can understand. >>TYSON: But I thought you had a popular-level article
on this? >>GATES: Thank you, yes, actually, so this past June
the British journal Physics World asked me to write a popular-level description of what
we have found. So in the June edition of Physics World-and
it's published in London-the cover story is called "Symbols of Power." It's about these weird symbols that have been
showing behind us-we call these things adinkras. And so, for a popular level description, yes,
we've written that. But other than this one popular-level description,
it's all technical gobbledy-gook. And that's a technical term, by the way. >>TYSON: Gobbledy-gook. Thank you. Okay, I'm sorry, we're only have time for
two more questions, I've just been cued. But you'll be one of them, so come on up to
the microphone, sure. >>QUESTION: Okay, yeah, hopefully this isn't overly stupid
question or uninformed, but I'm just curious whether... >>TYSON: I bet it's not. I'm gonna bet you. >>QUESTION: Thank you, but I'm wondering whether the quantum
fluctuations, like random particles, like popping into existence and out of existence,
whether that could possibly be explained by particles moving through other dimensions
into, say, a plane that we exist in and, if that's impossible, can you explain why? >>TYSON: Not only was that a good question, you're
making everyone else in this room feel stupid. I just want you to know, okay? Just so you know. All right. Who wants to volunteer for that one? Katie, you want to hit that. Virtual particles coming in and out, is that
another dimension talking to us? >>FREESE: Well, we definitely know that particles pop
in and out of existence. It happens everywhere all the time and this
gets back to the-this is what people think might be responsible for the dark energy. Only the problem is, when you do the calculation,
it comes out wrong by 10 to the 120th power, 120 in the exponent. So in fact there's much too much of this fluctuation
going on in our calculations. So if you're going to include the amount in
the other dimensions, it's not going to help. So I don't think that's a very good answer
to your question, but you strike-this is at the heart of one of the deepest problems in
all of physics. So, not a stupid question. >>TYSON: Marcello, you...? >>GLEISER: I just wanted to add that, yes, theories with
extra dimensions, when there are certain properties of these extra dimensions that they oscillate
in certain ways, they can produce particles in four dimensions that we can actually detect
called pyrgons, I think? Sort of an old idea. >>TYSON: Gurdons? >>GLEISER: P-Y-R-G-O-N-S, right? >>TYSON: Pyrgons? >>GLEISER: Pyrgons. >>TYSON: Gons. Sounds like creatures out of Star Trek or
something. >>GLEISER: So, yes, the presence of extra dimensions
create certain particles in four dimensions, or could create. I don't know if they're electrons, but they
could be there. >>TYSON: Okay. I think we have the last question here. Welcome. >>QUESTION: This is, again, touching on mathematics and
the question is: to what extent are our systems of mathematics and measurements subjective
or objective, invented or discovered. Gödel of course talks about incomplete systems,
but Einstein says as far as the laws of mathematics refer to reality they are not certain and
as far as they are certain they do not refer to reality. Any comments? >>TYSON: Yeah, Janna, why don't you take that? This is what you've been working on. >>LEVIN: Uh-huh. >>TYSON: Which gives you the final comments [TALKOVER]. >>LEVIN: Still working on it. The interesting thing about Gödel is that
he really was a strict Platonist. He actually believed that mathematical forms
had concrete, objective existence. This world he wasn't so sure about. He wasn't really sure if his ordinary experience
was created by his own mind and he really had breaks with reality, but he did believe
in transmigration of the soul and the idea that he would get closer and closer to a platonic
reality where it would all be perfect circles, pi, you know, irrational numbers. I think it's hard for most of us to follow
that particular philosophy. I think that there is no simple answer to
whether or not mathematics is the objective reality. I mean, Lee sort of brought up this idea that
maybe it's just a description but one which isn't-could never completely encapsulate-did
you say that or am I projecting? >>SMOLIN: Yeah. >>LEVIN: Could never completely encapsulate physical
reality. I mean, I think it's difficult to make a philosophical
determination. I believe in being a bad philosopher and at
times being a complete objective realist in terms of mathematics when it's convenient
and times not being. But what seems to be true is that functionally
it's incredibly powerful. Functionally, it continues to work. And so we continue to pursue the ramifications
of mathematizing the universe. >>TYSON: I want to live in a world with irrational
numbers and rational people. Let's end with us a, in 10 years, where is
string theory going to be? Or TOEs? 2021, where is it going to be? We're going to come right on down and we'll
end the evening. Go. >>SMOLIN: I hope we have a quantum theory of gravity,
whether it's string theory or not and I hope that there is experimental test of it and
verification of it. I think it could be one of several approaches. Maybe loop quantum gravity, maybe causal dynamical
triangulations and maybe string theory. And we shall see. This is science which means we don't know
the answers. >>TYSON: Will we see it in 10 years? >>SMOLIN: Yes. >>TYSON: Good. How about you? >>LEVIN: I think... >>TYSON: 2021. >>LEVIN: I think it's a great time to be a scientist. We have great experiments on the horizon. We're going to see space ringing [in] gravitational
waves, we have the Large Hadron Collider, and we have great mysteries. We know there are things we don't know. There's dark matter, dark energy. We know we haven't unified all the forces. So we have great mysteries, we have tools
to approach those answers. I'm pretty optimistic that some of the pieces
of the puzzle are going to fit together. >>TYSON: So the known unknowns are quite striking. >>LEVIN: Yeah. >>TYSON: Are any unknown unknowns out there? You wouldn't know. >>LEVIN: You're confusing me. >>TYSON: Marcello, 10 years from now. >>GLEISER: So, yes, I think that at least in 10 years
we'll have excellent data to possibly either confirm or rule out supersymmetry and also
know if the Higgs particle, which we also did not mention tonight, exists or not. >>TYSON: That's the famous God particle, giving mass
to all the other particles, right? >>GLEISER: Right. Actually used to be called the goddamn particle,
because they...That's what Leo Lederman, who wrote this book, The God Particle said. His real title was The Goddamn Particle, but
the editor didn't like it. >>TYSON: The editor changed it, yeah. So, anyway, so I'm optimistic in the sense
that we'll have the data. I am very skeptical with notions that our
ideas, when they go too far, have something to do, always have something to do with nature. This sort of extreme Platonism worries me
a lot. >>TYSON: All right, Jim, 10 years, where are we? >>GATES: Well, first of all, Marcello just actually
took my answers. I think in 10 years... >>TYSON: Okay, so we skip you. >>GATES: Yes. That works. >>TYSON: No, seriously. >>GATES: Oh, you're not serious? Oh. I think that-well, in my pessimistic moments
I think that in 10 years string theory is not going to be complete, because what's going
to have to happen is a genius is going to have to appear and that doesn't occur on anybody's
time clock. We actually are going to need... >>TYSON: So you're agreeing that the whole community's
just not smart enough to figure it out. >>GATES: No, because such people do appear. >>TYSON: No, no, but right now all the people who have
been working on it aren't smart enough, that's what you're saying. >>GATES: No, because, given time, one of them might
actually be that genius. >>TYSON: Okay. >>GATES: So in my darker moments I think in 10 years
we are not going to have what Lee will probably be happy to hear, which is a background independent
description of string theory. I think that's the absolute, most important
thing to find. >>TYSON: Okay. Katie. Ten years, 2021. >>FREESE: Dark matter, yes. Dark energy? Mmm, we'll know a little bit more. Higgs, yeah, probably. >>TYSON: Again, the particle that gives mass to all
other particles. >>FREESE: The goddamn particle. >>TYSON: The goddamn particle. >>FREESE: Gravitational waves-good bet. So a lot of the data are going to come roaring
in. But is this going to prove or disprove string
theory? Probably not. >>TYSON: Okay. Just give us a better understanding of the
4% plus the dark matter, not the dark energy. >>FREESE: And the supersymmetry, which is an important
ingredient. And possibly the things Lee was talking about,
these tensor modes that tell you perhaps about something coming from the string epoch. So there's some hints there. >>TYSON: Brian, we're giving you the last word here,
'cause you had the first word. You're going to close this out. Ten years from now, 2021, where are you? >>GREENE: Well, look, here's my feeling. I really enjoy these Asimov debates and to
secure my place at the 20th anniversary Asimov debate, I'm going to hold back my answer until
then. >>TYSON: Join me in thanking the marvelous panel. 2011 Asimov panelists, thank you one and all. Thank you all for coming. We'll see you again in a year and we might
see you just out in the Hall of Northwest Coast Indians. It's been a great evening. I learned quite a bit. And we will have the panelists there. I also wanted to just thank a few people. There's Suzanne Morris who ran this whole
thing, made it run as smoothly as these always do. And my assistant-yeah, thank you, Suzanne
Morris. My assistant Elizabeth Stachow. And we have a whole slew of volunteers. Collectively, I just want to thank them all
for making these evenings run as smoothly as they do. We'll see you again next year and we might
see you again out on the tables.
