10 Principles Investing Success

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So today's Cardinal lesson we're talking  about the 10 principles of investing success,   so these are the principles that Tom and  I use when we're managing clients money,   when we're taking the money under management and  we're investing it for the future, okay. So we're   going to go over these 10 principles and these  were brought to us by a fund company that we use   quite a bit which is Dimensional and so let's just  kind of jump right in. Number one is embracing   market pricing. So you know what this means  to me is there's 774 billion dollars in 2021,   on an average day globally 774 billion dollars  in stocks are traded by the market. There's   buyers and sellers every single day of the year  and what we mean by embrace market pricing is   that you just accept it. So I want to bring Tom  on and I want Tom to just talk a little bit about   what number one means here. Yeah and so, you know  what the market pricing is is you have a buyer   and a seller. They're coming together and they're  agreeing upon a price of what they're gonna trade   this stock for for example. Um and then, our  belief in really what we follow here is that   that is very efficient, is that is the best way  to know what something is worth as the market   comes together. There's a lot of money that's  trading hands and so it's being priced in very   quickly and so we want to embrace that is not try  to you know go against it it's just that's that's   what it is that's what the pricing is on there. So  number two is don't try to outguess the market. I   mean it really ties in with number one, is while  this Market is going on it's going on right now   and all over the world buyers and sellers are  trading and so don't you try to sit down and say   I know better I I this thing's underpriced this  one's overpriced. I mean the market is there and   then as you pick a fund manager or an advisor  put themselves in a position where they think   they know better what we're saying is we don't  know better we don't try to outguess the market.   Yeah and I think you know and we'll get into the  show notes in a second but there's data that's   showing over like a 20-year period only 18% of the  equity fund managers, these are people who do it   professionally, outperform the market. So when we  have individual investors thinking that they can   do this better than the professionals I think  it's it's um I think it's maybe unwise to take   that approach that you think you're smarter than  people who do this and then the people who do it   professionally only 18% of them can out perform  once you start factoring in the fees that they   charge for it generally it's it's about the same  as what the Market's going to do. Yeah, Tom why   don't you bring up the show notes and let's just  let's show them the documents so you can refer to   later if you want a little more detail on these  10 points. Yeah and so these show notes are in   um the link below of our video they're also on our  website I actually I go to our website frequently   to get the stuff that we use on our notes just  in our practice but it's it's very helpful   um. I'm going to go through fairly quickly just  so you can see them a lot of the main points are   on the board so we're going to focus on the board  but if you want more information they are they are   here in the show notes. I'll make it a little bit  bigger but again we have the numbers the different   pieces we'll go through each one as we go through  the board but this is where you can really get   some more detailed information something backing  up the stuff that we're talking about kind of on   the video here um you know there's a bunch of  disclosures down at the bottom um obviously.   Yeah and the whole point of this presentation  is to we Embrace as we practice day to day all   10 of these things. I mean all of them together  so it's the body of work so we're going through   these fairly quickly. So we want number three  is resist chasing past performance. We see this   a lot is just because something or a fund or an  individual security has performed well in the past   and their performance and their track record looks  good that isn't necessarily the sole reason to buy   something. Yeah I mean I think there's a again  there's data there and the data is looking at   you know mutual funds, ETFs, things that have  a broad diversification but if you look at the   funds that over like a five-year period were  in the top quartile, they've done the best,   the next five years only you know like 20%  of them stayed in that top quartile. So   looking at past performance to try to predict  future performance and you'll see this on all   investment stuff that you ever see is it will  have a statement down at the bottom you know past   performance is no indication of future results  and this just speaks to that is that looking at   what it's done previously is not necessarily  what it's going to do in the future making   your decisions solely on that is not a great  idea. Okay so consider the drivers of returns   you know and there's different drivers for stocks  or equities there's different drivers for bonds.   Yeah and so you know again this is the data that  Dimensional has put together and they have a lot   of academics who have done a lot of research  on this. But if we focus on the equity side of   things what they have shown in their in their  research and in their their studies is that   there are three drivers of uh performance and the  equities that tend to show up across time frames,   across geographically internationally, it shows  up there. So this is there's a lot of data that   has shown this works again it's not necessarily  saying it's always going to work in the future   but what they have shown is that company Size  Matters relative um pricing matters and then   profitability. So the data shows that small caps  over time tend to outperform large cap stocks.   Value tends to outperform growth stocks again over  time not necessarily in a short window. And then   High profitability stocks tend to outperform low  profitability again there's more data there if   you're interested in learning more about that  call us. We can have a further discussion on   that but that is we we believe that that is part  of our investment philosophy and so we tilt our   portfolios not going all in on those factors  but tilt it more towards those to try to gain   a little bit more performance within those funds  okay. So number six practice smart diversification   get many market segments in diverse globally.  Yeah and I think one thing that we often see   is people will come in and they'll have you know  they're investing themselves or they have someone   else investing and they might have I don't know  50 different Investments and they say I'm I'm   diversified I have a lot of different companies.  But when you really look at the data all these   companies are all these positions they move in the  same direction when one is up they're all up when   one is down they're all down that's not really  diversification, that's just holding a bunch of   different positions, and so true diversification  is having things that that don't move in sync with   each other when one is up one might be down when  one sound one is up you want that different mix of   things and it needs to be globally it's not just  you know here in the U.S you know I we're of the   opinion that you should widen your investment  approach and not saying that it needs to be   evenly distributed but having some International  exposure having exposure to different parts of   the economy some tech some financials some  you know retail whatever it might be getting   a broad diversification across sectors across  globally is is uh tends to work out over time.   So number seven avoid Market timing which segments  outperform year to year. Uh you know it's going   back to what we've been saying all along is a  lot of people are doing this right now. Where   they're you know they've just they've been on  the bad side of Market timing. I mean they're   they're they're wanting to sell now and the  only people that we're going along with that   if you're going to sell you're going to get out  permanently that's understandable especially if   you've made money over time but it really now  you could make an argument is the time to be   looking at buying when we've just suffered uh  you know a severe decline because we're a dip   so Tom. Yeah I mean I think you know and there's  a lot of different ways to approach us but again   it's this sort of is relative you know related  to a lot of the other points we've talked about   on the show is trying to time the market and maybe  trying to pick which sector of the Market's going   to do well the next year is is really hard to do.  I mean it's you know in one year there might be a   certain area that does really well the next year  it might be down and there's another area that   does well and so again that speaks to having a  diversified portfolio, it speaks to trying to   not to pick and choose which one you're going  to invest in and just sort of stick to a plan,   get invested appropriately from the start and  stick to that over time you know rebalancing as   you go to stick to the overall plan we're looking  at is is the better approach in our opinion to   investing as opposed to trying to time which  one's going to do well you know this next year.   And number eight here is big, yeah this even  goes for us too is manage your emotions.   I mean you know I'm what I'm talking about  is acknowledging the optimism that's there   when it's there is you know things are  going to go way up I'm going to make a   lot of money and then the elation that happens  after you've had a period of time where your   stocks have increased greatly, acknowledging the  nervousness after we have a year like last year   um and then you know the fear which is which is  really present a lot today is to acknowledge all   of that. And then this is where we remind our  clients to go back to the financial plan that   they created with us or we we wrote the thing  but we created it with them and the financial   plan is there for the long term. I mean it's  just we have people coming to us at retirement   or anticipating retirement and it's time to redo  the financial plan and then when we get to a point   where we've had some bad performance or we've had  a dip and all of this stuff becomes ever present   people call us up and you know they're going  to say sell everything well we got to follow   that if that's the orders we get but we we try to  take them back to the financial plan and we point   out to them that this was accounted for. Yeah I  mean I think this is this is really the hardest   thing that people it's easy to say and practice  oh I can manage my emotions I'm I'm a disciplined   investor I'm not going to worry about the ups and  downs until it happens especially in the clientele   that we're dealing with a lot of times is they're  right they're approaching retirement they might   have just retired and they're looking at this  they don't have a paycheck coming in they're   having to live off this money and it feels  different this time than it did back in say   2008 or any previous decline that they've been  through and so even though they might say with   their words I'm okay with the risk I'm taking,  I'm okay with this in practice you know and it   bears itself out when we see a decline and  they're calling us up freaking out it's like   clearly they were taking too much risks and even  though they told us they're okay with that in   practice they weren't and so this is where that  plan is really helpful creating this plan where   we can stick to it because the worst thing you  can do is sell right as it went down and then it   recovers you missed it going up you buy back in  then it goes down again and then you sell I mean   it's a cycle that's really problematic and can be  very detrimental to your long-term success and so   trying to manage those emotions getting invested  appropriately on the front end and being able to   stick to this long-term plan is a much better way  to go about it than having to you know worry about   the the you know and this is gets to the next  point but like the headlines of the day you know   what should we do now and that's you know we want  to take a long-term approach to the investing.   I mean I read the headlines and the  articles under the headlines every day   and I'm on those I I don't turn my back on these  but I don't go act on them and I don't call my   clients up and start acting on those things  we're going to go back to the financial plan   and either revise that and then act or we're  just going to go back to the financial plan   point out what this is and that the financial  plan accounted for some dips and just kind of   look on the tracks of where we are so it's really  looking beyond the headlines like the svb crisis   that's going on right where we're making this  video. The war, the recession, uh the economy,   I mean you need you need to pay attention to these  things but you don't need to get in a state of   fear or a state of optimism and then start making  emotional decisions about your Investments. And I   will make the point out that that is assuming  that you have are in the right investment mix   from the start. We've done this plan we've got  you invested appropriately we have a lot of people   come in that are not invested appropriately  they maybe are taking way too much risk and   it might be appropriate to to change the things  but that needs to be in the context of an overall   plan not just based solely off of the headline  so the headlines can be you know a catalyst to   talk to us potentially where we come up with  the plan but once the plan is in place we're   not going to focus on the headlines and we're not  going to veer from the plan because in the plan   we've accounted for the possibility of these ups  and downs in the in the short in the short term.   Yeah, so it's number 10 is focus on what you can  control okay and that's what we focus on as we're   managing our clients money to the financial plans  that we've created together. Yeah, I mean I think   there are there are things you can control,  we can control how much risk you're taking   in your portfolio, we can control taxes, we can  control expenses in the funds, we can control the   diversification there, we can't control what the  Market's doing I mean we we are not in control of   what's going to go up and what's going to go down  and so that's where we want to get into a plan   have it be a long-term plan have it be a invested  appropriately for you you specifically and that's   different from client to client and then that  allows you to control what you can not have to   worry about what you can't and know that it's part  of this larger plan that you're going to be okay.   Well yeah and sometimes when people come to us at  retirement they are invested too aggressively and   it's paid off for them and then they've lived the  downside of that like last year and now they're   coming in it's appropriate to take some of the  money off the table and get into something that   can give them a guaranteed income stream that they  don't have to have to worry about so I mean that   all gets back to the financial planning that's not  the investment planning. So I want to go through   and I want to just go through these 10 things  really quickly because it's the body of them that   really make up how we think and how we act and  really that clients can use these things to decide   whether they want us managing their money. I mean  embracing market pricing, we don't try to out   guess the market, we don't chase past performance,  we let the markets work for us and our clients,   we consider the drivers of returns in the academic  research on each individual security in each fund,   we practice smart diversification and real  diversification, we we avoid market timing we   don't try to get in and out at certain times based  on what we think the Market's going to do, we help   our clients manage their own emotions, and we we  act as a stable force that has written a financial   plan with them and we going to kind of remind  them of that. We look beyond the headlines so that   doesn't mean we don't look at the headlines but  we look beyond there to and back to the financial   plan and we focus on what we can control. So what  I want to do is just go over what of the seven   things or the seven worries of financial planning  that we're doing for seniors for retired people   have we touched on today and really it's been,  IRA, 401k, that's where a lot of the money that   we're investing for people is it's focused  on income and it's focused on taxes because   that's a big part of our investment planning  is to try to get people in the right place tax   wise. So I want to bring Tom back on and I want  to thank you very much for listening. Thank you.
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Channel: Cardinal Advisors
Views: 3,269
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Keywords: Cardinal Advisors, Hans Scheil, IRA, Money, financial plan, 401k, taxes, principle, investment, retirement, market, markets, diversification
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Length: 17min 31sec (1051 seconds)
Published: Tue Apr 18 2023
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