Should the U.S. rush to mend relations with mainland China ? I saw the U.S. assistant secretary, Kang Da , visit China. The U.S. State Department said that the talks with the Chinese officials were fruitful. The talks between the two sides are a good sign . I believe that the communication between the Chinese side is making progress . Rosenberg, she She mentioned that she said that Kangda’s visit to China was to manage the Sino-US competitive relationship and avoid escalating conflicts . The US will continue to maintain an open and smooth communication channel with Beijing so that the Sino-US competition will not turn into a conflict . Let’s take a look at the interpretation of experts He said that it is possible that Kangda went there to pave the way for higher-level contact. This is an American expert . He said that the United States is worried that extreme pressure will bring harm to itself , so it frequently sends people to test China is currently in a state of active defense. The United States is like a person who provokes a fight and fears that China will fight back. Chinese scholars say that your senior officials in the United States are intensively promoting exchanges with China . It is because of interests, but not because of good intentions . You are all For yourself, anyway, the United States, whether you provoke or want to communicate, is for your own selfishness and puts the interests of the United States first. Let’s take a look at the current military aircraft and warships of the People’s Liberation Army. We are greener than the word provocation in the United States. The headline under the media is a close confrontation between the two sides like this with the United States . When we look at American congressmen, we will say that since mainland China regards itself as an opponent of the United States , we should treat it like this. It, Beijing wants to say , why don’t you think about it? This is an unsafe incident between the US and China’s warships. Why did it happen near China ? Wang Wenbin’s statement actually echoed a statement by Li Shangfu in Shangri-La. Let’s listen to it. So in fact, this The fundamental question is why do you go to other people’s doorsteps to do these things? Actually, the U.S. side keeps silent. You go to other people’s doorsteps to provoke others and finally say that the Chinese side has threatened me . This is really a step back . It does n’t make sense. Let’s take a look. Now that Indonesia’s Komodo 2023 maritime exercise is on the stage, Chinese and American warships are also participating in the performance. The representative said , will the next conflict be close at hand, or is this a sign of relaxation? Now everyone will There are many different interpretations . Let’s take a look at the talks in Shangri-La. Now Li Shangfu’s meeting with Austin seems impossible , but Europe has become Li Shangfu’s main object of dialogue . For example, the European Union, Borelli , foreign security policy High-level representatives also had bilateral talks with him . The German defense minister and the British defense minister also met with Li Shangfu. The Financial Times mentioned that Macron now has an attitude. He said he opposed NATO’s establishment of an office in Tokyo and did not support expansion. Outside of the North Atlantic, Wang Yi felt that this attitude was very good. He appreciated Macron’s statement . He had a phone call with the foreign affairs adviser to the French President. He said that Macron’s recent important statements on international and multilateral platforms were reflected. France is an independent diplomatic tradition . In fact, we should, and Taiwan should also take the same position. Why should NATO become an Indo- Pacific version of NATO ? Is the region a good thing? So Macron’s statement , I think this is worth echoing . Let’s take a look at the present . The former French ambassador to the United States also tweeted. They impose tariffs on goods , they greatly restrict the export of this technology to China , and they, in turn , take a tough stance on China . What is the United States trying to do? You treat China like this, and what the United States wants to do makes people feel inexplicable . Europeans I don’t even understand. In addition , isn’t Blinken going to visit Saudi Arabia at the moment ? At the same time, Maduro also went because Venezuela received long-term sanctions from the United States , so it’s only because of the oil price relationship in the past two years . Be gentler , but you can see that Saudi Arabia does not want to be completely occupied by the United States, and immediately invited this , a deadly enemy in the past, Venezuelan Maduro , who gnashed his teeth every time he talked about the United States. He also arrived in this Red Sea city on June 4th for a visit . The reason has not been made public , but the time has come . It seems that the United States is not the most important customer . Let’s ask Mr. Jie. In fact, the United States is constantly fighting against mainland China on the one hand, and on the other hand, it keeps saying that I want to fight with China. What about mainland China? Seeking communication... So from Biden, to Blinken to Sullivan , and now Blinken can’t go, so he sent his Assistant Secretary for East Asian Affairs to China, and then said in a high-profile way that at the Shangri-La meeting , he hoped that the United States would The Minister of National Defense met Li Shangfu, the Minister of Defense of China. In fact, this is all a strategy . This is not a real problem . I think it is what Sun Tzu said in the Art of War . On the other hand , it has to create an image that China does not care that China is still interacting with me . We can still sit down and talk about it . It is beneficial for the United States to sit down and talk , because the United States knows very well. If mainland China and the United States are what they are now, it is very difficult to meet , and when they are completely opposed , the attitude of the third party will change. The attitude of the third party will change , and I will find that when China and the United States have reached this deadlock, should I choose sides? The United States is looking for me to cooperate. Do I want to be a little more concerned about this ? I want to keep it a little bit so as not to offend mainland China . Mainland China is not forming cliques , so it is the United States that is really forming cliques . So the United States is on the one hand. We have to do our best to deal with mainland China. On the one hand , I am afraid that after a third party reads this, I think I don’t want to offend mainland China . If you come to me again, I will hold it back a little bit next time . So the United States is actually using a very high strategy to deal with mainland China . So I think it means that when the United States is talking about it , basically you can see that it has completely abandoned the battlefield in the Middle East that it has operated for 30 to 40 years since it withdrew its troops from Afghanistan. Mainland China may become the world's largest economy in the next 7-8 years. For the United States, the hegemony of the United States will be greatly impacted. Not only its self-confidence , but also the United States has done many evils in the past. Many countries Maybe it will settle accounts with it , so I think the United States is trying its best to contain the rise of mainland China , so all this is a strategy now. On the other hand, I think the United States is not acting on Taiwan now. Basically, in the past , how can it be said that the president During the general election, the chairman of AIT came to Taiwan to make a high - profile meeting with your presidential candidate , the candidates of various parties . Basically, what is going on? It has released a message that Taiwan is in my pocket . Look, now that it wants to elect a president, I will send one. Low-level officials , this Rosenberg , Taiwan, don’t make her too great. She is a person in charge of a non-governmental organization. AIT is not an official organization at all . The so-called Taiwan Relations Act of the United States clearly states that the United States maintains an unofficial relationship with Taiwan. The unofficial organization is AIT. She does not have the official status of the United States , but she came to Taiwan with such a high profile . What is she showing? On the one hand, she also told the inside of Taiwan , let me take a look first , and then tell the world that Taiwan just listens to me , it is my taboo Because these are very high-level strategic practices of the United States , so basically they want to fight to the death with mainland China. Let’s ask Mr. Lai. I think the US military is not that good at fighting . I think the United States has always been Create a myth Through Hollywood to create a myth In fact, the American army is really not that good at fighting. The American army is bullying the small , the strong, the weak , and the countries with advanced weapons. It is not that good at fighting . It is basically There is no way to fight with an army of equal size. Yes, some people say that it defeated the German army in World War II . The German army was exhausted at that time, and the Americans sent troops to intervene . In the Pacific theater, the Japanese army was also exhausted by the Kuomintang army and our Chinese army. It did not send troops until it exhausted its strength , so it did not compete with the German army when the German army first entered the battle, nor did it compete with the Japanese army when the Japanese army entered the battle . The army of the People's Liberation Army is very backward, and its weapons and equipment are very backward . But I think there is really no word in the dictionary of the Red Army. There is a missing word called fear, so the Americans were defeated by the People's Liberation Army in the end. No, the Taliban are fighting in Afghanistan until midnight and fled in a panic. The troops are not that good at fighting . The current situation is because the People’s Liberation Army has become stronger and it is beginning to feel fear. In fact, I think that the collision of the army will become stronger and stronger. There is nothing to be afraid of. I think The People’s Liberation Army must remember your predecessors . There is no word for fear in the dictionary of the Red Army. I think basically , there is no word for the U.S. military to be afraid , because it is the United States that provokes you at your doorstep. This is just right. I think this point needs to have a clear attitude . The military has a clear attitude. Diplomacy can be easily used as a backing . Diplomatic negotiations can use various means . You can talk if you want. We can talk about it. If we don’t talk well, we’ll come back next time . But the army must be the strongest backing for diplomacy . When the army shows weakness, it’s hard to talk about diplomacy . So I think this part should be clearly distinguished . The former French ambassador said well It is very clear that the United States has raised tariffs, sanctioned and sanctioned more than 600 people on China since Trump until now, and you have sanctioned more than 600 Chinese soldiers. You have sanctioned Chinese soldiers and then you have raised tariffs so high , and you have also stipulated that Japan, especially the Netherlands, cannot use semiconductors . Selling to the mainland also stipulates that TSMC’s advanced manufacturing process cannot be sold to the mainland, ban this and that , restrict this and restrict that, the army will come to your door to make trouble , and then China will fight back . You can bully you, but you can’t bully me . What kind of mentality is this ? So I don’t think there should be any signs of weakness in the counterattack of the United States . Just be tough to the end , because you can only do this to this country. General , we heard a lot during the Shangri-La talks . It is a very professional term in diplomacy or military affairs. In fact, most of us do not understand its meaning . I will explain it to you in a relatively simple way. It is the Shangri-La talks. It is originally intended to seek such a kind of security in Asia. The environment requires a safe environment . There are two ways to talk about it. The first one is cooperation , that is, our region, everyone should work together . So the Chinese Minister of Defense said a word . He said that my new security initiative was used. The way of cooperation is the Indo-Pacific for the United States . It will continue to promote its Indo-Pacific strategy and continue to use confrontation to contain China and seek the security of other countries. In fact, let ’s take a look at it now. You see, let’s watch the exercise in Indonesia next. From this small clue, we can see from this exercise that the United States now believes that it has already brought Japan and South Korea together in Northeast Asia. For the Philippines, In other words , it probably won’t because it has already agreed with it to set up 4 more bases, and it has already stabilized. Now the United States ’ intention is to split ASEAN , because it knows that ASEAN has a good relationship with China , no matter in terms of economy and trade. A few days ago, I talked about the economic and trade initiative or previous cooperation of the RCEP that was just signed . So now I think the United States , in the second half of the year, we can see that in the Asian region, military confrontation may gradually become the focus of competition. It will be moved to the ASEAN region in Southeast Asia. Now , you see the exercise in Indonesia. Indonesia is a neutral country , so I invited you, China, Russia , and the United States to participate in this exercise . There is also a country called Singapore . The U.S. also cooperates with the military exercise. It also lends you the port for the U.S. military because it happens to be located in the Strait of Malacca. It does not want to offend the two big countries, China and Russia. It also cooperates with China to implement the Singapore exercise. There is another exercise. Note that it is called the 2023 Peace and Friendship Exercise . It is China and the five ASEAN countries. The ASEAN has a total of ten countries . It is with five of these countries , including Vietnam . Vietnam is originally hostile to China . Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos , right, Malaysia, and jointly do one Which countries are missing in the military exercise ? The first is Brunei. Brunei is a small country . The second is Myanmar. Myanmar is currently in a state of turmoil. There is another country that did not participate . Everyone pays special attention to it. It did not participate. The 2023 Peace and Friendship Exercise is the Philippines , so the Philippines is already obviously my side with the United States. I just carried out this friendship shoulder-to-shoulder exercise with the United States a while ago. Immediately afterwards , the United States also brought Japan in to participate in a military exercise between the United States, Japan and the Philippines. So we can clearly see that the Philippines may already be on the side of the United States. What China has to do now is how to strengthen the ASEAN countries to complete it . Its composition is called a security initiative, a concept to maintain security and stability in the Asian region. Okay, let's take a break first, and we'll come back right after the commercial. Let's take a look at Apple . Its new products debuted last night, which shocked the technology world . Everyone is paying attention. Apple has launched the first AR device, Vision Pro . A VR glasses like it cost NT$100,000. People think it is really expensive , but everyone wants to say that after the expectation level has been announced, it seems that the stock price reached a record high and immediately fell by 200 points, as it originally expected . It’s not that there is one thing to expect , but you know that the profit is exhausted , so it started , and some people started to sell stocks . Let’s take a look at the present. Apple ’s supply chain is still fully dependent on mainland China. Although we have seen a lot of news that it is starting to gradually Because of the Sino-US trade war , it has transferred some of its production areas to India or Vietnam . However, it seems that India is still difficult to replace the production in mainland China . We see Xie Jinhe’s statement as saying that the supply chain is undergoing accelerated restructuring. The experts shouted loudly , but what is the reality ? Despite its expansion in India, it is still very dependent on the supply of some parts from mainland China. Bloomberg analysts said that although a large number of suppliers have moved to India , they have increased the number of speakers made in China. The dependence on glass and display panels , and the semi-finished products produced in India will eventually be shipped back to mainland China for assembly . For Apple , how can such a company with a gross profit of 3% to 4% be able to keep it like this for a long time? It would be a loss to ship it back again , so let’s take a look at this way of moving out of China. I’m afraid it may not be the way they planned. A data shows that more than 95% of iPhone airPods are still made in mainland China , so the Chinese market accounts for Apple’s revenue. Nearly 1/4, 74 billion US dollars and 2.2 trillion Taiwan dollars in 2022. This is a very astonishing figure . It is no wonder that Cook said that Apple and China are a community of life . Let’s take a look. Why don’t you dare to move the whole to India? Because now the Chinese mainland Manufacturing is said to be difficult to replace because the yield rate of the case in India is only 50% , so Apple often needs to return the product. A former Apple employee said that the task that was originally estimated to be completed in a few weeks was compared to Chinese suppliers. It can be handed over early in the morning , but India is a bit slow , so even this start-up company, the start - up company, said that the contractors in India will agree to the customer's request at will , but they can't modify it after signing the contract , and the entrepreneurs in Silicon Valley also propose It is said that because the Indian government bureaucrats are a little out of order , people are frightened by the fact that there has been a lot of discussion in the past two days. The bridge in India has actually melted into the water like milk powder . It just fell down like this , it just collapsed like this, it ’s not just a part , it’s the whole bridge, it’s like the lower part is dissolving , and then it just fell into the water like this , the construction cost of this bridge is as high as NT$6.4 billion , as early as 2022 It collapsed once in April. At that time, it was questioned whether it used inferior building materials . This time it cost about 6.364 billion Taiwan dollars . It collapsed again in 14 months . Let’s take a look. Is this reflected in the comparison ? The difference between Made in India and Made in China is because the first domestically-made large cruise ship officially debuted on June 6 in mainland China. Let ’s take a look at the picture directly . It can carry 7,000 people. This cruise ship is called Adora Magic City, with a gross tonnage of 135,500. It is 323.6 meters long and can seat 7,000 people. On the 16th floor , there are theaters, shopping areas, art museums and water parks . It is even higher than the Eiffel Tower. It is said that it is more difficult than building an aircraft carrier because it has this part. 25 million parts , compared with the high-speed rail, only 2 million and 5 million are the aircraft , so it is more difficult. It is also known as the most dazzling jewel in the crown of the shipbuilding industry. Has it been achieved in mainland China? Compare it with our query In 2022, the three largest cruise ships in the world will actually carry 8,000, 7,600, and 7,500 passengers. This time, the first cruise ship in mainland China will also carry 7,000 people , so it can be considered as one of the top 5. Let’s take a look. This makes Lai Let me analyze it. I think this cruise line makes everyone feel that this is a new market , which means that all countries in the world want to go to the cruise industry for sightseeing . Mainland China can contract again , and the main thing is that it is competitive . Let’s see. The shipbuilding industry in mainland China can keep its cost down very well , and its quality is very high. Basically speaking, the shipbuilding industry in South Korea used to be very strong , but now almost all of them have been defeated. Only LNG ships and LNG ships in mainland China are left. This year, because France has placed a larger order with mainland China, the LNG ship may not be long for South Korea to maintain its leading position . It’s a big deal, whether it’s a container ship , an ultra-large container ship like this, a tourist cruise ship , an LNG ship, etc. It’s almost built everything that can be built , not to mention warships. The United States itself has also made it . Compared with American military experts , their military experts also made a comparison. The US’s shipbuilding capability is 1:3 with China’s , so China’s is 3 times . Under such circumstances, what they are thinking now is whether to amend the law and let South Korea and Japan help the United States build warships . You see, the United States is such a huge country with a population of more than 300 million people. Now its shipbuilding capabilities are far inferior. I think everyone in India used to Europeans and Americans are too hyped about India. They see that India’s population has now surpassed that of mainland China by more than 3.4 billion, and then they see that Indians are getting younger . This is indeed a very abundant labor productivity , but we still have to ask the second question. The problem is how the quality of the labor force is. This quality is very problematic. The second is how is its infrastructure. The most important thing is government governance. I think the ability of government governance is a completely different country . So I think India says its government Whether it is the central government or the local government , its governance ability is compared with the governance ability of the Chinese government and the mainland Chinese government. I think it is simply unimaginable . Since the governance ability of the government must be considered in it , the quality of employees must also be considered in it . Foundation The facility environment should be taken into consideration , as well as its entire external environment and conditions . When you still think of India as a potential opponent in the future that can defeat mainland China, then you say that we should take the factory into consideration. Move over there . Is there something wrong with the heads of these entrepreneurs ? It seems that another Taiwanese entrepreneur has also run over. I think these people’s heads are all proficient in economics and cost-effective. How could they make a mistake? What about such a serious mistake, especially Apple? Let’s ask Mr. Jie. Many people look at India and think that it is the same as the outside world. India is a very unique country . Let me tell you how unique it is. Recently, their education has undergone some reforms. What is the theory of evolution? What is the religious reason for the theory of evolution? Its leadership cannot teach the theory of evolution , so you will think that it has been so many centuries. India only cares about so much. Then India ’s trade is known as the so-called import substitution. Tariffs Tariffs on certain industrial products are not 80%, 90% are 200% to 300%, which basically means that I would rather not make progress than import these things. If you want to sell them to me , you can come to my side to produce them, and the production took a long time. You know that India’s auto market is completely up to it to choose . Today’s India seems to be what Suzuki said. There are so many Japanese cars . You don’t know if you choose Suzuki. He said that the Indian government found out one day that I just want Suzuki to come in and let it come in . I found that his thinking was very strange . You can ask all the foreign investors who have invested in India how it feels , and then many foreign investors gathered together and said why you can make money in India, but I still can’t make money . As a result, a British manufacturer said, let me tell you The only trick is that you have to stay in India long enough . People say how long have you stayed ? They say I stayed for more than 100 years before I started to make money. This is India . India is a very strange place. Do you think Indians look so easy to talk to? Sorry, labor disputes in India are very serious . In the past two years, we have a Taiwanese factory in India . Its internal employees basically caused a big disturbance because of labor disputes. The entire factory shut down . What is the reason? It has different ethnic groups in it . This race is very complicated, you can't figure out what kind of balance it has among its ethnic groups As a result, there was an uproar , so it’s not that easy to really invest in India. I think some people on our side just say , what about Apple and then its supply chain to India ? You need to cooperate, your government needs to be efficient enough to avoid corruption , right? Your supply chain needs to be sufficient , supporting measures must be sufficient , your transportation must be sufficient, and your entire port facilities must be sufficient to meet the production needs of Apple , so it has been moved for a long time now . Wherever the entire apple is moved, 95% of it is basically in mainland China, and it cannot be moved out at all , because it can’t be moved to Southeast Asia. Isn’t it impossible to go to India? So many stories about the Arabian Nights are about India. I tell That’s right, let ’s ask the general . I’ll tell you that when you have money , you start to want to play . In fact, according to statistics, if the people ’s GDP reaches US$5,000, there will be an industry like cruise ships . This kind of tourism will start to happen. They estimate China's tourism industry is the cruise industry. From 2023 to 2035, the cruise industry can have such a huge profit of 53.3 billion US dollars. Everyone will wonder why there is such a high and huge profit. In terms of such a high and huge profit , everyone is going to build a cruise . Why not? Everyone , do you know how difficult it is to build a cruise ship? Now there are only 4 countries in the world that can build a cruise ship. You can see these 3 ships below . The nationality on them is American , but none of them are made by the United States . Now they can build a cruise ship. Only Germany, France, Italy , and the Netherlands can make large cruise ships , and there is another country that can do it. They make nearly 90% of the cruise ships. These 4 countries make the other 40% . Yes , but the cruise ships made in Japan can only be small cruise ships with a capacity of less than 100,000 tons . When Kawasaki Heavy Industries tried to develop cruise ships , it failed and lost hundreds of millions of yen. It failed and then gave up. We all know the shipbuilding industry There is another country that is very powerful now, it is very powerful and it is called South Korea. South Korea has given up on it and will not do it because the cruise ship is not as simple as we imagined. It is not an ordinary Taiwan-China ship or a freighter . Think about it when you are on that ship. Passengers need to sit To be comfortable , he is willing to spend money on consumption, right ? In fact, the cost of taking a cruise is very high. I went there once and it was very expensive . If you spend so much money on consumption, you must make it worthwhile , so whether it is a movie theater on it Swimming pools , beaches, and various aspects . These facilities must be integrated. A cruise ship probably has more than 70 functional departments in all its departments , including engines and catering . You have to divide the catering. The special catering is French or Indian. It is still Chinese food, and there are restaurants of various departments . When I went there , there were many kinds of restaurants on the cruise ship that serve 24 hours . Think about it, the staff of these restaurants, the problem of garbage disposal , the problem of bathing for passengers, and the sewage treatment The problem is a lot of knowledge . It’s not as simple as we imagine that I ’ll just build a Taiwan-China ship, right? Or take a freighter ? The other one will drive the port area behind it, whether it’s tourism, right? After the ship arrives There must be a tour company and a tour bus to pick you up , right? Like when we went to Fo Guang Shan, we talked about Fo Guang Shan in Kaohsiung , or after we arrived in Taipei, we went to Building 101. There is a tourism industry that can develop. The second is its maintenance suppliers and its supply chain. There are hundreds of manufacturers , but you have to maintain the operation of this cruise ship. You almost have a supply chain of hundreds of companies . I am the host, Zhai Hong, and I will welcome this stage immediately . Join us to discuss the guests. Former ambassador Jie Wenji , Zhai Hong, friends Hello, Lai Yueqian, an expert in international affairs , host, audience, friends, retired major general Li Zhengjie , host, hello, audience, let ’s take a look , TSMC held a shareholders’ meeting yesterday, and this year does not seem to be a good year for TSMC’s growth . He said that Liu Deyin talked about this year TSMC may be experiencing negative growth , but they are ready for the next wave of growth , but it is unknown where the timing will be, but he also expressed his concerns , saying that there will be no eggs in the nest, and they cannot cope with war , so they are very unhappy about this . If there is a war and there is no electricity, he said that their current backup power can only use 10% to 20%, such as diesel power generation. There is no way to deal with it. If a real war happens , TSMC may be There is no way to operate normally . Let’s take a look . Now that TSMC has gone to the United States, many employees in the American factory say that they are not used to this kind of tough culture of TSMC , so the recruitment of employees in the Arizona factory is now problematic because The employees of TSMC said that working 12 hours a day is basic , and the work-life balance here is so cruel . The American employees said that I have to work 12 hours a day , work overtime and sleep. The company is too broken. Americans are not used to it . TSMC ’s culture may be in Taiwan , or it has always been like this , but American employees feel that this is too tiring. We read TSMC’s answer. He said that in addition to the labor-management meeting of the existing 13 factories, there will be this wafer meeting in the future. Reflection channels , so employees can anonymously or non- anonymously send opinions to business units , and there will be some responses. For unresolved opinions , quarterly wafer meetings will also conduct two-way communication with representatives. In fact, Zhang Zhongmou has warned him before that he will Let’s talk about it. Taiwanese can’t control the Americans . What if TSMC goes to the United States? This problem will arise. He has long seen the conflicts between the workplace cultures of the two sides. He has already expected that it will happen. But what Tsai Ing-wen seemed to say was that Zhang Zhongmou asked everyone not to worry . What she heard was different from our interpretation. She said that Zhang Zhongmou’s statement was to tell everyone not to worry about this matter , so it meant that Tsai Ing-wen didn’t care about TSMC . Anyway, after 2024 It’s none of her business, isn’t it? If this set is applied to anything , she can get rid of it completely , and it’s none of my business when you go to the United States, right? Then let’s see if the United States is looking for such an obedient dude President, if I want to move TSMC , I will move, and if I want you to buy something, I will buy it. So Rosenberg came to Taiwan and said that she wanted to see the presidential candidates from various parties . She said that she was looking forward to it. During the visit , Taiwan has already announced its candidacy. The interaction between the presidential candidates . He also said that the United States will not choose sides in the general election . Will it choose people? Choose obedient people. Now I feel like what it looks like. The imperial envoy came to Taiwan to have a look at the interview . The spokesperson of the Election Office mentioned that he welcomes Chairman Rosenberg to visit Taiwan again and respects the plan of the United States . It seems that the higher authorities are also looking forward to the meeting. Ke Wenzhe said that I told Rosenberg that I would let Taiwan participate in the United States. Regional economic organizations , but now Hou Youyi may not think that the relationship with the United States is the most important thing he has to face, but the 1992 Consensus . You should make it clear that the 1992 Consensus is for many supporters of the Blue Camp. The core value is Hou Youyi, no matter if you meet Ma Ying-jeou or Xiao Wanchang , you haven’t mentioned the 1992 Consensus. When people keep asking about it, they are talking about it now. Hou Youyi is looking for a new discourse to solve the problem, so you don’t have to be affected by 1992 Consensus, this frame of kidnapping , the final explanation will be a direction that is beneficial to the people of Taiwan and accepted by the international community , rather than a vulgar yes or no . This sentence may anger many blue camp supporters . What is it called? Vulgar First of all , the question is , do you think the 1992 Consensus is vulgar? So, in this way of speaking , it seems to be a bit of a slip of the tongue, yes or no, does it matter what you say? Or the 1992 Consensus , you can have a new set of arguments and be recognized by mainland China Is this all a question? Let’s take a look at this shoulder interview task . It’s about Rosenberg planning ahead for Taiwan’s political situation . For Taiwan, who will be the next leader is in the best interest of the United States. This interview has a strong meaning , so the United States actually What I want to look for most is the obedient Tsai Ing-wen 2.0. Let’s see if there is such a situation in the Taiwan Strait. We have seen the Suzhou and the Zhongyun ship, and one of them is approaching this state . It was seen from the Canadian ship , but now the United States has released the 30-second video of the Suzhou, China , passing through the front . The cloud did not change its sailing direction . In addition, seeing this Kirby also warned , saying that this warship or military plane of the People’s Liberation Army is constantly approaching the U.S. warship . He said that it won’t be long before there will be casualties . Brother Liang has an analysis of the J-16’s interception of the US plane. He said that it may be until the guns go off, because now the United States is facing China’s close reconnaissance . How can the mainland stand it? The door is constantly harassing , so it is destined that China and the United States will have several military confrontations in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea in the future . They will not really sit down and talk until the guns go off. The general also said that the J-16 that intercepted the RC-135 in the past actually carried two long-range missiles. It should be read like this. Two long-range missiles , so it seems that this is two long-range air-to-air missiles, so basically , it is already mounted. That is to say , it is already in a state of preparation for war. Wait a minute, we will ask the general to supplement . The missile power of the mainland Dongfeng 17 is more powerful than the dagger missile . Let's see if the Dongfeng 17 is changed to an air-launched type and launched from the air , then Its effective range and difficulty of interception can be further improved. So now let’s first ask Mr. Jie what he thinks . I think the effect of TSMC ’s dismantling by the United States will appear in advance, right? Next year it may grow negatively . This is very Quickly, TSMC is a very profitable company . It has been making money for decades. How could it suddenly have negative growth? It can suddenly become negative growth. It can be seen that the US strategy of dismantling TSMC has really hurt TSMC . I am now saying that we still have It’s good to see the records, Taiwan’s Tsai Ing-wen government , and some green, some pro-green, these so-called experts say no, where is TSMC going to the United States? What kind of part of globalization is it? It’s such an honor . What’s going on now? It’s going to have negative growth next year. May I ask , do other companies have negative growth? Are the big American electronics companies making money? Is it true that Intel has negative growth ? Samsung? Is there any negative growth ? Why does TSMC turn around so fast at once ? Because TSMC needs a lot of this surplus. What does it need to spend a lot of money on ? Technological investment. It may be almost 14 billion U.S. dollars for a single factory. When it reaches 16 billion US dollars, it needs to keep moving forward to maintain its competitiveness . Now you need to use the old business model to maintain its competitiveness. You suddenly moved it to the United States . Originally, it was said that there was only one factory, right ? In Arizona Later, it became 4. It left 6 factories . Later, 2 more factories were built. Originally , it only made 5 nanometers . Later, even 2 nanometers and 3 nanometers were spread. It can be seen that the United States is actually killing the chicken and taking the eggs for TSMC. TSMC currently has two companies that have expanded their investment in Japan and Germany, and started production. A good TSMC, with Taiwan as its main production base , was immediately divided into three parts . Did you disrupt the company during the investment process? The original pace of overall development , such a fast time, if you go to the United States , Germany, and Japan , you will shake the foundation of this company. I think the shake of the foundation will produce these employees in the United States. This is a kind of resistance from American employees . This has long been known in the United States. In terms of employee standards and labor standards, if TSMC is operating, the labor cost alone will increase many times , and if you make such a request, the other party may not know that it must be doing it in accordance with the US labor law. I will work overtime for you , but I will work overtime for you. Fees and relative compensation measures . Americans are not willing to accept this. American employees have been trained since childhood to be very good at shouting and complaining. Unlike Taiwan’s education , everyone cares about the overall situation and speaks out. Well, it’s cooperation... That’s why Zhang Zhongmou said that the reason for my success is that Taiwanese people are hard-working. First , Americans don’t have the concept of hard work, and they don’t have hard work . If you want me to suffer, you will pay me. If you want me to work hard, you will pay me. The cost, the labor cost, is many times that of Taiwan, so TSMC has talked about it a long time ago , but no one listened to what Tsai Ing-wen said. Tsai Ing-wen just said this. Zhang Zhongmou said that everyone should not worry. Zhang Zhongmou said I was very worried . What is it? Many DPP officials still went to the United States to participate in a ceremony at the TSMC factory at that time , and then you also mobilized some of these green celebrities , TSMC. They don’t understand it. If others don’t understand it, they understand it. This is TSMC. Cooperating with the development of globalization is an important opportunity, right? If TSMC does not take this step , there is nothing wrong with it . But we say that it has come true so quickly, and it will start to experience negative growth next year . In line with the dismantling policy of the United States , who will be responsible for making it like this... Tsai Ing-wen is about to step down , but how are the people raised by the DPP up to now? They haven't come out to apologize . Look at it. I think the problem with TSMC It just appeared, and it will come out one by one , so let’s ask , what does Mr. Lai think about this? Hou Youyi can have a high-level new discussion to replace the vulgar yes or no . The 1992 Consensus was called the 1992 Consensus . It effectively solved the problem. The two sides of the strait have insisted on some consensus and disagreed on things. The two sides belonged to one China . There was no problem with both sides at the time. Taiwan insisted that we represent China , and the mainland insisted that they represent China. There was a disagreement , so we said it and put it on hold. Controversy and seek the greatest common divisor , so the term 1992 Consensus was coined . It has effectively brought stability, stability and peace to Taiwan for so many years. Who broke the 1992 Consensus ? That period was the most tense era between the two sides of the strait . When Chen Shuibian came up, it was destroyed . The 1992 Consensus does not want the 1992 Consensus , so one side , one country is needed, and the relationship between the two sides has become tense again. Ma Ying-jeou came back to the 1992 Consensus, and cross-strait relations are stable, safe and peaceful . Is there any change in Taiwan ’s political system in the past 8 years including Ma Ying-jeou ? Do the people of Taiwan have less dignity? No , not less but more because we can participate in international activities and organizations . In the Chen Shui-bian era, we did not have this right and dignity . Tsai Ing-wen came up and tore up the 1992 consensus again. No more, cross-strait relations are tense again . Who is happy? Americans are happy. Americans are happiest . Taiwan does not want the 1992 Consensus because it can play the Taiwan card. From a human point of view, it is cost-effective to use the lives of Taiwanese to consume mainland China, because that is the life of Taiwanese, so it is too cost-effective to use Taiwanese money to buy weapons from Americans , so that Americans can earn a lot of money Then go to war with the mainland, it is cost-effective because the Americans have made money , so use the lives of the Taiwanese, use the money of the Taiwanese , and then go to the interests of the Americans. This is not the 1992 consensus. Talking about the basic principles of the Party Constitution , isn’t it still the 1992 Consensus? Didn’t Ma Ying-jeou keep emphasizing that the foundation that Xi Jinping and I laid in Singapore was the 1992 Consensus , which is the common political foundation for both sides of the strait? Why destroy it? I don’t think there is anything to avoid. There is nothing to escape . It is vulgar at all . The 1992 Consensus is that the DPP intends to vulgarize it on purpose . Then you will become vulgar. The DPP’s sexual harassment is so serious. Is it vulgar? cave Has your entire DPP headquarters turned into a sex cave , where you bully those young women and students, and then those students go there as volunteers , and you end up being manipulated like this , this is called a sex cave, and this is called vulgarity . It’s called shame, this is called a thorough review . I think it’s not clear who is right and who is wrong. I’m talking about TSMC here. I still have something to say . TSMC, you can’t be in a US company Taiwanese employees have discriminatory behaviors. Again , TSMC, you are in the United States. You can’t have discriminatory behaviors against Taiwanese employees. What Americans don’t do , there is no reason for Taiwanese to do it. Americans do n’t work overtime . There is no reason for Taiwanese to do it. If you want to work overtime, the salaries of Americans are relatively high . There is no reason. The salaries of Taiwanese people must be relatively low . In the United States, I emphasize that you follow American culture and American corporate culture . When you manage according to American corporate culture, you must not discriminate against Taiwanese. Bad jobs, bad jobs, and bad hours are all done by Taiwanese. This is unreasonable. This company, General , TSMC , I think there are two types of people in Taiwan. They are always there . One is a doctor who is about to arrive in an emergency, and the other is TSMC. Employees Because some of my relatives and friends work in TSMC, I know very well that it is a phone call , there is a problem with the machine, and I will go in to deal with it immediately , so why is their Zhubei house so expensive ? You can see how hard TSMC employees are . That mansion is right . No, it’s like a dormitory during the day. The whole street is empty and everyone has gone to work. Then his child is in the nursery. The teacher has to help the child feed the dinner and take a bath. Mom and Dad will pick him up , so he is really at work for 12 hours. Then let me talk about the US warship Zhongyun and the Suzhou. I think this is definitely not the case. You can’t simply say that a captain wants us to collide with it. It must be directly from them. It must have been reported to the Central Military Commission. The Central Military Commission said You hit it and you look at it from this angle, we can find one thing . If the US ship refuses to give way, it is the bow of the US ship and hits the hull of the Zhongyun . Who will suffer ? 052 will suffer because its waist is covered by its bow. Hit its weakest place and be hit by its hardest place . Doesn’t the CCP warship understand it? Of course it does. It knows that I’m going to hit you . But the question is what will happen after the collision . You know where it hit. The Taiwan Strait , the northern and southern ends of the Taiwan Strait . If it is said that there is a 055 from the CCP’s southern side and Bashi Strait , what is it called ? You don’t want to run away from the warship , and we’ll deal with it slowly in the future. It can be seen that the captains on the Suzhou ship and the officers and soldiers on all the warships have already made up their minds to die , so I’m here to hit you. After we are done, we will make things bigger . The most sensitive thing is that the incidents encountered by the military plane or at sea were all during the Shangri-La talks. Why did the American warships come to provoke at such a sensitive time , and the Chinese warships came to do this on purpose? This kind of action, and then both parties , at such a sensitive time, there must be a bigger intention behind this kind of action , and it is definitely not just a pilot of a military plane . He made such a dangerous action on a whim. Let me talk about the power of the Dongfeng 17 missile. It is better than the dagger. The first one we all know is the dagger missile. Russia is an air-launched type . It is an aircraft. After flying to about Mach 2 , shoot the missile out and use the missile to accelerate my speed to reach the speed of Mach 7 or 8. So it must be carried by aircraft. Dongfeng 17 can have three types of launch , that is, land-launched, air-launched , and ship-launched. The second one is outside the atmosphere and the second is inside the atmosphere. The dagger is inside the atmosphere . I think Dongfeng also has a more powerful one , which most people may not know. It has a design method called TOT design. Artillery probably knows what TOT design is . I launch this kind of shell at different times and different places, and it will reach your target at the same point in time. That is to say, during the last Dongfeng 17 test , the missiles launched from the base in Gansu and the base in Jiangnan at different times hit the same target in the South China Sea at the same time. It is very difficult to implement the anti-missile defense for a time when it is subjected to a saturation attack, so this is why they say that the Dongfeng 17 is better than the dagger here , well, let’s take a break first, and immediately after the advertisement return
