武契奇求習近平反制拜登 布林肯奧斯汀雙簧 新聞大白話@tvbstalk 20230601 (字幕版)

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Let’s take a look at the current United States and China. Maybe in the South China Sea or around Taiwan, there are many, many encounters in the air and at sea , including what you see . Today’s latest news is that the United States first released a message saying RC-135 may have been around here on May 26. We saw the circled area where Chinese and American military planes met . This is a photo released by the United States. You can see that this is the perspective of the US military . Circle this here The plane is a plane of the CCP. The Americans said that on May 26th , the military planes of China and the United States met , and the J-16 communist army intercepted it dangerously . He thinks this is not OK. This is the US statement , but what is the Chinese mainland statement ? At that time, the US military plane broke into the training area of ​​the Shandong ship , so the Americans were the villains who first complained. Let ’s take a look at the Shandong ship . It was indeed heading north on May 26 at the end of last month, passing through the Taiwan Strait in the northwest direction . At that time You can check the news , so the Shandong ship is operating in this place . Is it because the US military aircraft is deliberately interfering here? We don’t know. Now the two sides are talking about each other , but let’s come back and look at the US aircraft carrier . It has a defense standard, which is you. When the aircraft carrier is active in this place , your external defense, central defense and internal defense actually have three circles of defense . That is to say, if at that time point , an enemy plane or an external plane comes to interfere , they will have to respond with force , or even shoot down the opponent. Strictly speaking , the Chinese People’s Liberation Army’s way of doing military aircraft like this seems to be an act of interfering with or spying on the other party . It doesn’t seem so unreasonable. Let’s see why the United States announced it first , like this Is it possible that the situation of approaching military planes will force the Chinese mainland to communicate with the US military as soon as possible , because we know that on May 30, the Chinese mainland has officially rejected the so-called defense ministers from the US and China in Singapore. Long meeting because the United States very much hopes to sit down with the Minister of Defense of the Chinese mainland and talk about it . May 31 was yesterday . This is a provocation or a dangerous action . Today, on June 1, Blinken spoke. He said, look , there are so many dangerous air approaches , so China and the United States should establish a communication channel. Many sharp-eyed netizens think that this is the same as last year. The United States wants to force Wei Fenghe to negotiate with him , or to sit down and talk . It is exactly the same thing. Let 's take a look , so it seems that the United States really hopes that the Chinese mainland will quickly agree to their defense minister and meet with the US defense minister in Singapore. Last year was almost the same. On May 31 last year , it was the same . There was no conclusion on whether the defense ministers of the two countries should meet. On June 5 , Canada and Australia accused the Chinese People’s Liberation Army’s J-16 of being dangerous to intercept in the air. Remember that one ? What did you say when you put aluminum strips in the air , put aluminum blocks in the air, etc. It is very dangerous , so on June 10th at the Shangri-La Hotel , a few hours before the so-called Shangri-La talks, China and the United States finally met and finally decided to meet, so Beijing hopes to trigger a challenge to the United States . Is it a domino effect of prestige , or once Biden makes concessions , it will cause a political storm? This is the entire military confrontation between the United States and China. In addition, we have seen that the United States has a solidarity or closer cooperation among its allies. The things we have been doing are non-stop , including the talks between the Japanese and US defense ministers , the discussions on North Korea’s test launch, and China’s issues are now going on . In addition, we can see that the joint military exercises in the South China Sea, including the US, Japan, Philippines, and Australia, are now leading to a unified front . China It has also become an imaginary enemy , and it is an imaginary enemy that uses pirates. Let ’s look at the military again . The two sides are unwilling to sit down and talk and form an alliance for a two-level confrontation . But in the military, we see that this is Musk, who is already in China. The mainland visited , and you can see that he received high-level reception in China , including what to eat at night . The local media kept reporting it. So you saw this comment . He said that Austin was rejected because he didn’t want to talk to you about military issues. However, Musk represents capitalism and commercial behavior, but he is highly valued. Therefore, China treats the United States by playing two cards . The two cards are different. Political decoupling and economic linkage must keep the economic bottom line of China and the United States. They think it is very important , so the United States On the one hand, they are concerned about China’s suppression of foreign companies , but there are continuous visits to China, including Musk . We saw that he met three ministers from mainland China in one day without stopping, and Huang Renxun of Huida is also rumored to be going to the next stop . Mainland China will visit Tencent and ByteDance . The latest news is that Huang Renxun was interviewed in Taiwan just now. He said that I have not yet decided whether to visit China , but tomorrow he will visit Hon Hai’s Liu Yangwei . In addition, Huang Renxun’s views on China’s chip ban are also constantly changing . It was broadcast on the media. Huang Renxun said that the impact of the ban on Chinese chips will lead to what will happen . It is possible that China will take advantage of this opportunity to cultivate local GPU manufacturers . So it seems that he is still worried. Let ’s ask Brother Liang, what are you doing? Look, I think this year is different from last year , so I am more pessimistic about the sideline meeting at Shangri-La because Wang Yi and Sullivan have met and the United States has not responded . They must have talked about some major issues. We have not heard Sullivan’s response now . Wang Wentao At the APEC ministerial meeting, you didn’t see that Minister of Commerce Raimondo responded to the three major issues raised by Wang Wentao, and trade representative Dai Qi did not respond to the three major issues raised by Wang Wentao, because everything is in order, military security. dialogue Usually it is the last dialogue. You should start with political dialogue first. At present , I think that the US and China are stuck on political issues . For example, conflicts in the South China Sea or Taiwan Strait conflicts are political issues according to Beijing’s definition. For example, there are rumors this year. The South China Sea code of conduct may be reviewed. The United States is opposed to it . The United States is constantly playing the Philippine card, right? So there are some . For example, the RC-135 flies in to see what your Shandong ship is doing . This is basically all In the South China Sea , because the base of the Shandong ship is in Hainan Island, right ? I don’t think it’s doing this kind of action. Even if they meet in Shangri- La , the action will start to stop. It ’s still continuing to spy. And your sanction against Li Shangfu hasn’t been lifted yet. It was rumored that it would be cancelled, but the U.S. State Department said there was no such thing. So I simply say that all the messages from the U.S. are tough . Sullivan didn’t respond , and Raimondo didn’t respond . Dai Qi did not respond , and Li Shangfu’s own sanctions have not been lifted. At this time, if mainland China agrees to hold a side meeting with you in Shangri-La, it will be interpreted as a sign of weakness internationally , so I think I am still relatively pessimistic. I think the possibility is unlikely. I have the same idea as Brother Liang . The Chinese do things one by one . Of course, they are in charge of politics. After your political problems are resolved , the economy and military will continue to move forward . In fact, let’s first look at Wei Fenghe last year. Last year Wei Fenghe followed. Austin , they talked about the consensus guardrail, the United States and China should have a consensus guardrail. For many of us, we talked about the key red line , and they said that we must keep the red line , the Taiwan Strait issue, and the South China Sea issue . So they are talking about this in the military. What is this year ? Not even talking about it, this is a very strange place . Of course, the consensus guardrail is maintained , and what else is relatively restrained to avoid the escalation of regional conflicts. This is their military. From the perspective of both military leaders , this is very important. The question is why there is nothing this year. Of course, as we mentioned just now , the sanctions against Li Shangfu have not yet ended. Of course , in 2018, because Li Shangfu was the Minister of Armaments of the Military Commission at that time, he was sanctioned for buying this Russian weapon. The sanctions have been sanctioned even though it is on the G7. Biden said that we might consider lifting his sanctions , but basically, the US did not want to lift his sanctions . You did not lift his sanctions. What are you going to talk to them about ? Impossible . The gestures are not done well, you have to talk to him , saying that we sit down and have a good talk, it is impossible , so if they don’t make more local specifics on the consensus guardrail , including the red line , including how to avoid conflicts and wars , it is possible to wipe guns It ’s possible to fire off. Of course, we need to see that this time when Li Shangfu arrived in Singapore , there are a few key points we need to look at. Of course , this is the first time that Li Shangfu participated in this meeting as the Minister of Defense. Of course , he represents the Minister of Defense and the number one person in the People’s Liberation Army. How will he go, talk to these ASEAN countries in Singapore, and what kind of response will he make ? Joint maritime exercises . China and the Singaporean army are conducting so-called joint military exercises , and they are not just exercises. The Chinese People’s Liberation Army is visiting some warships and maritime museums in Singapore. The military personnel of the two sides are also conducting cultural and physical exchanges. Dear audience, what does this represent? It is very important. Yes, what Singapore has been advocating is that they want to avoid risks between the two major powers and play this kind of two-handed strategy with the United States and China. The problem is that it is now cooperating with China on security. We often say that Singapore wants China economically. They also rely on the United States for security. The problem is that it is now making more contacts with China in terms of security. This is not just Singapore . China is also conducting related work with the six ASEAN countries this year. Similar The military exercise means that China is now in the ASEAN , in China’s back garden. It pays special attention to security issues and military support. In the future , the United States should keep its eyes open to see what China is going to do , but on the contrary, it will also Stimulate the United States to strengthen the containment . I think there will be a lot of good things to watch in the ASEAN next. I came to ask Brother Dong for advice. In fact, you can see all of this . What is the biggest news in the United States today ? Pence may come out to challenge Trump . In the Republican Party , the nomination for president , Pence is Trump’s vice president , and when Trump called on everyone to attack Congress and cause a riot, Pence opposed it. Pence is the speaker of the Senate. He is the vice president and the president of the Senate , so you can see why Because the Republican Party thinks that the situation is very good. At this time, whoever will come can defeat the current Biden . What is Biden playing now? We are discussing the actions of the United States . In fact, there is a shadow of the election behind it . Biden hopes to be re- elected. If he wants to be re-elected, what he thinks his weapon is to make everyone think that I am very tough on mainland China , and I am very daring, so if he comes out now with many tough actions , because Xi Jinping was originally reluctant to meet with him in the G20, of course. The meeting was an international occasion , and the two also had a conversation . After the conversation , Biden is now asking for a second meeting. Mainland China is not interested in going. Others are also not interested in going , including Blinken who said I want to It is even more absurd to go to mainland China and say that we can see the incident of Li Shangfu without inviting you , because the US president is the commander-in-chief of the armed forces , and he spoke publicly in Japan We , Li Shangfu, were about to lift the sanction , but it was rejected by the State Council. Who is the commander-in-chief of the armed forces ? Are we not the United States , or a democratic country? So you can see how uncoordinated they are in themselves. You can see the United States today. All actions are nothing more than hope. I hope that China will sell my face again and let me pretend to be tough, okay. Let me win this election. I will repay you at that time. In fact, they have expressed such expressions in the past , but they have never reciprocated. On the contrary, the sanctions are becoming more and more severe. From the balloon incident, you can see that the balloon was shot down on February 4. Why is the United States afraid to announce that the balloon is in your hands? The United States has stepped up actions for this balloon and sanctioned 6 companies in mainland China , saying that you are all You are all suspected of selling balloons. You can see that it is getting more and more fun . I hope that mainland China will cooperate with it. If it cooperates with it , after Biden meets Xi Jinping, I promise you that he will talk about it on international occasions . I talked to Xi Jinping that day. When we met, I warned him what to do... He is going to act that way again. Now that China doesn’t follow his way , he really doesn’t know what to do. Let’s take a look at Serbia and Kosovo. There have been many conflicts on the border recently . It is a critical moment that the whole world is paying attention to , but did Serbian President Vučić turn to China for help? Let’s take a look first. He summoned the Chinese ambassador to Serbia, Chen Bo, on May 30. The two left this photo In the screen , he asked Chen Bo to go back to Zhongnanhai , and conveyed that Kosovo ’s current problems , I hope you can help to solve them , why this Vucic himself keeps giving the outside world the impression that he is being targeted by the United States or Western countries , because in 2022 , when the epidemic is still there When I was very nervous, do you remember a scene? Mainland China sold it to Vucic and Serbia , and sold them a lot of missiles. You can see that in April , the Chinese Air Force took off 18 sorties in a row for 3 days and delivered the Y-20. Serbia's Red Flag 22 air defense missile system looks like this , and it landed in Turkey to refuel in the middle, so at that point in time, the whole world , including the United States and some so- called allies in the West , actually had opinions on Serbia, and the Serbian president actually had a certain opinion. To some extent, he also worked as a salesman for Chinese weapons and told other countries that Chinese weapons are very good and cost-effective. This Vucic himself said that because of his own political leanings, he has very close ties with China and Russia , including military purchases from China. Weapons bought Russian weapons , so he became a sinner of the West. Is this the case? Let’s take a look , so you can see that Europe is in this place . Now there is a lot of trouble in Serbia , including Vucic. He claimed that it was someone from the West who wanted to let The more chaos between their country and Kosovo, the better . So he said that this is a conspiracy by the West, that the Red Revolution was instigated by someone behind the scenes, so you can see that there are of course two voices in the local area, and some people support this Serbian Vucic. They raised a huge Serbian flag in front of the municipal building. You saw a huge flag of white, blue and red , which means that they support their own leaders . In addition, we saw that NATO has also taken action . NATO said that this kind of chaos will not work , so they have They may send 700 people to strengthen the 4,000-strong Kosovo troops , so will this place lead to a bigger crisis, basically in places in Europe because of the Russia-Ukraine war ? In the past, the relationship between the epidemic and the economy was not good , including Germany. You have seen recently that it has published a lot of this, including financial figures. It seems that the economy is actually a big challenge . So the United States or some scholars think that now Germany or European countries may be at a critical moment . They have to decide whether to stay in the US-led system with an economy that is declining , or choose China. They are looking at both sides , including what we just said, Germany has entered a recession During the period, the European economy is also raising the alarm . The main reason is economic recession. Germany has experienced two consecutive quarters of economic decline , and it meets the so-called technical definition of economic recession. The economy of the entire euro zone may also weaken in the first quarter of this year. Therefore, in terms of economy and diplomacy Do they have other options? Macron uttered a word , saying that NATO was brain-dead , so Putin used the most severe electric shock to wake NATO . Of course , it was criticized by many allies , but he said I would not Take back the statement that NATO is brain-dead , and on the other hand, we see that the war in Ukraine is still going on . The latest message from Russia is that it said it has destroyed the last Ukrainian warship . But so far, Ukraine has not responded. The Ukrainian Navy spokesperson said that we do not. It will disclose any news of war damage , which is confidential. Let’s take a look at Putin again . Is it possible that Putin will attend the BRICS summit in 2023 , because the BRICS summit in 2023 will be held in South Africa , but once it arrives in South Africa, it is very likely . Maybe because of the arrest warrant of the International Criminal Court, he might be arrested , so the former president of South Africa said that it is better not to hold the summit in South Africa, so South Africa considered several options , including letting China host the summit this time , but summit 822 It is about to be held. Is it too late? Is it too late to suddenly change the host country? The United Arab Emirates , of course , is also a big variable in the Middle East. Now it seems that the United Arab Emirates withdrew from the Middle East Maritime Security Alliance led by the United States two months ago . Did it leave this security alliance ? Combined Sea Force is a 34-nation task force Headquartered in Bahrain, it is a U.S. naval base , but now if the UAE withdraws from the group , including anti-terrorism, regional security , and anti-piracy operations , will it be affected? The UAE recently bought China's L15 and AR-3 heavy-duty Long-range rocket launchers, simply speaking , are they also turning around? Or have they also bought a lot of Chinese-made weapons? Is the American power able to hold it? Let’s ask Brother Liang , what do you think of these economic choices ? In terms of force, there may be some alliances . This Kosovo is a complicated case because about 90% of the people in this place are Albanians , but historically it belonged to Serbia. It was only briefly independent in 1941. Later, everyone knew that the Kosovo War broke out , but Serbia did not. Well, we went there to carry out ethnic cleansing , but to put it simply now, the Serbs in that place still did not exceed 8%. As a result, they opposed the municipal reelection. As a result, he insisted on holding an election , but the turnout rate was only 3.5% , which is too low, so it caused a lot of trouble. The opposition of this ethnic group in Serbia is probably like this . But if there is a war in this place, Albania will flood in, and the number will be 90% . So this is the current situation. It is whether Serbia should intervene because it is inside Kosovo, and the Serbian ethnic group is protesting , saying that The election is unfair . As a big brother of the Serbian ethnicity , do you want to intervene ? And there was an issue of independence in the past . You also know that after NATO intervened, Kosovo became independent . Serbia has never recognized it , so you know how complicated this issue is. The shadow of the United States Because Serbia has done a lot to directly let China’s surface-to -air missiles come in . Frankly speaking, it violates NATO’s big taboo , so there are also such factors , so Vucic is a little bit unable to support it . It ’s not easy to intervene , so what should I do ? I want to invite some countries outside the region to intervene to help him speak , that is, the United Nations, such as the five permanent members, come in to help him speak . Now Russia must be more helpful in speaking now , so he can only invite China to speak, which is probably the case . Macron spoke on behalf of Serbia . He felt that the Albanians held the election this time. It is indeed unfair. This is France’s statement , but France is afraid that if the United States really wants NATO to intervene , France, I don’t think it can sustain it , so it ’s stuck here. So he, Vucic, of course hopes that this matter will become a big issue. It is best to bring it to the United Nations and let the power of the five permanent members come in. Otherwise , if you use NATO to solve it, France will definitely not be able to stop the United States. The United States must support Kosovo's side of the current problem. It’s here , so now it’s about whether mainland China will intervene. Do you think they will intervene? It’s hard to judge , because frankly speaking, this issue is really too far away from China , and you Serbs account for less than 10% of the local population , so you have to be strong. It is also difficult to dominate certain political agendas . Well, let’s start with the advertisement. Well , let’s ask Professor Wu how to look at the Kosovo issue. In fact, we look at Serbia . In fact, Serbia is a place full of troubles . We knew early on when the Yugoslav Confederation was disbanded . 6 countries , Serbia is the main one . It doesn’t join NATO. Other countries join NATO . Why doesn’t it join NATO? Why is it good with Russia ? Why is it a country of brothers? First , they are all Slavic nations . What are they in Russia? Eastern Slavia , Serbia is Yugoslavia , they are all brothers The countries are called each other, and the language is also communicated . Then we just discussed that he believes in the Orthodox Church , and the Slavs believe in the Orthodox Church. The problem is that there are many Muslims in Kosovo, and Albania is Muslim . The most important thing is that the Kosovo issue is a headache for Serbia . I haven’t finished talking yet . Why is Serbia the most important country with Russia? We also saw that last year , when Putin was fighting the Ukrainian-Russian War, he also visited Serbia . 100,000 people in Serbia lined the road to welcome Putin. Vucic said What, the brother is here and we strongly support him, so he is very supportive of Putin in this respect . Will the Kosovo issue become the next proxy war ? Relevance Usually we talk about international relations , civil wars can easily break out into something , and foreign wars are like this . The Kosovo issue has also been around for a long time. It mainly has the issue of Muslims , different ethnic groups, different races, different languages, and border problems . So this The place we discussed with Brother Liang just now is a very important one. We are talking about the Balkan Powder Depot , and it is not only Kosovo, but also Albania and Herzegovina. These are all difficult to deal with now . This problem is in it. In the future, they are now this time. The main problem is that in April , the Kosovo side held elections near the border with Serbia, and the elections were held there , and this place happened to be that the Serbs thought your election was unfair . You sent one because we didn’t vote . We are not happy about the coming of the Muslims from Albania. The trouble now is that Vucic in the north . They sent troops here. NATO also sent 700 people to this border. The situation is imminent . In the future, we will see whether they will be the first Deal with this issue peacefully , viewers , if you like playing tennis, in today 's news , Djokovic is still on the show, and he was caught on camera at the French Open. After the fight, he said, Kosovo is the heart of our Serbia, we cannot lose it , what kind of non-violence he said, using a non-violent way to solve it, he said so , and he wrote it in Serbian in front of the screen , which caused an uproar, sports event you Why did you suddenly show your political inclinations , so some people in this grand slam tournament are now asking whether Djokovic is going to be punished, saying how can you promote this here ? It’s not fair to Kosovo , so we still have to look at that . Next , will Putin use this question again to divert attention ? If the Ukrainian-Russian war continues like this , will he simply say that we will have this one, you want to play, if you NATO is over there again , do it One of the Kosovo issues , my name is Vucic , you can help me distract that NATO over there. We say that this is a human being, which is a big problem for human beings. We have been studying human nature in the past. What is our nature ? We are Are belligerents cruel ? But when we study the so-called wars and conflicts in the Department of International Relations , we all start from the European continent , because in the early days of international relations, we all studied the confrontation, conflicts and balances of the European continent, right? If you want to use this thing in Asia, can you use it in Asia ? This is something we can look at and talk about a lot . Yes, let’s take a break first . Let’s ask Brother Dong how he sees the current problems in Europe . In fact, the biggest problem in Europe right now is Because of the Russo-Ukrainian War, many countries have been affected, and the largest economy in Europe has always been Germany. Germany has actually led all European countries , including the EU, for a long time , because Merkel was very popular and trusted by everyone , and the most important thing is Merkel. Talk to Putin. They are all from the Communist Party . Now they are affected by the Russo-Ukraine war. Of course, Germany has a great influence . 20-30 years ago, when we went to mainland China, the taxis were all German cars . You know , you can call them whatever you want. We used to ride in that car. Its current decline is actually very serious. The economy treats it because it has a great dependence on Russia , including natural gas. Although he was scolded by many people for going to mainland China, when he went, many members of the cabinet did not know about it , so they had to make some repairs because he was not a majority of the cabinet. They were formed by three parties . Of course, the cabinet needed some repairs. Why? To do it , they send a minister to Taiwan , so Taiwan has, for decades, welcomed a minister from Germany , and then we can beat the drums and make repairs on both sides , but this is for Germany . After all, your economy depends on the United States. It still depends on the mainland of China. It has become a bit of a choice for it. Its choice is what the United States wants it to choose, so it is very difficult for it . Welcome back to the news program in vernacular and introduce the guests of this hour. First of all , Yale politics Doctor of Science , Guo Zhengliang , everyone safe , Wu Chonghan, professor of the Department of Foreign Affairs of National Chengchi University, Qian Zihao, everyone , and senior media person Dong Zhisen , everyone, audience friends, let’s see if Hou Youyi has a campaign team , because in the past two weeks , some people said that he did not perform so well. According to the polls The above also reflects the real situation , so we saw that his campaign team and campaign studio were established today. Let ’s take a look first . The one that appeared was Hou Youyi’s campaign studio. The spokesperson team is all young people in seventh and eighth grade , and there are also some political workers in it. But some people on the Internet didn’t pay the bill , thinking that the lineup didn’t look good enough. Some people criticized that they should first pick faults from the name. Some people said , why is it a campaign studio , not a campaign headquarters ? Today, at the inaugural meeting of the campaign studio , a reporter actually asked Hou Youyi, when will you ask for leave? Let’s see how Hou Youyi replied . We only have one goal, we work together , and we must win . This may require persuading Mayor Hou. Sometimes The speech should answer the questions because people are asking you when you will ask for leave because he is still the mayor of New Taipei City . As for the time when he asked for leave, some people say it is September . Will September be too slow? This may be the entire campaign team We must pay attention to the issues that we must pay attention to now . In addition , let’s look at it again , including the matter of lagging behind in the polls. Many pan-blue people are very anxious . It must be said that the Party Central Committee is also very anxious . There are some suggestions within the party , including Qiaoxinqiaoxin. Don’t worry, everyone . Even though Mayor Hou is in the emergency room , he can still be saved. It ’s not enough to install Ye Kemo , but he can still be saved. Slowly let him return to a normal state . You have to face the reality and learn from it. How to change it ? First of all, you have to speak clearly. So I just said that the reporter asked you when you will ask for leave. The aides need to prepare. When you will ask for leave. I'm sorry, these members of the Kuomintang without divisions were included in the campaign team. Now, who are the committee members of the KMT without divisions? There are all kinds of finance and defense. They are all included and become your think tank and your campaign team . In addition, we see Hou Youyi, in various places , I am afraid that some county and city chairmen or speakers hold different opinions . Now how to reconcile Ding Nai and how to win the hearts of these people is the top priority. It must be said that there are some Korean fans or Han Guoyu’s past supporters. I didn't let go of my knot with him Why do they vividly recall that at that time in 2019, when Han Guoyu was running for the presidency , Mayor Hou was originally asked to serve as the chief chairman of the campaign , but Mayor Hou did not agree. In addition , several so-called rallying parties were held in New Taipei City. Mayor Hou was absent , so including now A lot of people say that it is necessary for you to repay the present world. We still have to make it clear that you did not help others at the time , so no one will come to help you now , or others may not easily agree to help you. Let’s take a look at Jinmen Speaker Hong Yundian, we saw him sticking tightly to Guo Taiming yesterday , and the reporter also asked him, what about Hou Youyi ? If Hou Youyi wants to be elected , will you help him? Hou Youyi is already going to be elected , will you help him? Let’s listen to this Hong Yundian The speaker’s speech was very straightforward, and I said directly that I would definitely refuse . So this is the difficulty and problem that Mayor Hou must overcome . There is a lot of work to do. Mayor Hou has also heard some suggestions from the people. He needs to speak clearly and even take the initiative to attack . So He said something yesterday , including nuclear energy announcements , including further elaboration of energy policies . He said that he has been telling the central government for the past 5 years that you have to deal with nuclear waste. For more than 5 years , your central government has not made it clear . He said that I have never said that I am against nuclear power. I just asked the central government to promise that nuclear safety must be of the highest standard and that nuclear waste must be properly disposed of , including those dry storage tanks that must be moved from outdoors to indoors, etc. I have endured it for more than 5 years. I am not a person who likes to curse people with bad words. I hope that the central government will rein in the precipice and do things well , but the ruling party is not listening at all. Yesterday he was a little bit angry. Regarding the nuclear waste issue of the ruling party, nuclear safety The problem is that the ruling party is irresponsible . He had such a counterattack yesterday , but what others thought was that you didn’t stand up very hard to help during the four major referendums. You helped the blue camp to make a statement on the four major referendums. Anyone who walks will leave traces, and we must hurry to make up for these rifts , including the controversy over the nomination of justices. Tsai Ing-wen was questioned and scolded by everyone. Hou Youyi also mentioned this . He said that the Democratic Progressive Party has not been authoritarian enough in the past few years. It seems that Mayor Hou seems to be fighting back a little bit . He started to criticize. He started to pick out the problem , but is there enough firepower? Audience friends, let’s take a look . The Kinmen Gate was very lively yesterday and the day before yesterday . Starlight including Lai Qingde , including this Ke Wenzhe , including Guo Taiming were all there To make a lot of political statements and political performances. Hou Youyi also talked about it. He said that in the future, I will build a bridge for cross-strait communication , starting from Kinmen . Because he was absent , he also wrote a lot about Kinmen issues. He said that including Guo Taiming Yes, do you support the 1992 Consensus of the Peace Declaration? A reporter asked him. Hou Youyi said that we all have the same concept of peace. Because Guo Taiming once said that whoever can support my 513 Kinmen Peace Declaration, I will support him. Hou Youyi said I have the same concept , but this sentence , can you give Guo Taiming to you? Can you make Guo Taiming truly surrender to you? This is probably still difficult . Let’s ask Brother Liang. Brother Liang feels that Hou Youyi ’s current efforts have changed him. But is he working hard enough? Of course, there is still a long way to go . Hou Youyi’s real problem has two parts . In fact, because the poll on Formosa Formosa was more dramatic , someone did an analysis. In fact, what we saw was that the overall support of the Kuomintang has declined from 20%. The point drop to nearly 14% is very serious , because it will affect the election of the KMT’s regional legislators. Why the KMT ’s polls will drop is probably not a problem of Hou Youyi alone , including Zhu Lilun. How did your primary election run like this? The Kuomintang clearly has so many county and city mayors in power , and there are 38 legislators in the Congress . Why do people feel that they are scattered ? 25% of Lai Qingde’s polls are only 35.8%, and 25% of them are iron votes. You know that the DPP is completely united in fighting, and his campaign has long been established . And who is the cadre of his campaign is Luo Wenjia Ma Yongcheng This level means that they will not be shy about telling you the truth , so if your Hou Youyi team disagrees with you , would they dare to speak up? We have told the truth, you see, we have pointed it out , you are not on his side Going to work , I’m talking about the people who work at the head of the competition . What I mean is, why does Lai Qingde dare to use Rome ? He is willing to listen to different opinions, so there is no one in his team who tells the truth, so don’t say that. It’s not right. It means that if the opinions are really different , for example, is there any staff who dare to say that the logic is completely different from yours? Because his polls are like this, there must be many reasons . The KMT has some problems that he cannot handle , but you at least have Some issues should be dealt with by you yourself. For example, to answer Guo Taiming’s Quemoy Declaration. Frankly speaking, he has been preparing for a long time . I also know who the authors are. All important concepts have been included , so people are talking about yours. Response : For example , why did Guo Taiming give it to Lai Qingde because he thinks Lai Qingde that you might be elected? It is really dangerous for you to be elected. You can refer to my thoughts . His thoughts are true. There are some core concepts in it , so you Hou Youyi, you can’t simply respond. I just give an example . Do you support each table in one middle school? That ’s what people want to hear. This is a very direct concept. Do you support each table in one middle school? I don’t dare to support the second consensus. I believe that you have one China and one side , and you will not respond directly. I guess the same is true for nuclear power. If the nuclear safety issue passes the nuclear fourth, I will be frank. The nuclear safety issue is a matter of who is in power. Do you think the DPP can’t do it? Is it possible to pass nuclear security? Of course it is possible. Why can’t it pass? If the Kuomintang comes back to power , you need to find a group of nuclear security experts to review . How can you not do it until you pass the review? What’s the use? The central government didn’t respond to me . The central government didn’t respond to you . Of course I know. 60 years, 50 years after completion , I think what the common people want to hear now is this kind of direct answer . I think this part, Ke Wenzhe is much more direct than him , so why do you have some votes and go to Ke Wenzhe ? Ke Wenzhe speaks directly in Jinmen I am willing to resume negotiations on the agreement . This will cause a lot of controversy , but he is facing it. So I think Hou Youyi is facing many problems now. This problem is that you can no longer go around the problem and talk vaguely. I have no objection to you . What to discuss, because you are a challenger , and the challenger’s answer is to be very clear and clear, otherwise, what you want to challenge , the ruler can be vague, because Tsai Ing-wen is seeking stability now , and Lai Qingde is also because he is the leader , so you have to figure out who you are Challenger , you don’t have a clear-cut banner , you can’t challenge. Maybe he was the ruler in the past . After all, he has been in power in New Taipei City for so long . He always used vague strategies to win the love of the people and high votes , so he may think that this move is still worth it You can continue to fight for the general election. Is it like this? Let me ask Brother Dong. Hou Youyi used to be a policeman for more than 30 years. The police must have planned for a long time to deal with gangsters. They must plan for a long time and then attack him . You should attack later. I think Hou Youyi is now the most common people feel that you have no way to accept that you are not aggressive. For example, your biggest aggressiveness today is of course the sexual harassment case of the DPP. The sexual harassment case of the DPP happened in September last year. Who is the party chairman ? Is that the one whose surname is Cai? Of course you want to attack you. Why don’t you even dare to attack Tsai Ing-wen? Why don’t you even dare to attack Tsai Ing-wen in this life? This Taiwan was ruined by her, right? Cai Lai’s fusion is Taiwan now I think he has been a policeman for a long time . He should know where I should put some firepower. This is actually very important . If people don’t see it, they will think that they are asking you to do something like this. What about Ke Wenzhe , because he is third in the polls, I assure you , after a while, Ke Wenzhe will return to third, so I dare to say anything . Why is Chen Fuhai, the county magistrate of Kinmen, a member of the Taiwan People’s Party? He dare not use Taiwan people Party, go to run for election because the Taiwan People’s Party only has 1157 votes in Kinmen. They have a congressman who goes to vote. That’s how many votes they get , so Ke Wenzhe dares to say anything . Anyway, I’m the third right . You will dare to say anything next time you ask Ke Wenzhe. After I was elected, each of the people will send 30,000 yuan . I dare say it is right. He is like this . I think that the people will have some expectations for Ke Wenzhe . If you examine him as the mayor of Taipei for the past 8 years, his political views can do nothing. Come on, everyone can go and check if it’s right. His communal house, the reconstruction of his Shezi Island, his Neihu traffic , he has done almost nothing, but he is very good at speaking, and young people like to listen to this dare to speak . We are not picking a famous speaker today, you can watch it I think it’s clear that the DPP is on the defensive today , that is, I want to use my current situation and maintain 35% to 40% all the time . How about 35% to 40%, Ke Wenzhe 20% to 25%, you get 25% How could the Kuomintang win me with only 35% of the election right? So he is making this idea now . You Hou Youyi has to have some goals . Of course, the goal is because you are asking others , especially the Kuomintang. Why are the polls so low now ? Hou Youyi Why is it low? Because everyone thinks that you are not integrated . You still have a Guo Taiming. Guo Taiming and his supporters are criticizing the Kuomintang every day . It is not fair. Who might Guo Taiming cooperate with? Your Kuomintang supporters feel uneasy . We know that all the resources are in the DPP , you know I live in Banqiao, Banqiao yesterday , a poll came out , a friend received him and said that the first question is to ask Hou Youyi, now the poll is third , what do you think this time? Who to support in the election, I will guide you first , use the poll on Formosa Island, and then start to let him . No one will support the last one. This is human nature , so they are actually making such a deployment . This is the poll in Banqiao yesterday, you can see it That is to say , you have so many dangerous enemies now , and Banqiao is your natal zone , so I think if you don’t show one, the police will be very tough. I will target all the problems of the DPP, and I dare to fight it forcefully. The important thing is to ask the teacher for advice . In fact, we can see that Hou is lagging behind , but he still started from the internal affairs to fight economic corruption and set up a special investigation team to reply to the special investigation team. On cross-strait discussions and diplomacy , I think the Hou camp will launch some related policy posts one after another , because after all, it is impossible not to mention it. But let’s take a look at the DPP . The DPP is now talking about the Republic of China and Taiwan . In fact, they are just like me talking about it. He is in power and he is on the defensive , so he wants to talk about maintaining the status quo. In fact, I think many DPP members don’t like the word maintaining the status quo , but Lai Qingde talks about maintaining the status quo . How disdainful . At the beginning, I talked about what the Republic of China is, right? Or about that country , it was during the elections, and now Lai Qingde brought up the Republic of China during the elections. I said he was on the defensive. What should I do next ? I think the 1992 Consensus may have been stigmatized by the DPP for so long , but it is indeed a very important cornerstone for communication between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait in the future. We have learned a very important thing in political science. The important foundation is called Two-level game theory, which is called two-level game theory. To put it simply , when we are negotiating with the outside world, after negotiating an item , what will we do in the country? Do a certification action , let Congress certify it, and Congress voters confirm it. Afterwards, we will discuss it again and reach a final agreement with the other party. I think the 1992 Consensus also has this kind of concept here. Our past 1992 Consensus has not yet fully reached a comprehensive Taiwan consensus . So why is the KMT chairman Jiang ? When he proposed what was called the 1992 Consensus under the Constitution of the Republic of China, he added a "Constitution 92 Consensus" to the 1992 Consensus, emphasizing that we must bring out the 92 Constitution to the voters in the internal affairs, especially during elections. I know that this is the 1992 Consensus based on the subjectivity of the Republic of China , because after all, the Kuomintang is an opposition party. If you cannot get the ruling power , you can’t take the next step. As we talked about , foreign communication and negotiation , so if you take the constitution in nine 2. Bring it out to let you know. The first one is to maintain the spirit of Confucianism in China and strengthen Sun Yat-sen's ideas . Finally, bring out the 1992 Consensus. At least strengthen your argument and bring it well . Next, if you win the ruling power, talk to the other side . How to maintain the so-called peace declaration How to maintain it I think Guo Dong’s concept is the same. The next thing I’m going to talk about is how to integrate all like-minded votes together to win the final election. I think cross-strait policy and the so-called foreign policy are definitely a very important topic. One of them is when our National leaders , because the international changes you will face after 2024 may be more complicated than now
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Channel: 新聞大白話
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Id: ALZzqBVTkaQ
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Length: 48min 5sec (2885 seconds)
Published: Thu Jun 01 2023
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